Transcription
For me, entrepreneurship has always been the way. Investing is important because it's the only way you are going to be able to get rich and wealthy for your family. We can, we can, close the wealth gap by working together. Market Monday is the biggest investment show ever. My life has literally changed since watching EM. When you can make people money and you can add value, they're going to be forever indebted to you. And I promise you this year I'm going to make y'all even more money.
Disclaimer: Do your own research. Our content is intended to be used and must be used for informational purposes only. It's very important to do your own analysis before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances. You should take independent financial advice from a professional in connection with or independently research and verify any information that you find on our show and wish to rely upon whether for the purpose of making an investment decision or otherwise. Let's build our knowledge, our community, and our brokerage accounts. Love is love. Love is love. Love is love. Happy Monday. How y'all doing? Oh man. Happy Monday. It is 70 degrees in New York. We are, we are blessed. Okay. Yeah, we are blessed. I can see the yard again. We are blessed. How you feeling, man? Blessed. Holly favorite. Happy to be here. Troy, how you feeling? Shotty, how you feeling? Shotty look like he just got off the jet. You know what I mean? Perhaps. Nice weather out there, you know what I mean? Yeah. Yeah. We set the clocks back a little bit. Um, so the sun set a little later. Uh, we did acknowledge this last week, but I I wanted to start by acknowledging this. It is uh women's month. Yesterday was International Women's Day.
I just want to give a huge shout out to all all women, all women in general, but like definitely the women of EIL, obviously my wife, uh, to any all the women of EIL and all the people, all the earners, we love you. Red Panda, we love you all. Um, hopefully you had a great relaxing day. I know yesterday was International Women's Day. Um, so yeah, man. Shout out to all the women throughout the world. Love is love. Braun got the funniest happy International Women's Day clip ever. Shout out to Braun. Yo. Oh man. Congratulations to Woodlands 3P. Oh man, that's uh that gym amazing too. Yeah, that that's like the arena that they play the championship games in. So, okay. Shout out to them. Greetings and salutations. We got a big week. Uh Blackout, we back on Wednesday. You know, we had a uh uh torturous last couple of weeks. Um but you know, we back. We got the good brother Eric Thomas coming on. So, you know, for people that wanted some level of balance between the toxicity, uh, we could balance it out. I I mean, I was I think it was very entertaining, of course. Right. High level of entertainment. I don't know if Yeah. I mean, and educational, too. I think Berg I mean, he's a great guest. He's a funny dude. He's an authentic dude. He's an authentic dude. like that. You walk up to him and you see him somewhere that that the guy you saw is the guy you gonna run into. That's him. Yeah. Yeah. That's him. That's really him. Yeah. But we we back. We gonna have a little toxicity, too. But we got we got the brother Eric Thomas coming. So, you know, we gonna have a lot of powerful conversations on how to be a good standup man in society. For sure. Get you motivated. Yes. Shout out to Dains. Shout out to D James. Uh hopefully we we'll get the news uh sometime this week that he he uh makes the New York Times bestseller list. Um dope comage on him. Shout out to him.
And then Thursday we got this dope episode. Um she's a Yeah. Yeah. She one of them ones. She a AI she's a AI expert futurist. We met we was at Carnegie Hall together um last year. She's been cooking. She been on CNBC, CNN. Oprah like she been all over the place, man. She been cooking talking about artificial intelligence. Saw with Gary Vee a couple weeks ago. Um she's one of the she's one of the smartest people in the world and definitely when it comes to artificial intelligence. So we had a sit down conversation with her about AI, the future of AI, you know, what could potentially go wrong, what what people need to be aware of, like what what it's going to look like in 10 years, robotics, all types of stuff like that. I think uh Chen Boll is one of the most intelligent people on the planet. Absolutely. Like you know when people ask where do you get your research? Where do you do your research? Watching her is part of my research. And I I told her that to her face. She was taken back by it. But I'm like no that's how important your voice is. That's how important your mind is. I think it's one of the most important episodes we've ever done. I'm be I'm going to just put it out there. I'm excited for y'all to hear it. We asked the questions that I think a lot of people want to know. Ask some questions that I definitely wanted to know. Sh the shame, but there's also a piece in it where there was like a validation like you know when you do the research and you're searching things and you're watching and you're looking at where this thing is headed there. It was like it felt like a a validating conversation, man. It is definitely one you gonna have to watch and rewatch and take notes. But most importantly yet, you got to execute because a lot is dropped. It's one of them episodes. I haven't seen a preview, but listening to her intellectually is the equivalent of watching Kyrie handle the ball. I haven't heard the conversation yet. I guarantee this probably the interview of the year. Tune in Thursday. What time? 12:00. 12:00. Tap in early. Get your pen and paper. Y too. She used to be a model. You can tell. Respectfully. Shout out to Toronto. Shout out to Toronto. Fam. Oh. Yo, shout out to Toronto. She's uh Pro. I see the She from the She from the six. Shout out to the six, man. Respectfully. written by unless you is important to read. You can't don't skip anything in the resume. That's a fact. Ian, any any announcements? Don't text my phone. It's just jokes. Um, uh, kudos to my cousin, um, Mai Gillis. I'm proud of you. 22 points in sectionals led them to a win. EC Central stand up. I appreciate you. Stock club call was this past Sunday. Um, we had an amazing call. Replay will be posted Saturday. Prices are out in Kajjabi. If I made you money, please put yes in chat. If I told you that oil is the key level is 9350. We'll talk about it. Please put yes in chat. Let's have an amazing show and let's build wealth together. Love y'all. Over and out.
Thank you. We got a lot to talk about, but before before you know we get into the Iran and Trump and oil and all of that, let's start off. What's the New York when yall did the interview or no? No. Okay. I don't think so. N you flew G. N just flew back. You had just flew back. What's the What's the What's the trading tip of the week? Um, for all my investors who are worried about what's going on in the market right now, I need you to know that the market dropped February through March of 2026 this year. Also, 2025, 2023, 2022, 2020, and 2018. This is the time. This is like preseason for investors and hedge funds before the money comes in. I know there's a lot of doom and gloom that's going on in the world right now, but the cycle that you're seeing of the market being down right now is normal. The cause in 23 and 22 and 18 may be different but every year G in the last 15 years I need you to expect from for just like we have that drop in late July August that we have February through March until that capital starts to flow in that third week of March we're going to be down stop worrying it's going to be okay it's giving you a time a generational time to buy everything is going to be fine the market normally goes down in February and March.
Yeah, I that's important. I love the historical perspective because it gives context to it. I think when you add into what's happened in March, we got quadruple wigging, right? The third the first quarter is ending at the end of March. You got the third week of of the quarter in the last month, which would be March. So, that's going to happen as well. But on the other side of it, right, when we look at the best six months to invest or trade, usually April is at the top. And so when you see you see opportunities like we saw last week and maybe you saw some earlier today, we'll talk about it a little bit later. You you position yourself to be in these spots when April comes. We saw it last year, right, when with Liberation Day that happened in April. Then we saw the rebound in the best six months after that. Yeah, that felt like an anomaly. But if you look historically, April, May, June have been solid months. That second quarter of the year, like you said, deal flows start to come in a little bit differently. People's quarterly reporting change, their end of the year has changed. Sure. Which is something that that we actually we found out about uh actually last week. It was like, yo, you set when your your year end is, right, depending on when you created your business. So just having his historical contact is important and understanding that we've been here before is important. Understanding like look if you're going to invest do it regularly but keep these things in mind before you make a move. And secondly um anytime that the VIX gets above 27 it normally takes anywhere from a month and a half to two and a half months for it to go back underneath 21. Once again, the most important chart if you're going to be looking at it from a technical standpoint that cannot be manipulated, we'll talk about manipulation later, is the VIX. Um, so usually for me, two months I should expect the VIX should be back around 20, which will lead into that April scenario that you talked about as well. Block out the noise. Like we told you last week where oil would go, when to be concerned, but keep your eyes on the VIX. And if the VIX hits 27 or 30 or 35, that's a good time to buy into the top 10 stocks and you'll be a-ok. Okay. Yeah, we saw the VIX hit 36 today. I think it closed at 25, which was a huge swing. 10 points on a VIX is hell of a turnaround. That's pretty pretty abnormal, but pretty aggressive. Yep. Yeah, it happened. But like you said, if you were here last week, you heard those numbers. You heard 9350. I talked about 110 and 120 and we got all those ranges that quick. We were out of them. Um, interesting times.
And that's why I kept saying the oil trade is over. It's priced in. I don't know when you guys want to talk about it, but man this is a different time geopolitically in terms of the market. They turned the crude market into a meme stock. By the time you get to chasing that move, I'm not hating or gatekeeping. You just didn't listen the first time. Rashad didn't tell you what to invest in from day one. Troy told you. I told you. Am Lily, Costco, Walmart, AMD, Nvidia, those are all my picks early on. They're still there. But you are now being used for the exit liquidity for the hedge funds. And they're playing in your faces and there's nothing you can do about it. You have to be smarter than ever. They realize that this class of investors is better than ever and now they're using that against you and getting on social media. People saying oil is going to go to 150. Do you know that the last time that oil was at 200 was 1929 for every $10 move that we have in crude gasoline is going to go up by 35 cent. That would [ __ ] the American economy and it's already in shambles as is. So, did it feel like a test like the past couple? I mean, if if you're on social media, if you're watching the news, you hear oil, you hear oil, you keep hearing oil, you keep hearing your gas prices are going to go up for the beginner, like that intermediate, maybe that investor, the retail investor that hasn't been through it, hasn't heard it. Did you feel like it maybe was a test to see what will they do? Will they say, "Hey, we're going to buy future contracts when it get into 100 or options contracts when it get for it to get to 100." And then you're sitting there Sunday night and you're like, "Wow, we're at 117." And then you wake up at 9:31 and you're back at 94 97. Did it feel like a test? I said it since episode 70. Never in the history of American capitalism do they come to black people and say, "This is the investment to make first." You got to be as cool as Rashad is sitting calm and comfortable and chill. That's the biggest lesson in investing is that investors love certainty. But when you have everyone saying it's going to 150, 200, and then people are getting excited and then you're like, well, Ian's gatekeeping. I'm like, I'm I'm trying to protect you. If you haven't traded the crew, like even this crew contracts used to cost 8,000 per contract. As of last week, they're $24,737.50 for one contract. It's not even the best use of capital. The VIX, which pays five times more, is 20,000 per contract. So, all of a sudden, last two months ago, it was gold and everyone wanted the gold move. Now, it became crude. Just like Trump is having a different target for every month, they're going to push a different financial instrument in front of your face every month. You got to stick to the four that you know. And if you haven't traded crew futures before, now is not the time to play.
