Best Bets for NFL Week 3 & a +1000 Parlay

Welcome back to Hold the Phone YouTube. Here are our best bets for NFL week three. We gather here today to find winners, the best sports betting show on the platform here on YouTube because of the beautiful people on the other side of this screen. Drop a like. Drop a like. Drop a like. Keep the program afloat. Heading in the right direction. There's a light at the end of the tunnel. We have a hell of a show in store.

How do we feel about NFL week three? After week three, 17% of the NFL season will be completed. That's [ __ ] up, dude. I don't want to be a Debbie Downer. I was excited. You dropped me down, dude. But we got and two more weeks without buy. So, you get 16 games for four weeks. The first four weeks and a couple at the end. We got to soak those in. Soak them in. Soak it to the filter. Watch every game. Don't leave any bets on the table.

All right, let's get into our first segment as we always do on this NFL Sunday show. Game picks. Five game picks. Some of our favorite game picks. Uh Loop. Yes. Uh we've been pretty good against the spread. Um I don't want to talk about the past. We only continue to move forward. However, the things You don't want to talk about the past. Let's talk about the past. We've been We've seen things. We feel things. Plums. Plums. Plums.

Game number one. You love this game. I do. It scares the [ __ ] out of me. Um but we have Daniel Jones and the Indianapolis Colts. The last time they started 2-0, they won the Super Bowl. How are you? Now they take their first road game to nowhere else. How about to the Tennessee Nashville to play a team in the Ind uh to play a team in the Tennessee Titans who are 0 and 9 against the spread in their last nine home games. They're going against Indiana Jones, Danny Dollars, Danny Quarters. Best show on turf. Uh Cam Ward, top of the world, two and 0. Cam Ward went into Mile High, showed some life, showed some signs. The team showed some life. It wasn't just a dog, just a [ __ ] you know, just getting smacked around, uh, getting dogged, bent over a barrel, mile high, I would say, has to be one of the toughest places to play in your first career start. They covered for us. Then they come home, skin of their teeth. There was obviously there was obviously some adjustments made in the season opener for the LA Rams. It was a close game. Titans were winning at halftime, but they kind of lost sight, lost track. The coaching on the Tennessee Titans sideline um is a little sketchy right now. It scares me. They're still obviously trying to figure out probably a million things. Well above our pay grade. However, not true. However, the Indianapolis Colts now getting taken out of their own home and haveing having to try now on the road. Yeah. I feel like some things get altered, some things change, some new obstacles, some new challenges. Yeah, I mean, this seems like the classic without giving away the pick, unless you want to just give it away. We're taking the Titans plus four and a half. It seems like a classic spot to buy low and sell high. Yeah. You know what I mean? Suit and tie. But I will say, call us the Wolf of Wall Street. I spent weeks one and two sweating out the Titans. Yeah. And although they covered by a half a point week one, neither game I was enjoying myself. Neither game did I feel good about and I will say but those are the best ones. If they [ __ ] me this week, never again. I'm not never again, but I'm taking a break. Yeah, I'm taking a break. Yeah. Okay. I if they if we lose this time, I need a little Titans break. Do you know how sick it would be though if the Titans win outright? Yeah. How poetic would that be? I said it before, I'll say it again. I wouldn't be shocked that Cam Ward gets his first win and hands the first loss to the hottest team in the NFL. Is this does this fit your favorites over a certain point have won what is it every game over four and a half? Yeah. Favorites of four and a half points or more thus far in the NFL season are 12 and 0 straight up. Yep. So dogs got to start barking at some point. Um look, it's an indivision home dog. I know. Too which is like another trend that points you towards vision, closing your eyes. Um, this spread has creeped up in the direction, uh, which does not shock us towards the Colts because why wouldn't you bet the Colts on a short line of short here? We are at now getting four and a half. It was at three, three and a half, now four and a half. We're going to close our eyes. We're going to grab our sack and we're going to take the Titans plus four and a half. Yeah. Uh, we rode the Colts week one and week two. Yep. Let's stay three and 0 in Indianapolis. Yeah.

All right, let's go to the next game. Game number two. Another in division game. Another short spread. Um, another two teams that need a win. Look, if you tuned in to the early weeks, this is why you now tune in to the NFL best picks favorite picks of the NFL week because I'm changing my side. Earlier in the week was Jacksonville Jaguars. I looked in the mirror all week. I did not sleep this week. You did look in the mirror a lot. I I spent a lot of a lot of hours in the lab. The Houston Texans are not going 0 and 3 in the AFC South the last 10 games. They've been underdogs to the AFC South. They're eight and two straight up. CJ Strad season on the line. I'm selling my stock with the Jacksonville Jaguars. I bought in. I'm now buying out. Give me the Tennessee or give me the Houston Texans plus one and a half. Give me the Houston Texans money line. They're walking out of Jacksonville after the things I saw last week. I don't have a lot of confidence in the Jags on the offensive side of the ball or the defensive side of the ball. Yeah, I love the Texans D against this Jags team. I love the Texans D against Trevor Lawrence. They looked good against Baker Mayfield. Demo Ryan's got the boys buzzing on D. Although they're 0 and 2, but they're 0 and 2. They lost a five-point game and a one-point game to the Rams and to the Buccaneers. That is no two pretty good games. Two pretty good teams and two pretty good games. Yeah. Uh Strad is three and one versus the Jags in his career. I think the Texans are still a better team. I think they're playing for their lives. Yep. Uh I like the Texans. Look, at the end of the day, when you look at both sides of the football, we get the Jags going against the Texans defense, which I love that matchup. We get the Texans going against the Jags defense, and I love that matchup. And at the end of the day, that's what it [ __ ] boils down to. The trenches on both sides of the line of scrimmage. Both sides point towards the Texans. I can't believe they're a dog. It's probably because a lot of people are going to be taking that short home favorite in division. It's not easy to win a road game in indivision. Season's on the line. Also, I mean, they're fourth and 10 scramble from Baker Mayfield away from beating the Bucks and being one and one. So maybe that line would have been flipped. Yep. Give us the Texans on the money line.

