Transcription
Hello and welcome everyone. I'm your host Stefon Burns, space weather guy, geoh physicist, geologist. And today we are going to talk about what is happening with the sun and some of the profound changes that have been occurring with the star in our solar system of which everything depends on.
Now we've been having some space weather recently, uh, and we've had some kind of misses from the space weather. So right here we see our sun. This is current imagery, uh, taken by NASA Solar Dynamics Observatory. We see this large dark spot. This is a coronal hole. This chronal hole has been on the sun for more than 10 rotations. Takes about one month for the sun to do a full complete rotation. And, uh, these chronal holes drive regular bouts of geomagnetic activity because they structure the solar wind that hits the earth and then earth's magnetic field responds. So we've had this guy sweep by, I think at least like a dozen times now. It's quite a bit smaller on this rotation than it has been since January. So it shrunk down a bit in January, then reexpanded. It's similar to that right now. Uh, and these are well linked with earthquake activity, specifically high magnitude earthquake activity. So we just got out of a 7.8, uh, mega, oh not mega quake, near mega quake, a 7.8 mega quake that or earthquake that struck the Philippines that was, uh, just a few days ago. There's still an earthquake swarm happy as a result of that. This is about to hit earth with its high-speed stream, and we could see more earthquake activity that follows.
Now, before this coronal hole, we had this coronal mass ejection launch out from a 1.8 M-class flare. And at first glance, you're like, "Oh, boom. That's going to hit us." And well, the shock wave did hit us, though it was a pretty minor, uh, effect. We see the bulk of the plasma went to the southeast and it stayed to the southeast. But what's interesting is that the past two solar storm forecasts I've been given by Noah, both of them reaching G3 levels, have been extremely underwhelming. And I can't say what I can't say this definitively, but it seems that the plasma that's recently been ejected from the sun has been much more confined than normal. So typically it spreads out and it creates this wave that spreads out. And that's why when we see something like this, there's a forecast that's issue that, okay, well, by time it reaches one astronomical unit or Earth's orbit, it's going to have spread out a little bit further, therefore, therefore it will hit us. Instead, we only had the shock wave hit us. And none of this bulk plasma hit us from this, uh, and that is what was expected, at least for some of this bulk plasma to spread out, hit Earth, and trigger a G3 GMI next storm.
Before that, there was also a very similar situation just about a week beforehand. Uh, also paired up though with a coronal hole, trans equatorial, uh, that swept through. It was tiny, tinier than this one. Uh, and that also was looking like it we were going to have a G3 storm. Uh, even isolated periods of G4. I was thinking it was going to be a G4 storm; was looking quite significant. We, we didn't even get to G3 levels with that. And what happened was those solar storms came in combined with this co-rotating interaction region high-speed stream and all layered together and impacted us. And we can see that if we look here at our real-time display and you see these, these two impacts. So here's the one that was earlier in, uh, June. This is the 5th of June right here. Okay. And we got up to about 20 for our solar wind. So for the magnetic field, not super strong. Uh, but our velocity did go up to what about nearly 800 km per second. More like 700. Density went up, then it dropped. Here is where the second solar storm came in. The one that we thought was going to hit us didn't hit us. Uh, barely hit us. Basically just a shock wave. Didn't drive any geomagnetic activity.
So, uh, why am I, why am I showing you all this? Well, this is just showing at least these past two solar storms that the plasma stayed much more confined and narrow than normal. And what this means is that if we were to truly get a big solar storm to launch our way, if this trend continues, and there's some evidence that that's the case, if we were to truly get a historic solar storm to launch towards Earth, something like the Carrington event under this, uh, circumstance, it's not going to spread out and dissipate its strength. Instead, it's going to come in almost like a laser beam. Now, we don't know if that's going to happen or not, but we are seeing some initial evidence that there is this potential for a solar storm to stay very, very, um, tightly columnated, you could say, and hit us. And that could trigger an electromagnetic pulse if it's sufficient enough to hit the upper atmosphere. There's some characteristics required for this to occur. I'll talk about them. Um, then that's the case.
