The 10 Worst Picks in 2026 Fantasy Football

Today we're breaking down 10 players that we are actively avoiding in fantasy football drafts right now. Our 10 least favorite picks on the board on underdog fantasy. Obviously redraft implications here. Maybe some dynasty implications. If you guys think maybe these guys are sell highs or whatever the case is.

As always, if you guys want to get into some drafts right now, head on over to Underdog. Link down below in the pin comment. You will get all of our draft guides and bonus content for free for the year. $100 value for a $10 signup with code FSE.

Danny, you want to get kicked off with my guy? Maybe because he's the the first round player, the one that's the most uh aggressive, and then we can talk through all the guys that we're going to go through. Everybody we're talking about today is going inside the top 100 picks. So, no Mickey Mouse. Oh, I don't like a 11th round player or something like that.

Let's um let's rip into Jonathan Taylor who is a great player and had a monster season last year. Yeah, when you're talking about the top of the board, man, you are picking hairs with some of these best guys. When you go over to the general, I am curious where do the site experts kind of have them rank here.

>> I would imagine that in 2026, he is a little bit fluctuating. Yeah, so Sammy the lowest at number seven overall at running back. Mason the highest at number three overall in terms of overall rankings as well. Again, keep in mind this is a first round player, so having six picks of discrepancy between all the site experts is actually a pretty wide gap. Jonathan Taylor's going off the board as the sixth uh.8, so the seventh overall player in ADP, give or take. RB3 off the board. The reason that I haven't been drafting him is because a who he goes around, which I'll get to in a second.

Jonathan Taylor's fantasy output though is directly correlated with how good the Colts offense is. It has been his whole career. When you go back and look at his game logs, RB4 in fantasy last year, the Colts were the number eight scoring offense in football. You go back to 2021, they were the number 14 scoring offense in football. He was the RB1 overall, RB2 in points per game. The Colts basically have only been good twice in his entire career as far as offensive point production and both times he won people leagues.

However, even though I was all in on Daniel Jones and the Colts experience last year, fortunately, I got a lot of Jonathan Taylor as a result. This was with Pitman, with Daniel Jones, not post Achilles tear, with Alec Pierce, not post ankle surgery like he had a couple of weeks ago. I do have some concerns about this this team. This offense, this uh schedule is a little bit harder this year than it was last year. So, I trust that Jonathan Taylor has, you know, top five upside given his volume and his opportunity share. Like, he truly has one of the best workloads in football, especially on the ground, in the red zone, on the goal line.

This past season though, he did cross 1700 career touches. He's 27 years old. The age and touch Apex is 27 and over 1500 career touches. Plus, going back to his Wisconsin days, he had a lot of touches there as well. He also set a career high in targets with 55 this past season, which could regress. We don't know. Maybe it'll go down back to the 31 targets that he had in 2024, the 23 targets he had in 2023. Uh, he didn't play full seasons there, so 40 targetish pace.

Um, for me, I just prefer Christian McCaffrey. I think he has higher upside. I prefer him on St. Brown. I prefer CD Lamb. And those guys feel like cleaner projections. He's actually my 109. So I'm not even like the lowest on the site when it comes to his overall ranking. You have him 110. Sammy has him outside the first round entirely. I just am avoiding him because I'm making little micro decisions over him. Like McCaffrey, like Lamb, and like St. Brown.

>> Yeah, I'm on the same page here. Realistically, obviously, Jonathan Taylor, if he's fully healthy, playing 17 games, like, yeah, he's going to be a good fantasy player. But when we're talking about first round asset, when we're talking about the guys that are going to potentially win you your league, there's only really been two years of his six in the NFL where that's actually happened. We look at his year two in Indianapolis. He was, you know, the number two overall fantasy player going number one overall off the board the final or the following year. And then obviously this past year ended up finishing with 21.31 points per game. Even though that was at, you know, 24, 25, 26 by the midway point. We kind of saw what it looked like down the stretch. And down the stretch, I do think is the biggest cause for precaution when it comes to projecting Jonathan Taylor this year.

Sure, Daniel Jones signs that extension, but how healthy is coming off the Achilles? And what's it going to look like? Is it going to look like Kirk Cousins? Is it going to look like Aaron Rodgers? Like I view this offense as being a major question mark entering this year. And on top of that with Jonathan Taylor himself, I mean, we only have two years in his entire career where he actually played a full 17 games. The two years prior, actually the three years prior to this past year, 14 games, 10 games, 11 games. So when you're nitpicking at the top of the board and you're deciding between, you know, some of the elite wide receivers, Jonathan Taylor, McCaffrey, like heck, we talk about McCaffrey. Oh shoot, we have to value him in the mid-first or later just because of the injury concern. Well, Jonathan Taylor is also missed time. So, it's not like you're getting safety if you go to go with Taylor over McCaffrey at that spot.

>> Yeah. Like the Colts last year scored 466 points and I'm sure the pace was higher than that prior to Daniel Jones's injury. Probably pacing a 500 point, you know, top five, top eight scoring offense. They were literally the eighth highest scoring offense in football with Daniel Jones missing five games or whatever he missed at the end of the season. The Indianapolis Colts, according to Mike Clay, are projected for 379 points this season, which would be like the 17th, 18th best number last year. So, I do think we're looking at more so a league average type of offense with question marks with Alec Pierce, their number one receiver coming off of an ankle issue, trading away their target leader in Michael Pitman last season and also Daniel Jones himself, the mobility. And like you said, it's not like Jonathan Taylor doesn't come with concerns. He's dealt with injuries in the past. He has a lot of touches under his belt and he did have a career high in targets per game or targets overall on the season with 55, 46 receptions, scored, you know, two receiving touchdowns. Like some of that stuff could, you know, not repeat itself. And also too, like he was playing out of his mind. Like he was on a tear. He was running like a bat out of hell pretty much the entire season. So the thing with with JT is he pretty much has to be a man amongst boys out there, which he very much could be. And if you're like, I don't care. I'm trusting the talent that is Jonathan Taylor and the workload that is Jonathan Taylor. That's totally cool. I just prefer the talent that is Christian McCaffrey, the receiving workload that is Christian McCaffrey and this those other two receivers. Like I said,

>> like it's one thing if Taylor was still, you know, 24 or 25 years old. Like he's going to be 28 in the season and on top of that, we're talking about a guy that's touched the ball nearly 700 times in the last two years.

>> Yeah. And again, the age and touch apex for running backs, 1500 total touches, he's at 1,700. And 27.1 years old, he's 27.4 years old. And I have questions about the offense and all that kind of thing. So, let's get into and there's kind of a theme with a lot of these guys. There's some injury concerns with some of them. There's some uh offensive concerns with some of them.

Malik Neighbors, I don't think we'd have any concerns for this player if he didn't blow his knee out last year because he probably would have been an 18 point per game receiver once Jackson Dart took over. However, we got to see what 10 total snaps of those two guys playing together before Malik Neighbors blew his knee out. And now, the number one reason I'm sure that you're bearish on Malik Neighbors at 24.6 overall ADP and declining by the way is that his injury recovery doesn't appear to be going super well.

