Transcription
If you want to win your fantasy league, beat your friends, get bragging rights, well, you're in the right spot because today we are breaking down the four running backs who could explode in fantasy football this year. And we're starting right away by talking about DeAndre Swift.
Now, look, DeAndre Swift is somebody that basically every year of his career was finishing as like a top 20 or so running back. Pretty solid, especially when you can get him in the middle to later rounds of drafts. But for the most part, people just don't like DeAndre Swift. I really don't know what it is. Maybe it's back in the day when he was on the Detroit Lion, just spent an early round pick on him or something, and it just didn't pan out. But for some reason, people don't like him. Even though last year amongst running backs, he was basically top 10 in total yardage between his rushing yards of nearly 1100, his receiving yards of basically 300. He had like the quietest almost 400 yard season, he had 34 catches, he had double-digit touchdowns. This was in a Bears offense that had had Ben Johnson calling plays, who was great with the Detroit Lions. Like, it was something that we could probably expect there was going to be a lot of running in Chicago last year, and there was, especially the second half.
Now, the bigger story specifically for DeAndre Swift is that in past years, he wasn't overly efficient. Maybe explosive plays here and there, but last year with the Chicago Bears under Ben Johnson, he became efficient. Swift averaged 4.8 true yards per carry and 5.4 yards per touch, both ranking top 10 in the NFL. He was also sixth amongst all running backs in EPA. That's expected points added, an efficiency metric. It's very good. You could keep going with this stuff. He was top 10 in explosive play rating last year. He uh had 49 evaded tackles. In terms of breakaway runs, he had 12 runs of 15 or more yards. That was number 11 in the NFL. This was a very good running back. A very good running back that for at parts in stretches last year was a workhorse. Was seeing 16 to 18 carries per game. And in the year before that, when Ben Johnson wasn't there in Chicago, was arguably their best and most consistent offensive player.
Now, as I mentioned, none of this is by accident. Ben Johnson knows how to call a run game. He knows how to get the best out of his players, put them in advantageous situations. That's why DeAndre Swift last year, he had a base carry rate at 43.5%. That's advantageous for running backs, 11th in the NFL. Over 50% of his carries went against light fronts, of which he averaged five yards per carry against light fronts. So, he dominated the light fronts as he should. So, Ben Johnson was running the ball into light fronts. It seems simple, but a lot of coaches just don't do that, or they at least don't notice it like a Ben Johnson would. Last year, the Bears ranked third in the NFL in rushing yards per game. If we look up their rushing attempts per game, oh yeah, they were also top five with 505 attempts. They were just six off of being second in the NFL.
Now, whenever you have a mobile quarterback like a Caleb Williams, you're going to be up there in overall rushing attempts, especially if you run the ball a decent amount. So, you can see right here, the Bills mobile quarterback, Ravens mobile quarterback, the Giants a mobile quarterback, right? So, all of that is going to skew it forward like the Chicago Bears with Caleb Williams. But to get over 500 carries in a season as a overall offense, you still have to run the ball a lot with your running backs. That's exactly what Chicago did with DeAndre Swift and Kyle Manungai, the rookie last year to Ruckers, who is still the main competition for Swift this year.
