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How is this possible? Because Iran stopped Moscow, right? Ukraine attacked, the German Prime Minister declared readiness for war, breaking ties with Russia. And I believe Israel, they will never agree to the United States withdrawing from the war in the middle. Not even a moment has passed, and they attacked Lebanon again, right? It's a violation of Article 1, Article 1 in the MOU, right? Netanyahu has already announced that Israel doesn't need to listen to America on everything. America knows that no matter what, Israel will not agree. Israel will be the one to attack. America will be the one to negotiate. Do you think there is any national leader who dares to say one thing and do another? It's clearly written in Article 13. You see, if the negotiations in Articles 4, 5, 10, 11 are not clear yet, don't discuss other matters. But today, we haven't even discussed Articles 4, 5, 10, 11 yet. And when Article 1 is already gone, it becomes the problem. And I believe they are changing the game. This is what I observe. They say, why is it that as soon as the electronic signing is finished, a ceasefire, Europe immediately opens the war again? And this time, Khun Guitar, they attacked Moscow directly, right? And they said it was a thousand drones, right? According to the news. And if Putin decides to attack Europe, oh boy, this time it's a big problem. And I believe that with the current sanctions, there is no capability to send drones all the way to Moscow. Does Israel have the capability to fight Iran alone without America? If there is no America, it's very difficult, even to send weapons is difficult. Because why, Khun Guitar? Israelis are only 7 million people, the area is limited. Iran has 90 million people. And Iran has strategic weapons that I believe even the US cannot solve, which is the hypersonic drone, which they have proven twice already, Khun Guitar. They were utterly destroyed. Therefore, there is only one way: America must enter this war. Our goal is to take this channel to 1 million subscribers. We are currently in the process of destroying the current world order. Therefore, at the international level, it is very dangerous. And if you don't want to miss good content, please subscribe. For the past 2 years, our financial institution system has remained strong, we would not be in such a bad state. For those who want to upgrade their knowledge in depth, we now have YouTube Membership. By subscribing, you will receive exclusive content and seminars from TR KP and Team Business Tomorrow. It's because of the issue with Lebanon. Sir, how do you view the phenomena or events that have occurred this time? In the end, this negotiation did not happen. It's Article 1 of the MOU, Khun Guitar, the one signed electronically. Article 1 clearly states that Iran, America, and their allies must end the war on all fronts. And this has not even been a moment, and Netanyahu has already announced that Israel does not need to listen to America on everything. Because Israel needs to protect its own interests and security in Lebanon. This is just after signing, not even a day, and a violation has occurred. The ally of the United States, Israel, is still attacking Lebanon as usual. And I ask, how will the remaining articles be discussed, Khun Guitar? And importantly, I looked at the details of the 14 articles in the ceasefire MOU. It is clearly written in Article 13. You see, if the negotiations in Articles 4, 5, 10, 11 are not clear yet, don't discuss other matters. But today, we haven't even discussed Articles 4, 5, 10, 11 yet. And when Article 1 is already gone. And especially in Articles 4 and 5, I see it's even more difficult. Because why? 1. It requires opening the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days, and Iran must clear the mines. Clear the floating mines in the Strait of Hormuz. 2. The United States must withdraw from the Persian Gulf. Withdraw troops from the Persian Gulf. Articles 11 and 10 mean that the United States must have the Treasury Department issue an exemption to prohibit Iran from selling oil. That is, lift the sanctions on Iran's oil sales. As for Article 11, the United States must unblock the assets seized from Iran, 24 billion. This doesn't even include, Khun Guitar, the 300 million that is claimed to be needed for reconstruction. Who will be the host? Where will the money come from? When will it be paid? How will it be paid? I see it's difficult. Among the 14 articles, even the first one is violated within a day. And I believe Israel, they will never agree to the United States withdrawing from the war in the middle. Because if they withdraw, how will Israel survive, Khun Guitar? Right? Because Iran itself, Lebanon itself, by Hezbollah, Houthis, they attack Tehran, Haifa, Jerusalem, utterly destroyed. And Gaza is still not over, because Israel still cannot enter Gaza. There are many more problems. But I see this as buying time. Because 1. Trump wants to fight the midterm elections first. Because if he loses, Donald is finished. For the remaining 2 years, he can't do anything. Because the power in the Senate has veto power, presidential power. Therefore, it must be unified. Therefore, he must win first. 