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DON'T value MicroStrategy like other stocks - Conversation with Ben Werkman

Rajat Soni, CFA1:10:43

Transcription

I've actually wanted to have this

conversation with you um before the last

pump with micro strategy micro

strategies has been doing crazy numbers

but I mean of course it's come down a

little bit I think this is really what

shows people that we are convicted

because

of the the

fundamental stuff not not just the

numbers not just the price the most

important thing that I want you to teach

my audience is how to conceptualize mic

strategy how

to help them help them understand it a

little bit better is there is there

anything you want to maybe start with

any anything they want to go into

first yeah absolutely and it's been a

really exciting day I mean you get

Bitcoin breaking over 100,000 last night

I mean everyone's it's a big milestone

right people have been waiting for that

for a very long time and obviously micro

strategy is going to become a really

significant topic out there across the

internet and on most of the mainstream

media channels as well

just because they've been so in front of

this entire move that they saw what

Bitcoin could be long before most of the

general public ever did so I think we're

going to start seeing a significant

amount of coverage start coming up

Beyond just what we've all been doing

out here on X but it is a little tough

for people to conceptualize this trade

I've I've seen this be a very difficult

concept for people to grasp and I

understand it because it's a big

departure from what traditional finances

Ty typically shown Us in terms of how

you're going to value a company and

that's what people struggle with

everyone seems to understand that they

buy Bitcoin the Bitcoin goes on the

balance sheet Bitcoin goes up micro

strategy does well right people can

grasp that but what I think that a lot

of people are missing is looking at how

do you if you were going to take the

micro strategy Playbook and apply it to

your personal life what does that look

like I find that's usually the bridge

people need to Gap to understand what's

happening here and so what I've been

trying to help people with is if you

look at your own personal finances right

you've essentially got two categories

that you're going to focus on one is

going to be your income right your

salary from your business whatever that

is you've got the income side the other

side is going to be your net worth or

your balance sheet and corporations are

really no different right there's a lot

of fancy terms that fly around for all

this stuff but they've got an income

statement the money that they make the

money that they keep and they've got a

balance sheet which makes up the

shareholder Equity of the company

so if you look at micro strategy like

you were putting it through the lens of

your personal life what you've got to

make the shift in your mind of doing is

going from what traditionally we've been

told which is focus on the income make

your income higher right get to 100,000

a year get to $200,000 a year everyone's

been kind of conditioned that income is

the metric for success and that's how

you generate wealth but that's not

necessarily always the case because

while yes that side's very important and

particularly for the early stages and

this is the same for companies but in

your personal life it's very important

to focus on that income component early

I always say for at least the first

decade you should hyperfocus on getting

that higher because that's what's going

to build the assets that end up on your

balance sheet and micro strategy was the

same they started with the bi software

business they put everything they had

into growing that for a long time it

kind of stalled out but they built a

really good business that was providing

them with a of income they just didn't

have any other ideas for what to do with

it so the shift that they made is what a

lot of people can start to make

mid-career which is you start to focus

on maximizing the assets you have on the

balance sheet and how do you use the

strength of your balance sheet to

generate wealth versus spending all your

time focusing on your salary getting a

raise cutting your expenses to increase

your take-home pay it's that shift in

mindset that is what micro strategy is

doing in the corporate world they

shifted from okay we're not going to put

all of our focus and energy into just

growing our software business they're

obviously still focused on it it helped

to drive the whole strategy early on but

what they saw was we have a remarkably

strong balance sheet we're unencumbered

we don't have a lot of debt that gives

us a lot of

flexibility so instead of trying to

maximize and only show earnings through

net income or earnings per share they're

saying how do we accumulate more assets

on the balance sheet let's use what we

have there that's a tool for us and

let's start deploying those assets more

intelligently so that we can capture

value on the other side of the equation

that most people skip over so it's very

similar to people that have a lot of

Investments where all of a sudden if

you've got those Investments focused in

the right places you can very quickly

start to get to a point where you

Eclipse your income and that's what

micro strategy is doing now they've

leveraged that power and their focus has

shift to Let's deploy these assets the

best way we know how they chose Bitcoin

for that as the asset that's the

foundation and let's start to generate

value there now they've got some other

things that are a little unique to them

obviously right because they can

interact with the corporate with the

capital markets which is where you hear

all these terms like using convertible

debt using leverage using the ATM right

they've got all these tools in their

toolbox that they can use to push this

strategy forward forward and focus on

their target which for them is building

more Bitcoin per share and for your

audience I don't know how how focused

they've been on micro strategy but

essentially what that means is you're

looking at the total number of Bitcoin

that micro strategy holds divided by the

total number of shares that could be

outstanding it includes shares that

aren't issued yet so that's the metric

that they've chosen to focus on as their

kpi and so what micro strategy is doing

is they're looking at using all the

tools in their toolbox to find the best

ways to create the most value on that

balance sheet back to their

shareholders and that's a big shift for

corporate finance because that earnings

per share metric that's a tough one to

break because that's how the markets

have have focused in particular on

growth companies for decades now it's

all about that growth trajectory in your

earnings per share but what people Miss

in that is that earnings per share it's

a great number what they forget is that

you have to constantly be growing so

that Capital that comes in that income

you made in earnings per share has to be

redeployed almost immediately it doesn't

stay with the company because they have

to continuously invest in growing the

operations of the business so that they

continue to show the market higher and

higher Revenue numbers bottom line

numbers ultimately earnings per share

numbers and if they don't hit those

metrics

they start to lose their status as a

growth company and that starts to crater

on the valuations so those are the

things that a lot of people struggle

with in the early days when they're

trying to figure out what is micro

strategy what are they doing and they're

really twisting people's minds away from

the earnings per share and they're

saying we're generating a yield as well

our yield is done in Bitcoin but the

difference with our yield versus your

earnings per share is rather than having

to redeploy that yield out to go spend

money on sales forces and building

facilities and doing

R&D the yield we capture lives on the

balance sheet indefinitely now that's

value that's captured that lives in the

financials and can continue to perform

quarter over quarter for the

shareholders so I think that's a really

big shift for the markets to digest and

I think it's going to take a little bit

of time but the attention they're

getting now people are going to start

catching on quick yeah I definitely

agree I I think you you hit a lot of

great points there uh focusing on the

focusing on increasing your income and

then decreasing expenses and it's

putting all the difference into

something that can give you basically

passive income that that's the life hack

right that that's the hack where you get

all your time back that that's something

that I've been focusing on a lot on on I

was focusing on a lot on Twitter uh over

time I transition to just posting about

Bitcoin posting a little bit about micro

strategy here and there I post I do my

my a does have a pretty decent

understanding of the the um of the

Bitcoin per share I've been explaining

it I I maybe they've been watching my

videos maybe they haven't but can you

can you explain to somebody let's say

for example if they had a choice between

buying a company that already has

a business that's operating and doing

really well like Microsoft for example

instead of Microsoft why should they buy

micro strategy why is because Microsoft

already has this business we already

know that they're going to continue to

have these customers these customers are

already working with them they provide a

product that people need and they'll

probably need for a very long time so

why should anybody go with investing in

micro strategy over Microsoft over Apple

over pretty much every other company out

there yeah well for starters to invest

in micro strategy you have to have a

foundational belief in the success of

Bitcoin long term right that's very

foundational to this investment because

that's essentially what their whole

thesis is here we're watching the

emergence of a new asset into the global

markets and we're starting to see that

penetrate into all different areas of

