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Sarah Paine: the Risk of Nuclear War, WW3 and NATO [INTERVIEW]

This Is The World33:50

Transcription

The loser, if they have a nuclear

weapon, is going to fling it before they

lose and that'll be the end of all of

us. You won't be worried about global

warming. It'll be climate change, but

it'll be called nuclear winner.

>> So, would you say that we are at the

precipice of the First World War

>> in an era of precision nuclear strike?

The United States is never going to be

given 3 years to get its act together.

The nuclear weapons will fly long before

then. Europe needs to uh be prepared for

that eventuality and what they're going

to do. And there may be a silver lining

in this cloud [music] for Europe, not

for the United States. It's all

negative.

Professor Payne, should we prepare for a

US military takeover of Greenland?

>> Uh if the United States does that,

what a mess.

uh it would take Greenland very rapidly

and then it would destroy its alliance

system forever.

Uh I think you would want to make that a

as costly an event as possible for the

United States uh to do that. It is so

profoundly against US interests to do

this. Uh it's horrifying that we're even

thinking about it and that I blame I

place squarely on the current

administration that is irresponsibly

uh jeopardizing US national security by

blowing the alliance system that has

protected us so well. In World War II,

the United States took a long time to

get its act together. It wasn't until

1943

that all the production came on board so

that there's actually enough equipment

to do things. Uh in the era of precision

nuclear strike, the United States is

never going to be given three years to

get its act together. Uh the nuclear

weapons will fly long before then. And

you can go great, we'll do nukes on

other people. Okay. Um, as the Tom Lara

song goes, we'll all go down together

when we go all safus and in and in

incandescent glow. Uh, yeah, great.

That's not call good strategy. So, yeah,

Europe needs to uh be prepared for that

eventuality and what they're going to

do.

>> But be before the nuclear weapons go,

hopefully they do not. Um,

>> uh um, as I have taught for many years

in strategy, hope is not a strategy. So,

let's put hope right aside.

>> Taking hope aside, uh, how would the

military take over play out?

>> Is it just like

>> I have no idea type of situation?

>> Greenland doesn't even have an army.

>> But the French have sent like what dozen

soldiers, right? There is some

posturing.

>> That'd be like a a welcome party here.

Have donuts. I mean, or have, I don't

know, a medland, whatever. Uh

if the United States with its Navy want

what it want to do get into a hot war

over Greenland, uh what a mess. What a

mess. Who's even contemplating doing

this? And the fact that Republicans

across the House and Senate are doing

nothing to stop it is uh it is beyond

irresponsible.

>> Is there a discord within at least some

there must be some within the Republican

party over Greenland or is it just like

all people swearing filty to Trump?

>> I don't know the answer. Well, in the

previous segment of this interview, I

discussed looking at things from the

tactical, operational and strategic

level. Strategically, taking over uh

Greenland will do the following things.

It will blow NATO, the American

participation in NATO. It will make

every country with a US military base

reconsider and figure out how to get the

US the hell out of their countries as

soon as possible. In addition to what

we've done in Venezuela, it will unify

countries across the third world to

minimize the US presence. Fourthly, it

will incentivize people across the globe

to boycott American products and that

doesn't require any government action

whatsoever. That is consumers buying

stuff. That is the minimum of what will

happen. That is beyond stupid. Why do

that? Uh uh Greenland is cooperating on

all manner of defense issues. Why would

you do this? It is one of the it would

be absolutely pivotal error. There would

be no going back for the United States.

It would have incinerated absolutely

last bit of every bit of soft power and

a good deal of its hard power. And in

addition to trying to wipe out its uh

scientific expertise right now by uh

just indiscriminately con uh cancelling

grants without thinking about it more

carefully. Uh this is all about slash

and burn about destroying things. For

instance, it is really important to

understand the the uh the ease at which

you can destroy things versus the

difficulty of creating things. So if you

ever have children, they'll spend hours

making a sand castle and then some angry

kid will kick it and in one moment the

sand castle is gone. So there's that

asymmetry. So currently the current min

administration is busy destroying

things. So people think at the tactical

level. Look, they've destroyed things.

They've done it so fast. Yeah, they

have. How about building anything back

that's better to replace it? That's

going to be the work of generations.

