Transcription
哈o, 嚟到美股攻略嘅時間喇, Andy 哈囉,大家好,深是身體健康。
唔多謝你貴呢?我哋嘅美國攻略嘅觀眾啦,回報節呀嚇,咁雖然呢就而家穩啦,以及係誒美觀啦嚇,其實呢都有好多不確定性因素㗎嚇,即係你哋嗰邊呢,即係熱傾偈嘅話題呢,會將邊啲嘅風險啦,嚇誒支為一個比較priority嘅呢,咁,而家有官啦,咁,因為有地呢個第一,第二個呢就係當然就係阿 Trump 啦,嗰個新關嘅措施,因為就唔單止呢就引用其他 D 嘅條款嚟跟住呢有將嗰個嘅各國嘅關呢嚇,可能係由十上調去到 15 個啦。而家仲用呢一個嘅國安出個新嘅關呀咁,所以關度第二個,第 3 個當然就係 AI 啦,風暴,唔單隻遠呀殺到個韓國葉呀,一陣間講下啦,即係連金融業啦,我見大通呀,大蒙啦嚇都。我見 WSJ 呢,形容得好好象化,就話大蒙呢打住成個,佢好似話整親喎,有關節喎,但係呢都要同啲投資者開個戶會亦都要安佢哋,我哋都冇事我哋㗎嘛,唔係打擊我哋㗎嘛,咁,所以呢三樣嘢你哋呢市最大個風險啦,會係邊樣呢?
喺投資嘅角度咧,即係暫時比較多人睇得嚟睇返,宏觀個經濟嘅,即係究竟企業呀個盈離唔嘅,第二就就 AI 囉, Donald Tr,即係拎拎啲地證局嘅,咁但系因為大家都知道其實都冇得 makesense 嘅位就係話如果你真係要要同浪去打嘅話呢,有機會即係牽涉嘅呢,可能都未必嘅人必會走去 scenari 嘅出現啦咁,但係正因為,如果成件事咁複雜,咁我哋當算啦,要發生嘅時候先截停。係啦,咁但係擺番去前面個經濟大家唔係好擔心嘅。係啦,即係唯一而家見到你就咁睇數據到唔差,消費力又唔係藥,唯一係即係最近係因為線,係咁,因為喺成熟市場當中,咁佢本係最減息㗎嘛,咁佢又先加息,咁仲要係個樓市有一直活未,即係如果以全球大部份嘅成熟市場嚟講,係得澳洲嗰個樓市仲係不斷喺度 record high 緊嘅咁,誒,即係自身就即係如果歐洲自己自身就可能睇呢件 事多啲,係啦咁但係我覺得謝翻畀其他央行去睇囉,即係有嘢要留意就係 RBA 自己講到一點嘅,即係其實喺佢哋個 monetary policy 上面冇太多嘢可以再做到係啦,因為即係我想借 cial 其實影響個令到嗰個結構性係大嘅。係嘞,即係可能嗰緊啲人去繼續借消費又好,或者可能係同喺美國嗰邊就更加係因為 productiv 嗰啲情況囉,係咁係啦,咁呢一樣嘢係比較令到我覺得要借經濟突然間失束啦嚇 AI story 搞到 AI 實束啦,否則。否則,誒,其實減息空閒真係唔係咁大嘅,我自己覺得啦咁,係嗯, 呢個係喺投資界裏面反得多啲囉,去囉嗯,除咗週啦,頭先講嗰兩個 scene 就係通脹啊同埋嗰個財ույ啦,即係債務規模嗰方面點樣去好難個平衡行嘅,咁但係呢即係財政以及貨幣呢度啦嚟緊嘅走向兩局面呢,咁除日本啦,咁最後就係美國呢方面啦,咁當然中啦,我哋都關注返就係美國啦,因為你見到舊年 12 月呢即係最新公佈嗰嘅數字啦,美國通數字係反,咁之前其實都提過我哋呢今年其實都要留意返個通脹啦,而家都真係呢你好似核心又翻返去三呢個水平,即係好似過去一年呢,所謂嗰啲咩壓益通脹呀等等嘅措事啦,都好似冇做過嘢咁樣。哼。
我覺得其實,整體嚟講都會開始慢慢,我哋會見到呢一個情景嘅,因為始終,嗰美國嗰邊你就算住其實暫時啦,勞咪咁仲有經濟嗰個推動力,即係如果大家睇 GDP 嗰啲咁大家都知道,因為好多科技佢去做好多嘢啦,係啦,咁誒,房價上面嗰啲其實又唔算減得好犀利,ës咁所以即係種嘅職係我覺得除非有個突內嘅嘢發生。係喇,係突然間令到個通脹扯,即即係唔知係然正到定點呀,係啦,或者係突然間得成就真係失業喎,咁就係另外一個 story 咯,係啦,而家呢一刻其實無論大家睇緊呢個金融市場啦,或者投資者,我都覺得其實佢哋唔係太過緊張呢一邊嘅,即係唔係唔係太過緊張經濟嗰邊,雖然大家都要都會成日喺度講係啦,咁即係因為因為始終價格呀,係啦,係究竟無論喺投資一個準唔值得去買返又可,咁好多人就會去呢件時間就點解咁多呀,係啦,咁但係你擺返喺美國嗰邊我覺得大家最都係已 AI 要殺幾多嘢出嚟囉,我覺得呢個先至係重點嚟嘅,因為即係咁啱啦,即係其實我 AI 嗰邊呢,即係其實最近,我當然之後你陣間都可能會講某啲出嚟啦,但係呀啱同嗰啲誒,咁啱有啲雖然 IT 好闊嘅,係咪 IT 好闊咁,但係即係咁啱有啲人喺呢啲字頭嘅公司做呀,有啲 M 字頭嗰啲公司哦,聽過計,係喇,咁其實好好㗎,其實即係好難去睇究竟 AI 要殺好多嘢,即係殺咗好多行業呀,或者會令到突然間失業率啦,突然間大聲呀,呢啲其實大家都 debate 緊嗰個情況囉,但係等點解先至再繼續講啦。
都可以而家講,因為咁就我哋嘅朋友啦,即係我又咁啱今日啦,又同喺美國居住一個嘅網友啦咁啊,佢都 share 即係喺美國嗰邊嘅情報,咁佢咁啱呢都喺嗰班呢直附近嗰度居住呀咁,同埋都食到啲嘅朋友咁樣啦咁嗰邊呢?而且係對於佢哋分工講緊已經係做 tag 嗰啲,尤其是即係做工程師喇咁,尤其軟件工程師啦,你都已經係 AI coding 㗎可以,咁所以其實佢哋都好,即係關注啦,好擔心啦,自己究竟工呢仲唔得住呢?雖然有雞餐啫,咁所以呢就呢度其實市場呢係脆弱,但係呢你好得呀。我哋講嗰份嘅報告啦,嗰個就被即係佢自己啦嚇就個名呢叫做 2028 一個嘅全球智能嘅危機,嗰份報告之前呢其他嗰啲嘅指標,例如係個 wix 我最近都睇個 wix 都睇得幾近嚇,因為都驚個 season 度嘅效應同 Andy 做節目嗰陣過啦咁,但係星去跟住去落返一彈咁都係二啲咁上下呢個位置咁,你話即係其他例如即係我諗有啲頭姐就會睇嗰啲咩 put ratio 呀,又會睇好多咩 CNN 嗰個恐慌呀,同埋他男指數啊等等好多。