Transcription
And hello to everyone and welcome to Vision Crypto on this Tuesday, November 18, 2025, to be a map still very red. And yes, we went to do the chart that I announced yesterday. We went down, look, searching below 900 sats. We're going to zoom in a little. So that's it, look. And you see that we reached the target that I had indicated here. And I told you that I would enter a trade if we came here to the level of 89905 exactly. That's where I entered and that's it. So, as a result, my order was executed. I am in the trade. We see that we are in the process of making a rebound. We are stopping in this zone, in any case. That doesn't mean we won't go lower. We can still go lower, knowing that there are quite a few people who are long, like me, meaning that we can indeed punish them.
Forced, if the market sees that a lot of longs are opening, it will continue to fall just to punish the longs. So be careful, you have to be prudent. I entered, but I will protect my position very quickly. That is to say, I will move to breakeven quickly. That way, at least, if we make one last reversal to go and liquidate the last people who are long here, well, I will be protected and I won't have lost money. But for now, we have a reaction. So what I would like is to have at least the rebound here and then see if we continue to go lower or not. So I am, I must tell you, content.
So yes, you will tell me you are completely crazy. We are taking an extreme hit, our altcoins are being massacred, Ethereum has gone below $3000 and now we have gone below $90,000 and you are happy. I am happy. Simply, if you saw yesterday's daily, you know that I wanted us to come here at the beginning of the week because, as I have already explained to you, generally, we do the opposite movement for the rest of the week. That is to say, here, we have fallen, we have recovered a maximum of liquidity, we have scared everyone, really scared. Look if we go to see the Crypto Fear and Greed Index. We are at 15, I told you yesterday too, that we were going to go much lower. Yesterday, we were at 17, we were already in extreme fear, now we are at 15. And so yes, it is very, very low. The market is very fearful. This, once again, is a very good thing. And why is all this a very good thing? But because all this could possibly show a bottom. As I indicated to you here, we are firstly in a long RLZ, a mega big long RLZ. Secondly, we have filled, look here, if I switch to the CME, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, we have completely filled the CME gap that had been there for a long time. I'll switch to 4 hours, it will be simpler. The CME gap that was here, that's it, it's completely filled, so it no longer exists. And look, if I come back here to BTC and I switch to, oops, weekly here, we see that we also had something very important. Here, we had imbalance, a large imbalance zone. Well, we see that we have filled it by more than 50% and generally when we fill an imbalance or an FVG by more than 50% we can potentially move on. We can also fill it entirely. That's why you have to be careful. We could go lower in the long RLZ but well, we could also move on. So today, it is possible that we go a little lower or that we mark this rebound and move on possibly higher. In any case, the zones I wanted have been reached. Now, it will be extremely important to observe the reactions, to observe what will happen because now, a reaction will be needed in this zone. As I told you again, we can go lower, that doesn't mean it's a catastrophe. We can go a little bit lower and then have the bullish reaction. It's this whole zone that needs to be taken into account, that is to say, really the whole green square. So we can still go a little lower.
Regarding liquidations, it's the same, we have been captured. You see all this liquidation that was relatively important. You see that we are recreating it right away, right away here, very quickly again. But you also see that we are creating a lot of liquidation to the north. Again, we know it very well, a lot of interest to the north. We see it here too, there's nothing left to the south. There's nothing left. So even if at the moment, we are creating leverage again because we are going long. That is to say, look, if I switch to one day, well, here there are people who have put stops, so well, the market can come and get them. So we could very well dive, you see, down to 87900 to capture all the stops. And then, we have to see if there are still long positions opening, so we could go even lower to 86000. In short, you understand, every time there are people going long, we can go and get them to punish them. But the interest, in any case, is to the north. Again, we have much, much more interest to the north, so why not mark a bottom soon. So, you have understood that we are in a very strong zone of interest. We can navigate in this zone. We can go a little lower or we can rebound right away. But in any case, we have reached very, very important targets. And now, it will be very important not to break this whole zone. We need a reaction, we need to go up, we need to breathe. A reaction will be needed and I hope this reaction will happen either today or tomorrow. In short, you've understood, the rest of the week. And again, I am happy that we did it at the beginning of the week because, as I repeat, generally, we make a movement at the beginning of the week and we do the opposite at the end of the week. Well, I hope it will happen like that.
