Transcription
Everybody loves a good breakout candidate. Today, we're going to be talking about six second-year players that we think are going to break out in fantasy football. We're going to try and keep this one digestible. We'll minimize the yap, talk less for, uh, for the audience out there. Just get you the straight information. Amecha and Coulson Lovelin would have been obvious candidates for this video. We are not going to talk about them because we're both homers when we do, and also, we just talk about them all the time.
So, um, Danny, you want to kick it off with the first guy, uh, that you think, again, kind of nuts on the table? These second-year players are going to break out is the, uh, concept of this video here.
Yeah. Now, if I have to compare Bashel Tudin to this year's Chase Brown, again, I'm going to be sick in the face because reading the T-leaves, you get a 200-plus pound running back year two in a run system that we really believe in. Obviously headlined by Liam Comb. We saw what the Jaguars were down the stretch last year. And the one thing we put, uh, we posted or we pointed out about Bashel Tutin's prospect profile was that he might be a little bit raw. Might take him a year to fully develop into that full-fledged three-down workload. The team has made it clear where they want to take this backfield by letting ETN walk, by not signing a huge replacement, by only bringing in Chris Rodriguez, who, by the way, I've pointed out before, less than 250 career touches in the NFL. To me, all the bull signs are pointing to Balt taking over. It's already been reported coming out of training camp that he's taken a step as a player. And I do think if he gets that immediate workload, 65, 70-plus percent of the opportunities immediately, he can run with it.
Yeah, I think for both of us, because we're both, you know, some of the higher people on Bashel Tutin on the site, his ADP on Underdog, even on like a sharper platform, consensus ADP wise, he's at 59. So, home leagues, he's going a little bit lower, but on Underdog at 55.7. I think the thing with Belle Tutin that I want to be cognizant of is the drum beat, right? Like the drum beat has been relatively bullish on Beayaltin so far because of Chris Rodriguez's injury. But if we get into training camp, let's say Rodriguez is back to full health or something like that, and the narrative changes, I do want to be not anchored to what I think of Bashel Tutin going into things because while Chris Rodriguez is nothing special, he could be enough of a pest that it makes shelin more of like a back half of the season guy as opposed to like a full-fledged RB1 in fantasy weeks 1 through 17.
Well, I mean, we saw in Cincinnati in 2024, Zack Moss was a pest in the first four weeks. He gets banged up. He gets nicked up. Chase Brown takes the opportunity, runs with it. I guess my point here is that we already kind of had the Zack Moss getting banged up happened with Chris Rodriguez missing camp. And it sounds like Basel Tudin has been taking the horn, uh, bull by the horns.
Yeah. Yeah. Again, the upside here is so tantalizing. Liam Cohen's rushing scheme. Let's think about the last two starting running backs. Travis ETN, a top 15 guy after being a top castaway running back the year before that. And then Bucky Irving, when he lost Liam Cohen, you saw a major discrepancy in his rush yards per carry. Bucky Irving 5.4 yards per carry his rookie season, 3.4 without Liam Cohen last year. So with Bashel Tuton, you know, or you feel pretty good at least that he's going to be very efficient. He, he can contribute on third down. He was a good receiver in college. He ran in the four threes. The big plays will probably be there. And Trevor Lawrence probably is going to regress a little bit from a touchdown rushing standpoint because he was super efficient in the red zone. He had, yeah. And if Bashel Tuton gets some of those touches in the red zone, then that would obviously be good for him. But again, the Chris Rodriguez Toutin backfield conversation is going to be one of the bigger storylines of training camp. The Jaguars in general, there's so many positional battles for.
Yeah. And last year, when you look at the expected fantasy points on the ground from quarterbacks versus actualized fantasy points, Trevor Lawrence was at 1.4 for extra points versus expectation. When you look at what happened again, nine rushing touchdowns, he's going to be a mobile quarterback. It's been one of my biggest pro cases for Trevor Lawrence this year. But nine is just a number that's hard to get to unless your name is Josh Allen or Jaylen Herz.