Now, my moderator here saying that the sun can never create a EMP that hits us. That is, that's incorrect. Sorry, dude. We, we get EMPs all the time from these solar storms. The question is just how strong they are. And with a sufficient strength solar storm impact, that could happen. Um, so that's one of the, the big concerns as it relates to modern society right now is that we do get a large enough solar storm impact to trigger, uh, electromagnetic pulse because it's a super high velocity impact. I can show you an example of this. Here we have a, just an animation. Okay, for a Carrington impact. Boom. Okay, you get the magnetic field compression just going crazy. This triggers, uh, a huge swing in earth's magnetic field. This induces strong voltage differentials in anything large enough to host a circuit. You know, this flow of, uh, energy like long transmission lines and then that can basically knock things out. If it's really powerful, it doesn't have to be so large. The more powerful the EMP is, electromagnetic pulse, the, the less the, uh, the, the the the smaller the circuit can be because the circuit's a flow of energy that connects, right? So, typically you need like a super long transmission lines. These are hundreds, hundreds of kilometers. Um, but with a sufficiently large one, perhaps you even get electricity starting to route within smaller circuits, perhaps even within, uh, technology [clears throat] that you have like a car, like a electronic car batteries and everything. We know from the Carrington impact in 1859 that there were issues with the batteries that you had this huge EMP effect. In fact, effectively the, the voltage induced in these telegraph wires was really strong. Batteries caught fire. There's telegraph stations, I think at least one that burned down. Uh, we don't really know, uh, what the effects will be with the modern Carrington event until it happens, but we know that's probably not going to be good and we hope for the best, but we simply won't really know and we'll learn a lot about this when it actually happens.
That's basically the, uh, the story. So we, uh, have this phenomena happening right now where the plasma, the storms, the plasma storms being shot from the sun seem to be more tightly focused than they have been in the past. The prior, uh, prior data and the models, you know, show them expanding outwards, which is why they are forecasting G3 storms. And as you can see here, we had a G2 storm right there and we didn't have anything for this impact. Super, super quiet. Um, now just to go back here really quick, we do see that this will drive at least a G1 GMX storm in just about two days or so. We'll get hit by that. We'll have a GM by next storm, a minor one. Maybe it'll go to moderate levels, G2. It won't be anything crazy, but, uh, we're well overdue for a Carrington event. That's the thing. We're well overdue for one.
And I had an interesting dream and, you know, take this for what it's worth, but the, the most interesting dreams, there's different, um, feelings and characteristics. Characteristics with dreams sometimes they, they have a different quality to them, and I've had precognition dreams that have come true in, in very specific ways and not just like a general, oh, my my cat was asleep and then two days later my cat was sleeping on the bed type. No, like very specific situations. And this is well documented for many, many, many people around the world over long periods of time. So we know for somehow this can occur and it's not coincidence. This kind of felt like that. So I had this dream about power grid failures and I don't know why because I wasn't thinking about this. Sometimes I have dreams I relate to what I've been thinking about, etc., right, or researching. I wasn't thinking about this at all and now I'm kind of realizing what this story is all about. So, uh, that's what we're going to cover in today's video. We're just going to go through some new research that's been done on the, on the sun, uh, highlighting some of these structural changes that have been unfolding and how this may relate to a very significant space event, aka a Carrington event, and how it could affect us here on Earth, and how everything's converging towards, uh, this possibility, it seems. So, uh, let us get into it.
