Transcription
[Music]
yo okay hey he got it fixed in time
whoa Lord have mercy you're kind of
close
uh yeah this hella close how you doing
I'm good how are you I'm doing better
I'm doing better and like shout out to
everybody that definitely sent my wife
well wishes she's doing much better uh
she's feeling better uh still work in
progress but she's doing all right
so but she's she's getting back to Erica
and anybody that met Erica you know
that's good to hear she's a Brave Little
Toaster Little Toaster oh my gosh
okay so how are you what's been going on
with you what has been going with me
well I'm back from afro tich okay um
which did we talk about last time I
can't remember
if okay we were off that's why right but
feel free we can always talk about it um
so for me personally
um it was more afro than Tech um but
that's okay that's okay I think if you
are um just starting out in your Tech
Career I think it's a great place to
start as far as job opportunities and
meeting people um I will say that one
thing that they are going to be doing
for next year it's in Houston again next
year October 27th through the 31st I
believe one thing they're going to do
for next year is to
um increase the offerings on the
executive track and I had the executive
ticket so um I thought it was good but I
also didn't have very high expectations
or just expectations period I should say
for the first for my first afro Tech I
had fun ran into um hel cousins so shout
out if you were there and I met you that
was really nice um and then you know
Houston's a whole a whole vibe and I was
definitely in them Houston streets
kicking it way too hard um and I'm
looking forward to it next year um but I
did meet a lot of cool people that I
hope to follow up with and have them as
guest on the show nice nice nice nice
yeah 2025 is going to be a pretty
jam-packed year for us especially since
we'll be having a lot of very cool
guests coming onto the show so I'm
really really excited about that so all
right so should we get should we get it
popping you know yeah we have a lot to
cover in this hour and we have a hard
stop at 6
it's getting
sticky it
is I got that mop all right so what
what's good everybody I am Mark Monroe
accompanied by my wonderful co-host
co-producer co-creator and all things
Galactic give it up for none other than
the wonderful gceo it's oh my gosh what
did I say I'm just kidding it's jillan
GC and the place to be what does ITT
cousins and yeah that's all I got for
right now okay well you know you're
fresh from Apple tech so we'll give you
that one
so there it goes okay there it is I
was I forgot about the song that we were
doing but you know right when we're off
air I think it was the Rihanna song but
you know I know now you're gonna have
that stuck in my head it was gone but
now it's gonna be back oh y wait I do
have to say Mark hel hit this High not I
was like okay what was the song again
I'm not saying okay there it is I'm not
saying because it's gonna get stuck in
my head okay so Jolan we got Lu you said
we have a lot to get into with a short
amount of time y'all I hope you have
your pen and paper ready um because you
guys know how we do uh yeah I'm here I
am waving a pencil and my iPad is my
iPad is dead dead it's dead but you know
we got a lot to get into so I have it
over here on my prompt side of the
screen so I have multiple windows Mark
oh you know I'm you know I'm I'm ultra
wide over here so yeah let me know where
is it that we should start how is it
that we should get this popping should
we get it popping with an I Told You So
or should we get it popping with
definitely you you definitely need your
space to talk to talk your is um but how
about we just let them know like what
we're GNA cover in today's episode so
let's do it let's do it right so today's
topics that we're going to cover well
first of all the title of the show is go
ahead Mark oh Trey
talk broke or rich in 2028 will you be
broke or rich in 2028 that is a good
question to ask ask answer that question
now in the chat um and tell well answer
it in the chat will you be broke or rich
in the chat so if you and it's okay it's
like look we all start somewhere or
we're all where we're at so just just
give a just give an honest answer if you
can you know if you have put lie but we
preferably but yeah so all right so goal
to be okay so we got go to be rich I'm
seeing a lot of Rich I'm hearing uh oh I
like this one richer I love that uh we
got
rich okay yes we got all right the I
like that I like that jolen over here
talking about it's a
heist and then somebody says after I
finish this PhD I'll be rich I will be
look I will be comfortable at okay all
right all
right okay all right so and then we got
another Rich AF all right I love it I
love it somebody says I what is it I
plan to be rich uh right now my
portfolio is on on The Struggle Bus but
ready to fix it okay well I mean hey get
the get the wrench get the screwdriver
whatever is necessary let's get let's
get to fixing it all right so uh jolen
so I'm guessing that we have like
majority of the room right now is
optimistic I think we have some
cautiously optimistic uh Minds in the
room and that's okay um I haven't uh I
haven't seen anything in the chat that
says broke
so I wouldn't expect broke from come up
cousins but I
mean Rich Hunty okay all right now some
walking away d'angela said walking away
I see you little bro angel I see you I
see you all right so said def uh depends
on how you define being rich it's up to
you so you your definition it's up to
all right design your
life um but Mark the topics as we just
so that we can you know frame this
conversation um today we're GNA talk
about um the US debt bomb along with the
corporate debt bomb we're going to talk
about some um m&a AKA mergers and
Acquisitions um also we're going to get
into um tariffs uh the jobs lookout for
2025 okay and we're going to talk about
two Tech Giants potentially going at it
okay and how all of that impacts your
entire life um basically yeah so let's
get into it where do you want say look
look I'm okay I'm easy like Sunday
morning so let's go look all right let's
talk about let's talk about the debt
we'll move from broke to Rich so let's
talk about the debt okay all right so so
are we talking about us-based debt are
we gonna talk about corpor let's go
micro and then or macro then micro so us
then corporate so US debt is at 30 it's
above a little bit above $ 36 trillion I
think you know you had some pretty dope
stats on here like for example 14% of
Interest like the interest payments now
represent 14% of the entire budget which
is exceeding military spending so I want
everybody to understand that military
spending is one of our heaviest uh is
one of our heaviest expenses I think
it's one of three um I think we spend in
other areas like Medicare and all this
other stuff but I mean still I mean it's
if your interest payments exceed say for
example one of your top
spins um that's something
to think about I think we also need to
pause mark on this 36
trillion dollars like what it's the US
it's just a number it's it's just an
arbitrary number I'm just kidding it's
not an arbitrary number at all a lot of
debt n it's a lot of debt when you're
spending one trillion dollars in
interest payments and not even really