Our Lives we're starting to see it now

creep into politics within the US which

is a much bigger deal than people really

thought it was going to be because the

US currently holds the reserve currency

of the world so for them to start

discussing an alternative asset like

Bitcoin is a huge development that shows

just how big Bitcoin has gotten globally

so for micro strategy that has to be

your foundational belief you have to

start there if you don't believe in

Bitcoin you know sailor says there's a

trade for everybody in micro strategy

because if you love Bitcoin it's a great

trade you can go long you can buy calls

you can do all kinds of Trades there if

you hate Bitcoin and you think it's

going to fail you've got options there

as well when we look at some of these

other companies like a Microsoft make no

mistake these are valuable companies as

well right they are so ingrained in the

lives anyone who has a corporate job has

come across a million Microsoft products

right they're a very strong company

they've built themselves this Niche

within the corporate world that's going

to be very tough to break so they've got

long-term stable growth that they've

been able to achieve and they really

understand their consumers so I don't

see any of those as being bad

Investments right there's a lot of

nuance out there in investing where you

do have a lot of people that are looking

at one investment and going all in on it

I think there's still other good options

but when you're looking at a company

like Microsoft as it pertains to a

Bitcoin strategy which has been hitting

the news recently with sailor giving his

pitch to the micro strategy or to the

Microsoft board you know it's a little

bit different because when he's pitching

Microsoft he can't pitch Microsoft the

same strategy that micro strategy can

use and the reason is is because

Microsoft is a fund Mally different and

much larger business than micro strategy

was to begin with so for micro strategy

they had to invent a new product for the

markets right and that was enhanced

volatility they were taking an asset

like Bitcoin that's already volatile

putting it on their balance sheet in a

very significant way for micro strategy

strategy to work and to be deployed for

any other company you have to have a

unique setup where you've got an

unencumbered balance sheet that you can

now skew largely in favor of holding

Bitcoin and then if you add that

additional leverage to the balance sheet

you start to get the enhanced volatility

well Microsoft's a little too big for

that type of a play but what's going to

be very important for some of those

companies is they're going to have to

look at all this cash that they're

starting to hold on to and figure out

what really is the best way that we're

going to be able to deploy this Capital

to generate value for our shareholders

and traditionally that means that

they've had to just pivot if they're out

of ideas for growing which is

essentially what a lot of these

companies are admitting they start

issuing dividends they just start giving

the money back to the shareholders

because they're saying we don't have any

better ideas to generate new value for

you so what we're going to do is we're

just going to give the money back and

they'll do that either through dividends

or they'll go buy back the shares

themselves of the stock which enhances

the shares that other people are holding

so those are the traditional signs you

start to see in companies that are

reaching that you know that scale

where it's very tough for them to grow

but now they're sitting on piles of cash

and the pitfalls with cash in the US

dollar and and currencies around the

world are pretty well known right I mean

the value is eroding out of those very

quickly and it's a very fine line that

governments are running in terms of how

they're managing their inflation numbers

so if you're a company that's holding 80

to $150 billion dollar worth of cash on

your balance sheet like some of these

Giants are you're going to start to have

a decision to make you've either got to

Dividend that out and just get rid of it

because there's no value to you holding

it and sitting on these piles of cash or

you have to look at evolving the way

that your company views the world and

that's where I think a lot of these

companies are going to start focusing

now that micro strategies shown the

success of their model is they're going

to start looking at Bitcoin with a

different lens and that lens doesn't

need to be that their company has to

change the entire being of who they are

and pivot fully into a Bitcoin treasury

company and particularly a leveraged

Bitcoin treasury company but what it

might mean is that all this excess

Capital they've got a new way to deploy

it they can get into an emerging asset

that's showing the strong signs of

adoption globally not just within the US

and they can now own a piece of that

ecosystem and so if they have cash with

nothing else to do they can buy an asset

that will continue to perform for them

and when you're talking about 80 billion

getting a return on 80 billion is a very

significant number particularly if you

start keep seeing the 29% kager that

people are projecting forward if you

start seeing those types of Returns on

80 billion doll that significant

shareholder value creation and we're

reaching the point now and particularly

since we got over that hurdle of 100,000

I think bitcoin's going to start to

become undeniable to these corporations

and if you see nation states really

adopting this like we've started to with

the brics Nations and some of these

other countries like El Salvador when

you start seeing that level of adoption

and it's working itself into the Global

Financial system it becomes a safe

investment for a company to make right

you start to see the protection that's

there it's no longer that one country

can crush the value of this asset now if

the US decides they're going to go and

put out some political attack on bitcoin

you're attack another country's currency

that's a very different thing to do than

it was when Bitcoin was just off on its

own and it wasn't being acknowledged by

countries so I think for the

corporations when you're looking at

investing in them and when they're

looking at investing in something like

Bitcoin those are the types of thought

processes that they're going to have to

work through to determine what's really

the best use case here for our

shareholders for us to continue

delivering value to them if we want to

continue to grow and be a part of this

conversation and not just shift and say

we're going to run a good business until

it's no longer good anymore and then

we'll disappear like so many companies

before us they got a short window now to

make that

pivot yeah uh you made some really great

points there I made some notes on my

phone I was just looking down on my

phone uh so you said how you need to

have the fundamental understanding of

where Bitcoin is going to to first of

all just believe where micro strategy is

going if you don't understand Bitcoin

you're not going to understand micro

strategy so 99% of the world maybe 99

maybe maybe less maybe a little bit 95%

of the world has no idea where Bitcoin

is going so they're they just don't

don't get it

so you you also you also mentioned how

um micro strategy is creating a new

product and you mentioned enhanced

volatility can you explain enhanced

volatility and how the new investor

who's coming into the market and they're

trying to see what what this is they're

they're used to these digital products

they're used to these physical products

they're not used to a company coming out

and basically creating a brand new

market they're used to companies just

either um improving a market maybe

providing new products and and just

improving on a product that's already

existing I think micro strategy like you

said created a brand new product that

nobody else has and and they have this

Monopoly can you explain what you mean

by enhanced

volatility yeah absolutely and it is an

interesting discussion because what you

have to realize about what micro

strategy is doing is they're being very

methodical about how they're engineering

this right and what they're doing is

they're looking at the segments of the

capital markets that have a lot of

capital to deploy who can't come to

bitcoin and they're finding out ways to

create products that these institutions

can buy and micro strategy becomes the

loading dock for that Capital to enter

into the Bitcoin markets so what these

people need right and we're talking

about you know like hedge funds you'll

hear the words convertible Arbitrage

desk right well what those convertible

arbd Des can do is they can buy

convertible debt but that's really it

that's the whole Charter they're only

allowed to trade that so when you look

at the other corporations that have been

putting out convertible debt offerings

the volatility on their stock which is

essentially the significance of the

moves up and down right and that's an

important point up and down is very

so when we talk about volatility a

normal stock is probably going to have a

v of 20 to 30 maybe right if it's got

some volatility to it Bitcoin is usually

going to be like a 50 to 60 micro

strategy has recently been sitting at

around

110 and what that means is that Stock's

going to move significantly in both

directions well if all you can do is buy

convertible

bonds what these people need to be able

to do is do what's called trading the

Delta it's called Delta hedging

and so Delta is essentially the

sensitivity of the bond to the price

movements of the stock so if you've got

a 70 Delta that means that it's going to

move about 70% as much as the stock is

going to move and what's important about

that is they need the volatility to go

both ways so that during the course of

holding this Bond they can capture the

movements right if you think of it very

simplistically they're really just using

a sell High buyback low methodology

throughout the cycle of holding these

