Transcription
The graph and and it shows the so the greens are the H values, and it shows the number above it that corresponds to the graph. The L's are the red values, what the number that corresponds. And that's just the number of trading days. There's two trading days to hit the low, one trading day, three, four, five, and number of trading days to hit the high. So I got two things going on.
So let me reopen this. Let me make sure we get the right data because I need to make sure I've got today's ice action.
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I always do it. Wave one does that thing. Takes whatever you throw at it in here. It takes that information, graphs it. So if you have bigger factor intervals sampling, and it's going to reflect in here. So we want the tightest stuff we can get, which would be a daily one for the levels. So we've got two things going on here with our levels. We've got a continuation because we're already short. This is today's candle, the L1. So we're already short. So continuation would be we go down some more. So the first thing is to get our continuation side. That's the L values. So what I want to do is I want to make sure it says pivot. Here's our pivot because we're this is our frame of reference for the market. So we can get our values correct. So the first thing is we make sure that we're in sync here. So we want to use the pivot for continuation and we want to look for our next value down, which is L2s. Because after L1 comes L2. If we get assigned a lower low tomorrow, so we want to find our L2s. So when I come in here and we saw it by histogram, it makes it easier to see them.
So the next thing I want to do is so I pick sword. Make sure I'm on pivot. I hit the button that brings in the most current price and it was 290.27 was our close and that's what we need to use. So now I move to the set of elementaries below our green line because when I hit this button, it automatically sets my green line. So I go ahead and push down. So minus 2.7 from the pivot would be really this next set of L2s. And you can see there, there's symmetry there. They're all flat lining, which is a good sign. So that brings us to 28.26. So I come over to my graph. If I pick my drawing tool and I go to 288.26, so it's 28.34, 28. It's close enough and I'll mark that as 288.26. I mean, there's other companies and stuff, it's not going to matter because it's trading. So that's my first level down tomorrow. So let's say we do have an L2, that would be my first target tomorrow morning. And if I wanted to, yeah, and if I wanted to take a put contract right now, I close, which is totally valid. Like look over here, we got a 67% chance tomorrow of carving out an L2. 00. Yeah. So if I'm going to take a put contract, come down here and I say, hey, what's my always hanging fruit on the tree? Remember, I hit this button, it synchronized me. But the next list in fruits, those two is right there, right? So I come down there and it gives me my reading. Oh, like 288.26, 287.96. So that's right now. You can adjust it up and down a little bit. Yeah, you can make a little zone or something. Yeah, exactly. You're kind of making a zone because at the end of the day, we're, you know, we're trading. Stock trading is kind of like a little game of horseshoes. You know, it's not like, um, people that want perfection have a hard time with price. Stock trading. Yeah, because like if it doesn't hit that level, then, but like on something else that shows something, you're just like gonna wait. And sometimes it doesn't do that. It's not perfect. Exactly. And some guys will be like, well, it didn't hit the number right at the penny. Like, man. Yeah, yeah. And you don't want to be, you want to be like, here's another prompt regret. Right? Like, let's say you come in here and you're like, okay, man, I like the 287.96 or, you know, the 288.26. You can come in here and, you know, like sometimes I do this, just take a little, that little brow thing and kind of do that for his own. Yeah, I'm trying to print on my zone. The worst thing in trading, and people do it, and I'll kind of do it too, I try not to. So you create this zone, then it comes down here, it hits that to way down there at 283. Now, and then a lot of times guys, they'll pile out, maybe get their 50 or 34. It goes down onto make 100%, 200%, 300%, 1000%. So once, yeah. So what you can do to alleviate that is I'll come in here and, you know, find my other lower levels because it's a ladder. If that hung up their brakes, we go to the next. We go to the next door. We finally hit the ground floor. But yeah, we're just kind of finding these values. And I used to trade fibs and stuff, but I have all that jazz. And, you know, the thing is this, I like because this is market feedback. This system in here, this data is rolling out and it's bringing a new data every day that rolls out and it's tracking these movements up and down. So I know what these means. You know, I'm getting 50% of the move here. So I know when I start in L1, if I just placed a trade and I was patient, I didn't get all weird about it, I just let it play out over two days and I close it wherever it lands. All right, 50% of the time or even better. Because see this curve, it gets up here faster than 50% of the time. So if you count all these and what's in front of it will appear more than 50% of the time. And there probably, it looks like down here, more than 50% of the time. So if I could just manage my nerves like and get in here and just let it run for two days and close, not like micromanage it every day, tried to look at it, be like, oh my God, it's going down, it's going up, just let it play its course. I mean, so what about the other two that's like a little bit above that too, right there? Okay, so like if I, yeah, so if you come in here, so we've got a bunch of twos right here. We've got, now let's say this two qualifies, this two, this two, this two, because they're all kind of around the same area. You know, they're probably like 20 cents. You know, so then the next thing is you could be like, okay, where's my next two down? So it'd be right there where my mouse cursor is. So I'm putting here and get that down, right? And then I could get my 285.59. Yeah, coming here, throwing my 285.59. You know, so you don't need like, you don't need to get everything perfectly. No, no. I wouldn't try to. I mean, if you get here every day, realistically, I mean, doing what we do is ridiculous because some days, you know, I have 400%, 500%, 1000%, 2000%. You know, and to expect that every day is kind of ridiculous too. So, you know, even if you, even if they have these tight ranges like today, let's say you manage some of these trades over here like this put or initially like on the call and I first did the BPL one, I don't know, but anyways, and we've got our little sequences here, our green, red, green. I mean, you know, that was 35 to a buck 34. I mean, you know, that's a lot. Yeah, it's, you know, and even doing these, if you manage them, you get some good stamps. Yeah, exactly. Like if you're not, like you're like, oh, I'm kind of more starting to get in the middle of the day. I'm past 10:30, 11. Oh, this is a 12, 11, 12 o'clock. And we kind of know when they're kind of, you know, it's never a lot of trending action. Kind of, kind of scalp, but or worst case, like come out with kind of even. So I can show the upside down. So, so here, you know, we're just walking down through it, right? So we're finding our twos, our twos, our twos, and that gives us a range. Yeah, but when we come over here and we start trading tomorrow, like these would be totally legit for tomorrow.