Now, let's talk on that competition and really the overall offseason moves so far. This is the team changes tracker in the fantasy blueprint. The blueprint is available right now, so be sure to check it out at jointhebloopprint.com. Already thousands of people are using it for this year, so make sure you have it because your league mates probably are. You can see right here the offensive line, a lot changed this off season. Drew Dolman ended up retiring. He was their center last season. Um, they lost some other pieces due to injury. Azie Trapello as well. So they get Garrett Bradberry. They get Dedrick Willis a tackle. So we're going to see if this is like the same offensive line. I'm a little bit skeptical at the center position. Maybe it's a one for one replacement. We'll see what happens with Aussie Trapello not being there and Dedrick Willis taking over. But the biggest news for DeAndre Swift, like the Bears were primed to take a running back. They had a late round pick guy last year. He looked solid. But like DeAndre Swift, maybe they could move on from him. But they don't do that. They only add Salvin Amed in free agency. Not even a lock to make the roster depth guy. They don't draft a running back at all, which means their backfield is still the same three guys at least as of this recording. We'll see like veteran cuts, like if a James Connor gets cut or something later on in the offseason. But it's DeAndre Swift, it's Kungai, it's Roshan Johnson. They're going to run it back from last year. And honestly, it kind of makes sense to because when both of these guys were healthy last year in in Kyungai and DeAndre Swift from week seven on those 11 games, DeAndre Swift was good, averaging over 14 fantasy points per game. He was getting 72 rushing yards per game on 14 carries per game. Also a couple of targets per game. Kyle Manunga himself was also involved in those 12 games to close the season. He was averaging over 10 fantasy points per game. He was seeing 12 carries per game. Uh, not as efficient as DeAndre Swift. And this is kind of the knock on Kyle Manungai. That's the reason why he was a later round pick out of Ruckers, a seventh round pick. He's not going to be overly explosive. Uh, and he's also not going to catch passes. But don't get me wrong, I'm not going to sit here and say, "Oh, Kyle DeAndre Swift is the workhorse running back on this team." No. Like we saw with Ben Johnson in Detroit, David Montgomery and Jamir Gibbs were both involved. I think your Jamir Gibbs obviously not the same type of overall upside is DeAndre Swift in this offense. Common guy is more of your David Montgomery. Both of these guys can go coexist especially when neither of them are going to cost you a high draft pick. DeAndre Swift right now goes as the 60th overall player. He's a fifth or a sixth round pick. If this is your second running back, if you start your draft in the first or second round getting one running back and then you don't draft another one until round five and it's DeAndre Swift, I don't hate that. Like I don't hate that at all by any means. DeAndre Swift, if you're not familiar, this is a running back who in his entire NFL career for fantasy football purposes has never finished worse than the RB 24. You could see last year RB 16, 21, 24. Look at this. 15, 8, 15. The guy has always been there as a top 20 RB. He averages a top 20 finish in his NFL career. This is somebody that where he goes in the fifth or sixth round. As of right now, with the information we currently have, I'm fine if Kyle Young is seeing 10 to 12 touches a game. DeAndre Swift's 14th to 16. I'm fine taking that in round five or six in this offense.
Next up, let's go to another middle round running back. By shalt with the Jacksonville Jaguars as he enters year two and a lot more opportunity for him this year because Travis Etien's gone almost 300 vacated touches up for grabs. Maybe Tuton gets a lot of those. We know the general manager James Gladwell kind of hyped up Tutin in the pre-draft process. That's how Gladwell he like used Toutin as an example as to why Gladwell should get the job targeting these types of players. And then he drafted Toutin. He get the exact same system coming back this year in a Leon Con offense. So that should benefit Bhatune especially with ETN gone. Let's break this all down.
If you're not familiar, Tuton in his final year of college, not a lot of people were like thinking about him all that much until his NFL combine performance. But he did have a good final year. 6.3 yards per attempt, over 1100 rushing yards, caught 22 balls, had 17 touchdowns. But it wasn't until the NFL combine where he ran a 4.32 40 time at over 200 lb where he had a top 10% burst score and speed score at over 200 lb that people started to pay attention to this very explosive 4.32 100th percentile speed score, 100 percentile 40-yard dash by Xiao.
