Searching For Body with Specific Coordinates in the Desert | Nancy Guthrie Missing

Hey everyone, I'm Ashley Banfield and this is Drop Deadad Serious. It is Monday, March the 2nd, which officially makes this day 30 in the Nancy Guthrie case. And I know I didn't drop an episode yesterday or on Saturday. Um, I'll be honest with you, there were very few developments over the weekend. There was also uh an attack on Iran and I think the country's um their attention just seemed to go elsewhere for a hot minute. But I know that you're still here and I did gather a lot of information which I'm going to give you right now. Thank you for watching. Don't forget to hit subscribe please. It does me a big solid if you're new. Hi. Thanks for being here. It's good to meet you.

Um, so let's just dive right in. I've got some big news that's extremely um well it's sad but it is I suppose not unexpected. I talked to um one of my law enforcement sources who's associated with the Nancy Guthrie investigation and I learned from that law enforcement source that the Pima County Sheriff's Department enlisted one of their partner agencies and gave them the signal sniffer to take to a neighboring county and look for a body. Um, this is several days ago that this apparently happened and that neighboring agency did take that signal sniffer and did go out into the desert to a specific location. I'll get to what kind of specific location and what they used to find the location in a minute. But they did do that and obviously uh they did not find Nancy at this place. But it is sad to hear that this was one of the directives. Please go to this specific location in the desert in a neighboring county and look for a body. So there was some intelligence that investigators came across that led them uh to to go on that mission. And what's really interesting about the timing of it was that it was just one day after news broke that the Puma authorities were using the signal sniffer in Puma County. And I think you might remember when Brian Enton was reporting and he said there's this helicopter above me as I'm doing this live report and it came out later that the um that was a helicopter using the signal sniffer and I think Brian mentioned that they had it on the rudder. I'm not sure if they did or if they were holding it. Whatever it was, the search in the neighboring county came right after the um the Puma County. And I thought, well, wow, that's that's awfully quick because I would have thought that they'd spend many days with that signal sniffer in Puma County. I mean, Pima County is the side of size of Rhode Island and Connecticut combined. It is huge. But maybe this was an immediate piece of information. They needed to go check it out. And then they brought the signal sniffer back into the Puma area and continued their searches. I don't know that. Um I just it stands to reason they wouldn't just search for a day that that they would continue to use that technology.

And if you if you missed that episode, um I'll just quickly summarize that the signal sniffer is technology that and this is my talk to me like I'm five language, but uh effectively sends out a a handshake and looks for an advertisement coming from the ground from from NY's very specific address of her pacemaker. That pacemaker is continually sending out advertisements looking to connect with its devices, right? Because it got separated from its devices uh when she was taken from her home. And it's still sending out those advertisements. Hey, hello. Where are you? And this sniffer comes down and searches for that address saying, I'm right here. And then connects and can find where that pacemaker is. That's what the signal sniffer was doing. I hope that made sense. It sounded awfully sophomoric. However, um and for those of you who think, well, what if Nancy died? Then that's just a fool's errand. Well, the pacemaker doesn't die. The pacemaker is electronic and it will go on for years according to the people who actually um make the signal sniffer technology and who know about the actual technology of the pacemakers. So I think it's just an incredible uh possibility that that might still yield something in this investigation. But it's just fascinating because let me tell you what the Puma folks told the neighboring agency uh to do. They gave them cell tower coordinates to go into the desert, that specific area in the desert in the neighboring county. Um, for purposes of protecting sources, I can't tell you what county, but I know what county. I just can't tell you, unfortunately. Um, and so yeah, they were given cell tower coordinates and they took the sniffer out there and obviously it did not yield anything, which is very sad.

What's also hard um when you're reporting and when you're investigating a story like Nancy Guthrie's disappearance is that eventually one must change from a rescue mission to a recovery mission. And there is no definition for when that time is. When a ferry capsizes, of course, we know that the search mission turns to a recovery mission fairly quickly because how long can you survive in the water? But in a mission like this, it's a little less defined. So, it's very hard to be talking out loud about searching for a body. But we know that that law enforcement uh with PEMA was doing that, at least in this one circumstance. Who knows if they're doing it in other circumstances, but we are now in week five. We hit the one month mark yesterday. And again, this is Monday, March 2nd, day 30. Um it's entirely probable. There are these two parallel investigations ongoing. One to find Nancy alive and one to potentially find Nancy dead and even Savannah has acknowledged in some of her Instagrams that she may no longer be with us. And to that I have some news for you today I will get to in a moment. But finally um Savannah and her family have come to the flower um display that that neighbors and friends and mourners and those who are just connected to the story have left out in front of Nancy Guthrie's home. I'll show you that in just one moment. But not before I tell you also that the news that I just gave you about the signal sniffer going out to the desert in the neighboring county came one day after we were told that those images of the offender on the doorbell cam were actually on two different days. Um, the significance of that is that the guest that I'm going to talk to in this episode is a fantastic guest regarding searching because that is what she does. That is her entire life, searching and forensic searching and rescue and recovery. But she also happens to be a PhD in psychology. And as she puts it, she gets into the shoes of the bad guy to determine what happened. And that's kind of what we've all been trying to do, right? To figure out what happened to Nancy Guthrie for God's sake who does this, what would they what could they have done? That's what this person does who you're going to meet. Uh Dr. Tracy Sergeant is um just spectacular at what she does. She even worked on BTK on that case. But in terms of offender profiling, that news that those images came out on two different days was big to her as well because it sort of changes the dynamic, right? If he was uh stalking it changes how um how Dr. um Sergeant would look at this crime. So that was big for her. So it's that's part of the conversation that I have with her as well. Even though it's a couple days old, she wants to talk about the searching, but also um that offender change as well. That does make things different. So today was a a very big day and a very difficult day for the Guthrie family. And I'm about to show you uh what they did today when they came down their driveway um to leave flowers in that memorial for their mom. It was really heart-wrenching. That's all coming in just a minute.

