Transcription
If you have a fantasy football matchup coming up this week, you are in the right place because today we are breaking down the 10 must-start players. They have to be in your lineup. Flex options, whatever it might be, get them in your lineup because they're going to help you win this week.
And let's start with somebody who I would consider an obvious start, but based on his last few weeks, JK Dobbins of the Denver Broncos. They recently acquired him this year, right? His last few weeks have been letting down some people. He's had some duds the last few games, not getting it done in the box score, which is not leading to fantasy production, which is leading to a lot of people asking me now, can I even trust JK Dobbins despite there being the buy magdon six teams on by? And my answer is yes. Here's why. Despite the bad games the last couple of weeks, like he's still averaging 75 rushing yards per game, over 500 rushing yards, is top 10 in the NFL. Like, let's look at these game logs right here. Obviously, he starts the season off hot when everybody thinks that it's going to be RJ Harvey. It wasn't. And he basically just goes for three straight weeks to start the year and he's like a top 15 running back. Oh, another 11 points, another 15 points. But the problem is four fantasy points in nine fantasy points in back-to-back games. Now, I would argue his last game of 80 yards in a game where the Broncos offense wasn't doing anything for three quarters before having 33 points in the fourth quarter and finally getting going, including JK Dobbins. I would argue that that was a quality game given all the context to have 80 total yards. He just didn't find the end zone. Overall this year, I think he's only probably had like one bad game, even when he only had 11 and a half fantasy points for you. He had over a 100 total yards, right? It's pretty astonishing what JK Dobbins is doing right now. He needs to be in your starting lineup this week, not only because of his own role and all the by-weeks, but because the biggest one, his matchup. He is a part of the Denver Broncos, who currently, according to PFF, have the number one ranked offensive line. Who is JK Dobbins facing this week? Well, JK Dobbins up. I don't know why this reset here. Let's go to it. It's refreshing all the betting lines over here on DraftKings, the proud sponsors of this here program. JK Dobbins is taking on this week the Dallas Cowboys. It is a game that is going to kick off in the 3:00 window. It is a game that's going to have a bunch of fantasy goodness projected for 50 points. It's at home for Denver. As you can see, they're three and a half point favorites. So, you're telling me that JK Dobbins is at home, doesn't have to travel, and he's going to be a favorite against the Cowboys? And if you do not know about the Dallas Cowboys defense in general, or specifically their run defense, let me just tell you, it's pretty bad. According to PFF, they rank dead last in run defense so far this season. And like depending on where you look, you can see right here. This is what a pretty good tweet from Ian Hard. It's the best offenses in the NFL this year. Number one, the Dallas Cowboys. Number two, whoever is playing the Dallas Cowboys right here. According to basically a true media stat right here, combined offensive and defensive points allowed in games. The Cowboys are up and to the right. The RA uh the Colts are up there as well. The Ravens, right? These are going to be your bad defenses and quality offenses. All the way up here are the Cowboys. What does that mean? Every game they're in, for the most part, is a shootout environment. You're seeing, oh, I don't know, Russell Wilson throw for like 500 yards in an overtime game against the Cowboys this year, and he did nothing the rest of the year and got benched for Jackson Dart. Yeah. The Cowboys defense just gives fantasy goodness to everybody facing them, including JK Dobbins this week. JK Dobbins, who by the way, still ranks number one in the NFL amongst all running backs. Yes. Including Bejian Robinson and Jonathan Taylor and Saquon Barkley and you name it. Number one in explosive play rating. He has the third most uh breakaway runs of 15 plus yards this year. Everything is shaping up to be good for JK Dobbins. Let me remind you the matchup against the Cowboys. Some recent running back performances against them. Uh Josh Jacobs had 86 rushing yards and two touchdowns. Also led the Packers with 71 yards. He had 30 fantasy points in that game. Bree Hall on a terrible Jets offense went over 100 rushing yards. Oh, let's just go to Rico Do who had 183 rushing yards, 200 total yards, and a touchdown. This past week, the Cowboys got up multiple scores on the Commanders. So, Jakori Krosky Merritt and then Jaden Daniels goes down. It was kind of just a mess of an offensive environment in general for the Commanders. But every single running back for the most part that has had their healthy quarterback and been in a neutral script or a positive script against the Cowboys this year has crushed. Make sure JK Dobbins is in your lineup. I don't care if you're loaded at running back, he needs to be in your flex spot at the bare minimum.