Yeah, pretty much. So, Beel Tutin, a guy that we're very excited about. Um, I will talk about a guy that really, in the history of him being on the fantasy radar, I've never really been in on him. I thought he was kind of overrated when he was a freshman Devi asset. I've kind of thought he was an overrated prospect to some degree. But one thing I love about Trayvon Henderson is, um, the market is pricing him appropriately. He's not outrageously expensive the way that I thought he was going to be coming into this year. If you would have told me that people were taking him in the late third round, I probably would have believed you. I thought that's probably what was going to happen because you and I have been long of the opinion that when a, a rookie running back has a really efficient stretch of time where he's the starter and breaks off 50-yard touchdown after 50-yard touchdown, basically won them a couple games against the Bills. Um, that game he kept competitive, and the Buccaneers, he put that game on ice pretty much. So Trevian Henderson's like idea that Raandre is going to be a huge pest is keeping his price low. And while I'm not going to sit here and say that Raandre Stevenson is going to go away, I think that the intriguing part for me is that DeAndre Swift, Jir Gibbs, Alvin Chimera, Aaron Jones type usage was always what we wanted for Trevian Henderson anyways. We always wanted him to be a 90-plus target, 200 carry running back. Keep him fresh, keep him on the field because he did deal with injuries in college. And I still think that that outcome exists and nobody's really talking about it. And Josh McDaniels and Mike Vrabel can like him. Andre Stevenson all he wants, but we just talked about negative regression for Trevor Lawrence. Raandre Stevenson was one of the most efficient running backs in the NFL, both on the ground and especially through the air. And I just don't expect that to continue because Stevenson has been rather up and down efficiency-wise year-over-year. We've seen the fumbles come out of an issue as well. And just generally betting on a second-round pick, first year to second-year breakout candidate who was a good prospect and is tethered to an offense that, yes, had an easy schedule last year, but now adds AJ Brown and Romeo Dobs, who both would have been the number one receiver on the scene last year.
Yeah. And with Trevon Henderson, he's a guy that probably two years ago I would have had as my 37th overall player in my rankings. I would have been all over. I have taken a little bit more of a backseat. Again, I'm still, you know, relatively mid-range where the experts are, just a couple spots behind you, but I am a little bit more concerned about what we saw from AARE. He did look good overall, but just when we're talking about how the offense will function, I think the main thing you brought up there is very important. Having AJ Brown, having Romeo Dobs last year, how many stack boxes we saw from this team? How many times did we see the opposing defense rock up and single high? Corey, what's going to happen this year if Drake May see single high against AJ Brown on the outside?
I mean, AJ Brown is still very, very good at football. Like, he can still beat a single high coverage, no problem. And Romeo Dobs, I believe, if I'm not mistaken, I, I was looking at the like, you know, zone coverage, win rate kind of stats on fantasy points too. And like Romeo Dobs has been near the top of the league in those types of statistics. So, yeah, I think the stacked front carry rate that, uh, that Trevian Henderson saw was third in the NFL last season. So the fact that, um, teams were really selling out to stop the run because even though you had this, the runner-up for the MVP, they couldn't really stretch the field. And even despite that, not being able to stretch the field, Drake May was stretching the field with his arm. Like he was still near the top of the league in, you know, deep pass attempts per game. So I just think everything's kind of coming together for a Trevian Henderson breakout, and we're not paying for it. Like that's the reason I like him is that we're not paying for it. It's not a three-four turn pick like he probably should be.
Yeah. It's like, okay, if Stevenson's on the field, he's probably going to be slightly lower than the RB22 just from a pure standalone perspective. If we're assuming the split from last year, if we're assuming a second-year player maybe gets more of a split, he's in line where, where he's going in ADP, but we saw what it looks like when Raandre is not on the field. We do get those elite spike weeks. Obviously, Raandre in his own right had the spike weeks down the stretch as well, but we saw it against Tampa Bay. We saw it against the Jets. We saw it against Buffalo. If Arandre Stevens is not in the lineup, Trevon Henderson has the big playability to be the RB1 on any given week.