Game number three, Broncos Chargers. Another indivision game. Another reason why. Every game so far this NFL season has played with indivision. Another reason why you tune back in. I'm flipping. I'm switching. You've been back and forth on this game all week. Yeah. Which is which which pains me. Really hurts me. Um, look, NFL week three is a must-win week. Uh, NFL week three is the biggest week of the NFL season because the difference between two and one and one and two are light years away. Yeah, it's light years away. You're either climbing out of a hole and now your back's against the wall and the whole season script has flipped or you're you're taking steps in the right direction and you're two and one and it's move forward. The only way out is through. And right now for Shawn Payeyton and the Denver Broncos, you cannot play catch-up and let a division rival start the year three and three and 0. No. Three and 0. Yeah. Chargers are now the favorites to win the division. It makes sense. The Chiefs dead. 0 and 2. Yeah. Well, not Raiders. No one's home. Nope. This game lot. We're gonna this this game in the standings at the end of the year could be a big difference maker. And I see a lot of people jumping under the covers with the Chargers and Justin Herbert because why wouldn't you? And you're just talking about two teams that the Texans have lost to. Well, let's talk about the two teams that the Chargers have beaten on the on the road in Brazil. Fluke [ __ ] everywhere. They skinny out against the Chiefs team who doesn't appear to have a lot of weapons or a lot of things going at the moment. Can't call it a bad win. It's not a bad win, but at the moment it's a massive win. I mean, the Chiefs had beaten the Chargers seven times in a row. Fantastic win. But the state of the Chiefs right now, then you go to game two. Yeah. The Chargers defense looked like the best defense in the NFL against Gino. He couldn't do anything. Again, to be seen how big when that Raiders win is, but the Chargers on both sides of the ball. That's what I'm saying. I know. Um Justin Herbert right now, it looks like one of the most dialed quarterbacks in the NFL and off the field. Um on and off the field. Madison Beer might be making a difference. You were on her Instagram today. You like what you saw? Dude, Madison Beer is unbelievable. Yeah, she she is like uh you know. Yeah, she is very special. Yeah, she is. We're going to find you someone like that. Don't worry about it. And anyone who tells you otherwise is lying to your face. I mean, there's a lot of Instagram influencers and you know, you would know. And yeah, I would know. I spent a lot of time on Instagram using that Zoom feature. Uh there's a lot of, you know, but Madison Beer, she's in a league of her own. She's [ __ ] incredible. And that's probably why we're seeing some some unbelievable quarterback play from Justin Herbert that we've never honestly seen before with the three-headed monster of Keenan Allen, Lab Manki, even Quinton Johnson decided to start catching balls after seeing Madison Beer. Yes. Um look, with that being said, give me the Broncos plus three. This is going to be a barn burner fight to the death down to a last field goal. Whether if it's [ __ ] Mr. uh McMah Mc Mcmanis or or uh Cam Dicker the kicker. Uh it's going to come right down. It's going to be coming right down. Okay, the final play. And I love the uh the Broncos. Your mother-in-law started speaking. I don't know what happened behind the camera. She never she's I won't say anything. Um the Broncos run deep got crushed against the Colts. might not have that problem with the Chargers. Chargers haven't figured the ground out yet. I love that take and that's something I was thinking about because Amarian Hampton if the weak point of the Broncos defense right now is you know Jonathan Taylor rubbed his testicles across this D career game. Amari and Hampton we have seen still yet to be seen nothing.