Now, as a rookie, he immediately started to see a little bit more work because Tank Bsby was traded away to the Philadelphia Eagles and the pecking order became very quickly Travis Eten by Sha Tutin and then Laquent Don another rookie as well and like passing down. Now, the workload never really got there for Tuon. He dealt with his own injuries. Travis Etien just really had a good year and Leon trusted the veteran more only 5.5 carries per game about one target per game. But the real spot where Leon Con used Bhatuin, 27 red zone touches. I mean, the guy last year only had 83 carries and he ended up getting 27 red zone touches, four goal line touches. 20% of his overall touches were in the red zone. So, they specifically wanted to use him there. They trusted him there more than Travis ETN at least at times. And speaking of that red zone usage, this is a tweet from Stat Startum Cinema on Fantasy Football. Be sure to follow him over on Twitter. He says on those 20% of his carries being in the red zone, you can see he says he was very successful in that context, recording the fifth highest success rate amongst running backs, granted his new backfield competition, Chris Rodriguez was fourth. So very interesting. So the Jaguars right now on their roster, and we're about to get into it. They have a brand new piece in this backfield. And Chris Rodriguez, they have two of the top five graded red zone success rate running backs from last year. So they should be an efficient run game in the red zone, especially when you factor in coach Leon Con knows how to call a good run scheme in the red zone. Went to and ended up seeing at least 10 or more carries in games last year. In those three contests, he averaged 12.3 fantasy points per game. And then they actually used him in the postseason. He was able to go out there and have a nice performance. As expected, Travis ETN led the way with 10 carries for 67 yards. But Ba Tutin on limited touches, four carries, 51 yards. He broke off that big run in the game for 20 yards. This was a very efficient player, somebody that they were using and he was producing all the way up until the postseason.
And now with Travis ET and gone, as you can see right here, the overall vacated carries available in this offense right now. If we pull this up, Jacksonville Jaguars number two in the NFL, 260 carries available. That's basically all, 72% of their carry rate from Travis ETN being gone. Travis ETN is going to have a big opportunity. You can see John Shipley here, one of the team writers, says he believes Jaguars RB by Shaltan's rolling opportunity is going to see a major hike next season. Now, that's not like a hot take because ETN's gone. But ETN in this Leone offense last year was very successful. 15 fantasy points per game, 13 touchdowns, was a top 13 running back. Basically was like 0.1 points away from being an RB1, a top 12 running back. And this is very encouraging because this same Leon Con system, he did it last year in 2025 with Travisian. In 2024, Bucky Irving as a rookie had a breakout season as well. And over the final eight games down the stretch was a top 10 running back. Specifically for Bucky in his rookie year 2024. After the by-week from week 12 on, he was averaging over 16 fantasy points per game.
So now with Travisian gone, the new competition is Chris Rodriguez, who the team did sign. Now they gave him a decent contract, but relative to the cap going up, it's not like anything significant for a percentage of the cap, but Chris Rodriguez does have history with coach Leon Con. They were together during their time in Kentucky. Leon Con says that he's very trustworthy, that he can get you four to five yards per carry at any clip. Chris Rodriguez himself, he's not like the most explosive player. You don't see his name and you get worried that he's going to be serious competition, but in terms of his NFL career the last three seasons, he's been a reliable back. Maybe not in terms of health, but when he's on the field, he doesn't fumble the ball. 4.5 yards per carry, 4.9, 4.8. This guy averages 4.7 career yards per carry. And he's coming off of a season where we saw his largest sample. He played 13 games, had 112 carries, 500 rushing yards, looked very efficient on those. So, I do think, no doubt about it, Chris Rodriguez is going to be involved. Do I think he's going to catch a lot of passes, be an explosive runner? No. That's where Bahaton can earn a bigger workload if he's just able to do that with his opportunity. So, it basically comes down to Baltun's going to get touches. He's going to see a larger role. He should see more red zone work like he did last year. Can he take advantage of that more than he did last season? If that's the case, there's no reason not to give him the ball more over Chris Rodriguez where you know what you're going to get from him. Three and a half to four and a half yards per carry.