>> Yeah. And I don't think the market has adjusted fast enough. Like I have him as a fringe top 30 level player and he's still going in the top 25 of ADP. And like I said earlier, when you're picking at the top of the board, you do have to pick hairs. Obviously, this has zero to do with the talent level of Malik Neighbors. Hell, if I knew he was playing a full 17 game stretch, you would be, you know, probably top three to five overall in terms of leading the league in targets. like he is that caliber of target commander and this offensive projection actually looks good entering 2026. The issue though, this is not a simple ACL tear and that's actually being reported by John Harbaugh by team sources with the Giants. This was a very complex ACL tear. The initial surgery was to clean up the ligament that happened back in September. Couple weeks after that, he did have a meniscal cleanup, but more importantly, he had an additional cleanup surgery this off season. And the quotes coming out of the Giants are perh per per word for word from John Harbaugh are that it's not a simple knee injury and it's impossible to predict when he'll be back. That came out of the new head coach's mouth. You would think new head coach this off season he'd be talking up all his players. He'd be talking about the glowing recovery that his young superstar receiver would be having. But no, we do have kind of a pessimistic angle when it comes to John Harbaugh. If we knew Neighbors was fully healthy, you could be talking about a top 12, top 15, top 18 overall pick. But because we don't have that clarification, I cannot be taking this guy anywhere close to the second round in ADP right now.

>> He's actually I'm the lowest on the site on Malik Neighbors, which is not usual for me. Like Malik Neighbors, I absolutely love the player, but he's my wide receiver 14. Like I have George Pickens and Devonte Smith and even T. Higgins over Malik Neighbors right now. And the reason I have it ranked that way is is simply injury pessimism. If if if things change and he's on the field for training camp without a knee brace or something like that, then obviously I'll move him back up. But I've been burned many many times from receivers coming off of ACL tears and players coming off of ACL tears in general. And while a Bruce Hall example exists where he had a top seven season after an ACL tear, his injury was not a complex knee injury like Malik Neighbors has been. I've been burned by Aiyuk's knee injury. I've been burned by a number of different guys who I literally comped Malik Neighbors to coming out of college. So, I I'm worried about the injury for sure. I think that they're going to be patient with him. At the very least, he probably starts the season on the pup. I think in baseball mania, people are still going to talk themselves into, oh, well, the most important weeks are week 13 to 17. That's where all the money.

>> Projections that go around him, so why not take the healthier elite projections? It it just screams to me that like you should just much rather buy him from a dynasty angle, buy him when he's, you know, on the pup kind of thing. And from a redraft angle, just be in on him next year um when he shows you that he can do it cuz he has a lot going well for him. He's going to be 23 years old. He's an elite athlete. But generally speaking, it would be an outlier anomaly if he came out and produced a 1600 yard receiving season coming off of this injury. So technically on the site, I guess it didn't adjust because I I updated it today. Um he's my wide receiver 12. So it does say nine. Uh he is my wide receiver 12 and ranked 29th overall in my rankings. So hopefully that can reflect on the site within, you know, the next couple of hours or so.

>> Yeah, I mean yours is 28 now. So it's you moved him down one spot in terms of his overall. Um and I am at 30. So again, I'm just playing the pessimistic angle, too, because when it comes to underdog drafts that people are doing right now, there's always an opportunity to get your bags packed later when you have more information. And for me, I'm not taking the discount now because I think it could continue. I think it's possible that he loses even more ADP. Like, it's not that I'm going, "Oh, he lost four spots of ADP. Now I'm going to snap him up in every single draft." No, I think it's possible that he's going in the 40s in August.

>> Well, realistically, if he was healthier, like, let's just say it was a simple knee tear. is projected to go back week one. Even just accounting for a simple knee tear, he probably be like the 15th or 18th overall pick. So, the fact that we're getting this bad news and he's still going in the top 24, like to me that's going to be adjusting itself in within the next two or three weeks.

>> I think it's really important to pay attention to the injury buzz this time of year because when the injury buzz, which we'll talk about with another player that you have brought up here, when it's all negative, that it's probably going to continue to be negative. When it's all positive, then I think you can talk yourself into, okay, looks like this guy's hitting his checkpoints. Looks like this guy's hitting his timelines. For example, Cam Akers on his own team has positive injury optimism as opposed to what's going on with Malik Neighbors. I think he's a lot more stomachable, at least as far as the injury that he suffered in the timelines and that kind of thing. So, yeah, Neighbors, again, I don't I don't want to be low on him, but I am because of the injury.

So, Travis Etienne is one of the guys that I want to bring up here who actually really doesn't have anything to do with injury why I'm low on him. I just think he's overpriced. Um, Travis Etienne two years ago had a horrendous season in 2024, which I think he's still live to do, by the way. Not that I'm saying he'll definitely do it, but he bounced back in 2025. 14.9 points per game. That was a great return on Etienne. People who drafted him in the seventh round in the eighth round. Absolute smash pick when coming off of the 2024 season. We didn't even know if he would start for the team. People were taking Toutin above him. Some people were taking Bigsby above him. He has an ADP right now of 30.5 RB16 after signing a big contract with the New Orleans Saints. The problem I have is the price because in some leagues he'll go ahead of Breece Hall, which younger higher fantasy finish in his career, more target upside in my opinion. Safer offensive projections like Javonte Williams and Kyren Williams and I would have said Josh Jacobs until the news yesterday. My biggest concern honestly is the split between him and a future Ring of Honor player, team captain like Alvin Kamara going to just go away like just because they signed Travis Etienne to this deal is Kamara going to go away and to me the biggest draw of this offense is the receiving role that the running back position has because of Kyle Shanahan's scheme because of how much I expect him to be uptempo throwing the ball and that kind of thing. I think it might be the most important role and battle on this team is who gets the receiving work. And my money would be on Alvin Kamara given that he's older, more of a veteran, been on the team a long time, and he's probably a better receiver. So despite being top five in red zone touches last year, having 50 plus targets last year, and scoring 13 touchdowns last year, Travis Etienne, it wouldn't shock me if he achieves none of those thresholds with the New Orleans Saints in Liam Cohen's scheme. Reminder as well. that is very very good and will prop up running back talents like we saw Bucky Irving once he lost Liam Cohen what happened to him so not that Kyle Shanahan is a bad offensive coordinator I just think that highly of Liam Cohen as a run game coordinator so he's a good player he's a good solid RB2 for any fantasy team but he's also 27 switching to an inferior scheme maybe a smaller workload probably a worse quarterback and a worse offensive environment to me that's a lot of risk for a guy that projects more as 13 to 15 point per game baseline probably doesn't have an 18 point per upside.