Yeah. And the important thing for Henderson is just take the steps you need to take. Follow the offseason narrative. Is Henderson making the leap? Are the beat writers talking about it? Does he look better in pass protection? That's huge for him because if he is better in pass protection, that means he's going to be running routes, which is where he's going to get his value and where all of us people were taking Trevian Henderson the early fourth round three-four turn last year on the basis that he would be the third-down back. That was the reason people were doing that.
Well, what's wild to me is that was arguably one of the biggest pros he had coming out. Like we both said coming out of college, pass was one of his biggest weapons. Now, whether whether it was NFL speed, whether it was in the playbook, like you could tell he wasn't all there as a rookie, but the end of the day, just sub-24 years old, receiving profile. One of his biggest strengths coming out didn't come to fruition as a rookie. What if that translates coming into year two? Now all of a sudden you're getting those third-down snaps and instead of 10 carries per game, you're at 13 through 15. There is a big case for this working out and of course paying 52 overall, not having to pay a top 50 price. I have met 50 of them a couple spots ahead of ADP and I do think at that four-five turn, whether he's an upside RB2 or RB3, compliments well to those Bejan and Gibbs teams.
Yeah, and especially when you factor in, you know, your let's call it Garrett Wilson, Tedo McMillan, Terry McLaren type of assets that you're drafting him after, honestly, not even around after. He has the upside to have a 17-point per game season. I wouldn't say that Garrett Wilson and Ted McMillan types necessarily have that type of upside just on a pure who scores more fantasy points. The running back I take here, the wide receiver I take here. So again, I think that picking out the right kind of dead zone profiles this year at the running back position might be one of the skeleton keys to unlocking, you know, the fantasy season in general, cuz if you get an RB1 out of the fifth round, it's going to be a huge, huge value accumulator for you. Let's, uh, let's talk about Luther Burton. Again, we could have talked about Coulson Love in this video, but we always talk about him. So why is Luther Burden going to break out in your opinion?
Yeah, and I guess this is a spoiler that he may or may not end up on our flock league team considering the highest on the site is me and Sammy when it comes to Luther Burton. When you just look at what we want in a fantasy football breakout, flashes in a rookie season, high yards per outrun in a rookie season, offensive insulation. You can look at the overall body of work and say, "Okay, I'm a little bit less enthused with Luther Burden," but this is the regime that drafted him in in the second round. This is the regime that gave him the opportunity to have those spikes down the stretch last year. And this is a regime that has been talking him up non-stop throughout training camp thus far. On top of that, Roma Dun's kind of been banged up with that heel. I do expect him to potentially be healthy, but at the same time, the guy that's been coming out of Ben Johnson's mouth, the guy, Oh, pause. What? [laughter] No, sorry. Pause. F, uh, the name that has been coming out of Ben Johnson's mouth all offseason is Luther Burden talking up how he's going to be used in this offense. Talking him up as that intermediate yards after the catch threat and just stylistically again, I'm not going to call him a Monor St. Brown because I do think a Monor St. Brown, that role is going to function between Lovelin, between a Dunay, between Burden. Like I don't think it's fair to just say one to one Burden will be is a Monor St. Brown, but if someone's going to occupy the Ammon St. Brown targets, it would be Luther Burden.
Yeah. Pause. Double calls. [laughter] Sorry, I had, I'm leaving that in. That was [clears throat] that was funny.
My, so I'm actually one of the lowest on the site on Luther Burden. It is because I'm higher on Rome. Um, as a result, I do actually like both of them at their cost. I think that, you know, Cognizanti in fantasy football likes to talk about like one guy's going to smash, one guy's going to suck. I think that both of them can just be solid. And that's kind of my opinion of burden. That would be a breakout because my biggest problem with Luther Burden and why I can't put him over Odun and why I'm probably never going to, unless the, you know, narrative around the team really dramatically changes in Burden's favor, completely drum beats undeniable, which it could be by the end of the offseason, is that Burden had very, very minimal to go off his rookie season. There was a couple big plays, there was a couple big games, but generally it was a, he's kind of like the Bashel Tutin of of wide receivers where it's like you're just projecting a role increase because DJ Moore was traded. You're just projecting, um, a target increase because of the level of prospect he was, which is all fair. I just am not willing to do it over Rome, who I also thought was a great prospect and who had shown at the first eight, nine games of last season to be a legitimate wide receiver one before he suffered that injury.