Oh boy. Yeah. Let's talk about this. Um JP Morgan predicts that S&P could fall 10% because of the Iran war and um rising oil prices. So, so 10% correction is what JP Morgan is is calling for potentially. What do you think? If we fall 10%, it won't be because of the Iran issue solely. Um, we're not talking enough about the credit private credit market issue. I think this is one of the biggest bubbles that's not being talked about. Um, when I was talking about on Stock Club, people are asking like, okay, is this a retail issue? because some retail investors have access to private uh credit and private equity. Now KKR, Apollo, Aries, those are not retail platforms, those are institutional. So Blue Ale may be down 63% which is retail facing but when you see that Aries Black Rockck like Black Rockck stopped allowing people to withdraw money to Black Rockck but that's the first canary in a coal mine when you're like oh [ __ ] is tougher than what you really think it is and that what it's reporting to be. So I think will it be a combination of factors? Yes. But Iran I think is probably the smallest issue on the table right now as to why the stock market would drop. I think there is a lot of um issues around the circular investment private credit and then also the job market is in shambles and no one wants to talk about it and they keep revising these numbers online about these numbers. I don't think we have gotten an honest job report in the last two and a half years.
Well, that's what I was going to say as far as the job. Yes, there's a variety of different things. the job market is in shambles and it's even worse than it's even worse than what's being reported because you got people that's not even looking for jobs anymore and then you got a variety of young people that don't even know where to start to look for jobs. So they're not they're not necessarily filing unemployment because they just graduated from college and they still just trying to figure it out. They're just at home with their parents just in the basement watching Andrew Tate all day. Um, yeah, credit credit card debt all-time high. When you look at I mean, they quietly about to have another government shutdown. TSA said get to the airport five hours early because they can't they can't pay TSA 5 hours is crazy. You can't even check your bag more than three hours. Yeah. um housing. This is the first time I think in over 10 years the the the rate of houses that's being sold right now at like a 10-year low. So that means that people aren't are not spending money on real estate in the same way or can afford to. Yeah. Yeah. Um I mean the list goes on. So domestically, there's a lot of signs that points to a pretty weakening economy for the average person.
Yeah, I think um I I agree with a lot of the points. Um I agree that well, first 10% is pretty normal. First and foremost, like if we pull back 10%, we shouldn't feel like oh my gosh, our account is about to go to shambles. No, 10% would be an actually welcomed um correction, right? Anything more than that, I mean, you feel the pain. Yeah, there's going to be some short-term pain, but obviously you're in positions hopefully that that you're going to be here for the long term. I I I think the when JP said that or when the analyst said that, I think they're referring to in the event that oil stays at these elevated prices or at the time when he the report came out at the elevated prices at 110 and above, Lord forbid if we get to 150, what that looks like. Yeah, there there could you could definitely see a pullback. Um, but I think you kind of you you alluded to it, Ian. Um, and I think that's the real issue. And I think you guys brought it up maybe a few weeks ago when we were talking about is AI a bubble or not? But the the private equity I think because at the time it was like there's a lot of these companies that aren't going to make money and there's a there's a deeper layer to it, right? Because inside of those companies not making money, there are private equity firms that are investing in them. Yep. And so what what we saw with Black Rockck, it wasn't an really that people couldn't get their money back. You had private and private equity firm um HPS corporate lending fund. They have billions of dollars invested in businesses and they said, "Look, we're watching these credit squeezes, right? We're watching these default swaps. We want to take some of our money off the table. The problem is they already reached their quota for the the quarter, so they couldn't take out anymore. So theoretically what it's like is like if we all said we're going to put our money together is going to be in charge of the money. We put the money out. Five months down the road I'm like look I need the money back. He's like well we put it in things we can't just sell and get the money. Like they're in homes they're in businesses. We got to liquidate some of those positions before we can pay you. Here's some for now and you got to wait for later. And so it feels like wait Black Rockck's not giving people their money. No businesses are invested and you just don't sell businesses one day and say I'm giving my money tomorrow. You could take the penalty for liquidation though. I know if it was us. Yeah, it would have been on the front of New York Times EY addresses would have been posted everything that they won't allow any liquidation. You could pay a penalty. It would have sucked. So I your assessment is correct. But I also think if investors want to leave a fund even though you have lock up periods they have enough capital to to pay the penalty and also negotiate for lesser than a smaller firm would be. You're spot on. The problem is what happens when a hundred of those firms come and say the same thing then you have an issue. So I think that that that's an area that we have to really watch and monitor, right? That watch these institutional firms, watch the funds that are trying to liquidate or trying to get capital. These default swaps are real. We're going to see what Oracle does tomorrow. Watch their credit default swap. We just talked Soft Bank, which is a huge investor. They now have a credit default swap and that's increasing. This is this is an area where if there's going to be some type of correction, I think that's what leads it. I don't think it'll be oil. I don't think it'll be Iran. I think it'll be the private equity credit market that really pushes us. Kind of like how we saw regional banks and what was that 23? Was that 23 or 24? Regional banks was the thing and it pulled back but it corrected itself. I feel like that area is something we got to definitely watch. And you also know there's something wrong because in the middle of the night they keep injecting billions of dollars into the repo market. Um, Carlile Group is down 25%, Apollo is down 39%, ARIS is down 42%, Blackstone is down 43, KKR is down 44. None of those are retail facing. Those are all institutional private equity firms. That [ __ ] is scary and it's not being talked about enough.
Yeah. H how do they get the money? Well, let's talk about let's talk about volatility. Uh last night the Dow was down 800 points in pre-market and then it closed uh up 250 points. So that's over a,000 point swing as far as from being down 800 to being up 250. So that's very volatile. Yeah. How can how can how can traders and investors take advantage of the volatility that we're seeing in the market? You won't like the answer, but stop chasing the volatility and you have nothing to worry about if you buy quality. Another thing, if you're not putting in work, like y'all run this year in terms of interviews and audience, I didn't know about none of them, right? They're just working. They're not like, "Yo, hey, guess what we about to do?" For my traders and investors, this is reminds me of 22. So, it is lockin season. If you're not putting in eight to 10 hours a day on charts, you can't chase these ramps. You have to hold for the long term. For my traders who are incredibly dedicated, one of my favorite targets I talked about at the mastermind is 523 points on the Dow and NASDAQ. But for 90% of people, you shouldn't chase the volatility. is going to lead to you being chopped as a result because if you don't have the acument and number of reps to be able to take advantage of it, you're they're going to use you for liquidity. And I know it's not the answer that you want, but sometimes safety is the best answer if you have not put in the work that allows you to get a lion share of profits. Like I see it all the time. I don't know how long you were in communication with her to get that interview, but I'm sure it didn't happen in two weeks. I've seen people try to interview people that you guys have interviewed and they're like, "Man, I ain't get an answer after three weeks." I'm like, "They've been talking to Magic for [ __ ] five years. It takes time. You want to be great at trading and you didn't listen the first time? Take 300 practice trades. Look at the market every day. Rain, sleep, hell, snow, break up. Somebody mad about your comments. Lock in." Okay? Then you can chase volatility. Until then, invest long-term into quality companies. A lot of you are getting chopped because you're chasing [ __ ] companies that don't have any real value. Where's all the talk about Quantum and SMCI? Shout out to everybody SMCI. But there was too much talk last year. You don't know about this one and the quantum stocks are going to take over. You just get keeping look at your account now. Rotate into the [ __ ] that matters and hold for a long term. I get tired of telling y'all, yo, hold. I know it's not fun, but you're going to chase this volatility and your broker is going to liquidate your [ __ ] account. Hold for the long term. I'll be the bad guy this year.
Even when they don't like your comments, huh? Don't matter. Don't matter. Now, I'm with you. I'm with you. And that's why it it's important to stress uh solid companies that you believe in, you understand, and that you're going to be in uh for a long term. Um we had a call today. Sh called me today and asked me a question and I was like I didn't even know you was invested in the company but I was like look this is why you prepare right and so you have I know some people use Fibonacci some people use support and resistance we see good companies shoot up when they start pulling back to different retracement levels this is an opportunity right either we're going to reinvest or we're going to say let it come down a little further and we'll get back in. So, if it was in options and I got 10 contracts, if it drops down to a price that I like, all right, I might add two to it if it's a strong company, right? We we talked about this at the mastermind when when we were talking about Microsoft. I'm like, look, how many days am I going to let it sit at it 400 day EMA? Am I just going to let it just sit there and then off and you're upset? Yep. Right. It was sitting at 393. I'm like, wait, we can't. It's actually trading below the 400 day. I think it was at like 4 400 at the time. I'm like, we're just going to let it sit here. We understand the story. We understand that this is going to be one of the top two or three top five for sure companies in the next five years and it's trading at this level. Well, why? And then when we break down the why, you understand it. I'm like, "Oh, okay. Yeah, we got to grab this." It hit us point. All right, let's go. Now, we've been over 400 for a week. Let's see if we can keep going. You got to figure out where the levels you're going to buy at. Volatility is tough. It's not Yeah. It It's not easy, right? Like when you have these swings, it it it feels like, "Oh my gosh, the world's coming to an end. My account's coming to an end. This is why we're not day trading. This is like what we've seen over the past three weeks is a day traders market. Absolutely. Now, for those of you that locked in, what a three weeks it's been. If you went to sleep Friday and you didn't pay attention Sunday, you wouldn't have felt any effects of it at all. You wouldn't have felt Yeah. We we sitting down. I'm watching the Dow. I think at one point I saw it down, 1100. I remember when the NAS when I went to sleep, the NASDAQ was down 756 points. I said, "Oh, we gonna have a lot to talk about tomorrow." And then 9:30 hits and I'm like, "Something something's different. Something's coming to an agreement with Iran. We make that call." It felt some something of the sorts. Um, so to watch what what transpired over the course of the day was pretty interesting. But yeah, it it stick to long-term investing, right? stick to solid companies, top tier companies that lead their sector or lead a niche in their sector. Stay with those. And your my last point, stop expecting rewards that you did not put in the work for. Everyone wants the crown and achievement or the bag. Do you want the long nights that comes with the bag in the championship though? Most don't. It takes a lot of work to get in these positions that you guys to be able to know it like the back of my hand. It takes a lot of work. It costs friendships. Unfortunately, it costs personal and romantic relationships. Unfortunately, lock in. The great part is though, it's an amazing feeling to be able to know where the market's going to go before most leaders do. Got to pick. You got either got to be all in or all out. So, but hopefully you'll be good.
Choice is yours. Yep. Um, let's talk. What were your thoughts? I see your mind turning. No, no. I want to go to the next topic because I want to make sure that we get we get enough time to cover everything. So, um, what are three ways to get rich during this war with Iran? I don't think the war, it's a great question. I don't think the war is going to last enough for anybody that's not inside of that administration to get rich from it. So, what should you have exposure to? Tech. If you want to go gas, Exxon Mobile, which has been a great pick for a long period of time. And then thirdly, index funds. That's it. Now, if you're outside of the market, real estate. But the thing about two tech index, I designed it to outstand any assassination attempts or completions, any war, any famine, any pandemics, any tenure droughts, any Ponzi scheme reveal, any reveal of asset eraser through circular investment, every scenario, the dinosaurs coming back, everything. Hold those. So you can add Exxon, you can add tech for sure, but unless you're in that administration, you're not going to get rich off Iran. You're not. Invest in gold. Invest in Bitcoin. You'll be good. Here's my big lesson for you. Regardless of what happens regime-wise, anywhere internationally, is your portfolio safe? The four stocks that I think are AR proof and warp proof. Costco, Walmart, Amgen, Eli Lilly, I don't care what happens in a foreign country, those four will be okay. The question is given your current configuration of what you have in your portfolio, will yours be fine? Like my phone was blowing up and I'm sure yours was like, "What do you think about the war? It's going to affect my uh my portfolio." I'm like, how would that war affect your portfolio if you constructed it properly? It shouldn't.