>> See, I'm actually going to disagree with you here. Uh, I actually have him about in line with where he goes off the board at 31 ADP. I have him as my 29th overall player. I view him kind of similarly to where Breece Hall is ranked. I do have Breece Hall ranked higher, but he's in the same tier. Realistically, the reason why I'm more bullish on Travis Etienne is the pace of play that we're going to see from the Saints offense is going to be up there with some of the fastest offenses in the league. Etienne does have a three-down capable skill set and you're a lot more bullish when it comes to Alvin Kamara than I am. So when I'm looking at this, I'm looking at those two wide receivers and I think there's a very real possibility Etienne can threaten for 55-60 plus targets in addition to being being the main guy between the tackles. On top of that, I'm more bullish on Tyler Shough. I'm more bullish on the Kyle Shanahan offense. I do think there could be a ton of goal line equity on this team for an offense that I think can threaten top 10 to 12 in the league.

>> That's totally fair. But wouldn't you argue it's a downgrade from the offense he was in last year from both a workload and an offensive scoring perspective? So, so I would say the second half of the year Jags offense I would definitely prefer over the Saints, but I also think the first half of the year Jags offense when they're kind of earning out the kinks when they were figuring it out. I do think the Saints offense is a better projection than the first half of the year offense.

>> That's fair, but look at the splits of when Travis was good.

>> Yeah, no doubt. Again, keep in mind >> good for the first seven games of the like he was fine. He was startable obviously, but he wasn't great. Well, that was also again new coaching staff trying to figure out who their main guy was because they drafted and you have, you know, for example, they ended up making that big deal for Bigsby, getting him out of town right before the season started. Like, I think they needed to figure out what their ideal workload split was. I don't really think that's the case with the Saints because why else would you go out and pay a huge bag for Etienne if you factored this to be a potential committee? Like, to me, I view it as more so an Etienne 60 plus% of the snap share type of case. I all I'm saying is Kamara had a bigger workload last year than Etienne had in Jacksonville last year and Kamara

>> I think I think Kamara is just completely cooked. That's kind of where I'm at with

>> again. So a lot of these guys it's like we pull one lever, we have to pull the other and I'm higher on Kamara. So I have to pull the lever of being lower on Etienne as a result.

>> No, I think your case is totally reasonable. I think that's a very good bare case for how it doesn't work out. I also do think just because of how fast the offense will be, the upside to be the three-down back and the potential goal line equity, that's why I'm still willing to take him in the top 30.

>> Yeah. No, that's totally fair. I guess he he was just 13 point per game, RB24 the first seven games of last year. And again, I'm I'm lower on the Saints offensive environment, so that's part of it as well. So, uh let's talk about staying formerly in the NFC South. We have Mike Evans in uh San Francisco now. Um wide receiver 22, 45 overall ADP. Now, What is that ADP? Genuinely,

>> I'm curious where I am. I'm actually right in line with the market. It's not that I'm like super hammering the crap out of him during drafts. Obviously, this is literally my favorite player in NFL history. So, if anybody's going to be high on him, it's probably going to be me. Um, I'll let you make the bare case for him. I'm sure I'll have a little bit of pushback, but it's not going to be It's not like I'm over the moon to draft him either. Well, you'll hear in the final point of my bear case for the main reason why because uh the guy we're hoping Mike Evans to be literally goes cheaper than Mike Evans on the board right now. Make that make [ __ ] sense. What could possibly go wrong, Cory, with a 33-year-old wide receiver on a completely new team who's also missed 12 games in the last two years? We know the hamstring issues with Mike Evans. He's a big X wide receiver. He's a long strider. He's going to be prone to And again, I'm not going to bring up the electrical substation, but if there's any, you know, scientists out there that know more than I do, maybe you can point that as a potential rebuttal point. I like the idea of Mike Evans, but I just think the price is way too high right now. Like, I don't want to be spending a top 45 pick given the risk levels in this profile. Evans obviously been a staple in fantasy, but the majority of his value has come as a touchdown scorer. Sure. Do I think he's projected for a high touchdown total with the San Francisco 49ers? Yeah. But at the same time, 0.88 touchdowns per game or higher in four of his last six years, that's kind of helped him get to that 15 to 17 point per game range. Not just because he's been this huge volume hog, but when we look at the red zone competition with the 49ers, you have McCaffrey 38 total touchdowns in the last two years, even though we're a little bearish on the return timeline for George Kittle when he is healthy on the field. 21 touchdowns in his last 42 games. And realistically, could he be this year's Davante Adams? Yeah, he very well could be this year's Davante Adams. Vet big-time all-time talent that goes to a new team. Sure, but why is he being valued over Davante Adams? Like, to me, that is what makes no sense. We've seen Adams last year dominate the red zone targets for the Rams. He has the reigning MVP as his quarterback. Again, I like Brock Purdy. He ain't Matthew Stafford. And yet, Davante Adams is going seven picks, eight picks cheaper on most boards. Again, this is all a price thing with Mike Evans. I think the player is very good. I really do believe in the offense, but I'm just not willing to take him over guys like Davante Adams, Jaylen Waddle, an in-prime wide receiver going to the Broncos this year. Terry McLaurin, I think, is a big-time bounceback candidate. Rome Odunze, even though I have Burden ranked higher, there's still a ton of upside for a year three wide receiver on an offense that I think could be top five in the league with the Chicago Bears. And on top of that, I would just prefer prefer the profile of a guy like Carnell Tate. Realistically, if Evans was going in the late 50s, early 60s, I would be in on him at that price. I just don't like the guys that he's going ahead of. And honestly, even when you look at guys like Marvin Harrison Jr., Malik Nabers, like to me, that's kind of more the bucket I view Mike Evans in. And they go 20 picks after Evans. So, I get it. There is upside here. He could score 13 plus touchdowns, but why are you taking him but why are we taking him ahead of the guy who scored 14 last year?

>> Yeah, I mean, I'll agree with you on that. I have Davante Adams my 38th overall player and he goes in like the mid-50s of ADP. So Adams totally I'd see that. I I also have Odunze ahead of him as well and McLaurin is one spot behind him. Waddle two spots behind him. So I'll agree on that. I definitely think that Evans

>> if things go right for him has a much cleaner projection than Christian Watson than Carnell Tate than Brian Thomas Jr. than Marvin Harrison Jr. as much as I like Harrison as well this year. I think that yes we can point to the downside risk the hamstring injuries and that kind of thing. Ultimately, Brock Purdy and the 49ers were like one of the best teams in the league with Brock Purdy missing half of the year and no good receivers out there. So, Mike has never really experienced other than 2024 with Liam Cohen being schemed open. He has always had to win on X receiver routes against number one corner. So, that's what makes me excited to draft Mike Evans. But, I can't get too high on him because ultimately I do recognize there's a very good chance he's like Allen Robinson when he got to the Rams a couple years ago. I think it's very possible we see that kind of bad season from Evans. And I don't, of course, I wanted him back in Tampa Bay. I'm not just saying this because he left Tampa Bay. I think it was possible he did that in Tampa as well.

>> Well, I think the big factor here is like the history of 33-year-old receivers, Cory, we went through it yesterday when we talked about Davante Adams. I'm like, this would be the point for Adams, but ultimately agreed for you why I thought he was a value. The history of 33-year-old receivers, like 12 guys in history have had over 1000 yards. 17 in history have had over a thousand yards. Like the math is just not mathing.