bonds they can do it because the bond

has a call option to it where it

essentially becomes like Equity the

higher the underlying share price goes

so what these guys are hoping for is

that they get these really strong

run-ups in the share price they can

start shorting the stock right that's

how they put their Hedges on is they

actually short the underlying Equity so

they're selling the shares that are

essentially tied to their call option as

the price goes higher and higher and

then they want that volatility to drive

it the other direction now they want it

to go down and when it does that the

bond sensitivity is lower the lower that

price goes right so the stock could keep

moving down at a rapid Pace but because

that bond has a par value it slows down

its descent and so they're going to be

able to buy back those shares close out

those short positions at the lower

prices so they're capturing that

inefficiency in the between how bonds

move and how the equity moves that's

what those guys are doing it's a more

sophisticated discussion than that right

there's a lot that goes on behind the

scenes but that's the general overview

of it but what's important is that those

institutional level Capital allocators

have a charter that only allows them to

buy convertible bonds so what Michael

sailor figured out is that capital is

never coming to bitcoin on its own right

they can't do it part of their Charter

is not buy convertible bonds or buy

Bitcoin they can buy convertible bonds

so what he started doing was taking this

Bitcoin that they've got on their

balance sheet and he's providing a

mechanism to securitize bitcoin to these

institutional investors and he's giving

them an onramp to get exposure to

bitcoin so when they're trading bonds

that are trading more volatile than

Bitcoin itself sometimes that's a whole

different level of profitability that

convertible Bond Trad

can achieve than they can do with a

stock that doesn't really move all that

often and you're seeing that in these

convertible bonds and how quickly

they're reaching their conversion prices

like I I do a tracking pretty much every

day at the end of the market close where

I'm tracking all the convertible bonds

that micro strategies issued and there's

Clauses in there where these guys can

convert those bonds into Equity well

before the maturity date it's called the

130% clause which basically means if the

stock trades 130% above the conversion

price for 20 days out of a rolling

30-day period those Bond holders can now

reach out to micro strategy and convert

into shares if they want to there's

reasons why they would or wouldn't right

A lot of it depends on how far beyond

that conversion price they are because

if they're fully shorted out the equity

position of the bond there's no more

upside for them so they might just want

to convert into the shares and reset and

hope to get into the next round of

convertible bonds but what's what's

interesting with micro strategy is all

but one right just the most recent the

2029 bonds that they just released those

are the only ones not in a countdown for

early conversion three of them are

already eligible to convert those Bond

holders can call Micro strategy at any

time and say we want shares now and the

only remaining two that are in a

countdown but can't convert should be

eligible to convert by next Wednesday so

by next Wednesday you might actually

have a position on micros strategy where

five of the six convertible bonds that

they have outstanding right now are all

eligible to convert that can clear the

entire debt off the balance sheet with

the exception of the 2029 bonds if those

Bond holders elected to convert early

it's not to say that they will but it's

a possibility and it's a very unique

possibility because some of those bonds

just got issued like three months ago so

for something that you're actually

intending early on to not be able to

achieve your conversion price for 4

years years five years six years to

achieve an early conversion trigger

within you know call it sub six months

is wild in this world right that doesn't

happen very often and what that's going

to do is it gives micro strategy the

ability to delever right it takes debt

off of their balance sheet and that

gives them the ability to go back to the

capital markets and say look at how well

our bonds performed now we're going to

issue new bonds but the terms are going

to continuously turn further in our

favor and we saw that with the most

recent offering where they got a 0%

coupon rate which means they have no

interest carrying cost on those bonds

for the entire term which is very unique

but we're starting to see it more with

the Bitcoin bonds we've seen it with

some of the Bitcoin miners as well and

if he gets that debt off the balance

sheet given the fair market value of the

Bitcoin that they hold if they're lever

targeting a leverage of 25% meaning

they'll borrow at any one time 25% of

the fair market value of all the Bitcoin

they own that means he might have a lot

of space here to go out and issue more

convertible bonds in the next next

couple months so it's going to be very

interesting to see how that all plays

out so when you say that um they short

shares with their bonds does that mean

that all of the cell pressure is already

gone it means a lot of it's gone yeah so

it all depends on what the Delta of the

bond is when it's issued right so right

away when it's issued what you'll notice

during the pricing period of the bonds

which is usually a 1 to two day period

where they're taking a volume weighted

average price of the shares during that

time period most of these convertible

arbitragers they're putting on their

initial short positions and those

initial short positions could be 60% of

the shares that are associated with that

Bond so that means before that Bond

offerings even closed 60% of of the

shares associated with it might have

already been sold right because when

they convert what they're doing is

they're receiving the shares for micro

strategy but then their Brokers just

netting out their short positions so

there's a misconception out there that

when these bonds convert that there's

going to be this immediate sell pressure

in the market because all these new

Shares are coming but that's not true

that sell pressure happened all along

the path up to where they converted by

the time they're ready to convert these

shares they're going to get rid of any

Equity risk that left so they're going

to be fully short the equity position of

the shares that they're going to get so

once they get those shares they're just

netting out two positions that equals

zero so they don't have to go sell new

shares so there's a lot of fear out

there anytime that people hear that the

bonds are going to convert but it is a

little misguided because that's not the

mechanics of how it works they've been

selling all along the path so most of

that sale pressure happens early the

last you know 40% of it might happen

over a period of a year or two

but what's interesting is as the share

price gets higher there's less and less

shares that are getting tied to these

convertible Bond offerings so as the

scale continues to ramp up we might

actually see less shares even available

to get shorted with these offerings

which could also increase the volatility

right because we have to acknowledge

that the shorting that these convertible

Bond guys do and taking off the shorts

can dampen the volatility at the

extremes right they can stop a blowoff

top because now they're going to Short

short because the Deltas climbed so much

but they'll also soften the draw Downs

because when it gets drawn down they'll

start buying back and closing out their

short positions so they do have that

impact but that's probably about 80% of

the people that are buying these bonds

are going to be those convertible

Arbitrage guys you can see it in some of

the 13fs but there's also a component of

people that are getting long only

exposure and they basically want Bitcoin

exposure with cap downside right so

you're starting to see companies like

Alliance an insurance company coming and

buying these bonds they would fall into

that long only category where they want

the upside exposure to bitcoin but they

want to cap their downside right and if

they go buy Bitcoin that can't become a

part of their collateral as a company

because regulations prevent it but

corporate bonds do count so it's kind of

this you know this this gray area that

they get to play in where they can buy

convertible bonds that are tied to the

performance of Bitcoin without actually

holding the Bitcoin and they've got the

downside protection of the par value of

those Bonds in the event that they

believe bitcoin's money good at maturity

so it it's very interesting to see the

developments here in terms of who's

buying the bonds it's always interesting

when the 13fs get released to see who's

holding on to this paper because we're

seeing a bit of a shift in the profile

of who the buyers

are I'm just trying to think through

through what you're saying here so

you're saying that um would you say that

they're basically creating synthetic

Bitcoin

kind of yeah they're creating synthetic

Bitcoin exposure for sure and then and

then when micro strategy uses the

leverage they get the upside so micro

strategy gets the upside

um so who deals with the downside if bit

let's say Okay I I want to I don't want

to put you on this SP here but I've

actually been asked this question a

bunch of times what would happen to to

to all of this if bitcoin's price I

don't think it'll happen but let's say

my bitcoin's price drops 80% what would

happen to all of this so nothing until

the maturity right so one of the

misconceptions that's also out there is

everyone's looking for this Margin Call

or liquidation price that's associated

with these bonds there isn't one it's

unsecured debt there's no liquidation

price so if the price draws down the

risk that you do have with micro

strategy is really point and time risk

right you're looking at the maturity

