Transcription
Will NUW be heading upwards of the $33 levels next week? And is this just a pullback or is the stock already too expensive and you should be cutting your losses from and running away from it? What's up trend friends? Welcome back to another no BS nonbias price prediction video. Today we're going to be discussing NU under three different perspectives. The why, the what, the where, the why. We're going to be talking about why is this sticker up over a whopping 100%. And can it sustain these gains and can it actually build upon these gains in the upcoming days? Then we're going to be doing a stock analysis, going over the company's dilution history, going over the company's short interest, going over the company's institutional ownership, going over the company's float, going over the company's market cap, all these good things that actually matters when it comes to trading. And we'll differentiate exactly what I mean from things that matter when it comes to trading. And we'll differentiate between trading and investing. Then the wear, which is probably your favorite part. And if you're a beginner trader, you think this is all that matters. Where to get in, where to get out. So without further ado, my friends, let's get into it.
Now, we talk about the why first because in order to anticipate where the stock is headed next, we first need to analyze what has caused it to get to here, right? And in other words, in order to be able to predict the future, you first need to understand the past. So, let's get talking about exactly what's happened to NAE. So, NU today had some massive news announcing that they've gone ahead and they have had they've gotten a US patent for their blood filtering machine and methods. Now, this is amazing news. However, as you guys know, if you guys are in the community, right, which if you join the community, the first thing which we give you is going to be a catalyst pyramid. Unfortunately, unfortunately, the way patents work, they are not that exciting to the markets. They're really not that exciting to the markets, right? And at the end of the day, you need to understand stocks go up because people press buy and stocks go down because people press sell. So, as a good trader, it's our job to anticipate what other traders are doing. This is why one of my favorite books ever when it comes to trading is Trade the Trader. Okay, Trade the Trader. Check it out. It's is uh it's available on Kindle. It's a really really good book, Trade the Trader. And it pretty much goes ahead and it breaks down how you need to anticipate what other traders are going to do and do it before them and understand market psychology rather than just anticipating, oh my god, the chart says this, the chart says that, the buy this says buy this by that. Okay? Because at the end of the day, it's people that control the markets. Right?
Now, of course, I understand. Oh, I'm going to get some little dork coming in my comment section saying the algorithms, the algorithms. Can you control the algorithms? Can you know what the quants are doing? No. Then shh, that's it. All right, then. Then let's not even talk about it, right? Let's talk about the part which we can anticipate, which is going to be the volatility which retail brings in. And let's be honest, if you're trading these gappers, if you're day trading these penny stocks that are highly, highly volatile, majority of the volume is really just from us, you know, day-to-day traders, okay? That's really what's happening right now. Let's get talking about it. So, when it comes to volatility, the company has amazing amazing volatility, right? Considering the company does have a sub freaking uh, you know, $10 million market cap. So, with that said, we're going to put it that as amazing. When it comes to the news, we're going to put the news as good. Not amazing. Good. Okay. Because I just explained to you, unfortunately, it's not the sexiest news, right? It's really the a patent approval, it's really not the sexiest news, right? Even though it causes price volatility, even though it's good for the company, just based off of the psychology of the markets, it's not the best catalyst out there, right? Compared to an FDA approval or something like that, right? Or a smaller company partnering up with something like an Nvidia or a Meta or a freaking Google or something like that, right? These are catalysts that really really change everything for the company. And from a trading perspective, when I see one of those catalyst, I forget about the what I forget about the wear. I just press buy, right? Or right now currently we have this new catalyst which is um you know it's the it's the treasury the treasury treasury this treasury that treasury this treasury that right the treasury catalyst is so goated right now right like literally if you see a company come out with a treasury just buy the stock the stock is going to go up intraday okay now with that said let's get talking about u where NU is heading from here on out so we talked about that now the next thing which we're going to talk about is going to be their cash holding so the company right now has 13 months of cash left on end considering every every single three months they've been $2.54 million And right now in the bank they have $11 million. So their cash holdings is actually pretty okay. So we're going to go ahead and put the cash holdings over here.