making a debt now you start to
understand what students feel when they
pay their student loans or when people
are making those mortgage
payments listen I I understand I
understand so that's something that we
definitely need to be attentive to
because of course it's like you know
when you see us St and you see how that
goes across like looking even even more
granular like bringing it in micro so we
live in Seattle Washington right and so
Seattle the city of Seattle I mean ish
uh was the city of Seattle has a$ 261
million deficit out of A8 billion doll
uh budget so our our City's budget is8
billion and out of the8 billion it's
$261 million in the whole so what does
something like that do so I'm going to
explain you on this level so then that
way you can kind of get an idea of what
it looks like on a macro level which is
the overall us so what happens you have
like say for example the city of Seattle
that starts to decrease exactly how many
jobs that they start to literally they
they either go some go furload or some
they just like say okay hey we're just
going to cut recruiting in these
particular departments which means that
if you're cutting in specific
departments let's say Public public
works so where it's like people clean
parks and everything else well those
parks are going to take a little bit
longer ER to get cleaned up and
everything else um if you're looking at
other areas as it pertains to like where
the budget goes as it pertains to
education uh that education spend or to
nonprofits that benefit on say for
example any of those fundings uh or when
you look at say for example Municipal
projects like for example cleaning up
streets roads and all those other things
where it it where a lot of small
businesses they rely on that contract
work from from municipalities when those
things get cut back then that hurts the
project and then ultimately if it hurts
the project then ultimately that's jobs
that's also hurting and when you think
about it it's like all states ultimately
have their own GDP and then you combine
that all together then that's ultimately
how you get to the overall us-based GDP
so go ahead no I was gonna say I do want
to share that like with the when I think
about Seattle's budget um and this
deficit how it will impact um the
nonprofit sector like I just went to the
um Urban League's uh annual breakfast Y
and while sitting there before the event
was over they were able to raise 1.3 um
million dollars um during this breakfast
that started at like8 o'clock in the
morning um there was over 2,000 people
there right um
and what when I think about how these
organizations are the organ the
nonprofit organizations in Seattle do
the majority of the service work
so they usually stand in the gap for
when um there's like a job issue like if
there's less jobs then they try to place
you with different jobs or supplement
like your um things that have to do with
a lack of income or reduced income so
think paying light bills think um
utility bills covered um packages for
when newborns are born um even
assistance in purchasing a home so if
the city is reducing their budget then
you can imagine that also the state
would be um it has impacts for the state
as well so now the organizations will be
uh competing for some of those dollars
so if they're competing that means that
there will be less to offer so that
means more people will be suffering
because if you think about it Washington
State overall is a blue State um and so
if we have the federal government
reducing money that's going out to all
these organizations it's going to have
major implications for not only just the
nonprofit
sector because again that kind of uh
captures the the Gap that um tends to
happen um but it's going to have impact
on just everyone that lives in
Washington state and then you look at
that as a small example and then you
kind of step back and that it then it
impacts even more people you know you
look at the city of Seattle we one of
the smartest most educated um and more
the most millionaires per
capita
um that's great but at the same time
those aren't the only people that live
that live here so we really have to take
into consideration how is this going to
impact everybody on this spectrum from
broke to rich exactly you you nailed it
right there on the head and so you know
somebody asked in the in the in the in
the chat like you know I think it was uh
cousin
Kareem um or someone that asks yeah he
said who is Us in debt to so like for
example an easy way to look at it is
remember when Japan started going on
remember when Japan was like the topic
of
discussion H towards the middle of the
year and when Japan started becoming a
part of that topic of discussion the
market started to dip as soon as we
started to see what was happening in
Japan
yes there you have
it so Japan is so Japan is one of the
large is one of the largest holders of
us us back debt of course you got China
you got United Kingdom and then of
course you got like places like Germany
and Canada but I mean really it's like
you know Japan and China that ultimately
hold a lot of those notes um I I can't
really give you the the exact number
last time I talked I think it was like
uh I think it was like 1.1 trillion uh
as it pertains to like countries that
they had invested that they had invested
um so when you see things that happen
and that get you know erupted in the
bond market now you see what's happening
as it pertains to like what's what's
happening on that us back back debt side
who's investing into what
so it's well it's the one of the
problems though Mark with the US debt is
that it's not looking to it's not going
to be slowing down no we'll probably
reach $50 trillion dollars if you know
at the rate in which that we're doing
probably within the next 10 years we'll
probably have a $50 trillion debt bomb
yeah which
is
anyway it's hard to conceptualize that's
a that's a lot that's a lot that's a lot
like it's it's kind of like it's and
that's what I was asking like is it real
or is it like more like an arbitrary
number I think that sooner or later
we'll come to a point where it's like
when things slow down we'll have no
other choice but to ultimately start to
pay off uh large portions of that debt
but I think that we have to get to a
place in which that the United States
economy is very much so booming and
that's really letting you know a sign of
the times it pertains to where we are
economically um George not George I'm
sorry why am I saying George Jerome pal
does not think it's sustainable no it's
not I mean nothing is ever sustainable I
mean it's just like having a checking
account and then ultimately like you
know your checking account has a balance
and then it also has a credit balance
and then once you exceed that credit
balance you know it's like you start
getting into No Man's Land you can keep
going like for example hey you're going
to take out loans okay okay so then your
checking account balance is negative
then your credit balance is negative
then essentially your your loan balance
is negative and it just it's a Snowball
Effect where as you can see it's not
sustainable so ultimately sooner or
later things are going to have to get
reeled in and Uncle Charles said it best
like he said Monopoly