We're going to start by looking just at this, uh, this article that came out today. And here it is. So, u, officials announced a 10 gawatt data center gas plants for Ohio, uh, for former Ohio uranium site. And this is from the AP. The US Department of Energy on Friday announced a public private partnership to develop a major data center with its own power supply on the site of a decommissioned uranium enrichment plant in southern Ohio. Uh it's expected to include a 10 gigawatt data center and up to and up to 10 gawatts of new power generation including 9.2 gawatts of natural gas generation. Um, and this is this article here is from March 20, 26. There's been many other, uh, announcements like this. We'll see how many of these data centers actually get built. A lot of them have already been built, but the energy demand from these data centers is massive, um, because it's just a tremendous amount of energy running through highly advanced, uh, computers effectively, right? These chips, these AI chips and they require a tremendous amount of energy just for that. But you also need a tremendous amount of cooling for these data centers. And right now we're in a plant that's warming up way faster than we've ever seen the geological record because of a variety of factors. Anthropogenetic greenhouse gas emissions being one of the main factors for that. And then as that greenhouse effect takes place, any changes in the sun only drive that further, right? Because fundamentally all the energy coming in to Earth is from the sun. It's just a question of how much do we hold on to here on Earth due to atmospheric compositions, cloud cover, water vapor in the atmosphere, other greenhouse gases, etc. Water is the main greenhouse gas. We also have methane, CO2, there's more, um, so there, there's a lot happening, but the earth is getting hotter, hotter, hotter, like exponentially so, uh, more volatile with its weather. And there are these plans to, and they're already doing it, but these plans to create these data centers that aren't tiny, but 10 gawatt hours or 10 gigawatts. For example, Ohio's capacity right now is about 30 gawatts and that's peak summer generation. And they plan to put in 10 gigawatts and there's plans for probably not dozens but hundreds of these. The power grids in the United States are really failing. Like they, they are getting older and older and older. And you'll notice what they say here is that they want to put in 9.2, 2 gawatt of natural gas generation which is basically just an expansion of the old system. Instead of putting in new decentralized, for example small modular nuclear reactors, maybe like, uh, molten, molten salt thorium reactors and having those be disconnected from the grid and therefore supplying these en, uh, the energy just to a data center. They're going to tie it into the existing, uh, network. And keep in mind with these data centers here, they are going to, um, they are going to be running a whole bunch of computation that's not because of us. You know, it's not going to be people doing a Google search and now it's in AI mode that's going to cause it to be 10 gigawatts of usage for this data center, this single one. And you know, you add them all up, it's hundreds, if not even terowatt hour, terowatts. Um, it's going to be all this probably surveillance stuff that they're doing in the background that's going to keep these things under load the whole time. So, um, so the problem is that these, these data centers are going to get very, very, uh, they're going to put a tremendous amount of energy and strain on the power grids.
Meanwhile, uh, the earth is warming up. That's going to increase, uh, energy usage in general. And the sun is, uh, right now waking up from a glyceberg cycle where it's been weaker. If we look at our, uh, solar cycle progression here, we see we go back in time just a little bit. We see solar cycle 24 being the weakest of, uh, the, the most recent three. We have 25 here with 24, 23. And you can see at the bottom there, but we'll go all the way back to the late 1800s, early 1900s. Here was another solar cycle bottom. This is a, like a hundred-year variation in solar activity. Roughly, it's like 8,800 years called the Glyceberg cycle. We saw that go down and then we peaked up. Solar cycle 19 being the strongest in a very long time going back to the American Revolution effectively. Solar cycle 3. You see that we went down. We'll probably go back up again. It is possible that we have a grand solar minimum. That's certainly possible. Uh, but it's also possible that this modern maximum period that we're in continues. And the gr, the last grand solar minimum was the mon minimum from 1645 to 1715. Okay.
