Transcription
I profited over $20,000 in fantasy drafts last year, and the wide receiver position was why. We went all in on a few names, and it paid out extremely well. And I want to try to help you win in your fantasy drafts this season.
At the wide receiver position, the S tier guys, it's extremely simple, right? We all know they're going to be the first three names off in any draft board. It's going to be the combination of JSN, Jamar Chase, as well as Puka Nacua. Now, I am completely fine in whatever order you want to take these players. They are all extremely compelling.
Starting off with my wide receiver one, we are going to have Jamar Chase. Now, one cool thing that we just added to flockfantasy.com is if you go to the player comparison, you can just very quickly see what Jamar Chase has managed to do over the past three seasons and games with Joe Burrow and games without Joe Burrow. And while yes, maybe he's been disappointing where Burrow's missed, with only 16.1 fantasy points per game, which would have been the wide receiver 14 during that time period. While Joe Burrow's been under center, Jamar Chase has been the wide receiver one. Jamar Chase has averaged 21 and a half fantasy points per game among 35 games over the past three seasons. Hell, he really helped me in the Flock League two years back, averaging 10 and a half targets per game, almost a 30% team target share, seven and a half receptions, 94 receiving yards. He was first in receiving touchdowns per game during that time period. And honestly, there's no reason to believe that the Cincinnati Bengals aren't going to be the same offense that they've been over the past three seasons. Almost everything is identical. So, Jamar Chase is an incredibly safe pick.
Now, Puka Nacua is also a very safe pick if he can just stay out of trouble because this is a receiver that this past season averaged 107 receiving yards per game. He was the wide receiver one in fantasy with 23 and a half. If we actually look at what he has been able to do from a yards per route run perspective over the past two seasons, he has averaged almost four yards per route run, which leads the very top of the NFL. Um, now the only thing that you'd be worried about is again, Puka Nacua went to rehab this offseason. Maybe if you are stressing about his off-the-field antics, you can make an argument for JSN where JSN's only a 24-year-old wide receiver and last season at 23, he averaged 21 fantasy points per game. If we go ahead and look at wide receivers that this historically comped to in their age 23 seasons, you have names like CeeDee Lamb, Puka Nacua, Justin Jefferson, Odell Beckham Jr., Alshon Jeffery, Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, DeAndre Hopkins, and Keenan Allen. And the only two wide receivers that face-planted after this age 23 season, you had DeAndre Hopkins who had to play with Brock Osweiler the next season, and then you had Keenan Allen. And I don't think that Sam Darnold all of a sudden's going to turn into Brock Osweiler right after winning the Super Bowl. So all three of these wide receivers are incredibly safe.
If you're looking at flockfantasy.com, you'll see for drafts right now. I would take all three of these wide receivers after any player not named Bijan Robinson or Jahmyr Gibbs. But honestly, that can kind of be said about the next tier receivers we're going to be looking at as well, where if we move over to Amon-Ra St. Brown. He may be the safest pick in all of fantasy drafts. Over the past five seasons since he's been in the league, Amon-Ra St. Brown plays 16 games or more in every season. If we look at points per game over the past four years, Amon-Ra St. Brown's been a top 10 wide receiver in points per game. Over the past three seasons, he's been a top five wide receiver in points per game every year. And honestly, there's nothing that really changes in Detroit from last season to this one. Maybe you would have been worried about Ben Johnson going over to Chicago, but he still averaged 19 points per game last season. So, I'm going to be a little bit overweight on Amon-Ra. If y'all have been watching our live streams, which we are doing every single night at 8:00 p.m. Eastern, not going to miss a single day of streaming these fantasy drafts for y'all, you will have noticed that Amon-Ra St. Brown is one of my most drafted players in round one of fantasy drafts.