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All right. Today was a a big day for the Guthrie family. Uh again, I'm recording this on Monday, March 2nd, but the Guthrie family, including Savannah and her sister, Annie and Annie's husband, Tomaso, all came down Nancy Guthrie's driveway. Um, and they had with them yellow flowers and a card. And it was such a sad moment to see them come and take in this makeshift memorial that has been growing right at NY's driveway where her driveway meets the street right near her mailbox. The neighbors began, you know, putting flowers out, yellow flowers, and then passers by and people from all over Tucson, you know, have come to Nancy Guthrie's home to leave messages and and these memorial flowers and the and the Guthrie kids and their Annie's husband uh all came to take a look at it. And it was so sad because you could hear Annie crying very loudly as they were all hugging. And um they left their flowers and they left a card. I'll read it for you in a moment, but I just want you to see this uh moment without any any um any talking over top. So, as I said, um they looked at all the messages that people have left and the flowers they've left. They left their own yellow flowers there and they left this card. And I want to read this for you. It says, "Mama, we miss you so much, our hearts are broken. We are standing on ash, on scorched earth, but mom, though we are surrounded by so much darkness and uncertainty, our love burns bright. We love you, Mommy. We miss you so much. Our best friend, Annie, Tomaso, and Olmo." I don't know who Elmo, maybe one of their children or a pet or I'm not sure who that is, but um that was from obviously from Annie and Tomaso. Uh Savannah's not signed on that card, but I will tell you that it was only Fox and NewsNation that were there to capture this moment because the press corps has pretty much vanished from this street out in front of NY's house. Not for lack of interest in the story necessarily. The sheriff put in these extraordinarily oppressive parking restrictions that that go out for concentric blocks, right? And so anybody who wants to actually see what's happening, cover the story, find out what investigators are doing, find out what family is doing, etc., um they have to carry all of their gear for a very, very long walk. And don't forget, this is the desert. So they're effectively walking on sort of a a dusty road in the middle of the 89 degree weather and then carrying all their gear for the day. Um, as Brian Enton said to me, I was absolutely exhausted. I felt dehydrated. He'd been there all day because it's not enough time in between live shots to make your way all the way back out to where your car is parked. Even though a nice neighbor gave him a driveway, it just isn't very close. You know, they're low on water, they're low on power, there's no uh shelter from the oppressive heat. They get under a tent to try to shield themselves from the desert sun, but even then it's just um it's made it so difficult. So, the sheriff got what he wanted, I think, uh get rid of them by making it painful.

So, the other issue is that on Saturday, you know, at 2:30 in the morning, uh we we began a war with Iran and here in the United States. And so, the the you know, the the reporters were needed elsewhere. And so that might be part of the reason why all of a sudden there's so few people uh who were there. Nonetheless, to keep the story alive, um Savannah put out another Instagram today and it's just text. It's not a a video, but I'll read it to you. She said, "We feel the love and prayers from our neighbors, from the Tucson community, and from around the country." And she puts a yellow heart. Please don't stop praying and hoping with us.

Um, so just some other stuff that I collected, just news that I collected today and in the last two days as well. Michael Ruiz, again, dogged reporter from Fox. He did not leave. He is still there. He and his team captured these images along with News Nation of the Guthrie family coming to the mailbox. Uh, he said he also noticed a camera, and I'll read what he said in his tweet. Just noticed a camera on the way in and out of Annie and Tomaso's neighborhood that I hadn't seen before. Unfortunately, I don't have any other context to that. I don't know if this is um a public camera that the city put up. I don't know if it's a neighborhood camera that the neighbors put up together. I don't know what what it is, but it's new to Michael Ruiz. He also said that the Pima County Sheriff's Department and the FBI have shifted resources as the investigation enters its fifth week. This is what Michael says. Sources say that this morning the case was handed off to a task force featuring Puma County homicide detectives and FBI agents. You know, at some point there has to be a draw down, right? Again, we're going into week five now. We are in week five now. And at some point, there's still work that needs to be done in in Tucson and throughout greater Arizona. And so the 400 agents that we had been told originally were at one point working on this case, they will have to draw down. Um, and so Michael Ruiz is seeing the evidence of that through his sources right now. But also there's a statement that, you know, pretty much tells us that that is what's happening to a degree. This is from the Pima County Sheriff's Department. Quote, "This remains an active investigation and will continue until Nancy Guthrie is located or all leads have been exhausted. The Puma County Sheriff's Department is refocusing resources to detectives specifically assigned to this case. As leads are developed and resolved, resource allocation may fluctuate. Puma County Sheriff's Department will maintain a patrol presence in the Guthrie neighborhood." But to that, um, I will tell you that on Saturday, uh, Michael Ruiz reported that the deputy who had been watching Nancy Guthrie's driveway left and there had been a couple of other reports saying that it's no longer, um, a constant, a deputy protecting the house. And Matt Finn from Fox reported on Saturday that the Pima County Sheriff's vehicles that have been guarding NY's property for weeks might be leaving soon as the house is returned to the family. And I know what you're thinking. Wait, the sheriff told us that they returned the house to the family or at least they returned the house. It's no longer a crime scene on Monday after the crime. Right. Nancy was taken on Sunday morning and on Monday evening it was no longer a crime scene and we were told that it was, you know, released to the family then. So, I'm confused as you are as to why the sheriff is now saying we're releasing it to the family now. Um, and frankly, that's not so much what the sheriff is saying as uh as the reporters are saying the sheriff has told them. So, there's been no um actual press release saying that. But uh as you know there's been some mixed messages throughout this particular case.

Something else that Michael Ruiz noticed which I thought was really interesting. We reported to you on Friday night that this remarkable moment had sort of percolated out of nowhere that a neighbor from 2 and a half miles away outside of the twomile radius that the police were asking neighbors to look at their ring cam and let them know if there was anything unusual. These guys are 2.5, so half a mile outside the radius. These people told Fox that they spotted 12 cameras on their Ring Cam that looks right out on the street. Um, and of those 12, one was very, very interesting. Uh, it was seen at 2:36 a.m. And that's interesting because it's 8 minutes after NY's pacemaker separated from her Apple devices in her home. And it's presumed to be the the moment that she was taken from her home. And this 2.5 mile away home is about a seven eight minute drive. So that car was very very I mean gosh I talked to Moren O'Connell from former FBI U special agent who said this could be a dealbreaker. This could be everything. I she was so happy and they could even tell they thought that it was a key of soul even though it's such a quick you know flash across the dark the dark road. And then we heard a report that an FBI source had told TMZ that it was a dead lead. So to that I say that Michael Ruiz from Fox today says they are reportedly still looking into that ring camera video. I mean this was a back road out of NY's um neighborhood, right? And I don't know the neighborhood really well, but it leads to East River Road, which is a major cross street. And from what I do understand about the neighborhood is that if you wanted to drive away and avoid cameras and major intersections, you might take this route, you know. So, very interesting to hear Michael Ruiz from Fox say, "Still looking into Ring camera video taken uh on that back road two and a half miles away from NY's house." That's to me that's heartening. I'm I'm glad. Maybe that will go somewhere. But so far, here we are four days later. And the police have not come to us with the white Elantra moment. You know, be on the lookout for this car. Let us know if you've seen this car. They haven't told us be on the lookout for anything yet. So, watch this space.

