Transcription
Top 70 fantasy football rankings. Let's get this going.
Starting off with the S tier, Gibbs and Bejon should be the first two picks in any fantasy draft. I don't care if it's superflex. I don't care if it's a 10 team, 12 team, single flex, double flex, non-PR, full PPR, half PPR. These are the guys you are taking because they are absolutely bulletproof. Jir Gibbs, 24 years old. He's played three straight seasons of at least 15 games a year and back-to-back years with at least 21 points per game. And now you have no David McGomery. Bean Robinson, 24 years old. He has had three straight seasons of playing 17 games, back-to-back years with at least 20 points per contest. And now you have no Tyler Algier. The reason I would go Gibbs over Bejon is frankly the Lions offense better than the Atlanta Falcons. We're going to keep it that simple, but honestly, I wouldn't even fault you if you wanted to go Bejon at one.
Now, moving down to the A tier. These are just going to be the top end studs at the wide receiver position. Jamar Chase, stud. Go back two years ago. I made it to the Flock League playoffs. Got a buy as well. I didn't have really many talented players on my team. The only thing I got right is I drafted Jamar Chase. And yeah, he had 23.71 fantasy points per game. Now, of course, you can come through and you can say, "Well, Mason, why did he drop down this past year? I mean, this past year, he only averaged 19.6." It is incredibly simple to explain. Obviously, we have a bunch of tools on flockfantasy.com. Let's go ahead and let's pull up the player comparison tool and we'll do this live for you. Let's go ahead and let's throw in Jamar Chase. And what I want to do is I want to look at Jamar Chase over the past two years with and without Joe Burrow because obviously in games in which Joe Burrow plays, Jamar Chase is significantly better in than the games in which Burrow misses. He's played 25 games with Burrow over the past two years. And he's averaged 22.6 fantasy points per game and has been the wide receiver one during that stretch. The Bengals currently project to be a top five offense in the league. So it's very easy for us to say take Chase.
Um, Puka Nikua, absolute stud. Puka is the wide receiver one in points per game with 23 and a half this past season. The difference between Puka and Chase, there are two of them. One, Joe Burrow is in the prime of his career as well as Jamar Chase's. Matthew Stafford, on the other hand, while he's coming off an incredible season, is still already 38 years old, right? So, I am more concerned about Stafford than I would be of Burrow. And the second thing with this is Puganukua does have somewhat of an injury history. I mean, obviously missed a game this past year and then he only played 11 games in 2024, but I can't fault you for drafting Puganua over Chase because even in those games in which Burrow played with Chase, Puganu has still averaged more points per contest this past year.
And then going over and looking at Jackson Smith and Jigba, 24-year-old wide receiver, averaged 21 points per game this past season, has played 17 games every year of his NFL career. Now, what people are concerned about with JSN is the offensive coordinator change and this overall offense regressing. Now, while yes, the Seahawks should be a worse offense this year than they were last, they still project to be a top 10 offense in the league according to sports books. And honestly, that's something that you just have to go through and you have to take it face value because sports books know more than you do. They know more than I do. and it would be crazy to fade a wide receiver in the prime of his career coming off the type of season he just had.
Now, when we get down to the B tier, this is where your league settings are going to start to matter a lot more. Like, our first two players I want to discuss are going to be a Monroe St. Brown and Christian McCaffrey. Now, if you go through and if you look at my rankings in specific league formats, you may see that in some leagues, I'm going to go ahead. I'm going to prefer a Monroe St. Brown here. And in other leagues, I may prefer McCaffrey. Just to fill you in on what those leagues may be, let's go and let's pull up the draft sheets on flockfantasy.com. Um, we can see here in this league in which you only have one flex spot, there I'm taking the running backs like McCaffrey, Taylor, Genty over St. Brown. However, if you're in a league in which you play full PPR and double flexes, then I'm going to start moving these wide receivers up like St. Brown and CD Lamb. When you're valuing running backs versus wide receivers, wide receivers versus tight ends, quarterbacks versus tight ends, it really does matter what your exact league settings are, whether it's PPR, nonPPR, 10 team, 12 team, single flex, double flex. And of course, y'all know we have over 70 custom draft sheets available to you on fogfantasy.com. That way you can make the exact league adjustments that you need to for the platform that you are playing on and at the same time your exact league settings. That is included in the $34 flockfantasy.com season pass. On top of that, you'll get access to all your favorite creators on YouTube. You'll be getting weekly rankings and rest of season rankings throughout the entire season, plus access to the my teams page, the trade calculator, the whole nine yards. It's not $34 a month. It's literally $34 for the entire season. And if you use code flock when you sign up, you're also going to get free start set questions and trade questions that you can ask me in the live streams that I'm doing every night.