And a guy who could definitely be in your starting lineup this week or your flex spot, especially playing in a multiflex league and you need to just fill some spots with all the by-weeks and injuries this week. Well, let's talk about Kate Atten because he's quickly becoming I mean I know a Mecha Iabuka is on this team. He's probably going to play this week. He's still battling a hamstring injury. So like there's a world where Kate Dotton is the number one target for the Bucks at bare minimum a top two target in this offense because that's what he's basically been like the last two weeks. This past week in a game where Mike Evans gets hurt, Chris Gobin doesn't play and Achabuka was pretty limited even though he had four catches for 58 yards. Seven catches on nine targets for Kate Dotton. The game before that five catches 51 yards. He leads this team in targets. He leads this team in receptions the last two weeks. Now, that has not translated to a ton of fantasy points. You're talking about 10 fantasy points and 13 fantasy points at the tight end position. This is good enough to easily be a top 10 tight end on the week. By the way, he hasn't scored a touchdown in any of these games yet. If you're going to keep seeing a lot of targets from Baker Mayfield in this Bucks offense that can score points, you're probably going to find the end zone as well and get some red zone targets. But moving forward, this team is not going to have Mike Evans broken collarbone. Probably going to end his season at best comes back for the real life playoffs. Uh not going to have Chris Goblin. We don't even have an update on his fibula. Uh who knows if he's even going to play this season right now. Bucky Irving not going to have him. It seems like he's not going to come back until after the bye-week at best. And let's remember last year when these guys were out talking about the wide receivers and Evans. There was a stretch of time when we saw Kott and take over as a number one target. Now I get it. Achabuka wasn't on that team, but Bucky Irving was on that team and now he's injured and Amabuka is still kind of banged up from his hamstring. Now during those three games last year in the middle of the season, Kada and went out there as a number one target on this team. averaged 19.7 fantasy points per game. He was a top two fantasy tight end during the stretch, averaging 10 targets per game, 64 receiving yards per game. He had touchdowns during that stretch. He had the exact same quarterback he has now in Baker Mayfield who likes throwing to him, especially when these other veteran wide receivers on the Bucks are injured. Kada and to me is easily a top 10 tight end. He's pushing towards being a top five tight end this week. And honestly, he's approaching must-start territory. And the matchup is also pretty solid. It's going to be against the Saints who we just saw the Bears last week put up over 25 points on and have a lot of offensive success against. So, it's a good spot for Kat and who potentially be the number one target in this offense.
Next up, I want to talk about the definite number one target in his offense on the season. Maybe not last week, but on the season, and that is the rookie top 10 overall pick, wide receiver for the Panthers, Terrell McMillan. Now, he hasn't popped off in the ways that people have expected. He just hasn't put together like that one big game. In week two, he had a 100-yard game. Basically hit a 100 yards on the nose. Uh two weeks ago he had a multi-touchdown game but didn't do a bunch in terms of yardage. He hasn't put it all together just yet. But his role is phenomenal. I mean he's running 34 routes per game. Seventh best usage in the NFL in terms of his routes run. You scroll over here on a bad offense. The dude is averaging 7.6 targets per game. Top 15 in the NFL. Like the usage for a rookie who by the way, let me remind you, 24% target share is also very strong. Averaging about 12 fantasy points per game. If he's going to keep seeing nearly eight targets per game as a rookie, again, let's keep this in mind. These are his first six to seven NFL games. He has ever played in his life and he's still getting this much production. 