其實呢從呢啲 indicator 呢唔算係好鏡,但係已經係別嗰啲嘅我哋會有一陣間講唔單止件啦金融呀付呀別都洗一餐嘅,即係因為呢個 AI 太強大呀,可以取因為啲錢係反而個 set rotation, 咁所以令到即係其實嗰個大市氣氛上有未算系話真係好驚,隻係受就受就受影響嗰啲行業呢,揸住嗰啲股份先至嗱,其實我覺得係嘅,即係首先咁講啦,即係頭先你幫呢一個情情啲或者叫 fix, 即係都會睇緊個 sentiment 嘅情況嘅咁我自己有睇因為頭先正如頭先都講喇或者之前都講我係覺得可能個係好立唔似係一個大家會諗一個可能災嘅情形,我認仲係覺得用橫行嘅一角 度多嘅係喇,即 That's why 點解可能即係如果有時有 vis 問我,我都係話用早應該 11 月左右二月啦邊條指數囉咁我都係話用住啲 strategy 先囉,係啦咁, so 花仲係行緊嘅係呀,即係仲係覺得橫行嘅,但係反而我覺得好似即係如果我睇住啲 market 上面呢,其實我淨係想講話好似唔係真係覺得即係頭先你話 AI 隊於某啲行業呀嗰啲,係咪好恐慌呢?我又唔覺,係即係我想講 market。
係啦,但係嗰種好,即係個叫做表現唔差,唔係講緊話因為啲錢要避險囉咁即係我有比較,尤其是即係頭先講嗰啲例呀係啦,咁即係呢啲呢啲名下嘅一啲波呢其實呢段時間我,其實佢哋點即個幫其其實仲手得過,即係我哋講嘅股價或者新聞嘅,係喇,啲簡單啲嚟講啦,我又唔係好見到 Bourn market 係覺得佢哋要會出現,即係唔係之前講啲 CDS 係咁標,咪應該係代表睇佢哋躍呀睇佢哋爆嘅,係呀,咁我睇住啲彎又唔係好喎,係喇咁,但係即係當然你問我而家甘咁去鬧佢哋嗰陣幫我都係得揀咗唔,但係可能嗯會歪少少去睇喺側邊嗰啲,即係可能會攞嚟做下少立啦,即系由一,我記得即係阿 Uy 都知上次一月尾我就咁啱砌緊啲嘢緊啲,係囉,其實呢大概呢一個月其實個表現都真係幾唔錯㗎,即係嗰啲,即係大家好似好驚嘅一啲科技科技估呀,係喇,即係即係有啲 surprise 喎呢度,因為而家呢,唔單止你講嗰啲 Oracle 呀,呢啲呀,過咗戲呀你知唔知呀,而家喺興香港咩呀? credit 呀嘛,尤其是就係南之本啊一半 capital 咁樣囉,即係佢個單就某一隻嘅,某幾隻嘅旗下嘅基金啦,拒絕啦投資者方面嘅要求呢,佢嗰個做法啦,就係將啲基金啦某一啲嘅資產啦平。我唔知係咪咁,但係呢套演出到然之後再做一個分派一啲嘅回報啦系畀返啲投資者做返個安,我唔我唔一個 credit 呢個嘅市場啦嚇,以來呢其實就敢睇新聞即係作為一個行外看咁樣睇新聞,久唔久都會出現事件,我去 Google 翻嘅時候啦一次唔係太遠㗎喇,嗰陣時應該係 CRE 嗰度去觸發啦,令到好似 black 我冇記錯,嚇其實都有基金啦嚟到去觸發呢個嘅誒拒絕嘅要求最後呢就係有人注知嘅嗰個呢就係週大學啦咁最後呢就冇完咗呢件事啦咁,所以其實係咪真係咁恐慌呢,我又係一週界都講緊㗎喎,然之後再擔心個 AI 嘅資金年呀問題喇。
係喇,我哋突然間所以講 AI 嘅資金年啦,你講 perfect credit 呢一樣嘢,或者我哋所講嘅,即係非銀行體系嗰啲即係金融借態啦,咁其實大名嘅,大家會拎出嚟講啦,咁其實唔都有啲細名,其實過去十幾年有時都會有啲咁上下一嘅情況出現,但係簡單啲嚟講啦嗱,你除非係真係成個資產爛咗㗎啫,係啦,否則呢,其實通常都係會唔見一個即係囉,即係或者即係呢啲 credit, 究竟會唔會死,即係個基金會唔會死,其實都係睇佢會唔會突然間有好多人要急住一起一齊呢你就好咁海底咁樣你一你失咗鬱都鬱唔到呀,根本就。其實最難係安 ์究竟啲投資者唔好一齊 redeem 呢個永遠都係最大嘅雖然你投 credit 何或者頭類似呢類型嘅基金,佢都會同你講呀你可能之前你俾三個月,我哋係啦,咁但係你其實你下嗰啲唔係咁嘅 asset 嘅時候。
係大家買一樣,即係大家都感受過升嘅時候緊市嘅時候呢你好容易去甩手㗎嘛,係喇,但係都跌嘅時候,冇人要嘅時候就好死㗎嘛,即係搵人係咁,所以誒我會咁講啦,其實 credit 我哋睇唔會睇得到咁多嘅,因為即係如果有試過做嘅就會好好體會到呀,即係如果尤其是係講緊或者 fund, 因為其實佢哋冇必要就算你肯同佢簽 ND 佢都冇必要即係要 disclose 成個 portfolio 俾你睇。係咁係啦咁跟住你只可以係透過可能去 build 個 operation 嗰個成個情況,哦你哋點樣去令到誒去 evaluate 成件事嘅,你睇呢個 project 嘅 out 係點嘅你個,即係你個ing係會點做嘅咁,其實你只可以信嗰班即係個情況,係囉,所以通常呢一出事對物係真係出因為中間係你唔同,但係係咪一定話代表而家即刻爆呢?我覺得。係而家未到國派,我覺得呢個係個別嚟嘅。係即係好似頭先你提到就算嗰啲情況即係之前嗰啲 commercial building 嗰 real estate 嗰啲,只要過到 liquidity 嗰樣嘢呢咁其實你,理理論上就唔會有好多,即係其他練鎖效應落去囉。
又點解呢?即係呢單嘢會即係市場咁重視啦,因為佢啦手頭上面都有參與到呢兩個大型嘅數據中心項目,一個就喺 opa 嗰個 ates 啦咁,令咁當然某一啲嘅好多期嘅,咁有啲,可能會同 Oracle 合作咁樣啦。咁另外呢就有 met 啦嚇 met 其下嗰個興建數據中心大傾冇筆錢呢,就係同呢一間嘢嚟到去共享 share 啊咁,因為佢將呢啲中心咁類似打成為一啲 risk 啦咁, M 嗰度就提供個回報啦,然之後呢,畀呢個嗰啲嘅投資者咁樣啦,所以都有一個嘅,即係大家關注就話嘩,係會影響嗰啲嘅?嘩會唔影響 open 尤其呢?即係大家對於佢哋啦,都極度唔信任,咁最近翻頭啦,出返嚟啦,但係大家好似唔想聽佢哋講嘢啦,你見呢係 anh 嗰啲呢係多個 open AI 嘅咁,所以,即係呢度都係想問下嗰個資金年,咁既然就係話呢度啦未去到嗰個惡劣嘅或者係出現一個骨牌性嘅效應啦,即係暫時暫時個風險唔係咁大嘅時間嘅頭呢,好啦,去到資金年呢度係咪唔係市場諗到咁 pan 呀呢?