All right, let's get to the next game. Now we travel to Soldier Field. Uh a lot of narratives, a lot of anticipation, expectation. Uh whatever comes out of this game is going to make a massive dent in the National Football League. A lot of teams people, two teams people love to talk about. Luke, this is another one where I've been staring at the ceiling all week in bed at night. Y and and it really pains me. I I flipped back and forth earlier in the week loving one side, now feeling that the other side that I'm rolling with is the sharp side. Uh I think there's going to be heavy amounts of fluke [ __ ] in this game. Couple phone calls. I don't think it's going to be all sunshine and rainbows. I don't think it's what people are going to be expecting. I think, you know, setting the stage for this game, both defenses have not looked great. Terrible. Two of the worst defenses in football. This overunder is sitting at 50 and a half for a reason. Very high. Give me the over. Look, week one. Week two, Cowboys. They go against the Eagles. Eagles get the job done. Their offense looks great. Week two, home opener. Jerry's World. Defense looks bad. Offense looks great. Yeah. Um Russell Wilson throws 450 yards. Thank God for Brandon Aubrey. He has a third leg on him. Imagine if the wind's behind Aubrey at Soldier Field. 80 80 yard. You might just take the touchback and bring the kicker out. Hopefully he can hit over our 64 and a half uh season long. I know. 64. Unbelievable. Uh then on the other side, the Bears make JJ McCarthy look like the second coming falling. week one and then week two they then go to their division rival Ben Johnson back in Detroit. They hang 50 plus on their head. I think in the National Football League grown men have to get up and come out after being embarrassed. Have to show some life at home the next week. Everyone is out on the Bears. The public is on the side of the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys have looked like the way better team through two weeks. The Bears have nothing going for them. However, this is one of those I hate it. I hate it. I hate it. They're staring down the barrel of going 0 and 3. I can't believe I'm going to do it. I'm taking the worst team. I'm taking the more heartless, cowardly team. I'm taking the worst quarterback. I'm taking the worst defense. But for some reason, something is telling me that there's going to be fluke [ __ ] wins blowing around the Windy City Chicago this weekend. Give me the Bears on the money line. Let's see the graphic. Give me the Cowboys. You like that? You didn't see that coming, did you? Did you know that was coming? No. I can't sit on the couch with my Bears bet. I said the Titans weren't making me happy the first two weeks. There's just no way I'm going to watch this game and take the Bears and the and the Cowboys are going to go up 14 to three and I'm going to think, what was I doing to myself? Give me the Cowboys. Better team. I like the over two. It's just such an uncharacteristic matchup. Like when is the last time the Cowboys have traveled to Chicago? I just feel like there's something surrounding this game that it can't be this easy. This line flipped. The Bears were minus one and a half. Now they're plus one and a half. Everyone in bed is is going with the Cowboys. Everyone's buying their tickets to get on the Cowboys train that's leaving town to go to Chicago. I just don't think I think there's going to be something something to brewing. I think DJ Moore has a massive game. I think DeAndre Swift in the run game, they have to maintain the football and clock management for Chicago. I think Roma Dunce continues to stay hot and I think we see things from Caleb Williams because the Cowboys secondary Caleb Williams, I'm sure. I think the defense might might show out a little bit against the Cowboys. Okay, Bears are dead. I know they are. Cowboys are good and that's why I'm taking them. Good. Give me the Bears. We had to go headtohead on one of these. And I'm not betting on the Chicago.

Before we get to the six light parlay, there was a couple other We got one more game to talk about. Oh, we do. Yeah, we do. Oh, yes. Yeah, we do, dude. Yes. Sunday Night Football. That whole Bears thing got me thrown off. Yeah. Threw me for a loop. Didn't like seeing that loop back in there. It threw me for a loop. Mhm. Um, all right. We travel to America's game of the week. Carrie Underwood set the stage. Sunday Night Football in America, Metife Field. 20 and 2 teams going head-to-head. 53 men fight to the death. The Kansas City Chiefs taking a trip to Russell Wilson's house. Giants plus six right now as we stand. Luke, I want to go back to us talking about the Chiefs week one when we took the Chargers. I want to go back to week two when we took the Philadelphia Eagles. We talked about in both of those games, how many times in the 2024 season did the Kansas City Chiefs skinny out of games by the hairs on their ass cheeks? Fluke [ __ ] wins. All offseason I told you the Chiefs weren't going to be the Chiefs. And you're like, but they have Momes. And now you want to act like you were on that the whole time. Don't give me that crap. It's unbelievable. We need to pull back our videos from from late summer. I'm just saying you can never count out Mahomes. You you still can't count. I always think about there's a video I think it was Tom Brady where Max Kellerman is like pronouncing him dead after week four and then he went on to win like five more Super Bowls and then when I think about the Chiefs in this situation I'm scared. How can the Chiefs go 0 and 3? It's scary. And then I was have my brother texting me like you know the Chiefs lose a game and he bets on their Super Bowl to win the Super Bowl. He's like in January Mahomes will be Mahomes and you're going to be bending the knee. And maybe he's right. I'm not scared at all about this game. Not one bit. No. Everyone, Jimmy, Johnny, Joey, Billy, Bobby, Timmy, they're all taking the Chiefs. It does not matter what this spread was put at, what money lines were put at. Every parlay in America from sea to shining sea will be ending with the Kansas City Chiefs not to go 0 and 3. Yeah, this is a golden opportunity. Vegas is opening up the biggest biggest stretching all the way back. I might even get Tommy John trap of cheese and inviting all the mice, all the rats to come join in and just [ __ ] that thing. Loop. That was grab. Give us the Giants plus six because there's no way in the world the Kansas City Chiefs go 0 and 3. Well, right now they're going on the road and we haven't seen a a a sign of life, a pulse, a heartbeat. I know they lose the Chargers in Brazil. I know they lose to the Philadelphia Eagles at home. But if they win this game, I don't think it's by more than six points. This team is the king of skinnying out of things. We saw great things on the offensive side of the football by the New York Giants. The Kansas City Chiefs, though the Giants might not have the best secondary in the world, they don't have great weapons. You're rocking and rolling with Hollywood Brown, Guju Smith, Schustster, and Mr. uh Thornton. Yep. Travis Kelce. And I know Patrick Mahomes could take Uber Eats drivers and turn them into [ __ ] Hall of Famers, but in this game, it's week three. It still will not be a panic button. The Chiefs could go 0 and [ __ ] five and still be okay. I feel like like you said, Luke, until they're mathematically eliminated, there's always something for the Kansas City Chiefs. But in this scenario where it's the most bet on game of the week because it's Sunday Night Football, everyone is going to be taking the Kansas City Chiefs. It's hard to react to everything you said. He talked for a very long time. Yeah. Yeah. Um Yeah. I got to see it to believe it from the Chiefs. And I've actually seen something from the Giants thus far. Six points. I feel like the Chiefs maybe do win, but I hope it's a close one. I like the Giants, too. Yeah, it's crazy how they went from such a low low to such a high high, but they still lost with the Giants cuz they looked so bad week one. Big neighbors dog. Yeah, sometimes that's how those indivision games go. Giants open up the season with two indivision games. Yep. And now they're do going AFC West against the Kansas City Chiefs. Comfort of their own home. Like we said, this is going to be massive momentum. All of Manhattan, all of New York is going to be buzzing around this game. Can't wait.