Um, CeeDee Lamb obviously took a step backwards this past season where you did have the injury and by the time he came back to Dallas, you really had George Pickens eating into so many targets in comparison to what we had seen previously from Lamb. Like the three seasons prior to George Pickens getting there, CeeDee Lamb had had 28%, 30%, and 27% of the Dallas Cowboys target share. And this past season that fell down to 23%. From a per game perspective. Now if we are looking at George Pickens, he's going to be a Dallas Cowboy this next season and we will talk about him in just one second. The reason why I'm going to prefer Lamb is just because we have such a large sample size and it's not like he's old enough to assume that he's falling off anytime soon. Very similar with Justin Jefferson. Um, for Justin Jefferson, we have had a dominant sample size. Five years in his NFL career, he has finished as a top 10 wide receiver with at least 17 points per game. This past season, yes, it was horrendous with J.J. McCarthy under center. J.J. McCarthy under center ended up leading Justin Jefferson to his worst NFL season, and it wasn't even remotely close. But we can go over to that player comparison tool and we can see Justin Jefferson in games with and without J.J. McCarthy over the past three seasons. And in games in which J.J. McCarthy was the starting quarterback for Jefferson, he averaged 11 fantasy points per game and was the wide receiver 35. And in the 34 games without J.J. McCarthy, Justin Jefferson averaged 18 fantasy points per game and he was the wide receiver six. So, my expectations will be that Kyler Murray will be the starting quarterback for the Minnesota Vikings this next year. And I am banking in just a full-blown bounceback for Jefferson. I will also be comfortable taking him in round one.
Now, moving down to our next tier, this is when I maybe become a little bit more worried about these receivers. And these are the guys I would be willing to take the mid running back ones over. I'm drafting McCaffrey over these receivers. I'm drafting James Cook over these receivers. I'm drafting Jonathan Taylor over these wide receivers. And of course, if you want to just stay up to date with all my rankings and everything that I'm doing, it's all on flockfantasy.com. Links in the description, links in the comment section. We actually just released a baseball draft overlay to help you dominate in those underdog drafts where I won over $20,000 last year. Not only is it the best draft overlay you're going to find, but also it is priced cheaper than any other one in the industry. Only $146 for the entire season. And that will also give you all the other draft overlays that we're building out for your regular redraft leagues like ESPN, Yahoo, Sleeper. By the time we get to August, those will be ready for you. And when you buy that on flockfantasy.com, make sure you use code FLOCK. And I'm actually going to be reviewing your team and reviewing your drafts for you for free.
Now, moving over to our next tier, we are going to be looking at Drake London leading us off. London had really bad quarterback play last season and he's gonna have really bad quarterback play yet again this year. But Drake London at only 24 years of age last season ended up still managing to finish as the wide receiver seven with 16.8 fantasy points per game. And in back-to-back years he's had at least 29% of the Atlanta Falcons targets from a per game perspective. So he is just going to be a traditional absolute target hog. And even if the quarterback play is bad, um, you still got to take him. I'm actually a little bit more optimistic because they bring Tua over. So even if Penix is just complete dust after the torn ACL, you at least have a floor with Tua.
Now, Malik Nabers, obviously his rookie season, incredible. Almost a 35% team target share. Something that we had never seen before from an age 21-year-old rookie. And this is the best quarterback play that the New York Giants have had in years. Significantly better than what Nabers had to deal with in 2024. The only holdup that I have with Malik Nabers is it doesn't appear that the torn ACL that he had in 2025 was a clean one where that's the only thing that needed to get repaired. Nabers actually had to wait months to have surgery. His entire knee was destroyed. So, it's going to be something that's very important to monitor the rehab with.
Then going over to Rashee Rice. Let's go ahead and look over the past three years of Rice's NFL career at games in which he has managed to play at least 69% of the snaps starting in week 12 of his rookie season. Since then, he has scored 24, 1.5, 14.4, 18.2, 24.1, 11.7, 17.7, 17.3, 18.5, 29.1, 23.2, 2, 25, 18, 9, 24, 29, 7, and 12. But again, those games at the end of last season, you did have the Mahomes injury. Anyway, so Rice when he has been healthy and when he has been on the field with Patrick Mahomes has been a wide receiver one in fantasy. What did the Kansas City Chiefs do this offseason? Um, they didn't address their pass catcher need. They didn't go out there and make a trade for Brian Thomas. They didn't go out there and um trade up for Jordan Tyson in the NFL draft. So, as long as Mahomes is healthy, it does appear that Rashee Rice in the prime of his career is slated to be the wide receiver one in this offense, which has been a hyperproductive role over the past few seasons. You just kind of have to worry about the off-the-field stuff with Rice.