哼,我覺得係嘅啦咁搭返你嗰個頭先我哋要睇住個情況啦,即係會唔會有骨派效應係究竟仲會唔會越嚟越多人去 redeem 啦,同埋就係去後邊嗰賺 asset 即系啦,嗰 asset 個 value 會唔會突然間係噉,係嘞,唔係講話買唔賣到啫,會唔會係咁跌啫,係啦,你總於你當呢啲嘢,你就當係你平時買樓埋樓嗰種咁樣交要面對嗰啲情況就類嘅。但好睇 sentiment 喎,因為而家呢就係佢,例如幫我今次嘅例子啦,有成個今次涉及嘅資產入面,好似有十幾個係涉及呢啲軟件咁,就喺個 sentiment 好驚呢個 AI 啊થી呀殺軟件,咁從而影響埋佢哋 val 咁所以就會令到呢啲嘅資產都講價格嘅壓力。係,呢個係可理解,我只可以講話每一樣嘢嘅週期通常去到呃,只睇會去唔會出現更加多人要去個 sector 相關嘅都一齊呢咁就會出嚟問題喇,係啦,我哋暫時唔係好見到後面啲有啲,即係大家 sentiment 唔好 discount 啦,係啦咁,我覺得呢一個已經有啲唔同嘅係喇,咁但係再加埋啦,頭先你到資金面呀,資金流嗰邊頭先係幫個 market 講咗話誒即係俾大我見到嘅就係唔太心啦嚇咁,但係而另外一邊啦即係如果大家講緊話 AI 會影響好多嘢,咁唔算好直接啦咁,但係可能其大家成日都講啲好多呀啲唔係呢只 ETF 系咁嘅樣出嚟講嘅,係啦咁但係其實我哋反而見到呢最近係開始有錢入嘩係啦,即係真係怪呀,我想。誒吃張圖呢等線我突然間唔到陣 OK 好啦,我哋唔聽啦,聽少少哈聽到哈囉哈我聽到呀聽到家定咗格嘅等可唔可以響廣告先呀?唔好意思呀,大家我哋喺廣告先。你而家睇緊嘅係。你而家睇緊嘅係你哋而家睇緊嘅係。你而家睇緊嘅係。華財經。華富財富財富財。話財。話財 話ժողով臺記得 Share 同埋 subscribe 呀。記得 Share 同 subscribe。記得同埋喇。記得、 share 同埋 Hello 大家好,嚟到禮拜三嘅呢個節目到底係講雲官經濟,定係講金句?佢即係即係財富失咋嘛,邊啲財富失多啲,邊個少啲咁樣上財富做出嚟都係冤枉嚟嘅呢冤枉嚟冤枉去啦。博睇書之外呢節目都可以做到識實有用處㗎係。咁我就 prefer 你睇書,我哋都係吹水,又嚟到 KC 博士 Yumi 星期下晝 5 點同你一齊監資金。唉都話呢邊。
成日俾人笑,頭先我係嘅問題呢就係話頭先你咪講呀呢類呢即係軟件類嘅 ETF 啦最近似乎係有啲色即象,有啲微目嘅,因為我見過兩個禮拜都喺呢個節目有分享過一張圖嘅係散戶兵,即係應該係有幾嚟啦,最長一個嘅時間嚟到去撈底囉咁我嗰陣時仲問嗰陣時家坊 ate 話,嘩咁樣用嘅嗰陣時仲係都殺到去唧嘛,後來咪有其他嗰啲嘅行業呀,例如係網絡安全呀等等都仲未完,都已經咁急嚟到去鬧底喎,真係好用喎。嗯,等等嘅冇意思嗰邊冇聲,等陣先嚇,可能幫我望一望嗰邊聲音,我呢度就係聽到你嗰邊有聲嘅,但係觀眾駁出街個觀眾出街嗰度就係冇聲。都冇聲喎,可能係我哋小嗰邊。等同埋等緊等觀眾嗰邊呀嚇,唔可以思知呀,阿你睇下呢,你個 pillano 嗰度啦, pick 出街嗰個聲音嗰度有冇問?又或者觀眾頭先其實都有講咗兩句嘅,可唔可以幫我聽下仲有冇聲?麻煩曬大家。
係啦,係啦。OK,我呢就而家啦嚇,不如趁呢個時間啦嚇,佢,唔係亦都有唔少觀眾嘞,就係留言嘅,除咗就係話牆冇聲啦咁亦都呢有觀眾啦,留言嘞就係等到 Andy 呢出不係我哋美股攻略嗰度啦咁啊,都捉大家啦,都捉 Andy 啦嚇,新年快同埋馬上發達咁樣都仍然呢,有觀眾留言啦係話聽唔到 Andy 個邊聲音嘅技咁可,能偏啦即係技術同事嗰邊啦嚇都幫手呀唔該。跟住呢就見到其他嗰啲嘅觀眾留言啦有觀眾就話咦今次呀南之本呢會唔會就係 AI 界嘅 B 啦,我哋轉頭啦都會。成日都似嘅,即係因為 SB 嗰陣時都係有,某個人喺個 expect 平台上面咁就話餵,佢呢間嘢好似唔係好掂喎,即係好似收到風咁樣咁呀,引發呢就係一啲嘅初創,嗰啲嘅中小型企業啦,都去排隊去誒,攞錢呀咁,引發一個嘅觸發點就係咁樣,咁最後呢就啦咁俾人銀行啦,無記好似係大通呀佢啦。好跟住呢,如果偏啦嘅咁都可以即係話俾我知同我講聲好唔好?佢哋而家應該係技術啦,支援中喇嚇,好跟住有觀眾啦就問呢個嘅 Google,嚇轉頭就走你呀嚇,睇我暫時收到個嘅觀眾嘅問題呢,你哋都可以而家留言啦。咁啊唔好意思,我哋呢個美股嘅節目啦,所以就主要答美股啦,噉講股嘅問題就留返朝早中午,我哋節目再答啦咁,多觀眾就係問有冇啲網絡安全相關嘅 ETF 推介。似乎呢,去到而家啦嚇,即係唔知係咪我個人切太強啦,大家留言呢都係問,因為我就自己做咗一個嘅同喺嗰度撳出嚟啦,阿蘇返去到年初到而家啦嚇,升得比較多啦 SNP 分紅,即係分行業啦嘅指數為乜嘢咁有一隻好勁呀,即係做濃業氣呀,所以令到呢農業器嗰個嘅誒類別啦都升咗三成九啦,跟住其次呢就係啲啊半體嘅設備,就系今次位啊推嗰隻 research 啦嚇,等呢堆嘅設備啦同埋等等啊都升咧三成咁樣啦。