Now, at least as of right now, we could see right here, this was a tweet based on OTAAS as of this recording. This could change. Chris Rodriguez was not there. You can see Adam Kof over on Twitter says, "Where in the world is Chris Rodriguez?" Um, this is not like a hold out or anything. It is most likely injury related. By the time you're watching this, the injury report should actually be out. They don't usually they're not they don't need to actually report injury reports in OTAAS, but some news will probably be out. They'll probably ask Liam Con a where's Chris Rodriguez. Maybe it's a personal matter. Maybe it's a little bit of an injury, but either way, two out there. Chris Rodriguez in a new offense is not out there. That's going to work against him.
Now, Chris Rodriguez was the only running back added of note this offseason. These are the draft picks for the Jaguars. No running backs were added. Instead, they actually helped their run game in the second round. They spent a high pick, a second round pick on a tight end, Nate Boracher out of Texas A&M, who's mostly a run blocking tight end. And then in the third round, they ended up adding a guard out of Oregon. So, this is a situation where like the backfield competition, we know what it is. The backfield competition is pretty obviously at this point going to be between a couple of guys. It's going to be Tinan and Chris Rodriguez probably battling it out for early downs and red zone work. I'm going to bet on the younger, more explosive two. And just personally, I think upside wins championships. I don't really care about the three to four yards per carry. Let's let's be let's be generous. Four to four and a half yards per carry. That's what he's done in his career. Chris Rodriguez, there's also going to be Laquent Allen in this backfield who actually is probably going to play on passing down. So, it could be a little bit of a murky three down backfield, but Bishuan should have all the opportunity in the world to take on a lot of that Travis ET and workload. And if that's the case where he currently goes as the 63rd overall player as a sixth round pick, I think there's a lot of upside. The exact same things that I said about DeAndre Swift. Meaning like if you get a running back in the first round of your draft, let's say you end up taking like Bejun Robinson number two overall or Saquon at number 12 overall and then you wait until round six and you get a B shotin that feels pretty solid.
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Now, let's go to another young running back, 22-year-old. This is a rookie out of Notre Dame and Jaren Price, who was taken in the first round by the Seattle Seahawks. Now, if you're not familiar, he went to the NFL combine relative to some of the other guys there because now guys don't test unless they're going to just put up great numbers. Relative to some of the other guys, he wasn't impressive, but a 4.49 40 time for a 200 plus pound running back, it's well above average, 66 percentile. His burst was above average. So, I wasn't that concerned by these numbers as some other people might have been. But in terms of college production, this is this stuff is very important to like. The last two years in Notre Dame, he played behind the best running back in college football, Jeremiah Love. Last year specifically on 113 carries, he averaged six yards per carry. He put up 674 rushing yards, 13 touchdowns as well. The year before that behind Jeremiah Love 746 yards per carry, 6.2 yards per or 746 yards, 6.2 yards per carry, seven touchdowns. So, this is a guy the last two seasons behind Jeremiah Love, still able to average 110 carries a a season for over 700 rushing yards, six yards per carry, 10 touchdowns per year while playing next to the best running back in college. That's how legitarian Price was that he was able to force himself on the field enough to put up legit numbers. And then on day one of the NFL draft, like I said, 32nd overall, he cashed a lot of tickets for us. He cashed first round pick. He cashed specifically to Seattle. We had some bets on those, so that ended up working out great. He goes to the Seahawks.
