Transcription
Bitcoin is truly on the last zone that can prevent it from continuing its correction and returning below $98,000. We are really at a key level, we will talk about it today as well. We will take stock of Ethereum, which is also returning to super important zones. Just before we start, I remind you that our algo service is available and I'm putting a small image here on the screen to explain the performance. So, the SPT algorithms last week made +15.41%, what does that mean? For example, on an initial capital of $1000 with $5 risk per trade, a performance of 15 here means a gain of $75, which means a 7.5% return on these algorithms last week. Once again, past performance does not guarantee future performance. That's why we put the performances and results on Discord every week. To access it, it's free, it's the first link in the pinned comment. All useful links concerning my content, they bring you back to this page. You just have to click on the first link here and it's mandatory, otherwise it won't work. It opens this page and allows you to register on BitGate via our partner link because it's on BitGate that we run these algorithms. Currently, BitGate offers you 10% cashback. That is to say, for example, if you make a deposit of $2000, you get 10% cashback, which is $200 in deposit bonus. You enter an email, a password, you create your account and once that's done, you just have to click right here on this second link. It's a short video in which I explain absolutely everything about how to access the algos, the mentorship, but also the VIP Alcoin. So it's right here, it's here that I will share the best opportunities on the Alt market in the VIP crypto room. Also, new algorithms are coming soon that will please you, so don't hesitate.
So to come back to BTC, why do I say it's really the last extremely important zone? So here, I'm on a 12-hour chart. So one candle equals 12 hours of trading and we can see that we are in the last fair value gap zone, the last impulse since this whole movement. You see, since we came to test the monthly low of October. So it was this low at $101,500. We can see that the market here formed a fair value gap and we are currently working on this last fair value gap. We can also note that on our hourly chart, we are also in the last fair value gap zone. That is to say, here, we have filled all the fair value gaps that were behind us. If this last zone gives way, so here we can see that we have a rebound. So there is still hope to continue this rebound and why not try to continue working on our daily fair value gaps and even why not the previous week's high at around $111,000, approximately $110,700. We absolutely must defend this fair value gap zone. On the other hand, if the market breaks the fair value gap, there is nothing left to cover us behind. And so at that point, the next delivery objective will be the stops that we haven't taken here below $98,200. This corresponds to the monthly fair value gap that we haven't worked on yet. And so this will be precisely the market's objective to come and work this monthly fair value gap zone. I'll show you that directly.
By the way, it's the zone we test at each correction. As we can see here on previous corrections. We came to test this fair value gap. We also came to test this one on the correction since March 2024. We came to test the last fair value gap also at Donald Trump's prices in April 2025. We came to close our fair value gap and we can see that currently our fair value gap is between $98,100 and approximately $95,750. So this would be a zone we could come to test. And so to confirm precisely that we are going to test this zone here, we must break this FVG zone. That's why it's the last one that can allow us to relaunch a rebound here and continue to pursue our rebound for what? to simply fill our bearish fair value gaps here and then possibly why not take the previous week's high. So here, we are really on a zone that is extremely important. We can see that there is a revival on the ETF side. Yesterday, we had +524 million inflows. That's quite significant, so we'll see if buyers will maintain this flow or not. If they maintain it, well, it could really validate our rebound. So that's what we'll have to observe. And there you go. So this is really the important zone on the hourly. There's not much yet. We see that the price has filled the last zone right here and that simply for the moment it's initiating a rebound. After, will it really allow us to go back up? That's what we'll have to see for now on this movement. There is no strength yet. It's an upward movement. We see that the market is taking stops well before moving a little higher, but it's a movement with very, very weak momentum. It would be good for the movement to start accelerating, creating bearish fair value gaps to show an upward recovery, which is not really the case here yet. So that could happen in the coming hours. We can also look at this on the CME. It's very interesting. It should also be noted that the gap on the CME has been filled right here. And then it's the same thing on the CME. Ah, almost the CME hasn't come to test its fair value gap zone here yet. So that will be to watch to see if we can have another last liquidity grab before really having a slightly more impulsive movement here. But I'm telling you honestly, it's the last zone. If we start to break this zone and I'll give you the dollar levels by the way. If we start to come and break this zone, then for me it's no longer in 12 hours. So below $102,300. So start to settle, let's say, below $102,000, there's a very high chance for me to return below $98,100 because that will be the next zone to trigger, the next POI, that's what we call the price delivery zone.