money right they're gonna be printing
like crazy so okay now with the
corporate debt how now if we take it
from macro to micro what is is that
setup looking like um so remember those
times when interest rates were low and
everybody was ultimately out there
borrowing and just like Hey we're
borrowing at these rates and they're not
borrow like a lot of them weren't
borrowing at fixed rates they were
borrowing at uh variable rates and so
now a lot of those chickens are coming
home to
roost and so you're now starting to
reach those moments in which that you
reach those maturity points now of
course they can go through like Banks
and ultimately if it's like relationship
based which a lot of banks are they want
to keep their relationship so like a lot
of your major Fortune 500s should be
fine key word should be fine right um
but if they're not and essentially it's
like that can eat significantly into
their profit margins and then
essentially then you have to start
looking at those companies very
differently as it pertains to growth
because their growth is being calized by
the debt that they have to pay so and
then which can also stunt their growth
significantly as it pertains to well if
your if your grunt is if your your
growth is stunted based upon profit
margins which means that essentially you
can't really make the Investments which
means that you'll probably start like
here's an easy way to notice you'll
start seeing companies that start doing
layoffs where they have to start cutting
back on say for example staff because
why it always comes down to the bottom
line and it the cash flow always
dominates the the conversation here's
the thing that I want everybody to like
if you can if you've got children or if
you got like children teenagers whatever
or even just you're just amongst friends
I strongly urge for everybody to get the
board game cash flow like if you can't I
know that we I know that a lot of us
grew up on Monopoly which is great and
it's a very arbitrary board game but if
you want something that's a little bit
more realistic to help you understand
not only just the the like how to
mentally get out of the nine to-5 and
getting into that next phase and also
understanding like when to take risk and
when not to take risk and everything
else look the idea is ultimately to
literally play that game because he'll
give you some understanding D'Angelo
says that he's triggered because the
last time that he was here you know I
WIP I wiped the floor with him in the
game but he learned hopefully he learned
we should we should um we should
organize like a national cash flow day
party and have everyone like you know
play the game host they can host their
own game and we all play at the same
time and then and just tag us like just
tag us like for real
like we should we should get to the
point where we actually start playing
teams I'll ref because I don't want to
be the cheat
coach a
note yeah so and and what I want you to
do is I want you to look at it from like
it gives you different perspectives also
like people always sit there and when
they play the game they wonder why it's
tougher to get out of the rat race when
you're like the doctor or anything else
and we always pride ourselves on these
high-paying jobs but not understanding
that with highp paying jobs you're also
your expenses are just as high and
everything else you know it's it's kind
of like a assumed and so essentially
like you know your passive income has to
supersede your expenses so again like
all in all to say bringing it back
because I know I was kind of going on a
tangent but I hope that people kind of
like grab the gem out of that one and
here comes another one so when you see
companies that are like having to pull
back like let's say 10% of their
Workforce or 7% of their Workforce you
know okay imagine if that's 7% of their
Workforce what does that calculate as it
pertains to Dollars that's billions of
dollars in which that that company has
now just so in those billions of dollars
that it's now saved it's letting you
know that it's trying to protect profit
margins and they're going to try to
protect profit margins at all costs if
they don't then essentially like again
it stunts growth and so again when
growth is stunted then essentially then
they can't go any further they can't
make any other Investments towards the
future and you're starting to see
companies like that that that are
ultimately like okay hey they join the
AI race but they were slow to join the
AI race and then essentially it's like
now that they're in it it's like okay
they kind of like don't know exactly how
to navigate and now they're like talking
about laying off large portions of their
of their Workforce and even then you're
like okay well now the conversation as
it pertains to mergers and Acquisitions
are starting to jump into the
conversation well okay should I just go
ahead and just cook because I just cook
like if we want to wait get your apron
get your apron and your
Chef so so when we start looking at
mergers and Acquisitions it's going to
be like the companies in which that are
that are just struggling so you're going
to have the companies that are just like
struggling to like literally get it into
gear and and just because they're
publicly traded companies and they sit
on the stock market doesn't make them
Ironclad and they're not defensible I
mean look at what happened with super
micro somebody had called me the other
day asking me about uh super micro and
saying hey are they are they safe and
I'm
like I don't know because literally it's
like if I'm not even looking at the
stock and if I'm just looking at the
company itself I'd wait until the audit
is
complete but I mean you're going to have
companies like Intel like I said Intel
is definitely
unwatch for an acquisition they need
they need to pick up something that'd be
that'd be funny if it was AMD and it was
government
sponsored wow your favorite and little
boy blue interesting listen you know
sooner or later we have to come together
and not be enemies anymore
we understand how much we need each
other but yeah you're going to start
seeing companies that are going through
mergers and Acquisitions because they
say that it's the Strategic move to do
no it's not just a strategic move to do
it's ultimately like giving you a way
out and ultimately it's like when
essentially like you've already cut your
Workforce and everything else now you
prepared you prepared your financials to
look beautiful for any potential Suitor
and any potential acquirer like that's
that's the that's the secret to the
entire game anybody that you ask if you
ever go ask a lawyer or if you go ask
anybody that's in finance they'll tell
you your financials always must look
beautiful if your financials don't look
beautiful then nobody wants to buy it so
we got companies out here
intentionally making themselves
eligible for the for the
ma
okay so I
mean listen I I look I feel for some of
the companies that are like going
through that that are going through
those struggles like their capex
spending is starting to drop uh so which
means that their capex spending drops
which means either one they're ready for
they're they're in growth phase but you
can't be in growth phase if your capex
is being spent so let's just retract