Okay. Max Gordon Fox has been doing some really good work on this story. I should tell you, I learned early on that they sent roughly 30 people down to Tucson to cover this story. So, understandably, they're doing an incredible job. And Brian Enton is doing like a spectacular job with a fraction of that, you know. So, yay, Brian. Um, but Max Gordon from Fox, I believe he's uh located in LA. I think he's based in LA, but Max said this on Twitter. I just interviewed Luke Daly and his mother, Mary Chapman Dailyaly. Luke's car and their home were raided by law enforcement on February 13th in connection to the Nancy Guthrie investigation. Neither was arrested. And their lawyer says he's been unable to see the search warrant. I don't know why that's that's nuts to me. I mean, okay, I get it. Everything's been sealed. We can't get anything. We can't get any We tried to see the warrant when they towed Annie's car. That warrant was sealed as well. According to Megan Kelly and her team who tried to get it, they were told nope. And I've got something I want to mention about that in a moment. But Brianna Whitney from Arizona Family also interviewed Miss Dailyaly. And Miss Dailyaly told Briana that the police were in her home for 6 hours. She had no idea why they were there and had no idea that there was some connection to her son who'd been arrested, you know, not far. He had just gone for food. He'd been not arrested. He'd been detained and cuffed in a parking lot with a silver Range Rover just a few blocks away. But listen to this incredible interview that Briana Whitney did um for Arizona Family.

>> So they were there for about 6 hours and and I was in the SWAT vehicle and they went through my house and um went through everything and tore everything, broke my if if a door was locked, they would break it open to go see what was in there. There really wasn't anything in there. But, you know, it was uh pretty upsetting.

>> Well, and it's one thing to come to you and say, "Do you have any video or anything like that?" It's another to detain you and search your house with a search warrant. Did they tell you why?

>> I guess I assumed, you know, cuz I live close by or something, but I just said I'd do anything to if we could find some clues that might help, but I don't I don't think there's going to be anything in here. So when they detained you, did you know that this was related to also them investigating Luke?

>> No.

>> You had no idea?

>> No, I wasn't thinking this was about Luke. I found out it was also about Luke, but initially, no. I was thinking it was all about Nancy Guthrie and finding her and whatnot.

>> So that is Mary Chapman Dailyy. And Briana Whitney also spoke with Luke Daly, her son, and he had this to say about his experience. Many people have believed that you are the person on the surveillance video, the abductor, the masked person. Is that you?

>> It's not me. Um I don't see the resemblance of it it looking like me. Um but absolutely not. I have nothing to do with this case. Um so I was driving home. Uh I noticed um uh two sheriff vehicles following me. Um they pulled me over at the Culver's right there. um asked me to get out of the car. Uh it didn't tell me what it was about. Um so they had me cuffed in the back of a cop car, detained. I was asking like what am I being detained for? Um and they wouldn't tell me anything. They just said that uh the in or detectives would be there to talk to me. Um and once I saw like FBI and all the other cars started pulling in, I'm like, "Oh, this is probably about the the Guthrie case." I'm like, "This should be easy." like I have nothing to do with this, so it should be not a big deal to clear my name and and move on. Um, but the whole time during the questioning didn't really seem like seemed like more of like a a fishing expedition for them to try to get me to say something cuz all the the dates I was telling them where I was um things like that. I'm like all you'd have to do is look at my phone and see my location. I like it was nowhere near anywhere or have any connection to this. Um, but still it was just it was tough like being there like I mean I don't trust uh the FBI to the extent that I'm like thinking that there's pressure on this case and they want to find the person. So like the whole time while I'm sitting in the back of the cop car, I'm like panicking thinking that I'm going to be framed for this or they're trying to pin this on me somehow. They searched Range Rover. They they towed my Range Rover. Um uh did all DNA testing or whatever and then gave it back to me. Um took my cell phone. Um I've had no way to get a hold of anyone, which is probably a good thing because everyone's looking at me like I'm this person that that I'm not. Um so it's been it's been rough.

>> So that is really fascinating. They towed Luke Daly's silver Range Rover on a flatbed, covered up the license plate so we could never see it. They towed it under a warrant and processed it and then must have determined that it is not of evidentiary value because they returned it to him. When you take something under a warrant, Fourth Amendment, which you know protects Americans and people living here against an unreasonable search and seizure from the government, when you take something under warrant evidentiary value, you return it. You have to. It's on the judge. The judge is the person who signed off on it. And so the judge is like, "Yeah, if you're not keeping that for the investigation, you give it back or my head's on a, you know, stake." So, what's interesting is that last we checked, um, uh, Annie Guthrie's car had not been returned, and the sheriff had told Fox it's part of the investigation. We have not had an update today, and again, today is Monday, March 2nd, as to whether her car has been returned, but it would be really weird that they would give Luke Daly's car back, which was seized after Annie's car was seized, and not give Annie's car back. I'm still trying to make heads or tail of that.