But with St. Brown, hard to find a wide receiver that's safer. Three straight seasons with at least finishing as a top five wide receiver in points per game and he's played five years and he's never played fewer than 16 games in his NFL career. McCaffrey, on the other hand, you can see seasons where he only played four games, seven games, three games. obviously extensive injury history. He's 30 years old. I mean, you want to say that he's coming off a season with 311 carries, 102 receptions, so over 400 touches, and we should be concerned, but at the same time, he just averaged 24 points per game this past season, so it's hard to fade him.
Now, as we go down, we are going to have Jonathan Taylor. With Taylor, like, look at what he did in weeks 1 through 10 here. I mean, I'll go through and I'll pull up that player comparison tool one more time for y'all because before his by-week, he was averaging 27 points per game and he was the number one player in fantasy and it wasn't even remotely close. Then, of course, after the buy, Daniel Jones goes down. This offense collapses and Jonathan Taylor falls to being a low-end RB2. Now, with that in mind, you're hoping this next season Daniel Jones is fully healthy, which looks to be the case at the start of camp and the Indianapolis Colts can get back to where they were at the beginning of the season. I am concerned with the Colts because their offensive line looks to be a little bit worse and again, Daniel Jones is coming off the torn, but if you're a believer in this Colts offense going back to being a top five unit, then Jonathan Taylor very easily could be an S tier running back yet again.
Now CD Lamb will be here at nine for us. The Dallas Cowboys currently project to score a ridiculous amount of points. Lamb had the high ankle sprain, which obviously derailed this past season for him. We can go back and we can see that he has a year with 23 points per game on his resume. Dak Prescott, one of the better quarterbacks in the NFL for fantasy production. Obviously, you can't have him in the A tier, though, because now all of a sudden, he does have to deal with George Pickins. But you can make an argument that Jamar Chase also has to deal with T. Higgins and Puka has to deal with Devonte Adams.
Now Justin Jefferson will be here at 10. Um Jefferson, you can sit here and laugh at his 2025 season and go, "Oh my gosh, he was the wide receiver 32 in points per game. How the hell can you go through and can you rank him here?" One, I think you can make a compelling argument that Justin Jefferson is the most talented wide receiver in the league. And two, with that as well, what we can do is just look at every other season that he's played with no JJ McCarthy and see that he has finished as a top five wide receiver in points per game. Let's just go through and pull up the player comparison on flockfantasy.com. Over the past three years, he's played 34 games without McCarthy. This is including games with Sam Darnold, Carson Wentz, Kirk, like you have a wide range of quarterbacks that he's played with. And he's averaged 18 points per game and it was the wide receiver six. Now, of course, the 10 games that he played with McCarthy, god awful. Some of the worst quarterback play that he's ever seen or the league's seen in the past few years, but this year should be Kyler Murray, and you're hoping to get a big bounce back.
Now, Ashen Genty at 11. Genty was an incredibly disappointing rookie, but go over to flockfantasy.com and look at his closest comp to his age 22 season. That was Todd Gurley. What did Gurley do the following year? He averaged 25 and a half points per game. How did Todd Gurley jump up to 25 and a half points per contest? Oh, it was very simple. You had a change with the coaching staff for the Rams, elevating the offense and saving Gurley's career, or at least that season. What is going on here with the Raiders? Well, one, they improve the quarterback play dramatically, going from Gino Smith to eventually Mendoza. Cousins will start a few games. Two, they significantly invest into the offensive line, bringing in possibly the league's best center. and three, they probably have the biggest improvement in their coaching room in the entire league. So, those three pillars currently, if you look at sportsbook data, actually have the Las Vegas Raiders offense improving more than any other offense in the league year-over-year, but they're still supposed to be a below average offense, just not nearly as bad as they were.
Now, James Cook going to be our next running back. The Buffalo Bills project to be a top five offense yet again. James Cook, what we are really worried about last year was the rushing touchdown regression. And that did happen. He went from averaging one rushing touchdown per game down to 0.7. But frankly, it didn't matter because he had five additional carries per game. He had a career-high 95 rushing yards per contest. And then at this point, we can just say he's in the prime of his career, running behind one of the better offensive lines in the league with possibly the best quarterback play in the league. And it doesn't even matter if the rushing touchdowns go down because he has the rushing volume. very safe round one pick.