係好似收到啦。係啦,收到啦係啦,好,應該就啦,係呀,咁呀呢,可以即係搭返大家嗰啲嘅問題喇嚇,係喇,剛才所提到呢就系軟件呀係咪真係啲散戶撈底呀呢咁因為我自己睇啲移動資金呢就,即係我哋自己有另一啲 criter 啦即係要 take 到某啲 box 跟住,其實個系統先至會自己彈出嚟,話有個異動信號喎,係喇,即係可能先你提到之前嗰幾個禮拜咁吸,但係我哋一直都冇呢個訊號出現嘅咁但係就啱啱呢個禮拜出現啦係嘞咁所以可能係有啲意思嘅,係啦,我唔敢講話係咪係咪一定影見,係喇,但係我覺得值即系好好少會咁出現啦,咁就算好似先啦 Uy 睇到啲械啊、氣械呀,即係呢啲嘅板塊,誒,其實上次嗰集就係因為我要就住個 EFOR 唔講住,因為就係其實誒,上一月嘅第 3 個禮拜就係出咗個信號,就係農阪塊係有動嘅。係啦,係啦,咁所以其實 DE 呀,或者可能大家可能會識呀,或者 MO 啦,或者農業係嗰啲 ETF, 咁誒,係呀,咁我哋都有即係呢段都開心嘅,係啦,咁所以想講嘅係咩呢?即係雖然其實頭先一開始,我哋好似講好多經濟呀 AI 很多嘅問題呀,咁但係其實我不如好似所有嘢都好似講悲觀咁呀而家派啲情緒係咪,咁但係其實好似嚟例我最近,即係都係都係叫做二兩條腿走路,即係即係即係即係如果我當股票嗰邊呢,因為其實幫嗰邊反而是開心嘅做得。呀咁反而股票嗰邊呢就腿走路,就係其實誒濃葉器係囉。咁跟住一啲就係月嘅時候都有講話要睇能源㗎嘛,咁其實版都係做得好好啦,係喇,咁呢啲亦可以我其實當有少少當係有 inf 又好或者你話局又好系啦咁誒再加埋其實佢哋應該有機會 AI 受惠嘅咁呢啲都係我會話呢有誒真係叫做 AI 風險並埋危機並全嘅時間囉,即係我覺得呢段時有啲人係去炒呢炸嘢囉,咁但係我想補充一點就係能源啦,或者有嗰啲你都仲會見到同油價可能叫做有啲幫助,但係即係農業器械呀,即係啲就有少少唔同啦,即係反而其實啲農個價格冇乜點性嘅,係喇,所以其實反而係可能似嗰個 story 咁樣就係話餵。誒雖然成個農產品嗰個 sector 未未回,即係未 recover 未未未開始好,但係其實你見佢份業的就係話開始大喇,咁至可能其實 AI 係對佢哋呢啲係將來可能會更加大嘅 adoption 囉,係啦,咁所以所以我覺得呢段時間,雖然大家聽 AI 係恐怖嘅,係啦,但係即係都喺度中間插一就話俾大家聽,其實都有機喻系喺度係啦。
即係聽落呢工裁所提到嗰個嘅版,或者 3 個啦,即係例如我都見啲化都做得唔錯㗎嘛,呢啲都仍然呢可以繼續行,但係呢個會唔會係你頭先講話,可能有機機會喺個市場做返個呀,即係我啲錢由唔想咁快離場,咁但係我咪做一個風格轉或者板塊嘅咯嚇咁呀,搵一啲稍為安全泉,我唔知會唔會開口中呢?即係會唔會 AI 到時有殺啲濃器。有機會嘅,嗱,因為如果你講到 AI, 其實因為我唔知其他人有冇睇到你原想講今日個 report 呀,即係講緊話,你遲啲大家實嘅嘛,係經濟,但係我陣間我陣間俾你講嚇,但係我補充埋少少即係有機會嘅,但係我唔知,但係頭先講話係兩條腿走路嘅,即係頭先講嗰兩個板塊呀、誒產 品呀起碼呢呢啲 Uy 做正係過去一兩個月之前已經係有訊號出嚟嘅,即係資金係啦,咁其實仲有一啲 A 受惠嘅你當際藥係嘅其實即係話畀大家聽日都係有信號啦,即係咁我費事講咁多喇,即係因為始終我要 bal 翻大家個 interest 啦,咁但係咩叫兩條女走呢另外嗰邊就係我準備緊即係會有個心態就係準備,有冇啲似誒即係呢段時間被 AI 洗嗰紮板塊裏面有冇啲嘢係吸引嘅呢係啦咁,其實個即係如果被洗禮,或者有啲股份係上咗標題嘅咁都要去望下究竟係咪代表成個板塊唔好呢,係啦,即係嗰分兩個對就係被駛你嘅版或者大家好驚嘅板塊有冇邊啲公司係好嘅,第二就係可能成個版都係洗㗎冇邊一啲公司其實可能將來係 winner 呢咁誒,會咁睇嘅喇,我舉少少禮呀。頭先你有提過 loggics 嘛,係咪咁,當然呢個係似係成個板塊法塊唔嘅,係嘞,但係呢即係例如我哋自己嗰個即係我哋嗰個系統自己選咗出嚟嘅股份呢,即係過去兩個月有選出嚟嘅就反而係一隻即係 CSS, 即係你你會當佢係都係一一個 logistic 嘅公司嚟嘅咁但係即係我講就係話其實呢啲咪係可以見到原來邊一一個版但係其實原來佢係可以嘅係啦,咁當然啦,佢自己啲業績教佢出嚟都 OK 啦,咁但係淨係我想講話誒唔當然呢個係高風險即係如果你問我有得揀我就儘量成個辦法都俾嘅,係喇,只不過咁啱即係呢段時間都一對比下,因為到越尾又準備即係我又睇下個系統上個月要選出嚟嘅嘢,有冇咗招嚟 Visa 即系中咗服㗎。係呀,係呀,係呀係啦,陣間我講緊係啦,係喇,咁但係同埋制囉嗰啲都 OK 嘅,即係制舉大名嘅就有啦,咁但係即係如果以我哋個量化平均選咗出嚟嘅一啲類似 concept 嘅就 CR 啊呢啲,咁即我係想提嘅就係呢啲就隻基嘅嘅位置囉,係啦,咁但但係我估而家大家都係會想聽多啲鬼多啲嘅時候。各唔好熟呀,嗰啲減肥嗰啲係咪唔喺度定係嗰個比會低啲㗎低嘅低嘅係啦,低位咁好啲咋你睇下 MVO 咁恐怖。
係呀,所以就唔係太關同埋佢有少少自己啲嘢嘅係喇係嘞,咁但係因為呢個就唔係啦,但係呢啲就唔係我 act 選出嚟嘅,即係係咁誒即係個 system 係咁,自己之前已影選咗出嚟嘅股份囉,對咁啱對比下呢段時間,有啲乜嘢係 AI, AI, 大家驚緊嘅風眼嘅當中,有冇啲嘢可以提到安全啲借,咁似乎你哋嗰又即係唔係話即係完全利器呢個科技嘅,即係我見都有啲就係可能會嘩,今年直鼻軌估成唔成立啦咁呀,睇下就係誒呢份嘅 report 究竟係講啲咩好簡單,但係因為我已經叫咗 Google LM 幫我整咗啲圖啦,方便呢同大家一齊梳究竟報告講啲咩,我感覺係有啲似年記得 MIT 嗰份報告,嗰陣時話 AI 嘅 adoption 係零,即係 95% 係零,但係而家突第二之間變 100 咁樣恐怖呀,咁呢好啦,咁呢個就係有關嘅報告嘅風面啦,嚇就講到講到即係一個好重大嘅危機啦,佢其實好講明自己唔係做一個預測㗎,咁佢只係話呢,佢基於即係可能係佢哋成個團隊啦咁呀齊集廣啦嚇,做一啲 brainstorming 嘅時候呢,咁睇下,從 8 嗰個視覺就好似未來戰士感,咁然之後呢,你要推係一個推嚟嘅推當到時啦,會穿一個點樣嘅 scenario, 點解出到嚟佢有點名啊盛咁大家就係攞住佢成份 report, 咦, Dash 出現過喎,咦 Visa AHP 出現過喎,跟住呢就殺落去啦嚇咁,所以呢好下一張圖啦。