12 fantasy points per game in a PPR format is solid. I mean, that's like one or two touchdowns away and he's had plenty of opportunities in the red zone if he had more accurate passes from being a top 20 wide receiver in fantasy. Now, the thing that changes this week is his quarterback is going to be Andy Dalton and potentially for the foreseeable future because Bryce Young has a high ankle sprain, which we've seen other quarterbacks miss. I mean, as of right now, JJ McCarthy, who knows what's going on really with that situation, if it's politics or not, but we've seen him miss four to six weeks with a high ankle sprain at the quarterback position, but we have a sample of Andy Dalton, obviously, in his past in his prime with the Bengals being able to sustain offenses. But even more recently, the past few seasons when he's had opportunities to be the quarterback for the Panthers, he's come through and sustained the wide receivers there. As recent as the beginning of last year when Deontay Johnson was still in the NFL and fantasy relevant, right, the first five games of the season with Andy Dalton last year, Deontay Johnson 15.2 fantasy points per game was a top 12 fantasy receiver, nine targets per game and 65 receiving yards per game. I mean, you can go back to previous seasons, whether it's Adam Thielen, whether it's very short stretches as well with guys like Hunter Renfro and they're getting these games of 12 or 13 fantasy points on a oneweek basis. Now, you're putting in a far superior talent in my opinion compared to those recent names I just mentioned and Ted McMillan. I think there's a lot of upside here. I mean, even Andy Dalton himself last year, weeks three through six, when he had the opportunity, he was averaging 36 pass attempts per game, completing 66% of his passes. The guy had seven touchdowns in those three games. Those are very solid numbers. Those are numbers that would probably rival towards the best games of Bryce Young's career towards the end of last year. And for what it's worth, they're going to be seven-point home favorites, right? Which is a historically great spot for offensive environments. When you're a big favorite at home, it usually leads to you throwing a lot against the Buffalo Bills coming out of their by-week. There's a world where Andy Dalton has to throw 40 plus times in this game and Tedo McMillan is coming down with 10 to 12 targets. And if that's the case, he has to be in your starting lineups this week. It's just that simple.
Now, before we get into the next player in this video, I've got a question to ask you. Are you in a fantasy league or a group chat where every week there's one guy or a couple of guys who you're just saying, "I knew that guy was going to break out. I knew that guy was going to have a big game with a bunch of yards and catches." Heck, maybe even that person is you. Well, now you have an opportunity to actually prove that you knew that was going to happen because I've teamed up with DraftKings Pick Six, the official daily fantasy sports partner of the NFL, where your game day instincts and knowing that was going to happen can actually pay off in a major way. Okay, now here's what I mean. All you have to do is pick more or less on your favorite player stats like passing yards, touchdowns, or receptions. And if you indeed know exactly who's going to go off, you can use that to your advantage and turn some of your reads and calls into some payouts. And now here's the best part. New DraftKings Pick Six customers get $50 in bonus plays when all you have to do is play $5 on your first pick set. It's really that simple. You just make your pick, see if your reads pay off, and then turn those reads into potential payouts. So, all you have to do now is download the DraftKings Pick Six app today and use code s to take advantage of those $50 in bonus picks. In partnership with DraftKings Pick Six, the crown is yours.
All right, next up, let's go back to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. We talked about their tight end, Kotten. Now, let's talk about Rashad White because look, Rashad White should seem like a very obvious, especially with all these by-weeks, like a must-start. But since he is coming off of his worst game as a starter with Bucky Irving out last week in prime time, maybe a couple of people are a little bit hesitant and they're saying, "Do I start Rashad White or this guy?" I'm here to say start Rashad White. Let's get into it. First off, we already know Rashad White when he has this type of workhorse role, he can be productive, right? In 2023 without Bucky Irving, thousand rushing yards, 64 receptions, and 550 receiving yards. I mean, that was like one of the quietest 1500-yard seasons, nine touchdowns you'll probably ever see. Then they drafted Bucky Irving and everybody forgot about it. But Rashad White that season was a top 10 fantasy running back. Yes, he was. In the last few weeks, he's been showing that he has that type of abilities because even after his stinker last week in prime time where the entire offense played from behind and just wasn't good and had those injuries midame uh to Mike Evans, right, and kind of derailed everything against the Lions in these three games now, Rashad White without Bucky Irving out there, 16.3 fantasy points per game, top 12 production on four targets per game. If you were to factor in his rushing attempts as well, he's seeing almost 20 opportunities per game. How did that break down in weeks five and week six when he was finding success? 