As my friend Austin on Twitter says, things I really like about Jarian Price, and I do as well. He gets the first round draft capital, so he's going to get paid a lot. He gets the fifth year option on that. Spending a first round capital ensures that he's probably going to have high investment more than anybody else in this backfield. That will be healthy week one. He has light usage, only 285 collegiate touches. That's important. And he's durable. He was on the field for 41 consecutive games in college. This is all very important, especially when you consider that he looks like he's going to be the RB1 for this team to start the season. Kenneth Walker is gone. Super Bowl MVP running back. His mark was too high. He left. He went to the Kansas City Chiefs. Uh, they ended up signing Emanuel Wilson from the Green Bay Packers in free agency for like a million dollars. Kind of an unproven guy, mostly a backup, or really only a backup in his NFL career outside of one or two games when Josh Jacobs was hurt over the last couple of seasons. And they let Cam Acres walk as well. So, the current backfield competition for Darien Price isn't going to be much. It'll be Emanuel Wilson and George Hani who was on the team last year and has like 25 career regular season carries. The reason I'm not saying Zach Charbanet, he tore his ACL in the playoffs, he's probably not going to be back until, if we're being generous, November, which is like 10 to 12 weeks. There's a chance he doesn't play the entire regular season depending on how the recovery process goes. So, his competition to Darian Price, Emanuel Wilson, who signed for like a million bucks this off season, even though the cap was increasing, and George Hani, who the team did trust to give him meaningful snaps in the NFC Championship and Super Bowl, but obviously not a ton. And Kenneth Walker was the MVP for a reason. It's going to be the Jadarian Price show. Maybe Emanuel Wilson factors in a little. This is assuming they don't sign anybody else. If James Connor gets cut or Jerome Ford gets cut from the Browns, right? Assuming they don't sign anybody else here.
Some other things you should know about Jadarian Price. This is the cool Uh, this is a stat cool courtesy of Ian Hart on Twitter. Be sure to follow him. He says that it's RB's total touchdowns, explosive plays, that's 15 to 20 yards or more, and tackles avoided divided by their career carries and targets. Out of all the draft running backs in this year's draft with at least a hundred opportunities, number one was Jadarien Price in cool in terms of like touchdowns, explosive plays, broken tackles, so stuff that actually matters for fantasy football. Number two is his teammate Jeremiah Love. So these things are very important. It's also important that he's going into a Seattle Seahawks offense that ranks tied for third last year with 507 rush attempts per game. And unlike earlier when I said all the other guys, all the other teams in this top five had mobile quarterbacks. Sam Darnold and the Seahawks not known for being a mobile quarterback. Now I will say this is going to change a lot. One, because the Seattle Seahawks were like historically runheavy. Two, be so naturally they're going to regress to pass more. Two, the biggest one, their offensive coordinator, Clint Kubak, is now gone. So, a new offensive coordinator's coming in. Who knows if he's going to have that same extremely runheavy philosophy. But even if he doesn't, Seattle just has too much to replace right now. The fourth most carries above replacement, 226 with Kenneth Walker gun. This doesn't even factor in that Zack Sharp is technically not really even on the team the first 10 games to 12 games of the season. Obviously, he's on the team, but in terms of being active, he's not going to be out there. So this number should be even higher. Really the Seattle the Seattle Seahawks when you factor in that Charminet won't be playing most of the regular season they should be number one in total carries available. So even if an Emanuel Wilson is going to carve out a significant role or they sign a Jerome Ford if he gets cut right the first round pick who some people consider a blue chip running back prospect in this draft class. Obviously his teammate Jeremiah Love was there but people think if he wasn't blocked by Jeremiah Love he would be just as good. Maybe not one of the best prospects of all time, but like first round pick worthy and maybe would have gone in the higher 20s and not the 30s. I think Jere Jaren Price has all the upside in the world to start week one. And we're getting those exact same reports. Brady Henderson, you can follow him on Twitter right here. He covers the Seahawks for ESPN. He said under Jaren Price's role. It's best to view him as the Seattle Seahawks replacement for Walker as opposed to the clear-cut RB1. I think that's important like a replacement for Kenneth Walker because last year this backfield was split between Walker and Zack Charbanet. But also like are we really going to think that the first round pick Jadearian Price is just not going to see a little bit more work than George Helani or Emanuel Wilson? Maybe he'll stink, right? Maybe Jadarian Price will be a bus, but at least as of right now on paper and when we're trying to predict values and upside for fantasy football, a backfield that's filled with George Hani and Emanuel Wilson, I'll take the first round pick in that backfield instead.