Now, moving down to our next tier, let's go with Amari and Hampton. Now, Hampton, it seems aggressive to be ranking here at 13. When he finishes the running back 13 in points per game last season, but let's go through and let's look at that how that happened because the first two weeks, obviously, he does absolutely nothing. Then, in weeks three and four, he has a massive breakout. He had 80% of the snaps for the Chargers in week three and against a very good Denver Broncos defense, he was a top five running back. in week four, 89% of the snaps. This is prime Christian McCaffrey level workhorse. Then he gets injured in week five. Week 14, he comes back. Clearly, he's not 100% and they ramp him back from 31% to 37% to 56% to 81% of snaps. So, we have seen the Chargers want to make him a true workhorse running back. What happened his rookie season is he got injured. Not only did he get injured, but also the Chargers had the worst offensive line in the league with both their tackles going down. And if you look at current offensive line projections for this next season with the tackles back with the interior investment they made into the offensive line, the Chargers project to be a bottom 10 offensive line this season, which means Amari Hampton is set up to absolutely crush. And I think that he is a massive, massive breakout candidate this year. And honestly, if I'm drafting in the flock league and I can go like Genty, Amari, and Hampton at the one-two turn, while it would have been horrible last year, I think things could be a hell of a lot better this year.
Devon Han will be our next player. Han's been one of my most drafted players in underdog draft specifically. Um, but that's cuz he's so damn cheap there and you can get him in late round two. I fully want to acknowledge the risk with Devon Achan, right? This is going to be a garbage offense. Questionable offensive line, new coaching staff. Malik Willis not going to check the ball down very often. So, there are a ridiculous amount of red flags that we have. But also, this is the same running back that's 24 years old that has had three straight seasons finishing as a mid to high-end RB1 and he's coming off a year where he averaged 20 points per game. If you didn't have these red flags with Devon Achan, do you know where he would be ranked? Oh, he would be an S tier level running back with Gibbs and Bejan. He has no competition whatsoever in his backfield. So, he's going to have the workload. The main concern again is this offense being the worst offense in the league. And Malik Willis going to run the ball. Maybe the checkdown rate being low.
Chase Brown, our next running back with Chase Brown. Last season, the running back seven points per game. The year prior, the running back 14. This doesn't tell the whole story, though, because go back and look at what happened in 2024. 2024, we didn't really get the breakout until week nine, right? Week nine, massive breakout. He turns into a league winner. Early in the season, he just simply wasn't getting used much. Like the first three weeks, 20% of the snaps, 24% of the snaps, 33% of the snaps. So Jace Brown broke out onto the scene as a true featured down three-down running back halfway through 2024, turned into a league winner. he was going to be just that in 2025. And then very similar to how Jamar Chase may be disappointed, um, so did Chase Brown. And it was strictly due to the Joe Burrow injury. If we go through and look at Chase Brown with and without Joe Burrow this past year, he played nine games with no Burrow, he was the running back 18. The eight games he played with Burrow, he was a top three back. Now, the offensive line's supposed to be pretty bad in Cincinnati, so I will acknowledge that. And also to be honest, I don't think he's as talented as Devon Chan is. I don't think he's as talented as Ginty, Taylor, McAffrey, Gibbs, Bejan, but the situation's great. He's produced in this same situation. So, I think Chase Brown very easy pick to make at the top of the second round.
Saquon Barkley, great offensive line. Offense, in my opinion, should be much better than where it was last year with the change with the offensive coordinator. The efficiency did fall off a cliff though for Barkley. He fell from 5.8 rushing yards per attempt down to 4.1 year-over-year. And as somebody who had Saquon Barkley on his team last year, y'all know in the Flock League, yet again, I finished as the top two team. Yet again, I got a buy. Saquon Barkley didn't really help me with that. He was super frustrating all season. And what sucked is like you're looking at Barkley and it's like okay well if they get down to the goal line if it's a first and goal from the one it's going to be a Jaylen Herz rushing touchdown. So really the only path to touchdowns for Barkley is going to be those big plays and Barkley seeing the drop off in efficiency and the fact that he's about to turn 30 years old does concern me a bit and maybe the big plays are going to fall off.
Now Kenneth Walker our next guy. Now, I understand everybody is over the moon regarding Kenneth Walker this next season in Kansas City. I would easily draft Barkley, Chase Brown, A Chant, Anabari, and Hampton over him. Well, yes, the Kansas City Chiefs, great landing spot. Walker is the best running back that they've had in years. He had a ton of explosive runs in Seattle this past season. And at the same time, we can go through and we can say, um, you have no competition in this backfield, whereas of last year, you had to deal with Zack Charbanet. To be fair, Kenneth Walker was the running back 29 in points per game last season. In an offense that scored more points per game than the Kansas City Chiefs are going to this year, the Seattle Seahawks were the best offense in the league when it came to efficiency. Walker was a mid running back three. And now, if you want to draft them, you have to take him in the second round. Hell, in underdog drafts, this dude goes over to Von Aan. So, I haven't drafted much of them. I will say if we're looking at the ADP consensus cheat sheets on flockfantasy.com um there Kenneth Walker is a little bit more appealing like as of now Kenneth Walker is pick 23 on Sleeper 22 on ESPN 15 on Yahoo 15 underdog. So I would say if you're in an underdog draft I'm probably not taking him. If you're a Yahoo draft I'm not taking him. But if you can get him at the two three turn in your ESPN league makes a ton of sense.