>> Yeah. Yeah. Totally fair. Again, I I think holding off on him until like the hard thing, too, is the second he gets like banged up in camp or banged up in the preseason, he'll drop like a [ __ ] lead balloon in terms of his. So, that's another thing that you could maybe factor in if you want to get your shares of him later, but then at that point, you're buying into an already injured 33-year-old receiver. So, probably don't want to do that either. But all I'm saying is the one thing that Mike Evans has going for him is that if he stays healthy, he can put up like a 17 point per game season in my opinion. He he absolutely could because he could score 14 times on 1100 yards and you know even if he's not getting a ton a ton of targets, I think that the team could easily feed him the high value targets. So that's the bull case is that he does he does actually have a pretty decent ceiling for a fourth round pick.

>> Yeah, it's more so just I'm looking at the young wide receiver demographic in that area. Like I think Jaylen Waddle could have a huge year end.

>> Agreed. No pushback on that side of the argument. I think that Odunze has equally as high of a ceiling. I think Waddle has equally as high of a ceiling. Terry McLaurin same age pretty much or a little bit younger than him. I think the projection is almost identical and he's like around cheaper.

>> And and even Brian Thomas Jr. like yeah there's more downside risk there, but it's an in-prime elite alpha [ __ ] athlete out there. Like I would rather take that swing 20 picks later all day.

>> Yeah. Which again, given price, I I agree but straight up I definitely would prefer Evans. Um

>> Garrett Wilson. Uh

>> This is weird. Got Mike Evans and Garrett Wilson on a list that we're not drafting. That's pretty crazy. That's got to be a first in six years of this channel. Um Garrett Wilson at 39.1 ADP wide receiver 18. I I'm sure I'm the lowest on the site on Garrett Wilson. I'm wide receiver 24. Like I'm definitely the lowest on the site on him. And pre-injury Garrett Wilson was having a great season. The first five games of the year, I felt vindicated for my uh Justin Jefferson, Garrett Wilson takes of 2024 because he had a 34% target share, 14.21 points per game in the games that he played. He was actually the wide receiver six if you remove the Denver game in week six that he left early in at 18.6 points per game. So, he was like legit breaking out. And remember that Justin Fields was a starting quarterback during this time. But here's what's tough about Garrett Wilson. A, he played against Pittsburgh, Miami, Tampa Bay, and Dallas. All of those defenses were bottom 15 in scoring last year. So he did have an easy schedule to start off the season and Garrett's still on the Jets. Suddenly now with K.J. Osborn and Olamide Zaccheaus maybe they're a better offense than people are thinking. I expect them to still lead the team in targets. I think that you know 34% of the targets seems a little bit outrageous. I don't think he's going to have that quite level of dominance. And as you guys know, I am not a Geno Smith believer and I never have been. Expect Cade Klubnik to be out there by Thanksgiving. I I I seriously think we're going to see Cade Klubnik out there for games. And doesn't matter who you look at, this team is one of the worst in the league projecting for wins, for points. Frank Reich is their freaking OC. It wouldn't shock me if they've got everybody fired by week six. So, as much as I want to buy into Garrett Wilson, the Jets for the [ __ ] fourth straight year, why would I draft a guy at the three-four turn who could produce 15 points per game if things go really right for him? And everybody is wrong about the Jets. Vegas analysts, whatever you want to look at, everybody projects the Jets to be a bottom five team. When Drake London, Jahan Dotson, T.J. Hockenson, Ladd McConkey all around him in ADP project better on better teams, better, you know, players in some cases as well, even lower down the board. Odunze, Evans, Adams, Waddle, Terry McLaurin, they all have higher ceilings given their offensive environments in my opinion. So, in my opinion, the only way we get 17-18 points per game in a Garrett Wilson is if Geno Smith plays like Seattle Geno Smith, which is I don't think is happening personally.

>> So,

>> neither does any Vegas market or any analyst pretty much. So, I'll give the bull case because I am higher than you and uh I would say one of the more higher um uh people on Garrett Wilson on the site. Like I'm curious if I look at

>> You're number number one on the site.

>> Uh and overall,

>> number two overall for me. It says 35 overall.

>> It says 33 on my screen here and then number 14 positionally.

>> Um might not have updated, but regardless, um I am a little bit more bullish on Garrett Wilson. I mean, we were talking about obviously that split last year was skewed. I'm not going to go out in going to go out here and say, "Hey, listen, like the guy was averaging legitimately 18 plus points per game in the healthy games he played last year." Like, that's not what I'm saying. He's probably not going to do something like that. But 15 to 17, I think, would be well within the range of outcomes. I am more bullish on Geno Smith. I do think at the very minimum he provides professional quarterback play. Some people might be shocked that I said that in the last video, but I'm sorry. when the alternatives last year with Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor, and Baker Mayfield, like yeah, like I'm gonna be a little bit more bullish on Geno Smith than those guys. Do I think Geno Smith is going to be exactly the Seattle version? Probably not. But I do think he's going to be closer to that than what we saw with the Raiders this past year. First and foremost, Jets offensive line so much better than the Raiders offensive line last year. Wasn't even particularly close. So, I just think if Geno can give you a serviceable 20 to 25 touchdowns, 32 to 3600 yards, I do think Garrett Wilson can legitimately be a top 12 to 15 receiver.

>> If you think that Geno's throwing 25 touchdowns this year, you hammer the crap out of the Jets over under.

>> 20 to 25. Uh, it could be closer to 20.

>> Yeah. Again, I I'm just been I'm so sick of buying into this team. I'm so sick of doing it. You don't [ __ ] show me. Honestly, the only guy that I'm really buying into is Hall because Hall goes at a position that's, you know, he's a bigger difference maker at. At least in Hall's career, he's been a difference maker. Garrett's been a difference maker, like talent-wise, theoretically, but not from a fantasy perspective. Has he ever been a difference maker for a sustained 15, 17 games or whatever. So, could this be the year? Absolutely. Am I going to bet a third round pick on it? No. Yeah, obviously it would feel nicer getting it in the fourth round for me personally, but I I would be comfortable in the three-four round.

>> Um because I mean still at the end of the day here when he was fully healthy, you had four games in five basically cuz keep in mind he got hurt against Denver. I believe that was the London game. I remember we were streaming while that happened and obviously came back versus Cleveland, but he was only in a 43% of the snaps capacity. Like in four of the five healthy games he played, he was a top 12 receiver on the week. So the way I look at Garrett Wilson, obviously there's a lot more volatility in the projection than at Drake London, but could it look similar to what Drake London was this past year in an absolute ideal bull case. And I think so.

>> Garrett, Olave, and London every year prove that they're about the same as each other from a talent perspective, more or less. Like I think London's better than both of them, but it's possible that, you know, was the one down on his luck last year and, you know, smashed uh because his offense was better than people thought. I just I'm I'm pessimistic on the Jets, man. I'm so sick of getting burned by this game.

>> It's good conversation because ultimately, how much do we trust elite players in terrible offensive situations? That's kind of the battle we have with ADP because guess what? If Garrett Wilson was in a good situation, I don't think anybody would have a anything wrong with taking him in the top 18, top 15 overall. So,

>> it's just a price thing, too. Like, if I'm on the board in my home league and I'm at the I'm picking first overall. If I'm on the board at the four-five turn and Garrett Wilson falls to me, then absolutely I'll take Garrett Wilson at that point. I'm not taking him at the three-four turn where he goes right now.