Yeah. And and I think that's fair as well. Ultimately, the way I kind of see it breaking down is I do think both these guys are going to work behind Lovelin. I just think Lovelin's the best, arguably the best click period on the board. I have him at 25 overall for a reason. But if I have to go Burton versus Odun, I just think the overall skill set for what the offense can ask on top of I think Odun is going to be the best complimentary fit for this offense. That vertical ex wide receiver that can work down the boundary, play that T. Higgins type of role. But if Roma Dunce is kind of in that T. Higgins role, like could it be a situation where, um, again, I'm not going to throw Jamar Chase, but skill set wise, Yak, big plays, um, 70-yard touchdowns, like Luther Burden would be the Jamar Chase in that instance, and obviously again, very Walmart eyes type of, uh, conversation there in terms of the comparison.
Yeah, I have Burden leading the two of the two receivers. I have him leading Odun in receptions, but I have Rome leading in touchdowns and in, um, targets overall as well because I do think he's going to be more the downfield and red zone guy, which is why I prefer him because I think his his targets are going to be a little bit more valuable. I think Burden's going to be more your PPR guy.
Can I interest you in year three Caleb going the Josh Allen route and all of a sudden we see 35, 40 passing touchdowns and everybody eats?
Well, I mean, yesterday people would have seen the league-winning quarterbacks video and Caleb ranked extremely high in that. So yeah, definitely can interest you in that. Um, let's talk about Amarian Hampton. He's the highest ADP player of anybody that we're talking about in this video. Now, the expectation based on where he's going is that he'll be an RB1 in fantasy. So, I'm not going to sit here and say, "Oh, it's a breakout if he's an RB1 in fantasy." It's expected that he should be an RB1 in fantasy. What I'm going to argue here is that he scores 20 points a game and is a legitimate league winner. And again, we talk about this all the time. Who's the right answer at the end of the first round? Who's the right answer in the early second round where Amarian Hampton's going? I think that he will end up being one of the right answers. I have him ranked at 13th overall. I'm among the higher people on the site on him. Amarian Hampton, I would say, didn't have like the greatest rookie season as far as like an efficiency, rush yards over expected kind of thing is concerned. But what I do love about Amarian Hampton is that he was a first-round NFL draft pick comps to Javvante Williams, Travis ETN, Bree Hall, Jonathan Taylor, those caliber of prospects. And Mike McDaniel is magic for fantasy football running backs. Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt, I don't think people realize, might be the best tackle combination in the NFL and were off the field last year for the most part. Slater missed the entire season and Joe Alt missed over half of the season. So, the fact that they reworked their interior offensive line as well and they added those two tackles back who are legitimately maybe top three players to five players at their respective positions, that is a huge, huge deal. Along with the schematic up upgrade of Mike McDaniel and Amarian Hampton in his healthy games last year had 3.9 targets per game. That's a pace of, you know, 50, 60, 70 targets on the season. Justin Herbert in his career has shown a lot of propensity to throw to his running backs. Of course, he had Austin Eckler for a large portion of that. But Melvin Gordon as well, when he was the starting running back, got a lot of targets from Justin Herbert. So for me, I just look at Amarian Hampton as long as he's talented. If you told me Amarian Hampton is a Pro Bowl talent running back, he probably should be going in the first eight to 10 picks of fantasy drafts.
You can make the case he should be like a top five or six pick if we knew for certain that he was a top eightish level talent at the position.
Yeah. And running back is one of those positions where you are elevated by what's around you. And you have a top five to 10 NFL quarterback, a top three to five tackle combination, a top one play caller. As far as run schemes are concerned, he might be the best run scheme play caller in the NFL. Yeah, him, Clint, Kubiaak, Kyle Shanahan, like when I think of like just pure great run schemers, those are guys I think of. And it's funny you mentioned with the offensive line because you said this point in, uh, the latest video prior to this one that came out, that for the Browns, they were such a bad run-blocking line. We talked about the stat with Quinshaw Judkins, 3.6 yards per carry, but 3.2 of it came after contact on each attempt. And you mentioned they have five new starters on the offensive line. The Chargers basically have five new starters on the offensive line. You mentioned Slater and all coming back. They bring in a guy like Tyler Bottes in the free agency cycle. They drafted Jake Slaughter. Cole Strange comes over from the Dolphins. Like all five slated starters right now on their depth chart. Didn't start last year.
