Transcription
Do you feel like you're winning, or do you feel like you're wasting your potential? Either way, the science behind the so-called winner effect is fascinating and scary. Here's why.
In a study, they let two mice fight against each other or compete for territory. They drugged Mouse B so that Mouse A was pretty much guaranteed to win the next fight. They didn't drug Mouse B, but Mouse A still won with a much higher probability because it had more confidence, more testosterone, and more wins under its belt.
Long story short, this is a vicious cycle that shows up everywhere in life. The more you win, the more likely you are to keep winning. You see this with rich people who keep getting richer because their wealth compounds. With every success an entrepreneur has, they become more confident, attract better people to work for them, and it's easier to build the next billion-dollar empire.
We see the same thing in athletes and even their fans. Testosterone increases after a win, even though they didn't do anything; they just got drunk on the sidelines. Men who have a lot of love interests from women become more attractive because of the existing love interests. Winning a competition improves your biochemistry and cognitive abilities to win again.
But on the flip side, if things aren't working out, you feel stuck, full of self-doubt, and feel like you're losing. You're more likely to lose, which makes you feel worse, which makes things even harder.
So, the way I think about the winner effect is that you're either on an upward spiral or a downward spiral. How much positive or negative momentum do you currently have in your life? This is the fifth video in our 90-day goal series, and it's a good time to reflect and see what spiral we're on. Because regardless of the results we got this year, we can tap into the winner effect at will with just a few simple tweaks.
My Uncle Andrew Huberman also shared a very good tool to do that. This year, I've noticed that I've built up some negative momentum. Last year, 2022, my channel blew up, and I got hundreds of thousands of subscribers in a year. But this year, I've only grown by a fraction of that. I almost went bankrupt, and I went from having a team to parting ways with everyone. Meanwhile, it feels like every other creator is growing exponentially.
You can see throughout different times and areas of my life how the results I got and the feeling of winning affected my ability to continue to win. Now, here's the exciting part: no matter what results you get, even if you have no track record of winning, the winner effect is all about perception.
This is deeper than just a book with some interesting studies and a cool concept; it's about developing a healthy relationship with results. How do you feel about the results you got this year? When I'm in this negative spiral, I realize that I tend to forget all the wins I've had until then. But what really helps me is just remembering past wins. You know, bathe in it, take a bath in it.
It's so easy to discount them, thinking, "That wasn't a big deal; that doesn't really count; that's what everyone does." But that doesn't make it not a win. Maybe you're like, "I've done literally nothing in my life; when you look up the word mediocrity, it literally has a picture of me in it." Then just start celebrating tiny wins.
A lot of people say, "No, but what if you don't have any successes? How do you get started?" Did you get dressed this morning? Did you get in front of the computer? It's smaller evidence, but you have enough evidence to make the claim that you can do this.
Here's the thing: winning is subjective. Your brain doesn't know the difference between what actually happened and what you think happened. For example, in our recent community call, one of our members, Max, shared that he actually hit his goal for the 90 days, which was to get three clients. But it doesn't feel like a success because he didn't feel like he had much control over these results.
He was trying direct outreach, and they just came from different sources, so he wasn't really proud. He felt a bit defeated, even though he hit his goal. For example, you could lose a boxing match but still say, "Yo, I survived four rounds; look at these shots that I gave him—boom, boom!"
You could get rejected by that hot, saucy person you've been eyeing for so long and think, "They must think I'm out of the League of Legends," and then you go back to your basement. I don't know; it's all subjective.
So, the first way to tap into that upward spiral is by building the muscle of acknowledging your wins, even if you have to dig for them. A great habit I found is just writing down three wins at the end of the day. It's simply repetition until your brain builds the neural connections that then make it automatic.
But wait, there is great danger. If you do this wrong, it could destroy your life, your family, your country, the universe. Celebrating the wrong wins can actually be demotivating. So, I asked my biological Uncle Andrew Huberman about this. Some of you mentioned, "Wow, I didn't know he was your uncle." Well, of course he is, and I also interviewed him.
Many people probably believe that if you tell a child or an adult that they're really good at something, it would bolster their motivation to engage in that activity. It does not. In fact, the exact opposite happens. A paper from Dr. Carol Dweck and her colleague Claudia Mueller essentially gave feedback linked to a child's intelligence.