>> Yeah. I just think realistically, if anything, I feel more optimistic about the player, the talent level going into this year than I was even maybe last year. And he's actually gotten

>> arguably cheaper. I think he was going earlier than 39 overall last year if I'm not mistaken.

>> Uh I think he was about the same price. I think he was about a three-four turn pick give or take. In the flock like he actually felt around five.

>> Oh right. Yeah. Well, even even still again, Geno Smith versus the quarterback last year. the player himself showing that he could be a legitimate elite option when he's on the field last year. Like I'm willing to take the plunge like I said about three-four turn is where I'm at.

>> Yeah, exactly. So, um let's keep it rolling here with um Bucky Irving. Um Tampa Bay. Um

>> I just want to say first and for again probably the lowest on the site if I had to guess. Yeah, I'm number 72 overall. I I'm

>> I'm done. I'm done with injury optimism on players that I like, man. I'm done with it. at least, especially if you guys are drafting teams right now, what is to be gained from taking injury discounts? Like, you're not going to get that much better of a price in uh May right now when we're drafting than you're going to get in August. So, why not? If you want to get some shares of injury discounts, do it then.

>> Uh, sort by 2026 because I don't know why it's not updated because I definitely do not have Bucky Irving that high.

>> Oh, there we go. Sorry, I had it by I had it by Dynasty. I'm actually low on Dynasty as well.

>> You're good. Um, yeah, I was going to say I'm like, there's no way I have him 44 overall, but that that Yeah, 61 is about where I have him. I think you pretty much summed it up. I expect his ADP to continue going down. Obviously, it's still only at 46.8, but we get that bearish report that came out yesterday. He's still not healthy according to Todd Bowles. He's still dealing with that shoulder injury. And they realistically, what was the timeline that was placed? They wouldn't know until

>> summer or fall is what he said or fall. basically putting into question if he'll be ready for week one, which is not good. Not good.

>> Like, if he was in the 60s, sure, you take the upside, maybe. Okay, that's reasonable. In the 40s, absolutely [ __ ] not. Kenny Gainwell was already going to be a factor in this backfield. And now he can soak up as many first-team reps without Bucky there as he can possibly handle. And people might scoff. They think, oh, well, Kenny Gainwell, he just signed to be a backup. He could, you know, potentially take the Rashaad White role. like he's not going to figure into Bucky Irving. Bucky Irving is this team's franchise back. Cory, I mentioned this on yesterday's video. How many points per game can Kenny Gainwell offer you week 11 on last year?

>> How many points per game was Kenny Gainwell scoring weeks 11 on?

>> 17.8 points per game last year, weeks 11 on. And the Bucs paid him legitimate money. Like we look at the offseason for example. Javonte Williams at the Cowboys, three years, $24 million extension. The Bucs gave Gainwell two years, $14 million. Like 7 AV, that's not your typical tough money. 10 million guaranteed. Like they view this guy to be a factor. He's clearly shown he could be a solid three-down back. Like sure, in an ideal world, if both are fully healthy, prime Bucky Irving, healthy Bucky Irving is a better back than Kenny Gainwell. But even still, Kenny Gainwell with a healthy Bucky Irving is good enough to command 40-45% of the snaps. If Gainwell is going to be getting the upper hand in terms of snaps in the off season, working with the first team, working with the new offensive coordinator, who's to say he doesn't take over this backfield to begin with. Basically, my gripe here is I view it as about maybe a 55-45 lean right now. Bucky versus Gainwell. And there's currently a 50 pick discrepancy on underdog.

>> You're forgetting one major piece of this Tucker. Yeah, Sean Tucker is actually the best ball carrier on this team in my opinion based on what Irving did last year. Not based on rookie season Irving because rookie season Bucky Irving was legitimately one of the most efficient running backs in the league that year. Last season per Hayden Winks, 65th in rush yards over expected, 64th in EPA per carry out of 66 qualifying running backs. He was 64th and 65th in those respective metrics. So, let's not forget here that Bucky Irving was a fourth round pick for a reason. Bucky Irving is 5 foot 10, 195 pounds. Just because Bucky was sick as a rookie doesn't mean that that's going to hold the rest of his career. Michael Carter, Tyler Allgeier, Dameon Pierce, and James Robinson were sick as rookies as well. I'm not saying that Bucky Irving is going to go all the way to the wayside the way some of those guys did. Um, but to pretend like he's going to come back after missing all of OTAs, definitely missing probably a lot of training camp, if not all of it, and maybe being ready for the start of the season and just be a 70% opportunity share running back when Tucker and Gainwell have been the starters all of camp.

>> It's going to be a committee, man. I think it's going to be a full-blown running back by committee. And in running back by committee, I kind of want the cheapest option, which is Shawn Tucker, to be honest.

>> And I would actually like like I said, I'm I'm in on Kenny Gainwell. I mean, this is a guy last year that had nine inside the five carries while also commanding 85 targets. Like, he showed in Pittsburgh that he could be a consequential touch level running back. If you need a guy that to pitch in on the goal line, he showed he can do it. If you need a guy to pass block on third down, he could do it. Like, Gainwell is the type of back that a coach just doesn't get rid of. A coach is going to give him volume because he can be good at all factors of the running back position. My favorite stat of all time this off season is that both Kenneth Gainwell and Shawn Tucker had more goal line carries than Bijan Robinson last year.

>> Both of them

>> respectively. So,

>> you know, Bucky's got questions from the the inside the five work definitely by Tucker, but even by Gainwell as well. And he's got receiving question marks about um, you know, third down, long down, and distance because Gainwell is a better pass protector than he is. So, it it's it's yeah, don't don't draft Bucky Irving right now. like at least wait until we get some better news about him or something like there's no reason to be drafting him right now. If he's a sixth round redraft pick come August and you want to take shots on him then I think that's totally fair. But 3-4 turn right now. [ __ ] no dude. Not a chance.

>> Well Corey right now would you rather spend a pick in the 40s or let's say it goes down a little bit. He's a pick in the

>> Let's say he's a four-five turn pick.

>> Yeah. Let's say he's 52nd overall in ADP, right? Give or take. 52nd overall Bucky Irving or 115 Kenny Gainwell and 195 Shawn Tucker. I would much rather spend the 18th rounder and the 10th or 11th rounder on Gainwell than I would ever spend a fifth rounder on Bucky Irving right now.

>> Well, yeah. And if you look at him versus the other injured running backs that are going in that range like Akers and Judkins, at least with Akers and Judkins, there's bullish reports about their health. And I would also argue that Akers and Judkins are clearly the starter in their backfield too. like there's not as much backfield competition. And it's not like as much as I'm optimistic as a fan of my own team. It's not like I think the Bucs are going to be significantly better on offense than the Giants this year. They'll probably be significantly better than the Browns, but the Giants could easily be as good as the Bucs. Like I think both of them are about average offenses. Like if I'm looking at it realistically at the running back position, you mentioned Judkins. I think DeAndre Swift very well. I would take DeAndre Swift right now straight up over Bucky Irving. Not think twice there. David Montgomery with the Texans should be their main between the tackles. Bellcow. Hell, if you're going to take a, you know, lower floor, riskier projection, give me [ __

Trevon Henderson. Straight up.