Yeah, I'm I was going to say the three ways I you took it. Uh I was going to say indexes and ETFs. And if you want to break it down to ETFs, then you can just take three ETFs and say there goes the basket of companies that I'm investing in. What which sectors? Technology for sure. I think utilities and industrials for sure. I I think those those will be safe bets um in this type of environment or any type of environment, right? We know that those things are always we're always going to need energy and we're always going to need infrastructure and technology is going to be the reason obviously with data centers now, but it's going to be the reason that that infrastructure and those utilities are going to be needed. Um so yeah, that that would be mine. That would be mine. I I hate the idea of getting rich during a war but those those sectors would would should be fine. But every but the whole point of a war is to get rich, but you have to be on the That's a great point. But this isn't 1990 where Hallebertton doesn't want like they're not going to allow you to know how to get in on those contracts. Even Palunteer shouldn't be beaten up the way that it is as a result. The point of a war is to get rich. I'm saying if you start a war, you you're you're starting a war to enrich to enrich yourself. Enrich yourselves. Cook on. Tell us more. You're right. Literally, that's literally the point of the reason. Yep. Yeah. So, so the whole point of war is to actually get rich. Well, and when the entire point is for the 1% of the 1%, they're not going to pass the riches on to the American people. Yeah. That's what I'm Yes. For the people in leadership that make those decisions. I'm just saying the who and specifically like for who to get rich. Well, cuz some people will and are going to. But we saw that today and we've seen that over the course of the first year of this administration have made a lot of money from propaganda and creating scenarios and creating environments where it's conducive for them to make money. But I don't think that's the overall theme for well, there's a there's a there's a there's a saying oatmeal is better than no meal. So yes, you're not you're not no m you're not you're not going to be able to benefit the same way that the the people in the government is going to be able to benefit obviously and I don't necessarily look at it as like benefiting from war but I do look at it as if you're an intelligent person and you see something you can't I don't think that it's morally corrupt to take advantage of something that you just see with your own two you know that this war is costing $800 million a day. That's almost a billion dollars a day. That's not even sustainable. So the do the US dollar is definitely going to get devalued even more because of the tremendous amount of debt that we continue to put ourselves in and we still haven't handled the burden that we already have financially. Gold is gonna gold is going to continue to go up. Bitcoin has at a certain point has to as well. It has no other option because it's a it's it's an alternative to the to the dollar and the dollar's future is not sustainable as far as the value. It's it already the dollar's designed to get devalued. That's that's how it's always got devalued. The gold standard. Yeah. It's accelerating even more. So I mean those are two things like I think if you're just looking at it from an objective standpoint you can say I think that in the next 10 years gold will be higher bitcoin will be higher this situation will just accelerate that even if it's not right now the effects will be felt in the near future and and in the future I mean you look at some defense stocks you look at some other like you I don't think it's necessarily a bad thing to make a financial gain from a unfortunate situation cuz it's going to happen regardless. Somebody's going to make money. Somebody gonna make money regardless. True. You could have said the same thing about slavery. I content opposition. Content opposition. Go ahead. I that it goes back to the the moral fabric of like are we morally investing? Uhhuh. I wouldn't necessarily compare it to slavery, but it's still the premise is morally investing you, right? Are you invested in a RTX knowing that they're using that to bomb civilians, a a child's a children's uh daycare or a preschool? Yeah. Are are you invested? I'm not in Palunteer. I'm not. I sold it for that. Wait. breakage. I didn't know that was coming. Hold on. But I sold I had Tesla, too. Like, just honest 100% transparency here. I sold it. Um, and I probably would have made a h 100,000 if I didn't. Yep. And I And like you got to wrestle with that, right? But the idea is like can you go make money somewhere else? And for me it was like, yeah, I can. I know I can. So, let me go make some money somewhere else. It's not a one for one correlation, but if we are bombing citizens who mean us no harm, you can see a threading of imperialism and racism for profit as a result. And the the part that sucks about capitalism, capitalism will make you turn down your emotions to see the financial gain to your benefit to then become one of the racist or imperialist because it'll benefit you and your family. The other part is I'm almost done for real. The other part is there are no clean companies in the Fortune 500. All of them have dirt because I think I think there's two ways to look at it. Yeah, there's there's a there's directly in investing in things that benefit destruction, like directly investing in in Palunteer. Then there's things that's just investing in things that don't necessarily directly benefit destruction, but will benefit because of the destruction. That's more against it. Like for instance, right? Like if you buy gold, you're not I don't think by buying gold you're supporting um bombings of children, but gold might benefit from that and illegal mining and things like that. So I think there's two ways to to still to benefit from the situation. You counter my boy Lord. But I mean, realistically, if Anthropic was a publicly traded company right now, I'd be investing in it. Now, Anthropic is being used by the United States government. Even still, even though they told him like, "Yo, we're not ready to, they're still using it." I still believe in the company. Obviously, Amazon's invested. Microsoft's invested. I use I've been using it for four years. Would I be I probably would to be honest with you, even knowing that the government was using it. It's t it's a tough dilemma to be honest with you. I mean, but they also stepped away and they were trying to put measures in check with the department of war at least as a heart there as opposed to Sam Alman. As soon as anthropic tried to get away, he ran to the breast of the department of war. So, pick me. Talk about pick Misha. Oh, what happened? Then you have someone that's a senior executive there. Exactly. Steps down. Those are the consequences. That's the those are the consequences. And then now you got to go back and apologize and say, "Hey, what they were saying is actually right." You know what I'm saying? Like he realized, "Wait, I look crazy out here." His app goes down in usership. Claude goes up to number one. There's consequences to it and the government's still using it. But now Claude is back at I mean, Anthropic is back at the table saying like, "Let's back at the table trying to exactly please. Can I get some of your war coins, sir? Don't take all my contracts. What the [ __ ] I thought you was anti-war. Like this is [ __ ] that drives me crazy. Yeah. But pay attention to All right. Good counter though. Hit the like button and share. We gonna get this though.
All right. So now we're going to get into it. um the price of oil over the well first last week at market Mondays uh Ian said that if if oil hits 9350 then you're going to start to see some turmoil in the stock market at that time it was 80 I think it was like $80 something like that at that time and then I think you said 110 $120 last night it got to $118 escalated very quickly um from it hovering around $90 during the daytime yesterday and uh it went to $118. Yeah. And then it dropped pretty drastically today and now it's around $86. So it's back under 90. So it was 90 went to went to almost 120. Yeah. Then dropped down to mid80s. The largest appreciation in the history of group happened last year. One of the fastest declines and it went negative. And this is also the largest disruption of crude ever in in world history. Yep. Um so Donald Trump said a few hours ago that the war is almost over. It's nearly done. like we've accomplished what we needed to accomplish, which I'm not actually sure what that means because you kill the Supreme Leader and his wife and his and his daughter-in-law and then they elect his son. So, I don't think that he's going to have a favorable view because you just killed his father, his mother, and his wife. So, if anything, you just getting and he's younger. The guy was 86 years old. So you're just getting a younger version of somebody that you just killed his parents and his wife. Yeah. And it gets extremely complicated when your ally in this this war says that if we don't choose the leader, we're not stopping. Well, Trump said the it's not it's not acceptable. He said it's not acceptable. But um that's amazing, man. So was this market manipulation allegedly? Was this market manipulation? Oh, okay. I I got you screen. Um, allegedly, allegedly legal. Allegedly, this is probably one of the greatest instances of market theatrics allegedly that I've ever seen for an asset as important as crude. Um, if you look at Qar, they ship 30% of their liqufied natural gas through the straight. Taiwan has 11 days of reserves left. like you pointed out, he's going to war almost for no reason, but we know the puppet master and puppeteer scenario here. I've been trading crew futures since 2015. It got so bad that Ninja called me Friday and said, "I know you're not. Just want to give you a heads up though. Leave crude alone for a couple days." I've never gotten a call from a rep at Ninja about anything contract related. That goes to tell you allegedly how bad this market is. Like I said, they've turned the crude market and the Dow and NASDAQ into a meme stock moment. And normally even for the the Dow and NASDAQ if for either one of them to be down 800 points and then in the American session float up 400 points you can see the market manipulation happening in real time. Like when I set that 9350 level it was like that's a warning. I didn't say that was the top. That's a warning level because once you get above 93 bucks to 110, the cost of goods, even in construction, drywall, any petroleum derivatives, the Lululemon pants that y'all love so much that are made from synthetic dyes and petroleum derivative products, it drives the price up. So, if we stayed there for two months, we would enter a deep correction territory. and he can't have a war on his jacket and a recession at the same time going into the midterm election. So allegedly, I have never seen this kind of price disparity in crude, natural gas, and such a quick turnaround. Normally, this move would take three or four months to happen, not 48 hours. But what do I know? I'm just a black man on the YouTube show. What do you guys think?
I I'm with you, man. I'm just a guy that watches the news, man. I called you both separately because I just, you know, sometimes in life you just come to a sort of a realization of what's happening and I I just wanted to bounce bounce the ideas of what I was thinking off off of two guys I respect. I called Shotty first and I told him, "Look, it's interesting, right? We're watching oil come down in price, but nothing's really changed, right? Like this is at this is at like 11:00." I'm like, "Yo, nothing's really changed, but we're watching this thing trade down." I'm just like, I don't even understand. like they're not they're not going to stop bombing. They're not the war's not over. This is again before any announcement happened in the afternoon. And I started to think I'm like we keep talking about oil and we keep talking about gas prices here. And I'm like well the United States doesn't rely on the Middle East for oil. 70 to 80% of our oil comes domestic. We got another percentage that comes from Canada, then Mexico. I think it's like less than 3% comes from the
From the Middle East. I'm like, "All right, yes, it's a global commodity." I'm like, "All right, I get that part, but who's really affected if this oil can't get through the Strait of Hormuz?" And I'm like, "Okay, well, let's look at that route."
20 million barrels a day. 84% of the oil that comes through the Strait of Hormuz goes to Asia, China, India, Japan, South Korea. 80% of the oil, uh, from India comes through the Strait, 40% comes from, uh, goes to China. So, I'm thinking to myself, all right, if the Strait is closed, allegedly, because later in the afternoon, we found out that it wasn't closed, well, what type of ships would go through, right? Would Chinese ships still be going through? And the answer is yes. Well, why would they go through? Because they're not at war with Iran. Right. In fact, they're the largest contributor to where the oil is going. So, this is, this is actually going to help them, right?