date of whatever the nearest bond is and

your risk is a Black Swan perfectly

aligned with the maturity of the bonds

where now micro strategy has to go

redeem for cash because that call option

has no value right the bonds were busted

so now they've got to go and redeem for

cash that's when you start to get into

the conversations about well what are

they going to do in that scenario are

they going to go and sell Bitcoin

because they've stated pretty openly

that that's not their intention they're

not intending to sell any Bitcoin but

that's that's what people are looking

for so if you look at an 80% draw down

part of it depend depends on when when

does the 80% draw Down happen and how

long is the 80% draw down sustained

right because they can probably handle

you know one maturity where the Bitcoin

price is way down but let's keep in mind

the Bitcoin price has to be way down one

metric that people can look at to start

to get themselves some comfort around

this is you can take the amount of debt

that they have outstanding divided by

the number of Bitcoin that they hold and

that's kind of your break even point

right that's where your Bitcoin would

get you out of all of your debt

completely whole and right now that

price is around

18,500 a Bitcoin something in that range

so it's a big draw down from where we

are today but then you also have to

layer on the fact that micro strategy

does employ risk management tools here

right there's a reason why only one Bond

ever matures in any given year right

they use a ladder strategy where they'll

essentially put out five to six bonds

but they'll all be in different years

and as some of these mature or not

mature but convert early you'll see them

start to roll that debt further into the

future so for instance the 2027 bonds

are coming due right now that's the

closest bond to maturity that we have

well if those early convert I don't

think they'll replace another one in

2027 that's too close so you're going to

start seeing these get pushed out

further into the future and what that's

doing is it's allowing continued time

for Bitcoin to evolve as an asset class

for the use cases to show up in the

financial markets for how corporations

or nations are going to use Bitcoin and

it's giving them the ability to Rite Out

Cycles so you might have a scenario here

where they won't have a single maturity

for the entire next Bitcoin cycle right

their closest one in a little bit here

might be the

20129 which is the end of the next

four-year Bitcoin cycle if they repeat

right you always got a caveat with that

we don't know right people are mentally

preparing for it to repeat and you might

get some draw down just because people

are anticipating so they might put some

sell pressure there but if nation states

come in and start buying we're in a

whole different conversation so micro

strategies continuing to push this out

further and further the other fear that

people get into is right now when we're

looking at why micro strategy so valued

is because they're essentially a Growth

Company it's just a non-traditional

Growth Company right because they're not

focusing on the growth of the earnings

per share that's not what they're until

fby fair value accounting comes you'll

start to see the valuation of Bitcoin

start to hit the net income but on the

operations of the bi business that's not

where that growth's happening where it's

happening is in the return the Bitcoin

yield and so people are struggling with

how do you what happens if that slows

down right if the price of Bitcoin

skyrockets and they can't accumulate as

many Bitcoin as they've been able to

accumulate particularly over the last

year and maybe even the last six weeks

right where they've accumulated huge

amounts of Bitcoin what happens then and

I think a good exercise for anyone who's

going to invest in the space to do is

you have to evaluate what you think

Bitcoin looks like in five years and 10

years and you have to determine for

yourself whether you believe there's

going to be any other use cases for

Bitcoin other than storing value and

when I look at it I go well maybe the

growth slows over the next 10 years

right maybe we don't have the same

explosive growth that we're seeing now

because this seems very intentional in

terms of front running the adoption from

some of these bigger buyers who are

buyers at any price because they're

buying with a currency they create you

don't have to be price sensitive in that

scenario but when that ultimately slows

you're balancing that with is there

going to be a way to deploy it right is

there an end state for accumulating this

much Bitcoin where you now actually have

uses for this right Beyond storing value

which is kind of the core use case

that's why people compare it to Gold so

often well my argument typically is if

this is getting adopted by corporations

it's getting ingrained in Wall Street

you've got Nations that are starting to

talk about settling trade with it right

that creates so many uses for Bitcoin

that the products for that are going to

come now right because there's going to

start to be that demand for accessing

this type of of an asset well who's

going to be one of the largest holders

in the world of this asset micro

strategy so you're looking at what are

the odds in the future that there's

going to be monetization opportunities

for this now this is I'm talking a ways

off because I don't think they're out of

runway for growing the Bitcoin yield for

quite a while they've got a pretty good

thing going right now there's still not

a lot of competition in the market for

it although it's starting to show up

because people are starting to not be

able to ignore the

performance but if you run the math on

if they could even earn a quarter

percent say they've got their 400,000

Bitcoin at a million dollars of Bitcoin

if you earn a quarter percent yield on

that in a year what does that put to

your bottom line right it's close to a

billion dollars so you know when you

start to look at that if you think that

there's a scenario where there are those

use cases you've got to evaluate that in

terms of whether this is an investment

that you're willing to hold

longterm because you've got to look

further down the road than one year two

years even five years if you're starting

to look at what assets do I want to hold

for the next two decades right what does

that look like and a lot of that is

going to be tied to the evolution of

Bitcoin globally so there are risks

right nobody should be under the

illusion that there's no risks to this

strategy right but it's largely focused

on that point in time maturity risk of

the individual bonds and they manage

that a little bit with the other tool

that they have which is the ATM and what

people seem to misunderstand about the

ATM is yes they're selling their own

equity and raising Capital with it but

what's different about that is there's

no debt beyond that so it's permanent

Capital it's Capital that they capture

immediately that they move to the

balance sheet they can lower their

leverage ratio simply by using the ATM

buying more Bitcoin which increases the

fair market value of the Bitcoin on

their balance sheet so it's a delevering

tool so a company like microad they're

not tied to one specific l average ratio

I use 25% because it's kind of what I've

seen them oscillate around but the

reality for them is they're going to be

a range they're their targets probably

20 to

40% and in a bare Market you'll start

seeing that leverage climb closer up to

40% and you might see them then

deploying the ATM to bring that leverage

ratio back down right A lot of people

think they're super levered as a company

but that's just not true right they're

probably less levered than most

corporations that you see and so 25% you

know imagine you're talking to a friend

who's just bought a house and he goes

out and takes a 25% mortgage on his

house are you looking at that friend as

financially Reckless and overly levered

no right not really so that's kind of

what you've got with micro strategy

except it's bitcoin's the asset it's not

a home right so it's it's it's a little

bit different but that's how I like to

conceptualize it so people can

understand when they're saying how risky

this is that's essentially what you're

looking at you're looking at the

leverage against the ass asset that

they're holding and they're baking in a

lot of room for flexibility here so I I

have a I have a I have I have some uh I

guess some push back on that I I don't

maybe maybe I'm understanding this wrong

but you said during a bare Market they

can go back to the ATM they can um sell

shares and buy more Bitcoin increase the

value of the Bitcoin that they have

because of course when they buy Bitcoin

the price of Bitcoin goes up wouldn't

their shares no longer I mean if Bitcoin

I think if Bitcoin dropped significantly

if Bitcoin price drops maybe 80 90% I I

don't think that's going to happen but

let's say it does yep won't the won't

the um nav premium on their

stock go down meaning that they no

longer have the same effect of let's say

for example when the end when the

premium is three times so they're able

to sell these shares that are basically

worth one Bitcoin and they're able to

they're able to buy three Bitcoin and

put it on their balance sheet so they're

they're basically like like Michael said

we're selling $1 bills for $3 when when

that nav premium drops let's say it

drops down

to I don't know during a bare Market it

could drop below

one right would you would you say I mean

I I think that they would

actually I don't know how would they how

would they how would they sell more

shares at the market to well if it goes

below one they're not going to right so

this is part of a managing on the way

down right if you're talking depth

Market I agree depths of the bare Market

no they're not going to be using the ATM

if the nav is anywhere near one right

it's got to be above one for that to

continue to be a creative if it goes

below one they might look like say they

replace a lot of these bonds with 0 per.