that so then that means that essentially
that oh well then that means that we're
making Investments for the future oh
wait a minute but you cut back your
Workforce okay can't use that so let's
retract that well so we're just trying
to prepare ourselves and ultimately just
hker down oh no you're not because again
it's like okay well why are you selling
off these assets or ultimately cutting
out these departments and putting them
on the Shelf at your company see again
it's like you know just just pay
attention people like if like I said if
people have been paying attention to all
the things that are happening in music
and if you're following look if you're
so good at following Drake versus
Kendrick Lamar as it pertains to Drake
you know calling HR on Kendrick Lamar
then you should be able to go and check
and see what's going on in the markets
and see what's happening within some of
these companies and sitting back and
asking the questions with the side eye
hey
yo are you getting ready to get acquired
like because look it it something
something sound
right right they in the mirror like okay
let me make sure I look good for you
know apple right quick look like I said
better find a mop that's getting sticky
because literally like I said I I I try
to warn everybody ahead of time saying
hey the companies that you trust are the
companies that strong cash like the
companies that have strong cash are the
ones in which that you trust if they
don't have strong cash on their books
and everything
else I mean think about it we just went
through x amount of time period and
companies like apple and Microsoft were
still making aund and and even we'll
throw even meta into that conversation
and even we'll throw in Amazon these
four companies were bringing in hundred
billion dollar in Revenue over a three
Monon
span 100 billion with a B
oh
okay
so speaking of we're still on this topic
of um mergers and
Acquisitions
um do you want to talk about actually no
well maybe okay let's talk about um well
okay when I think about the mergers and
Acquisitions like it naturally makes me
think of you know
competition and who's competing against
who because the more you can scoop up
you know to make your bottom line that
much um that much better by acquiring
another company that already smaller
than you already has the technology or
whatever so that you can compete against
another big dog um let's talk about two
giants so what we talking about
Amazon and
Nvidia so there's competition between
the two because you know uh Amazon now
is stepping into the AI uh ship maker
market so that they can essentially
compete against Nvidia so my question
mark is okay
so I it may be likely that we'll have
more um oh yeah there goes the article
it may be likely that we have more uh
Cloud companies looking to compete in
this Arena to kind of get rid of the
third party chip maker Reliance funny
it'd be funny if meta is the number one
Custer customer to Amazon for that AI
chip but well well well well so okay so
in the short term I don't see when I
think about Amazon versus Nvidia in the
short term I don't see any um immediate
risk just given nvidia's um Market
leadership but if we're looking at it in
the long term what are the potential
risk um and threats vers when it comes
to Nvidia going up against players yeah
other players I mean your biggest risk
is other as the other players like you
know you don't have to out you don't
have to out swim the Sharks you just
have to out swim the guy you're scuba
diving with
right like and
honestly
listen if I'm Nvidia I'm Not Afraid as
it pertains to Amazon stepping in to
compete within this AI chip space you
know I'd kind of expected it like
Google's already there I mean Apple's
got its own rendition mhm Microsoft is
still using you know its you know
various providers through the cloud
services and you see many other players
and of course AMD is also ramping up
into that space as well so I think that
it's providing a lot of legitimacy I
think the thing is is that Nvidia
Embraces the fact that okay there's
going to be competitors but at the same
token we've got folks in whom wish that
are legitimizing the space in which that
we're in that that ultimately like
enriches it um I I my biggest hope for
NVIDIA is is that they don't become
complacent like I think that they've had
a blueprint of what it looks like when
you have been the leader for a dominant
period of time because let's put it into
perspective Nvidia has just become the
dominant like chip company but once upon
a time once upon a time it was actually
you know somebody else which was Intel
Now intel is struggling why because
Intel got complacent
yeah slow to adopt slow to move exactly
so with that being said it's like I
think that as long as Nvidia still stays
on its
course as it pertains to hey let's keep
innovating let's keep pushing the
envelope let's keep being the leader
that ultimately like okay we keep going
to different Arenas they're going to be
just fine um but I did try to give
people a for warning and saying that
look
be advis you know Amazon has dominated
the cloud space for quite some time they
have remained number one for quite some
time and the way that they do is they
iterate iterate iterate iterate iterate
and then essentially get to a place of
scale scale it continue to scale as as
they're continue to scale they're
continue to make iterations even within
those scaling periods so I think that
it's something that they've been talking
about underneath the hood and is now
just like hitting the foray but if we
journey back a little while I could have
sworn we kind of had this
conversation a while back earlier this
year when I think it was like around the
summer that I was trying to let
everybody else know that hey
look don't be surprised if you see am if
you see Amazon step into the space to
challenge companies like Nvidia within
AI chips and don't be surprised if they
also look to bring on a massive customer
AKA like a meta into the conversation I
think that that's gonna
be I think that that's GNA be the
interesting
conversation as we move forward over the
next nine to 12 months well one of the
things too that we've talked about since
2020 when we first came on was how
Amazon like their whole philosophy
really is a startup model yes all of
their different branches departments
where you want to call them are separate
companies are all ran like startups so
when you have that philosophy you are
able to Pivot because it's a part of
your culture and that's probably one of
the mistakes that Intel did not have um
and they became almost like a tech I
mean I guess dinosaur in that in that
sense because they weren't able to move
quickly like a startup so when you have
you know a company like Amazon stepping
into the foray it's like okay you got to
pay attention um and see what they got
going on pay attention to any potential
mergers and Acquisitions like just
because they have cash so just look and
be on your and look at those cash
balances like stay stay stay tuned to
those those cash balance sheets because
you know and then on top of that when
those 10 Q's come out and 10ks come out
um pay attention because you know
Acquisitions fall underneath those like
you can you can see like what is it that