That's the strategic problem with what's

going on. So, we have a Republican party

and I'm going to pin it on them because

they own the judiciary, they own the

legislature, and they own the president,

right? The Republican party. Um, this

strategy of Greenland is going to

fundamentally undermine US national

security for themselves and their

children, and they're going to have to

live with it. It's it may be a little

bit of a kremlinologist type of question

except applied to the US uh because

there seems to be

>> at least or this is an outsider's view

but there is Rubio and maybe he's still

having this neocon type of heart within

him and there is Steven Miller and those

seem to be at least on some kind of a

spectrum maybe there is still somebody

>> the autism spectrum uh I I don't know if

Rubio's ever I mean Steven Miller. Yes.

I mean I don't know but I mean the

appearance is I don't know the details.

>> No the foreign policy spectrum of

whether to

>> Oh no. Oh there's the autism spectrum as

well.

>> No no no not this kind of

>> Okay.

>> Some kind of foreign policy spectrum.

Maybe

there is still some desire to

>> they're operational. It's about me in

power. Look at Rubio. He said one thing

about Trump a few years ago, another

thing about Trump today. Do you suppose

uh Rubio doesn't have an IQ to know what

he's doing? He has an absolutely has an

IQ. It's operational. It's me in power

and he's willing to take down the

country in order to be in power. And he

has children. He should care about their

fate. What's going on now is ruinous.

>> And Steven Miller,

uh, does he even have a wife?

>> I think he does. And the wife tweeted

about Greenland and it's great to take

it over.

>> Oh, good. Does he have children?

>> I don't know. I don't either. Okay.

Maybe the less the better.

>> Anyways, there is this anecdote about

Soviet foreign minister Andre Gomeco.

How he started his day staring at a map

for 10 minutes straight thinking about

what's the next move. Maybe Trump did

the same thing looking at the map.

Mercator projection. Greenland is so

massive compared to anything else.

>> He's he's a realtor, right? And he sees

pieces of property around the world. Uh

I have no idea. No one's ever accused

him of spending a lot of time thinking

about anything, right? I mean, this is

not me. This is others saying the man

doesn't spend a lot of time working. He

emphasizes he likes golfing. His history

is a of bankrupting a bunch of casinos,

right? And in casinos, I believe you the

house um controls the odds, right?

>> So that it's apparently a little harder

to bankrupt a casino than some other

things. So, okay. All right. And so now

he's in the process of drawing

destroying the United States.

>> But then again, if you read headlines

and like foreign policy, Politico, New

York Times, whatever, there are so many

analysts trying to make a post hawk

explanation of it all that you know

there is some deeper strategy than that.

Maybe the US is trying to consolidate

its position or whatever. Is there a

deeper strategy to it or is it just you

know impulse based? I'm not on any. You

think I'm on any of those um

discussions? Give me a break. I'm a

retired professor. All I can do is I

have a knowledge over how All right.

Well, here's the only advantage of an

old person from from you, a younger

person. Uh you you have a higher IQ

because I've got all these brain cells

that have died from it.

>> Yeah. Yeah. No. Yeah. Yeah. I'm just

>> But I simply have a longer period as an

adult. So your first memories probably

like all of us goes back to age five,

but then you have at memories as an

adolescent that aren't fully adult

memories. So whenever you decide your

full analytical capabilities kicked in,

I have a longer period of that where I

can look back and go, how did things

play out? And so that's the only thing I

offer. And then I've studied history

where you're trying to learn vicariously

from what other people have done. So my

conclusions are based on that

background. doesn't mean I'm right. But

I've given you the reasons why I think

what we're doing the United States right

now is ruinous for all of us. And

another thing about human beings and

this I'll emphasize to you as a young

person and me as a antique is don't be

afraid of changing your mind. And uh

people seem to have great difficulty

doing this. And I'll give you uh for

instance, if you go and buy a really

lousy pizza or something better at the

supermarket, I'm sure you're not going

to go tell your friends uh go buy the

awful pizza that I just bought, right?

You'd be telling them don't ever buy the

pizza again. But then if you make some

really and that's a low value thing, one

bad meal and it didn't cost that much

anyway. You're talking about these high

stakes things where you realize you've

made a mistake and you're not going to

reassess. Always reassess. And also

admit you're wrong. I mean I when

students uh tell me I'm they get me on

factual errors because I make them. It's

not on purpose. I make them in seminar

in real time. I'll go you're absolutely

right. And then I'll make the next point

and say look I've made a mistake.