14 carries, a couple of touchdowns, added in four receptions, so 18 opportunities there. How did that break down in week six when he was having success as well? Let's scroll to it. 17 carries, finds a touchdown in that game, adds three or more receptions, 20 opportunities. And now you factor in the injuries to Chris Godwin to obviously Jaylen McMillan who's on IR with a neck injury. Hasn't played. Who knows if he plays this year. Now Mike Evans, you still have Acha Ibuka not practicing on Wednesday, being limited on Thursday in practice, right? He's still somewhat limited as well. And you start to get to a situation where Rashad White, the running game's probably going to have to step it up a little bit, especially without Bucky Irving. Rashad White could also step it up and be a factor in the receiving game. Checkdowns, three to five catches can go a long way. It also helps that this week's matchup is going to be a very good matchup in terms of just what you're getting here against the New Orleans Saints. The Saints right now allow top 10 production to the running back position in terms of yardage. They allow six rushing touchdowns through their seven games so far this season. Everything looks pretty good there. On a whole right now they're giving up 17 fantasy points per game to opposing starting running backs. I just showed you that Rashad White is averaging over 16 fantasy points per game against even tougher competition. So now we're in a spot where I think Rashad White I wouldn't be shocked if he breaks 20 points this week. It makes him a must-start top 12 RB.
Another must-start, probably borderline top 12 RB with all the by-weeks, is going to be DeAndre Swift because man, he is stacking good week after good week after good week with the Chicago Bears. Let's start two weeks ago. 14 carries coming out of the bye-week. They're like, "Oh, is this when Kyle Manungi and all the rookies are going to get involved?" No. Manungi, five carries, 14 commanding carries for Swift. He goes over a 100 yards. Don't stop there. Led the team in receiving with two catches, 67 yards, broke that long touchdown the left sideline in week six. Okay, let's run it back in week seven. Clear workhorse usage. Now, Mungai gets more involved because they run the ball 40 times, but still the clear RB1 Swift, 19 carries, 124 yards, another touchdown in this game. Let's add a 14-yard reception as well. He goes for nearly 150 yards in this contest and a touchdown. That's now back-to-back games where Swift is going over 100 total yards, having a touchdown, being the clear priority out of the bye-week of this offense right now. It's not Roma Dunay, it's not DJ Moore, it's not anybody else in this offense since the bye-week. It's DeAndre Swift in the run game. By all accounts as well, his role remains secure. Like he started the season off 83% of the snaps because nobody else was involved in that backfield. Roshan Johnson was hurt at that time. Kungai was a seventh-round rookie they didn't trust to put out there. Now they trust Manungi a little bit more, but even given that, still seeing 60%, 53% of the snaps. This 53% of the snaps as well is a little bit skewed because late in that game with a two-score lead against the Saints, they just let Mungai close the game out. Probably would have pushed towards 55 to 60% of the snaps for Swift. Once again, we're going to see a more run-first offense in my opinion because the run game and the defense has looked better for Chicago. That just kind of f like what am I trying to say here? That just basically complements each other. I was trying to say like fills or fuels each other is maybe the word, but complements each other. If you have a good defense, it allows you to run the ball more. If you have a good run game, it keeps your defense fresh and healthy and off the field or at least keeps them a little bit more energized, right? It kills the clock. All that goes hand in hand. This week, he has a good matchup. I showed you this chart earlier in terms of best offensive environments to face the Dallas Cowboys because they put up points and they give up points. So, it leads to shootouts. Number two on this list, you can see this logo right here, the Baltimore Ravens. Because when Lamar is healthy, they put up points and their defense gives up points. That's going to be a factor this week when they face the Ravens. You can see right here, as of right now, the Ravens allowed nine rushing touchdowns on the season. You can't really see it. That's this number I'm highlighting right here. Nine rushing touchdowns on the season is tied for the third most in the league. You're getting a situation where the Ravens are actually going to be favored in this game against Chicago with Lamar Jackson expected to be back, but it's a good matchup. It's not going to be a massive favorite type situation. It's going to be close enough to where Swift should still be involved for another 15, 16, 17 touches and touchdown upside.