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We can be like, man, if we could break that range, sit on my hands and see if I can knock this range out. I can knock that out. I'll see if I can hit this guy down here. They kind of just, they'll see. I want him to break going down. I mean, we just want to keep water falling through this stuff. You know, it'd be beautiful to hit that lower two right here. Yeah, so that's just how I do it. It's just kind of like letting the kind of water fall down. And we've got some other things I was showing today too. I can touch on that. So, okay, so now let's do the long side. Now this is where it gets weirdo. This put this vector number 290.27 and we established like an H1. This number is going to replace the pivot. So this pill, that 296.26 will become whatever that vector was. Yeah, in order for us to figure out what's going on tomorrow, we're going to pretend that this becomes the pivot number. The way I do that is 0.27. Yeah, the 290.27. So if this becomes a pivot number and our candle is up in this area, I mean, we want to be measuring what we've got going on up here. We want to know where this cluster is at and these other clusters, you know, to kind of get our burgers. So what I do is I say, new pivot, so 290.27. I hit my button. So I get synchronized up here and now I start walking through my ones. So I get up here, you know, so now I'm kind of in the first level ones, just 292.30. Come over here to the graph. So my 292.30. iTunes. Okay. Yeah. Now, now I've got that level. And some of these like, you know, and I pay a lot of attention to them, put more detail. Some of these, you know, I get with them just pennies. Yeah, bottles and lows, you know, so I put that in, then, you know, mark it like, you know, it's like, um, like 292.30 and I'll go resistance target. So I know tomorrow and it just happens without fail. So, you know, I've got a little one, little teeny tiny baby one there. I'm just gonna skip over that one because I don't really care. But signing without fail, if we get a one inch tomorrow, we're at least gonna be hitting that. And now go to the next one. And you can kind of see here, they are a little bit grouped on the tops. I go there, or 293.17. Let's toss that one in. 293.17.
Foreign label that too. So, um, so you can just keep walking on up. And then, uh, definitely put the mean in. You know, so I mean, yeah, there's one right there. Yeah, 298.69. Because, uh, that one's pretty important because that's the middle of our data of our histogram up. It's actually better than the middle because a lot of these are hitting it. So 298.69, which that's money right there. 298.69.
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Right around there. So that's really, that would be the ultimate thing to hit. And then what I'll do is, so after I do all that, tomorrow we'll have zero DTE again. So I'll put my calls in thousand and on the side. So like on the 298, I'll bring them down just ever so slightly. The way I figured it out too is for 298.69. Let's go over here and see our what's tomorrow, the 31st. So 298.69. Out of doing this a bazillion times over, I know that I like to stay in about the 20 cent range because I know through a real live trading that this 20 cent range can become, you know, one, two, three, four dollars. And when we stretch it, not to say that we can't, you know, since we're 298 over here, it's not to say we can't stretch it into a 297. This 10 cent, but going into more of the 20 cent range, to 295 to 97, help increase our probability of a move on the contract versus going a little too far out. I'm not saying it won't work, it's just, you know, I wanted to try to get stuff that has more higher probability. So I know from the live trading that this 25 cent range, worst case here, but more so the 25 cents. So what I do is I put the 295 on and it's 23.25. So I put the previous day's price out of reference. I just put that on. And a lot of times like when I'll send the graphs out, people, you know, they'll use these. I'll use these myself too, sometimes I'll revising in the morning. All right, start trading depending upon what happens overnight. Yeah, but yeah, so that one, you know, if we had an H1 and we're lucky enough to, uh, catch this mean, that contract would go to four dollars. Would be very nice. Oh, yeah. And we'll catch those sometimes too. And it's like, it's just unbelievable because you're like, how could something seven cents, 25 cents, whatever, go up like that? Yeah.