佢就話,因為去到 2018 年啦誒即係 AI 就提升能力好多嘅,企業就係രം咗好多唔啊,咁嚟到去炒人啦,咁所以呢令到失業率到時呢 2018 年 6 月嗰陣時呢,佢哋自己嘅推啦,會上去到 10 個啦,微算誇張我幾多會廣到話左右,咁啊從而呢就令到喇,即係 SNP 500 數喇佢呢。好得㗎喎。佢份報告係呢。2026 10 月係高位,咁呢由 2026 嘅 10 月。跌到落去嘅 6 月咁啊跌咗 38% 個,好喇咁當中啦,就誒下一張啦嚇,嗰個嘅原因啦。下一張唔該。呀。原因啦嚇,就係嚟自喺 AI 能力提升咗跟住就裁員咁呀,令到呢被裁嗰班人呢就消費能力。咁但係呢消費 top 來啦嚇受影響但係你要保住個利潤喎,咁啊加大啦去成本即係繼續裁員啦,加大呢個 AI 嘅投資啦。咁呢造成一個,無限可引成一個嘅經濟嘅衰退。好啦。今日就出現骨派性嘅效應啦,第一個當然就係 SASS, 啦,下一張唔該。沙呢度啦,秘點名呢就係隻,now surface now 啦嚇咁,我講到就係佢即係會被 AI 取代呀咁,大家都可以自己睇返啦,即係佢類似係當個財 15% 人嘅時候咁因為佢行制㗎嘛,咁咪取消翻 15% 嘅人嘅地業嘅數目咁樣囉。好啦,佢,下一個啦呢個就新嘅啦嚇,連呢一啲嘅中介平臺呀佢都幾 agree 佢講啦,就係話哦你人嘅性啊唉,我都懶得佢假嘅,佢啱啱你有個平台幫我價格喎,唉咁啱你可以幫我真係搵到我想食啲乜嘢喎,咁啊一次過就呢個平台做曬,但係話 AI 呢會取代。咁所以呢就係呢啲嘅中介質嘅特嘅平臺公司啦,都有機會呢係受影響啦。好啦,咁呀下一張呢?就係一個支付啦嚇,點解連 VMA 呀呢啲都係受影響呢就話因為嚟緊啦都會越嚟越多呢個嘅啦或者係一個零售呢,嗰啲嘅公司呢係會傾向呢就係會收穩定幣多啲,咁因為我梗係想,即係因為已經 AIA 像幫我去做嘢㗎嘛,係嘛,咁佢收錢嘅時候都唔會再想俾至 cent 手續費俾公司啦,因為到時可能會一啲 AI agent 啦,嚇誒,我收穩定幣嘅,然之後呢,佢會係更加平更加快呢方面呢,對於上卡公司嘅收入呀,或者係佢成個業務嘅成啦,都會係打擊到最後呢,其實我覺得最後先係一個反思啦,就係不過我先講咗就係被點名嘅呢啲公司啦,係咪真係咁慘烈呢,因為支付呢度呢就唔單止呢三大嘅公司啦,連金融呀,即係你見 JPM 嗰啲都股價跌嘅,咁安所提到啦嚇 JPM CEO 大啦,打住石高呢,即係聽我聽嚇 WSJ 講啦,打住高都要同啲投資者講話冇試㗎喎,我哋其實係間公司用 AI 㗎嘛,唔係 AI 用我哋㗎嘛,所以對於我哋係唔受就受影響個喎,所我哋係點樣去搵呢啲呢兩文嘅公司咧。
嗱,首先我哋要我話啦,我首先我自己會去理解,究竟而家 AX 出嚟有幾多嘢係真係好似頭先你講到嗰啲 report 提到嘅會係咁樣發生呢嗱我自己覺得 N 呀 long run 當然好多即係有個轉變,一定有轉變,個轉變係而家我哋講緊大家講緊嘅點係講緊幾年後已經轉變大咗嘅世界係原來係嗰個變化中嘅過程啦,變化中嘅過程我反而覺得係最大個 bate 但係有一樣嘢應該幾肯定嘅,就係人類工作係真係會縮減嘅白都會嘅,即係都會縮囉唔好話冇曬一定唔會冇曬,係嘞咁你話會唔會鑽型呀嗰啲就係話喇咁,但係我集中係個痛點嘅時間先囉,即係呢個我覺得係嗱,可能誒可能係金融即因為嗰次咁啱同頭先節目一講,我話同嗰啲,即係嗰啲大嘅科屋企嘅人咁傾開偈,其實都有另外啲金融人做嗰邊喺度傾偈,大家就會覺得,嗱,我譬如咁講就大家覺得未必可以取到,因為而家可能有好多 issue 呀,有好多嘅情況令到你就算 A 幾呢,你過唔到嘅其實呢件事咁講啦,即係我會覺得係有辦法過即係啲嘅問題啦咁,第二我會話點解我覺係會縮減到人手呢咁,因為其實你到最後就可能係上面某一咋人以前呢喺公司裏面你做 IT 呢 develop 咗啲嘢啲員工去用。咁但係其實個係唔需要飛嘅 OK, 咁係個員工出咗市,跟住可能俾人俾人將軍嘅時候咁,其實都係嗰個員工或者個 rap 最多都係可能系連埋個頭都要一齊飛嘅啫咁,但係今時今日其實唔同嘅,係個 develop 都要一齊飛嘅係啦,咁所以調翻轉喇就反而係可能下面個 ra 嘅角色會開始模糊啦,反而係大家哦做 developer, 要咩 fa 啦,做面做嗰啲角度,即係做簽名,有咩事出事就係你即係甚至可能你係要變嘅,你係即係可能會係呢個情景囉,咁所以係會有呢啲咁樣嘅嘅,我話個架構變化咯,係啦咁但係我即係我又會覺得又唔係一個唯一個,即去中介化呢個都幾肯定,咁多年大家點想去中介化,就算頭先講嘅平台,其實平台都係以前去中介化嘅其中一個產物嚟嘅啫,係啦,咁即係以前我記得,即係再早年啲買機票你都係要打電話去啲旅遊即係旅行社問,餵我機票可唔可以咁咁,咁但係而家可能有人 AIG 人之後,係佢幫你原價格,只不過就直接去咗個航空公司佢去做呢件事囉,咁某一啲平係會冇咗嘅,但係例如 uber 嗰啲,我未係好諗到係咪真係可以完全取替到,除非你話誒,我唔知講呢個 connection 係點樣去搏落去你個 car 係點呢,即係究竟你個 po 係點呢?即係呢件我明係好囖,我亦肯定一點就係大家如果有好多借貸呀,即係即係會喺個動市場係會畀呢個痛期係會有啲人會有機會係通嘅咁,所以其實要小心嘅係咩呢即係即係如果要買樓或者 Whatever 要買咩嘢,你係成緊嘅,你要諗清楚如果分工或者你個 care 系因為突然間 AI 未來呢 18 個月 24 個月,取替咗你嘅,究竟有冇一個 repayment 嘅能力呢,就好似頭先吖唔好話定係美國,就算啲人做大公司,有雞餐嘅個雞餐捱到幾耐咧個 repayment 係喇,咁呢一個反而係我先,即係我,我會去諗我覺得將來個世界係未好嘅,因為即係同埋如果你覺得將來個世界唔好,你係唔會投資係啦咁係啦咁,你係會覺得個世界係未好,但係個問題就係出現就係你中間呢呃即系震痛期嘅時候你點樣解決呢啲金融,其實金融危機,我反而係冇話,真係有好大個金融機,即係唔係大家借貸上面點樣還款啦,呢一個係反而係可能個人嘅危機多啲。