Okay. So, what I wanted to mention to you about was this this news that I broke at the top of this episode that my law enforcement source um told me that the uh partner agencies of the Puma County Sheriff were asked to go into the desert in a neighboring county, take the signal sniffer and go with these direct cell tower coordinates and look for quote unquote a body. It did not yield Nancy Guthrie, but what took them there? I mean, that is the big mystery and fascinating. So, I called Tracy Sergeant, Dr. Tracy Sergeant. Um, Tracy has been involved with Oh, yeah. Between 2,000 and 3,000 missing persons cases. So, she's been at this game for a long time. And the cases are similar or slightly similar to the Nancy Guthrie case because, of course, there's just nothing like NY's case, right? There's just nothing. Her outfit is called forensic investigations and analysis. Tracy has three cadaavver dogs in her arsenal. Uh along with those years and years of skills and she has the edit, you know, the added benefit of being a PhD in psychology. So, like I said, she she says she puts herself into the bad guy's shoes and then tries to find out what he would do based on the knowledge and the education and the training um and the information, especially the forensic information on this particular case. And so, that's why I wanted to talk to her because the signal sniffer was sent to these coordinates in the desert in a neighboring county. Why, Tracy? Why? And what else are they doing? But also the notion because it had happened right at the same time that these two photographs uh of the perpetrator on the ring cam all the law enforcement sources have told us they come from different days. So this guy was casing the place. If that's true then he's checking out the place he's going to, you know, target in in the days to come. So I wanted to talk to um Dr. sergeant about the parallel tracks as this investigation changes in numbers, right? Fluctuates and there's this task force. I wanted to ask her about the parallel investigations. How you look for a person you're hoping to still rescue, but how you look for a person when you think they may be dead.

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So, here is my conversation um with with Tracy and it's super fascinating given the fact that now again we're into week five. Tracy, talk to me a little bit about the methodology behind the large scale picture of how to search for Nancy Guthrie now that we are in week four. You've mentioned something about high probability areas that should come first. What does that mean?

>> Yes. Uh we certainly can't search the entire world for someone. So what we want to do is essentially focus on high probable areas first. What does that mean by high probable areas? Essentially where the la where the person was last seen or any evidence or any technology that leads us to a particular area of interest. That's a high probable area and that's where we want to focus those resources essentially. Start at ground zero and then work our way out from there.

Being that you've got a PhD in psychology and you apply that to your business of of search and rescue, um what does this newest news that came out about the fact that this this perpetrator was casing? He was there before the night uh that that Nancy disappeared. What does that enter into the picture in terms of how you put yourself in his shoes and then decide what may have come next?

>> Absolutely. In all of these situations, the motive is key here. So, what is his motive? And now that we know that he was there previously, it's obvious that he's targeted this home, and we have to figure out what his motive, not only for targeting the home, but also why that home interest him. Is it because there's a lone female that lives there by herself? Is it because it's an older female that lives by herself? Is it something inside the home that he's interested in? What is that motive? He obviously is there for a particular reason. He's targeted this home. He's reconing it and he certainly fully expected to come back and commit whatever crime that he had in mind.

So putting the psychology into why someone has come in and how they have decided to come in, what can you extrapolate from that that adds to the the strategy of how to search for where Nancy may have been taken?

>> So we have to look at, you know, again the motive. We don't we can theorize what that might be the psychological part of this um his reasoning and why he's there. So let's say for example he decided to stake this house to steal something and let's theorize that maybe he was surprised by Miss Guthrie and wasn't expecting her to be there. Maybe he was staking it out to see if somebody was there. See their routine and thinking, "Oh, if I come back at the house at this time, there's not going to be anybody there." But in this particular situation, unfortunately, she was there and perhaps she surprised him. And now he's having to deal with a situation that he wasn't planning on dealing with. So now it's a matter of maybe panic. What do I do? and then just out of anxiety and adrenaline, he's dealing with a situation he had not planned for. So, you have to look at from the perspective of what is he going to do with her? Where would he take her? He's in a panic. He wasn't planning on doing this. And then you have to look at the situation of just physically her medical condition, her fear, and things like that. How is he going to take care of her? Why did he take her? And in this situation, we have to theorize maybe because she could identify him. And now again, he wasn't planning on taking her. So, there's a lot of psychological situations going on in this individual that maybe he didn't plan for and he's really going by the hip of just trying to deal with this situation and um you know, minute by minute and day by day.

If if that's the case, I mean it certainly could be another whole theory all alto together and they're they abound on the internet the the theories of what may have happened and why and the motives. I want to go back to the um the high probable areas because given this news that my source has told me about that, you know, partner agencies have been engaged now to use the signal sniffer and search in a remote area of the desert in a neighboring county using coordinates. What does that tell you?

>> Gosh, that would be incredible if that's the situation. That would really be a game changer in this to be able to lead us to a specific area to take resources there, whatever might be needed. And those resources could be varied and let's say if she's alive, that's certainly a number of resources that we want to bring in. And unfortunately, because of the extended time frame, she's been missing now for four weeks. So we have to look at the possibility maybe she's not alive any longer. So now you have to bring in other resources to utilize in that situation. And again the signal will at least pinpoint an area that we can focus on and take those resources whatever might be needed and again search those areas and they'll tell us two things. They'll tell us where something is and something isn't. Is there evidence? Is Nancy there? Is there something else that will be helpful in this case to move it forward? But due to the fact that they've at least identified an area to check, that's going to be extremely helpful in this situation.

>> And I wish I I wish I knew um what uh led to those coordinates. And I don't have that information, but it would be fascinating, especially as far out as a neighboring county. Um, but the and I keep coming back to the high probable areas because if you're if you're looking, you know, in in the middle of the desert, there are some limitations to what bad guys can do and what they can get to.

>> Absolutely. So, what we have to do from a, you know, psychology perspective, human behavior and just the pure logistics of doing something. So, we have this signal, it's identified in an area. So now we have to consider theorizing that perhaps he took Nancy out in that area or even some kind of evidence. Probably he's not going to walk out in that distance and you know far away. So you have to look at all right how would a vehicle get in there? Is there some areas where there's a road or um there's some routes that would be viable for a vehicle to travel through? So that's going to narrow the area considerably. So then from there is that logistically once he locates an area, is it an area that maybe um attracts him to go or maybe he's familiar with that he can go there and then logistically can he walk a certain distance? Let's say either walking somebody out into the desert or even carrying someone out into the desert. Um, with all due respect, someone that is dead weight, whether they're unconscious or deceased, that's actually quite difficult to do no matter how strong or big you are. Um, the dead weight of someone is something you just can't carry some distance. So, that's going to be very helpful as well. If we look at it from again when we search these areas, we truly want to walk into the shoes of these bad guys. What not only would they do, but also just as importantly, what can they do?

