Transcription
So yeah, good morning everyone. This is our first morning live stream, and we will more than likely have more of these in the future, right? As we are getting close to, you know, where we will be reading, you know, live price action. And then, you know, after which, whenever we go deeper into the year, and, you know, I am sure that the rats or leakers, or whatever, you know, there are, will have tremendous trouble, right? Because they won't go away. Let's be real, right? They won't like, ever go away. They will always be here, right? But like, hopefully, like, once this year ends, and, you know, we place all of you, right, here, everyone, right now, in this small group of people, right, here, like 900 of you, you know, any amount of you guys, which survive, all right, we're going to place you guys in your own, you know, area, right? So it will be you guys, you know, which will be at the top, you know, you guys will be the OGs, right? You will have a level of, you know, reasoning, which will not be, what would I say, comprehendable, not a word to other people, right? So that's the level that we're trying to get you at. You know, everyone's like, "Bro, you have all these people want to join." Yeah, but it doesn't make sense to like, have another thousand to thousand people people come in. Like, there's a lot of people in the waitlist, which is like, which, you know, I just ignore them because like, if you come in right now, then, you know, you're going to like, spoil everything. They'll be more leakers, and then this would, you know, basically just seem like, I don't know, a money grab, or whatever it is people call it, you know? We don't even have to, um, advertise, right? We don't have to do that. And also, if they, you know, new people come in, as FY said, their brains, their brains will explode. That's simply the hell.
But yeah, anyways, so yeah, looking at the economic calendar, right? You guys can see that we have no news events today, right? There are no news events today, which points to, you know, low probability price action. And the reason why it's low probability is just due to the fact that, you know, we don't have that measure of time, right? Like, for example, tomorrow, Tuesday, right, 3:15, we have Euro news, then 3:30, we have Euro news, right? We don't have the specific time, you know, when the volatility will be injected into the marketplace. So that's basically all that there is. But if there is sequential SMT, right, which is confirmed by lower timeframe cycle sequential SMT, then you have something to do. Which, you know, I'm not saying that you can't be wrong, 'cause there are times when you will be wrong, and you should also be okay with being wrong, right? Yes, oh, D, but this works. I caught the low of the week last week. I called the high of the week this week. Bro, you're going to do that. But there will be times when you will just be off. You will have personal, you know, issues in your life, you know, things that will cloud your judgment, right? So it's important to, you know, be comfortable with losing. There's nothing wrong with that. There's nothing wrong with losing a trade. And once you understand this, everything changes. You become better instantaneously. You need to like understand that I don't need to win everything to make money. I don't need to win everything to grow an account. I don't need to win everything to pass this, what, what funded challenge, or whatever they are, the glorified punes, right? You, you don't need to win every trade. You just need to win more times than you lose. You just need to manage your risk. Literally, you can make money flipping a coin if you manage your risk. I'll probably do that one day for fun. Type coin. Don't care about the outcome. Live funds would be fun. What do you think? Yeah, probably do it with a small account, like $10,000 or something. 1% anyways.