係啦咁當然啦即系即係因為自己做呢項行就會更加覺得,唉咁其實系真,我都講笑咁講如果你而家借錢買樓嘅,你可能就算員原本而家冇冇投資嘅,你都要開始投資攞嚟對沖你突然間還唔到款,系啊即即係呢個咁嘅情景囉,但係頭你頭先或者呢份提到嘅話,係咪用 stable 替曬 master 嗰啲呢個位,我有保留嘅,呢個係,即係我覺得 2 個保留位呢一就係咁其實呢一啲即係信用卡公司又好點,其其實佢哋都已經開始,即有開始攞緊呢 ure, 咁其實我覺得佢哋根本已經緊,係喇,揸在可能係個 margin 會縮囉,係啦,咁或者可能係誒細公司會開始囖,反而我係覺得以前傳統啲 bank 呀,即係好自己一個定位,或者冇一個角度嗰啲公司呢反而就可能可能喺呢啲支付,或者叫做 financial 上面咧,係會係會被消失喇,有機會係喇咁。係喇,咁應該 so far 係呢段時間我都係咁樣諗緊嘅咁,但係但係有好多人就會覺得即係如果同嗰啲,頭先講話同嗰啲 IT 傾咧,佢哋會覺得如果你係負責去砌嗰啲呢係唔有問題嘅係喇,即係佢唔覺得即係就算話咩嗰啲世界就代表佢哋好識得去諗佢點樣去佢去,係啦咁呢啲呢隻可以講暫時係有少少模糊,但係有啲位係肯定嘅,就係大家會聽到多啲人係好緊張工囉係所以呢最後即係呢一 part 啦,當然我哋聽到個 message 係暫時掃支付呢度可能就有機會係兩問嚟嘅咁但係可能有機機會就畀啦嚇,不過我都觀察下嗰個 AI 嗰個嘅發展嘅進程轉頭都會我見有其他觀眾啦,剛才提到嘅 security 嗰啲嘅轉頭都會問下,因為喺呢份嘅報告呢,既然如果係講到,即係大家係咁重呢份報咁佢最後係講到經濟衰退,即係直情講嗯啲人使唔起錢呀,係連啲樓都冇能力去住啦嚇。係喇。係冇錯咁唔係去到零百年次案嘅咁,而係真係佢哋一個結構性嘅問題真係冇錢冇到呢,就係連住屋方面都有個問題啦,拖欠率有上升喇,最後就畀人收埋樓啦嚇,咁啊到個樓市又股市又崩潰啦,如果真係咁嘅時候呢咁到理想啦,其他係非 AI 啲股份都係要啲嘅。即係都係要係係啦,咁呀最後呢,我諗佢嗰個反思呢其實頭先都有睇到就系人啦即係喺呢個 AI 嘅發展嗰度啦,究竟係點樣去誒為自己,即係無論係金融市場又好,或者係人自己嗰個嘅價值啦重新咗個定位,咁你頭先睇到啦咁,可能有啲嗯嘅技術呢係未,或者你係個腦頭怒啦未必 AI 取到咁,咁佢咪去啲高價值嘅活動呢?例如可能係做啲 AI 嘅 super 呀,或者係負責去掟嘅咁咪唔係 AI 你哋去執我執行咁樣囉。執行動呢一拍 part 嘅白領啦,都有機會係被待㗎,咁另外一個就係佢咪提到嘅。反而金絲咗還活著呢佢最即係喺成篇嘅報告最尾嗰度呢?咁我就未到思如果即我成日都話韓國金絲嘛,即係佢咩產都有咁,所以呢聞問到啲咩糯味嘅話,即係金絲長就會嘩嘩咁㗎嘛。係點樣嘅呢度?定係唔使理佢。我覺得就即係大家即係我覺得有少少我哋講嘅嘢,唔需要諗到咁悲觀嘅,係即係因為總有方法去,即係我會覺得首先人類會繼續喺度啦。咁反而調翻轉啦,大家其實都係講兩點啦,我覺得大家有時好驚經濟或者公起樓 OK, 咁但係其實可能我哋而家等緊嘅或者可能突然間可能會好唔係我唔知唔會係未來呢調翻轉喇,呢 12 個月,會唔會係世界好多好多政府要要面對嘅一個問題就係究竟政府可以做啲乜嘢呢?理論上佢哋唔會減埋個 AI adoption 嘅,但係究竟佢哋會有冇啲咩措施係可以去幫到呢件事嘅人呢?係喇,當然我唔覺得可以講到好似 El 嗰種咩 income, 即係嗰種好 utopia 嘅世界嚟嘅,係喇咁我唔知點解去做,好唔使做,但係又有高嘅收入誒,好共唔好話係咪共係囉咁係啦咁就可能我諗嘅其中一個方法就係話可能啲政府對於啲 AI 嘅公司可能會另外真係有 AI 嘅稅囉,係啦咁唯有我哋喺賺得,因為嚟緊嗰邊應該會即係嗰啲 winners 呀,比起以前我哋想講嘅 take all 可能嚟得更加明顯嘅咁嗰度,咁佢哋唔會有收多啲稅咁跟住佢喺個一般嘅 society 嘅 benefits 裏面去派多啲出嚟咯,係啦咁呢個呢呢個係睇應該係比較理想快嘅情況嚟嘅,係啦咁但係都係嗰句咯,即係我反我係覺得從以前我哋嘅講法一樣 AI 月我哋出嚟其實我哋應該要越嚟越投資嘅即係當然頭先講話好多我,我會咁睇啦,即係其實就算最近都 show 咗出嚟一啲而家俾人殺緊嘅股份誒佢哋分誒紅王綠啊嘛,即係邊啲公司安全啲公司誒大家其實都有少少嘅,但係我覺得揀一定係冇乜互何嗰啲一定係會被乜,即係好大機會啦,即係你話原本淨係同你個 calend 就係 schedule 點樣去同你啲同你啲 staff 去安排嘅嗰啲真係好容易決呀係啦咁呀,但係即係例好似 m 呢啲,譬如我知道成搭就係呀呢啲我覺得就誒唔佢唔應該會出事囉,尤其是我覺得呢 2 個禮拜有最誇張嘅諗法,我自己睇返轉頭就係原本醫上次講就係話大概三年左右會會有好好明顯嘅震痛呀嘛咁,但係跟住咪個嗰度咪喺度講話 18 個月白領就會感受到啦。咁呢段時間當然係無論 op AI 呀大家覺得餵好喎你哋咁但係我覺會唔會無啦啦講啲咁樣嘅嘢出嚟嘅,係喇,咁同埋佢而家有講 Windows 會即係變成一個好似 AI ag 嘅 platform 。其實我覺得而家好多人未感受到 AI 嗰個變化係因為而家都仲係叫做搵佢幫我哋去做啲嘢,但係個取替性嗰嗰種感覺要出嚟呢係要掂過或者見過 AIA gen 點樣可以好好 onomo 去做好多嘢嗰下呢就會有大啲感受喇,係嘞咁但係我哋唔好講咁遠啦,即係講翻投資就算啦。就好似住你 i 嗰度然之後佢用呢一種嘅感受呢一種嘅轉變你喺動聯網之前邊用嘅?