>> Well, take me to the wood as opposed to what can they do? Because that high probable area makes sense when you say if you can't drive there, you're sure not going to walk four or five miles with, you know, like you said, 150 or so some odd pounds. Um, but what about the what would they do? Tell me about the psychology of that and how that enters into the way you approach search.

>> Yes. So, again, when uh I go out there um with my dogs or or with other investigators to search an area, I truly walk in the shoes of the individual, check the area out, what interests them here. And one of the things we recognized and and what I have seen over the years is that when somebody drives in let's say a one lane road interestingly enough almost without exception even if there's more people uh more than one person in the car often times we have uh found what we're looking for whether it's the person or evidence on the driver's side of how they drive in then

>> correct yes even if we have multiple people in the car because often times the driver is the leader and they take the person out of the car from the driver's side and then take them into the woods. On the flip side of that, let's say on the driver's side there is a big mountain that's a thousand foot high. Well, that's certainly going to alter their behavior to say, you know what, here's this obstacle here. We need to consider somewhere else. Let's say let's say on the passenger side of where the vehicle is. We need to go out in that direction. So there is a method to this madness and again looking at the topography what attracts them to that area. Why would they go this side and not that side? So there are a number of variables and we approach it strategically but we go back when you say the high probable areas. Let's say there's tire trucks, there's some kind of disturbance in the area. Theorizing this is where they parked or where they were. We start there and then work our way out.

For lay people like me, you think about the county. Puma County is the size of Connecticut and Rhode Island uh combined. Um and that's just one county. There are all the surrounding counties uh you know in Arizona, northern Arizona, eastern, southern or uh um not southern but uh but uh western. It seems like it's searching for a needle in a haystack. Again, to the untrained eye, is it?

>> You know, Ashley, it can be. It's amazing to me after um working some of these cases with the advancements in technology with cell phones with cameras flock systems all of those things even social media how one person can vanish without a trace and I will go back to two cases that I'm working right now that those individuals we actually know exactly where they were why they were there when they were there what they did and to this day we still have no idea where they are. So it is not only a needle in a hay stack but sometimes it can be vanished without a trace situation. Uh even again with all the technology that we have nowadays. It's an incredible insurmountable challenge and unfortunately Ashley it's not like the movies. It's really not. I wished it was, but in these situations, it really just goes back to not only doing the investigations and having a strategic approach to these things, but it comes down to just dogged hard work and quite frankly some good luck as well.

I mean, you've done uh between 2,000 and 3,000 cases, so you are the best person to to ask this. When do the authorities who are directing this entire investigation and search, when do they transition from a search for Nancy um to a recovery to find Nancy and potentially NY's body?

>> You know, Ashley, that's a tough one and it's something that is really difficult to transition um not only for the authorities but certainly the families and with all respect and consideration to the Guthrie family and all of her friends and the community as well. We as investigators always want to approach it from the standpoint that someone is alive until we know otherwise. However, the reality is as time passes and now that we're in week four, that has to be considered that are we in a situation where it's a recovery instead of a rescue mission.

>> Is it a parallel? Is it a parallel investigation? Meaning at a certain point an additional line of attack takes uh takes up position and that is the potential of a recovery while the rescue is continuing.

>> You know Ashley that's a great description. A parallel approach is really the best way especially in these kind of situations because so much is unknown. But when we look at she has you know advanced age she's 84 years old she does have some medical challenges and then just the time frame itself um working these parallel is the best description um and the best approach in this we always want to lean into that she's still alive and doing well but for the due diligence and really wanting to find these answers um to So many questions really looking into and considering what may be a recovery situation and how does that change things? Well, it changes it in a number of ways. In the beginning, it's certainly the um you know just a mass wealth of information and trying to figure out what's happening, the motive, where they are, uh all of those questions going on. Now, if we have to consider recovery in parallel with the investigation of her still being alive, considering other areas that maybe we didn't consider beforehand because we didn't need to. And that would be, let's say, some obvious things like a lake or a pond or maybe a mine or a well or some other areas that may be something evidence and unfortunately maybe Miss Guthrie may be concealed in some way that we have to consider that now in parallel with the hope always that she is still alive.

So, regarding concealment and given the information that that I've learned from my source, which is they're out searching the desert um with the signal sniffer based on coordinates, specific coordinates. So many cases that I've worked on, and I'm sure you as well, have been broken by seeing grounds that are uh recently disrupted. In the JJ Valow case, they noticed the ground in, you know, um, his stepfather's backyard had been disturbed and lo and behold, they found, um, a a grave. Arizona strikes me as a a bit of a different animal in terms of the topography and the climate. Can you weigh in on how easy or difficult it is to see recently disturbed terrain? you're in and comparing when we talk about the Arizona desert and other areas unfortunately with the sand and we have the wind if something is disturbed there the challenge is because of the shifting sands and the wind and things of that sort the concealment of disturbed dirt um can be very difficult in that kind of environment where you compare it to maybe a wooded environment where the dirt has been disturbed with the leaves and the trees and things like that. It's uh pretty obvious that something's happened there. So unfortunately in the Arizona environment and I have worked some de desert type environments those themselves can be extremely challenging. Unfortunately, you look at all of the parameters that we have for the investigators from day one. All of it is difficult from the topography, from not knowing um why this person did this, who they are, what happened, why they did it. All of those things just been extraordinarily difficult uh for the investigators. And I want to emphasize this really is an extraordinary case in every way. And um it's going to take again just a tremendous amount of work uh tireless hours, endless days to figure this out. But also I I have to go back um some luck uh that maybe something will happen, somebody will find something or hear something or know something that will help move this case forward in a much much quicker manner and be able to uh figure out exactly what happened.

>> Well, to to the luck, um Arizona is different than say Ohio in that there's a lot of border patrol. There are a lot of boots literally on the ground in southern Arizona that don't exist in other states and I'm only imagining that that does present at least um a different metric when it comes to luck.

>> I would agree with that Ashley. you know, as they say, more eyes the better and certainly the high-profile nature of this um situation and Miss Guthrie and everything that's being done and and certainly you and other other news folks that are sharing all this information, I think it's going to be extremely helpful and it is going to be a game changer in this case. So, uh, and with the border patrol being so close by, that's certainly going to be help helpful as well.