Um, Luke, those are our five game picks. Before we get to the six-legg parlay, I'm sure people are probably going to be asking questions about some of the other games. Um, I think that game in Minnesota. Everyone's closing their eyes and taking the Vikings. I think I might rock and roll with Jake Browning, the team that cut him. I know the Bengals have the worst defense. However, I trust the quarterback play more so than Carson Wentz. Trust the coach in Minnesota though. I know. Trust the coach. You know how I feel about KOC. Still a good coach though in Cincinnati, right? To be seen. Maybe. To be seen. Um, but a field goal plus three. You know, that game's going to be close. I think I like the Bengals plus three. Patriots Steelers too tough of a coin flip. Steelers. Uh, I think I like the Eagles minus the three and a half. I like them in a moneyline parlay more. Rams with the points, which we'll talk about. Um, another sleazy dog. I was going to bring this up during the Titans talk, but I like the Panthers plus five and a half. I think that's a great spot at home. Talk about another team fighting for their life. Yep. And I like the Niners. I think minus two and a half. Or I definitely do because we're going to fade Kyler Murray undefeated. Give us the Niners, but it kind of feels square.

Let's get to the six light parlay. How about a teaser? Packers Seahawks. I don't know how that loses. Get both under a field goal. They're both going to roll. Easy, easy. Can't lose teaser lock. Two teams. Tango. Let's get dance partners. Find a dance partner. It's all about I want to see six logos on the screen that will not sell loop. Okay, I got you. Okay. Um, it's not going to be like number one. It's time for the traition tradition like none other. The going for glory parlay, which we gather here each week to find six teams. Last week, Loop, it went five for six. Yeah, that was on me. The Pittsburgh Steelers lost. Hand up. I'm an accountability guy. That's Yep. I'm like the guy on my left and we appreciate I'm I'm giving you support and now I'm getting thrown under the bus. I'm like my guy over here. Um loop hand up. Six legs. Y for glory any given Sunday. Why not us? You miss 100% of the bets that you do not place. And uh it's good day week to go for glory. Kick us off like number one. Green Bay Packers in Cleveland. Absolutely no chance they lose this game. They're going to Who's playing quarterback for the Browns? Give me the Packers on the spread, too. This is going to be a beatd down. It's not going to be close. The defense is too tough. The offense is too good. Uh yeah, I see a lot of Sharps getting in bed with the Browns. Yeah, I bet. I bet. I bet they're getting in bed with the Browns against the Ravens, too. How'd that work out for you? Packers are going to be up 213. They're going to win 37-10. So, leg number one, no sweat. Packers on the money line.

Leg number two, I'll take the stage. Jaylen Herz when he's a favorite at home versus a team with a winning record. He's 19-1 straight up. This man is a winner. This man, the offense, the offense is still waiting to explode a little bit, but they're going to do things which they need to do and able to win a ball game by any means necessary. Give me the Eagles on the money line. They own the Rams. Yeah, I'm a little worried about this one. I'm a little worried about this one. But hey, if if this one loses next week, I want to see you over here with your hand up. If the Eagles lose, I'll do this next show. No, you're not. You don't need to say you don't need to get naked every time because you never actually I never have to I never had to get naked. There's been times because I've always been that times. Last night you said that if the game was 144 at halftime Dolphins. That's a different scenario. I'm saying when the cameras are on lights, camera action, I'm looking at everyone in the back. I'm saying if the Eagles lose this week, next show I'll be in my underwear. I don't know if that'll be good for numbers, but they're not. They're not going But that's the thing that you're not understanding. The Eagles aren't going to lose. No, I get I get I'm seeing every side of this thing. I just like riskreward. I'm not really sure what anybody's gaining. Oh, sound off in the comments. Leg number three, actually. Maybe. Yeah, some there's something out there for everybody. Give me leg number three. Uh, leg number three, the Seahawks. We love it. I said I loved him in a teaser. I love him to win the game. I love him to cover the spread. I love Seattle's coach. He's making his way up my rank. Yeah, he's making my way up in the coaching talking about him. I know. That's what I like about it. And these boys play hard. Yeah, you can tell. They don't take a play off. Their defense another like if we're doing power rankings thus far, Packers are up there. Texans are up there. Uh Seahawks are up there. Eagles like very very solid defensive course. Mike McDonald, we found ourselves a guy. Chargers defense. I think I just gave the top five in the NFL right there. Um Seahawks money line leg number three. We're halfway there, ladies and gents. No sights of selling. This is six legs plus a thousand.