they acquired even though that they
don't publicly they don't they not
publicize it but they do have to mention
those things legally and they have to be
reported to the SEC as it pertains to
what was acquired so uh I would just you
know I would just be very attuned to
what's happening there and I think that
we're we're coming to the end of phase
one as it pertains to this AI craze now
what does that mean you're going to
probably start seeing a lot of companies
dump off or you're going to probably
start seeing a lot of companies hit that
struggle period because now it's like
okay hey investors are going their
expectations even more stronger and
essentially they're going to be looking
to see okay hey well what does it like
you had a lot of hype that went behind
it but now what does that turn into as
it pertains to like how does that
portray an actual dollars or an actual
performance so that's going to be the
big that's going to be some of the
biggest questions and which is going to
be sitting at the feet for a lot of
these companies as we move into phase
two and if they can't if they can't meet
that that's just like a startup that
raises money out of some high ridiculous
valuation and then when when it comes to
this point where it's like okay hey have
you met this valuation and they haven't
met it then essentially that's
ultimately how CEOs get fired I'm not
saying that any publicly traded CEOs get
fired at this point but ultimately that
could spell Doom and Gloom for some of
the companies as it pertains to
shareholders wanting to be involved so
again just something to pay attention to
uh for sure yeah and I realized when I
said oh let's go from broke to um Rich
um as we were you know going over these
tops I forgot one of the topics that I
wanted to cover which was um tariffs yes
um so we have this potential uh tariff
coming up or tariffs I should say I was
gonna say it's two China Canada and
Mexico so those are the top three and
with this new um Administration they're
basically saying okay we need to impose
this 25% tariff on those three to combat
um well they say it's for drugs um and
immigration reasons like to stop the
flow so then why so then why did the
Autos go negative when that was
announced well we already know what
happens when you start to cut back on
immigration when it leads to jobs which
we'll talk about jobs next but yes um
the whole piece about stopping the
inflow of drugs my question is what how
how are they how are they going to track
this like how do they know when they're
successful um when it comes to to that
portion of it specifically and then two
let's talk about like the real
implications of these terorists because
you got major companies like wmart
already saying look we're raising the
prices y'all if he if old boy says 25%
the prices are going to raise
automatically don't ask us no questions
don't you know don't call Corp customer
service you know Karen Stand Down H pipe
down like
they're already
saying they're already saying that we're
going to increase prices so if we're
looking at this like in the context of
um investors and we're looking at this
in the context of like where how is this
going to impact our portfolios or where
we should be looking um to conduct like
our analysis of this impact where do we
go what are we um looking at here what's
really the impact for us that's a lot of
that's a lot to unpack But ultimately
you're looking at you're looking at at
least a 1% rise in
inflation so now what's interesting
about that Mark is all of this talk
during election season was like you know
prices are too high so that's why I'm
gonna vote you know red or whatever and
now we're looking at the increase of um
cons not gonna be instantaneous though
that's the beautiful part about it it's
not going to be instantaneous remember
how slow remember how slow it took for
inflation to rise even with Co yeah so
much to the point where they said that
oh this is just you know temporary you
know it's not going to stick and it got
sticky now I got you look I I knew it I
knew it it was it it was bound it was
bound to get jolen it was bound to get
you oh lord well Ms are gonna be more
expensive too now okay look listen you
better get your mop now
listen so just okay so for everybody out
there they're like yo what what is the
running joke here as it pertains to like
this whole sticky conversation so the
sticky part is like we were listening to
Tyler the Creator's song and he has a
song sticky so listen at your you know
if you got kids you know it's such a
great album it really is album of the
year um all right so let's talk about it
a little bit further though all jokes
aside
so the best way that I was ever
explained to as it pertains to like we
think about politics and when we think
about like when when when people run on
specific
campaigns um A wise
man once taught a young man and he said
you know he said a guy literally went to
go visit uh before he had to make a
choice he had the opportunity to go look
at what hell was going to be like and
what heaven was going to look like and
when he went to go look at hell hell was
like this amazing place and everything
else it was lit it was popping and
everything everything else and when he
got to heaven when he showed him heaven
heaven was just like so dull and
everything else boring and everything
else and then when he asked him he was
like when you make your decision you
have to stick with your decision and the
guy was like yo he was like I want to go
I want to go down under and the guy was
like are you sure and he was like yeah
and so he went he ended up going to hell
and then when he got to hell it was
nothing like how he pictured and he was
like wait a minute you tricked me and
everything else and he's like that's
what it's like to actually be campaig
and Market it to
[Music]
so I'm not saying that essentially that
like what Donald Trump is going to do as
it pertains to within his campaign or or
or within his presidency is ultimately
going to literally you know drop the
entire like economy and everything else
though I have this here's here's my
personal opinion I think that in three
years you know it's going to get very
sticky and very muggy and very hot for a
lot of people within this economy and
within this country and they're going to
be like okay this is I'm not feeling
good about where we are and it's not
because of the fact of all the other
like you know statements and comments
and all this other stuff they're going
to look at it purely based upon what
ultimately got him uh that what got him
elected and that was like pretty much um
the economy he ran on the economy now
the question is can you fix the economy
if he can fix it great but then the
question is is it going to be a
temporary fix and then It ultimately
starts to rear its head the question
that the reason why I say three years is
because I expect the economy to start to
slow down the economy has been like
literally running in high overdrive just
trying to get inflation down and on top
of that trying to do XYZ remember all
these conversations that we kept talking
about as it pertains to corporate debt
and US debt and all those things well
when you have to re those in certain
things start to also have to get cut I
mean you're going to have to try to