I have Henderson. I I'm not even a Henderson guy, and I can agree with that. I I think that Henderson absolutely should go over Bucky Irving because at least in Henderson's case, we know that the ceiling is on a way like a much better quarterback, much better team, and and that kind of thing. And Henderson also, you know, has a more I think he will have a more established receiving hold on the on the back field as well if he can hit a ceiling.

Yeah. Like how much more expensive is Bucky Irving right now than even Bashial Tutin? Like B

I take in a heartbeat, dude. I take

all day. That's what I'm saying. Like I would It's not even close for me. I have Tutin ranked 49. I have Bucky Irving ranked 61 right now. Uh where is Tutin's ADP in relation?

I'm

Tot's ADP is in the 50s if I'm not mistaken. So he's probably going to eventually pass him, I would imagine. Um the the one concern is that at least in Tuton's case, um I am more concerned by the buzz of the backfield because the buzz is that Rodriguez is going to be a huge part of it. So that would be the one if somebody want to take um Irving over um Toot I don't think it would be crazy but same goes for like Price and Y

and Montgomery and Swift like you said uh even you know I'm not probably there on like Pard or anything like that but people could get there I don't think it's outrageous. So um let's move into Jameson Williams Danny I'll let you rip it off with him because he is the last guy that's kind of going significantly you know top 50 in ADP.

Yeah, we're talking about really taking Sam Leaporta's beta 50 picks before Sam Leaporta. Like Corey, show them the split last year in the first 10 weeks of the season when Sam Laaporta was on the field.

I'll pull it up on the comparison tool really quick

because I can tell you cuz I did it before we started recording. Uh you can pull it up as well so people can see. He averaged 10.9 PPR points per game and had a sub 17% target share when Leaporta was healthy. We're really freaking valuing that as a top 50 overall player in this economy right now. Like listen, I get it. If you had Jameson William uh Jameson Williams weeks 11 on, like he was absolutely a league winner down the stretch. If your argument is, well, when one of the Lions receivers, if it's a Monra, if it's Gibbs, or if it's Leaporta missed time, Jameson Williams could be a league winner. Sure, if that's your case, fair play. But when we're looking at Jameson Williams, his total case when everybody is on the field, why would you take or why would you take Jameson Williams over guys with legitimate top 15 running back upside or guys that could legitimately command 10 plus more percent of their team's targets?

Yeah. Uh Jameson Williams scored more touchdowns per game with Leaporta on the field and was a 15 points per game producer with JMO uh with Leaporta injured.

sub five targets per game like like that is pacing for less than 85 targets on a year for a guy that people are spending a fourth round pick on.

Yeah, I mean so the one push back I have on JO is a he's a big play guy. So that's partially why he goes high in best balls cuz you know you know what he's capable of on a long touchdown perspective and that kind of thing. And the other thing is I think that he should be going in the fifth round I would say instead of like the four five turn area where he's going. And it's more just like who's going around him. Like there's no way I would take him over Dvonte Adams. There's no way I would take him over Terry Mccclure and there's no way I would take him over Jaylen Wadd and whatnot. But once you get beyond those guys and you're deciding between Jameson Williams and like unproven guys like Marvin Harrison Jr. or Brian Thomas Jr. or something like that, I think it's reasonable to take Jameson Williams given the offensive schedule of the [ __ ] Lions and the Dome games and the best ball production that he can produce.

I'm on the same page there. But realistically, can you tell me with a straight face the difference between his profile versus BTJ Christian Watson? Yeah. Like I I those guys are cheaper and to me they're as safe of a bet as Jameson Williams is that I can get 10 plus picks later. I mean hell you want to get really gutty. He goes a lot later than Jameson Williams. But give me Mai Lemon right in the same range. I have J Mo at 55. I have M Lemon at 58.

I I'll get even guttier. How about um how about Quinton Johnston?

That's a hot one. I I don't know if I'll get there but

Quinton John out produced him last year. That is a crazy

or I mean he didn't I don't think he did on the whole season. Actually, let me pull it up. It's probably pretty close

probably. Yeah.

But in the first, you know, period of time where where uh Leaporta was on the Yeah, it was pretty close, man. It was literally like 6 points per game. And uh if you just account for the fact that when Leaporta was on the field, it wasn't close.

Yeah. Like we're talking about a guy that hasn't crossed over four receptions per game in the last two years, like you need him to be that big play guy. And I just don't think Yeah, for sure. And I just don't think it's going to be consistent enough if everybody is on the field for that team.

Yeah. Again, in baseball, it matters less the consistency aspect. If he's a fifth round reddraft pick, I think that's fine to be honest. In baseball, a fourth round makes sense because of his best ball upside. That's that I my only push back is that it is a little bit format skewed

to a degree, but I also like keep in mind when I say I have him at 55, that's accounting for best ball. I think in a reddraft league, I wouldn't touch him until the pick 70 area

really. Yeah, I I'd be fine taking him in the in the at the mid to late fifth early sixth round even in reddraft because I I do think he has inherent upside if anybody goes down like leg legitimately like not to downplay things of what he did down the stretch. He was like a a staple top 12 receiver in our rankings by the way.

No doubt again complete implied upside play. I just think there are other options down the board that that can apply to as well. Yeah, realistically like we like we mentioned BTJ for example, like why can't BTJ offer that same kind of offer?

Yeah, my problem with him is more median projection than it is upside case. I think his upside case is worth worth something.

Yeah. No, I like his upside, but ultimately like it's kind obviously he's a better player than this guy, but it's kind of like Gabe Davisy in that aspect. Like people just look at the big plays big look at the big spike weeks and kind of over project what it's going to look like on a week- toeek basis. That's my problem.

I think that's a little unfair. I I I don't disagree. I think he's a better player than Gabe Davis. It's just kind of people, you know, did the same thing with Gabe Davis. They overwinent they went overboard on him.

They did. They did. Um Okay, let's speed through these last couple guys because they are going further down the board so there's, you know, less of a case of why they should be going high.

The B Tech J Mo.