So, um, some interesting things though have occurred just recently. Here we can look at some heliocismic frequency shifts that have been measured for, uh, the past, uh, few solar cycles. Okay, so we have solar cycle 25 here, 24, 23, 22 and I also layered in planetary conjunctions. These are heliocentric outer gas giant planetary conjunctions. So when you have two of them align up in the sky and so we have all of them for Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune. Now, I didn't find m much, much of a connection with all these right there. Uh, this is Uranus, Neptune, Jupiter, Neptune, Jupiter, Uranus, Jupiter, Saturn, a whole bunch of Jupiter conjunctions. Basically, I didn't find much connection between them, but you'll notice here we have the Saturn, Uranus, and Saturn, Neptune, uh, double conjunction that occurred in a span of a year. And then we see this huge oscillation in the low frequency band for solar cycle 22 one year shifted off of that double conjunction with Saturn between Uranus and Neptune. And there's a lot of research connecting the planets and their influence on solar tides, uh, further down in the sun, um, with solar activity. Now what this research paper in particular has shown, uh, and this is the DOI link. I'll link this in the video description, is that subsurface structural changes associated with successive 11-year cycles are becoming even more progressively confined just beneath the solar surface because this frequency band here, this low frequency band is indicating changes that are happening below the surface of the sun, uh, greater than 3,000 kilometers. The mid-frequency band is for changes with the sun less than 3,000 km and the high frequency band is for changes less than a thousand kilometers. So you see that our middle frequency band we have gone up compared to 24 but we are still quite a bit lower than 22, maybe equivalent to 23 there. Looks like we're just about equivalent there. U this data going up to 2025. So now we're like we've dropped down for solar cycle 25 quite a bit. Our low frequency band certainly is lower because we had this, this anomalous bounce right there and a high point with the low frequency changes. Then it's kind of settled out. Our high frequency band, you see that there is quite a big shift that's happened here. So we see that our high frequency activity for solar cycle 25 has been pretty much equivalent to solar cycle 22. Those solar cycle 22 has been much higher in the mid-frequency band and in the low frequency band. And also as you measure u 10.7 cmter radio flux and sunspot numbers, we see that our sunspot numbers for solar cycle 25 and our rad flux is lower than it has been for 22 but our high frequency helioismic data is equivalent. So this is why they suggest that there are structural changes associated with this solar cycle 25, this newest 11-year cycle, uh, being confined closer to the surface of the sun.
And if you go to the very last page, basically this is what they write. They write that we note that our results cannot be explained by changes in the strength of the subsurface field alone, which that would alter the absolute sizes of the observed shifts. It would not change the sensitivity of the modes to the activity. A change in the radial confinement of the field is instead needed. So basically what they mean with that is that sunspots specifically, uh, and sunspot activity is not enough of an explanation for this high frequency shift and that there needs to be some tangent force effectively that's acting on the sun to cause these high frequency changes. Now as I mentioned, we've been having a ton of chronal holes in solar cycle 25. Typically we see these during the descending fi phase. Instead we've been seeing them during the maximum phase of solar cycle 25. So this could be altering the radial, uh, field. This would be the electric field of the sun. This could be what's causing that. This could also be an externally applied electric field from interstellar space because the sun, though generates its own heliosphere going out about 100 astronomical units. Sun earth distance is one for reference. Um, and it has a helio tail to it. It's still embedded within the interstellar and galactic environment. So if we go back here, we see that this Saturn, Uranus, and Saturn Neptune double conjunction in, uh, 89 and 88 preceded this low frequency pulse wave right there. And since then, we saw that solar activity decreased. And now we're starting to go back up. And some, there is some research, not everyone thinks this, but some people think this. I'm, I'm more in that camp than not that it is, uh, Uranus and Neptune in their orbital cycles that are responsible or at least play a large part in determining glyceberg cycles. So we see this biggest shift in this low frequency band right there when we had this Saturn Uranus, Saturn, Neptune conjunction.
Now, if we go here to solar system really quick, this is interesting stuff. Uh, we'll just quickly show this, but if we go back to that time period, go back to 19. This is good enough right here. This is again heliocentric. Here we are. This is heliocentric. Here we have Saturn. So, here's the Saturn or Uranus heliocentric conjunction there. And then you see Saturn and Neptune here a year later in 1989. Notice the constellation. This is Sagittarius. That's the center of the galaxy. This is the galactic center. So this is looking towards the center of the galaxy. And in general, you have this triple conjunction between them. Now Uranus and Neptune occurred in 93. So it took quite a bit longer. Um, but we see here the three of them are all clustered together with the galactic center in 88 and 89. And Neptune's 30 astronomical units out. Uranus is 20 astronomical units. Saturn is 10. Has a strong magnetic field. So the fact that Saturn can help bring these frequencies in from let's say Neptune or Uranus, I think it's an important factor here. U well if we go forward to today now, we see that we are having similar conjunctions. If we go back to December, it was really like the 11th of December of 2025, we add our Saturn Neptune conjunction. Okay? And if we go forward to 2032, this is when we will have our next one. So this will be a Saturn Uranus conjunction. So this critical time period that was identified in 88 and 89 which seemed to correspond, you know, with the data, the 40 years of day we have it corresponded with this big low frequency oscillation, uh, in the sun confined to subsurface layers, uh, less than or greater than 3,000 kilometers. So they're really deep, quite a bit deeper into the sun. U that course, you know, that's all connected together.