Then I started thinking like, well, why aren't other ships going through? And they're like, well, there's the threat of them actually getting bombed or some type of military action. And then you start thinking, is Iran going to attack a Chinese tanker? If you're at war with America and Israel, do you think it would be a smart move to again attack a tanker of the second largest world economy? That wouldn't make sense. And so, in my mind, I'm thinking that at all costs, they're going to make sure that this thing gets through safely. Who won't get through there safely? Obviously, anything that is a Western country. And so I'm just sitting here like, this is a lot to unpack.
Then you come to find out that, oh, wait, it's dropping even further. Well, what's happening? What's happening now? Oh, the war is almost over. Well, why? Because we can't afford to have the economies from the East, obviously Asia, right? How does that affect us? Number one, if it costs them more to travel to and from with exports and imports, the prices are going to be passed down to who? Us, right? And this is how you start looking from a global standpoint like, wait, how long can this volatility really last and who's going to benefit from it?
Then you dig even further and you start looking at futures markets, and this is when I called Ian. I'm like, "Tell me about the futures markets for the past couple days." You told me your information. I'm like, "Yo, you know what's happening in the options markets?" There was over three million calls that happened and they were all on the call side up to 100. That pullback was pretty hefty. Insane. So, somebody allegedly shorted that and here we are sitting at 85 at the close of business. Now, some people might have had a day contract. Some people could have had a weekly contract. But theoretically, the war isn't over. It hasn't been over. And at the time when these things were getting shorted, it was still pretty much, hey, bombs are going to continue. We're not going to stop until we approve of the leader that's going to be in place. We've decimated everything. We're going to decimate everything. All those signals were still there. And here we are trickling down. Trickling down. This is why when I said it's kind of crazy to think about war and making money, but like you said, somebody will make money. In fact, absolutely. Somebody made a lot of money today.
If you watch that price go up to 118 where it was this morning, right? And you had that, hey, I got I got the $100 oil, uh, crude contracts. And when you got to 931 and it was back at 97, you're sitting at like, what happened? No. That's a minute. Right. The options market doesn't open till 9:30. Yeah. It's it's a tough game, which is why I said last week, I don't touch oil. I don't go anywhere near oil. It's not my thing. If you do it, good luck, but be careful.
And lastly, the last three times that oil had these deep, uh, or sharp inclines was 2008, 2011, and 2022 when they wouldn't announce it was a recession. If we get to the 120s in oil, you have to. Well, Biden didn't. You have to sound the alarm that we are in recession, given the market that we're in. Go ahead, Shotty.
And I'm thinking that's why he wanted to end. That's why he wants to end it because it really makes no sense for us to get into a war with Iran anyway. And that's why Joe Biden didn't want to get into a war. That's why Obama, they've been pleading for America to get into a war. He just was the first one to actually just just take it. But, um, it makes no sense to get into a war with Iran. You're not going to be able to just do a regime change that quickly. If anything, you're just garnering more support for them domestically.
Because you bombing a school and then you lying about it. Like you bombed a school and killed 150 girls, and then get on national television and throw your defense secretary under the bus and put him on the spot and say, like, Iran did it, didn't they? And then he had enough common sense to say he didn't say anything. He had to go on 60 Minutes and say, "We're investigating it." When they got video footage of a Tomahawk missile bombing the school, yeah, um, bombing the school, so it's obvious, it's obvious that America did it. But you got the president of the United States saying that Iran did it. But they did the same thing in Gaza. That's the whole strategy. It's just like, if you can't convince somebody, the next thing to do is confuse them. Because if you have enough confusion, then it's like, "Oh, I didn't do it. He did it." No, they did it. It's like, it's like the Spider-Man meme. Everybody just starts pointing at each other and then and then you can just get anything through. But sad. It's not beneficial to America to go to war with Iran. They pose no threat to America. And we're spending $800 million a day on something that's not going to end ever. Never. It's never going to end.
So you've got to kind of have a way to kind of project some level of power and gracefully bow out if you're allowed to. But, um, it's not, it's not sustainable to spend a billion dollars a day on a war that has no end in sight. I think so, spot on. I think this is the gracefully bow out part. Like, hey, we've decimated them, just like we did in June, and it's over. Yeah. But is it really, right? When we can watch it? I think that's why media is so important, especially social media. Everything that you just said about the story when the New York Times reporter went and he actually found out the logistics of how this war is being handled, how Israel is striking the north of Iran, which is a country with 90 million people. I don't know how you have a regime. You think you're going to have a regime change in two weeks with 90 million people in the country. Israel is striking the north, the US is striking the south. Where's the school located in the south, which would automatically put us as a country that actually did the bombing? It's pretty ridiculous.
But overall, I started thinking as the day went on, I'm like, "Wait, is this the gracefully bow out part? Is this the part where we're like, 'All right, we've done the mission here. We're and we won't have people on the ground covering anymore. We're not going to send ground troops in.' They said that they're not sending the Turks in there, right? This is how can we get out of this without looking like we were defeated or we actually accomplished something when we really probably accomplished nothing."
And by the way, somebody said somebody said a billion dollars a day. Where'd you get that from? You could Google any reputable sources. You contribute reputable. Wall Street Journal, CNN, uh, NBC News, they all report the same thing. $890 a day. $890 billion. $890 million a day. Yes. It's not. It sounds crazy to you because you don't understand how things work. So to you, you're like, a billion dollars? Like it's like, oh, that's like that's a crazy amount of money. How much do you think it costs to have the whole military? The Marines. $890? I'm not just making that up. Google it. Put a put how much put $890 million a day. How much money does at least five sources is going to come up? It costs $890 million every single day.
And even, I was Ian, I was going to say our conversation ended with this and it's funny because we, you said it, it turned into a meme stock. We were like, who would have paid out all these contracts had it stayed at 115? Who would have paid out these contracts? Would this have been? Right. There wouldn't have been a Robin Hood to blame or Vlad to put the face of this thing. Who's paying out what's broken out? Because when you limit up this fast, limit up, it means to go up precipitously. So when you have a 25 or 30% jump, there's a lot of people who have made hundreds of thousands or millions and then as it drops fast, you got to pay a lot on. So the brokerages also are aware of the benefits of this of this as well. And what happened to drill baby drill? I thought gas was going to be underneath $2. Oil prices are up 60% in the last four months, which is a two-year high. Gas prices up 20% since December. 2025. And the other part why we can't afford this, 75% of job openings in finance are erased. We can't afford a war. We cannot afford a war. And just how much it costs per day. They also even had like a debt calculator for this war. We can't continue to add to the debt to GDP ratio being higher than what it is while there's no job market for up-and-coming adults. The education is breaking down. The dollar is being devalued. You have really 14 companies propping up the entire stock market. And even with that, if this investment circular investment does not work long term, the real thing that JP Morgan, that analysts won't say, but others at Barkley have, that'll lead to a 35% correction if AI isn't able to deliver on its promises. And if you're investing a hundred billion dollars at a time, how can you get a return of 3x or 5x? So much so Nvidia said or Jensen said, I'm not investing any more money into Anthropic or OpenAI. No. That's terrible. At this at this stage, at this stage. He, he. Have a god machine that knows all. Why wouldn't you endlessly pour money into the god machine? Well, did you see what he announced today? Well, we'll save that. I'll save that. Um, we'll save it. But, uh, so the president said that, uh, everybody will be very happy because he says he has a plan for the surge in oil prices as the conflict of the war continues in Iran. He says, "I have a plan for everything. I have a plan that everyone will be very happy with."
Truth Talks, I don't just be talking. I told you the price last week. I love you dearly. Send me your email and I'll put you in Stock Club. Clearly, you haven't got your financial goal of the year to think that I'm just talking. So send Tran Rashad your email and I can put you in Stock Club and bless you. I've been up my boy. I'm the truth talking. No, take it. Ain't no pause. Truth talking. Get up on you this week. What's up? Yo, Ian just be talking. No, my boy. Noodles, no packing. I'm not there. Shout out to You just be talking. Yo, no American Stock Club. And also, if you never want to have to worry about where the market is going to go, if you're being manipulated or to invest in oil or any stocks around the world, go to ianinvest.com and join our stock club. I am more loving and appreciative than I am right now. Back to you, TR Rashad. Join Stock Club. Yo. Yeah.
Will oil get to to to 200? Iran, that's they're saying that they're going to put pressure on the oil market and they're stopping shipping, but they're also bombing, allegedly. Who knows who's bombing who at this point? Like I said, it's the Spider-Man meme. Will oil get to $200 a barrel? I get the concern. Um, if you look at, so the all-time high for the stock USO was 953.36, that was in 2009. Um, if you look at the crude market, the all-time high was 147.27, that was in 2008. The probability of us going to 200 for any person who is in power is probably less than 300%. If 125 to 130 is a recession, 200 would be like that snap level to our fragile circular economy. Truce talks. So, no, there's less than a 3% chance of it happening, but if it does, your last concern will be futures, options, or stocks because that means we will be in severe depression. And there's a lot more levers in place now than 1929. Even Trump, as maniacal as he can be, he doesn't want to see oil at 170, 190, or definitely 200. It will send a signal for a lot of people to sell off everything, which will cause a complete collapse of the market as we know it and it probably take eight or nine years to recover. So, I don't think so. What do you guys think?
I think his team, as I like the word maniacal as they are, they know that they can't get to that level. They can't get there. Just from a domestic standpoint, from a political standpoint, you know, this isn't a midterm election, right? And they're approaching that area. If you have oil at those levels, you know that that is the now selling point that will get you out of position in the House and Senate. Um, and potentially, who knows? It'll be a new administration and it won't be from your party if it stays. They won't allow it to get to this level. But if it does, yeah, this is a catastrophe. That's a catastrophe. Yeah.
I mean, it just depends on how long he's he's um he's forced to stay in the war. Tell me more. If he's not able to leave then like after the fourth year. Well, hopefully we leave way before then, but. Okay. If he's not if he's not able to leave, if he's not able to leave, then it's going to not get better. If he isn't able to leave due to other forces, is that what you're talking about? Like our troops? We're alive. We're alive. Yeah. Our troops leave and there's still attacks on us. No, I'm saying if we're not able to leave the war. Okay. If we're not able if we're not able to get out of the war. Yeah, that's what I'm assuming, right? Let's say he says like, we're done, but they're like, "No, we're going to continue attack American interests." If we're not able to say that we're done. Okay, cuz he might just say it and we might not be done. Everybody answers to somebody. Hey, True Talks. Clip that up. Listen to what he's saying. He fits in. Nobody's bigger than the program. Well, you did say he's the exception, though. No, Trump. He's not the exception. He's barely a lieutenant. He's barely a lieutenant. Now, I know we can't say because we live, but he, he checks in all the time. Checks in all the time. The check in. No flies. Checks in all the time. What's up, big homie? Every time. What? I'm not gonna get this canceled. True talks. You see me on Good Morning America. I love you. Okay. But Senior Senior Drum, D R U M P F, his real name. He checks in every week. Yeah. The no. Okay. Yeah. Did you anybody answer somebody? That's a fact.