So yeah, Tuesday, you know, we more than likely, you know, give us clean price action, right? Tuesday, which is tomorrow, not today. Tuesday will give us, you know, something to do, something that you must note, right? And everything that I'm saying, you know, whenever I go off-topic and come back and come back, you know, that's done on purpose, right? So like, listen, whenever I talk about price, that's where you should be tuned in, right? So now, whenever you have a session, right? Sessions are important. No, no, no. This person says you can do it in demo. No, don't need to do that. That it's not the same. Losing demo money and real money is not the same because demo is nothing. Demo isn't real. You got to lose real money, you know, or be a part of someone who's losing real money to understand, or to just desensitize, you know, desensitize yourself. Is that the correct word? My English sucks. Anyways, so yeah, whenever you see, you know, Euro and GBP news at, you know, usually during the London session, that hints to if future higher timeframe cycles, sequential SMT, right? So these types of, you know, scheduling proceeds, they come before, you know, the high and the low of the week, right? And this is done during the sessions. So you see this right now. Important. Not a lot of people understand, but as we go along, you will begin to understand as we make it clearer to understand, right? Let me give you another example. There are times when you will just see news for the pound at London. That news driver moves price in the pound, but not in the Euro or the dollar, right? This is this displaces the pound, right? Meanwhile, you probably have the Euro consolidating. And due to this, right, it probably moves the pound closer to a high while the Euro is within the range. Do you get where I'm going now? So the next time you have a USD news driver, they will more than likely be SMT, right? Just as all you have coincidentally, you have these drivers in London, and then you have USD news at 9:45, same day, right? So here you can see that we have a, what would I say, you know, a crack in correlation between, you know, news events, right? And it's not that, you know, these news events are in the Asian session, which they will, you, you rarely ever see. I'm not even sure if I ever saw that before, right? But it's between the London session and the New York session, or between the New York session and the afternoon session. You'll not really ever see this, you know, between Asian session or the London session, unless you're like looking at pairs which are which usually move like during the the Asian session, such as the AUD, you know, AUD Japanese Yen, you know, those things.
Then Wednesday, we have no news, right? So this week is pretty clear-cut, right? You can see the days where you should be, you know, more cautious. Then you can see the days, you know, where we will have some movement in price, right? So Thursday, you guys can see we have USD news here. We more than likely see the high of the week form on Thursday, right? Thursday, Friday. There are times when you have like the low of the week from, you know, Tuesday, and then the high of the week form Thursday, right? So at times, whenever you see, you know, news scattered like this, right, on just, you know, two specific days having most of the high impact news events, then that's what usually happens. There are two, you know, trades that usually form during the week when you have news scheduled like this, right? There's usually two, and they're, they're usually form, they usually form on the one-hour timeframe. And I don't believe that there can even be more than two, right? When it comes to, you know, trading the weekly cycle, which you use the one-hour timeframe to do, right? Short-term trading, not day trading. Short-term trading, trades that you hold for like a day or two, right? So for example, you'd hold, for example, if you see sequential SMT form on a Monday, then you'd hold it until you see SMT form again, or until you're satisfied, right? Then, you know, Friday, we have news again, which this will more than likely give us TGIF return into the range of the week. And, you know, it's pretty cool 'cause like we're talking about this, you know, we're talking about Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday, and, you know, it's not even Tuesday yet, but we're already, you know, expecting, you know, volatility on days which have not even, you know, are not even here yet.
So now we look at the BX market, the FX triad, right? So you guys already know, right? Our aim for price is above this high. Like we have been waiting for price, you know, to be drawn to this high forever, literally since price was here, right? Even when price was here as well, you know? But then once price dropped here, you already know what happened. We had sequential SMT here, right? So there are times when, you know, price will not, you know, fill a gap, right? So it could probably like drop below, then rally above here. But there are times when, you know, price will just, will leave this open, like for example, right here. And now we're looking at the Euro, right? You have, right, this gap being filled, even run over a bit, right? And then we have price drop here and leave this gap, right, here. Right? And to me, I believe that the Euro is, you know, trying to get these lows, right, here. Right? And you guys can see the pound, you know, basically playing catch-up, right? Due to the fact that Euro was weaker, right? But here you can see that they dropped the pound more than the Euro in the latter stages of this move. Where is the sell-side liquidity? The obvious sell-side liquidity, right, is this right here. Should we consider this? I don't care about this. Let's call it an order book. I don't care about it, right? I see these lows as the draw on liquidity, right? And the only thing that would, you know, change my mind about this is if we have SMT, right? But obviously, you can see that we have, you know, lower to go for the pound, the Euro, and for the US dollar, these highs right here, right? So this is how it looks right now, currently, right? So right now, we're in ranging price action, consolidating. We could have a, you think, you know, we could literally have price run here, go above here, drop again, right? We could have a lot of movement, you know, before we have that up move. So it's important to not, you know, focus on trading in that direction alone, right? You should capitulate on fluctuations which are preceded by sequential SMT, right? Not a higher timeframe fair value gap or some random low or high being ran through, right? And if you don't see it here, then you'll see it between these pairs on your screen on the and the interest rate triad, right? So currently, what do you see? Choppy price action. Is price doing anything that is not worthy? No, no, it's not. It's not, right? Nothing here is not worthy. We're in a range, right? In regards to the dollar index, right? And whenever the dollar index is in a range, right, everything will either be low probability, or you will have each one out of the pairs of each triad just doing something weird. For example, you have the pound, you know, falling, right, here, just literally just falling through the floor. And you already know we were bearish on the pound, right? Like literally all from all the way up here to here, one price traded above here, and then what happened? It just collapsed. That's which it's literally crazy. That was amazing, right? That was very, that was pretty good. Probably the, um, one of the best trades for me this year was like here, right? Trading about charting above this high. I saw a lot of you guys do this too, and, you know, very good to see.