係呀,同埋我補充多一點咯,即係如果我諗返轉臺原來一年前有嘅人同我講過佢嗰個有個人喺美國,即係做嗰啲嗰啲呀嗰啲公司啦咁後期製作嗰啲啦。我即係年幾前,即係十你講當啦,18 個月前嘅時,佢哋間公司已經係講緊 OK, 誒係 assign 俾成個 HR Department 係教距地員工去點樣去一,點樣去幫佢哋去?18 個月前嘅事呀,當時我聽我都係覺得唔係好大感覺嘅,但係我到今日去回想一年前嘅 conversation 講緊係18 個月前嘅事呢。其實嚟緊嚟緊嗰種感受可能會好大㗎。所以其實咧,之前 Amazon, 即係 Andy Jessie 咪話啦,即係因為佢哋之前係都仲有唔少員工呀,嗰時都比出警告上嘅咁,就話一同我參加嗰啲點樣 AI workshop, 即係學校用 AI 一睇係唔走啦咁樣,所以其實系呢度就係啦,你起碼都要掂呀,你要阪佢嘅報告都提到,㗎嘛我哋而家都仲係 2026 年嘅 2 月份都有時間呢,你對檢視嘅投資組合嗱,所以頭先就睇到啦嚇支付啦,另外就當有觀眾都係問網絡安全啦,佢算唔算係文除咗呢份嘅報告啦,最近一個好強勁嘅繪子呢首就係嚟自Nopic響。留意返今晚啦,可能聽朝啦。就有個活動呀。嘩呢單嘢佢我望返佢入面啦。對於呢個 Virtual Events 都有啲乜嘢嘅 description 啦就講返佢最近咪出咗好多,然之後咪好多呢新嘅功能解鎖呀,頭先我哋可能一陣間會講過冇安全呀,咁會做個細啲嘅介紹,應該我見呢佢話會者啦嚇都有唔少呀甚至有 CEO 喺度嘅嚇咁,所以呢都係點樣推廣啲企業嚟到去應用啦咁誒,咁冇安全呢度呢誒,又算唔算係兩咧,其實我覺得大嗰啲其實應該會嚟嘅,係喇,個原因係咩呢?即你理論上會覺 AI 會會會會令到呢件事冇咗,調翻轉而家突然間俾人殺出嚟就係話餵,我捉到你有錯處咁樣,係咪咁即係話調翻轉,其實呢件事係應該係會幫到佢哋會後個囉,即係就會 enhance 佢哋啲嘢囉咁,我覺得理論上一件好事嚟嘅即會會係淨其事啦嗱,我唔係好識呢啲啦。即係話咩即係而家有好多呀,又靠呀咁可能之後好多食個問題㗎嘛,係咪咁,所以我覺得呢一個辦法唔應該會俾失嘅,係喇,即係 cyb security, 係囉,但係個問題就係大部分唔可以叫平囉,係啦,即係即係而家呢啲即係即嗰啲都一直都仲系貴,即係想回咗咁多,咁誒,即係可能要等一等囉,即係 PW 都係會再等一等先囉。
係呀,其實你話我例如微院啦佢自己都有,即係可能企業套餐呢,都有買一啲網絡安全但係以我所知啲企業呢都會去 subscribe 啦其他嗰啲嘅網絡安全嗰啲嘅服務啦,因為你每間公司或者每個行業呢嗰個需求啦或者需要啦都唔同,咁誒 cyber Security 係難,因為佢哋每一間公司局強項都都唔同,但係我就係見呢兩大龍頭啦,無論係即係 Pato 啦,同埋喺呢個 cost right 啦,最近都做咗唔少一啲嘅並嘅動唔作,喺買呢針對返 AI 發展所帶嚟嗰個 AI 嘅 cyber security 需求嘅嚟㗎,我咁我諗,其實呢度好似場又低估咗佢哋。係,所以 DIA 解呢個都係其中一個會去睇嘅你就算你而家即係 IGV 應該第五大持係隻 PER 係啦,第二萬 Microsoft 第一,係呀係咁誒但係即係我想講多點啦,即係好多時候大家而家邊個 lm 最強呀,或者嘢 AI最強,其實我覺將來唔係講話大家一定要最強嘅,即係我舉個例嘅即係頭先咪講咗咩 compliance 嘅故事嘅。咁其實大家話你唔會再到律師或者唔會唔會做到啲咩呢條因為你有機會錯你㗎你去認證。OK 當然後都係一係人認證嘅不過我先強調咗人本係應該少咗嘅咁,但係中間嘅過程我自己覺得呢即係如果我自己去間公司就會去 OK 呢一個 department 嘅呢一件 事起碼有良 A 嘅即係一個負責去囉。係啦,咁可能個甚麼 3 個咁樣去做 3 究竟中間嘅過程跟住最尾先至係搵人去即簽名出得街咁樣,係啦,即係即係類似咁樣囉,所以我又覺唔係咁,隻不過而家呢刻頭市場講真啦,即係呢個都係一個明顯嘅 uncertainty, 我覺得比起話咩經濟。因為呢件事,係囉,可能俾更加更加直接或者一間接咯,係啦,咁但係變市場上面係鍾意去拎啲戲碼大家計到數嘅公司係啦,咁即係就算頭先講過即係一啲唔係 AI 嘅嘅公司,其實反而呢段時間係我哋都幾估唔到嘅,即係你咩啊?即係嗰啲朱古朱古力呀呢啲公司。係 HSY 都係癲咗。係啦,因為其實點應該會突然間拎出嚟講就係你見我頭先講咗講咗少少係個倉位,佢自己個 systematics 選咗出嚟嘅,其實都係選咗兩個月幾嚟㗎,係呀,所以所以就係想講話我覺得係呢段時間大家係睇緊要搵啲到數嘅嘢囉,所以可能呢一刻我明嘅 telling 喺我哋頭先嗰啲 AI 嘅故事裏面係唔嘅,但係我覺得我有時會自己啦,可能會有吸,但係你咪當好似嗰陣時咪都好多啲高增長呀,即係呢啲科技估呀,但係以即係一年嘅時候呀,咁就好多人都講呢啲故事,即係包括我自己嗰時都經歷過會自己當 12 年嘅時候係要就要回㗎。咁誒,嗰啲係啲嘅嘢咯,係嘞,咁如果你係 OK 長線嘅咁,我覺得可以開始囖,但係誒如果係短啲嘅,搵啲誒市場上面覺得,可能冇咁 story tell 嘅下故事到下數值嘅全係會升嘅。