Now Drake London will be our next guy with London. Yes, he got injured last season, only played 12 games, but he was a monster in the games that he's played in back-to-back seasons with over 16 and a half points per game. And while you can make an argument, hey, this offense is going to be really bad in Atlanta, frankly, I don't know how much that matters because the Atlanta Falcons offense was already a train wreck last year and Drake London simply has no target competition whatsoever. though. I'm fine drafting Drake London in round two. If the offense was great, right, then I think you could make an argument that he would be an A tier or a Btier wide receiver. But with the offense being really bad, I would need to get him in the second, not the first.
Now Dererick Henry will be our next guy. If you are going through and making the adjustments to your exact league settings, again, I will pull up the draft sheets on flockfantasy.com. Let me show you where I have Dererick Henry ranked. If you are playing in a nonPPR format, if you look at my draft sheets right now for a nonPPR league, I am going to have Derrick Henry at three overall. Wild, wild discrepancy. These rankings are going to be for a full PPR league where every single player that we've discussed so far will have more receptions than Derrick Henry. And I'm just worried that the ceiling isn't going to be there when he doesn't catch the ball at all. And the floor is going to be pretty low as well. Again, he averaged 16 points per game this past season, but he's about to turn 33 years old. And all of that production, look at all these weeks. All these weeks were garbage throughout the um season. It was literally just this one game in which the Baltimore Ravens had Tyler Huntley starting and they were going up against Malik Willis. So, full PPR format, I'm lower on Derrick Henry, but obviously if you're using our draft sheets, you'll see in a half PPR, nonPPR there, we're higher on them.
Then going over to AJ Brown, I am a little concerned with the fall-off that we had from Brown from an efficiency perspective. The first time in his entire NFL career, he averaged fewer than 2.5 yards per route run. He was down at 2.1. Um the yards per target went down significantly. Like he was still being fed the ball, but it just wasn't that efficient. If we look at the New England Patriots offense right now, they're projected out score significantly fewer points this year than they did last. Obviously, I'd say they have a more talented football team with the addition of AJ Brown. The difficult part about it though is just the schedule is going to be so much worse. So, I think the Patriots regress. Obviously, a much better setup for AJ Brown this season with Drake May in comparison to Jaylen Herz, but also last year he finished with 14.6 fantasy points per game. So, um for him to return value in the second round, he is going to have to be significantly better than he was.
Now, let's go over to D tier. We're going to have Brock Bowers here. Again, I want you all to reference the draft sheets to see how you should be valuing the elite tight ends in your specific format. Like, if you go through and look at the draft sheets right now, in a 12 team single flex league, I may have Brock Bowers here at 15. However, if you don't have to start a tight end, I know some people play in leagues where that tight end spot is optional, right? It'll be like a wide receiver tight end flex. There, I'll move Brock Bowers all the way down to 28. Um, however, maybe you play in a tight end premium format, then we're going to go ahead and move Brock Bowers up to pick eight overall. Or again, if you play in an eight team league here, you could actually see Bowowers also get slid up from pick 15 to pick 11. So, all across the board, it's going to come down to your exact league settings and how you should be valuing these elite tight ends. The fewer starting lineup spots that you have, the less depth at the wide receiver position is going to matter and the more I'm going to be willing to push up these elite tight ends. I am making these rankings under the assumption it's a 12 team PPR double flex format, which is what I play in in the flock league. But make your adjustments moving Bowers up if you play in a single flex or a 10 team or especially an eight team league. Dude's an absolute stud in the worst offense in the league last year. He's the titan two in points per game, including playing some of these games when he was very clearly injured in weeks 2, three, and four. Now that this is going to be the most improved offense in the league and he has zero target competition. Uh frankly Bowers could outscore like Drake London, AJ Brown and you get those points at tight ends.
Now Nico Collins will be our next name. If we are looking at Nico Collins it's just picture perfect consistency. Three straight seasons with at least a top 10 finish from a per game perspective. Nothing really changes with the Houston Texans this year. Don't see why Nico should change at all.
Malik Neighbors has been one of the biggest risers throughout training camp. Now, obviously, I'm going to continue to live stream every single night giving y'all training camp updates and updating the rankings on flockfantasy.com as well. As of today, this is where I'm ranking neighbors. But, this very easily could end up being a wide receiver that is as high as 13 in my rankings if he does truly look like he's 100% going into the season. But if we get some negative injury reports with Neighbors over the coming weeks, I could see dropping him down to the E tier. So, to be determined with the Malik Neighbors ranking, but this will be one to watch out for.