balance budgets and everything else and
you're going to go through some pain so
the question is like what is that going
to look like for the long run and so
will people feel better about where they
are four years from now um that's the
question but if you're bringing on the
tariffs conversation which ultimately
makes it rise by at least 1% this could
be a challenging situation in which
that like because when you think about
it tariffs ultimately hit the companies
and who much that they're trying to
serve and I have to applaud like
companies like apple that literally held
it down for their customer base and
didn't raise the prices but the not
every company is like that because not
every company has like pricing control
when they can control the supply chain
and Logistics side of the and on top of
that the manufacturing process so they
have power over the entire process not
every company is going to have that and
so so when they don't have that type of
power then they're going to have to
adjust their prices to ultimately meet
the fact that okay hey it's either that
or we're selling things closer to a loss
like you have to look at some Industries
like 22% is a good profit margin for
them but any any disruptions within that
like you're literally going to say that
it's like they're going to feel the
effects especially like retail stores
like Walmart or Target they're going to
feel the effects you know when you think
about like industrial companies or when
you think about agriculture they're
going to f the effects and ultimately
the consumer is going to that like who
does it pass on to it passes on to the
consumer the consumer is going to feel
that
pain so okay one of the things that
besides being able to control like
Supply that um Apple was able to do to
keep those prices down um was some of
their ESG um policies so what other
I mean especially like with the being
able to recycle old phones and then make
you know something new um which people
were happy to turn in old phones just to
get the discount and then you know then
buy a new phone which is probably parts
of their old phone but anyway um what
how can ESG um where are other ways that
ESG can have a a positive benefit um on
this potential
uh rise in uh
prices for some of these other companies
it depends upon how it depends upon like
the control that they have within their
supply chain and and their process I
mean also when we think about ESG it
also depends upon how is that they're
making decisions most ESG is it you fix
things today so then that way you don't
have to deal with the tomorrow You Fix
You Fix today's lazy so that way you can
you could solve tomorrow's crazy like
that's literally the concept of what we
think about when we think about ESG
solving environmental social and
governance problems today so then that
way when things get crazy later it's
less crazier for you because you're
already prepared for it so if companies
are ultimately doing that um then
they're going to be fine I mean to a
certain degree but again it it depends
upon how much of the process do they own
they have control of okay gotcha yeah if
they don't own a massive part of the
process or the or or control of the
entire cycle of things that that could
spell a problem like for example the
reason why we say apple can the problem
is because of the fact that every single
iPhone that they sell is like nine times
out of 10 we're at a place now jolen
that every single phone that that people
buy today is recycled material from
somebody else's phone that they were
using that now you're using that has
been made from it's actually pretty
ingenious because you're still selling
it at the same price you're not even
selling it at a discounted price you're
selling it at the same price but yet
you're using the same materials that
ultimately created let's say the iPhone
8 iPhone 10 or iPhone
12 whatever
it well but that's the beautiful thing
about it though carbon carbon positive
now so they went from or is it carbon
positive or carbon neutral or negative
everybody wants to get everybody wants
to get to neutral look I'm getting a
little tongue tight here because I know
that we got other subjects that we got
to run to but whatever it is is the good
side that's Apple where they are now and
every company wants to be in that
process yeah all right so um now
yeah we got to go back to um this us job
market yes sorry we kind of been all
over the place but we have well we
already know how unemployment is looking
right now um right now it's a little
under 4% at
3.9% and it's going to um increase to
well they're saying it's going to
increase to well when I say well over
that even a tenth of percentage point is
too high when it comes to um
unemployment rates in the US market
market so they're saying when I say they
I mean like economists are projecting
4.2% so the question is um how is this
going to impact impact the market um and
what what sector should we be looking
it's kind of crazy because when we look
at it like if you notice like
uh if you ever see that a company lays
off like a massive amount of folks then
you know have you ever noticed that the
stock typically jumps yeah because
they're they're decreasing their profit
margin they're well either that they're
keeping their profit margins the same
and also getting rid of expenses and of
course investors look that as a
knee-jerk reaction to say oh hey they're
getting rid of
expenses um or they're they're
decreasing
expenses
um I think that some companies are
better well positioned I think that
there's a lot of companies like for
example within the tech sector that like
literally went through massive layoffs
and I think that they overlay it off
people yes and now they're trying to now
they're trying to go back and hire quite
a few people because they realize okay
hey we're hitting this place and we're
starting to hit like massive amounts of
demand here and we don't have enough
talent and staff to be able to suppl or
to be able to supply for the demand so I
think that that like other Arenas you're
going to see that that opens up
um my biggest thing is just that you
know I'm looking at it from the
standpoints as it pertains to cost like
a lot of times people will sit back and
say you know Mark you're you keep saying
cost you keep saying cost and I'm going
to keep saying it because at the end of
the day it still comes down to cash flow
um if cash flow if cash flow statements
and balance sheets are strong then
you're good um if cash flow is
ultimately
decreasing
um then there may be some challenges
ahead um and with that being said you
know I think that some Industries are
going to see like for example like
agriculture has definitely been needing
talent but the thing is is that
essentially the cost as it pertains to
you know to acquire that Talent
especially here in the US is too high
now we're talking about things like
manufacturing um where you saw that like
I think in as the fall in the early fall
we saw a lot of unions go on strike we
saw a lot of folks like literally asking
for pay
raises um which is which is fine um
but at the same time it's like okay hey
they don't understand like some people
just don't understand you know for that
that bumping 30% as as it pertains to
salaries it's gonna come from somewhere