Yeah, I, I can, I'm not going to do it because I don't know for sure that Amarian Hampton is an elite talent like Jonathan Taylor is or like Devon Achan is proven to be. James Cook has proven to be. But you can make the argument for him over those guys based on his immediate projection and again, like legitimately a 300 carry, 60 target upside for, like I have the Chargers in my projections as the fourth highest scoring offense in football.
Yeah. And even if you're not as optimistic as four, I think very comfortably a lot of people are going to project this as a top 10 offense. Top 10 offense with a top three to five run scheme with a running back that was drafted in the first round, has the size, has the speed, showed the pass-catching acumen. Like if he's going out there and getting 21 opportunities with four and a half of them coming as targets and has 15 touchdown upside, like we say, who can be 2024 Saquon Barkley? That was 2025 Jonathan Taylor. Who could be 2025 Jonathan Taylor? Maybe the guy that I had comp to him. And I, this the biggest lock of the century in my opinion is that Mike McDaniel gets a Ben Johnson level contract in the coaching cycle next year, uh, next year. Like somebody, whether it's like maybe the Jets smack Arch Manning and they're able to coax him in, or maybe the, like he was super interested in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers OC job. Maybe they get an opportunity. The Eagles were very interested in him as well. Maybe Sirani things go poorly and he, like, it's Mike McDaniel is, it's inevitably going to be a great season for the Chargers offense. You have a perfect, you know, uh, leader of men head coach and you have a perfect guru nerd boy to operate the offense.
What's funny, too, is when you look at Hampton, the only question mark that we have for, by the way, a former top 25 NFL draft pick, who was my RB2 in the class, he was your RB3 in the class. We all thought this guy was a talented prospect, but it seems like those who are anti-Amar Hampton, their question is, was this guy all that good at football? Which is a fair question based on what he did as a rookie, but I think it's under, under, um, talked about what that he could come back from the injury he came back from and be RB2 level producer. Like that's an injury that should have derailed his season completely. Like he should have been completely useless when he came back, and he was still pretty decent.
100%. So, uh, I'm in agreeance with you with Omari Hampton. I thought about including, uh, Genty on this video, but we talked about him in last video, so I just didn't want to rehash it. But when I'm at that one-two turn, or say I take a receiver at the nine spot, and one of these guys fall back to me, or not nine spot, but 10, 11 spot, and one of these guys fall back to me on the wraparound, like Hampton and Genty just have felt like the comfiest clicks for me.
Why not as well?
You want to pick at 12 overall and say, [ __ ] it. I'm going Genty and Hampton. I think that'd be great as well. And then maybe you wrap back around.
End of the first round is a good pick this year, man. Getting, getting two of Chase Brown, James Cook, Jonathan Taylor, Devon A Chan, Amarian Hampton, Ashen Genty, like that feels very good to me to start my draft.
Yeah, I, I'm definitely on the same page with you, uh, with Omar and Hampton. I think, uh, 16 overall consensus ADP, I'd be comfortable pushing them up. I am at 14, which is somehow the lowest on the site, which kind of goes to show you that if everybody on the site has them higher than his current ADP, it's probably a very good click.
Yeah. And I'm, I'm, I can't do it. I can't put him in the first round. I can't do it, but I really want to. I really, do it.
I, I can't do it. I can't do it. Jonathan Taylor's too good to me that Hampton's going to just be that good. You know what I mean?
I'm a bad influence.