Um, is chasing oil after geopolitical spikes historically a losing trade once the initial panic fades? Yep. Don't panic. Don't chase if it's not in your blueprint. Like it's the same thing like with meme stocks for me. Like if you, you have a skill set to make money, if it's not in your core, leave it alone. Like you don't need to rotate to NFTs. And I want to be very honest with our audience. They'll make something hot. Like think about corporate America. They pushed us out of corporate America, forced us into entrepreneurship to chase these shiny other trinkets that become available like NFTs, like meme coins, etc. If you're not a proficient oil trader or a proficient natural gas trader, now is not the time to chase. This would be a good entry point to begin practicing, but it would be the same thing as me saying, "Okay, well, I see what you're doing. I'mma start a YouTube channel and think I'mma know the algorithm. Time to post headlines." Like it's a science behind that, right? It's the same science in different assets. And every asset has its own temperature, its own personality, and its own rhythm. That's why you have people that were on the floor. They were just bond traders. They traded crude. They traded wheat. They traded live cattle. It's too hard to master all. So yes, if you have not been practicing it, I wouldn't chase it now. And and you have a better return just investing and trading gold. Yeah, it's not for the faint of heart. And I'm saying I don't trade it because I actually tried to learn it. Like I was studying liquid natural gas. Uh, there was a company, uh, Polar GLNG, and, um, at the time, I think it was like $12. And I was like, you know what? Calls didn't go out too far. I saw the potential there. I sold, like, obviously energy is always going to be a story. I bought calls on it. The thing did not move. I promise you, the day I sold it, this is probably like March of '23. Uh-huh. The day I sold it, it went up like 10 cents. A month after that, it was up $5. And then it, now I think it's trading like in the 40s. I was just like, you know what? I can't get the rhythm. Then I would I did with Marathon and we actually, I did pretty well on Marathon. Um, and then I heard Warren Buffett talk about, um, uh, is it what was this? Oxy. Accidental oil. I looked at it. I'm just like, it's just too. I can't get it. I can't stick to what you know. I'm not trading Chevron. I'm not trading, uh, Exxon. None of them. It's just not my wheelhouse. Long term. But it's good to know that, too. That part is like, if you want to have a. That's really not what I do. I can sit here and tell you like, hey, this is not what I do. You want to talk about tech, you want to talk about semis, we can talk about that. You want to talk about energy, we can talk about that. Oil, not my real wheelhouse. Shout out to everybody that does it.
And then also, uh, do remember that Trump already lined up his next invasion with Cuba. Oh my god. So, he he already got that lined up already. So, once we, if we do leave Iran, we already, they might as well just send them straight to Cuba because he's already, he's already put that there. And, um, has already created a humanitarian crisis in Cuba as far as, Yep, stopped them from getting oil, got blackouts, they got sewage on the streets, kicked made all of these other countries, except for Spain. Spain, um, stood their ground. He told the president from Spain, "Sit the [ __ ] down." You see that? I couldn't read his lips, but he told him something and he said, "Trump is crazy." He definitely sat down like. Crazy. He said, "Sit the [ __ ] down." Trump is crazy. Well, he sat down. Trump is crazy. He, he moved like a person who knows they got a big homie or he's the big homie. No. Inferiority complex. A bully only bullies because they're getting bullied on a certain level. Yep. They're projecting. Most times. They've been hurt. Yes. Hurt people hurt people. Yeah. But we, they've talked about the histories of how. Well, well, you know what? That's another. But the president from Spain, he did. He definitely sat. He's definitely sat down, but at least they didn't kick out the doctors, unlike all of these other countries. Very disappointed in Jamaica. Very dis, very disapp. They sent support troops to Nelson Mandela. Like say what you want about Cuba, they've sent doctors all over the world and have helped when no other when no other country wanted to help. They would. And then as soon as America, as soon as America made the phone call, all these countries that they've helped for so long said, "I no longer know you." I just put on help and overrated and past a certain point outside of your close, close friends, family, allies, you won't get the help back that you give. It's a ratio to that. So, it's unfortunate. They're also afraid of the pushback if they give the help. I mean, I get it. They, you know, it's like nobody wants to be on the opposite side of America. Nobody wants to have. But it's like, damn, that's kind of tough. You could at least put up a fight. Well, sit down. At least try. At least try. Like, you know what I'm saying? They just threw him under the bus for like, first phone call. They didn't even get three phone calls. Yeah. It's tough. What can you do? What can you do? After Cuba, who do you think he attacks next, man? He's on a. He's on a rampage. I mean, he, he did the Cuba thing. He's doing the Cuba. He's going to do the Cuba thing. I think that was, they had a checklist of the countries and Cuba was the last one that I saw. They'll come up with something else. Figure something else out. Syria. That was. They already asked that one off. What? But I'm saying America is gonna get involved in that next, probably. Who knows? But. Oh, Africa. They already had a little. Nigerian thing. That was a little, a little thing, but they'll come up with some terrorist organization that they have to. They got the American ambassador to Nigeria, Nicki Minaj. Yeah. Barbs. I said I wouldn't say nothing about Nikki no more, so I'mma keep my promise, but it's it's hanging right there at the rim. Oh boy. Shout out to my Trinies. Trinity has another country that sold them out. All of these Caribbean countries sold them out. Shame. Should be. You should be ashamed because America told them what to do. Yeah. What's the point of being a leader if you can't if you can't even lead your own country? Yeah, you have no sovereignty. Like that's what Nelson Mandela. I respect Nelson Mandela when he came to America, he, he, he refused to denounce Yasser Arafat. He said, "Look, your enemy is not my enemy. I can't. What kind of what kind of leader would I be if I just denounce my friends that have helped me? I don't have to support them in that same way." But your enemy is not my enemy and we can still be friends. You believe that too in personal life or no? It depends. No. It depends. It depends on our relationship. Relationship. I feel you. If if we just casual, don't ask me to go to war. But if we ace. If we casual, no. Yeah. But if we, if we best of friends. Yeah. Y'all hear that? Anybody that got a problem, we got problems. Yeah, we're not gonna record you. Just so you know. Yo, they told me. Don't side me. Nah, but yeah, y'all saying it to the same person. Don't hit me on the two-way. Um, question for the audience. Somebody said MU. Is it time to invest in MU? I'm always invested in MU. You should be as well. I think when you listen to the episode on Thursday, this will definitely be a company that you you should have on the forefront, not just that as a company, but as a sector. Now, why is this important? MU is going to be reporting on the 18th. Uh, and so we're looking forward to that, but also this is how the Iran oil situation plays a factor inside the memory story because I told you where 84% of the oil goes, right? Those countries that I said it was Asia as a continent, but more specifically Japan, China, India, South Korea. And I intentionally said South Korea because if you look at the number one and two memory companies in the world, they exist on that country's land. That is Samsung, that's SK Hynix. If you watch their stock over the past couple of days, you're starting to see a decline in their stock. Why? That's because their plants are there, their fabs are there. The oil transit that's going to affect them on the bottom line. But company like Micron, which is American-made, this is why I said if they're going to make America great, find American companies that are great. Yeah. It is the American leader in the memory sector. Uh, they already have fabs that they're building throughout the country. Memory is going to be a story. In fact, one of the pieces of the conversation about Claude and OpenAI was that the idea that Claude will now let you bring your memory from another, uh, you can now import, which is incredible. So all the history that you have in another chat box, you can now bring to Claude, which is different. None of it works. Again, none of this works if it can't remember, if it can't take those prompts, give you feedback, learn from the feedback, none of it works. Memory is a story. Micron will always be a story. It's sitting here at where we're at right now. I think it was a three, 389.30. This is going to be a $400 stock before the year is out. I wouldn't be surprised if it gets to 500 before the year is out. Um, but we'll see what the geopolitical factors are. But I've been, we've been in Micron since 83. So we're long on Micron. Yeah. Uh, if those you want an entry, Stock Club, I won't give our entry prices are in Kajjabi. Um, but if it gets to 350, 190, that's a good entry point if you haven't had access to it yet. I agree though. They should be 400 soon and by summertime probably 442. So yeah, hold on for long term. Once again, if you're invested in great companies that are rooted here that have great fundamentals, great profit margin, you don't have to worry about the international triage that could happen. So yeah, we saw and we saw with all this going on today, I looked up and I'm watching Sanders up $61 and I'm watching Western Digital, Western Digital up $16. And obviously Micron had a pretty decent day too. That memory sector is, I mean, it's a vital piece of the AI story. TP. International too, every you're going to need it. So. Not just here. Also, invest. Go ahead. No. Okay. In this war though, what could cause a crash? Not Iran. Keep your eye on China. And if they decide to make a move on Taiwan, the diversion is what I'm worried about, especially if they think that's something that's already theirs. That's the linchpin that can cause a black swan event. Not that's not that's not it. Yeah, we can't put that out there, man. Even though they. I got. Somebody, somebody had said that actually. That's. So some people think that the US went to war with Iran because they want to weaken China. Then some people think that China has not interfered with this war because they want to weaken America and just let them bleed themselves dry and spend spend a billion dollars a day, create all kinds of domestic descent, which is currently happening. And then when they're at their weak point, take our. Take. What are you going to do? Have four world wars now? You now you what you gonna do? War with China while you still fighting Iran? Why you still threatening Cuba? Why you trying to hold together Venezuela while you trying to balance a budget? Like if China theoretically invaded Taiwan today, America's not in a position to do anything. We're in trouble. We're in trouble. The best thing sometimes is to be patient and sit in the bushes and let the little ops fight it out and then go attack. I think that matters. They're watching that very intently. I think that's a great point. I mean, of course they're watching. We haven't heard their thoughts on it, but who knows what if they're supplying materials to Iran? Right? I mean, allegedly, it could. How would we know? It would be in their best interest. You see what I'm saying? The other part is that yes, oil through the Strait of Hormuz is very important. The US may say, "Hey, we'll keep this open. We'll keep this safe so that you can get all of the crude that you need. Make sure that your tank is getting in there. We will protect safety in exchange for trying to, hey, we'll help this happen. Can you help us with the, you know, rare earth materials that you dominate the world in?" There might be a play there. I know that he's going to be meeting with the president of China on the 31st, so it'll be interesting to see what that meeting entails, what'll be at the forefront, and if we'll still be in this war by then. Who knows?