Jeremiah Love will be our next guy. Now, I understand every report coming out of Arizona is, "Oh, Alier and James Connor are going to be at a committee with Jeremiah Love." I don't buy it. I don't care about it every single season. What do these teams do? They hype up the veterans. They give them their due. and they make the rookies earn it. If they believed that James Connor and Tyler Algier would be the starting running backs, they would have never drafted Jeremiah Love with the third overall pick. People are terrified of this offense and mainly that he's going to turn out to give you the same rookie season that Ashton Genty did, the same rookie season that Bejian Robinson did because those guys were horrible, horrible bust in their rookie years. But I want to remind you those guys were being selected in the first round of fantasy drafts as rookies where Jeremiah Love you can get at the end of the second or the beginning of the third.
Now Trey McBride our next guy with McBride he is going to be much worse this year than he was last. It a monkey could tell you that right last year he averaged 18.6 fantasy points per game. For reference to see how exciting that is AJ Brown averaged 14.6. Trey McBride was like over 20% better from a points per game perspective than AJ Brown last season. Now, of course, I'm making these rankings with projections going into the future. We would assume that AJ Brown's better getting to play with Drake May as opposed to Jaylen Herz. And Trey McBride's going to regress for a couple reasons. One, we are hopefully not going to have the Arizona Cardinals playing in garbage time by the time you get to the second quarter. Two, hopefully the Arizona Cardinals don't see every single running back on their depth chart get injured and all of a sudden have to completely abandon the run. And three, we probably don't see Marvin Harrison get injured, boosting up the respective target share of Trey McBride.
Now George Pickins will be our next guy. George Pickkins also probably going to get worse year-over-year because here he was the wide receiver six averaging over 17 points per game last season. Big reason was you had the CD Lamb injury. CDLM missing time vaulted up George Pigginson being the best wide receiver in fantasy during that stretch and again based on the large samples that we have of their respective careers. I am banking on CD Lamb being the wide receiver one for this Dallas Cowboys offense but it should be one of the best offenses in the league. So it should be able to support two wide receivers.
And then Rasheed Rice will be our last option here. He's out there catching balls from Patrick Mahomes at camp right now. He's not running at 100% speed or at least it definitely doesn't look like that at this point. He's still obviously rehabbing from that knee surgery he had earlier in the offseason. I mean, obviously went to jail earlier in the offseason. So, very similar to Malik Neighbors. Rasheed Rice could move up these rankings in a big-time way in the coming weeks.
Now, let's move over to E tier. This is where things begin to get a little bit more flat. Um, Dvont Smith will be our next name. With Dvont Smith, I would expect him to take a big leap forward with no AJ Brown. And at the same time, again, we are expecting this to be a much better offense with the change with the offensive coordinator. Now, with that being said, they did add in Eli Sters and Mai Lemon, two um pass catchers their rookie season. That should see volume. And we've never seen Devonte Smith finish higher than like the wide receiver 13 in points per game. So, I do want to point out that we haven't seen the elite volume, the elite production at the NFL level before for him. He's a little bit undersized, known as the Slim Reaper, but he did put up one of the best collegiate wide receiver seasons of all time.
Now Bree Hall, our next guy with Bree Hall, from a pure talent perspective, I would make an argument that he is a more talented running back than like Chase Brown. The issue is he's on the New York Jets, so it doesn't necessarily matter how great your individual talent is. The New York Jets project to be a bottom five offense in the league. though what's going for him though is there's very little competition in that backfield.
Chris Lave will be our next guy. Just signed the extension. Massive leap forward last season finishing as the wide receiver eight with almost 17 points per game. But I do want to remind y'all um there are very real concerns regarding the concussion history for Chris L. And he gets one big hit to the head and he could be missing an extended period of time.
Kairen Williams, our next guy. Kairen Williams historically has been the three-own workhorse for the Rams, seeing 88% of the snaps in 2024. That did fall down to 70% of the snaps this past season, as they did work Blake Cororm in um a little bit late in the season. The concern for Kairen in my mind isn't that Blake Cororm takes over as the starter. The concern would be that maybe Blake Cororm gets a little bit more goal line usage like we saw at the end of last year.
Now Javvante Williams, our next guy, the Dallas Cowboys project to be an incredible offense. Javvante has no additional competition for touches coming into this backfield. Pretty boring pick. Like, I don't think he has the ceiling to win fantasy leagues just cuz I don't think he's that type of player, but he's in the perfect situation.
Tiggins will be our next guy. With Tigens, very similar to George Pickins. We can sit here and we could say, "Oh, okay. Second field to Jamar Chase." But the Cincinnati Bengals very easily could lead the NFL in both passing yards, passing attempts, and passing touchdowns. And if that happens, like we can go back and look two years ago, Tiggins averaged 18 and a half fantasy points per game and was the wide receiver six. Now, Higgins can never stay healthy himself. And obviously, you have the Burrow injury concerns.