Now, to come to Ethereum and just before getting into Ethereum, we're going to look at Ethereum ETFs. It's different from BTC. I'm spoiling you a bit. I looked and yesterday, we had outflows on Ethereum. So, there was interest in Bitcoin yesterday with over $500 million in inflows. On the other hand, Ethereum - $100 million. So that means there are more money exits than entries on the ETFs. So that's not very positive for Ethereum. But it doesn't change the fact that it's also working on the same zone. It has filled its fair value gap zone here in 12 hours. So it's really a zone that must be defended. I also think that on the hourly, we must have filled all our fair value gaps, exactly to the last one. We can see that we have filled this one. Well, not entirely, but it has already done its job, it has already sent the price higher. Also here we can note that we have filled the last FVG. So here for me, it's really the last zone, same for Ethereum, where it must react. Otherwise, the next step is the stops here at 3353. That could mark a bottom, but it doesn't seem like the most probable thing. The most probable thing, if we start to break these fair value gap zones, well, it's Bitcoin too that will go around $98,000 and at that point, Ethereum in my opinion, it will come back to test its lows around 305, or fill its CME gap. So that's why it's absolutely essential to react here. If you have a bullish bias and if you are a buyer, it's a zone where you try to position yourself to capture the next move with an invalidation if we lose the fair value gaps for example. And so I had mentioned it, but we have this gap on the CME that is still open here, which we see clearly. So if the zones I indicated are not maintained, there will be a very high probability of making a new low here to naturally fill our fair value zone that was formed on July 11, 2025, and on the CME, it's between $3030 and $2959. So that's what would lead us to test zones that we have already announced. I remind you that these zones are here. It would be around $2890 up to potentially $2790. So it's really crucial to react. Here, these are the last zones we are working on, it's now that the price must structure something. For the moment, we see that it's triggering a rebound, but this rebound is quite weak for now. After, it can accelerate. We'll have to see during the day if that's the case or not. That would be positive. Obviously.
What I'm also looking at is the American indices and we still see that BTC is lagging behind, meaning that here and Ethereum also BTC noted this divergence. It just came to take its stops. Stop grab of an order block, a new order block is forming. Here, we have what is called a breaker block, we see it right here. And then it accelerates downwards. So here, we are busy working on our last fair value gaps. But to come back to this, we see currently that the indices have returned to their Monday highs while Bitcoin is far behind. So here we see that the indices are much stronger than BTC and ETH, it's exactly the same thing. So Bitcoin has weakened unfortunately against the American indices and that's a bit of a shame. That's what prevents us from having strength for the moment and it would be good to have a Bitcoin that becomes strong again against the indices because it has clearly lost its strength.
So to summarize, really the last zone on Bitcoin, Ethereum, outflows on Ethereum ETFs, inflows on Bitcoin ETFs, so there's more of an advantage for Bitcoin to try to relaunch upwards if we lose the zones I indicated, rather the $102,000 on Bitcoin and on Ethereum, it would be more for me if we start to really come below $3400, there is still hope for a rebound below $3350, but if $3350 doesn't react, well, there will be a very high chance to return at least below $3193 and in theory, it would be to head towards the CME gap slightly below $3000. So that's why it's absolutely essential to react here. For now, I'm telling you, there's not much from a technical point of view. It's just a simple rebound that is quite weak. It can accelerate later in the day. So that's what I invite you to observe. And if unfortunately, well, there's no acceleration, the price risks jumping the zone and we risk simply continuing our bearish movement. I'll stop here for today. I hope you enjoyed it. If so, don't hesitate to smash the thumbs up, subscribe, leave a little comment. Thank you very much to those who play along. I remind you of all the links in the description box, there's a lot of free content for you. Don't hesitate to take advantage of it. We'll meet again later for the macro review and for a next video. Also, don't hesitate to tell me in the comments which Alcoin you want me to analyze. I'll do that for you in the coming days. I'm going to resume Alcoin analyses. I know you're interested. So we can do that again. See you very soon.