Now, moving over to Nico Collins. Um, I traded for Nico Collins in the Flock League last year, if you all remember. Um, and I was disappointed in what he did through the entire year, but after I traded for him, he had some really impressive games. Um, week 10, 22 fantasy points. Week 11, 24 fantasy points. Week 13, 21 fantasy points. Week 15, um, 23 fantasy points. We never got any of those 40-point bombs from Nico, but honestly, we really haven't had that since 2023 anyway. But he has managed to maintain his spot as a top 10 wide receiver in the league over the past three seasons. I know a lot of people don't like C.J. Stroud, but I'm going to be honest, C.J. Stroud was the quarterback for the Houston Texans over the past three years when Nico Collins has been a top 10 receiver. And it's not like this Texans team went out there and brought an alpha wide receiver one to play alongside Nico.
Now, moving over to George Pickens. The numbers love Pickens, right? You go back and look at what he managed to do at 24 years old last season, averaging 17 fantasy points per game. The range of outcomes, insane. Guys like Michael Thomas, A.J. Green, Odell Beckham Jr., Brandon Marshall, Dez Bryant, Nico Collins, Jaylen Waddle, Randall Cobb. Randall Cobb's the only wide receiver on this list that got worse from age 24 to 25. Everybody else, I mean, either got better or at minimum stayed the same. And if George Pickens manages to stay the same, he is going to be a massive value in drafts this year. Um, he was the wide receiver six in points per game last season. My thing with Pickens is a lot of this came when CeeDee Lamb was actually out. And obviously, I don't think we can safely say that Lamb was 100% healthy even when he came back last year. But the two games in which Pickens went for over 30 fantasy points were in games in which he was undoubtedly the wide receiver one with CeeDee Lamb off the field. If we look at the larger sample, of course, this is with significantly worse quarterback play in Pittsburgh. But um, George Pickens before this past year had never averaged 13 fantasy points per game and we do have the larger sample with CeeDee Lamb. So I'm going to default to CeeDee Lamb is the wide receiver one in this offense. We very clearly saw that Pickens can be productive nonetheless. So, he will be the only wide receiver two for his own offense that we are ranking inside the top 12 receivers.
A.J. Brown is an incredibly difficult ranking. A.J. Brown was horrendous at the beginning of this past season where he scored 1.8 fantasy points in week one, 7.7 in week two, 2.7 in week four, 9.3 in week five. In the second half of the season, he did get a lot better though. Like he actually was a usable fantasy option for you in weeks 11 through 17. And I know this has really stayed under the radar, but I have some pretty big news regarding an ESPN reporter named Diana Russini and an NFL coach named Mike Vrabel. I can't say anything or I'm going to get in trouble, but just trust me, maybe you'll hear something soon. And with that reporting, it's very easy to say that A.J. Brown is probably going to be a New England Patriot this offseason. We can just wait until the June 1st deadline in which right afterwards A.J. Brown's going to be wearing that Patriots jersey. Not only do you have to take my word with the special reporting access that I have, but also you can see this with the actions that the Philadelphia Eagles have taken this offseason by trading for D'Andre Swift before the NFL draft and then still deciding to select Keon Coleman in the NFL draft. Not only selecting him, but trading up to go ahead and get him. So, I think A.J. Brown's going to be the wide receiver one for Drake May, quarterback that was phenomenal last year with no weapons. And we have a large sample of A.J. Brown dominating at the NFL level.
Now, moving over to Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Um, Smith-Njigba had a fine rookie season. Am I going to come out here and say it was the best rookie year we had ever seen? Um, no, of course not. We can look at who it historically comps to. His year one comps to guys like a Metcalf, Cooper Kupp, Rashee Rice, T. Higgins, Stefon Diggs, CeeDee Lamb, um, Chase Claypool, Brandon Aiyuk, and there were only two wide receivers on this list that got worse from year 1 to year two. And that was Claypool as well as Brandon Aiyuk, but the vast majority of times what you see is just the natural transition from these year 2 wide receivers to take that step forward. We've seen that Bryce Young is showing some signs of life. So, I think it's fine betting on a year two breakout from Smith-Njigba.