Josh Allen will be our next name. I want to point y'all back to the draft sheets. If you are playing in a 10 team league where you only start two wide receivers and one flex, you will see on the draft sheets Josh Allen is higher in these rankings because there it's more of an advantage to get the elite onesie like your tight end, like your quarterback because you don't have to go as deep at the wide receiver or running back position. However, if you're in a 12 team format with multiple flex spots, it's going to probably be a little bit more important to get your running backs and wide receivers early, which would mean you can push Josh Allen down the board.
Josh Jacobs will be our next name. Jacobs, the big concern will be what does it look like from a legal standpoint for him. I actually had Jacobs in the Flock League last year. I mean, he was probably the textbook definition of why it was one of the best teams in the regular season earning a buy in the playoffs. And then his 4.8 8 fantasy points in week 16. Definitely put the nail in my coffin and had no way of me winning. But if y'all go back and remember, why did these weeks tank his season in weeks 16 and 17? Oh, it was cuz he was injured. He should have sat out. He should have just let Emanuel Wilson be the starting running back. But the dude thought he needed to suit up and prove that he was Mr. tough guy, ending my fantasy season early and also making his fantasy statistics look a little bit worse than they actually were.
Um, Zay Flowers will be the next wide receiver. There was a little mini Z Flowers breakout last year, 14.3 fantasy points per game. Very similar to Derrick Henry though, like most of the season he didn't do much, but 28 points in week one and then 29.8 points in week 18. So, bookend with massive games.
Travis ETN here at 37. With ETN, I think you have to say it's a worse situation going from the Jacksonville Jaguars where he really had no competition to the New Orleans Saints. And if we go through and if we look at how many points the Jags scored last season in comparison to what the projections currently are for the Saints, it's a safe thing to say that he's going to be in a much worse offense. The Jacksonville Jaguars averaged 27.9 points per game last season. Right now, the Saints are projected to score 21.6. So, you should see about a touchdown per game less in the offense that ETN plays in this year than he did last. And at the same time, you do have some competition with Kamara where it wouldn't be the biggest surprise in the world if they use Kamara as the receiving back.
Now, moving down to our next tier, Tedoya McMillan's going to lead us off. I love McMillan. I have drafted this dude nonstop in the fourth round of underdog drafts. I would say he's like a discount Drake London because what's going to be keeping his cost suppressed is the fact that it's a garbage offense in Carolina, but he can see a 30% team target share because he is an absolute stud himself and you really don't have much target competition. Now, Lad Mcconkey will be our next name. Now, y'all know we printed money last year by fading Lad and instead going aggressively after Quinton Johnston, making Johnson our most drafted player. And what was funny enough was Johnston actually outproduced Lad Mani. If you throw these two guys side by side, which give me one second and I'll do this on the player comparison tool on the site for y'all. Yep, you can see the big Q 12.2 fantasy points per game in comparison to Lad Mani at 11.3. But now you have no Keenan Allen and the overall offense should be much better with the improvement to the offensive line as well as the coaching staff. So I think Lad's probably the better player between the two. I think both get a jump this season, but I would be more excited about Lad's jump because of the departure of Keenan Allen.
Now Garrett Wilson will be our next guy with Wilson. Unbelievable talent. Like, he finished with 14 fantasy points per game over the past two seasons. I know a lot of people are extremely excited about um the change away from Justin Fields, but again, it's still the New York Jets. If you go ahead and look at what sports books are putting out, this still projects to be a bottom five offense in the league. So, it's tough for me to get too too excited.
Now, going over to 41, we are going to have a buuka. With a buuka, I've never seen anything like this, and I don't know what to make of it. You go through and you look at the first five games of his NFL career. He was on pace to look like a Justin Jefferson level rookie, a Jamar Chase level rookie. one of the best wide receivers in the league. And then everything fell off. In the first five weeks of his NFL career, he was the wide receiver three in points per game. Week six through 18, the wide receiver 56. I will lean back on he was a damn good prospect coming out of Ohio State. Baker Mayfield had injuries. This offensive line had injuries halfway through the year. Ibuka himself got injured in week six and I thought he was going to miss a decent amount of time and it just played right through it. So maybe that was the reason, but it's a concern nonetheless.
Then Scataboo at 42 is good to go for camp. A very strong sign. Yo, I drafted him pretty damn late in the Flock League last year. Looked to be a massive hit. Ended up getting injured. But if we remove week one where he didn't start and week eight where he got injured and only look at the first seven weeks like he was trending towards being a league winning running back and keep in mind that's with the Giants offense struggling greatly with no Malite neighbors. Once you get neighbors in, I'm going to assume that he's going to be even better. But in those six games in which he played as the full-time starter, he was a top 10 running back in points per game with 19.1.