they might still have cash flow that

comes from the operating business in the

depths of a bare Market they might go

back to traditional debt right if

they've got strength of cash flow that

might be the tool that they go back to

but it depends on where they're at on

the risk right so say we go into a bare

Market you know next year which is

supposed to be the bull market but let's

just say hypothetically for 2026 even

let's say we go into a bare Market in

2026 and Bitcoin draws down 80% and sits

there for a year right what happens to

micro strategy well the share price goes

down for sure right that's a given if

Bitcoin goes down micro strategy is

going down as well that's just a reality

but nothing tragic happens because

there's no convertible debt maturities

in all of 2026 and if they have no

coupon payments to make they're just

waiting they're in a waiting period so

then you get to 2027 well those bonds

are most likely going to convert so

there might not even be anything in 2027

so that bitcoin price can stay down 80%

for two years in a row and nothing

happens right nothing it micro strategy

doesn't go out of business they're not

getting margin called because there's no

bank they have no covenants on this debt

so it's not like you have a debt service

coverage or a collateral requirement

govern it's all insecure

so they're just waiting so your Black

Swan event is that that happens but it

happens for six years in a row right

where they've got to redeem all of these

bonds for cash and if they can't go

borrow the cash from a bank to not sell

Bitcoin and say we're just going to

borrow right now we're going to clear

this convertible debt and then when more

favorable conditions come we'll go

reissue convertible debt and we'll clear

the bank debt the traditional debt out

right they're going to be more strategic

than people think people think that

there's just this immediate need to

immediately liquidate Bitcoin and cause

this spiraling effect right which would

be a concern if you had a big seller

like micro strategy that had no options

left but to sell all their Bitcoin into

the market right that's a bad scenario

but up until then if it happens with one

of the bond offerings or even two of the

bond offerings there's other ways that

they can engineer this to not have to

sell the Bitcoin it all depends on what

that Outlook is right if something is

fundamentally broken with Bitcoin if

there's an exploit or something that

happens that's a whole different story

right clearly but if it's just that

we're in a bare market and therefore

there's not a lot they can't use the ATM

because that premium has compressed

right now it's back down to around Net

asset value or maybe even below it we've

seen that before but if that happens

they're going to look at other ways to

do this it could be that they roll the

debt maybe if they've got cash flow they

can go issue a different fixed income

product right that's not a convertible

one and they can just offer coupon

payments for five years and they can

clear out that debt but if they can

handle the cash flowing of paying those

coupons then they've effectively rolled

that problem out four or five years

right so you have to continue with that

then go to the traditional F there's

ways around it is kind of the point that

I'm trying to make is there's a lot more

creativity out there and they have a lot

more products left that they've never

offered because they've never been in

the market conditions where they've had

to offer them yet so I I think it's a

really good exercise to go through for

people right I don't I don't discourage

discussing the be case I think it's

important if you're going to have

conviction you have to stress test it

you have to think through if you're

Michael sailor and bitcoin's now trading

at $15,000 a coin what options do you

have so you got to go back to that

toolbox and go well if people aren't

lining up for the convertible debt

because now it's not

performing and you can't use the ATM

then you've got to start getting

creative and you got to look at what

else is available to me in the capital

markets how can I leverage my

relationships with these financial

institutions and use more traditional

means of taking on debt right what can I

do to get myself out of this or at least

buy myself time for a recovery to happen

in the market and I think that's a great

exercise for anyone who's going to take

a trade and have conviction in it for

the long term you have to battle test it

so you feel comfortable with what the

risks

are what do you think micro strategy

could do with all this Bitcoin in the

future they have all this Bitcoin this

Mass massive stack of it um they could I

don't know what they're going to do

maybe they could hire the best talent

maybe they can H they can think of ways

to to build Bitcoin what are your

thoughts on

that yeah you know that one's a very

interesting question because a lot of it

depends on how the institutional

adoption happens right so you've already

got some of you know we've gone through

the battles of the lenders before right

we had a lot of Bad actors in The

Lending space and I think that that

really took a toll on that industry as

whole because we did have a lot of bad

faith actors out there and you know

myself included gives me a real Sour

spot for that but when you've got

financial institutions like caner

Fitzgerald coming into the mix and

wanting to lend against Bitcoin right

well when you start to see that happen

as regulations start to change in

traditional financial institutions like

Banks if they'll allow the value of

Bitcoin to become lendable a part of

their lending base that they can now

lend against now just shifting

custody of your Bitcoin could generate

you a yield because if you can shift

that Bitcoin over to a JP Morgan and the

value of that Bitcoin you move to them

becomes a part of that equation for how

much they can lend now they can generate

a yield on that value and that yield can

trickle down to you right and so you

start to see some of the more

traditional products start to enter the

markets with that but I'm not going to

pretend that I know what all the answers

are going to be here yet right I don't

but it's something I'm starting to spend

more time thinking about because we've

finally got a Tailwind with Bitcoin

where we've got a friendly

Administration that's entering with a

lot of pro Bitcoin people that are in

very powerful positions and when you

have that you have to start relooking at

all the regulations that have been out

there that have prevented this from

being adopted into the financial system

and so I think it's going to be start to

look far more familiar to people than

what it has traditionally because

they're going to start to get the types

of accounts and the types of products

that are laid on top of Bitcoin that

they see with their traditional

Financial arrangements with their Banks

today so I kind of look at what's the

lwh hanging fruit that's going to be out

there and I think that's kind of it

right that's the loow hanging fruit is

getting into those products but what we

could also see you know there's been a

lot of people that have been pushing for

micro strategy to do things like fund

lightning channels and try to generate

additional Bitcoin that way that could

become a possibility right we might see

some different side chains that pop up

that need liquidity provided to them and

maybe micro strategy starts to fill that

role for a lot of these maybe they're

private chains for corporate for uh

Nations to trade and they need vast

amounts of Bitcoin to be providing

liquidity on these channels so that they

can trade off on their own chain that's

not mixed in with everybody else's right

I think there's going to be a lot of

opportunities here but it's probably

going to be a couple of years here

before we start to really see the

emergence of those actual products in

the market yeah I I definitely agree

it's not going to happen overnight it's

not going it's going to take some time

would you uh do you happen to have um an

estimate for where the the the nav

premium should go I mean the way that I

see it it it's markets are forward

looking we don't know what micro

strategy is going to do in the in the

future so I don't really think there is

a way to um assign a the right premium I