Now, in 2026 through 2032, we have these same conjunctions, though they're more spread out. So, how is that going to affect the sun is kind of the, the unknown. That's what we don't know. Um, but with these changes now having been confined to the top 1,00 kilometers, the magnetic fields there are more susceptible, I would think, than ever to the influence of planets because they're right there near the surface. They're not buried deeper in. They are, uh, less than a thousand kilometers below the surface, right? That's really shallow, especially when you consider the sun. So now we have this time period next six years where we're in the middle of these two influences which seem to have an effect on the solar dynamo. It seems to have an effect on um these, these markers of solar activity and we could be seeing some really big sunspots rotate in. Now add on a little bit more to this.
The last big, um, solar storm impact that we had that actually triggered a power grid failure was 1989. So here it is, 1989, uh, March 1989 Quebec suffered a complete blackout. The hydroelect electric system went down and this was a very big deal. The DST index, one measure of, uh, the strength of a geomagnetic storm was 589 nanotesla. Now we have two other storms that were very powerful that also hit us, uh, in our historic record. I mean we have more than two but these two in particular, uh, the Carrington event in 1859. This is the very end of August, beginning of September 1859 and also May 1921. Now the DST index drop for May 1921 was 97 nanotesla and for the Carrington event it was estimated to be 850 nanotesla to negative 1,760 nanotesla. So Quebec March 1989, 589, May of 1921 was 97 nanotesla for the DST and, uh, for Carrington event it's like basically 800 to 1800 somewhere in there we have just less data to really discuss it. But look at the sunspot that triggered, u, the Quebec power outage in 1989, 9. Okay, so this is region 5395. 5395 across its journey across the sun. See this mega sunspot. I mean, this thing's an absolute behemoth. Huge cores, tightly clustered. It had, uh, 19 solar flares that were greater than 5.0 m flares. And it had four solar flares that were stronger than 4.0, 0x flares. So gigantic, gigantic sunspot and the two, uh, solar flares that launched chromass ejections that impacted that triggered that geomagnetic storm which knocked out Quebec were thought to be from this 4.5x flare and from this 7.3 m flare. But look at the other solar flares here. You'll see this 15x flare, 1.8, a whole bunch of, uh, M-class flares. There's a 4.0 zero X-class flare, more X-class flares. This list is very, very long, but here's a, a 6.5 X-class flare. That was on the 17th of March, but things got started off before the 13th of March with this 15.0 X-class flare. So, effectively what happened was these solar flares started battering the Earth with X-ray and extreme ultraviolet light, which charged up the ionosphere. Now, this solar flare occurred from the limb as it was rotating into view. So, it didn't launch a chronal mass ejection to hit Earth, though proton storms and radiation storms started up and everything, but it charged up the iosphere. Then, it kept going. So, when we finally did get some chronal mass ejections to launch towards Earth, the global electric circuit was already supercharged with plasma, making the overall effect of the solar storm much stronger. And therefore the geomagnetic storm was able to induce these huge power differentials and knock out Quebec. This is 1989. And again the DST index for that one measure of, uh, the strength of a solar storm of negative 589, Carrington event up to 760. So 1, 1760 nanotesla. So way stronger. And we have good data on May 1921 that supertorrm that was negative 97 nanotesla for the DST index. So quite a big difference between 589 and 907. Here we see the biggest sunspot that we've observed with like modern, uh, telescopes. This is April 7th, 1947 sunspot region 14886. And you see it's a behemoth. Now, it didn't trigger, uh, you know, we had some crazy stuff happen in the 40s, by the way, 40s and 50s with solar activity, but this one particular didn't trigger, you know, a solar storm impact like the ones discussed. It didn't, it it could have as we can see. Uh, this is Jupiter for scale. There's Earth for scale. So, this thing is massive.