So to look at the liquidations, of course, we were massacred again, more than a billion in liquidations in total, and just on longs, 718 million, for shorts, 289 million. So of course, it's the longs that were assassinated again. What is still very bad, are the other flows at the ETF level. Now, I'm missing the figure for Grayscale in our outflow of 220 million on BTC and on our friend Ethereum. We have an outflow of 182 million. Ah, I have the Grayscale figures. So, that means if I refresh here, I might have the Grayscale figures. Well, no, no, I don't have any figures. It's possible they didn't do anything at all. But in any case, we are still in outflow on the BTC ETF, on the Ethereum ETF. Let's hope we get large inflows again because we have had a lot of exits. This week will also be very important. Tomorrow, we will have the annual CPI, Thursday, because now the shutdown is over, so we should have the figures again. Thursday, there will be the weekly unemployment claims, very important. Non-farm payroll creation, the manufacturing index, the unemployment rate, very, very important too. And on Friday, we have the manufacturing PMIs and the services PMIs. If all these figures are good, then indeed, it could help us to rebound very strongly upwards because it's not just BTC that has fallen. Look if we go to see the daily candle of the Nasdaq. Look yesterday here, we made a big red candle. So it's not only BTC that has fallen, the Nasdaq has also fallen. And here, you see for the moment we are also with a red candle. So we'll see if traditional finance will also rebound or not. Of course, we will be tied to that. If the Nasdaq or the S&P 500 continues to crash, well unfortunately BTC will continue to crash. So it will be very important to follow all this.
By the way, to not miss any future videos, don't hesitate to click now on the subscribe button and that way, we can follow all this together regarding the news. Well, there's one who is not afraid at all and who is taking advantage of this drop, and not a little bit, look at Strategy. So they bought an additional 8178 bitcoins. So they bought recently for 300 bitcoins, 700 bitcoins, 800 bitcoins. Well, they clearly took advantage of the drop, 8178 Bitcoins. So they are not afraid of the drop at all, as usual, we know it well, anyway, they have a strong conviction that BTC will go much higher. Personally, I have this conviction too. So well, they are taking advantage, so to speak, of the sales to buy much more BTC. And so these 8178 Bitcoins cost the trifle of 835 million dollars. There is another one who is having fun buying during this drop, it's El Salvador which is buying for 100 million Bitcoin. So we see that those who have very strong convictions on BTC and have the means, especially, well, we see that they are buying back. So while all the retail investors, everyone is relatively afraid, well, we still see that countries like El Salvador are buying back, we see that large companies like Strategy are buying back again. So well, again, what is it? Well, it's the big players who buy the dips while everyone is in fear. I remind you again, we are at 15 here and there are even data points at 11. Look, by the way, I found the data. We have this fear and greed index, it's at 11, so the market is really in extreme fear.
So that's it, team. So in terms of news, there's not much in particular. We just see that the big players are buying back while we are in a bad state. But I find it very positive. What does that mean? It means that they still believe that BTC will go up, will go up very strongly. We are in a zone, as I told you, as we saw in yesterday's daily, which is very, very important. We will see if it will be defended or not. We will see if traditional finance will also rebound. And if all this is combined, well, I think we could see a Wednesday, a Thursday, a Friday that is very, very green and very bullish. In any case, that's what I hope for. For those who saw yesterday's daily, well, you knew that we would probably fall back into this zone. In any case, that was my scenario. There were a lot of confluences. Now, a reaction will be needed. And we will see in tomorrow's daily if we have a positive reaction or a negative reaction. That's why, again, don't hesitate to click on the subscribe button. I'll leave you with that. I'll see you tomorrow in the daily and above all, above all, stay curious. Ciao!