>> I mean, they're out literally in remote parts of the desert, um, searching for people who are using the remoteness of the

desert to their advantage. So, um, to that end, you mentioned all, you know, many eyes are better, but the sheriff in this case has discouraged private search parties. I I understand what the sheriff is saying. I can understand both sides of this argument. They don't want to interfere with the work of the sheriff and the searchers or whatever might be happening in in search and rescue. Um but I also know that many cases have been solved by crowd sourcing and actually search parties. Casey Anony's daughter was found by a civilian. Uh Gabby Patito that was something that a civilian um led to. So what is your thought about the fact that many eyes make lighter work or or better work versus don't disturb the professionals?

Well, Ashley, I think it is a matter of again um the more eyes the better with the understanding of respecting what the investigators are doing and not interfering with those efforts. So, it there is a balance. certainly want to embrace uh everybody's interest in wanting to help, but also understanding that this is a very serious matter and that the investigation is ongoing and extremely active and not to interfere with those efforts. So, I would say folks that do want to help uh certainly is appreciative, but also respecting the sheriff and the investigators that are involved in this.

With that said, um you know, I certainly would be more than happy to help. I do have three cadaavver dogs uh that are experienced and um you know, I'm happy to help in any way. Uh but with that I would not go unless I'm invited and asked and going through the proper channels um to help in this situation.

So >> and and you've made overtures. >> Yes, ma'am. I did reach out to the sheriff's office on their website and um provided my information to them uh that if I can help in any way, I would be more than happy to do that. Uh, and I being a criminal investigator and law enforcement myself, I still would not go out there unless I'm invited and approved, uh, because I don't want to interfere with what they're doing. I want to be an asset. I want to work in cooperation and collaboration with them. So, I would say the same thing to anyone else uh law enforcement or otherwise uh to work uh with the sheriff's office and uh get that approval to come out there and help.

>> There's always a push pull um when an an emergency situation is in front of us and that is finding Nancy alive. That that's the priority that has been for day one from day one. Um, but there is also the uh care and consideration to preserve any kind of prosecution once the bad guy, God willing, is found. In that respect, there have been private searchers, average civilians that have come out and searched drainage culverts. I mean, we've got pictures of them finding a a black backpack in one of the drainage culverts. Um, I believe it was a Swissade uh backpack with an an icon on the back that doesn't appear to be the same one in the um doorbell cam. But in that respect, helpful, yes, because at least something was found. Harmful because forget using that in a in a prosecution even though they found it on a stick and and tried to preserve it best they can until the sheriff's come up.

You know, Ashley, that's a great point because when we're out there and um working these operations, we always have to take in consideration the chain of custody. And the end result is we want this person to be held accountable. And it could be that one piece of evidence that may be disturbed or gathered by someone. um you know, all good intentions, but it it could influence and hamper the case in a pretty dramatic way, especially when we get to the prosecution part of all of this. And again, we certainly want to find Miss Guthrie and uh bring her home. So, that can certainly take, you know, some um it could hamper with that as well. So, you're absolutely right. uh good intentions, but we want to make sure these are done correctly and appropriately because the end result uh that once she is found, whether with all respect, whether she's dead or alive, there's still a lot that has to be done afterwards that this is just phase one and then phase two and then we go to another phase three and four and so on so forth. So this is just the beginning, not the end or even in the middle. So there's still a lot of work and a lot of questions and we again what we're doing now can have a huge impact both positive and negative and that that applies to anyone that is involved in this case.

>> As you talk about the phases 1 2 3 4 and you went you went went as far as I think six. Um, and we're in phase one now. As the investigation, the search, the recovery, the rescue, the recovery moves from phase to phase, and there's a parallel operation, as you mentioned, that will ultimately be working, and it looks like it may be now based on what my sources reported. What additional equipment um would be employed all of a sudden in this secondary phase, parallel phase?

>> Yes. So Ashley, what they've been using now is a lot of the same resources you would continue using. So again, we're talking about the investigators, the ground searchers, drones, all of that. And then even behind the scenes, the technology, we talk about uh the signals and all of those things that are happening behind the scene that we may not even be aware of. All of that is still happening. And then in addition to other resources, let's say divers, uh sonar, boat operators, uh we talk about the drones, we continue using those. Certainly search dogs, in this case, cadaavver dogs, which technically are human remains detection dogs. Um so those additional resources that maybe we're not using now we want to implement now and again work in parallel with the ongoing investigations of this parallel um you know, route of her still being alive and we need to find her but also look at the possibility of not only her maybe possibly passing passing away but also evidence. We talk about the backpack uh and some other things. So, I would incorporate the divers and sonar and other specialized resources like that because we've had four weeks now thinking like the bad guy. He's had all of this time to get rid of evidence, to try to conceal his actions, to hide things, to get rid of things, because if he's ultimately caught, he certainly doesn't want to incriminate himself or certainly not incriminate himself as as much as he would at the beginning of this. So, there's a lot of parts happening right now um in parallel with one another and uh all of this hopefully will give us some answers.

>> Talk to me a little bit about um the the dogs because I think you've mentioned in the past not only can they um find where someone is, equally importantly, they can find where someone isn't. And that's important.

>> Absolutely, Ashley. What I've learned over the years is that knowing where someone isn't is just as helpful and at very important to the investigation. And many of these cases I've worked, it's been a process of elimination. Also, the great thing about dogs is that they can check an area much more quickly and efficiently and even more accurately than human searchers. Because in essence, we talk about the desert. When the ground is disturbed and the shifting winds and the sand, it's very difficult for us to look and see, well, you know, it all looks disturbed out here. How do we figure out where something might be? Well, we're dogs. You can't hide scent. Uh we've been, you know, people have been trying to hide scent from dogs for many years, but dogs can pick up scent days, months, years, and in fact, many years later. So um dogs are an excellent resource for something like this. In addition, they also can find evidence for us um whether uh something was there and is still there tangible, something tangible that we can pick up and and um uh take into custody as evidence, but also something that was there and then removed, but the scent is still there. Um, but at the same time, if the dogs are telling us there's no scent here, we can mark it off and then move on to an area of possibly finding evidence, finding Miss Guthrie, and finding answers.

