Transcription
Welcome to Astro on my YouTube. Hello, I am Naresh Kumar. First of all, thank you to the viewers who have subscribed to the page. They are sharing, liking, and giving their opinions in the comments section of the page's videos. So friends, in this video, we will talk about Gold and Silver. Last week was quite volatile for Gold and Silver. In my previous week's live session or in my group, I had mentioned that Silver and Gold would remain volatile but positive. So we saw that Gold closed above $4000 despite all the volatility, and Silver also managed to close positive on Friday. Although Friday and Thursday both days had very high volatility. In the morning, it punched when its punching rate was around 143900, in the evening it reached around 153600, around 5600, then it dropped again and continuously had a volatility of 10,000 points, meaning those who traded on MCX would surely get trapped. Well, people got badly trapped. Anyway, this is everyone's own style of working. Some people are trading in ETFs, some are trading otherwise, some are trading on MCX. But in this video, we will talk about two-three things. One is this cutting from the Business Standard newspaper that you see in front of you. In this news, you will understand that all the AMCs, which we call Asset Management Companies, that sell Gold and Silver ETFs to people. Now, look, there is a premium running here. There was a premium of up to 12%. The situation reached a point where Kotak had to close its ETF. Such scarcity was created in the market regarding Silver. There is news coming from 11 countries that Silver is not available. Physical Silver is not available in 11 countries. The premium in the spot market has reached around 202000. The MCX rate is 148000. After adding GST etc., we get it physically. But if we look at the premium, it is being talked about in the market at around 170. So, Silver is available at such a premium, and there is so much scarcity of Silver. Look at this photo. There is a photo. When does such scarcity come? This is a photo from 1907. This is New York, and in 1907, there was a similar crisis in New York when people felt their money would be lost in banks. At that time, there was no Federal Reserve. When Saturn enters Pisces, such a situation arises, and this crisis has now arisen regarding Silver. Silver is not available, and although many analysts are saying that it topped in 1980 at $50, then came down, then topped in 2011, then came down, but the situation in 1980 and 2011 is vastly different from the situation in 2025. We will also come to astrology. I will tell you astrologically as well. But first, let's look at it fundamentally for a moment, because many people are saying on YouTube as well that it has hit 50 once, now it will definitely come down. Now understand this. In 1980, the Hunt brothers bought Silver. How much Silver did they buy? They had to buy 2000 acres of space to store it. They bought so much Silver. Meaning, all the stock went to one person. Then Silver started to fall from there. It fell from $50 and came down to 10. It went there only once at that time. It touched its peak only once because there was scarcity. It came down again. When it came in 2011, it started trading above $40. First, it traded above $40 for quite a few days continuously, maybe 15 or 17 times, maybe 13 or 14 times, perhaps 13 or 14 times it traded above $40, then it hit in 2011. The difference was that it traded 40 times one day, the next day it went up continuously, then it dropped again. In 2011, the difference was that it consolidated a bit, traded above $40, then went up, then it dropped again. And now, when we are in 2025, it has traded above $40 17 times, and consolidation is happening continuously above $40. And this level, we are currently trading around $48. It has crossed $48 and is around $48. Today it is around 47 point something. 47 seems to be a support. There is a world of difference between this situation and that situation. At this time, there is public participation. There is so much public participation that people are not getting Silver. This is the situation, and everyone is buying. Meaning, central banks are buying, China is buying, Russia is buying, America is buying, and people are buying. Well, people feel that Silver has given a lot of returns now. I had said in my video that Silver would give more returns than Gold. A video of mine was posted in May. On May 31st, you can see in this video that I had said, and I had also posted a video about sector-wise performance, which sectors would do well. In that too, I had said that Gold and Silver would outperform Gold. A screenshot of this video is also in front of you. Which sectors will do well this year? Watch these two videos, and you will understand what my earlier view was on Gold and Silver. Anyway, let's talk about the next week, because there has been a lot of volatility before. So, how will it be next week? Silver might see some volatility for now. But I am still firm on Gold because in my old video, I had mentioned that Gold is bullish from June 15th to October 27th. I still stand by my stance on Gold. I think Gold should rise further from here. Understand the reason. First, a fundamental reason, the crisis that has happened again, the China and Trump issue. Trump imposed duties and a 100% tariff, and China retaliated by imposing reverse tariffs on him. On their ships, those that bring goods for export, China has increased the fees it collects from them. So, it took this step in retaliation. And in return, Trump has indicated that Boeing, the goods imported from Boeing, the ships that run, their parts, China has a large fleet. Trump has indicated in his other messages that he will not provide spare parts for its fleet, he will ban its export. Well, China is not dependent on it. The dependence on Boeing is only 5%, it used to be 25% earlier, that's a different matter. As this crisis between the two increases, because now Trump has spoken, then China has retaliated. Although the date for tariffs to be implemented is November 1st, if Trump changes his mind before that, which is his habit, then it's a different matter. But otherwise, Gold should move from here, and should move further. Fundamentally, Gold looks good. Astrologically, Gold looks good. The position of the Sun is such, the position of Mars is such, the position of Jupiter is such at this time that a position in Gold is forming. Gold will also move from here, and if I talk about next week, the Moon will be in Gemini on Thursday. This is good for Gold. Then it will move into Cancer. Cancer represents Silver. So, from Tuesday, you can assume that Silver should also move forward. After that, the Moon will move into Leo. Leo represents Gold. So, this planetary position forming for the next week, except for the first day, you might see volatility on the first day. But in the coming days, you will see a slightly positive trend in Gold and Silver. It is more in Gold. There will be volatility in Silver. Those who trade in Silver should build their positions carefully. But in Gold, I feel there will be a bullish trend going forward. It can remain so. If I talk about dollar terms, the target should be around 4100-4200, which is visible on the technical chart. Otherwise, agencies like Goldmansachs or your other rating agencies like S&P Global or Jefferies, who are giving these targets, I feel that Gold should move beyond these targets. Jefferies is giving a target of $600. Goldman Sachs is talking about around $5000. So, I feel that these targets are still small. Next year, Gold will shine even more than this. And those who have positions in Gold. I am talking about physical, I am not talking about speculation. All the people watching this video, do not trade based on this video. Definitely take the help of your financial advisor. This video is made for your information. It is not made to make you speculate. So, keep this in mind. Before making any investment, definitely take the help of your financial advisor. Please give your opinion in the comment box on how you liked this video. If you liked the video, please share it. Please subscribe to the page. Along with this, please give me leave. Goodbye.