yeah and at the same time that Boeing I
think settled they also like turned
around the next week and said hey look
listen we gonna have to do some
layoffs
yeah
so look I mean somebody asked a question
like I thought that they or us can't
compete or with uh fiscal structure and
then somebody said uh I thought they
laid off to prepare for
AI some companies did that but
ultimately but what was the what was
overall objective there you laid off to
prepare for AI to do what I
mean you still need people to process
that AI you still need people to you
still need to hire people to be able to
support that AI infrastructure that you
have you can't like and I think that a
lot of folks thought that they could
just like literally Implement AI
infrastructure and say okay hey well you
know we're we're going to be okay we
just implement it and we're good to go
and that's not the case you need the
system that ultimately supports it so do
I believe that there's going to be new
jobs created in 2025 yes I think that
we'll start seeing newer jobs come in um
in 2025 that support a lot of those new
new age Arenas and for the folks out
there that are like literally looking to
bring their kids into Tech
um wow this is what happens when you
have this what happens when your room is
smart your room is like all right hey
now there's your marker right
um and and then it's motion
censored um I think the thing is that
people need to understand though is when
we look at jobs there's going to be a
ton of jobs that are going to be created
there's going to be a lot of new job
jobs that are going to be created and I
think the thing is like if people are
wanting to know how to win you know
you're investors now you've been in you
like if you've been watching the come up
series since
2020 then every single
breadcrumb and honestly truth be told I
stopped speaking in riddles back in
2022 okay so every everything that I've
been everything that I've been saying
has been going straight up off like look
I'm shooting straight from the
hip so like straight nochaser literally
if you if you got kids that are
interested in being content creators
look I'm sorry that's a hobby if it's
not paying you if it's not literally
something that can sustain you over the
next five years and literally set you up
with a strong retirement plan then you
need to have a backup and if you if you
need that backup then you need to get an
education and if you need it could
either be college or it could be like
programs in which that they have 18 we
programs and everything else but I'm
telling you right now that essentially
if you're not embedded some where as it
pertains to stem especially within the
tech space understanding exactly like
okay hey now that We've Ended phase one
of AI and understanding that the next
phase is even going to be even more
lucrative than phase one like think
about it like this phase one is just a
hype right phase two is the investment
like that's the part that people don't
understand like you're starting to see
phase two in certain places where it's
like you have companies that are like
raising money at astronomical
valuations yeah that happens in Phase
One when you see hype but now it's like
people want to see the the result of
that hype and then after they've seen
the result of that hype the next thing
that they want is like okay that they've
seen when they see progress reports it's
like oh wow this is even bigger than I
thought it was going to be okay when's
the next time that I can invest in this
so again you're going to start seeing
you
know you're gonna start seeing more
investment you're gonna start seeing
billions of dollars what I saw um you
know at afrotech was um how big um cyber
security could be and is
getting um like as far as Jobs go and I
was shocked I was sitting there
listening to and I cannot remember her
name but I was sitting there listening
to a really good session on um why uh
you know black and other PLC should go
into cyber security and you know I don't
to work um like as I was sitting there I
was like oh my gosh like I was actually
interested um so if I ever return to um
the the workforce it would probably be
in cyber security because the way they
made it sound it it just it just blew me
away listen Okay
so I can't take my headphones off
because that's the only way I'm going to
have to hear you so okay listen
if you want to get into if you want to
get into cyber security go now and go
study your CompTIA and get your security
plus it's not that hard it's just like
getting an AA certification or anything
else you can go stud up on corsera if
you if you really want to start making
investments in yourself go on corser and
spend the $600 for the year it's more
than what you like if you really think
about it like if you add up every single
drink that you add that that you go
spend at the bar in a year you spent
more at the bar than you did on say for
example your own Improvement so spend
the or coffee go spend the $600 and then
literally go get as many certifications
as you can so which that you can learn
learn the space as it pertains to the
new things that are coming through oh
yeah I'm about to cook and then
essentially if you want to I mean if
like there's tons of jobs in which that
you can get that are either through the
government or also within other
companies where it's like there's a ton
of AI companies out there or there's a
ton of data center companies out there
that are looking to hire people and
they're getting paid six figures
anywhere from 120 to roughly $180,000 a
year and you didn't need a college
degree you just needed a few CTS
underneath your belt and understand
exactly how data centers work and also
understand good customer service and
essentially they'll hire you I mean the
ultimate objective is is just look be
curious and through your curiosity
ultimately let your curiosity run wild
and learn something like when you when
you're curious you learn and when you
learn now the next objective is is to
literally take that learning and to
apply it and that's ultimately what we
want for you guys there's no secret play
here there's no run the play and all
this other stuff if that's what you want
to do as a pertains to stepping into
cyber security if you want to if you
even want to go further go get your sis
your Cisco networking Academy or your
your CIS Cisco networking professional
uh certification I mean I think that
one's a little bit more pricier but I
think that it came down they used to
give it out in high school for high
school students I think they still do if
you're if you want to be ahead say for
example in high school go take classes
in college for while you're still in
high school and get the two years
underneath your belt that can like
literally spearhead you for college and
also not only just take the basic
courses but take things that are within
the stem Fields also so that way you can
round up your curiosity go get involved
with say for example folks in whom wish
that like a lot of Corporations out
there have a lot of programs in which
that are Mentor uh focus in which that
they can literally give like literally
take your kids on field trips to their
actual Corporate Offices there's a lot
of programs like I know here in Seattle
they have the black Achievers program