don't think there is a right premium at

this point because we don't know what

they're going to do Bitcoin Prov

provides optionality so you can

literally do whatever you want with it

right you can give it away you can uh

you can start I don't know these are

things that I thought maybe they could

maybe I heard somebody say this but

maybe they could do something like an

insurance company maybe they could do

something like a Bitcoin bank I mean

what are those

Worth right well and they're kind of

becoming a Bitcoin Investment Bank at

the moment right by issuing these you

know they're securitizing the Bitcoin

that they have essentially is what

they're doing with the convertible Bond

so you might see them expand the

offerings that they have through that

product line

here um

but I I guess when I look at how do you

how are how am I going to Value micro

strategy and the premium the premium has

been a moving Target all the time and

quite frankly one of the limiting

factors to the premium is Sor himself

right because they're using these

products like the ATM and issuing the

convertible bonds out there they

actually have an impact on how high that

multiple goes I kind of look at at it as

you've got the camp that looks at the

one times mnv right those are the people

that are only looking at the value of

the Bitcoin but they're excluding the

value of the capital markets activity

right here he's essentially creating a

product playground for Wall Street

Capital which is a huge amount of

capital and that volatility is what

those firms need to generate their

returns so what you're trying to do

mentally is value what is that worth

what is it worth to generate returns

through a product like your Equity or

your bonds to billions of dollars of

capital that's starved for returns these

days right there's very few companies

that are providing a lot of returns in

the markets these days right when you go

look through the S&P 500 most of the

returns is coming from like seven of

them so they're starred for returns in

their products now you've got someone

offering them volatility right through

Bitcoin securitization into these bonds

and what you're trying to do is value

that customers view on this right you

got to get yourself out of the consumer

minds or the retail mindset where we're

all hyperfocused on the value of Bitcoin

itself right that's one piece of this

what we're trying to value is what is

institutional Capital returns Worth to

Wall Street right what's going to keep

them coming back to the product that's

going to keep giving micro strategy

these favorable terms that's going to

allow them to continue to grow the scale

of their operations and that's a very

hard thing to do right I don't think

there's a formula yet for that and we're

going to find out we find out often when

it comes into like the blackout periods

where micro strategy is not going to use

the ATM leading into things like

earnings right you might have a couple

of weeks before earnings where they're

not going to use the ATM at all and

they're not going to issue a new

convertible Bond during that period so

what you have is essentially all the

inorganic sale pressure come out of the

market right because they are the

inorganic Sals pressure right so once

that selling pressure is out of the

market you start to get a sense of how

does the market actually value this

company because now the price starts

moving in that direction so if you look

right before their last earnings it

started going straight up on a 45 degree

angle right and then they did more

convertible Bond offerings he went heavy

on the ATM right he's running through

the 21 billion dollar he's got there and

so that becomes a limiting factor on how

far that can expand so I think that that

premium is going to stare step for a

while I think that you might see it you

know it was in the threes I think

eventually he might lay off and it might

expand into the fours and that'll kind

of reset a floor where it'll bounce

between four and three now there's a lot

of people out there that think it's

going to be 10 to 20 to 30 and I'm not

going to say that that's not going to

happen I don't know but I do think that

there's going to be a range that this is

going to end up settling into eventually

as people digest this this strategy and

these products that they're offering so

I'm kind of viewing it as falling

somewhere between a a two and a five and

kind of oscillating through there

depending on what bitcoin's doing I kind

of see it as a sentiment indicator for

Bitcoin because when you get really

positive feelings on bitcoin and the

price is moving and everyone's excited

you see that multiple expand and then

the minute it shakes up it compresses

again right so I think we're going to

see it up and flow quite a bit and

trying to figure out what the right mnaf

premium is going to be that's going to

be a very difficult thing to do

yeah have you considered um whether for

let's say for example for investors of

Microsoft if Microsoft doesn't buy

Bitcoin if they just say no we're not

going to go into it what reason does

anybody have to buy Microsoft stock

anymore I mean they get the they get the

the the Legacy business but if they just

buy Bitcoin and hold it why take the

risk of investing in a company like

Microsoft I I know like the volatility

people don't like the volatility people

like the

stability do they have any other reason

to buy the stock other than maybe

feelings well I think that you've got to

look at the incentives behind individual

investors right everyone's in a very

particular spot to themselves so

something like a micro strategy might be

way too wild for someone who's in their

60s that's entering retirement and even

if they fundamentally know that the

volatility is the product so you expect

it it's tough to to stomach the swings

right I mean you see that sentiment out

there on X all the time right when this

thing swing and people go from the

highest of highs to the lowest of lows

in 10 days right it goes fast so if

you're in one of those positions where

you're looking for stability micro micro

strategy is not what you're looking for

Microsoft might be because they've got a

very stable business right that people

can understand because it's a product

that they've use that they still

probably used today they become familiar

with how micro strategy operates as a

company their guidance has gotten

refined so you believe the targets that

they're putting out they issue dividends

people like dividends right so I think

when you get to that point in your life

and you're no longer necessarily in the

wealth creation phase of life and you're

more into the wealth preservation phase

of life I think that you look at these

companies a little differently like I

look at Microsoft and I go they have

nothing to offer me right right like

right now they don't because I'm in the

wealth creation phase of my life but I

also spend a significant amount of time

analyzing business operating models

right so I I start to dig into the

fundamentals of how these things are

performing and looking for those

outsized opportunities most investors

are very passive and so if you're a very

passive investor you kind of default

back to investing in what's familiar to

you Apple makes sense to people they've

got an iPhone in their pocket they've

got a Mac computer they understand that

company they might not know anything

about the financials but they know

people are using phones and computers

still so they can be comfortable enough

with that Microsoft they know the

products they can be comfortable with

that Amazon they've got packages showing

up to their door every day they can

understand the value that's there right

so I I think there's something for

everyone out there I don't try to tell

everybody I know to buy micro strategy

all the time right because I know that

certain people can't stomach what this

product is and you have to be ready for

that it's almost hilarious now that

Bitcoins become like the safe thing to

push people into you're like look if you

don't want the volatility just buy

Bitcoin right then you'll be fine right

because to us that feels like no

volatility anymore because we've been at

this for so many years now that we've

become this has readjusted what our

normal is for volatility in the market