So yeah, here, here, right? Remember we had intermarket sequence here, which if you realize, when you have intermarket sequence SMT, right, on the monthly cycle, right, that is a clear-cut trade idea, right? Just that alone, you know, that will give you a bias, right? That gives you a bias. But still, you know, just looking at this, it's great, like, you know, we had SMT here, and we had it here again. Price fell, ran into, and look at this, right? Price ran into this gap right here. Do you see? And there's something that, you know, Michael taught, which I understand, something that I actually see, you know, repeated in price action, right? Whenever you have, for example, price close below a wick, right? This wick will become a breaker. Whereas we see, if you draw this out in time, we see price trade into this wick and then fall, right? This, and it was within this fair value as well, right, right here. So from this week, we had price run above this high, then there was SMT here, and price fell here. You can see that price did not trade, right, within this wick, right? And remember, right, we're looking at the four-hour timeframe right now. And what else do you realize? I bet y'all never seen this before, right? If you look here, right, what do you realize, like comparing each chart? And I'm actually not labeling it just for, you know, my reasons. I know everyone's going to screenshot it, it's going to be all over Twitter. But no, if you want to, if you want to teach this, you got to explain it yourself. You got to explain it yourself why, you know, what one of the main reasons why you, you didn't have price trade above this, this gap right here, right? Why we had price, you know, dip into this one, which caused an institutional order flow entry, right? But why do we go here? Listen. And, right, we're looking at the four-hour timeframe. So you can apply this to the one-hour timeframe. But remember, if you're applying it to the four-hour timeframe, then what do you need? The monthly cycle sequential to you, which happened here. So literally showing you guys how to find explosive moves right now. But, you know, sometimes, as I said, you'll see this happen, right? Price drop, there's a gap here, right? But pay attention, there's this gap here that closes below this low. This one did not close below this one, right? And while this gap closed right here, right, we had this, right? This candle right here. This is one, this is one four-hour candle. This is two. Do you see that? So this candle right here, right, one, whereas we saw, let me just use this, right? Price trade into this institutional order flow entry here, right? And you'll see why the better, you know, trade was the pound, right, here, right? We had the same thing, institutional order flow entry, but this consisted of, right, two, two gaps, right? So there's a gap here, then there's another gap here. So there's a gap here, boom, the candle closes, opens again, creates another gap. Price won't go to this one, right? It'll just return to this one, right? And then here you have this, right? So this gap right here would be, you know, the best thing to use, right? First of all, we have this quote-unquote breaker, right, here, all right? So this wick right here, right? And pay attention, the wick is, you know, this gap was formed over this wick. Are you paying attention? So first of all, we had one imbalance right here. This is a volume, this is a, this called again, it's a liquidity void. This is a liquidity void. This is not even an FVG. This is one liquidity void. And here we had another liquidity void, right? Liquidity void, right, precedes FVGs. Whenever you have a crack between gaps, so we have one liquidity void here, then here, in this candle, right? Nothing right here. Is it? Can you see? I, I believe that, yeah. Anyways, yeah, nothing. I don't know why the times look different, but, you know, it's the same time. I don't know what's happening. Anyways, so this is an FVG, and this becomes an FVG, and we don't expect price to go above here. First, there's a breaker right here, right? And whenever, you know, Michael taught this, you have a breaker, right? You don't expect price to go above the breaker. Whenever there was SMT here, so price was already, you know, going to go lower. And this is a signature which occurs. This is a signature which occurs before price actually moves like this, right? It won't give you a chance to enter here. So people will usually have their limit orders here and want to go short, but it won't work, right? And it's not that someone's saying something about different times. It's the same times. It's the same times. It's no different time. So see right here, you have here, then right here, it's the same time. It's just that we're looking at the four-hour candle and the weekly. They probably open at different times, so that just, you know, makes it seem off, right? So this candle, you'll see