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Now, the next man I want to talk about is Romeo Dobs because he's gone from somebody who was like a waiver wire player to like maybe you're putting him in your flex spot to now that since the by-weeks are here and even without the by-weeks, he's become a must-start player in this Green Bay Packers offense. I don't know if you know this, but over his last three games, it's not the last three weeks because there was a by-week in there. So, over the past month of the season, he currently is averaging 17.8 fantasy points per game. That's top 10 amongst all wide receivers, by the way, during this last month. 8.3 targets per game, top 10 amongst all receivers, and over 61 receiving yards per game, top 20 amongst receivers. Romeo Dobs, again, in this offense that has a bunch of receivers, when Jaden Reed is healthy, Christian Watson should return this week, although I don't expect him to be a full go. Like, when all these guys are healthy and out there, you don't know who to start. Romeo Dubbs the last month quietly has become an alpha in Green Bay, in the red zone, downfield, on third down, whatever it is. So, last time we saw him in week seven against the Cardinals, he's been doing what he's basically been doing all year, leading the team in route run and in snaps, seeing an insane, one of the his highest of his career, 31% target share, right? Absolutely snatched the target share away from guys like Matthew Golden, Dantavian Wix, even Tucker Craft had a good game in this one, but it was Romeo Dobs leading the way with a very, very impressive 31% target share. Now, this week, he gets a very strong matchup. He gets to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers, who allow the second most receiving yards per game so far this season. They currently allow almost 260 receiving yards per game and they're allowing 10 passing touchdowns and 22 fantasy points per game to the opposing wide receiver position, top five in the NFL. For what it's worth, this is also a prime time game, which I at least have a theory that these Sunday Night Football, Monday Night Football, these prime time games when players know that every single person is watching their game and there's going to be, I don't know, 10x to 20x, who knows the amount, I don't know the actual number, just more viewership on that game, whether it is just their family or friends or for their social media followings or for their brand deals. They know a lot more people are watching those games. They show out a little bit. And when you're the number one receiver in a good Packers offense, and Jordan Love is feeling himself right now and finally healthy, I think maybe Romeo Dobs, especially in the red zone, shows out a little bit. Now, that's all anecdotal, but it's just a theory that I have. But here's here's the recent matchup that the Pittsburgh Steelers defense, not the same defense you once knew due to some injuries, due to age, just due to not drafting that well recently. Look at this. Last time out there, 16 catches, 161 yards to Jamar Chase. Almost 100 yards and and a touchdown to T. Higgins. Oh, by the way, this was a Joe Flacco being with the team for basically only a week at this point. He averages over seven yards per attempt, three touchdowns, no interceptions, 342 yards. Right? I think Jordan Love, if Matt Laflur wanted to go this route, right, Matt Laflur loves just handing the ball off to Josh Jacobs. Jacobs is a little bit banged up right now. If he wanted to go this route and allow Jordan Love to actually drop back 35 plus times, I think you could see a massive game for multiple pass catchers. Tucker Craft, maybe Matthew Golden, definitely Romeo Dobs. So, Romeo Dobs is a must-start this week.
But if you want to see my number one must-start player at every single position, completely free, well, you can check it out with the link in the description below. It'll help you set your lineups or by heading to fantasystarts.com. That is fantasystarts.com. As always, it will take you to a page that looks like this. You just enter your email and then I'll send you that number one start at every single position, the must-start at every single position for this week. I'll also send it to you for the rest of the year as well. So, you can check it out completely free. Link in the description. If you don't see it in your inbox once you sign up at fantasyfootstarts.com, just check your spam or promotional folders. We'll get that to you to help you win your matchup this week and help you win all your matchups the rest of the year. That's for you.