Now this is where things get interesting. Okay. So what are we looking at right now? We are looking at the what, right? We are at the what section of our analysis. Now when it comes to the what section of an analysis, this is where majority of beginner traders screw things up, right? And they start looking at company analysis instead of stock analysis. Right guys? Stock analysis and company analysis are two different things. And I understand that a lot of you guys think stock analysis is technical analysis, but that's actually not true at all. Technical analysis is going ahead and trying to find patterns and looking at the chart, while fundamental analysis or stock analysis is actually going to go ahead and you're going to dig deeper when it comes to the stock's health, right? The company's relationship with its stock. Because the company's on the stock and the stock is on the company. And a lot of these companies, my friends, what they do is they're just siphoning money out of their stock. They're just siphon. They're using their stock to raise capital over and over again to go ahead and, you know, the CEOs in [ __ ] Abiza and Mkonos and, you know, Dubai and Miami, right? While the investors are really just suffering day in day out. So, it's essential for us to anticipate whether or not this is a company that has a healthy relationship with their stock or is this a company which is just going to rugpool you over and over and over again. Now when it comes to anticipating a rugpool there are three main things which you want to pay attention to. Number one is going to be their finances. Are they financially motivated to go ahead and dilute in the case of NU luckily they they're not right. They have about 12 months of cash finan financials is not what we're really looking for when it comes to dilution. However let's talk about history. The next thing which we want to look at is going to be the history. Historically this is a company that has diluted a lot and right now their overhead supply aka their ability to go ahead and dilute is also extremely high. So, for that reason, we're going to put dilution as bad, meaning that the probability of dilution is actually high. And I'll be here, and I'll be honest with you guys, I think the red that we saw over here, this red over here, it was people selling warrants. It was people exercising warrants. It was people going ahead and selling shares. Now, we're not going to know until they come up with an AK or a 10K. But I'm telling you, this is what I think, right? Again, it's not legal advice, not financial advice. This is just what I think, right? This is what I think. And I think that you know what we saw over here was them going ahead and selling some shares. Okay, that's what I think. Right now with that said, uh let's move on to the chart. Right, now that we've done the what not now, next thing which we want to look at actually is going to be um the institutional ownership of the company. So the company has 0.7% institutional ownership which is absolutely terrible. Anything sub 1% is terrible. Right now next up we're going to talk about the short interest. Let's go over here and let's take a look at the short interest of the stock. So when it comes to the short interest, the short interest has actually been relatively flat except the past 7 days the shortage is up 456%. This is not good. This is not good at all. So short interest is terrible as well.
Now let's talk about the charts. When it comes to the charts, my friends, I'll be lying to you guys if I said I see the sticker getting above 20 bucks. I don't see it getting above 20. I don't see it getting above 20. In fact, what I want you guys to do is wake up tomorrow morning and or do this actually right now. Set a good till cancelled order. Set a good till cancelceled order for a sell at let's say 1820 or 1930 or something like that, right? 1930 you're really pushing it. But 1820ish, I do see a potentially testing this uh you know 1880 levels again. So I would cut my losses and walk away from it. And I'm here to tell you guys, losing is part of trading. Cutting your losses is part of trading, right? If you don't know how to lose, you don't deserve to win. That's the reality of the matter, right? And you need to learn how to lose with grace, right? And there's this uh there's this clip from Bruce Lee where he's talking about um I forgot what he's talking about, but he's saying, you know, you need to learn how to lose, right? You need to embrace losing. You just want to win, but you're not prepared to lose. A lot of you guys don't understand that losing is a big part of trading myself. You know, I have a Let's go over here. I have a 82% win rate, right? Overall, I have a 82% win rate. Now, this 82% win rate, that means that 20% of the time I lose. 20% of the time I'm losing money. With an 82% win rate, there's that means 20% of the time I'm losing money. 20% of the time I'm losing money. Let's talk about it. There's 250 trading days. That means there are 50 days in the market that I'm losing money. Losing is part of trading. Losing is essential. At the end of the day, everything that we do is a game of probabilities. And the way probabilities work, even if you're right 90% of the time, that 1% of the time that or that 10% of the time you're going to be wrong. That one out of 10% of the time you're going to lose. You're going to be wrong. Now imagine if you just want to hold on to your position because you don't ever want to be wrong and you're watching the stock decline and decline and decline and decline and decline and decline and decline and decline. It's just keeps going down. Oh my goodness. Oh wow. It keeps going down, right? Decline and decline and decline. But you don't want to cut your losses. So it's just digging a hole into your portfolio over and over again. And I'm here to tell you, man, when it comes to stock again, that's what's possible. Because if you look at it historically, every single pump, right? This is a stock that at one point it was trading at it was never, first of all, it was never trading at $33 million or whatever it says over here. What you need to understand is that this is one of those companies that dilutes has a reverse split. Dilutes has a reverse split. Dilute has a reverse split. Dilute has a reverse split. Dilute has a reverse split. Dilute has a reverse split over and over and over and over and over again. You do not want to be holding these bags. These are not the bags you want to be holding. No. Okay, these are not the ones. I'm telling you, man. I'm telling you right now.
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