>> Talk to me a little bit about the environment. I think of Arizona as hot and dry and dusty. It's not. It It is in the day and it can be different at night. How does that affect the dogs and their work?

>> Absolutely, Ashley. So if we think about scent as moisture or water, in the heat of the day, that water or moisture is going to dissipate very quickly. So the scent is essentially going to disappear and die out. Whereas at night, it's going to be much more alive and much more viable for the dogs to be able to pick that up while at the same time they'll be able to work longer and better. So in a hot, dry, aid environment, often times we'll deploy the dogs at night instead of during the day. and it works very well.

>> I think I'd heard somebody say u in your line of work that um a very light rain actually enhances the scent that they might be looking for, but a big rain is exactly what you don't want.

>> That's exactly right. So, if you think about scent, uh again, when the moisture really percolates that scent, if you think about after a rain where things smell much cleaner and better and fresher, even for us, it's the same thing for dogs. So, a little bit of moisture is extremely helpful and um makes a big difference in the scent, whereas you're right, the heavy rains can wash it away.

What about the longevity of scent? I mean, I I keep coming back to the fact that we're in week number four. If there was scent in a particular area, let's just say in the desert, would it still be there four, five, 8, 10, 30 weeks out?

So, we're we're again working parallel investigations. And it's the same thing with scent. If we're looking for somebody that's alive and you're walking down this path or wherever, scent can die out pretty quickly. A matter of hours, certainly in a matter of days. Whereas, if you're looking for someone that is deceased, their scent can be absorbed into the environment and last hundreds of years. I have used my dogs and in and revolutionary battlefield sites where they have actually found soldiers buried on the battlefield. So that scent can stay there for many many years and um be viable for the dogs um for a long long time.

>> Literally the difference between the scent of decomposition and the scent of of a live person.

>> Yes ma'am. Absolutely.

How long how long does the scent of a live person fall off?

>> So when we're walking, we have our skin grass that fall off. And again, let's say if somebody's walking down a paved road, hot air conditions, that scent can dissipate in a matter of minutes. Whereas if they're walking in a wooded environment with trees and brush, that scent can be collected in the vegetation. It might last a few more hours, maybe a day or two. But I would say probably the max would be about 48 to 72 hours in optimum conditions where live scent would still be in an area that would be viable for the dog to be able to pick up and actually follow where that scent goes.

>> Again, the first, you know, 48 to 72 hours so critical. maybe the reason why we're not seeing a lot of canines out right now and maybe the reason why we may see different canines uh coming out, you know, in the in the near future. Um and to to that end that to the to the search efforts again as we talk about parallel search efforts, a search for Nancy alive, a search for Nancy maybe not alive. Tell tell me about the the plan like what is the overall strategy? grid searches, line searches, regional. I mean, we've got this news about a neighboring county going out with the signal sniffer, but technically how does it work?

>> So, if we transition into two investigations, certainly her being alive has been going on for four weeks. So let's say if I'm called on this case or a similar case that all right we're going to consider the person is no longer alive. How I approach this is literally going back to ground zero. Starting over where the person was last confirmed to have been seen in this case at her home. Start there and then work our way out. Because if you think about it, from day one, we've been looking for Miss Guthrie alive. So with the anticipation that she would be visible and she would be found and things of that sort, let's just say theorize now, we're looking for Miss Guthrie that maybe she's not alive. Maybe she's concealed in some way. So that's why when I work these cases and I'm a coordinator for a cold case unit here in Georgia that we all start from ground zero where that person was last seen whether it was four weeks ago or 40 years ago. We're going to start there. I just worked a case here in Atlanta, a 30-year-old cold case, and the dog dogs found evidence in the garage where this person was confirmed killed. um that we found evidence and that case has been reopened even after 30 years. And I would approach this case the same way. Start at her home, work our way out, and then go to other areas such as where the signal is. Again, start there at ground zero and work our way out from there.

>> Well, Tracy, if if Mrs. Guthrie was killed in her home if that is one of the possibilities. Wouldn't a cadaavver dog be able to tell right away that that happened?

>> So, I think the terminology there is that the dogs can't tell us if somebody's been killed or not. They can simply tell us if there's human remains sent. So we as the human investigators have to determine all right is this person deceased or not because of whatever situation that we have found. The dolls can simply lead us to an area that quote warrants further investigation but they can't tell us somebody's been killed there or not.

How quickly after someone dies do they give off the scent of human remains? Is the blood that we've learned um was found inside the home um any different than the scent of say decomposition if someone were killed in the home and say were there for a few minutes or say 20 minutes?

>> Well that's a great question Ashley. So when we talk about again most people know as cadaavver dogs, they are technically human remains detection dogs and that again is the full spectrum from a full-size body to skeleton remains to everything in between. From the training perspective of dogs, we train them with all different types of human remains, whether it's blood or human remains or bones or whatever that might be. The point being is is that when the dogs respond, they're going to respond exactly the same way. If it's just blood or if it's a full-size body or a bloody rag or maybe somebody was buried there and removed, whatever the circumstance might be. And it also could be something totally unrelated to a crime. Let's say somebody cut themselves in the kitchen, um had nothing to do with a crime. there's blood there, the dogs are going to respond to that. Another situation uh that we have come across is if there is a ministrating female that lives inside the home and there's products, used products in the bathroom um garbage can, the dogs would go there and alert to that just like they would to a dead body because to them it's all human remains and they respond exactly the same way. So that's when we have to step in and determine why did they alert here? Is it a crime? Is it not a crime? Is it related to this crime that we're involved with?

>> It's almost as though it would be more helpful if there weren't blood inside the home. And if a dog alerted to human remains, they would have more of an answer.

>> Yes, I would agree with that assessment. Yes.

>> Well, that's fascinating. Talk to me about the psychology again with your background, you know, having a PhD in this um of the highprofile nature of this case and the bad guy um with regard to distance because the sheriff has said that he thinks that, you know, uh she's close. Other people have posited that, you know, if if NY's pacemaker separated from her Apple product, um, well, Dawn was only a couple hours away and therefore he'd probably have to have done something within a few hours. What are your theories when it comes to how close you think uh, Nancy might be either alive or dead?