And we have a dying relationship with Europe that's not being talked about enough and their value in the world economy. Enemy is slowly shifting in terms of power. We have to be very careful not to make so many enemies that other countries are forced to run to China, which will strengthen BRICS while we're being weakened on most fronts. What, what do you think Europe's greatest? What do you think Europe's greatest asset is in terms of company? What is their greatest asset? Yeah, in terms of company. Like Africa. That's their greatest asset. Currently to this day. Still. Still. It's not funny, but that's a hell of a take. And you're right. I know you were talking publicly traded companies. I'm going publicly traded, but like that's the real. If we're going to be honest. Even even the publicly traded companies of value are sitting on the foundation of that what we're trying to solve. That's the. I think that's the root answer for sure. But is there a company? I mean, for me, it would be. I would think automatically ASML. That is the most important company on that continent. I don't. I'm trying to think if there's another one that I'm like, is SAP in in Europe? Them? Spotify? Spotify is number one. LVMH. Arguably, um, in terms of like global dominance, but it, in terms of like market movement, it's not. I would say SAP, ASML. Before they, they fell off. Before they fell apart. Yeah. Yeah. That's why I'm not joking. Africa. That's why look. Look at the church. All of these, like France. Oh my. Has been bleeding Africa dry for years and they still are. They still are. If they lost all of the revenue that they get from Africa, they, the European economy would collapse. Would collapse. Taking the raw materials and selling them back to the countries. They don't have any. They don't have any Fortune. How many Fortune 100 companies does Europe have of note? Like to be off the top of my head, maybe GSK is of value, ASML, LVMH, Novo, maybe Ro, but Ro not [ __ ] with most of the companies in the Russell 1000. So to your point, it's not like an AstraZeneca. I was, I was thinking AstraZeneca and I'm like, but it's all those would be okay tier companies in the Russell 1000. ASML and then Nestle, if you want to go into the history of that imperialism and racism as well. But there aren't many. The dividends definitely is from the illegal forfeiture of Africa. Yeah, I think. Yo, the crazy part is, I think we set them all. Spotify, L'Oreal's in the top 100. L'Oreal. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. I can't name 10. Be tough. Cold world. Cold world. That's a great point. And for those of you who don't know, the geopolitical backdrop of a country has a profound effect on how well the stocks and indexes of a country are going to perform. So for those of you like, why are you guys talking about this? If you don't like America, leave it. You clearly don't know how politics works. And I don't know. Okay? Just. If you don't love the country, then you might as well go ahead and leave. How? Bro, I'm doing better than you. Go back home. I don't hear that [ __ ] Stop. Respectfully. Go back home. What happened to Drill, baby drill? All them campaign promises he made. And I'm not. Yo, everything he said Kamala was going to do, he did. Everything she said he was going to do, he did. For sure. Not saying she a perfect candidate, but boy, when people get to. I keep saying whenever they project on you, oh, we're gonna be in war. Same with with Obama. Oh, he's a bad leader. He's going to have us in war with Iran. Here we are. Surprise. Here we are. We going to be winning so much you going to be tired of winning. Put it in chat. Do y'all feel like y'all winning at such an exorbitant amount that. Bro, 75% of finance jobs in the United States of America are going. I've talked to several recruiters. They're like, either they're not there or the candidates aren't qualified. It sucks. Yeah, we gave out that statistic last week. I think it was last week. We're saying, yes, it's tough for college graduates to get jobs, but even when they get them, they're not staying there more than a year, maybe six to eight months. The other, the new narrative that I'm hearing a lot is that yes, a lot of jobs are not hiring, but there are also a lot of jobs that are not firing. So, we're at this stagnation point. I'm like, hm. Is that the? Is that what we're going with? And most people have no incentive to stay longer than two or three years now anyway. Go ahead, Rashad. And one of the things that said was that AI is going to make everybody an entrepreneur by force. So sooner or later the job market is not even going to look the same how we traditionally think about it. Everybody's gonna be an entrepreneur. Even if you don't own a business, 1099 contractor and working for several different companies as like a freelance worker. The freelance economy. Yeah. No health, no health benefits. Get it on your own. And look at this. This is scary. Go ahead, Troy. No, I was just gonna say it, it's one of those conversations. We talk about healthcare, educate, all of it. Everything is going to change, but we got to prepare ourselves for it. Um, AI is forever. We're not fear-mongering. We're bringing you international news conveniently at your doorstep so you don't have to go through it. But if you have an issue with someone of my ilk saying it, a person of fair skin tone has said Brian Armstrong of Coinbase. Very soon there's going to be more AI agents than humans making transactions. They can't open a bank account, but they can't open the crypto market. He espouses. Not only will there be more robots than humans in the world, there will be more transactions done by AI than human beings by 2035. If I made you money, please put yes in chat. This is not fear. Just because you don't know it doesn't mean it's fear porn. The intellectual aptitude that you need when you put in them comments have to raise before you can criticize someone of our ilk. Me especially, respectfully. Give me an email and I'll put you in Stock Club and get you rich. Cuz clearly a lot of y'all who make them comments, you ain't hit that financial goal for 2026. My boy, I hit my [ __ ] January 9th. Rest in peace, big. Yo, rest in peace. That's a fact. Rest in peace, big. I don't got time this year. No, no, no. You following through. Yo, you know what's great is that in the middle of that, you thought to say, "Rest in peace, Big." Rest in peace to Big. Trap of all time on March 9th. Rest in peace, Big. Happy birthday to AZ. Happy birthday, Sos. Uh, is the market being propped up? Of course. Yes. Yes. Um, the market is permanently rigged to stay up. But with this, even if you look at the thesis of AI, it has to work for the American economy to be okay because there's no other big asset to invest in to make it rise. Um, even in that, if you take it, if the other side of it, I don't like the fear-mongering that maybe a Kiyosaki or Peter Schiff would do on this topic. But I do think too much money has been invested into the space without an explanation of how return is going to be given. So, is the market propped up? Yes. But is it for our benefit long term for it to be propped up? Yeah. What do you want it to be? Bread lines. Uh, even the inclusion of automatic investing, automatic indexing, that is a form of propping the market up as well. The alternative is we don't have as many deep drops as we used to have. Um, and a move like the one that happened on Friday, Sunday, and today in crude would have crippled most investors 15 years ago. So, is it propped up artificially? Yes. Yes. I'm with you. Yeah, it's. Yes. It made me think about and that, I mean, last week's episode was so important. This one is. Every episode is important, but I was remember I was like, yo, this is a resilient market. I don't even like the word resilient, but I feel when I listen to it, I'm like, maybe resilient is the word, but like that should technically [ __ ] the market. A war like that or going to. We should be saying like, what happened Sunday night and we were sitting next to each other at the game and I'm like, damn, down 00. I'm like, all right, well, it's going to be a rocky road. We're going into quadruple witching. It's it might be a rough March. And again, at 10:00, I'm like, you know, when you check your account and you think it's going to be down a little bit further than it actually is. I'm like, You're like, "This ain't that bad." Yeah, exactly. That's exactly what I said to myself. I'm like, "This ain't that bad. Hold on. Let me let me watch what's going on." But yeah, it's propped. Um, the circular economy thing, uh, I mean, it's definitely something we got to watch. I think tomorrow we should really be paying. And if you watch Market Mondays, I would pay attention to how Oracle reports tomorrow, uh, because I, I think they, they still are making revenue, uh, but the amount of debt that they have accrued or and plan to accrue will definitely affect future earnings. And I think if you want to look at future earnings, I think that's one of the metrics you should definitely pay attention to because if you invest in a company, you want to make sure that they're going to be making money in the future. When we talk about PE ratios now, people will look at it and say, like, hey, this is where we're at today, but that forward PE ratio is vitally important. So tomorrow is a big day for the circular economy theorist, where are we going to pay for this? Are they going to be able to make money to pay it back? And where are we headed? Is the demand still there? We saw Broadcom last week, we saw Nvidia a couple weeks before that. The demand seems to still be there. The idea now is again from some of the hyperscalers, how are you going to make money from it? And for some of the infrastructure companies, how are you going to make money to pay for it? What's the outlook for Eli Lilly?
No, Rashad, I got to ask you cuz you're the conservative one of the bunch and you got a crystal ball when it comes to that. Do you think that the market has propped up and let's say if you were starting from scratch and somebody gave you 500 grand, like, would now be a time to deploy or are you cautious about the future guidance of what the market looks like right now? The market is definitely rigged to stay up. Um, but the US economy is rigged to stay up. And then the global, the global economy is rigged to stay up. So everything is rigged to stay up, for sure. Um, the problem with the rigged to stay up thing is that everything is rigged to stay up until it's not rigged anymore. When do you think we have some turnover? That's the only problem. Um. Are you saying that? That's may happen. That's a valid question. It always does. Historically, if we just follow history, yeah, it always does. Empires fall because of. Empires don't usually fall because of external threats. They fall because of negligence, poor leadership, and infighting and overspending. Overspending and debt. That's how if you really study India, that's how India got conquered. India wasn't conquered through material might by the British. They were conquered by debt. The British Tea Company. So they came in and then they just started buying. They just, they was, you know what they did was they set up trading routes and, um, before you know it, it was just, it was one, then it was two, then it was five, then it was 10, then it was 12. And then the Indian economy became so weak because they owed the British so much money that they had no choice but to just surrender and Britain just took it over. It's a very interesting case study if you're interested in geopolitical history. But India was not forced to surrender. They were. And that's happened a few times in human history. I say that to say, doesn't it say in the Bible like the lender, the owner has the debt over the lender? Is that the is that the sentence? I'll take the paraphrase. I'm not mad. But I thought some debt is good and if you get the do that at the proper utilization rates and then you can then take the utilization. Bro, I hear you. So that that is an instrument of war economically. That's what Ray Dalio says. Ray Dalio, no matter how you feel about him, he is a good follow on Instagram. I will suggest that because he does make a lot of great Instagram posts and they're very.
digestible, and he's very bearish on the American empire. Some may say overly bearish, but he does make, he does bring good points. And so, yeah, it's not going to be sustainable. Hopefully, it doesn't fall apart tomorrow, please. Or the next 10 years. But there, there will come, there will come a point in time where the American empire will collapse, and it will be, and it will be from negligence, infighting, and debt.
Interesting thought, because if we unrig now, are we talking about the market, or are we talking about the, the economy? Well, as long as the economy is holding up, the market, once the economy falls, then the market falls. So then, and the government. So it's only so long that the government can continue to infuse money into the market when at some, so this is what happened in Greece. They couldn't, they couldn't, they couldn't put money in. In Cyprus, they couldn't, at a certain point in time, they could not start, they stopped putting money in. There was a rush on the banks. They shut the banks down. That happened in real time, in a quote-unquote first-world country.