but we do have to acknowledge that for

99% of

investors 've not gone through that yet

right so that's not a new normal to them

it's not something that they're willing

to stomach in their own investing lives

they're not willing to watch their

Capital go down 40% in an investment

right so they are going to look for

what's comfortable to them and I don't

begrudge anybody that approach because

you have to recognize the different

situations of each individual investor

and they have to come up with the right

solution for them right the saying I

always say on X is investing is an

individual sports sport but what we're

trying to do is we're trying to make

research and due diligence a team sport

right so we're trying to put the

information out there but from that

point people have to make the

determination for themselves of what's

going to fit into their financial model

the best yeah that's that's really

really well said but what my question

was uh why wouldn't somebody just buy

Bitcoin over Microsoft Microsoft is

still pretty volatile I mean there's if

once you understand Bitcoin I mean I

guess once you understand Bitcoin that

that's the the main thing here once you

understand Bitcoin you understand that M

Bitcoin is actually less risky in my

opinion at least than Microsoft because

Microsoft has counterparties you have y

um the fact that there there could be

human error in their judgment there

could

be regulations that stop them from from

operating right yeah I think you're

right on that so going in with the

Assumption if micro strategy is adopting

Bitcoin they're just converting cash to

bitcoin if the question then is why

would you buy Microsoft over Bitcoin

well if you were going to do that you

would have to have some reason to

believe that the fundamentals of the

business is going to provide more upside

value than just the growth rate of

Bitcoin right and that's tough to do so

that's a hard thing to convince yourself

of I would have a hard time with that

right I would look at it and go I

understand Bitcoin bitcoin's enough for

me I don't see with all the things you

mentioned the counterparty risk right

you've got new products coming out all

the time from all these startup

companies that might unseat some of they

really entrenched products right that's

a risk and you have to weigh that so if

you're buying Microsoft because they're

converting cash to bitcoin you do have

to ask yourself that question right what

do I think that they can provide me in

returns beyond what Bitcoin itself is

going to provide me in returns and if

you can't come up with an answer to that

if you can't find a way where Microsoft

outperforms somehow right they've got

Bitcoin plus this other X Factor then

it's probably not the choice to make

right you should really you know sailor

said a lot of times bitcoin's kind of

becoming the hurdle rate for a lot of

people yeah so every investment that

you're making if you're a real big

believer in Bitcoin you've got to put it

through that lens of what do I think

this company brings to the table in

terms of their strategy that gives me

that potential for outsized returns

because otherwise why would I take on

those other risks into my portfolio yeah

that that's I mean that's how I see it

as well I mean I I get what you were

saying about micro strategy micro

strategy isn't for everyone I think

Bitcoin is for everyone I think everyone

should have Bitcoin I think should they

should have at least a little bit even

if they have a million Satoshi 100,000

Satoshi 5 whatever whatever they can

afford just accumulate and then that

that's the that's the key here it's

reaching that point where it's no longer

this you know internet magic money it

was made out to be years ago right

because now people are turning on their

TVs and they're seeing their favorite

people out there talking about Bitcoin

in the Main Street and it's almost every

day it's become the topic that people

love to cover and when it reaches that

level of escape velocity where it's now

becoming a normal part of daily

conversation for mainstream media you're

starting to see the inclusion of bills

making their legislature making its way

into Congress like it's a different

thing now right a lot of the risks have

started to get flattened out right there

was originally this thought that you're

just in the highly speculative area that

the US can Crush whenever they feel like

it

but now that so many countries are

starting to see the value in here and

their citizens are using it and people

are starting to realize this isn't a USA

asset this is a global asset it starts

to become a much more comfortable

investment to introduce into your

portfolio and it starts to make that

point that you might want some right

because even if all you're seeing now is

the more friendly regulations being

released you're you're not seeing the

same attacks coming from like the SEC or

all these other politicians that were

pushing these you know very negative

agendas towards Bitcoin and digital

Assets in general once you see that

environment softening for Bitcoin you

can start to build more conviction in

what the Outlook is going to look like

right a lot of those risks are starting

to fade off Bitcoin finally has its very

first Tailwind I mean it's a magical

thing that we cross

$100,000 and we basically had a decade

and a half of headwinds right everything

was going against Bitcoin for a decade

and a half and it didn't care it got

adoption anyways so yeah I think you're

right I think people should have an

allocation to bitcoin and I think as

long as you've put in the time to really

understand it and take a macro view it's

becoming a very easy thing to say yes to

for a lot of people yeah that's it

that's it um over time I think more and

more people are going to understand this

I think I think they're going to be

forced to understand it because the

medium of exchange the unit of account

the store value that they use today they

can't plan with it you can't plan with

dollarss you're forced to buy companies

you're forced to be a part-time investor

or even a full-time investor full-time

Finance um I guess financial institution

or financial financial adviser to

yourself just to make sure that you

don't go bankrupt I have this question

that I ask all of my guests uh the

question is what do you think is the

most important downside of the

downstream effect of Bitcoin over the

next 10 20 30 years how do you think

Bitcoin is going to change the world in

the big

way I think Bitcoin becomes an asset of

Peace ultimately I think that so much of

what we see in the world is driven

around monetary gain and it pushes

people to do very greedy things and I

think that Bitcoin being decoupled from

that type of a system and being an asset

that was released to the world for

everybody right there's no controller of

Bitcoin there's no active management of

the Bitcoin Supply it is truly free to

the world for everybody to use in the

way that they seem fit I think that that

is ultimately going to lead to a much

more peaceful existence for people

because people aren't going to use

Bitcoin to hold power over others right

I think it is going to open up that

layer of freedom to the world so you

know it's a little bit of an altruistic

way to look at Bitcoin I think but I

think it's kind of what the world needs

right now we've seen so much of the dark

side side of the disagreements over you

know Fiat currencies or the values of

the materials that are in the ground and

what kind of Darkness that can really

bring to the world and I think having

this free open monetary system within

Bitcoin is going to be a huge stepping

stone in changing the way that the world

operates with itself absolutely I think

that's that's that's a really great

answer I feel like um the the peace that

Bitcoin is going to provide people just

from being able to say for themselves

not having to commit Petty crimes to

feed their family I mean that's just

going to change things completely like

we have um cities like what San where is

it San Francisco is that where there's a

lot of crime are you in the states

you're in the states right I'm in the

states yep yeah San Francisco has a lot

of crime I believe yeah oh yeah it does

San Francisco New York there's there's a

lot of them right now yeah and part of