Leg number four. Gold rush me. Give me the ners on the money line. I don't care who's under center. Kyler Murray isn't going up in an indivision game to Sam Fran and winning. It's public. But the Eagles last week were public, but were at home. The Niners just have the weapons. They have the better defense. The Panthers almost came back last week. I like it. All of a sudden, people are rolling out a red carpet for the [ __ ] Arizona Cardinals. Week two, week one could not have been better. They played the Saints and they played the Panthers. Um, now you got to actually play a team in the NFL. Yep. Also, back to leg number three. Spencer Rattler has never won in the NFL. So, until then, we should be fine. He bones us for at least ranking history. Yep. Leg number four, Niners on the money line.

Give us leg number five. Loops. Sketchy one, dude. But I like it. This is a tough one, but it's season on the line. Tough one. Tough one. Season on the line. Back against tough one. Broncos plus three and a half. It's a six leg parlay, so we're taking the extra juice on the field goal. The Chargers win by three. Get three and a half. We get out alive. Maybe Dicker comes out, breaks the Broncos hearts. We don't care cuz we're getting three and a half. Look, uh, when you're coming off a game with leverage, really tough. Now it's Bo Knicks. Everyone in the world is on the Chargers boat. The defense has to step up for the Broncos. Yes. And I think they're going to and the offense is going to continue. Um, you know, I think we're going to see a big game from Sutton. I think the backfield with Dobbins and Harvey have to get it going. Uh, a lot of injuries with the Chargers. Yep. No Khalil Knack this week. Obviously going into this season, the offensive line, they haven't been able to get the run game going too well. They lose Slater. There's there's some injuries in the water for the Chargers. Broncos coming off demoralization. They know their season's on the line. They know how important this game is. If they do lose, I think it's going to be field goal or under. Yep. Um, which leads us to our sixth and final leg. All we're asking for is the table. All we ask for every week is this seat at the table. Sunday Night Football. last week. If we would have gotten the seat at the table for Sunday Night Football, it would have come home. Um, unfortunately, one leg sells. Caleb Johnson, watches one ball and people jump on it in the end zone and we lose our parlay. We go five for six. This week, we go six for six, gents. This is why we play the game. This is why we do it. Ship us right back to New York. Metife, Sunday Night Football, take us home. Give us the Giants plus a touchdown and a half because if the Chiefs do in fact win, which even seems a little sketchy, Chiefs don't win games nowadays by more than a touchdown. Stay in the game. Stay in the fight, Gman. Just give us a seat at the table and then all of a sudden you got seven in the hook for 10 to one. See, this is why it's the best sports betting show here on YouTube because we're looking at six logos here Friday 251 that are all going to come home Sunday NFL week number three. Put it in the pipe. Smoke it.

Uh we gave our game picks. We gave a six leg parlay. Loop even threw in a teaser at that last game. Let's let's uh let's hop skip scotch to touchdown scores. Yes. Um, yeah, subscribe to the page, by the way. Sub. Trying to grow the page. It's working. Let's Yeah. Thank you for 25K subs. Yeah, I might do the next show nude. I don't know how you feel about that. Let's get the Let's get the Let's get to 30K subs. 30K subs. Tell a neighbor, tell the mailman, tell a friend. Everyone watching, it is time for our anytime touchdown scores. We have four gentlemen to find six NFL week number three. I feel very confident in this. This guy, you just can't quit. Yeah, you can't quit him. Yeah, you love him. Our first gentleman is playing in his season opener down in Tampa Bay. He is the most due gentleman in the National Football League. When they get in the red zone, they are begging to get him in. He scored a touchdown last week. It gets called back for offensive pass interference. This man has a history of finding the end zone, especially when he's in the comfort of his own home. Give us Mike Evans for an anytime touchdown score. [ __ ] it. Give him as my $500 touchdown score for NFL week number three. That wasn't in the pre-pro, dude. No, but dude, he's scoring. We're going against the Jets. The secondary doesn't like covering, gentlemen. Especially a Hall of Famer like Mike Evans. He's going to score. Baker Mayfield, there's a little something going on right now. They have buzz. They have juice. They're in the creamsicles. It's now or never. Mike, do something for us. I'm worried. No. Everybody's favorite touchdown score. I got to see him get in the end zone. I better see it this week. I I promise. Okay. I promise. I don't promise. He's saying in the words that his eyes are telling me that he doesn't. No, dude. I I mean, it's it's this is a really good opportunity. It's plus money. It's it's it's right now. It's now or chicken. All right. Now or never for the guy you love.