Now, if we were to talk about concerns, I think the obvious concerns and the risks would be that a lot of like late first round picks like your Sony Michelle's in past years, your Clyde Edwards, uh, even if you go back a little bit more, these guys just don't Rashad Pennies, that's what the Seahawks specifically, these guys just really don't pan out for fantasy football all that much. But it is still first round draft capital. And the other thing would be is like if Zack Sharbon was able to come back ahead of schedule in like weeks 10 through 12 and for the end of the season in the fantasy playoff, Shadarian Price basically becomes not valuable. But even if that happened, if you got a six-round pick in Jaren Price, and he was balling out for you, or at least being a flex to RB2 for you for 10 to 12 plus weeks, that might be worthwhile. Price currently goes in the same range as the other running backs we're talking about, 56th overall, as about a fifth or sixth round pick right now in fantasy drafts. I think there's a lot of upside there.
Now, before we get into the next running back, who goes a little bit earlier and has already proven to be a league winner, but people are still not drafting him like that. I just want to let you know the fantasy blueprint is currently live. It is the proven system, my proven system for winning your fantasy football league. What does this mean? Well, f tens of thousands of people have used it over the past couple years alone to help them win more in fantasy football. Uh, including myself. Last year, I won 75% of my home leagues, including the Flock League Championship against other expert fantasy football players, where I won a $10,000 to first prize pool, was able to take my parents, fly them business class, first class to Italy. They had an amazing time. All that because of fantasy football. It is a lovely game. Now, if you want to win your fantasy league and actually compete more with the exact same tools that I'm using to win my leagues, well, you can check it out at jointhebloopprint.com. I'll link it down below. You could also just type in jointhebloopprint.com into your device. You could read about what you get right here. There's a bunch of testimonials on this as well from real people who have won. These are not fake testimonials. I literally have these screenshots from my email. I have the screenshots from Discord. I have the screenshots from social media. They're all right there. You can check it out at jointhebloopprint.com. You can read a little bit about me and like my story and all that. So, check it all out. It's linked down below at jointhebloopprint.com. If you want to win your fantasy league this year and actually be more competitive, you need a legit system. The blueprint is that system. Link down below.
Next up is Chase Brown. And this is the third straight year I like Chase Brown where he currently goes. Last year he was a second round pick. The year before that he was a late round pick and he's paid off both times whether it's a late round pick or an early round pick. Last year specifically best finish of his career 16.6 fantasy points per game. Second straight season with 11 touchdowns, right? I mean the guy is just going out there and he's producing. And the craziest part is to start last year when Joe Burrow wasn't playing well for the first game or two. Then he got hurt and they had to put Jake Browning in. For those first couple of months, that month or five weeks of the season, Chase Brown, this offense was terrible. He looked like the biggest bust in all of fantasy football. Pause. But then they traded for Joe Flacco and then Joe Burrow came back. In those final 12 games of the season, Chase Brown was a top 10 running back, 19.4 fantasy points per game. Between his receiving yards of 28 and a half and his rushing yards of 71, he was averaging nearly 100 yards and over four catches per game was Chase Brown. For the second straight season, the Bengals defense stunk. This offseason, they lost their best pass rusher in Trey Hendrickson. So maybe it's not going to be good once again. And for because of that, the offense had to throw to keep up. A lot of checkdown passes from Joe Barrow, from Joe Flacco to Chase Brown. And he paid off yet again last year for us. Specifically last year, you could see this tweet from PFF. Uh, over those final 12 games or into the fantasy postseason, he was the RB3 in the fantasy playoffs, averaging 26 fantasy points per game.