Next up, let's go back for a third time and talk about the Tampa Bay Buccaneers because this is how good the matchup and situation is. I want to talk about Tez Johnson here. Yes, like the 150-pound wide receiver, seventh-round pick, rookie out of Oregon. He's getting a lot of usage. This is the guy who Bo Nix's family went out there and they adopted and he was Nix's number one receiver for a certain amount of time, right? This is that whole situation. It's a very feel-good story. And Tez Johnson though, he's in the NFL now and he's producing. Now, two weeks ago when you know Chris Goblin's not playing, Amechab Buka goes down in the game. Mike Evans was still not back yet. TZ Johnson caught a 45-yard touchdown. Although he had a lot of routes run in that game. Like you see one catch 45 yards in a touchdown, you think, "Oh, it was a broken coverage. It was a weird thing." No, it was a very nice catch. He's a fast player and he was out there a lot more than you would think. He actually led his team in routes run in that game. He only ended up catching one ball. Then heading into week seven, Mike Evans returned, but he got hurt in that game. Amechabuku was highly limited. TZ Johnson has another touchdown in this game. Should have had two if Baker didn't miss him. Four catches for 58 yards. In this game, he ends up seeing nine targets. So, it was a very good game for Tez Johnson, who was second on the team, running 74% of the routes, earned a 15% target share. This is a guy who is slowly getting more usage. His usage is spiking and he's scoring touchdowns as well. If you're not familiar with TZ Johnson, this is a player who in college as a he's a seventh-round pick in the NFL right now. He's a rookie, but in college, he was highly, highly productive. You look at his final couple of seasons in college. 2023, almost 1,200 yards, 21% target share with Bo Nix. 2024, he comes back to college. Um he's playing with Dylan Gabriel, 900 yards, 23% target share as well. Every single year he's going out there and earning at least a 20% target share. The guy knows how to get open, earn targets. The problem to why he fell at the seventh round is he didn't run as fast as a 40 time as people expected and he didn't weigh in. So people were like, "Okay, this guy's probably 150 pounds, which by the way, I'm like 170, 175 pounds. I can't even imagine a guy my size having success in the NFL. I know they exist all over the place. They're freak athletes. But 20 pounds smaller than me is crazy unless you have a lot of speed." And based on these last two games, he has on in real life game speed compared to the four. And he also has another m the nice matchup that we've already mentioned against the Saints this week. The Bucks are going to be on the road as slight favorites. So I think you're going to see Baker throw at least 30 to 35 times if the Saints push them maybe 40 times. I think Taz Johnson with a mechabuka limited could be a factor this week when a bunch of teams are on by.
The next one is going to seem super obvious to you, but since he hasn't been producing the last couple of weeks without Lamar Jackson, I have to just remind you because a lot of people are asking, yes, you want to be starting uh Zay Flowers. It's pretty obvious. You see the start of the season with Zay Flowers was good with Lamar. These last couple of games, eight points, 12.2 points. Not as good without Lamar Jackson. But let's just remember the good times. Earlier this year when he was averaging 15.4 fantasy points per game and 77 receiving yards per game and he was a top 12 fantasy receiver with Lamar Jackson to start the season. That's the type of offense that we're going to get back now. We're going to get back this offense, right? That start of the year averaging 94 points their first three games or had 94 points their first three games. 31 or so points per game. Since then, two weeks here, 13 points. There was an extra game in there where they only scored three more. So, you're talking about a difference between 16 points total without Lamar this year averaging like not even seven points a game compared to 30 plus with Lamar. I think Zay Flowers, the number one option in that offense, is going to find a lot of success this week, especially in his matchup. I mean, they're at home against Chicago where you can put up points against the Chicago Bears defense. Right now, they're allowing 23 fantasy points per game to the wide receiver position and they currently have allowed uh they currently ranked bottom five in passing touchdowns allowed, meaning they're giving up a lot so far.