Reassess in real time. Tell people that

you've made a mistake. Uh you look like

an ass otherwise. And then uh that is

not the current Republican party. It's

just double downing doubling down on

we're right about everything and then

demonizing the other side. It's crazy.

>> So would you say that we are at a at a

precipice of the third world war?

Yeah, I I think we're barreling our way

towards one. And that's why I have

there's this hysterical tone to

[laughter] my answers to your questions

because I think these are really high

stake things that once we've gotten into

it, it's all over because, as I said

repeatedly, but it's worth repeating.

The loser, if they have a nuclear

weapon, is going to fling it before they

lose. And that'll be the end of all of

us as we start uh you won't be worried

about global warming. it'll be climate

change but it'll be called nuclear

winter right if if this is what happens

so it's really important that this

doesn't happen

and uh so that's my I hope I'm wrong

>> looking at it from a European

perspective the other party is doubling

down on the current continental strategy

it if if there is like a deeper strategy

>> well it's it's all this real estate I

want more real estate needs operational

if I get it that means I won except

here's the story in wars. Wars are only

won at the strategic level. And give you

an example. The United States won every

battle in the Vietnam War. Where on

earth is the South Vietnamese

government?

It's gone. Right? The United States

seemed to win the battles in Iraq and

Afghanistan. Oh, okay. Tell me about

that one. So, it's the operational one,

which is back to my point of what the

strategic win. It's making things better

for your children and for the next

generation. That is what both parties

used to focus on uh um until very

recently. And both parties need to get

back on the program and focus on that

and instead of demonizing the other,

figure out some win-win solutions to

craft a way forward. And oh by the way

in strategy in foreign policy zero

someum solutions yield negative someum

outcomes because there going to be a lot

of fighting win-win solutions. And

that's what the greatest generation did.

All these win-wins like the Marshall

pan. The United States pours a ton of

money into Europe which then circulates

right back to the United States and

everybody makes a ton of money. It's a

win-win. And guess what? People join

those. That's why the maritime order is

inherently strong because it's win-win

and people will join and little

countries realize their only security

comes from joining up with each other.

And this is why I have great faith that

there are plenty of smart people in

Europe to understand that the United

States has gone rogue. Uh they need to

uh ramp up their own security and take

care of it. So, how do you even do reli

reliable posturing against like this

kind of semisuccessful

winner take all real successful? Where's

you think Putin succeeding? Where's it

succeeding? So, we got Maduro. I mean,

we're stuck with that man. We're going

to be paying hundred thou hundreds of

thousands of dollars a year trying to

keep him on prison food and all the

lawyers. I mean, it's just And how much

did it cost to get him? And he's such a

reprehensible person. Who wants him?

>> Okay. Okay. So taking away

semi-successful to unsuccessful,

>> how can you do posturing against

>> against such a such a positioning like

what does Europe what should Europe do

like send

>> hundreds of soldiers instead of dozens?

>> Well, no, Europe has been trying to talk

sense to legislators on both sides uh of

the aisle. continue and then organize

yourselves. And Americans need to get

out and vote and they need to dial it

back and start hearing each other out

and understand that they're being used.

Well, Europe tried kind of it's like it

will be like a 1930s uh analogy, but

Europe tried appeasement in terms of the

first tariff uh standoff. Um so

>> didn't work.

>> Didn't work right. Yeah. Yeah. So

>> that's so

>> so should we escalate to the

>> yes you're stuck you're stuck and this

is the problem. So uh if other people

are going to do terrible things to you

and you go this is so wealth depressing

why are we doing this um you have no

choice if they're going to do awful

stuff. So the United States should stop

doing the awful stuff. We should talk to

each other as much as possible at every

single level um of government. And um if

uh the Russians are deep inside uh US

elections and Europeans know about this,

put it out there, right? Start sharing

some of the information about what exact

if there are deep tentacles of what

Putin's game is and it's in everybody's

politics.

uh that ought to be out there because to

quote Samuel Huntington who was one of

the finest American political scientists

of the 20th century when I was taking an

undergraduate course in government where

he's one of the teachers um one of his

lines was power recognized is power

diminished the moment you put it out

there what's truly going on you're

diminishing it so this is where uh

putting things out there like I think

about uh pre President Biden who shared

intelligence in unprecedented ways on

Putin's buildup to Ukraine. And there

were many reasons why the Ukrainians

survived that thing. One of them was

this sharing of intelligence that took

away the whole false flag stuff and made

it clear that it was naked Russian

aggression.