Tee Higgins will be our next name. We can go right back to that player comparison tool with Tee Higgins that we did with Jamar Chase to just check, take a look at the games in which he has played with Joe Burrow and the games in which he has played without Joe Burrow. And Higgins honestly is actually impacted a little bit more than Jamar Chase with these splits. If we're looking over the past three seasons and games in which Higgins has played with Joe Burrow, Higgins has managed to be the wide receiver 13, averaging 15.4 fantasy points per game. And in games and without Joe Burrow, he has averaged 13.3. So, as long as Burrow manages to stay healthy this season, which is something that he hasn't been able to do in recent memory, Higgins should be a hyperproductive wide receiver that you can grab in round three.
Amon-Ra St. Brown won people fantasy championships last year. Like Amon-Ra was a big reason why Sal was actually able to take down the Flock League. Um, he had 20 and a half fantasy points in week 15, 37 fantasy points in week 16, and 26 fantasy points in week 17. All's age 25 comps are ridiculous. Guys like Calvin Johnson, Tyreek Hill, Amon-Ra St. Brown, all of whom averaged at least 19 fantasy points per game the following year. I'm worried about Amon-Ra for a multitude of reasons though. One, the concussion scare is very much still a thing. The second thing is Amon-Ra doesn't have the super large sample of dominating for fantasy football purposes. Like he has two top 24 finishes back in 2022 and 2023. And he has the very bad 2024 campaign which obviously you had worse quarterback play. Amon-Ra himself got injured. But this past year was his first top 12 fantasy season and now they go ahead and bring in additional target competition with Jordan Tyson. But nonetheless, still can be a solid round three pick.
And then going over and looking at DeVonta Smith. Um, for me, I really liked him in round five of underdog drafts last season and that was a horrendous whiff. Like he came out and he finished as the wide receiver 31. As of today, if you're coming out to those underdog streams that I'm doing every single night on this channel, you'll see that DeVonta Smith is currently going in round three. And the reason for this is everybody is pricing in that A.J. Brown is going to be on the move. But because they bring in Keon Coleman, I am a little bit concerned. I don't know if we're going to be able to see DeVonta Smith get up to 30 plus percent of the targets for Jalen Hurts. So honestly, if it was up to me, I would kind of view DeVonta Smith, even with an A.J. Brown trade most likely coming, as an late third, early fourth round pick instead.
Now, Garrett Wilson has a couple different things working against him. The first thing is he is a New York Jet. I'm going to break some really hard news to everybody watching this. The New York Jets are not a good professional football team. Now, I know a lot of people here, their heads are exploding. They're going, "Oh my gosh, Mason, don't you know the moves they made this offseason? They brought in Aaron Rodgers. Look at their offensive line. The Jets aren't good. They're never going to be good." All right. Um, and you have Mike Williams coming in. You have Allen Lazard coming in. So, you actually have some target competition for Wilson, who was able to grab 34% of the Jets targets last year from a per game perspective. So, I'm worried about not only this being a really bad offense, but I'm also worried about the fact that he actually has some competition for targets.
Now, moving over to Zay Flowers. Um, Flowers was super disappointing through the vast majority of the year. Like, I'm pretty sure half the comments in our wide receiver rankings video in week eight were, "Mason, why are you still ranking Zay Flowers as a top 24 receiver? This dude's a straight-up bum." And it's hard to argue against that because he went weeks 2 through 13 without scoring 15 fantasy points in a game. Unbelievable. Lamar Jackson last season was significantly worse than what Lamar had done at any other point in his NFL career. But Flowers managed to bookend his seasons with a 28-point performance in week 1 where he was the wide receiver one in fantasy and a 30-point performance in week 18 when nobody was playing fantasy football and he was the wide receiver one that week as well. Um, if we look at his end-of-season target share, he had actually risen to seeing 29% of the Baltimore Ravens targets. But one thing that will be an interesting note for Flowers is this is a team that drafts multiple receivers in the NFL draft. So maybe Lamar has some depth that he's actually able to throw to now. And then obviously you have the change with the coaching staff as well.