So my final question, which will really help me out a lot, because I have a big problem with this, is like, how do you get your bias for the day? Because for me, when I like do this and it broke this level right here, right? I would be looking for calls because I don't really have a bias to the upside or to the downside. But like when I hit this level, if I could have caught puts, if my bias was like bearish today, if I caught puts right here on this level, that would have gone like very nice. And I just normally don't have a bias for the day because I don't really know how to find one. And you were talking about how you, uh, found your bias earlier by using the crescent and like the open to close or like what it would close around. Yeah, and I don't know if you caught how that works.
So for bias, the first thing I do is look at stats on those charts and the options. And I do it for 200 days. Oh, and, um, I think, um, Aaron Hill coming here, milk, he'll come in here and I think he'll do like before. I think he likes 500 days a little better. I'll do like 200. Uh, for myself, um, but, um, so I'll look at these stats. So on Friday, I saw 67% or excuse me, on Friday, we were at 19 for a high, which led us to be what, 81% for today short. So 81 stats for today. Then on Sunday, I looked at the options analyzer and I pretended to be market maker. And I was like, where do I want price to close today to benefit me holding everybody's money? Because I want all these contracts in the chain to expire as close to worthless as possible. Yeah, yeah. So when we get over here, you can see the C 293. We were watching it. Ended up at a penny on ask, zero on bid. The put 291 ended up 37 on bid, 60 to ask. And on down the line, if you look at them, you know, they're all trying to move to zero. And so the options analyzer, when I come in here and I pick the contract for today, today's expiration, and then I set the price when I synchronize it and push my button, that levels like it out for that point in time. And it's not real visual, but what happens is in the corner up here, I show the, um, let me do it right now. So I show the percentage of contracts that are gonna be in the money, that are going to make anybody any money. So let me pull it up for the 30th. Pulling it up right now. Okay, so it closed. I don't know if you see my screen again, but I do. Okay, so see it says total contracts 151. So there's 151 contracts in here, both puts and calls. Now, out of the 151 contracts, how many of those based on our reference point and that being 290.27 are going to make money? And you can see, you can click on the percent gain at target and you can scroll down through it. And you can see that from that reference point of reference, that there's only one. And there's an idiosyncrasy with contracts, the way they are priced. But this is the only one. If you could buy it at bid and sell it at ask, would make you 21%. But at any rate, you want this number of contracts that make greater than zero percent at zero or as close to zero as you can get. So when you click up, when you start adding value to the Q, you can see the number of contracts that make better than zero is rising. And you can see the winning contracts is increasing. I click down, you can see now it's decreasing, it's declining. And as I click lower, they are increasing again. So the puts are picking up. Yeah, so now Aaron and milk, you use gamma. They'll show gamma. And that's all this is. This is showing where this price and the cues needs to be relative to all the contracts. Because if they start dropping the price at the close, I mean, all of a sudden, you know, the options are a dead instrument. All of a sudden, the risk starts increasing. Like as I put down to two percent, now 21% of contracts are starting to be in the money. Yeah, so that's what I did earlier in the day. I came here and said, hey, look, and I did it yesterday, Sunday too. But so early in the day, I was kind of illustrating it, hopefully my mic was working at the time, that the closer I get to zero here, the closer this is going to put us to our closing price for the end of the day. We can do the same thing tomorrow. And you can say it again, because that kind of helped me actually for one of my plays. I don't know if I was supposed to use it like that, but like I, I saw it go into a level or something and then I was like, oh yeah, the close is coming up pretty soon. And Russell's stuff said 290.56 or whatever. So I went into a put and it went up for 100%. So that was pretty nice. Yeah, yeah. So you can use it that way. I used it that way on AMD on Friday, seven cents to, I don't know, a dollar 30. Dang. And like eight, no time. Yeah, because I was just, I, I was pre-computing where it needed to go, just like this. And I did it on AMD. The thing is, you want to do it on stuff that's liquid. You don't want to do it on some Podunk stock that has five contracts. Yeah, you know what I mean? It's got to be like, you know, if it's an AMD, Qs, Spy, Apple, Google, or whatever, just liquid stuff that has a lot of contracts. And this kind of works for all of them. Like, like I was showing AMD the other day on Friday. Yeah, it kind of, you know, really moved. Yeah, so. Yep, it really helps because you can kind of gauge. Now, doesn't mean it absolutely has to end there, but it gives you a good probability. Gives you an actual target you can use. Because otherwise, running into the close, you're like, I don't know what'll happen. I mean, anyway, it goes up, maybe it goes down, I don't know. So I noticed over an A-train's Discord, the one guy is like, oh, I think it's going to dump. And then that's