that it opened at eight, and this one just opened at five, right? So it's not different times, right? If you understand what I'm trying to say, right? They probably, the market's probably just opened at a, you know, a different time. But these times, you know, are same, and you should compare them like this, right? And that's why there is a crack right here. This candle right here delivered the same or reacted to the same news event as these in regards to the Euro and the pound, right? If I go to the one-hour timeframe, it will be clearer that these are, in fact, right, the same time. They're the same time, right? It's just that when you go in a higher timeframe, it will seem quote-unquote different. But these are the same time. All right, hopefully that cleared up whatever if you're confused. It's okay to be confused sometimes. That is a sign that you're thinking and you're using your brain. You should be confused. You should be frustrated at times, right? You should think, right? Frustration when you know studying something that makes sense is just a sign that you're growing in understanding, right? That's good. We should be frustrated.
So here, right, you can see that we had the pound, you know, drop way more than we had the Euro drop, right? Also, you can see that this low right here, right? Look at it. Look at it, right? This low, right? We had this candle right here close below this low here before we had the formation of the actual fair value gap, whereas here, this candle closed above it, right? Pay attention. This was not sequential SMT, right? So the fact that we had, you know, you shouldn't be looking, I'm going to buy this right here. No, it wasn't sequential SMT, right? So you shouldn't be trying to, you know, buy here, right? So whenever you don't have, you know, a higher timeframe sequential SMT being confirmed by a lower timeframe sequential SMT, you have things like this happen. See, it's all tied together. Logic always repeats. So amazing, right? People just can't wait to, you know, try to steal it, but try to steal it to, you know, sell or whatever they do. I don't know. But we have a lot more stuff coming. Basically, this is nothing, right? So as you guys can see here, what would this be considered as? And pay attention here. We had sequential SMT here between this high and this high. And focus on the pound, right? We had sequential between this high and this high, right? I am, you know, in my mind, you guys understand what I'm talking about, right? So that's why I'm not drawing anything right here, right? So if this video gets, so it will be harder for them to understand, you understand? So had sequential SMT here, then we had a lower timeframe sequence here, then what happened after, right? Once this price closed here on the four-hour timeframe, and we are focused within the monthly cycle, right, which creates big moves, right? Look, this is a, what is this? It's an SMT market structure shift, a real market structure shift, you understand? And then once we have this happen, and then we have this second candle close here, and we begin to see consolidation. Meanwhile, right here, the dollar only gave us one candle up, right? Using this, don't focus. And remember, you should be using capital.com. Look at this. Look at the specific red capital.com because another will more than likely give you different data, right? But anyways, this right here, that you, you see, right, it is transferable to all assets. It is fractal, right? So this is just a way to confirm, you know, why when shouldn't I wait for price to go into this gap? It's here. It's right here, right? So you usually have explosive moves after these things happened. Also on the weekly timeframe, right? Right? And I'm going to put a, this right here, then we're going to drop back down into the four-hour timeframe, right? We had the Great British pound trade above the 50% of the weekly fair value gap, then we had sequential SMT occur here. Listen, this is, this is like, boom, I made $110,000. This is like rare. This is something that will not, like, probably not far more than twice per month, right? This is a setup that is insane. It's actually, right? You have everything here pointing down. And also, right, we talked about it beforehand. We did. When price was here, what was we waiting? What were we waiting for? Sequential SMT, then we want to price wanted to see price go down, right? So I know that there are people here that like wait for me to do my analysis, and they take it and they go into their own groups and they act like they're smart, which is fine, I guess. Um, can't stop that. But yeah, this is literally what we were always pointing towards, right? This is what we've been pointing towards, you know, this right here, this exact market condition be, you know, to created, right? Why were we bullish on the dollar? Because we were bearish on the pound and bearish on the Euro. All right, okay.