咁可能呢啲就誒,會吸引啲囉。其實 OK 嘅,因為每一年呢,都有啲鬼或者幾盆冷水個投資嘅情緒唔好去到過熱呀,即係所謂嘅污籍啦嚇,即係唔係好似即所大家會經常拎之前.com咁樣出到嚟咁嗰陣時就係阿豬久都醜都炒曬上去㗎嘛咁,我覺得有少少令到個投資冷靜呢都係一個健康真係高㗎嘛咁呀,殺下佢咁樣囉,好時間有限答啊我答力兩條觀眾嘅之前,你頭先所睇到嗰啲嘅例如啦,又或者係 HSY 其實呢啲都比較 defensive 添,比較防型啲嘅公司嚟㗎嘛,包括埋所睇到農業呀呢啲呀,咁係短線呢定係都屬於中場,即係個部署,我係點樣去做嗰個嘅時間呢誒,其實我呢咋都係當係 ta 嘅,即係相對短線啲嘅嘢嚟嘅,係喇咁,但系所謂嘅短線就即係 so 花就係咪兩個零月啦大概係啦即系,暫時我噉樣睇住先囉,咁因為我哋講過嘅名嚟例如啲呀嗰啲其實短期裏面個股都唔平嘅係啦係啦咁,但係相對相對呀嚇即係如果我要夾硬為咗個 AI story 去去追到好多光添嘅話,我又覺得又好,我我咁講,我唔想揀迫自己佢一定要搵啲好 AI 要好直接 benefits 嘅,即係好直接 benefits 係光纖嗰啲,係啦,即係你咪等嗰啲你可以繼誒覺得個 indicator 我會 remind 自己就係究竟幾食嘅 stor 囉。係啦咁,咁同樣到你啦即係能源呀。農產品嗰啲我暫時我覺得我希望啦希望可以繼續可以繼續揸住佢哋去到第二季去睇下個 inf 係咪 pickup 嘅,因為呢個係我其中一個原意嚟㗎嘛,係喇,但係如果星得太多嘅時候咁,我都會有嘅香呢嘅。
好呀,咁時間非常之有下咁有觀眾就係問 Google 啦 43 入咗咁呀,其實呢,佢出果個 100 年嘅債券之後啦,咁啊市場又唔知點解有驚佢啲錢嘅問題喇咁加上佢。唔係正面嘅咩呢件事。好多。唔係呀佢哋好得意㗎,覺得啲力唔使唔使投資㗎嘛,所以佢哋都唔鍾意呢個 AI cap 大幅嚟到佢增長。咁我法而家就三百十幾啦,咁呀,觀眾就想問嗰個線囉好,係咪?誒,講牆線,我覺得唔擔心嘅,我係唯一個驚佢個短線呢?因為佢失咗上年,我哋應該 150 幾蚊買上嚟嗰個星鬼失咗嘅,咁你短線裏面仲有少少做緊好似投肩頂嘅油,咁所以大概 290 幾蚊呢係要嘅,咁因為始終今日啦,即係自己唔知 A kr 晚會即係可一個 storage 點落嚟,咁有少少呢啲 pattern 都要都要小心嘅,即係好似其實嗰陣時 500 幾打頂,即係覺得初都唔順仲喺呢個 pattern 可能唔啱嘅,係咪啦咁,所以有時呢啲位都要,我覺得可能睇埋睇下 Nvidia 出業即係究竟幫唔幫到手嗰啲氣氛我總今日唔會講添,因為呢其實我未出業的係唔會講嘅,不過我係會睇究竟佢出業即幫唔幫到下手啫?雖然佢嘅多啲係我哋韓家係咪唔在講 NVIDIA? 當然我知道牌都比 Nop 啊呢個嘅誒啱啱嗰份報告啦,已經係搶走咗大家嘅焦點㗎喇,係咪唔再講 NVIA 㗎啦?
呃,其實講咗真,即系冇乜人講啦,係呀,但係反而係真係會想根會唔會即係即係佢哋就會好,而家嘢最印象深刻就係嘛,即係我哋講呢啲,係喇,大家就其實係咪要狙跌喎?有業吖,我見到即係 expect 上面都比較多人講呢就係,哇有 1200 萬嘅 call 呢入咗場喺二零呢個位置呀,即係咁用,咁我哋都唔想太多人講,即係唔好啦業績之前炒啦。係呀,同埋咁講啦,即係如果我記得有一一次呢,即係幾個月前我咪講過,睇嗰啲 structural 嘅,即係好多呢啲我哋成日呢啲大名呀咁,嗰陣時定唔係講過例如佢係即跌穿某一個水平,我費事再睇喇,咁就應該隔多牌就會開始被㗎喇,咁所以其實即係即係咁講啦就算可能有其實性反,就算唔好話淨係任何呢啲跌咗好多公司,就算第一下我係睇當係彈囉,我唔係話即刻當囉係囉。嗯,好一條問題呢,就係有觀眾文啦嚇即係南美嘅店商呀冇咁泡唔好買呢?其實,其實有時我喺度諗究竟南美即係呢段時間因為可能巴西嗰啲係咁鬱啦咁,但係反佢而家大家係會驚 AI 係咪又會取好多嘢,我覺得係即係即係受呢個氣氛影響啦即係如果係睇爛尾嘅即係可能一係啲搵啲即係個別嘅來巴西呀,甚至係可能一啲種小型估呀咁樣去駁佢 L 都係嗰邊嗰種好過,系嘞,即係即係如果你純粹係要攞嗰個地方嘅 exposures, 呢一刻可能係傳統嘅即係呢即係地區性嘅 ETF 可能會吸引個專登去買啲,我哋一向,即係咁多年都鍾意啲 MI 嘅一類嘅公司囉係喇。
好啦,今日非常之多謝啦嚇,即係同我哋分享啦就誒,當然啦,而家 ent 真係好唔好嘅,即係你都跟跟住就已經脆日都不得了,所以就撈底就唔使咁急啦,都反而真係囉,係一個好示下自己嗰個投資嘅組合啦咁,所以今日呢都有一個嘅短線啦、線啦,嘅部署,同埋啲 nam 呀,或者喺大家組合入面點去分散做嘅投資呀嚇,都已經好節目嘅,咁請大家呢就即係第一年啦,多畀 like 啦,同埋都可以留言啦,留個 O 住都 OK 嘅,即係我你成呢個演法,希望呢就係張條片啦嚇咁幸量咁高,咁呀推呢就畀更加多想睇財嘅觀眾嚟到去睇啦。好,下個月,我哋再見到播唔該 And 啲拜拜。好拜拜。