Now, despite this, right, despite him being selected around like the 20th overall player in last year's draft, winning people fantasy leagues last year, being one of the best running backs the final 12 weeks of the season, despite this, he's going in the exact same place that he went last year, 19th overall. And I get it, like if he was going any higher, like if he was the 12th overall player next to Ashen Genty and Saquon and CD Lamb, I probably wouldn't be interested. But as the 19th overall player, like there's so much value to be had here in this range, like if you miss out on that range of players, Squan, Ashen Genty, and you have to settle, quote unquote, settle for a Chase Brown, you start your draft, if you want to go running back, running back this year, and you start your draft with a BJ Robinson, you come around and Chase Brown is still there at the end of your second round for like back-to-back picks. That feels solid. You're just getting so much workload in your offense week in and week out.
Now, Chase Brown last year once again had an elite workload. He didn't have a lot of competition. and a 72% opportunity share was sixth in the NFL. 67% of the snaps was ninth amongst running backs, but over those final 12 games, he was actually in the 80% snapshare space. So, just no competition at all. And it's just going to happen again. We're going to run it back once again because Chase Brown, we thought the Bengals would add somebody in the draft just as like a backup option. Chase Brown, right? Like he's been good, but maybe just get another guy to compete with him just in case he goes down. In terms of free agency, Bengals did nothing this off season for their offense. According to the team changes tracker in the fantasy blueprint, they only added quarterback Josh Johnson. And in terms of the NFL draft, no running backs were added. So this backfield is once again going to be the exact same it was last year. Samaji Perion, who's now yet another year older. Taj Brooks, who maybe steps up this year, but hasn't done anything in his NFL career so far after last season. And by the way, Samaji Pryion, like he's going to be 31 years old this year. I'm not concerned about Samaji Peran. He did not slow down Chase Brown last year. I don't expect him to slow down Chase Brown all that much this year. Maybe in some two-minute offense stuff or third and longs, they take Chase Brown off the field, put P R in as more of a pass blocking guy, a veteran they can trust, but I think Chase Brown is kind of earning that role.
Now, here's an interesting tweet from Jared Smalla. Be sure to follow him, Sola Diaz, over on Twitter. He said, "I haven't figured it out why, but Chase Brown was a much better runner over the final two-thirds of the season last year." Uh, and you can see right here, he says, "Yards per carry from weeks one through six, 2.7 yards per carry from 7 to 18, 5.2." Now, some of the obvious stuff there would be that they just didn't have any fear in the passing attack under Jake Browning, right? So in those weeks when Joe Burrow was out and they didn't have Joe Flakley yet, they could just load the box. That's at least where my head goes. And then if we look at this tweet right here from Kyle MF over on Twitter, he says Chase Brown saw stack boxes 45% of his rush attempts in weeks one through six versus just 36% the rest of the season. So his stacked box rate dropped and then it went down even more to just 31% with Joe Burrow once he was healthy from weeks 13 to 18. So that makes a lot of sense. Defenses weren't scared of Jake Browning, especially when he was struggling. Then they got worried when Joe Flacco was letting them up and obviously when Joe Burrow came back and was playing very well. So they stopped stacking the boxes, softer boxes for Chase Brown to run in, higher yards per carry. Makes sense.
Now the good news for Chase Brown, at least right now, and Joe Burrow has dealt with a lot of injuries in his career. At least right now, Joe Brow is healthy entering the season. So Chase Brown should have another quality year if he stays healthy, Joe Burrow stays healthy, and this offense just remains intact. The obvious risk would be, well, overall, you know, Joe Brow has dealt with some injuries. That would be the biggest risk here. And maybe if like for some reason the Bengals sign the James Connor or somebody else to be involved here. But other than that, Chase Brown once again is set up to explode in this offense. That should still throw the ball a ton. That's defense is set up to give up a lot of points once again most likely. So Chase Brown 19th overall, late second round pick, feel strong.
I appreciate you all tuning in to this video. Thank you so much. Be sure to check out the blueprint at joinb blueprint.com. And if you want to see my top 24 overall players across all positions, the first two rounds of your draft ranked out. You cannot afford to mess those rounds up, round one and two, you can check out this video right here. I think you're going to like it a lot. I think it's going to help you a ton to help you smack around your league mates.