which was through the YMCA I'm probably
sure that that's National across the
country if not go start one and
ultimately do it there's there's so many
things in which that you can do oh
should I keep cooking or should I stop
you know what I'm going to keep cooking
because honestly it's getting hot in
here all right so another thing it's
like if you want to learn AI don't just
spend all your time on chat GPT and
everything else because that's just a
generative AI it doesn't measure your
creativity and everything else go learn
the infrastructures if if you're if
you're in software or if you want to
learn about software go take a few
python classes that's the language for M
for AI and machine learning within
itself I mean you don't have to be a
guru at it but at least you can be
knowledgeable at it and understand the
infrastructure as it pertains to where
we are go look at the jobs in which that
are Al like if you're in HR I mean I'm
going to give you a little I'm going to
give you a little bit of tidbit a lot of
HR is actually starting to be fragmented
where they're starting to put HR across
the different sectors of the business so
HR is no longer generalized anymore it's
actually being infiltrated through the
business and they they need less people
there so make the pivot go towards
operations goes toward go towards devops
go towards Business Development go
towards accounts those types of things
things and also start learning the tools
in which that ultimately make you even
more competitive I mean though even when
even if you're not even looking for a
job even if you're not looking for a job
learn these things because then you get
to learn the infrastructure and why it's
valuable and why is that other people
find it viable and valuable and then
essentially go look at the companies and
wish that are there here's another
tidbit now that we've done Hardware now
it's time to talk about software so now
that we've been making all this massive
investment dollars as it pertains to AI
Hardware now it's time to have ai
software it's time to have their moment
in the Sun so companies like Adobe C3 AI
uh and many others like
snowflake uh and many many others it's
going to be their turn now where they
get to partake in the Sun and also have
their valuations creep up just a little
bit so again there's so much opportunity
out there I mean my thing is it's just
like look
y'all well Mark be heard I just heard
another challenge for 2025 which is
everyone take
$600 and use that as your investment in
yourself and get as many Sears as you
can on corsera so and you know one thing
is you can look at it like okay A bunch
of us are going to get it on in this
sector another bunch of us are going to
get it in this other sector and then
that way you all can share the
information as far as um
not theer but you can share like what
you've learn and you can apply that to
your
investing yeah I mean that's ultimately
the thing and here's the thing it's like
sooner like everybody's jumping into
like all these different
things that's great like everybody's
running towards the
trend but look towards like we taught
you guys well enough to to well enough
by now
like look towards not only just what the
trend is
but be cognizant of what the market
needs like that's the thing like what
does the market need like when we think
about why
entrepreneurs do so well is because they
create something that the market needs
they build something that's valuable
that has a unique selling point to what
the market
needs you know don't get me wrong cyber
security is huge it's very huge data
centers are going to be even more huge
and is going to be huge also because of
the fact of the amount of processing
power and everything else that
essentially we have to rethink exactly
what energy looks like yes you know so
again like what is it that the what is
it that the world is leaning towards
what is it that the world what is it
that the world wants what is it that the
world needs right now what is it that
economies need right now what is it that
Industries need right now you know and
if you don't even want to think about
what they need right now look at what
they need upcoming what's coming soon
you know the writing is on the wall if
you guys just literally just stop listen
to some like you'll you'll start
noticing a trend after you look at some
of the the verbiage in earnings reports
when they tell you about their consumer
base like a lot of these earnings
reports will tell you about consumer
Behavior or their customer what they've
learned from their customers because
investors want to know what is it that
you've learned from your
customers whether what are your
Enterprise customers are telling you and
what are your consumers telling
you it P of it it paints an interesting
picture so
yeah well
um look I'll say that I'll say I'll say
that for another day I feel like I feel
like I I feel like I water the G the the
garden way too much I don't want to I
don't want to flood
it well you know it's about that time
it's exactly six o'clock aka the hard
stop this was a jam-packed episode um
and this is definitely one to play back
and get all the notes get all the gems
um do you have any closing remarks
before we shut it on
down better find them up it's getting
sticky uh no but real talk I mean we'll
we'll talk about it more as we go
through uh as we finish 2024 going into
2025 we got some interesting
conversations and the conversation will
continue to get interesting even well
into 2025 I mean I know that it's a
holiday coming up for everybody so have
conversations with everybody not just
the stock but you know we're we're more
than just the stock market like and
right that's just a place in which that
ideas sometimes become validated but
start looking at other Arenas as it
pertains to like let's start asking each
other the question where's the
opportunity where's the when where will
the next opportunities come from and
what will they look like start having
those conversations where you get to
understand like from other folks like
what makes Dan IES is so what makes Dan
IES the best analyst on Wall Street is
he literally goes and talks to people he
literally asks them questions not not
super duper high level but just basic
questions how's inventory going
here you
know just start having those those
simple based conversations simple based
conversations you'll learn a lot if
you're if you're really just listening
but outside of that of course enjoy your
time with your loved ones cuz the
holiday is upon us so be safe uh also
don't get too full of yourselves uh hug
someone uh tell them that you care and
also uh just you know I'm thankful I'm
truly truly thankful I'm thankful for my
wife I'm thankful for my friends I'm
thankful for my family and I'm thankful
that I have another opportunity to bless
the stage as I was able to do today
julen I gotta go so I'm thankful and I
got go all right on that note be sure to
like comment and subscribe we definitely
want to hear what you guys think best
comment gets pinned to the CH to this
video uh let us know what you think uh
I'll talk to you guys later until next
time I'm Mark Monroe I'm jillan JC and
the place to be and this was your come
up
[Music]
it's coming up son it's coming up