Transcription
I used to be a member of the Democratic Party. I now am strictly sworn to be a member of no party because both are the same anyway and because this is the the Democrats became complete warmongers over time and there not was not one voice about peace just like most of your parliamentarians the same way.
So at the end of 1991, Putin put on the table a last effort in two security agreement drafts, one with Europe and one with the United States. The US put on the table December 15th, 2021. I had an hour call with Jake Sullivan in the White House begging Jake, "Avoid the war. You can avoid the war. All you have to do is say NATO will not enlarge to Ukraine." And he said to me, "Oh, NATO's not gonna enlarge to Ukraine. Don't worry about it." I said, "Jake, say it publicly." "No, no, no, we can't say it publicly," said Jake. "You're gonna have a war over something that isn't even gonna happen?" He said, "Don't worry, Jeff, there will be no war."
These are not very bright people. I'm telling you, if I can give you my honest view, they're not very bright people and I've dealt with them for more than 40 years. They talk to themselves, they don't talk to anybody else. They play game theory in non-cooperative game theory. You don't talk to the other side, you just make your strategy. This is the essence of game theory, it's not negotiation theory, it's not peacemaking theory, it is unilateral non-cooperative theory. If you know formal game theory, that's what they play. It started at the Rand Corporation, that's what they still play.
In 2019, there's a paper by Rand, "How do we extend Russia?" Do you know they wrote a paper which Biden followed? "How do we annoy Russia?" That's literally the strategy. How do we annoy Russia? We're trying to provoke it, trying to make it break apart, maybe have regime change, maybe have unrest, maybe have economic crisis. That's what you call your ally? Are you kidding?
So I had a long and frustrating phone call with Sullivan. I was standing out in the freezing cold. I happened to be had trying to have a ski day and there I was. "Jake, don't have the war." "Oh, there'll be no war, Jeff." We know a lot of what happened the next month, which is that they refused to negotiate. The stupidest idea of NATO is the so-called open door policy. Are you kidding? NATO reserves the right to go where it wants without any neighbor having any say whatsoever. Well, I tell the Mexicans and the Canadians, don't try it. You know, Trump may wanna take over Canada. So Canada could say to China, "Why don't you build a military base in in Ontario?" I wouldn't advise it. And the United States would not say, "Well, it's an open door, that's their business. I mean, they can do what they want, that's not our business." But grown-ups in Europe, repeat this in Europe, in your commission, your high representative, this is nonsense stuff. This is not even baby geopolitics, this is just not thinking at all.
So the war started. What was Putin's intention in the war? I can tell you what his intention was. It was to force Zelensky to negotiate neutrality, and that happened within seven days of the start of the invasion. You should understand this, not the propaganda that's written about this. Oh, that they failed and he was gonna take over Ukraine. Come on, ladies and gentlemen, understand something basic. The idea was to keep NATO, and what is NATO? It's the United States, off of Russia's border. No more, no less.
I should add one very important point. Why are they so interested? First, because if China or Russia decided to have a military base on the Rio Grande or in a the Canadian border, not only would the United States freak out, we'd have war within about 10 minutes. But because the United States unilaterally abandoned the Antiballistic Missile Treaty in 2002 and ended the nuclear arms control framework by doing so, and this is extremely important to understand, the nuclear arms control framework is based on trying to block a first strike. The ABM Treaty was a critical component of that. The US unilaterally walked out of the ABM Treaty in 2002. It blew a Russian gasket. So everything I've been describing is in the context of the destruction of the nuclear framework as well.
And starting in 2010, the US put in Aegis missile systems in Poland and then in Romania, and Russia doesn't like that. And one of the issues on the table in December and January, December 2021, January 2022, was, does the United States claim the right to put missile systems in Ukraine? And Blinken told Lavrov in January 2022, "The United States reserves the right to put missile systems wherever it wants." That's your putative ally. And now let's put intermediate missile systems back in Germany. The United States walked out of the INF Treaty unilaterally in 2019. There is no nuclear arms framework right now, none.
When Zelensky said in seven days, "Let's negotiate," I know the details of this exquisitely because I've talked to all the parties in detail. Within a couple of weeks, there was a document exchanged that President Putin had approved, that Lavrov had presented, that was being managed by the Turkish mediators. I flew to Ankara to listen in detail to what the mediators were doing. Ukraine walked away unilaterally from a near agreement. Why? Because the United States told them to. Because the UK added icing to the cake by having Bojo go in early April to Ukraine and explain, and he has recently, and if your security is in the hands of Boris Johnson, God help us all. Keith Starmer turns out to be even worse. It's unimaginable, but it is true. Boris Johnson has explained, and you can look it up on the website, that what's at stake here is Western hegemony, not Ukraine, Western hegemony.
Michael and I met at the Vatican with a group in the spring of 2022 where we wrote a document explaining, "Nothing good can come out of this war for Ukraine. Negotiate now because anything that takes time will mean massive amounts of deaths, risk of nuclear escalation, and likely loss of the war." I wanna change one word from what we wrote then. Nothing was wrong in that document. And since that document, since the US talked the negotiators away from the table, about 1 million Ukrainians have died or been severely wounded. And the American senators who are as nasty and cynical and corrupt as imaginable say, "This is wonderful expenditure of our money because no Americans are dying. It's the pure proxy war." One of our senators nearby me, Blumenthal, says this out loud. Mitt Romney says this out loud. "It's best money America can spend. No Americans are dying." It's unreal.
Now, just to bring us up to yesterday, this failed, this project failed. The idea of the project was that Russia would fold its hand. The idea all along was Russia can't resist. As Zbigniew Brzezinski explained in 1997, the Americans thought, "We have the upper hand, we're gonna win because we're gonna bluff them. They're not really gonna fight. They're not really gonna mobilize." The nuclear option of cutting them out of Swift, that's gonna do them in. The economic sanctions, that's gonna do them in. The HIMARS, that's gonna do them in. The ATACMS, the F-16s. Honestly, I've listened to this for 70 years. I've listened to it as semi understanding, I'd say for about 56 years. They speak nonsense every day.
My country, my government, this is so familiar to me, completely familiar. I begged the Ukrainians, and I had a track record with the Ukrainians. I advised the Ukrainians. I'm not anti-Ukrainian, I'm pro-Ukrainian completely. I said, "Save your lives, save your sovereignty, save your territory. Be neutral. Don't listen to the Americans." I repeated to them the famous adage of Henry Kissinger, that to be an enemy of the United States is dangerous, but to be a friend is fatal. Okay? So let me repeat that for Europe: to be an enemy of the United States is dangerous, but to be a friend is fatal.
So let me now finalize a few words about Trump. Trump does not want the losing hand. This is why it is more likely than not this war will end because Trump and President Putin will agree to end the war. If Europe does all its great warmongering, it doesn't matter, the war is ending. So get it out of your system. Please tell your colleagues, it's over, and it's over because Trump doesn't wanna carry a loser. That's it. It's not some great morality, he doesn't want to carry a loser. This is a loser. The one that will be saved by the negotiations taking place right now is Ukraine. Second is Europe. Your stock markets rising in recent days by the horrible news of negotiations. I know this has been met with the sheer horror in these chambers, but this is the best news that you could get.
Now, I encouraged they don't listen to me, but I tried to reach out to some of the European leaders. Most don't want to hear anything from me at all. But I said, "Don't go to Kiev, go to Moscow. Discuss with your counterparts." Are you kidding? You're Europe, you're 450 million people, you're 20 trillion dollar economy. You should be the main economic trading partner of Russia. It's natural links. By the way, if anyone would like to discuss how the US blew up Nord Stream, I'd be happy to talk about that.