Transcription
And hello to everyone and welcome to Vision Crypto on this Thursday, November 13, 2025. And it's finally here. So Trump has officially signed the law aimed at reopening the government, ending the shutdown. So what will be the market's evolution from now on? Well, for the moment, we're going to look for lower. Once again, we can see it on our friend BTC here. So yesterday, I told you, we were here that we were possibly going to make a rebound on this zone. Well, what we did, look here, we made this rebound and then boom, we were liquidated. So firstly, we have this long RLZ that didn't hold and I told you the second zone where we could stop was this square here. It was the long RLZ, the second long RLZ of this entire movement. Well, we are currently in it. So now, will we stay in it? But honestly, I don't believe it very much. Why don't I believe it very much? Because well, we still have a lot of liquidity. We have further reinforced the liquidity to the south. Look at that. We're going to go see that right away here. Look. So we started to tap into the liquidity pockets here. So that's very good. But you see, look at how much liquidity we are packed with here. So therefore, we could at least already come and recover at the level of 100,000 300 because there is a real big pocket of liquidity that we have greatly reinforced and then we'll see if we'll make a wick lower to recover maximum liquidity. Once again, for those who watched yesterday's daily, if we make a wick and we go back up, it's not a big deal. The essential thing is to really close above, not to close at the level of 97,000 98,000. For example, there, if we make a wick, we'll do this. If we make a wick like this and we get swallowed up, that's perfect. Why? Because we hunted all the liquidity. We close above 100,000, so that remains positive. We recovered the liquidity and now it's to go higher. On the other hand, if there, we come back here. If we go down and stay below like this, and even worse, we go back up to the level of 100,000 and we get rejected like this, then that will not be positive at all. Once again, for the moment, no fear. We will see the different scenarios on the channel anyway. So, by the way, don't hesitate to click on the subscribe button if you want to miss any future videos. So for the moment, we are in this 2nd long RLZ. So if by chance we hold here, it can be very positive and we could leave very strongly. If we leave very strongly and we break this neckline and this big resistance that we have, this white trend line, it's a very big resistance and if we go back above it, that will be very, very positive. Why? Because we will make a mega big W and in addition by breaking the neckline here and by breaking the resistance here, it will be very bullish. But once again, we will have to accept in this case to leave all the liquidity at the bottom. Is the market ready to leave this liquidity here? But I'm not really sure about that. I rather think we could go and get it. Moreover, since the shutdown is officially truly over, won't we have this big sell the news that will propel us to 97,000 98,000 to capture this liquidity and then leave strongly? A last small phase of capitulation, why not, for now we can only wait. In terms of market sentiment, we are a tiny bit below yesterday. We were at 26, we are at 25. If we go below 100,000, believe me, tomorrow we will see that market sentiment is in extreme fear. And even worse, if we stay below 100,000, if we stagnate below 100,000, then the market will truly be in fear. And I must admit that I will not be serene either. After, be careful, if tomorrow we finish here, it doesn't mean that it's all over. That's not what I'm saying. I'm just saying that it won't be very positive and we will have to wait for the weekly close, that's the most important. We will have to wait for the end of the week, see where we actually close. If we close above 100,000, well, that's fine. If, on the other hand, we close below 100,000, that will be something not very positive as a signal. Well, what else can we see currently? And that BTC is losing dominance against our friend Ethereum. Here, we see that BTC dominance is decreasing. And against what? Against Ethereum. Look, we have Ethereum regaining dominance. And that, on the other hand, is very good news. Why? Well, because if BTC goes lower, it will hurt Ethereum less and therefore hurt our altcoins less. That's why our altcoins are not doing too badly at the moment. Look, we are here on Total 3. We had gone back above the resistance here. So that's very positive. We used it as support. I had already indicated that to you. We are using it a second time as support. As long as we stay above this support, it will remain rather positive. We can retest it again. Again. In short, we need to stay above to be able to then leave very strongly if BTC leaves. And I think that in this configuration, if BTC makes us a wick at 97,000 98,000 and quickly regains its colors, I think we could have a real valuation of both Ethereum and altcoins since in this configuration currently, we have an outperformance of Ethereum. Altcoins are therefore holding up well and it could therefore pick up very quickly. Well, once again, for the moment, you know, the most important thing will be to see what we will do with our friend BTC. Now, regarding liquidations, in the last 24 hours, we have had 569 million in liquidations, so 447 million long, of course, since we went a little lower, and 121 million shorts liquidated. Regarding ETFs, we have had new outflows, really not cool. We have 278 million outflows on the BTC ETF and on Ethereum. In any case, we had no inflows, but we continue to have outflows. Look, 183 million outflows, so of H flow on the Ethereum ETF as well. So for the moment, ETFs are not a joy. We still have a lot of outflows on both BTC and Ethereum. I think that potentially investors are waiting for us to go and get this liquidity pocket below 100,000 to then possibly regain confidence in the market and see where the BTC price closes and depending on where the BTC price closes, they will possibly reinvest in the various ETFs. Now, regarding the news as well, we have Treasury Secretary Bensen, who announces substantial news concerning customs duties which will be announced in the coming days. This will be very important too. Will it be good news or bad news? In any case, we will have to follow this because we know very well that we have this sword of Damocles hanging over our heads, namely whether the judges' decisions will be in favor of the United States or not. And therefore, the announcements we will have may be linked to this decision. Well, for the moment, the decision has not been made, be careful, but perhaps Donald Trump anticipates that the decision will be negative or positive and in any case, he is trying to anticipate the decision and so it will be important again to follow this news. We continue with the SEC chairman, Paul Hatkins, who unveils a token taxonomy to modernize US cryptocurrency regulation and establish clearer clarification standards for assets. So, in any case, clearer clarification standards for digital assets, that is very, very important, you know, we've already said it, we need regulations so that investors and especially institutions are serene, truly know the rules and can invest knowing all the ins and outs, they, you know, they need to be reassured. So this can only be very interesting. However, I don't like the word taxonomy, what does it mean? that they will add taxes on cryptocurrencies. Well, that's possible, you should know that the United States taxes quite a bit. Now look at this graph to give a little boost to the market. This is the SSR and you see the correlation here with the increase in stablecoin reserves and the decrease in BTC supply on platforms. And so if we have a lot of stablecoins ready to be used and a decreasing supply, again, you know there's the shock of supply and demand and so we could see BTC explode very, very quickly. Once again, we just have this liquidity pocket that is bothering us at the bottom. Personally, I would like us to make a big wick at the level of 97,000 98,000. We won't talk about it anymore, we will quickly go back up, we will swallow this drop and then leave very strongly upwards and like that, we won't talk about this liquidity anymore. Well, that's it for today's daily, team. Unfortunately, we can only wait to see if we will reach this liquidity or not, to see the price reaction. For the moment, well, not much is happening. We are truly waiting. Once again, we must be patient. Today also, we will have macroeconomic figures. There will be monthly CPI, core CPI. There will be weekly jobless claims. In short, there will be important figures coming out. This can move the market very strongly. On that, I'll leave you here. I'll see you tomorrow in the daily. For those who haven't subscribed yet, don't hesitate to click on the subscribe button. We'll see all the news and my technical analyses tomorrow. I wish you an excellent day and above all, above all, stay curious. Ciao!