Now Jaylen Waddle, our next guy, going to play with the Denver Broncos, I think, is very exciting. I default to Waddle as an incredible player. I think he just got held back by the Miami Dolphins offense over the past two years. A big tell for me with Jaylen Wadd is what it cost for the Denver Broncos to go out there and trade for him. They paid a firstround pick to get Waddle, which obviously an NFL team trading a first round pick does not come lightly.
Terry McLaren is our next guy here. Very disappointing season this past year when he got injured and Jaden Daniels got injured as well. But we go back to Jaden Daniels in his rookie season. Um Terry McLuren was the wide receiver 16 when Daniels was healthy in his rookie year and you don't have much target competition here at all in Washington.
Mike Evans will be our next guy with Evans. Horrendous season this past year. Wide receiver 42 in points per game. Obviously got injured but now he goes to the ners. I was thinking I was potentially going to be fading Evans but when we get the Ricky Pawol injury and their replacement is Debo Samuel. I'm definitely way less concerned about Debo Samuel than I would be of Ricky Pier Saul. So I think that bumps Mike Evans.
Now Coulson Lovelin will be our next guy at 46. Lovelin unbelievable into his rookie season. 21 points in week 17, 25 points in week 18. We actually don't have the playoff games loaded into flockfantasy.com. So, let me go ahead and pull up what the Bears did in the playoffs as well because I think that's incredibly telling of the Coulson Lovelin usage and just exactly how good this dude looked in the divisional round against the Green Bay Packers. You can see he was their leading wide receiver or leading receiver with eight receptions and 137 receiving yards. And then the following week against the Los Angeles Rams, Coulson Lovelin yet again was this team's leading receiver with four receptions and 56 yards. He's incredibly young. He's only 22 years old. I mean, he was a top 10 NFL draft pick. So, Coulson Lovelin looks like he's set up to absolutely smash with the departure of DJ Moore as well. Um, so if you're in a double flex format, this is where I would put Lovelin, but if you were in a single flex league, obviously you can check our draft sheets, but he would be much higher, especially if you're in a 10-teamer.
Now, moving down to G tier, we are going to have Trevon Henderson leading us off here at 47. With Henderson, we had the massive spikes in weeks 10, 11, and 15. Raandre Stevenson took back over the starting job, though. Raandre Stevenson was the starter during the NFL playoffs. I like the upside case though for Trevian, a running back that I thought was incredibly talented coming out of Ohio State. I am still a believer, but there are very real red flags, which is why of course you can't put him up with the Ash and Gentamari and Hampton guys of that class.
DeAndre Swift has been a top 24 running back in points per game every single season of his NFL career. He's played at least 16 games every year over the past three. Obviously, a big jump from 24 to 25. Big reason being the Chicago Bears offense is much better. Now, a concern that you can have, of course, is going to be centered around Kyle Manungai potentially going through and taking that step forward.
Now, Bashel Tutin at 49 proved nothing as a rookie. Literally nothing. Was not able to get on the field even after they traded Tank Bsby. And the work that he did get, it's not like he looked like he was anything special. But the only additional competition that was added to this backfield this off seasonason when Travis ETN left was Chris Rodriguez who had foot surgery in the training camp update that we got as he's definitely not there but he's hoping to be back by week one. So based on Rodriguez's injury, I have a lot more faith in Tuton being the starting running back for a Liam Cohen offense which we saw what he did with ETN last year with Bucky Irving the year prior.
Now, McGomery is going to be our next name. I am this damn close to swapping Montgomery and Bucky Irving. I just want to get more reports coming out of Tampa about the injury status with Bucky because the Buccaneers offensive line should be much better than they were a year ago. Um, my big concern again will be the injury stuff and the fact that they decided to give Kenneth Gainwell a ton of money and they paid Shawn Tucker a decent amount as well, which again doesn't seem super bullish for Bucky Irving to be a true three-9 running back.
Quinn Sean Judkins at 52, I think he is much more talented than a lot of the players that we've talked about already. I think Judkins at this point of his respective NFL career is a much much better running back than David McGomery. I think he is a much better running back than DeAndre Swift, a much better running back than Bashel Tutin. I think you can make an argument he's a better running back than like Travis ETN, Javvante Williams. I think I would rather have Judkins than Javvante if Judkins was on the Cowboys. But the world we live in, Judkins isn't on the Cowboys. The world that we live in, Quinn Sean Judkins is on the Cleveland Browns.
Jameson Williams had 53. JO did get a pretty big jump up in the second half of this past year. um two different things. Coaching staff changed who his calling plays and at the same time Sam Leaporty got injured. But um we'll see what happens this next season. I actually am more encouraged by Jameson Williams though after we saw the consistency from him in the second half of this past year.