2. The inflation rate in the United States is currently unstoppable, from 3.8% to 4.2% now. Inflation affects the cost of living for Americans. It affects unemployment and employment, according to the CPI index. The yield on 10-year and 30-year bonds is soaring to 4.7% and 5.2%. Therefore, I believe the United States must retreat, but it may be a temporary retreat. Because I made this observation: How is it possible that Iran stopped Moscow, right? Ukraine attacked, the German Prime Minister declared readiness for war, breaking ties with Russia. And what's also noteworthy is the meeting between the Secretary of State and Kim Jong-un. I believe it's purely about war. And China knows that China and North Korea are about to enter a war in Korea and the South China Sea. This is all we need to follow to see if it unfolds as we analyze. But the events that have happened are simple: they haven't even stood up yet, and they've fallen, right? The issue of Israel, which has been discussed as a key variable, but this time, even though there has been a signing and a peace forum is being organized, Israel continues to attack Lebanon without stopping. Sir, what is Israel's goal, and can no one stop Israel? Khun Guitar, have you noticed that Zelensky and Netanyahu arrived around the same time? Do you remember when Trump first came to power and tried to negotiate with Putin to stop the war? Did Zelensky listen? Zelensky opened the game like this. Netanyahu is also like this. When there's a ceasefire, he attacks Lebanon, attacks Syria. I think it's like they've scripted it, that when one person's role diminishes, another person increases their role to prolong the war with excuses and reasons. What is Israel's excuse? Israel knows that if Israel is abandoned by the United States, Israel will be nothing. I'm telling you. Or even NATO, do you remember when Trump told NATO to handle it themselves, and the US wouldn't care about NATO? They fought and argued, right? But in the end, after the G7 summit, I believe they are playing a drama. Today, the side that stands firm with clear ideology or policy is the side of China, Russia, Iran, North Korea. They say, if you fight a lot, we fight back. If you shoot a lot, we shoot back. But on the American side, you see, they are constantly adjusting their plans. When they are at a disadvantage, what do they do? They negotiate. And there will be negotiations that are serious. Let's stop for 60 days, then we'll sit and consider. And it always fails. Since the Russia-Ukraine war, it hasn't ended for 5 years. Khun Guitar, everyone said two weeks, and it would be over for Russia. Iran. And now it's the fourth month, right? So everything is going wrong according to what the United States or the NATO-Israel side thought. Because I see it this way, they underestimated the other power bloc. Yes, Sir, but if Sir analyzes that they are playing a drama, does this mean it's a strategy? Separate actions, joint attack. America knows that no matter what, Israel will not agree. Israel will be the one to attack. America will be the one to negotiate. That's what I told you. Do you think there is any national leader who dares to say one thing and do another? How many times has it happened? And they speak in a way that the listener becomes more confused. First, they say peace is in the ICU. The next day, they say it's much better. Then they scold leaders like Putin, Xi Jinping, and Mottaqi. But in the end, they say Mottaqi is an admirable and strong leader. This third generation is expected to enable Iran to proceed, to proceed well in peace negotiations. Not even a moment has passed, and Netanyahu attacked Lebanon again, right? It's a violation of Article 1, Khun Guitar, Article 1 in the MOU. This is the problem. And I believe they are changing the game. This is what I observe. They say, why is it that as soon as the electronic signing is finished, a ceasefire, Europe immediately opens the war again? And this time, Khun Guitar, they attacked Moscow directly, right? And they said it was a thousand drones, right? According to the news. Yes. Ah, and if Putin decides to attack Europe, oh boy, this time it's a big problem. Because according to the NATO charter, if you attack any NATO member country, it is considered an attack on all of NATO. And suddenly, the German Prime Minister declared that NATO is ready for war, breaking ties with Russia. And I believe that with the current sanctions, there is no charisma to send drones all the way to Moscow. Does Israel have the capability to fight Iran alone without America? If there is no America, it's very difficult, even to send weapons is difficult. Because why, Khun Guitar? Israelis are only 7 million people, the area is limited. Iran has 90 million people. And Iran has strategic weapons that I believe even the US cannot solve, which is the hypersonic drone, which they have proven twice already, Khun Guitar. They were utterly destroyed. Therefore, there is only one way: America must enter this war. But I believe Trump himself said he needs to catch his breath first, because there are midterm elections. If he loses, everything is finished, right? Therefore, this is a continuous drama. It's to let the war in Europe erupt again. They alternate. You've noticed, right? The war in Europe is quiet, so they bring in the Middle East. Today, when the Middle East is quiet, they bomb Russia. Therefore, we must continue to follow to see what happens. And the negotiation of these 14 articles, as I said, the chance of it happening is not easy, but it's buying time. But can it buy enough time? Because the midterm elections are in 5 months, Khun Guitar. Can they really endure? Right? And if this time fails, I believe there will be a complete mess. Because why? No one trusts anyone anymore. No one listens to anyone anymore. Because even with such an agreement, they can still mess up within a few days. So how will they negotiate? Thank you everyone for always following us. Our goal is to take this channel to 1 million subscribers to create a broader society of learning in economics, business, and investment. We now have YouTube Membership. By subscribing, you will receive exclusive content and seminars from PR KP and the Business Tomorrow team. Please subscribe.