So, the, the point of me showing you these sunspots is that the sun can generate these massive sunspots and, um, it's almost like you have a ship of the line moving in front of you and it decides to do a broadside. Does it do a broadside? Does it not do a broadside? That's the big question. But the ship of the, the best ships of the line, they got a 100 guns on them, 112 guns. You have, uh, Grand Admiral Nelson there, right? To know exactly when to tell his, uh, canon ears to to fire and it's game over. So, we can get these giant sunspots. And what we are seeing, uh, with the sun right now is that changes in the structure of the sun that's driving these solar cycles is now confined to the top 1,00 kilometers of the sun. Meaning it's probably more likely that the planets are able to perturb now these layers because it's not as deep into the sun and or, uh, perhaps this influences sunspot generation in way that it can really create these, these gnarly sunspots. We don't have data for the helioismic at least for this data set going back before 1985. Um, so we are limited in our observations here. But we see that this is possible. And with our power grids being loaded up more now than ever, it's very, very possible that we were to get that we could get some sort of really intense Carrington impact.
Now, the other solar storm impact that you'll see in this video, that's the Carrington impact, right? That big EMP happens. You know, you have, um, the p the telegraph, uh, operators were actually some of them were able to send telegraphs to each other just using the induced, uh, currents. They unplug the batteries. Here's a more normal chronal mass ejection impact. Way different. Okay, you see that earthmatic field still stays fairly strong and then the magnetos extends out, rebounds. Whereas with the Carrington impact, it's driving tons of activity super super close to the Earth, which is obviously a big problem.
Now, uh, if we look here, keep in mind that we also have tens of thousands of satellites in space. Starlink itself, SpaceX's, uh, Starlink has more than 10,000 Starlink now in orbit. But you see all these other satellites in geocynchronous orbit. There are other, uh, lesser known orbits. I mean, you see this one right there. It's a kind of unusual orbit like that. All the Starlinks are in this low earth orbit zone, okay, where the space station is effectively. They're close to the earth or in the upper part of the ionosphere and in the exosphere. But you have all these satellites in geocynchronous orbit. Uh, you have tens of thousands of satellites now in orbit. We didn't have that with the Carrington impact. We didn't have that in 1921. We also didn't have this really in 1989. So now we do. Now we have old power grids with new energy demands being placed upon them for all these data centers and, and of course just regular, uh, uh, increases of industry and business and more homes being built and, you know, as it gets hotter more, uh, AC demands, just general things like that. Overall energy usage is going to go up, up, up, up, and up. Um, and they're really not committing to putting in the technology that would make sense to power these, which in my mind at least would be these small modular reactors like a molten salt thorium reactor can safely shut down even if everything gets disconnected whatever just because of the way, uh, the physics of it, the nuclear physics of it. Natural gas requires, you know, the gas to keep pumping and everything and it's more part of the old system as well, the old grid.