Now moving over to Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Um, I do want to point out that um, Nicholas Santos decided to leave us a comment on this channel in about week four or five telling us to rank Smith-Njigba as a top six wide receiver rest of season or he was going to snap. And then what happened afterwards was Smith-Njigba finished with one game over 10 fantasy points. The falloff was incredible. It was unbelievable. It was something that I had never seen before. And honestly, it has me questioning when Smith-Njigba got injured against the Niners in week six and left that game early and I was thinking Smith-Njigba was going to be seeing a prolonged absence and he just immediately came back the next week. Was he playing through an injury last season? How did we see such an incredible falloff after the first five weeks of his NFL career where he truly did look like the next Justin Jefferson? He truly did look like the next Jamar Chase. And then he finished off the season after being a top five guy through the first five weeks as the wide receiver 35 in points per game. So absolutely crazy stuff. And side note, Nicholas, if you're watching this, please respond to a DM I sent you on Twitter. Got something pretty interesting.
Now, let's move over to Mr. Ladd McConkey. Um, some call him Quentin Johnston's beta boy. I didn't say it, but others do. Um, Ladd McConkey last season fell from 5.1 receptions per game as a rookie down to 4.1. Fell from seven targets per game down to 6.6. If you compare Ladd's rookie year to his second season, it was not only an unbelievable fall-off with the volume, but also the efficiency as well. You can't just explain this by Keenan Allen coming into this offense because he fell off from 10.3 yards per target down to 7.4. He fell from 2.56 yards per route run down to 1.47. So, it was an incredible fall-off. It was um very concerning as well. The only thing that I can say that maybe is going to be a bonus is obviously one, you're not really going to have to worry about Keenan this next year. And two, on top of this, you do have the upgraded um coaching staff and the upgraded offensive line where I think the Chargers are generally going to be scoring more points.
Jameson Williams looked pretty damn good once you actually had the change with the play calling for the Detroit Lions this past season. I don't exactly remember when that change in play calling happened, but if you look at Jamo through the first five weeks, he was pretty much unusable in fantasy with only one game with more than seven fantasy points. But then in weeks seven onwards, he only had one game with fewer than 13. So now that Jameson Williams is stepping into his age 25 season and we look at the historical comps for age 24-year-old receivers, guys like Amari Cooper, Brandin Cooks, Terry McLaurin getting better going into their age 25 years, I'm pretty optimistic about Jameson Williams actually.
And then looking at Jaylen Waddle. Jaylen Waddle back in 2022 helped us win $150,000 on Underdog Fantasy. So I'm going to be forever grateful for him. But back-to-back seasons now, Waddle's been extremely disappointing not finishing as a top 24 receiver in fantasy. But a lot of this has had to do with the offensive fall-off that has occurred. If we actually look at the underlying efficiency for Jaylen Waddle, the efficiency wasn't that bad this past year where he did have 2.4 yards per route run. And now, if he's able to just be the wide receiver one for Bo Nix in a much better offense, I do think the ceiling is going to be significantly higher.
Now, going over and looking at Davante Adams. Um, Adams was incredible from a touchdown perspective this past season where he did average a touchdown per game. But I do want to point out that he had fewer yards per route run this past season than he has in 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 seasons. And at the same time, he had a fewer yards per target mark than he had in 2024 as well. So, there are some reasons to believe that Davante Adams just kind of is transitioning over to being a red zone merchant and that is it. But the offseason has played out quite well for him. He had some trade rumors that maybe the Rams were going to select the wide receiver in round one and trade Davante Adams. However, they didn't do that. So, it looks like Davante Adams is playing kind of the exact same role that he had last season alongside a wide receiver that had to go to rehab this offseason.
Now, if you are drafting in underdog drafts, you will notice that Luther Burden is going ahead of a lot of these wide receivers. Like Luther Burden is going ahead of Davante Adams by a mile. Luther Burden is going ahead of Jaylen Waddle. He's going ahead of Jameson Williams. He's going ahead of Ladd McConkey. And I don't know if it will surprise many people, but I have yet to draft Luther Burden this season. I will want to point out the positives with this profile though because obviously I'm expecting him to get way way way better. I am ranking him as a top 24 wide receiver in fantasy despite this past season him finishing as the wide receiver 55 in points per game. Despite this past year him only being able to account for 12.8% 8% of Caleb Williams' targets from a per game perspective, only running 15 routes per game and actually being outplayed by Olamide Zaccheaus in terms of getting onto the football field. So I'm expecting great things and a great leap forward because the efficiency is off the charts. 2.78 yards per route. So he barely got on the football field but when he did he was productive. 10.9 yards per target. So, he barely drew targets, but when he did, he was efficient and he was a very strong prospect as well coming into the NFL. He was an incredibly young rookie. So, there are a lot of positives that you have on this Luther Burden profile. He finished the year incredibly strong, but I'm probably going to be a little bit underweight in underdog drafts. Obviously, I'm going to be super interested when we get to August and we start to see these ESPN drafts, Yahoo drafts, um, Sleeper drafts open up, where Luther Burden's going in redraft leagues.