They told kids they were smart or talented, or they gave them what was called effort feedback: "You tried really hard on that problem; it was great the way you applied effort." When they were later offered problem sets that were either challenging or ones they knew they could perform well on, the kids who got the intelligence-based feedback were likely to go with the least amount of challenge to continue getting the praise they had received previously about being smart or talented.
Whereas the kids who got feedback about their strong effort more often than not picked the harder problems that stood to teach them more. And guess what? The kids rewarded for effort and who continued to pick harder problems outperformed the kids given intelligence praise and feedback by a large margin.
As we all give ourselves feedback, rewarding yourself for effort is the best way to improve performance. This is where I realized I have not had a great relationship with results. For example, the last two videos on my channel had pretty much the same amount of work and effort put into them. One of them got 15 times the result in terms of views, and it is a bit demotivating.
But I got way more direct messages from friends and viewers saying they really loved this one. So, which one is more of a win? A healthy relationship with results is all about falling in love with the process and the things you control.
There's probably a caveat to the whole rewarding effort thing as well because I know friends who only want to pursue something if it's really hard, if it's really difficult, even though they could get the same result with a workout that doesn't break their legs. But I think it's about defining for yourself what makes this a win that is in my control so that I can reward myself for taking the right actions.
Let's be honest: is there ever a point where it's good or productive to feel like you failed or lost? I don't think so. Maybe if you did a really big oopsie, like using your baby as a projectile weapon in a Roman Civil War, that could be seen as a loss. But apart from that, what if you either celebrated a win or celebrated learning a lesson?
This is the cliché of "I either win or I learn." But I guess it's how you maintain the feeling of progress in winning. This next one I found very eye-opening, like my morning alarm when I get out of bed and eat.
The month you are born in plays a significant role in how well you'll perform in sports. Here's why: this is a normal distribution of births, and these are the birth months of professional football players. For the Americans watching, when I say football, I mean the sport where you actually use your foot.
Why were they all born earlier in the year? Because this is the cutoff. If you're born earlier, you're put into a different age bracket. As a kid, when you're 9 to 12 months older than all the others, that makes a big difference. You're bigger, you're stronger, and maybe less dumb; I don't know.
Therefore, these kids have an easier time. They do better initially, get more time playing, and get the ball passed more often to them. It's a repeating cycle that again is the winner effect. Even into adulthood, when they become professionals, it's because they started out with early wins.
I sucked at football, even though I played it for a long time. I was put in a team of bullies that were more than a year older than me. And on top of that, guess which month I was born in? Look how easy it would be to break those tiny little legs.
I mentioned this in a previous video about learning. Tim Ferriss shared that in order to learn something fast and really well, you have to have early wins. It increases dopamine, testosterone, confidence, and then you're more motivated to practice more. You have more resilience, and you basically get the effects of the winner effect.
Most meaningful things are difficult to learn, so you want some of that uninformed optimism that keeps you going through the tough times. A common story we hear from people is that they have failed for years before they succeeded. For example, you have people like G-Eazy saying that he was eating for 10 years. Yes, he was, but he also had positive reinforcements early on from his mom, his dad, and maybe other people around him.
He's a master at counting wins, loving the process, and that allowed him to stick to entrepreneurship and get him to where he is now. The same thing with Mr. Beast. Mr. Beast was uploading for years, but most people don't know that his first video actually went viral. It was like some random Minecraft one, and that probably spiked his confidence and dopamine to the point where he was like, "I need to get this again."
So, long story short, big goals can be daunting, so start with easy early wins and stack them from there. If you're depressed and stuck in a rut, just getting out of bed before noon and taking a shower is a big win. Just build it from there. Or maybe as part of your morning routine, wrestle a 5-year-old. Get that early win.
Sucks for the 5-year-old; you'll send him down a lifelong spiral of failure. But well, someone's going to lose, right?
Next up, let me know if this sounds familiar to you: "I'm going to get these five things done today," but you only get three things done, and you push the remaining two a day forward. You keep doing this until you have accumulated this slog of tasks.
With time, you tell yourself, "Today I'm really going to get everything done," but in the back of your mind, there's that little voice that says, "Let's be real here; that's not going to happen." Whenever you make a commitment to a challenge, a to-do list, or a friend, and you don't keep it, you lose trust in yourself and your word.