Well, I think um the overwhelming agreement here is that this house was targeted uh by this individual. So, that goes into as investigators, the number one thing we're going to ask is motive. Why did this person first of all target this home? And then second of all, why did they take Miss um uh Guthrie away from her home and keep her? So there's a lot of questions that we have and it's all about motive and that's very very important. That's key to to figuring that out. So, when we think about the bad guy's behavior and why he's doing what he's doing, it gives the appearance of all right, he targeted this home for a reason. Maybe she surprised him. Maybe he wasn't expecting her to be home, that the home would be vacant. Um, it would be empty during his time and he was surprised by her. And now he's like, "Oh, no. I was not expecting to take her out of the home because she's going to identify me and now what do I do next and so on so forth. Um being the fact that he's targeted this home, I would say not only from my experience but also the research I've done is that most likely he lived close within the area. I can't imagine him living, let's say, 2 hours away, and then driving to this home, which I understand is a pretty isolated area, very low crime area, coming to this home, checking it out, and then driving back 2 hours. So my I think is a presumption would be from a psychological perspective and just from my experience and research that he's likely much closer than 2 hours away. Um and I think it's also important to note that what people do during nighttime can actually be quite different than what they do in the daytime. So I think that's a factor to consider as well.

meaning >> meaning that most cases at nighttime their behaviors are much more quick, much more shorter, much more um unplanned. So, because they can't see what they're doing, meaning if they go out into the desert and they think, "All right, if we take somebody out into this desert, they may think they've walked a mile." And most often it's just maybe 40 yards because our death perception and we think that we've gone much further than we have uh is often the case. uh because when you're driving at night, it does seem like you're driving much further distance because you can't see exactly what's around you. Whereas the daytime, you have a clear perspective of how far you've driven because you can see around. Um and then when you park, you can actually go into the woods, be able to determine the distance much more clearly because you can see what you're doing, whereas nighttime you cannot. So, if we're searching for somebody at night or we believe that they've done something to somebody at night, almost without exception, we generally find them much closer to the yard uh to the road or to the pathway or some some way of of transport uh a roadway that maybe they drove in. Uh the person is typically not that much further into the woods.

What about the notion that because this is so high-profile, um, this perpetrator might want to put as much distance between himself and the epicenter of this crime as as possible.

>> I think that's a real possibility here. um with the caveat that this is so high-profile that the idea that he would take take her, you know, 2 hours away without getting caught. And to be frank, Ashley, it's actually quite uncommon uh for anyone, whether it's a planned abduction of a child or a woman, to take them and travel many, many miles with them away. It does happen, but it, you know, when you look at the research and the reality, it's quite rare. And I would say in this case as well that the idea that he would take her and travel hours and hours away with her I think is unlikely. At the same time if he wants to get away from her as far away as possible I think that is a possibility but I don't think he would take her with him.

>> We've we've covered so many cases where criminals have tried to burn their evidence. Um, does that is that something that hinders dogs,

>> Ashley? Actually, it does not. So, when we search areas, one of the things I'm always looking for is any evidence of burns, whether it's an actual fire pit that might be in the backyard or somewhere else, if I see any possibility that anything's been burned, I have the dogs check it. And from my experience, the dogs have no problem detecting scent even after something's been burned.

>> And then last question, and that is the pacemaker has changed the metric on on this search from so many cases that we've covered before. Um the pacemaker presumably has metal parts. Um it's sending the signal, so the signal sniffers have been brought in. But what about just good oldfashioned metal detectors? Is that something that you could foresee being part of this?

AB: Absolutely. Not only just for her pacemaker, but any evidence that might be jewelry. And with all due respect, uh, firearms or, you know, something, any kind of metal that might be part of this criminal investigation, metal detectors are are an excellent tool to use, not only in this case, but actually they're used in many cases.

>> Dr. Sergeant, thank you so much. That this has just been um remarkable. you're a wealth of information.

>> Well, thank you, Ashley. It's been a pleasure and thank you for inviting me and I certainly wish the investigators the best of luck and uh thank you again uh for covering this case so well and so respectfully and my thoughts and prayers go to the family.

>> I I think we we all feel the same way. Thank you again.

>> Thank you. My great thanks to Tracy Sergeant and I'll tell you what, um, we're going to keep watching how this investigation continues because like I said, there always has to be a draw down, but what's that going to look like? And is the FBI, even though they've scaled back much of their operation back to Phoenix and the headquarters, they do say they've got their operators on the ground in Tucson, but how's it going to look? What is this task force? how many hours, how many manh hours, how many people are they going to put on this because they still have thousands of hours of video to go through from what I understand. And so that's a lot of eyeballs and a lot of realtime video watching to see if there's some clue any clue that that comes through the video. And that's not, you know, even touching on the tips, the 40,000 plus tips that have come into the FBI and the Puma County Sheriff's Department. That is so much material to to you know these are rabbit holes. Many of them look some of them are like looney tunes and you can write them off pretty quick but a lot of them have to be investigated and they all have to be looked at and they all have to be looked at by human eyes right and so that's just time. It's just time and it's gum shoe work. But guys, you know, we were six weeks from the Idaho murders to the arrest of Brian Cobberger. Don't lose faith. It can happen. And I particularly have a lot of hope with genetic genealogy. I know. I know it feels like that trail went cold, but believe me when I say this. I think that guy when he put on his gloves forgot about the bite light in his mouth. And when he took it out of his mouth with those gloves, his DNA, his saliva was all over those gloves. And he touched something. He got in a door. He touched that bracket for the Ring camera. He touched something else in that house. So, I fully believe that it's possible that maybe they'll still find his DNA and maybe he's not in the offender database, right, Cotus? But with genealogy, I think they can find him. It just sometimes takes weeks, months, and even years. But if they can find the Golden State Killer, maybe they can find this guy, too. In the meantime, if you know anything, if you know anything at all, if you think someone acted in a strange way on February 1st or 2nd or 3rd or even in the weeks ensuing, somebody just didn't act the same way they normally do. They took weird days off. They vanished without a trace. They had no good answer. They behaved weird. They were tense. They were nervous. They were odd. And they maybe look like someone on that ring cam. If you know anything like that, 1800 call FBI. 1800 call FBI. Your tip could break the case wide open. Thank you everybody for listening. Thank you so much for watching. And remember, the truth isn't just serious, it's drop deadad serious.