>> Should we share intelligence about that?

We we we do get it. We we get daily NATO

briefings. Everybody gets daily NATO

briefings. Yeah, I don't I've never seen

any of this stuff, but um if you find

people are uh interfering with each

other's elections in in ways that are

detrimental

well in any way, right? Um now would be

a time when you would think that

starting to place some of those cards on

the table.

>> How about the information about US

military buildup on Greenland? That

should also be published.

I have no idea what's going on uh there

and I think uh uh that will be evident

from satellite imagery which everybody

will know

>> right but to to to that point even

satellite imagery is shared I mean

intelligence is shared like it's it's

all shared within NATO obviously not to

the fullest extent but

>> the United States may be in a timeout

from NATO if it does that you will find

that no one in NATO will share

intelligence with the United States and

the United States won't share it with

NATO Great. That's going to make us

stronger. No, but it'll you may not have

a choice if you're put in that position.

>> But there doesn't even seem to be a

procedure for for kicking a country out

like like the NATO treaties didn't

provide for for for scenario.

>> I got it. You got loads of smart lawyers

in in Europe. Yeah. Yeah. Well, you can

you can do the instant parallel

organization where you just take the

existing documents, you amend paragraph

one and then uh everybody can seamlessly

move move over and maybe you dump

Hungary while you're doing that seamless

move over. Well, [laughter] so so to the

seamless moveover and and this is also a

question that we are asking ourselves in

in Poland because if you look at the

national security strategy, uh it is

pretty clear that the administration's

play for Europe is to divide and conquer

or at least um try to get countries like

Poland, Hungary, Italy.

>> Is it working?

>> Well, in in in some ways Do people

really like Americans?

>> The Polish people do.

>> Oh, yeah. Yeah. Yeah. No, I get that.

No, I get that. But do they like this

particular aspect of US foreign policy?

>> And that's the thing like Poland seems

to be hedging a little bit. The

president is more pro-American, if you

will. The prime minister more pro

European. So like the Meloney is not

sending troops to Greenland. Like

>> to some extent it seems to be working.

>> Yeah. But she's all about doesn't want

Russia and Ukraine.

>> Correct. Right. So that would be the

important thing, right? That would be

the important thing. Uh Italy is not

going to be doing much about Greenland

one way or the other. So um

uh

I I think existential threats are

clarifying

and if the United States is going to try

to pose an existential threat to Europe,

why do that? I mean, it's hilarious

going Vance doesn't like uh European

um lifestyles. Yeah. Where does he go

for vacation?

>> Europe.

>> It's like guy, if you don't like it, why

are you vacationing there?

>> I mean, tell me about odd. [snorts]

Yeah, it it does seem odd. But

nonetheless, like we seem to be heading

towards a scenario where you know JD

Vance was really trying to get US

military out of Europe and now all of a

sudden it's the Europeans who will ask

or expel if thing if

>> well you know tell me you're on buddy

here take them back. Uh

and the United States thinks this makes

us stronger. Okay. And the French will

celebrate. I mean, right? I mean,

they've been sick of this Atlantis

Atlantic thing forever and they'll go,

"I told you so." [laughter]

>> Um, okay. So, say the the impossible

happens and uh there is a military

takeover of of

>> I have no idea. You're way into

speculation. What do I know about

Greenland? I am an

>> But that that will be a Russia question.

What would be Russia's move then?

>> What can Putin do? His his navy can't

even get out of the Black Sea. It can't

get out of the Baltic. What's going to

do? It's going to come, I guess, up and

around. You better do it in summertime

when there's less ice.

>> I'm not thinking that we are going to

have like a second Tsushima battle.

>> The guy is already overextended exactly

where he is. So, um when uh the strate

and he wants to open a second front,

that would be a gift uh because he can't

can't even deal with the the current

first front. So, oh yeah, if he wants to

overextend that way, have fun with it,

Vlad the Bad. It won't go well for you.

Uh because Russia, uh Russia has all

these narrow seas. It's navy's terrible

and whatever.

>> So,

so if if the Russians want to open a

second front, it will end up disaster.

>> Yeah. They can't handle front number

one. And front number one is endless by

the way, right? It's not your normal

front. It goes on how many kilometers

>> over a thousand.

>> Yeah, that would be a large number,

right? So, um he can't even handle the

one.