Number two. Another Yeah, I do love this one. Am I going Am I going again? Yep. Yeah. Uh Christian McCaffrey has played the Arizona Cardinals four times when he's in the Golden Red. Yes. Luke, could you guess how many touchdowns he has in four games against the Cardinals? Six. Eight. That's a lot. That's a lot of touchdowns. A lot of [ __ ] touchdowns. Lot of touchies. Uh give us Christian McCaffrey for an anytime touchdown up in the Bay Area. Uh yeah, I got no problem with that. Up in Santa Clara. I got no problem with that.

Number three. You love too. Number three. Well, I have to put them on there. If you want to parlay legs number one or excuse me, if you want to parlay two and three, what about three and four? Or three and four or two, three and four or one, two, three, and four. Yeah. Um this gentleman last year at Loop had two career setting, career making generational games, okay, against this team. Like the two biggest games of his career were last year against the same team. Yes. Give us Seaquan Barkley for an anytime touchdown. Um we were boots on ground. Yeah. Bo I was boots on ground for both games. Unbelievable. I mean Luke, real quick, I just want to pull up his stat lines from those two games. He set the single game record from scrimmage at SoFi. Yes, that was an electric night. That was unbelievable. We were on the field before. That was a a night I'll remember for the rest of my life. He went for 255 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns with four catches, 47 receiving yards. Then in the divisional round against the Rams, he goes for 205, two touchdowns, four receptions, 27 yards. I mean, unbelievable. I have chills. Two games against the LA Rams. Um, look, this team likes to stay on the ground. Clearly in the red zone, especially Jaylen Herd, Saquon Barkley, uh, in a big game at home against a massive NFC opponent, Saquon Barkley sign us up for 26. God, dude, this is such a great episode. This is good. And I feel like all four of these guys are going to score.