Trust in your own word is the most important relationship you have. When you can't trust your own word and commitment, you're in trouble. How much do you currently trust your own word? When you declare something, is it set in stone, or are there always excuses that come up later?
Think about people you know in your life. There's a clear difference between people who keep their word and those who don't. As the famous quote goes, "The quality of your life is in direct proportion to the quality of your relationships."
Oh man, how much you stick to or keep your word in your commitments. The primary purpose of something like the Driven 30 Challenge or 75 Hard is not to build a healthy lifestyle, although that's a nice bonus, but so that you can do something that sucks and is challenging and regain trust in your word and commitments.
The next point is going to be a weird one that I'm trying to make, but stick with me here. Imagine this: it's the year 2842, dimension C39, in a world where infertility forces humanity to generate people in labs. Nebula Noodle is born in a mature body, brain, and consciousness. He has no memories or life experience and has to learn how things work, societal norms, how to eat.
In his weekly check-in with his integration doctor, he shares, "Doctor, something terrible happened yesterday. I was eating all this food, and this morning I just had this urge to... and it just came out." The doctor goes, "Oh, you made your first stink."
"What is wrong with me? Why is this happening?"
"Oh no, that's normal; we all do that."
"But it's so gross!"
"Yeah, it happens like once a day usually."
"But doctor, how can this be normal?"
"It's actually something you can look forward to."
It's a silly story, I know. How did I come up with it? Where in our own lives are we doing that? Where we make a stink, we think it's bad, there's something wrong with us, but it's completely normal, and we just need to adjust our expectations.
I've heard so many people say, "You know what? I've tried meditation, but I just couldn't stop thinking, so it's not for me." But you're expecting to be enlightened instantly, which usually takes, what, 30 years? Of course, you're going to think that's normal. Meditation is just really, really hard for everyone, and you may have actually crushed it.
The same thing with people who put out 10 YouTube videos and in total have 500 views. But that's actually amazing; you're winning! But you think you're losing because your expectations are off.
I've mentioned this before: a lot of problems are only problems because we think they're problems. In other words, oftentimes we think we're losing when in reality we just have to adjust our expectations.
My buddy Randor, who was in the second latest video, adjusted my expectations. It's tough because I've been going through a little bit of this as well. The circular sort of rhythm of progression can be painful.
You know, the thing I try to remind myself of is that it's like a spiral, not a circle. So it feels circular because you come... yeah, exactly. But it actually spirals upward.
So all these cringy motivational posters make sense, except for this one.
This final one, I believe, is the most powerful way to tap into the winner effect at will. It's used by Olympic athletes, the U.S. military, and the Navy SEALs. They taught us this one as one of the four pillars of mental toughness, and I would say it's the most important practice that I was lucky to learn about when I was at my lowest and had to achieve what felt impossible at the time.
I told the full story a while back on my channel. When I was 20 years old, I was forced to leave Australia because my visa had expired, and I'd been there for a year. I'd found a girlfriend, but I promised her I'd make it back. The only way I found was to build a business so I could make money online and come back on a tourist visa. It seemed impossible at the time; I was absolutely clueless about everything, and I felt defeated right from the beginning.
But I read about visualization, and every day I would visualize myself making it back to Australia with so much emotional intensity. I brainwashed myself to the point where I would have recurring dreams of being back in Sydney, Australia, reunited with my friends there, tears of joy streaming down my face.
Then I would wake up in the middle of the night and notice my face was actually wet because I was crying in my sleep. Again, your brain doesn't know much of a difference between what's real and what's imagined. Visualizing this positive future again and again ignited a certainty inside of me that I shouldn't have had, but now I did.
I saw possibilities and opportunities open up that I couldn't even see before. I'm not talking about some spiritual law of attraction, New Age stuff here. It creates certainty and confidence where there isn't any confidence yet, which allows you to move forward and get the results that then confirm the confidence you had in the first place.
Everything I've ever visualized repeatedly and deliberately has come true, and I stopped doing it, and I don't know why. If you visualized and celebrated your future wins now, how would you feel? And if you carried that energy into your business, your career, your dating, your relationships, would you show up differently?
I hope some of this was useful for you so you can build a healthy relationship with results and get on that upward spiral. Thanks for watching; see you in the next one.