So anyways, yeah, for now, I'll just leave this here and we'll look at the index futures. Do you guys remember when price was like around here and I said that the next time price dropped, it'll be, you know, quote-unquote, bullish, cool, whatever I said, right? But yeah, we've seen price drop. But remember what I said about the dollar consolidating, right? Whenever the dollar is like consolidating, you have, you know, price action like this, right? We have the Dow, you know, way, you know, just up here, opening way higher than the low that it made in the previous week, right? Then we just have, you know, price trying to find a footing, right, now, right? There's nothing to trade off of currently, right? Yeah, I don't, I don't see anything at the moment, right? There's nothing right here that's high probability. There's nothing right here that would, you know, allow me to press a button, right? I need to see more displacement. I need to see, you know, time and line. I need to see sequential SMT, right? I need to see three of these assets moving in the same direction, right? And I need to see the dollar, you know, literally telling me what it's going to do. So for now, you know, we enjoy our, you know, short call. We enjoy seeing the market, you know, as weak as we expected it to be. We've been for a while, you know, we've been talking about these types of movements, you know, coming into the marketplace, and it's just, you know, surreal. Very good to actually see this happen, you know, real-time. But for now, nothing much to do, right? There's basically nothing to do right now. Basically nothing to do right now. So just wait until we get, you know, obvious price action or displacement. Even right here, there are no gaps, right? We just had price free fall and just, you know, started to rest a bit. Nothing much to do with price. Nothing to even like pay attention to. So we will wait until we see something obvious in price, right? So whenever there's something obvious in price, we will react to it, right? That's what we will use. But there are times when you do nothing, like now, right? You do nothing. You wait for price to fall out of range, then you wait for sequential SMT, right? That's what we're going to do now.
In regards to this marketplace, Bitcoin and Ethereum, right? So here you guys can see, right? What am I using? I'm using the futures data, right? We're using the futures data right now, right? Here there was at these lows between Bitcoin and Ethereum, right? Going lower, you can, you can see the closures, right? Which is why we have, you know, price going higher, right, now. So on my buy, bullish, or am I bearish on Bitcoin? I'm not bullish, right? If anything, right, happens, and, you know, we'll probably see price go above these highs. So the range looks something like this, right? So you see price go above here, and like, pay attention, right? If you see price go above here, and there is SMT, right? So there, this SMT between Ethereum and Bitcoin, we already have a higher timeframe SMT already. So we just need a lower timeframe SMT to confirm, you know, what we want to see. Also, we already have Bitcoin reaching, you know, almost at the equilibrium of this range, while we have Ethereum below, you know, or covering less of the range than Bitcoin has been doing, which hints to, you know, future SMT. So seeing this right now, this choppy perception, ranging perception, this is good because this is usually what happened before we have reversal. This is usually what happened before we have large range moves, right? And we have a few questions. Let's see. Will I be diving deeper into Dow theory? Of course, but now, hell no. Maybe the end of the year. But you can't do that right now. Are you crazy? That's saying, man, what up right now? You see YouTube videos, the Dow theory, you all over Twitter, Dow theory, Dow theory, by day. [Laughter] Elite. Oh my God. It's look at this. Yeah, no, man. It's like, you're testing the waters, but the elementary stuff. And, you know, every, I got people that's all over the world, just, I don't even know them, bro. Thank you for your video. How, hell, you get that video, right? Is bro, you changed my life. I'm like, who are you? Damn. Anyways, so yeah, that was basically it. We've been here for like 50 minutes, I believe. There's a lot of stuff that we talked about, right? Bias, gave you guys