Next guy is obviously my guy. Yeah. Yeah. He scores every game. Probably will score twice. Probably kick off the game with a touchdown. Seven nothing Packers. Yeah. Show me Josh Jacobs. Josh Jacobs. It's almost like it's every week that it scares me at this point because he has set the now franchise record for most consecutive games with a touchdown for probably one of the most historic franchises in all of football, all of sports. I mean, [ __ ] The Packers won the first two Super Bowls ever. And here's a guy who has now set the [ __ ] record for most consecutive games for the team scoring touchdowns. Yeah, that's unbelievable. 15. And he showed up last year. 15 touchdowns in his last 11 games. He came off the bus and goes, "Fuck it. We'll do it live." I'm looking at Bet MGM right now, too. First touchdown score, Josh Jacobs. What do you think the odds are? Plus 150. Plus 300. Yeah, it's the lowest touch. But and then right above it, he tells you second chance. So if the guy if you bet MGM first touchdown score, he doesn't score first, he scores second. You get your money back. Only at Bet MGM. It's why it's the best book out there. It's a hell of a segue. Yeah. um into John Euan, our Bet MGM insider for all the games, everything we need. Where's the money? Who's betting what right now? Tell us. Now, welcoming in the show, John Ewing, our Bet MGM insider. He's going to tell us where the money is, who to bet, who not to bet, who everyone's betting on. What do the books need? Who do the books need this week, NFL week number three, to get the job done? John, welcome in. How are we feeling? What's up, buddy? Uh, we're gonna need the dogs. Not I mean, not surprising, right? Every week. Yep. Favorites tend to be the most bet. So, a few underdogs cover like the Dolphins did on Thursday Night Football and the sports book will do. Okay. Yep. Yep. Yep. Uh, the floor is yours. You can take us take me to any game. No loop right now, but uh take us to any game. Okay, let's just start. We're going to go in order here of just the most bet teams to cover by money. So, at the top of the list, the Colts, uh, two and 0 with Danny Dimes. They've have zero punts in their first two games of the season. They open three. They're sitting at minus four and 83% of money is on the Colts to cover. Some of this, obviously, is just how good Indiana Jones has looked in two games with the Colts. Some of this is likely betting against the Titans and Cam Ward who has struggled at the start of his rookie season. He's only completing 50% of his passes and his wide receivers aren't helping him out a lot either. But first road game, it's been very nice and sweet. All sunshine and rainbows thus far at home for Indianapolis. But now going on the road, I know I saw that the Colt or the Titans are 0 and 9 against the spread in their last nine home games. Something has to give. Something has to give. Uh, dude, I'm I like the Titans. I like the Titans plus a field goal and a half. Colts are the best team in the world. And you have a winless You have a winless dog at home. Uh, in division, too. Yeah. So, historically a good spot there. Okay. Uh, next team, the Chiefs. No way they go 0 and three, right? At least that's what betters think. They open minus five. They're up to 6 and 12 point favorites on the road. 72% of money is on Mahomes and Co. to cover nearly as touchdown favorites. Uh but one interesting trend, uh we don't get too many 0 and 2 teams facing each other in week three, but since 2004 when that happens, the underdog has covered the spread 67% of the time. Not a huge sample, only 21, but uh right now betters are on the Chiefs to cover. Uh the sports book probably hoping that the Giants can keep it close. Yeah, me and Luke talked about this yesterday. When is it going to take how many games until people will be uh on the boat of maybe the Chiefs are dead? I and I answered that by saying they would have to be 0 and 7 for me to believe that the Chiefs are going to be going away and they have to be physically and statistically eliminated from the playoffs for me to believe that. Um, look, I believe that the Chiefs could 1,000% go 0 and 3 and things could still be fine. Uh, it wouldn't still be the the end of the world. As long as you have Andy Reid and number 15, they'll figure things out. you're you're you're preaching uh sweet music to me right now because I do like the Titans and I do like the the Giants plus the points. So, so far this is this is fantastic. Hey, well, uh, you know, I'm a Chiefs fan as a homer. I'm hoping they turn it around and this is get it right spot for them. Uh, they're still I just like the plus points plus the points this, you know, six and a half, you know. All right. For so for me, we'll take a Chiefs win by three. You get the cover. We're both happy. Everyone goes home happy. All right. Next game. Cowboys. Uh interesting here. They open one and a half. They move to one. 80% of money is on Dallas to cover here in this spot. Uh Dak getting a chance to face this Bears defense who made JJ McCarthy the offensive player of the of the week in week one. Jared Goff last week. Now, I asked the trading team if they could price up odds on Dak being the offensive player of the week uh after they face the Bears. I I didn't give him that idea fast enough for him to get it through regulators and compliance, but if he if he does win the award, they promised me they'd price it up for next week and they face uh the Raiders. So, it's Gino. So, we might have might have a fun prop next week for you on if the Bears make it four in a row. I love that. Um, look, I started the week by thinking I love Dallas. I love Dallas. I love Dallas. But now I'm starting to somewhat for some reason season on the line back against the wall and the fact that everyone is diving in on a a road favorite such as the Cowboys coming off 40 points. And I would love to note the statistics of a team who is coming off letting up 50 points in a loss, what they do the following week. I think just at home in Chicago, I wonder when the last time the Cowboys have played at Soldier Field. I feel like this could be a spot where, you know, some fluke [ __ ] takes place and the and the Bears find a win some way somehow. Maybe you tease the Bears. I know this line has flipped around a little bit. At first, I know the Cowboys were plus one. Now they're minus one and a half. Like you said, it's one of the most bet teams of the week is the Cowboys. I kind of like the Bears here, which is so ugly. Everyone's out on them. They they got embarrassed by McCarthy, then they get embarrassed in Detroit, now they're back at home. Week three. Season's on the line here. Well, I if if you don't like the side, maybe the total is more your direction. Open 48 and a half. It's up to 50 and a half. Bears are allowing 39 and a half points per game. That's the worst in the NFL. Cowboys are averaging giving up 30 and a half. That's bottom five. So, this is a a total that's going up and a spot that everyone I imagine it is the most bet over. So, it is very popular. I mean, yeah. But like uh the last two weeks everything would only direct you towards the over Cowboys defense, Bears defense, and then watch these two teams will come out and it will be a barn burner. Get all your uh memes ready of the security guards like doing the points what betters are thinking. So three fantastic games so far. Do you have another one on the dot? Yeah. Yeah. Let's go Packers here. Uh they are legit. I think we both agree uh that defense held the Lions and Commanders under 20 points each. Their offense is averaging nearly 30 points a game, but this line opened Green Bay minus 8 and a half. It's dipped half a point. Uh not really through a key number, so not as uh significant, you know, as if it dropped below seven, but still Packers big number here. Do they win by 10 or more points? Uh and they're actually the most bet team to cover by tickets right now. They're the fourth most by money. But sometimes tickets is a good uh measuring stick of just what the general public is interested in. Sometimes money can be swayed by just a couple big bets. But right now the Packers are getting the most number of just straight tickets on them. The tickets worry me more so than the money I feel like because that's just every John, Jimmy, and Joe going to the counter being like the Packers are going to beat the [ __ ] out of the Browns obviously. So that honestly that that worries me about the pack. But like we said, I mean, it's their first road game, you know, and sometimes when you get out of the comfort of your own home, things get a little more sketchy. It's a brand new environment. Uh we know Cleveland's not an easy place to play. I like the Packers just to win this game. Maybe in a parlay as one of your legs. I'm not I'm not going to touch a a side on this spread. Okay, let's uh let's jump all the way to the end of the week. It's Monday Night Football. Nice Lions Ravens. This is gonna be huge. Mustwatch TV. Uh the line open Ravens minus five and a half. It's come down a point. The Lions uh plus 195 most bet underdog to win outright this week. And the total is sitting at 53 and a half. It's increased by a field goal already. It's the highest total in week three. And over 90% of money is is on points. So, uh, this is going to be a really interesting 53 53 and a half. That's that's that's that's high. Another another shootout situation. It looks like from the sports book perspective, I can already tell you it's we're going to hope for the under and probably like Ravens to win by three, but not covered. You can definitely sign me up um for Derrick Henry anytime touchdown because he boned all of America last week. We stayed away. You said it was the most bet prop for an anytime touchdown score. He's 1,000% going to score in this game. We both

Know that after everyone got boned last week. Um, yeah.

So, so the sports book will need the Lions to cover but to lose. That makes sense. Um, I just think that the Lions are going to go back on the road and we're going to see a similar, uh, just kind of struggling defensive side of the football for the Lions and maybe the Ravens to get the job done at home. But I, I don't know because I don't fully trust this Detroit team still. I know they beat up on the Bears at home, but now they're getting back on the road. I still don't necessarily trust without the O coordinator and D coordinator, um, over there for Detroit.