>> But

even if it's not like a full-blown

second front, like there is a range of

operations that the Russians

>> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. They could go into the

Baltic states and make their lives more

miserable that way. Uh and

>> sabotage energy infrastructure.

>> They're already doing all of that.

They're already they're in a sense they

already are at war with Europe. It's

just Europe's chosen not to recognize

these as acts of war uh requiring them

to get into kinetic operations that uh

part of European strategy is clearly

let's not do that. Uh and there must be

all kinds of ways to counter the cyber

attacks and the sabotage and probably

also clever ways to pay back Russians in

Russia that you and I would never know

about, right? So, who knows what goes on

there, but I'm sure there are clever

minds to think of clever things.

>> If if uh

if Greenland becomes a US territory of

some sort,

there seems to be nothing holding China

um away from taking over Taiwan.

>> Oh, yeah. Yeah, yeah, yeah. They can

definitely go for Taiwan. And uh the

Taiwanese will blow their chip foundry

if they have any brains and that'll be

the end of that. So great, you you've

just expanded your territory by a 250th.

Uh okay. Uh the Japanese will be

apoplelectic. As will the Indians who

regard that if it's I believe my

understanding is that if Taiwan's done

that India's next. So the Indians will

not like it either nor will uh the

Japanese. So what to do about all this?

It's organize the like-minded places and

also uh you're already doing it in

Europe with Merkosur with this trade

agreement. It's

>> the biggest one in history.

>> Yeah. It's happening really fast.

Americans don't see this. The world is

organizing around us

>> and what is it? Isn't aren't the

Canadians um they're doing some Arctic

initiative that has nothing to do with

the United States. They were hosting

something. I thought u my understanding

is that Europe has reconsidered what

kind of fighter planes they intend to

buy and they shall not be American.

Great. Lost all those jobs doing that

one. But but even then at least speaking

for Poland that like half of our

military equipment is coming from the US

and there is and then there is a a real

worry that Bush comes to shove uh there

will be some kind of ribbon drop mode of

kind type of deal with Russia and we

don't get access codes when we try to

when we try to get our fighters from

airfields.

>> Oh yeah yeah no I get it. I get it. So,

um, this would be why you need to build

up your defense industry and get, uh,

these changes for Europe reorganizing

itself. I'm making it up. I think it's a

10-year event of, uh, and you will,

it'll take time, but then you're going

to have a really big in defense

industry. Uh, maybe you'll wind up

getting cutting edge on uh, all this AI

and other things as a result of all of

this spending. And there may be a silver

lining in this cloud for Europe, not for

the United States. It's all negative.

>> So you see a way out from Europe even

though we are

>> deeply imshed into US defense industry.

You know, UK has the Trident program

like their nukes depend on on the US.

The the French are sovereign for one,

but the Germans have military bases.

>> It's profoundly dangerous. It's insane

what's going on. It makes no sense.

uh what is going on but um because it's

existential I have great faith that

human beings in when their existence is

at stake organized and isn't a UK

Ukraine an example of that

>> it does seem to be

>> it's not a seem to be it just is or you

can go back in World War II when the

Nazis came the the Ukrainians are the

are the backbone of the Red Army, a lot

of it, not all of it. Uh they fight uh

for Stalin's army is because the Germans

are worse.

But then again, it like at least maybe

it's uh maybe it's a parochial vantage

point that we have. But you know, at

least in European media, we hear all the

time, oh, German hegemony or say the

Spanish 20 yearear-olds won't die for

Estonia. Like there there does seem to

be lots of parochialism and not so much

eur assured European identity.

>> I got it. Uh yeah, I got it. But compare

Europe to 100 years ago. Uh it's just a

massive change. Compare Europe to five

years ago. really rapid change actually.

So it's not uh static. It depends on

what other people do and uh was the

saying Rome wasn't made in a day. It'll

it'll take you take you time but you

will organize around it. And then uh

Americans I hope will come to their

senses because none of this makes sense.