We're going to go Luther Burden at 54. Um if you're drafting like on underdog right now, Luther Burden goes way higher than this. I understand the thought process in having Luther Burden incredibly high because the ceiling is awesome. Like you go back to after his sophomore year in college, people thought he was possibly the number one wide receiver in the country um right there ahead of McMillan. He gets injured his junior year, yada yada yada. He ends up not being a round one NFL pick, but he goes to the top of round two. And very similar to Lovelin, he breaks out in a big-time way at the end of his rookie season and he is a super efficient wide receiver and now you have no Zakius and you have no DJ Moore. My hesitation in ranking Luther Burden as like a can't miss player is if he was a can't miss player would he have been playing behind Olid Zakias.
Devonte Adams is our next guy 55. With Adams he is 33 years old. He's about to turn 34. So, we can see with the range of outcomes tool on fogfantasy.com, there are some of these guys that held on like Reggie Wayne, Larry Fitzgerald, they gave you really strong seasons at age 34, but there are other names that fell off like AJ Green, um Reggie White, Andre Johnson. So, I don't exactly know what Adam's going to be like. Obviously, the touchdowns were there, but I will say the yards per game was the lowest mark that we've seen of his NFL career since like 2015.
Then Lamar Jackson is at 56. Lamar looked horrible last season, both from a real life perspective and a fantasy perspective, but the year prior he averaged 25 points per game. Changed with the coaching staff, and you want to excuse the away Lamar Jackson struggles last year um due to just injuries.
Now going over to our next tier, Cardinal Tate, 57. Absolutely love the profile. I think he is a phenomenal player. This Titans offense can be improved year-over-year with the change in the coaching staff and the added weapons and you really don't have much target competition. Now, the holdup that you have is the Tennessee Titans, while they're improved, still probably not going to be great.
Christian Watson at 58, I think you can look to take him at the 56 turn. If you maybe started off your draft with say the combination of like Ashton Genty, and Devon Achan with your first two rounds, right? If you go Genty, Achan, Josh Allen with your first three picks and then in rounds four, five, and six, you look to go wide receiver, I wouldn't fault you for going through and grabbing like say Z Flowers at the beginning of the fourth, in round five, seeing if you can take like Mike Evans and at the beginning of round six, seeing if you can take Christian Watson.
Jerian Price getting great news where it sounds like he is the straightup starting running back for the Seattle Seahawks. The only hesitation is I do think Zack Sherman comes back at some point during the year and then it probably turns into a committee, but he's probably going to crush in the short term.
Roma at 60 before the foot surgery. He was great at the beginning of the season, but obviously after the foot injury, um he actually didn't really do anything the rest of the year, but his rookie season was bad as well, but you have no DJ Moore and Olman Zakius gone. There should be more targets available and you love the Bears offense.
Brian Thomas will be our next guy. With Brian Thomas, ton of competition in Jacksonville. You have Parker Washington, you have Jacobe Meyers, you have Britain Strings. He drafted another tight end looking to run more two tight end sets. And Travis Hunter, I think, is going to cycle through some at wide receiver. Um, Brian Thomas was horrible this past year. The hope is that you can just blame it on injuries and he is good to go for this season.
Um Jordan Tyson at 62. I think he's an incredible player, but he does have a long list of injuries throughout his history and at the same time he's not in the best offense in the league. And you have Crystal Lave as competition.
Tyler Boron, 63, as a rookie tight end, he was incredible in the first half of the year. His rookie season, he was still a top 10 tight end in points per game, but obviously the drop off happened in the second half of the season. I think it's going to be very similar to what you have with Jonathan Taylor. It's going to come down to Daniel Jones and what the overall offense looks like. But you have no Michael Pitman Jr. So you could see a step up with his targets share.
DJ Moore will be at 64 for us. With DJ Moore, I think it is a phenomenal setup with a great offense in Buffalo with very little target competition. The issue is I am afraid that DJ Moore is just straight up washed at this point.
Jaden Daniels at 65, Drake May at 66. I would roll this right into our next tier with some of these other guys like Jaylen Herz, um Joe Burrow. These are like the last quarterbacks that if I take them as my starter, I'm not drafting another one, right? I guess you could throw Caleb Williams on that list.
We'll have Marvin Harrison here at 69. With Marv, every training camp clip is just him looking horrible, but I don't really care about drop balls in training camp. And the Mai limited 70 I absolutely love the prospect profile of. But I do think the camp reports are going to matter here with these rookies. But I'm going to try to keep this somewhat short. Obviously, if you want to get all our rankings, all our draft sheets, you can do so with the season pass on flockfantasy.com. It's all tailored to your exact league settings and the exact draft platform that you're on. If you sign up with code flock, you are also going to be getting free questions that you're able to ask me in the live streams that we're doing every single night during the year. Links in the description. It's in the comment section. Much love. I really appreciate y'all and I really hope I get to see you out in the live stream later.