So, uh, my dream, uh, this is kind of where I see this coming together. I don't know like when if etc. These are, um, this is just basically laying out the potential for everything and I think at some point it will happen. But my dream from a few days ago was, uh, simple. It's actually kind of hopeful, which is good. But effectively, um, I was out on this massive field. There's almost like 10 football fields all put together and on all sides were trees. So think almost imagine like New York City Central Park and it's just one giant grassy field, but then surrounding Central Park you see different buildings, but it's also like wooded. There's trees and everything. It actually looked like a pretty nice place to live. Um, but we're out there and we're playing soccer or for those international football, you know, we're kicking the soccer ball around and just running around and having a good time and it's super bright and sunny out and then all of a sudden like it was like and all the buildings lost their power. Now, it's daytime, so it wasn't like a, a very striking obvious thing, but everyone that was playing was like, "Oh, like the power grids finally went down." And this the feeling was like we've been waiting for this to happen. It was like, "Oh, they finally failed." And it wasn't at night. So, it wasn't this dramatic thing. And it wasn't like we were freaked out or now the dream, you know, descended into chaos or anything. It was like, "Oh, they finally fa failed." And then we just kept running around and playing soccer. So, you know, what struck me about this dream was a how vivid it was. Um, I was able to remember it very easily upon waking up. Uh, and usually the more vivid dreams are the ones that are more likely precognition, but also the fact that it wasn't this, um, like apocalyptic scenario or doomsday scenario. It was actually almost like a hopeful thing because the sun was bright. It was shining. And we have to keep in mind that the sun is always going to be bright and shining.
So, let's say we do get this big technological failure, right? You're still going to have the sun rise every single day at 6:00 a.m. or whatever time, and you're still going to have it set at 8:00 p.m. or whatever time, and you're still going to be able to go out and do things because the sun is up. It's going to you're going to have the weather, right? You're not going to be freezing cold. Um, whereas in this like tech society, this new tech reality that's we're being pulled into, it's seen as like the end of the world if technology goes away. So the dream was effectively at least affirming to me that there may be repercussions for this, but we'll be fine. We'll be good. But I wanted to share that because we're seeing these changes happen with the sun that are confined close to the surface. Uh, those changes, uh, seem, you know, to have been triggered at least back in 1988, 1989, 1990 when we had the last big solar storm impact that triggered a power grid failure. March 1989, Quebec. That was a Saturn, uh, Saturn Uranus and then a Saturn Neptune conjunction 88, 89. We just had our Saturn Neptune conjunction December 11th or so of 2025. We'll have our Saturn Uranus conjunction in 2032, which is 6 years from now effectively. Plenty of time for all this to get built out. But if that if those alignments do have an impact on the sun and these changes to the sun are now closer to the surface than ever, perhaps this is the conditions that we'll see, uh, another Carrington event unfold.
If we go back to our solar cycle progression really quick, let's go back to, uh, the solar cycle that triggered the Carrington event. Okay, so we need 1980, uh, 19 or 1859, right? That was it. Solar cycle 9. Solar cycle 10 here. Yeah. Here we go. Here we have 18, 59. And we want, let's just do, uh, September of 1859. August September. They're both the same. Sunspot counts are at about 200. Okay, which is the, the maximum for solar cycle 25 was August of 2024 at 215 sunspots for the month. So, this wasn't a super crazy solar cycle. A little bit stronger than average, but basically a normal solar cycle, yet it triggered this massive solar storm impact. If you go to 1921, okay. Um, here's 1921. We want May of Well, let's go back a little further. We want May of 1921. And let me even collapse this a little bit more for you all. Here's May of 1921. Sunspot values were only at 37 for the month. It was the very end of the declining phase for solar cycle 15. So that was a huge storm. You don't need solar maximum to have this happen. If we go to 18, uh, 1989 and we go to March right here, see some spot numbers were 170. So that was a pretty strong solar cycle, pretty equivalent actually to the one that generated the carrying. You see that it launched up there at around 200. Again, this is when we had the Saturn, Uranus, Saturn, Neptune conjunctions right here. Those specific dates being one more time, uh, June 6 of 1988 for Saturn conjunct Uranus heliocentric on the galactic center and then July 17th 1989 for Saturn conjunct Neptune again galactic center they're all three clustered together very closely so that's I just my intuition is telling me that that's an important factor that they were all there in alignment with the galactic center we saw this low frequency pull pulse with the sun. We saw this storm, uh, that knocked out Quebec at least for a couple days. And now we're entering into the next phase of Saturn and outer gas giant conjunctions. You know, these icy gas giant conjunctions with solar cycle 25 and solar cycle 26. Solar will be at the very beginning of solar cycle 26 around then in the ascending phase, uh, in 2032.