Mike Evans will be the next name. Mike Evans, we saw a significant falloff in his age 32 season, which for me is always something that's going to be very concerning, right? Like Mike Evans was drafted in 2014. That means he's played 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12. Mike Evans is going into his 13th NFL season, the same as Davante Adams. And where we can nitpick and we can say like, oh, if you look at these marks, Davante Adams has gotten slightly worse. Mike Evans fell off a freaking map. 1.66 yards per route run was the worst mark of his NFL career. Six yards per target was the worst mark of his NFL career and it wasn't even remotely close. But with that in mind, I do like the situation he finds himself in in San Francisco and this is going to be an offense that's good. George Kittle's going to be injured. Ricky Pearsall is not injured yet, but he may be. And yeah, the wide receiver they take at 33 in the NFL draft is um pretty much consensus the worst wide receiver pick that we saw in the draft this year.
Terry McLaurin, 30-year-old wide receiver that saw a pretty big falloff this past year, but honestly, I don't know if we can take too too much away from it because obviously we had the Jayden Daniels injury to go along with this.
D.J. Moore this past year, pretty big falloff. 1.26 26 yards per route run is hilariously bad. This dude was running double the routes per game than we saw from Luther Burden. However, the production was about the same. Not going to get to the point in the playoffs when maybe D.J. Moore gave up on the route. I don't know. I don't care. But it is a very big concern to see the drop-off in efficiency. However, you get the best thing that possibly could have ever happened to him where the Buffalo Bills go out and acquire him and they pay a pretty hefty price to do so as well.
Now, Carnell Tate will be our next name. Carnell Tate, my number one wide receiver in this NFL draft. He goes to the Tennessee Titans with the fourth pick overall. I know a lot of people don't like Cam Ward, but honestly, I think Cam Ward looked promising at the end of his rookie season and he gets the coaching staff upgrade. And now Carnell Tate's going to be by far and away his best weapon. I think it's actually a little bit of a sneaky spot for Carnell Tate.
Brian Thomas, I'm gonna be honest with you, I have no idea what to do with. I cannot remember a profile like this to save my life. He averaged 16.7 fantasy points per game as a rookie. He was a top 12 wide receiver. Then he proceeded to go at the end of round one, the beginning of round two of fantasy drafts. I think he went at pick like 11 or 12 in the Flock League and then he proceeds to fall down to 9.9 fantasy points per game and was the wide receiver 47 in 2025. I I've never seen anything like it. The yards per route run fell from 2.55 to 1.58. They go out trade for Jacob Myers, get a Parker Washington breakout. Um, I'm gonna have Brian Thomas ahead of Rome Odunze because at least with Brian Thomas, we've seen an entire good season of football. With Rome Odunze, we've only had four good games. Um, but I will say the efficiency from Rome this past year was at least better than what we had from Thomas.
Jordan Tyson, top 10 NFL draft pick, but um, you are the wide receiver two for Tyler Shough, where I do think you have a lot of upside, but we just simply have never seen it.
Marvin Harrison Jr. was the wide receiver 41 in points per game last season, but he actually fell from 11 and a half fantasy points per game in 2024 down to 10 and a half fantasy points per game in 2025. So again, I'm going to prefer a receiver like Brian Thomas over Marvin Harrison Jr. as well. Even though Marvin Harrison Jr. was maybe the better prospect coming out of Ohio State, um, Marvin Harrison Jr. is just not shown um ever the ability to be a productive fantasy option outside of random one-off weeks where he'll give you 25 fantasy points, but then the next two weeks, you know, you're getting less than 10.