Yeah. And also, to to that point, that I'm only asking that. Yeah. Yeah, we got, we should talk about the bond market and the treasuries yield and all that. But I, I'm asking that because, and this is part of the conversation that we had as well, is that we're living in an interesting time where the private market, private companies, well, some of them are publicly traded now, but the power that they have, it's when Anthropic has to, the government has to ask Anthropic, can we use your property? That leads to an interesting proposition where you're having private companies now dictating what the government can do. They, when you say ask, that's a sign of, that's a sign they, they didn't. Yeah, I think, not ask is not the word, but hey, we need to have full access to, to your product, right? We need to have it. We're demanding that we have it. We say no. How many companies, right? Because we don't know the companies of the future. What, how much power will they have? We don't, that's that's like a, well, they don't, a company can never have more power than the government. When you, the word ask is, it's a tricky word because Anthropic is going to end up doing a deal with the government because they, and we talked about that in the episode that's coming out on Thursday. But what we're seeing is the government intimidate and force companies to do things that they don't want to do. Want to do. That, that to me is extortion. That happens in quote-unquote communist and socialist. That happens, that happens in Russia. You, that's not supposed to happen in, in democratic countries. That's exactly what's happening. We're seeing, he told Netflix, "Fire, fire, fire Susan Rice, or face the consequences," because she just said something. She didn't even do anything. So I think when you talk about fascism and you talk about communism and you talk about socialism, everybody hates these words. But what we're living in is very similar to that. And governments will always have more control than companies. That's why in China, Jack Ma says something about the government, he disappears for 10 months. Yeah. He's the richest person in China, but he's not the most powerful person in China. Powerful person. And in America, the inmates run the asylum. And that's only because of the weakness of the economy. In the 1960s and '70s, the CEO of Ford couldn't tell the president, "Shit, you took orders." The reason why you have more tech CEOs, um, running quote-unquote Washington is because of the inverse nature of how the economy is going, and they need their influence, and it's a symbiotic relationship. But a good, a government that's run well economically, you would never have that.
Yeah, I think that's the point that, that I'm trying to say, like, there was a point where that wasn't the case. Do we see that intensifying over the next five as tech becomes more prevalent in our everyday life? How much power, quote-unquote, do they display? And does that hold the market up and the economy at the same time? I don't think they really have that much power. As far as they have a lot of power, but they, they all had to give Donald Trump a million dollars for his inauguration. The Washington Post, for the first time in modern history, did not endorse a candidate because Jeff Bezos didn't want to get on the bad side. Google settled a lawsuit for $200 million with Trump because he said that YouTube smeared his name. Like, he's put these companies in very, in very embarrassing, compromising situations. And not one of them have stood up to him. Not one, seven major tech companies have had open opposition to Donald Trump. And they're not going to.
So who's in control? Well, I'm saying like, that you, well, but over the masses, right? Like if we're talking about our population, Mark Zuckerberg, access to three billion accounts, right? Google, the large, today just got announced as the largest media company in the world. Power in that sense where they can control the minds of propaganda and of a population in that sense. But who's okay? But you're saying who's sending them the message, and who's telling them the propaganda to control? That's true. TikTok went out this week for two days. I have no clue. I, I don't even have an account. It did. Where that just came from? Somebody texted, of the algorithm. That's suspicious. They got figured out. US control. Now we got to call Larry. Somebody call Larry. The Vatican has an AI ethics council. Yes. This is something that we were told. Allegedly, we were told. Why does the Vatican have a, Rashad, Rashad, we can talk about, we can talk about BB. Yeah. He just want me to like, yo, bro, I'm just trying to feed the kids, man. Trying to feed the babies, man. The, that's the program. What the, the movie, the program? That's a good film. That was a great film. My boy was on Roy like crazy that summer, ain't it? The real steroids, and that was based on Florida State. Bobby Bowen, rest in peace. Yeah. What's the next topic? Eli was down. Lily was down. Lily was down. We saw Novo, uh, settle this lawsuit with him saying that they're not going to make any more fake drugs. Him went up by, uh, I think 6%. Novo is, it was trending positive today. Lily was positive. I mean, I, I think our consensus is, we, we still ride with Lily. What, what's your thoughts? Yeah, cuz just cuz Harold Miner had one good game in the offseason, don't mean Jordan, not Jordan. Um, uh, I, I like, if I'm, if I'm going to be fair, I like the idea of him. They are just in a category where you have some elite executives and elite infrastructure that's hard to beat. I know they gapped up. Um, I know they went from what was like 15 to 22. That's okay. I was just telling somebody this weekend, like, did that, you hold Lily for the last year? Like, no, I messed up, man. I'm thinking about getting the hims. I'm like, so you gonna make two dumbass decisions in one year? Like, why? No, I still like Lily more. The one that I like even more, Amgen, slept on. Tim Duncan dominant. Well, we gotta have a conversation about that Kobe era. Rest in peace to Kobe, but Tim dominated during that era and don't get enough love for the domination that he had during that time period. So, Lila, who you just got to throw that out there. Let's put my camera on hell. Let's talk about throw it on a topic list on Wednesday. I, I'll put my camera on. Blackout. Yeah, please. I would love to have that conversation. I'm a, I'm a Kobe guy. Me too. Rest in peace. Shout out to AJ Moyer. Love you, Julie. Um, but yeah, Lily is amazing. Amgen is amazing. I get the idea and premise of him. And if we were in a different economic environment, I probably would be pro it. Um, for me, I would have to wait till it got to like $11.13 before I would want to invest into it because the headwinds are too strong for Amgen and Lily as a result. Um, do I think they'll push up maybe to 33 bucks? Very good chance, but I'm not swapping them out for Lily. No. Um, no way, no how. Shout out to Rob Parker. I'm in a silly ass mood. What? Y'all said y'all want a pineapple black jagged leather all to come back. I'm back. I'm back. Yo, that was, uh, the pineapple was juice was, uh, that was, that was a great time. Great time. Shout out to Puerto Rico. Yeah, for sure. Oh, and if Lily gets a 97101, that'll be a good place to to enter if you go on a hold for a five-year period. What'd you say, Rashad? Is this a buying opportunity that we're seeing in the market right now, or do you think that, um, I think Lily, yes, but not yet. 971 is a, like, if you want a real entry, I would probably wait till 9. If I want to load the boat, I'll probably wait till like 911, 930. So if I want to, if I had like a spare million just under the couch, that's where I would put it. I gave the, the initial entry, like, if you are, can't be patient, 9303. If I want to load the boat, but that entry, um, of 97101, I do like a hell of a lot.
So, and what about the market just in general? Like, is this a, is this a moment, even though the market was up today? Mhm. Is this a moment where people should really, you know, get ready to put money into the market? Hell no. We, we have deeper drops coming as a result. And the number one thing that you have to remember is, and for an investing environment, is investors like safety. We aren't in the safest environment. We're talking about geopolitically. You have to factor in midterm year, how tough that can be. And if you have to ask a question, am I safe right now? You're not. So, we're going to have deeper drops, even from, from Microsoft, like I asked some people in stock club, like, is this drop as real, and are we going to go further? If Microsoft is going to potentially drop to 365, and they're a great company, one of the greatest American capital companies is publicly traded ever, top five for me all time. Other companies are gonna suffer as well. So, be patient. The great part is though, if you're patient and can wait, in two years from now, oh my god. Yeah. It's the financial discipline part. If you look at it, that's why I think having context is important. We haven't really dropped, like, we down like, one, 2%? Like 3%? 2%. Yeah. Yeah. So, like, a correction hasn't happened yet. But I heard an interesting, um, thought about maybe it's not an overall drop in the, in the indexes, right? It's not the S&P, it's not the Dow, not the NASDAQ, but more specifically sectors. So, software has had a correction, right? We, there's no denying that. Um, financials are in a drawdown right now, right? Like, maybe it's more niche to specific sectors that are going to have their moment. Even tech, right, is kind of consolidated. If we're talking about MA 7, where they haven't traded to the upside, even Nvidia, like, we, if you've watched this over the past, definitely month, you've seen it go to 174, 175 and pop right back up to 182. Like, it, it just keeps ranging in that same, and and again, that that's where the support is at, right? Like, we saw the resistance that hit at 212, uh, in October. It hasn't gotten back there, but it keeps hitting this support line and bouncing off of it. So, it's been consolidating. I feel like maybe it, it could be the way that this market looks because of the uncertainty, because of all the things we said, the midterm elections, um, potential future guidance for some of these companies, um, supply chain issues. Maybe it is more sector specific than it is overall market. So, there could be opportunities, but it might be niche.
And that's the great part about the indexes, and I always scream that if companies are underperforming in the indexes, they're going to just take them out. You see it with, I won't name any because I don't want you guys feel like I'm beating up on any particular companies, but they'll take five or six companies out. Hey, Mike Ryan, come over here. They'll get the best of the best and just put them in. So that's why some companies are down 15%, but the ES is only, or S&P is only down one and a half or 2%. They'll rotate the bad companies out really quick, as they should. We'll talk about rotation on a roster on Blackout Wednesday. But back to you, Troy, Rashad. Oh man. And then somebody said, um, we're still talking companies, right? It's dollar cost averaging out. Um, no, I don't think dollar cost averaging out. I think you, you know, the strategy is dollar cost averaging. You continue that. I think when we talk about like, to deploy money into the market, that's like lump sum. Yeah. Large amount. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. We haven't, this hasn't, we haven't had a pullback yet. No. We, yeah. These companies, and like you said, software is getting beat up, and the overall indexes haven't shifted down that much yet. That's another reason why you got to resolve this war because if this goes on for two or three months, boy, cyber, cyber security, another that has just gotten beaten down, Zscaler, uh, for, they've all gotten beaten down. Uh, there's going to be an interest. We, we should watch all these companies tomorrow, CrowdStrike, Salesforce, uh, Snowflake, uh, what Nvidia is going to announce, um, tomorrow, or probably over the next couple days. Um, they've given them an ultimatum. Please partner, or we're going to have, or die. Get down. Snowflake, I feel so bad for, cuz that has so much promise. Yeah. Peaked at 421 and, uh, or 2021. Told you guys it's 182.84. But like you said, like also being in their ecosystem, Nvidia probably is the first company that has the ability to be the greatest product maker and greatest venture firm at the same time. They're doing both. They, they are the Great Wall of China technologically. You're either going to have to partner with us, let us invest, or we'll figure out a way to neutralize you. Yeah. So they, they've, they've told Salesforce, Cisco, Adobe, and C, uh, CrowdStrike, uh, let's try to forge a partnership for their new agent, uh, open source platform. So let's see what happens. Denny off. Make that call. Mark, I love you dearly. You know, I love your Tony Robbins got caught. Make that call real quick. Um, we talked about this earlier, so I don't know if we want to talk about it again, but, um, the private equity financial crisis. Yeah, I think that, I think that's where it's at.
All right, so skipping right along. Should investors hedge aggressively because of global debt, war risk, and AI distribution? Wow. AI disrupt, AI disruption. So, yeah, should they hedge aggressively? And if they do, and they should hedge aggressively, what, what does that mean? Um, it's a great question, but the answer is opposite of what you think. The hedge for the crash is what we talked about, and being patient, buying the best companies at the best price. Too many people will say, "Okay, if we go into war, what stocks do I short?" I keep giving you four. Costco, Lily, Amgen, Walmart. Because I know some of you be like, "I'm tired of Tech 2X." Okay, Walmart, Amgen, Lily, Costco. But write this down. Buying at the best prices in the world is the hedge. You talked about it before. Like if you bought Bitcoin at 21,000, you don't care about any pullbacks or drops. Um, Rashad, I think you said it last week, the, the profit is made on where you buy the home, right? The same is true in assets. Some people are buying Snowflake at 415 and be like, "What you think? It's over." If you bought it at 118 instead, better investment. For those you bought Palantir at 8 and 13 bucks, better investment. So the hedge is to buy the best companies on earth at the best price. How do you find the best price? Great. You should ask 200-day EMA, 72 EMA, 400-period EMA will tell you where to buy. If you ever been to Investfest and seen me present, I've told you those are some levels that I love. Get your tickets to Investfest. If I made you money, please put yes in chat. My theme for this year though is listen the first time. I love you dearly. Back to you, Troy, Rashad.