Yeah, Alec Pierce. The B Tech JMO indeed. Um basically produced similar to Jameson Williams, similar to Quinton Johnson last year. There wasn't a single receiver in baseball that I drafted more than Alec Pierce last season. So again, this is not a my guys list of players I'm usually out on. These are guys that I've been in on before. Um here's the thing, though. 12.2 points per game from Alec Pierce last year, wide receiver, 27, and six top 24 scoring weeks that he put up. Uh in uh, you know, in week 18, he obviously had a great game, but that doesn't count for fantasy football. It's not that great for round seven, especially when, like I said, for Jonathan Taylor, the team is probably not going to be eighth in scoring again this year. Like, the Indianapolis Colts were eighth in points per game last season. Pierce has a quarterback who's post Achilles surgery and he himself had a cleanup procedure on his ankle and again he's expected to be ready for training camp. I don't like the sound of that for a guy who wins with speed who's led the NFL in yards per reception the last two years and also now could be pigeon holed into a different role if Pitman's gone and or because Pitman's gone. What if Alec Pierce now has to play a completely different position role on the offense and he's not there in training camp to get those reps in to get the chemistry going with Daniel Jones and that kind of thing? Or what if Daniel Jones isn't there in training camp? I feel to me like we should be paying a 90th overall price tag for this because of the injury pessimism and we're paying a 70th overall price tag for him right now. We have no idea if he can sustainably produce a thousand yards on what 40 catches or whatever he had last year. like,

yeah,

he he's averaged over 21 yards per reception the last two years. So, he either needs to do it again on a worse offense with a different quarterback situation or he needs to become Michael Pitman, which I worry about coming off of the injury if he's going to miss some time.

Damn. Uh, if you're watching this, Brock, I should have told you the disclaimer to cover your ears cuz uh two Colts on the video from Bushy Boy. You are It is funny because obviously fantasy is a year-to-year game. You were the Colts guy last year, but if the price tags are rising this much, I do agree. Alec Pierce, if again I have him ranked at 80 overall, if you want to argue him versus like Fannon, Godwin, JK Dobbins, like guys like that, I think that's more reasonable. But I mean, if he's going to be a top 72, top 70 overall pick, like I can't put him in the range of like Marv. I mean, even Michael Wilson for that matter, I'd much rather

I didn't bring him up simply because we'd be here for seven minutes uh talking about him. Um, I didn't I Michael Wilson's also one of the worst picks on the board in my opinion, but I I didn't bring him up because I knew we'd be talking about him forever. I don't view Alec Pierce that differently from Jordan Addison. And again, to talk about what I talked about at the beginning of the video, if I'm pulling levers and I'm higher on certain players, I'm pretty high on Tyler Warren and I'm pretty high on Josh DS even despite thinking that the Colts might not be as good as they were last year. So, by, you know, association, I have to be lower on Alec Pierce.

Yeah. No, I think it's very reasonable and I think he made a good case. Another guy that I am lower on that kind of goes in the similar range to Alec Pierce is Chuba Hubard. Going off the board as the RB27 68.2 overall ADP is what I have listed here. Uh I guess his ADP actually went up2 since I said that. So he's at 68 now. Um Chuba Hubard like I understand if you are pro Tuba Hubard. Uh you look at him, hey guess what? I can grab him. I can guarantee some touches. He's going to be a starting running back for an ascending offense. I get what the bullc case for a lot of people is when it comes to Chuba Hubard, but it's just for me a very similar thought process with Chuba Hubard that I just mentioned with Bucky Irving, except with Bucky Irving, at least I can say when Buckyy's at his best, I view him as the clear best running back, number one running back on his team. I can't say that with Chuba Hubard. I'm here to tell you, man, like if he is fully healthy going into the season, which by all accounts, it looks like he's had OTAAS by all accounts after missing the 2025 year, I think this is going to end up being Jonathan Brooks backfield. I think the King in Carolina wears number 25 and he's already been making ways. And look, I get it. If you are an injury pessimist, you're probably hearing this saying, "How are you going to trust a guy that's missed the last two years basically with two separate ACL tears?" But I really do feel like if Jonathan Brooks stays healthy, he is the clear number one talent in this backfield. He was the back that the team moved up inside the top 50 for. And are we forgetting last year that a back was brought to this team with significantly less investment that basically stole Chuba Hub's lunch money in the beginning of the year? If Jonathan Brooks looks anything close to himself, again, pre-injjury itself, we're talking about one of the better running back prospects we've seen. You guys can see this tweet here from no film analysis, but in that year or in his final year of college at Texas, if you took his metrics and applied it to this running back class, he actually would have been the RB2. first in yards per reception, fir uh second in yards per attempt, second in force miss tackle rate, second in total yards per game, second in PFF grade, third in yards per out run, third in first down rate, and fourth in yards after contact per attempt. When you look at the profile of Jonathan Brooks, the only question mark is health and I do think he's healthy. So at this point, if I can get what I do to be the better Carolina running back 60 picks later, give me give me Jonathan Brooks all day and I'm not going to end up with any Chuba.

Yeah. Again, it's it's the pulling the levers argument. If you're high on Brooks, you must be lower on Chuba by association. It's It's impossible to be super high on both. I am cautiously optimistic on Brooks. I'm cautiously pessimistic, I guess, on on Chuba Hubard. I think the hard part is part of me is like, okay, Chuba Hubard's RB 13 in points per game two years ago. Like, was he good last year? No. But he was very good in 2024. And if he plays like he played in 2024, he can fend off Jonathan Brooks. alternative side of the coin though is that Jonathan Brooks is already healthy. Like that's the huge discrepancy between

he's running at full speed in training camp right now.

Exactly. If we were talking about Jonathan Brooks in the same injury pessimism light as Bucky Irving where they're like we don't know when he's going to be out there. He could be back for training camp. We would not be talking about Jonathan Brooks this way. He's literally playing in OTAAS right now. So and receiving rave reviews. So, that's the hard part about about Brooks versus Hubard is that this is clearly an ambiguous backfield. Clearly, they wanted Brooks to be the guy when they drafted him as high as they drafted him.

Do they still share that opinion? I think so. I think they do. As long as Brooks looks good and is healthy completely. He also had very clean ACL tears. There was no, you know, complexity to their the knee injuries like we have with neighbors and that kind of thing. So, um, yeah, I think my expectation is in reddraft, Chuba Hubard's better than he is in baseball because in reddraft, you could sell him after three games as opposed to in baseball, you're stuck with him the whole year.

I think that's a totally fair point, which is why I still have him ranked above Brooks because I do think if you need a guy in the first three or four weeks, maybe that's the ramp up time for Brooks. But I do think once you get to week seven, week eight, week nine, Brooks will have asserted himself as that number one starter. It's just like you said, you like he has a purpose. I'm not saying Trouba Hubard is a useless fantasy asset. I do think he's probably going to have a top 20 to top 24 level running back projection at least to start the year. It's just like I said in baseball, give me the prioritized upside down the stretch and I do think Jonathan Brooks is the one that provides that. It kind of reminds me of a similar situation, Cory. If you remember when we first started the channel, there was a certain ambiguous backfield involving a secondyear running back with a running back who the year prior was a touchdown score, very, you know, solid runner, physical between the tackles guy, and by the end of the year, it was no debate on who should have went higher. Do you know who I'm referencing?

Is it Randre Stevenson and Damen Harris?

Yo, you know your ball, man. The Damen Harrison, Andre Stevenson. That's kind of what the vibes I'm getting here are.