Now, dropping down a tier, we are going to have Christian Watson. I didn't even expect Christian Watson to play last season coming off a devastating injury that happened at the very end of the year. However, he finishes the wide receiver 19 and at the same time, this is a Packers offense that actually loses both Romeo Doubs as well as Darnell Mooney. So, we know typically they're cycling six wide receivers through this offense consistently, but maybe they're actually a little more concentrated this year.
Keon Coleman, really love the prospect. Landing spot, probably not the best. Slipped in the NFL draft a bit as well. I'm going to be making this ranking under the assumption that A.J. Brown is for sure a New England Patriot. Like I told y'all, a little birdie gave me that information. Um, but if A.J. Brown, for whatever reason, were to be a Philadelphia Eagle, Keon Coleman would be ranked 20 spots too high here.
Alec Pierce gets the absolute bag by the Indianapolis Colts. And this is the perfect example of why if you're growing up right now watching this video, I know we got a ton of just 16-year-old world-class athletes. The next group of NFL players right here, right now. I'm going to give you a little piece of advice. Don't play running back, play wide receiver. Um, 11.9 yards per target back-to-back seasons. A very efficient player. Actually really good for the Indianapolis Colts offense and how he can draw safety attention and keep two safeties back, but he's never averaged more than 5.6 targets per game or 3.1 receptions per game. So, he's just a worse fantasy option than he is real life.
Going over to Jordan Addison. Addison was horrendous this past season. I mean, absolute dog water, but very similar to what we're going to do with Justin Jefferson. We're going to throw Jordan Addison in the player comparison on flockfantasy.com. We're going to go ahead and look over the past three years and games with and without J.J. McCarthy. And we will see in games with J.J. McCarthy, Jordan Addison, surprise surprise, was unusable. 6.3 fantasy points per game, but in games without McCarthy, that jumped up to 13.7, over doubling his production. So, I think you're getting a discount with the Minnesota Vikings players this year just because McCarthy was that bad.
Moving over to Parker Washington. Parker Washington incredible into the season and actually does have some respectable comps if you look at his similar age 23 seasons. You have guys like DeVonta Smith, Pierre Garçon, um, Deebo Samuel, Jameson Crowder, D'Vante Parker, Sammy Watkins, and actually if you throw Parker Washington next to Marvin Harrison Jr. and Brian Thomas from this past year, surprisingly Washington was the most productive receiver, but this is a crowded wide receiver room as well. And you do have a limited sample here.
Um, I took D.K. Metcalf in the Flock League and honestly was just kind of for the bit. I know a lot of people think Metcalf and I look identical, but it was very disappointing. I was upset that I did so, but I can only blame myself because Metcalf hasn't averaged 15 fantasy points per game since 2020. That was over six seasons ago, and he was playing with a 40-year-old Aaron Rodgers, which looks to be the case right now. So, Metcalf, not exciting.
Courtland Sutton was a top 24 wide receiver in points per game last season. I mean, he was the wide receiver 22, but now they go out there and they add in Jaylen Waddle. So, I do think that Sutton now going into his age 31 season should regress a bit.
Are two guys that won us a ton of money last year. Like I said, one over $20,000 drafting on Underdog. It was because Michael Wilson was inside my top five most drafted receivers. And in weeks 11 through 18, Michael Wilson was a top five wide receiver in fantasy with Jacoby Brissett under center. But I do want to point out that prior to that stretch, Michael Wilson had looked like one of the worst wide receivers in the entire NFL, averaging 1.1 yards per route run in 2024.
And then moving over to my guy, who I have a poster of right above my bed, Quentin Johnston. Thank you for everything, my friend. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Wide receiver 26 in points per game right now being drafted currently in drafts close to wide receiver 52. We can rank this 24-year-old receiver 15 spots lower than where he finished last year and what projects to be a better offense this season and still have him as our most drafted player this year and still expect to win a lot of money because of so.
But um, again, I really appreciate you sticking with me this long. I am so damn excited to be back here live streaming for y'all every single day. I'm going to be live at around 8:00 PM Eastern every day on this channel drafting real money fantasy football teams. I hope to see you there and I hope you have a phenomenal