that. When to trade, gave you guys that. What to look for before you even try to do anything, gave you guys that. So it's not like, okay, we expect the dollar to go this way. No, first, we expect retracement SMT, followed by a lower timeframe SMT, and then if all of that happens prior to a news event, then you know that you're on the right side. I hope that this was insightful to you, and we will more than likely be back, you know, sometime, you know, obviously, we, we'll be back Wednesday. And but I will probably be here, you know, with having, having unscheduled live streams, you know, mainly just to talk about, and I want to get some ideas from you guys, right? Like, what do you want to see? Like, what kind of charts should I have there? Um, forums, like, you know, what partitions would you like to see? Would you like people to be able to post on a forum, or should it just be me, or should I have two, right? One for you guys, one for me, right? And if I didn't, like, highlight anything, right? If I didn't, that you guys like, focus here, then basically that's just me telling you that I have no care for that level, or I don't see price going to that level, right? I just like, there's, there's a lot of things that I could show you in the charts right now, but I just highlight what's necessary, right? The price here that you don't, you can't even see if I don't show you, right? There are things that you can see if I don't show you. For some reason, I don't know. It's just my gift from God, right? It's not like, um, something that I have to stress myself, right, to get. It just wake up in the morning and, you know, go over the charts a few times, and boom, it's there, right? This the first angle of each Q, part of a previous Q? Yes, yes. Not sure I understand, but I, but yeah, I think so. If I understand your question correctly, I answered around, let's see, 47 emails. I'll begin to rest today. But yeah, we will be back this week. Pay attention to everything that I said, all right? And whenever you have, like, for example, Q2 and Q2 lining up, and then you have sequence SMT within the Q, that's when you will have price reverse, you know, more chance than not. That being said, I need to leave before I give too much information. You're going to see all over the internet, Google everywhere, forums about Day on Reddit, Day Treasure, Day. We found this. And guys, look at this right here, man. What's wrong with you guys, man? HEK. Yeah, I want to share the real stuff. You, you guys just, you're like making it hard for me, you know? If I have to wait like six months, I will. And the thing is, I will like literally get, I'll be, I'm giving you stuff of course, but you, I wouldn't even say because it'll be like, and I'm just standing here, right? I'm not going to, going to be going out, go on Twitter and be like, this is crazy, this is amazing, because you don't have to advertise, right? I don't want too much people here. I actually want half of you guys to disappear, literally, literally. And yeah, so it's going to got to do some NDAs, all that stuff, right? If I start going live, pressing buttons, taking trades, people going to be copying that, putting it in their group, you know, then it'll look like they're the ones doing this, right? Even sometimes, you know, in here, I literally, you know, give a bias. It's right. I see, I see the same bias on Twitter everywhere. I'm like, bro, what? That's insane. Like, and I'm like, really? Some account with 20K followers, 30K followers, I'm like, are you in the group? Probably one of those guys that their Telegram username is zftTTw226. Like, but yeah, next year, we'll like have, you know, some in-person stuff, you know, if I am, you know, probably, you know, the buy or something, or if I'm at the US, I don't even know, man. Like, people are crazy. I don't really trust people. I don't really trust people. So, but yeah, we'll see. The buy underwater, they'll fix it. They're rich. They have a lot of money. The buy will destroy. They just make another one, right? They have the oil money. When article, definitely not right now. Do you see what, like, people are like, like they're literally like acting like, like they found the gospel of truth, like it's just like secret. Oh, great. Bro, I haven't seen anything. They don't understand. Have a good day, everyone. I've been here for too long now. We'll talk.