Yeah. Anyways, let's talk about, uh, two more guys. These are more later round guys. Um, I'll start with mine because we're talking about the same offense. Um, the Aronda Gadson experience last year was a, a roller coaster because from week five to week nine, he might have been thought of as maybe the biggest league winner in fantasy at the time, or at least one of the biggest tight end league winners in fantasy. Here's why I'm optimistic on a Rod Gatson because I looked at my exposures, Danny. He is by far my highest drafted second-year player, period. I have him 25% of my teams. And the reason I think that I'm, I feel that way. Both of us are the highest on the site on him is because of John Smith in 2024. That is the reason I've been drafting Aronda Gatson. John Smith 2024, when he was Mike McDaniel's number three target behind Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Wadd, was just a monster in terms of target rate. He was a 29.8% target rate tight end because of how he was schemed up in the offense. And Quinton Johnson and Lad Mankin are great players, but as far as target earning potential, they're worse than Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Wadd are. So I think that Aronda Gadson, the whole Charlie Kolar, David and Jooku is keeping his price low, which is fair. Obviously, he could, you know, suffer from a route participation standpoint, but I think it's going to be like last year's Dalton Kincaid on crack, where it's like anytime he's on the field, he's averaging three yards per route run and scoring touchdowns and making big plays happen.
Yeah. So I have 11.2%, 2% and that's just because I, I, in like once I get to that range in baseball, I just kind of take the tight ends that correlate to the quarterbacks I take, but even still, 11.2%. That was also at an ADP that is higher than when he's currently going. I currently have a negative five CLV, which I'm okay with because at the end of the day, like you said, I have my 125. Anywhere past pick 140 feels like a great value because, am I going to take going higher than him? Hunter Henry types and like, I mean, Justin Herbert's my highest drafted quarterback, so that's also a large part of why I have a lot of Aronda Gadson. But in managed redraft leagues, I think people are going to not want to draft him because they think he's going to be a headache or whatever the case is. I don't know, dude. I think that he's gonna just be a really efficient guy that you want to throw into your lineup.
Like, where, who, who are people like Dallas Goddard, people are taking above him and [ __ ] like, [sighs] [ __ ] Isaiah Likely, which again, if you're pro Isaiah Likely, I get it. But the offense is going to be dreadful. I would, comps, dude. Rookie year Ronda Gadson comps points per game wise. He averaged more points per game than rookie year George Kittle, rookie year Mark Andrews, rookie year, like these, this is a good list of comps, man. Like,
Yeah, no, I, and who knows, maybe you're getting like 750, 800 yards and 7, 8 touchdowns, and all of a sudden that pick 148 off the board, you have a guy who finishes as the tight end eight or nine in fantasy. I got him for 819 and five touchdowns on 128 or reception. But I have him projected for only 69% of the routes. Like I'm factoring in that Charlie Kolar and David and Jooku are going to be a problem for him from a route participation standpoint. But think about the three wide receiver set. Who's the third receiver on this team? Trey Harris.
Probably. Allen. They didn't bring back Keenan Allen. Like Aronda Gadson in that season, John Smith ran his route 70, 37% of them from the slot. Like it wouldn't shock me if their third receiver is Aronda Gadson.
Yeah. If the bet is on, uh, the rookie that literally outproduced the other one and plays a tight end or a position realistically that you expect to have a longer timeline of developing.
More of a mismatch too from a schematic standpoint for McDaniel.
Well, that's the thing. You just watch Trey Harris's rookie season and Ronda Gatson's rookie season. Hundred out of a hundred times, you're gonna say Aronda Gasson looked more impressive.
Did does Trey Harris go higher in in drafts right now?
N 15 picks lower.
Okay. It's not that far off though. It's like, it's, it was night and day last year. Who was the better player?
So for what it's worth, if you see Harris as well, like I have Harris slightly above expectation too in terms of his ADP because honestly, when, like you said, if this offense is going to be a top five, top eight, top 10 unit in the league, I just want to be in on it. So at 160 overall, I'm cool with Harris as well. Yeah, I'm actually, I'm lower than ADP because, like I just said, I think Gadson's the number three receiver on the team and in terms of routes, in terms of snaps, in terms of targets, in terms of yards, and all that kind of stuff. I think the reason that I'm not super high on Harris is because I think that Gadson kind of hamstrings him just a little bit. Um, let's talk about the obvious name that you guys knew you were going to hear in this video. Uh, Travis Hunter, breakout candidate, of course. Like, who else saw this coming? Everybody.