Next up, let's talk about the Chicago Bears. This game I think has a lot of opportunity and potential for a lot of players to get there. We talked about DeAndre Swift. We talked about Zay Flowers on the other side of this one. Let's talk about the quarterback Caleb Williams here who's coming off of by far his worst game of the season, but maybe like the best game for the offense in general. He only threw 26 times, had no touchdowns in that game. He didn't get loose on the ground like he has in a couple other games for a rushing score, right? He only had these four carries, was kneeling the ball down negative two yards. But the offense in this game, 26 rush attempts compared to or 26 pass attempts compared to 40 rush attempts. They found a way to beat the New Orleans Saints. They got up on them by multiple scores late and they just kept running the ball. 20 or so times with DeAndre Swift, 15 or so times with their seventh-round rookie Kungai. Uh Caleb Williams just didn't have to pass. But if we take out that game and we look at the first five games of the season, Caleb Williams was averaging almost 23 fantasy points per game, 236 passing yards per game. He was a borderline top five fantasy quarterback. Yes, top five averaging 23 fantasy points per game. Even after his stinker this past week of only having like four or five fantasy points, he still ranks in the top eight in fantasy point per game scoring this year. He has been very good for a fantasy from a fantasy perspective. And in general, this offense has been ascending. Some of that has to do with his rushing upside. He has two rushing scores so far this season. I mean, he he's currently averaging two red zone carries per game, which is good to see. His overall carries per game, ranked top 10 with over five carries per game at the quarterback position. So that's just giving you an extra on average, I don't know, three to four points, maybe even five points some weeks on the ground alone. So that's definitely going to help you. Now you're in a situation where he's going to come out here this week and we're going to get that matchup against the Ravens. As a six-point road underdog against the Ravens team that ranks bottom five against the pass, this is a situation where I think Caleb Williams, he's not going to throw 26 times like last week. By all accounts, you're probably seeing maybe the most pass attempts based on how it's setting up right now. Six-point favorite Lamar or six-point underdog on the road, Lamar Dubac. I think you might see a 40 pass attempt game from Caleb Williams here. And if that's the case, I think you're getting a lot of fantasy points with him. So, Caleb Williams is a top 10 quarterback this week.
And a guy who is not necessarily a top 10 running back, but I would say he is definitely a starter or at worst flex option is going to be Isaiah Pacheco because the usage keeps trending up. He just came out of a game where he looked awesome. 15 carries, 57 yards, had a touchdown, got all the red zone and goal line usage in this game because Kareem Hunt banged up his ankle in that one. He also added in this game one catch, negative three yards, but one reception as well for your PPR formats. Now this is Isaiah Pacheco who basically if you look at his usage to start the season 50% of the snaps, 58, then he starts losing usage, 53, 35, multiple running backs are getting involved, Kareem Hunt, seventh-round rookie, Bashard Smith, but these last few games, 63% of the snaps, 75% of the snaps, and this past week against the Raiders, 54% of the snaps, but that's skewed because basically all the starters were pulled in the third quarter. He was on pace once again this past week to probably play 70 plus% of the snaps again, back-to-back games. That would have been for the first time basically since the beginning of last year when was the last time that we actually saw Isaiah Pacheco healthy and looking like the real Isaiah Pacheco. And now he gets an awesome situation. He's going to be a home favorite on Monday Night Football in a game that nobody's going to want to watch on Monday Night Football. I mean, the Chiefs offense is fun to watch. So maybe that's why. But it looks like Jaylen Daniels isn't going to play. So 12 and a half point favorites at home for the Kansas City Chiefs. My oh my. This sets up perfectly for Isaiah Pacheco to find the end zone. He's currently favored actually minus 130 to find the end zone. It sets up perfectly for Isaiah Pacheco to maybe see 16 to 18 touches, crack 100 yards. The last two teams to face the Washington Commanders, the Bears, DeAndre Swift went for over 108 yards in that game on the ground, 67 in the air, almost had 200 total yards. And the Dallas Cowboys, Javonte Williams averaged six yards per carry, found the end zone, had almost 30 fantasy points, had 116 yards on the ground, added in the receiving game of reception as well. So, it's a situation where it's an awesome matchup. 13-point home favorites in an offense that is just getting to the red zone non-stop. This could be a multi-touchdown game for Isaiah Pacheco, and I wouldn't be surprised.
So, these are the players that you want to have in your starting lineup. Some of them might seem more obvious than others, but you want these guys in your starting lineup this week because they're just set up either for the perfect situation, more usage, good matchup, whatever it might be.
Now, if you want to see the players that you should try and trade away before the games on Sunday begin, well, make sure you check out this video right here. These are guys who right now you can sell them for their top peak value and try and get something more stable in return. Be sure to check that one out. I think it's going to help you a ton.