Like why do all of this? What's the

point? There is no point

>> even

so even in a scenario where say the

midterms are won by the democrats we

have the new president say will also be

a democrat

if if I look at Russia and even the

Russia's late preeminent liberal Alexi

Navali even he was supportive of Crimea

as an liberal quote unquote

>> he's not liberal he's just u

>> for Russian standards

>> I got it I got he's a great Russian

imperialist was my my understanding of

him. I'm I'm no expert on he um did

tremendously entertaining um

>> videos

>> videos. Yeah. And he's a brave man. uh

>> but he was supportive of of Crimea's

annexation which comes to shove and I

got it I can imagine that

>> so soulja would be too

>> that the paradigm in the US shifts so

much that even the democrats won't be

able to give Greenland back

>> haven't gotten it yet we're going to see

uh how this all plays out I don't know

the answer I tell you I've hit the

lecture circuit to do what little I can.

>> Uh there are other people who are doing

across the globe are doing what little

they can because it's all of our futures

and uh and also trying to talk across

political divides to see where other

people are coming from and what you

often realize is there some truth uh to

what they're talking about.

>> Do you see any historical analoges like

Suez crisis? Is there even an a series

at the very beginning.

>> But to the but to the specific

Greenland standoff

>> Greenland? No, it just uh

uh yeah, I don't uh seems you would have

to probably go back to when you have

monarchs coming across with some really

dumbass plan and then uh everyone has to

go along with it because the only way

you have power is through your monarch.

So it's like, okay, boss, what do you

want to do? All right. Isn't Is there

any

>> Yeah. Well, this we're back to

operational. If the golfer and chief uh

wants Greenland, everyone's going to go,

"Okay."

Um I don't know the answer. It What is

it? Aams razor. The simplest explanation

is the law. I mean, it doesn't make it

true, but that's the idea. The simplest

explanation to me is operational is that

um people are using uh this guy who's

losing his mental capacities judging

from just insane comments in that you

can compare other president in fact I've

listened to many presidential speeches

because I need to do my exercise and so

as historian just listening to them um

they used to be really serious

endeavors. I think of Roosevelt's

speeches when Americans were far less

well educated talking about when he came

o to office about how he was going to

close down banks and how it would affect

rural areas this way and it was really

detailed

>> before freedoms.

>> Yeah. Well, but he was very detailed

about why he was doing what he was doing

and not talking down to people. And now

we got Mr. reality stuff where it's uh

yeah it's a sign of a if if this is what

Americans are are is the bar they've set

for their leaders it's a sign of massive

decline we used to hire pe have people

who had more extensive accomplishments

has institutional takeover

been so expansive that there is nobody

to say no like even US military can they

say no to the order of like

>> well isn't that I um um um um um oh

gosh, what's his name? Senator in

Arizona is in trouble and others for

saying there are things that are called

illegal orders and uh

uh

uh

who knows how that will all uh all play

out. But you can destroy things very

rapidly. There's this asymmetry between

like you could some terrorist person

could detonate this building probably

very rapidly. You put a certain number

of things in a certain number of places,

you light them off, kaboom, building's

gone. And then you go, well to rebuild

the building takes a good deal of

effort,

right? So what's going on right now with

the golfer there is he's doing a lot of

destruction because then everyone thinks

he's so powerful and then the cleanup,

it's like all of his bankruptcies.

Everyone else is left with the Bills. He

keeps he just goes off, fades into the

sunset, which at 79 he will definitely

fade into the sunset.

>> Is there still such a thing as the West

or the West?

>> I think it should be re renamed. So it's

the West starts in the West, but when

I'm thinking about it, I'm thinking

about it used to be with the United

States in there, but who knows now? But

it's definitely Europe. And then I would

include South Korea, Japan,

uh Taiwan, Singapore. I'm just going

around the map. New Zealand, Australia,

uh and you go, well, these countries

aren't all Western, right? What

presumption? And it's what I would call

the democratic core. And there's much

variation among them as there should be.

For instance, if you think about um a

continuum with total equality in one end

and total liberty on the other end, if

you have total equality, you have no

liberty. If you have total liberty, you

don't have equality. But where you're

going to be on this continuum is a

matter for debate. So Americans

when they were into democracy were way

on the liberty side of things, but now

we seem to be shutting down civil

liberties, but we used to be uh states

right, liberty, states rights and

things. Um and other people like

Australians are much more towards

equality of making sure that everybody

and Europe more towards equality and but

there's great tolerance for that e where

you sit on those things and that is what

I would call the the core the maritime

core and I think that's a we got to get

off the um the west because it doesn't

really describe

uh what the rulebased order is.

And so and um it also um there may be

others that eventually join

>> hopefully.

>> Yeah. So

>> wouldn't that be it? But it has to be

win-win for them. Otherwise, why should

they join?