I agree. And in week one against the Packers, they looked awful, right? So the Ravens are in the same tier as Green Bay, while the Bears are one of the worst teams in the league. And who wouldn't want to take points with a team who just put up 52? You know, it's not going to be all sunshine and rainbows. Oh, that's another thing. Speaking of the 52, I would love to know in NFL history if there's been a week prior where a team has scored 50 plus, them being underdogs the following week, if that has ever happened.

Okay, I'll, uh, after, after we get off, I'll look it up. Has there ever been a time where a team has put up 50 plus and then the following week they're they're underdogs? I, I feel like that that that has probably very, very few, if not has never happened.

Uh, let's end it here with just a couple prop bets. Uh, a popular over is Kyle Pitts over 37 and a half yards. He's averaging six catches, 48 yards a game so far. The over has hit in each of the first two weeks. Uh, is Kyle Pitts back? Uh, I believe so. I don't like the Falcons in this game though. An in-division road game after coming off of Monday Night Football. Uh, that it, or Sunday Night Football, excuse me, that they worry me a little bit.

Yeah. Uh, again, this line and what's the worst that could happen? Everyone diving in on Kyle Pitts for a week. His his overunder has increased significantly. I believe it was like week one, you know, it was in the low 20s. Last week it was high 20s and now it's sitting at 37 and a half yards. So, uh, we keep increasing it as he's performed better, but now it's going to be harder for him to get there.

John, I do want to mention one game to you. It's probably one of the, the games of the day. Uh, sleazy number in division game. Broncos, Chargers. And I know right now it feels like the Chargers are America's team. They take down the Chiefs in front of the whole entire world. Then they come out, go prime time again, and their defense looks like the best. Gino can't do anything. Uh, the Chargers, Justin Herbert feels to be the most dialed quarterback in the National Football League right now. Every time he steps back, he's either finding a three-headed monster with Quinton Johnson, Keenan Allen, Lakoni. It feels like this team is rolling on all cylinders, and now they bring in a team who has struggled and has gone under their expectations the first two weeks. Frisky game against the Titans, then go on the road, lose in a very demoralizing fashion against the Colts. And it's a two and a half point spread under a field goal. I feel like the whole world would be taking the Chargers here.

Yeah, this Chargers are actually the fifth most bet team to cover by money. So, they were just behind the Packers, but uh, open two and a half. I'm seeing them at three. It's going to probably float in that range, uh, all week. Uh, you mentioned, hey, sometimes sometimes the public wins like we saw last week with the Eagles. They were the most bet on, you know, side with with the Chiefs. And I'm not saying that because you're a defenseman, I'm just saying that because that that that was what happened. Uh, because right now Bo Nix, he worries me a little bit. The defense for the Broncos, the defense for the Broncos, obviously Jonathan Taylor runs all over him, worries me a little bit. Now they stay on the road and the way that Justin Herbert and the Chargers look, it's I feel like obviously the sharp side is the Broncos, but it's it's tough. It's tough.

Yeah, action's pretty balanced on this game. So, you know, a lot of the other most bet, we mentioned it was lopsided, but this one, uh, we're getting pretty good two-way bets.

Oh, okay. All right. All right. Well, John, one more for you. Uh, yeah, most bet anytime touchdown score, Luke Musgrave, the backup tight end for Green Bay. He's plus 27. Tucker Kraft hurt his knee. Uh, although Adam Schefter reported that it was a little scare, he should be good, but Kraft eight catches, 140 yards, and two touchdowns to start the season. Scored in each game. If for some reason he is not able to go, uh, bettererss like the idea of taking another tight end to fill in on that, a very good Packers offense.

I love it. John, if I gave you a bag of money and you had to take two teams this week, uh, who, who you riding? Again, I, uh, we always talk about these dogs in this situation. Um, Titans at home, bucking that trend. I, we've, we've mentioned Titans I think every week that we've spoken. So that and then, you know what? Again, I'm a homer. Chiefs are not going 0 and three. They're going to win by more than a touchdown. I, I gotta believe it with my heart. So, let's go, Chiefs.

All right, John. Always an honor and a pleasure and a privilege. We appreciate each and we appreciate you. I felt like I was wrapping up the show. We appreciate you and, uh, we'll see you, uh, we'll see you for next week's NFL episode.

All right, sounds good. Thanks, buddy.

Well, if you made it this far, we appreciate each and every single one of you on the other side of this screen. Stay tuned Sunday night for our Monday Night Football episode. You're not going to want to miss it. The moon is telling one thing. Uh, we have a 50-point team who is now an underdog. One of the biggest games, not only of the week, but of the season. Lions taking a trip to Baltimore to play the Ravens. Uh, don't miss our Sunday night episode going into Monday. Uh, we appreciate each and every single one of you on the other side of this screen. I can't say it enough. Comment your favorite play for week three. Questions, concerns, who you're fading, who you're tailing, uh, your parlays. Drop a like, drop a like, drop a like. And if everyone who watched this video dropped a sub, the world would be a better place. We appreciate you. And as always, we'll see you on the other.