that is because people can't save they

can't save for the future they can't

plan for their fam's stability they

can't give their fam stability because

the savings that they have if especially

if they're living paycheck to paycheck

their life gets more expensive but their

paycheck doesn't increase that's exactly

the worst position to be in people in a

position of desperation right you have

to have empathy for that position a lot

of people can't understand the heads

space that you get into when you're when

someone's truly desperate and I think

you're right I think we're seeing a lot

of that right now people are getting

desperate right we just went through a

very rough time across the world that

devastated a lot of people right people

lost businesses through no fault of

their own they might have had a really

great business and they just got shut

down and I don't think there's limits

that people are willing to go to when it

comes to having to provide for your

family and I think you're right that

when you can never get ahead if you

never have a way to be able to save and

outrun the devaluation of the assets

that you do have you get put in a very

tough spot where you have to make

decisions that look terrible to other

people but in your mind at the time it's

the only thing you could do and so I

think you're right I think that this

does open up a layer for people to have

something that they can decouple from

that system that has really penalized

them for not necessarily even doing

anything wrong and I think that's going

to be a very powerful mindset shift for

a lot of people yeah it's going to

change lives I I really think even if

people don't adopt Bitcoin right now

over the next 10 years 15 years whenever

they get paid in Bitcoin whenever they

start getting paid in Bitcoin they'll be

much better off compared to somebody

who has who doesn't have that mindset or

or in a world where Bitcoin didn't exist

because their government is going to

continue stealing from them forever

without them even knowing that that's

the biggest part they they have no idea

most people have no idea that the money

that they have continues to lose value

no matter what they they don't see it

they don't understand it and if you try

to mention it to them they just wave it

away they think oh yeah it's inflation

is normal we need inflation you're being

pickpocketed by an invisible hand right

yeah you can never see it coming it's a

problem and luckily the discussions have

started opening up I think people are

starting to realize right I mean this is

why a lot of the the you know wealth

accumulation right and the Gap that's

happening that divide that's happening

in the wealth across the

world is some people learned that lesson

earlier and that is an advantage because

you really do have to understand the

devaluation of money and the mechanics

of inflation before you really

understand why people with all the money

have it all invested right you learn

that you have to own assets instead of

holding on to the cash because the

assets at least the valuations on a lot

of those is going to rise with the

devaluation of the denominator of what

they're valued in right yeah but most

people don't have that type of

background it's not something that's

typically taught in schools right if you

don't go to a university and even if you

do go to a university a lot of times

you'll never hear that discussion so

people never learn how to allocate their

own Capital right everyone's their own

personal Capital allocator yeah and

that's a big responsibility particularly

if you have people that are depending on

you to be successful in how you allocate

that capital and you have to spend the

time to learn this unfortunately you've

had to learn how to do it on your own

the beauty of the internet and what

you're putting out and what a a lot of

other people are putting out is that

that type of information in those

different thought processes that you can

hear from different people who have

started to figure these things out that

information is now getting open sourced

right it's no longer closed it's not a

secret of just a wealthy community this

is now you can come online and have open

discussions about the topic hear other

people's approaches you can figure out

what the right one is to apply to your

own life so we're getting to a better

place from an education perspective from

a sharing perspective right nobody's

gatekeeping information anymore now

we're trying to share it right and I

think bitcoin's really brought that

along this has really been a big

Community effort from it started with a

small team of people that were working

on this in the dark right and now it's a

broad discussion that's opening people

up to information about economics that

nobody was ever going to learn if these

discussions weren't happening and if we

didn't have a solution right the

solution is what causes the discussion

you need the understanding of what's

happening and then you can understand

why Bitcoin is the solution to that and

so it's a very powerful education that

gets wrapped into this asset and it's

very important for a lot of people

moving forward yeah yeah that's that's

so important and uh Ben I want to uh I

want to thank you for your time but I

want to ask you one last question here

do you have any final tips from my

audience they're generally TR to

understand micro strategy better they're

trying to understand Bitcoin better do

you have any any final tips you can

leave for them yeah I think the biggest

tip that I can give is to stay engaged

in the communities that are out there

there's evolving thinking on all these

types of Investments all the time and

there's huge groups of people doing

great work to put out their thoughts and

their strategies around this right

everything from Trading strategies to

General investment philosophy right I

think that continuous education is going

to be your best Edge in these markets

most investors don't spend the time to

learn anything Truly Deeply they go very

passive so when you do spend that time

you're going to have that edge that

everybody talks about but most people

don't really know what it means it's

that information asymmetry that you can

get so stay engaged always be willing to

learn and if you're putting Capital into

something make sure you at least spend a

little bit of time to to really

understand the foundational components

of the strategy of that company and

that'll get you a very long way yeah I

think a lot of people are just buying

into things like xrp um all these random

crap coins that have no value that are

doing nothing they're trying to replace

Bitcoin but they they I don't think they

will you have to go through the pain of

those sometimes I did I mean early on I

I got smashed on more of these altcoins

because you get excited and you just

start investing in everything right

because everyone's making all the money

and it's a painful and costly lesson to

learn so if someone's out there watching

this who hasn't learned that lesson

learn it from me I'll tell you I got

smashed a bunch of times and it

eventually brings you back to what asset

do I really understand the value

proposition of and if you're looking at

an xrp or any of these other ones and

you don't understand the value

proposition that brings and why the

world needs it it's not something you

should be in so I went full circle I'm a

Bitcoin only guy that's really all I

need I understand the big picture there

it's important enough that I'm willing

to have that be the only one that I need

to be in yeah very well said Ben I

really appreciate your time here I thank

you I thank you my audience is probably

going to find this very very useful I

think there were so many Concepts that

we touched here that I haven't touched

in my channel before can you let my

audience know where they can find you

absolutely yeah I'm pretty easy to find

I'm really only in one place I'm on X

that's where I do all my content we do

live streams where we're mostly

discussing Bitcoin in micro strategy so

you can just find me at benw Workman on

X and that's where you'll find all my

information awesome I'll uh link your

Twitter in the description below so that

my audience can find you very easily

thank you so much for your time Ben I

really really appreciate it thank you

Raj thank you for having me