Yeah. I think it also is even somewhat comparable to like what we saw from because it's not really the same situation, but what we saw from like, you know, Cam Acres, Javvante Williams, and JK Dobbins early in their careers that like when they were back healthy, they were still really good and they were, you know, hopefully Jonathan Brooks can stay healthy at this point in his career because it's been a huge problem for him. Uh, in Texas, obviously, he got injured amidst like a dope Walker award-winning season. So, that's the um the challenging thing for for people. And again, if you're just like, there's no way I would ever trust Jonathan Brooks to ACL tear is never going to happen. Totally fair. I think opinion as well. So, um, final guy I think is clearly the worst pick on the board um of this entire video. Just my opinion. I know that he's got a cult following out there, Parker Washington. So, I don't want to piss off the the Parkerites or the the washing bros or something. I don't know what are we calling them. The Jaguars wide receiver core definition of the pulling levers argument here. Let's look at this objectively. You guys know we're huge on Travis Hunter. You know, we're expecting a Brian Thomas Jr. bounceback. How could we possibly think that 74 overall ADP Parker Washington's a good idea if that's what we believe? If you don't believe that, go ahead, take Parker Washington. In my opinion, when we look at Parker Washington's completely uselessness for a fantasy until Travis Hunter's injury,

to me, it's pretty straightforward. He was fourth behind Deami Brown in routes on the team before Travis Hunter went down. 53% of the routs in the first seven weeks of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. averaged 10.1 points per game last season. Do you think that's going to happen again? Cuz I don't. During Parker Washington's breakout, the best two wide receivers on the team were him and Jacobe Myers, who they traded for during um the mid portion of the season. And in Travis Hunter's case, he's going to be back. We believe that the 76% of routes that Travis Hunter ran last season went healthy is going to continue. And not everyone believes that. We believe that. Keep that in mind. And then also too, 16% target share, 1.42 yards for a run. You think Brian Thomas Jr.'s putting up numbers like that again? I do not. So, if your stance is Washington's the alpha here, look what he did down the stretch. He has a great connection with Trevor Lawrence. Go nuts. Draft him all you want. My stance is that he's the fourth best receiver on the team. So, that's where I'm at with it. I think Thomas and Hunter are vying to be the best receivers on the team. and Jacobe Myers is a sturdy veteran that I'm going to get some shares of as well because I think he can produce and he's capable of putting up, you know, 800 plus yards or whatever the case is. I think it's still possible that Hunter's routes get scaled back, Thomas gets traded. I just don't feel like I'm getting enough of an ambiguous discount on Parker Washington. People seem to be certain that he's the guy that you need to own at this price tag. I have it ranked BTJ wide receiver 31, Meyers wide receiver 43, Hunter wide receiver 47, and Washington wide receiver 53. It's basically inverted in most cases. Like Washington's going very shortly after Brian Thomas Jr. in ADP right now. He's going over Meyers over Hunter. Way over Hunter.

Yeah. When I'm looking at where I have them ranked, so I currently have BTJ at 28. I have who if you go a little bit further down Hunter 49, Parker Washington 51, and I actually have Meyers as the fourth of the group, but uh I agree with a lot of what you said. It's kind of being shown right now based off ADP. At the very minimum, the market views it as a one-two with PTJ and Parker Washington. That's kind of where it's being drafted at. Uh Jacobe Meers, I believe, is in the 80s and Travis Hunter, people are kind of trading like an afterthought. If you're low on Travis Hunter, I understand why you'd be in on Parker Washington. But for us, I think Travis Hunter at the very minimum, like you said, is going to end up being a top two wide receiver on this team. Obviously, there's some volatility maybe in terms of the week- toeek snaps. I view it as a guy that was peaking right before he got hurt. And if you do look back, his highest route share of the year, 86% of the routes came in the week he got or the week before he got hurt with the Rams game. And we saw what the breakout looked like. I'm sorry, Parker Washington, you are not Travis Hunter. You do not move like Travis Hunter. You do not have the ball skills of Travis Hunter. you do not have the overall separation ability of Travis Hunter. I like Parker Washington. I think in an ideal rule world, he can be a very good number three for an NFL team, but not when it comes at the expense of going 60 picks higher than Travis Hunter.

Yeah. And they're also talking philosophically about shifting towards more downfield passing, which is going to help Brian Thomas. Like, it's it's so many different levers going on at once. If you think Parker Washington's the guy, you must not be drafting any Brian Thomas Jr. or Travis Hunter. That's just the way I look at it. And maybe you're of the camp of it's, oh, it's all Jacobe Myers and Parker Washington. Go nuts. Draft the crap out of those guys. They're going to be huge values if that's your opinion.

Yeah. No, I'm on the same page with you there. Realistically, um, you can view it as, oh, I'm big on Parker Washington because I don't believe in the other guys. But at the same time, I do think the Jags wide receiver core as a whole is one that you want to take a stance on.

Yeah, for sure. And somebody's going to be right and somebody's going to be wrong. For sure. There's no way that these guys are all wide receiver 35 in fantasy. Like, you know what I mean? like there somebody's going to be a historically bad pick. Some of them are going to be maybe great picks. Um so it's really all about what you believe. I'll choose to buy into the first round receivers, Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter, who were much better prospects than Parker Washington and 30-year-old Jacobe Meyers at this point who went undrafted when he was coming out of school. So I uh yeah, that's where I'm at with the Jags receiver core. You guys already probably knew that was coming though, I would imagine. And um

I thought it was coming from me though. Yeah, we didn't talk about Travis Hunter as one of the best picks. We just figured that would be obvious at at this point based on what we talk about Hunter all the time. So,

especially in baseball, man, are you kidding me? You can get him in the 130s in baseball. You don't have to predict it when he actually gets those snaps. Sign me the [ __ ] up.

Yeah, perfect format for him. So, appreciate you guys for tuning in. Leave a like if you enjoyed. Subscribe to the channel if you're new around here. If you want to take advantage of some of these guys by not picking them and picking some of the guys we talked about instead, head on over to Underdog Fantasy. Use the promo code FSE to get started. When you sign up and you make a $10 deposit on the site and you make your first play, you will get full access to our Dynasty Rookie draft guide, our Dynasty Rookie film breakdowns if you still have rookie drafts or if you just want to do more research on the class. And you'll also get our reddraft rankings manifesto when it comes out, which has all of our rankings, FSE versus home leagues, all the stuff you guys have been accustomed to the last couple of years. And you'll get our weekly start set rankings during the season to help you make decisions for your lineup. You're basically covered for the entire year by using our code on underdog with a $10 deposit. in first play. You can make enter a puppy draft, enter, I believe the Pomeranian is going on right now, $3 to enter. And you can also, you know, do some pickhams on the NBA and NHL playoffs as well, which I have been [ __ ] crushing lately. I won $520 yesterday off of a bonus bet of $384 that I won three days ago.

Yeah. I mean, if you want to go the basketball route, Cory's obviously been getting you covered. Make sure you go follow that on Twitter because you've been posting some banger slips. And heck, if you're on the hockey end, man, we got a huge game tonight, man. Game four in Montreal. Canes versus Habs. Winner of the series will take on the Vegas Golden Knights in the Stanley Cup final

for sure. So, check that out. That'll be linked down below in the pin comment. Like, comment, subscribe. As I said, peace out. We'll talk to you soon.