So, let me say this. Outside of Mason and Davis, look where everybody else on the site has them and look where his ADP is.
Yeah. Okay. So, you and I like liter. And not only that, but like, you're not even the highest one on the site. Everybody, Zack, Avery, Nathan, myself, and Sammy are all kind of in agreement that, especially in managed redraft leagues. Like, are you [ __ ] me, dude? Like, there's no penalty for missing on this pick. None. You take a 10th round swing on Travis Hunter and he busts, it doesn't affect you at all. Can I remind you, Corey, that [ __ ] two years ago, Dantavian Wixs, who was the wide receiver for an expected routes for the Packers, was going in the range where [ __ ] Travis Hunter, the former number two overall pick, is currently going. Are we all that?
Coleman was 25 picks more expensive than this last year.
Like, what are we doing? Like, and I get it. If you're a projections, bro, and you're like, ah, he projects for the fourth most routes on the team. I get it. You don't have to start them all 17 [ __ ] weeks is the point. The weeks that he's profiling into 60, 70, 75% of the routes is when he enters your lineup. The weeks he's projecting for 20 to 35% of the routes, maybe he's not in your lineup. In a managed league in the 12th, 13th, 14th round, like he's going to go in the majority of your leagues. Just take the upside shot in the second overall pick. It doesn't need to be hard. What if BTJ were to go down? What if Parker Washington were to go down? What if Jacobe Myers were to go down? What if they make a trade for a corner at the deadline? Like there are just so many variables that we pretend that we know and we have no [ __ ] clue about on a year-to-year basis that I just want to bet on the former second overall pick that I thought legitimately had some of the best wide receiver film I've seen of any prospect.
Not to mention, Danny, isn't there a platform where you don't have to choose when to start players? I think that one of those exists, and you'd think that on that platform, he would be going higher than a pick 142, but he isn't. So, I mean, he's my second highest drafted, uh, second-year player, period, behind a Ronda Gatsson.
You want to hear a shocker?
What?
He's my highest drafted player overall.
Yeah, not a shocker. But again, what, what, where is the narrative that he's a quarterback coming from? Cameron Wolf's report that he's repeated 16 times this offseason, even though he has no idea what's going on. Everybody in the building, Hunter, Gladstone, and Cohen have all rebuffed that report. Then Adam Shfter, who has much more pull in the reporter land, also rebuffed that report.
Um, Cory, you want to take a guess what my exposure is of Hunter on Underdog?
Uh, mine's 25.4%. So, mine's quite high as well.
We got to up those numbers. No, I'm kidding. Let's just say I'm, uh, over 10% more than even you have.
I mean, Nicholas Singleton I have at 40%. So, I, I got 39.7 numbers on him. 39.7 nearly $2,100 invested into Travis Hunter. If you guys say I don't put my money where my mouth is, you're [ __ ] false.
Yeah. I mean, people will say that you're just dumb for betting on Hunter again. I don't think anybody's arguing that you don't put your money where. [laughter]
Let's get in the game, baby. Get in the game. Uh, Travis Hunter pick 140. Don Wix was going here two years ago. What are we doing?
Dude, Marquez Callaway three years ago had 60 picks higher than this in ADP on Underdog. I don't get it. I think I, even if I told you right now he would only have six games of over 70% of the routes, he would be one of the best values on the [ __ ] board.
Yeah. And like you said, he's king queen suited in poker. You have no idea how he's going to work out. You just feel confident that he probably will. And if you guys enjoyed that, leave a like, subscribe to the channel if you're new. If you made it to the rage bait section of the, uh, video, just comment down below that we're Hunter stands and always will be. Until I'm, until both of us are proven wrong on Travis Hunter, I'm not admitting defeat yet. So, that's kind of where we're at. And, um, if you guys wanted to take this action into some baseball drafts, draft some of these players on Underdog, you can go ahead and do that. Anytime you sign up with promo code FSE, um, you will also get our Dynasty redraft and 2026 projections, draft guides for free. So, check that out. That'll be linked down below in the pin comment and in the description. But with that being said, peace out. We'll talk to you soon.