So I just think that, um, if we were to get a Carrington impact, the disruption to technology could be a lot more than you may think, especially for satellites. There could be deep dialectric charging which cause short circuits in these satellites. But you could also, um, simply get increased drag on these satellites from there being more plasma and higher overall, um, the ionosphere effectively expands outwards as it gets ionized. So it it ionizes and expands out, increasing drag on satellites. So you get increased drag, you get, uh, deep dialectric charging and you get, you know, circuit failures and more. It could be a big deal. And then these data grids of course are, you know, 10, if it's 10 gigawatts, you know, they need crazy transmission lines to feed them. So they're going to be well connected into the old system, uh, being fed by, uh, you know, the, the and they're going to greatly exceed, uh, exceed the supply of the old system, uh, unless they quickly bring online. Doesn't I'm very skeptical. It just seems like a perfect storm is waiting to happen.
But at least, at least a dream that I had, n equals 1. Who am I? Um, everyone has their own thoughts and mental scape and more it it seemed less about me though. It seemed more just about society in general. There is this recognition of yeah, it happened. The sun is still shining, shining. We're fine. So, I wanted to, uh, just give you this update on some of these changes with the sun that are a little, uh, longer in duration. You know, not just like, oh, this week, next week, etc., But over the past few years and and decades and we do see this ability from the sun again as I mentioned we do see this ability from the sun for the plasma to stay very tightly confined. It doesn't have to spread out. The past two impacts they were thinking okay it's going to spread out like normal. Therefore we'll have a G3 storm. Instead it stayed very tight going off to the southeast. and it clearly missed us because we didn't get an increase in activity at all from this. So, we could get a very strong solar storm to launch. If it launches exactly towards Earth and stays very, very tight, it could be a huge impact. That could really have dramatic consequences on Earth energetically and on society as a whole. So, that's your update for you.
I've been Yosfon Burns, geologist, geoysicist. Uh, we have a couple super thanks that have come in. I just want to read them off really quick. We're not doing a Q&A today. Uh, Anastasia, thank you so much for the super thanks. And, uh, Karine Young, thank you for the super thanks as well. There is an interview that, um, I had with Dana Kipple on Amelia Ortiz's channel. Then also with Natalie Namaste on Kyle and Leia's channel, Heart Coherence Collaborative. You can watch those if you want. They're fun. Uh, Anastasia, thanks one more. Thanks again. And Karine Young once more as well. Yeah, huge, huge data center projects that are popping up all over and not just in the United States, but also with the UK, many other places. Um, so this could be a very big deal. Uh, Mana or Mona, Mana, two cats, thank you for the super thanks. And, uh, Cat Lady, thank you for the generous super thanks as well. And Stacy, thanks for the super thanks and for donating some memberships. So, uh, thank you all so much for everybody. Uh, wishing all of you well.
The, the I guess the final takehome that I can say here is that just make sure you have some own some of your own power generation, right? If you have if you have a home and everything, get 1,600 watts of solar panels at a minimum. Get a basic solar inverter and get a basic battery setup for that. Like probably 4 kilowatt hours, something like that. You could do all that for 5,000 bucks or so. Even cheaper if you get the solar panels on discount. Ideally, you're getting more like 3,000 watts of solar panels, but I have 800 watts personally with a small battery. Much smaller than that. It's like 1 kilowatt hour. Uh, it's all built in with the inverter. And that's enough to run a fridge, a hot plate that could run a variety of things just to keep you going, boil water, whatever, right? So, if you have your own power generation, things will be fine when the big one hits. And the, the like the risk the chance of a big Carrington event not hitting in the 21st century I think is very low. I think we're almost certainly going to get at least one Carrington event in the 21st century. I'd be blown away if we don't. We've had a whole bunch of launch out that have missed us. Eventually it won't miss. So make sure you just, you know, aware of this. Uh, but don't freak out. It may actually be one of the best things that happened to us in a long time. I think people will be fine. I don't think technology will necessarily escape unscathed and that might be a good thing. So with that, thank you all. Wishing you well. Have a great day and I'll see you all in the next video.