No, you brought up a good point for sure because it's like you said, even if you, even if this stock market does go down 20 or 30%, like if you're up 60% then, or 200%. Yeah, you're, you're still up. I mean, you know, you got to have a certain point where you might say, "Okay, like, this is, I'm gonna draw a line in the sand here." But it's not the same. You don't really start to panic in your portfolio until you actually are negative. Yeah. So, as long as you're up, then you're not in a bad spot. Even if it's down, it might be opportunity to actually buy buy some more. But if you psychologically, if you see your negative, if you see your portfolio, your positions negative, then you start to have some level of a crisis. Don't, that's the key is to not have the crisis. It's tough, but that, that's what comes with the financial discipline. And we, we've seen that it's definitely in options. It's like, you got to have the emotional fortitude to know like, we're in a strong company. So, like you said, when, when we're in Micron, when it's, when it's $100 and it gets up to 440 and now we're back at 390, do we feel angst? Not really. Right. We're up 400 something percent. Right. But when you, you like you said, when you buy it at 430 thinking like it's going to 500's right there and now it's sitting at 3, then you, especially now you got an expiration date that you're, you're watching that that gets tricky. But if you're in strong companies, and I've had AMD, this is crazy. I've had it when it was $75. I've watched it go up to 139. I watched it come all the way back down to 85 and just said, "Yo, these are my shares. I'm not moving it long term." Not going to move. And and look, look, here we are, you know, trading over at over 200. Um, so you just got to be patient with it, but you got to have the discipline. And is the reason why we say every week, I feel like this year for sure, you have to go through these experiences. You got to know what it feels like to watch that happen. I, I like the idea like I take a picture of it just to like, yo, how did you feel on that day? Sometimes, you know, you scroll through your pictures and I'm like, damn, we was that negative that day? Or leave a voice note. Yep. What went wrong? All your best lessons going to come from your downs. Exactly. How, what did you learn from that day? How did you feel? Did you have angst? Right. Were you, were you a little bit more agitated? Were you short with people? Or were you just your normal self? Right. Then you start seeing the pattern like, hey, I'm, I'm getting used to this. I understand how this works. I understand how the market works. I understand this sector that I'm invested in. I understand the company I'm invested in. Everything changes. Everything changes after that. Lastly, some of y'all are trading too much. Market Mondays is for long-term. And I talked to a lot of you and you're like, well, these are my options first. These are my futures first. The foundation has to be long-term. You're panicked because you got a year for this to work out. For my futures trading, you may have 15 days left. Expiration is on the 20th for futures contracts. So, you're running into a truncated window of time before you lose $30,000 if it doesn't go in your favor. Well, if you gave yourself two years or a year and a half worth of workout on the stock, you would be a-ok. Okay. It should be an allocation of 20, 80% long-term, 20% maximum for your trades. If you're doing the inverse, you deserve to be broke. Get the book, "You Deserve to Be Rich" by Tron Rashad. You have to pay the penalty for not listening to the play. When, when Phil called, "Hey, triangle, if cool coach wasn't where he was supposed to be in that rotation, go sit down. Pay the penalty." Bill Wendington. A lot of y'all want, shout out to Bill Wington. A lot of y'all want to be stars without the work that come with being a star financially. How many times, well, I'mma trade up to get the capital and then I'm a long-term. No, you're not. No, you're not. You're right. Somebody, somebody said, "How do I find a, how do I find the up-and-coming companies to invest in?" Go to ChatGPT and say, "Hey, act as a world-class investor. Please tell me the 16 companies that have the highest probability of being the greatest companies over the next 10 years and give me what the Sortino ratio index is for that company based on sector." Hit enter. You've been, if you're, if you're typing that in the chat, that means you've been here. I don't know how many companies we said on this show for the past six years. I think this is episode. Congratulations, fellas. This is episode 300. This is episode 300. Yeah. 300. Yeah. Yeah. We're coming up on the six-year anniversary, I think in a few weeks. Like, think about how many companies have come through this dialogue in the past two to three years, five years. How many companies have many Nvidia and AMD before we even had Mark Mothers execute? Too, too many, too many. That's the next up. And we, we've talked about it. Get your tickets to Investfest, investfest.com. If you're going to enter the pitch competition, now is the time to enter the pitch competition. And it's on the website. If your, your company has, uh, any level of AI component built into it, it's AI-focused, not AI tech, tech in general, any level of tech, any level of tech. If, if your company has any level of tech component to it, you can enter the pitch competition. Go to investfest.com. The winner will win $125,000. Outside of that, if you're a vendor, if you want to get a vendor booth, get your vendor booth. If you want to get your ticket, VIP tickets will, we will have a black tie affair for VIP gala this year. Different location, um, black tie affair. It's going to be completely different than it was in the last five years. Completely different this year. Um, we got a lot, we got a lot planned. We're going to be talking about AI, invest. We're gonna be talking about stocks. We're gonna be talking about real estate, crypto. Um, man, you name it. Uh, we will, what we doing for Blackout Live though? We'll talk after. Got some ideas. I'll start working on my presentation and all that. Got you. And if you want to know how to invest and what companies will be new, it'll be all in the presentation. But Blackout Live. Blackout Live. Blackout Live. We've been having fun with Blackout Live. So, we got to figure it out. We got, we did Shannon Sharp one year. We did Kev on stage. Great conversations. Both of those was great conversations. So, we'll figure it out. Suited and booted. August 7th through August 9th. Yeah. Atlanta. Get your, get your hotel. It's on, it's on the website also the hotel, um, link. So, yeah, it's been real.
Any final words, Rashad, for the investor class here tonight? Uh, stay in it. Um, study all aspects of the economy. Absolutely. And, and the world, um, happenings because every, everything affects, it's a domino effect. One thing affects the next thing. So, um, definitely stay in tune with everything. Get as much information as you possibly can. That's important. Things are changing so quickly these days that, uh, yeah, it's only, it's only a few years left before this, this phase of how we know life is going to be completely different. Hello. Go, go, go, go, go. Talk to every construction worker you know, every barber, every stylist, every club promoter, every restaurateur. Ask them how their economy is going. You got to get data points from everywhere and then put them right back in ChatGPT. Upload that data and ask you the four you should invest in. Put in chat, I only need four. Stop being a stock [ __ ]. You can't handle 18 of them. Some of y'all be trying being a stock [ __ ]. It's over with. No, I don't care if you don't like the delivery or not. Tune out my boy. I, I'll send him a check for the AdSense differential. [ __ ] a stock [ __ ]. Yo, I got 66 futures trades. I'm doing eight MES and eight micro NASDAQ with the NASDAQ and I'm in the Uber car. Bro, pick four. Pick four. Yo, man. Y'all be good, man. Uh, shout out to our brothers. Uh, the whole Marathon team, man. They ran in the LA Marathon yesterday. Uh, they doing some incredible work. I know they had the, the Nipsey Hussle Square was named a few weeks ago. Uh, they had Stevie Wonder in Long Beach. They killing it, man. Nah, if you watch the dude grabbed his hand and brought it over. If you got, that's the play. I have some Blackout people that I know. Ste, we're talking Blackout. These dudes like, yo, with George, I know Sam was in there. Uh, they, you show when Hog Hogy tried to get out there and run. No. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. He was out there trying to run. They coming to town square too. But that, that marathon, that the LA marathon was a, was a, that was a hell of a. Did you see the finish? It's a lesson for everybody out there. Please. It's not over until it's over, and you got to secure the victory. Yeah. By all means necessary. Yes. Number one rule is to secure the victory. Sam said, um, he remembers Nip telling him, like, you know, the company is named The Marathon, but one day we got to run a marathon. And he looked at him like, nah, you out your mind, bro. I'm never running a marathon. And here he is running his third, which is no small feat. One is, is incredible with no training, really, just like, I'mma go run. Incredible, man. Shout out to the. Starts with the idea and determination and say, I'm going to do it. The plan, you'll figure out on the way as you start. For my investors, when you're like, I don't know what to do. I gave you what to start with. Just start. I don't know how to look at the market. Just look at the market every day. It'll start to click. It will start to click. Okay. Somebody have a watcher. Yeah. Aid watcher. You say that? Yeah. Go ahead. No. Avid watcher. Oh, yeah. Yeah. I said, "Please, please consider Patreon." H. University.com. Join Red.com. I'm good. A more in-depth private talk. Yeah, because if I do a Patreon, my [ __ ] gonna be like 6,000 a month. I'm not. No, do for 99 bucks. No. So they get on the review video. Ian must be struggling because the Patreon 999 a month. No, you can't win. Nope. Nope. 10 members only. Six. You ever go look at the people who used to criticize and see how in shambles they are and they got the little popcorn on the wall? This just me. Gotcha. Thank y'all for coming out. God bless. Good night. Hey yo, y'all have a good night. Y'all be good. The light bulbs extra yellow, my boy. I'll send you some LEDs. House look like good times. I feel you. Y'all changed. No, I didn't. I've been this crazy since day one. Shout out to Chicago, Indiana. Yeah. Yeah, boy. Got a spaces on that roof. My boy, I see you. Popcorn stealing. Yeah. These are just jokes. I'm trying to be more entertaining and bring more value to the dynamic outside of just the stock prices. Love you. Shout out again. Congratulations everybody that's involved in Market Mondays. 300 episodes is no small feat for any show to know that we've done 300 episodes. I mean, majority of them live and in person. The amount of information that's been given, the amount of lives that have been transformed, the amount of brokerage accounts that have appreciated. For sure. I mean, it's incredible. So congratulations to everybody. Mike Rich, all our guests who've appeared on the show. For sure. Um, this has been one of the, the, the most enjoyable times of, of life, definitely for me. Um, getting to learn and getting to teach every day. So, appreciate y'all. Shotty, Ian, appreciate y'all. Appreciate you too. Y'all be good, man. Love is love. I was at the Garden last week. Kind of got reminiscent when Harry Styles was in there. So was we. Not saying we should go back on tour, but touring. Maybe a little spot date. I don't want to do a tour, but maybe one popup. New York City. Maybe. Hammer State. Stay tuned. New York City. And you say New York City. Stay tuned. You know, you never know. You never know. You never know. It's warm out there, too. I'm always out there in the cold. I'm trying to see the spring action in Brooklyn and Wash Heights and Bronx. Noodle. No packet. So, who knows? Yo, who else for making this entertainer and informative? Yo, one of one. Shout out to UTA. Love you. Yo, your shout out today is yo all over the place. Yo, y'all be good. Love.