when I posted those stats. I was like, no, it's based on this. You know, because he seems like he's guessing when he trades, doesn't really seem to be. I don't even thinks. And it's all about numbers, you know, it's a business. So for this thing to work, you wanted to, so to find that number where you want it to end on, you want like every contract to be zero. Because that's what makes them the most money, or whatever. So that's why they want everything to be zero. Yes, that makes them the most money. So that implies here that you find that sweet spot. Yeah, because when they're writing out contracts, you can imagine, like, let's say your business is to write contracts out, you know, on stocks, right? So you, you write out con, uh, options for, so you want those people to keep the money. You want to be able to keep the money. We don't want that. We want to be able to take it. Um, but, but knowing where they're at helps us because like, I don't like that it did it like that. It's not my choice for today. I'd rather have it plummet 100 points and be in puts. But I got to be realistic and be like, what do they want? Or are they going to try to get this price? Because like you said, it helps you because you can go like, okay, I'll, you know, we've moved up and now we're gonna come back down. I'll show you an AMD what that looked like for me on Friday using the same exact technique. And today, I checked. So this was me on Friday and AMD. I opened the contract up and I don't think it probably made too much sense. But Seoul was up here and it went from there to right here. And that was right on the number that I calculated doing the same exact close. Uh-huh. Yeah. So you got into puts and then it perfectly right there. Yeah, that's why it would probably help a lot to find that out. Yeah, especially because we're running into one of our key time frames, which is 15:30. And so I was like, kind of pre-positioning. So I looked at it. Was like, I think it was the 76 or something like that. Let me see. So I get this, uh, January, what was that? The 27th, but it's on the subs or something like that. It's supposed to remember. Yeah, so this is my notes from there. So I calculated based on what it was, it'd be about 73 on there. So that's where the dot ended up. Mm-hmm. And this was just from that. So it was down here and just kind of, you know, which is kind of crazy to think about it, like right at the close. I mean, it just kind of. And then too, you can add them, just close out the contract. So some of these, I don't do anything with them. I'll buy them and just let the broker close them. This feels illegal, but it's not. Without good word, spirit, that's what my dad said. My stepdad, I was like, I was telling him about this and how it's like very nice. And he's like, the FBI is going to show up after doing a couple of days. And I was like, oh, probably not. Uh, no, it's like my mom's doing the same thing. So you're not alone. My mom tells me I'm, uh, insider trading. I know because I'll be like, oh, I made it. You know, with all, I asked my family, I said, oh, what do you do this week? Oh, I made a thousand percent on the others and 100% on that and lost 10% on that or whatever. I might be like, well, that's insider trading. They're gonna come and get you, I guess. That's Congress. Congress insider trades all the time. It'd be nice to have that privilege and luxury. But yeah, so now it's just using, well, so we know stuff like a lot of other participants don't know in the retail trading side. So that's what kind of helps us out a little bit. Yeah, I just need to get my stuff ready for tomorrow because if I have like a whole idea, I'll definitely be able to trade way better than what I've been doing. Yeah, having these levels on here, you see like, and he puts a lot of, I'm an effort into his charts, like the SPX and I think he's doing the NQ also. And, yeah, I kinda, uh, wing it. I'll throw some levels in, sometimes I'll do more detail, it just depends on how busy I am with other stuff. Well, I heard us today and everybody was feeling it. Was this our gap down? So one thing to keep in mind is the market, so it kind of moves around it. That I want, well, Wilder, I think came up with that ATR, the average true range. So the sessions always kind of, you know, for kids, it looks like it's around four points right now from high to low. So what happened was from Friday to this morning, we burned up a lot of that. So now we're range bound. It wasn't really that much left. Yeah, so that kind of screws us up because what we're doing, like Aaron trading futures, like the ES and stuff, SPX, you know, they can trade kind of like 24/7. Or, you know, 23 hours a day, right? Nice trade futures, really hot and heavy. Commodities, we're not. I mean, we've got like this to make a decision and this today trade this to position for the next day. But we only have about 20% of this session to make up to get an idea of what to do. Or as they have, you know, 23 hours out of every day to determine. You know, that's one thing about options, they're very hard instruments to trade because of all these constraints. Because if it would let us trade our, uh, puts for 23 hours a day, I mean, we'd be watching this up here, seeing our fractal stuff and being like, oh, it's breaking. We'll go here on Sunday and we just write it down. And we'd be like, oh, the fractal thing shows when I get here and they close it and clean, clean up. It just doesn't work out the way they really, they really hurt us with the rules and Finra and SEC. They're like, oh, it's to protect everybody. Yeah, your buddies doesn't do us any favors because the vector T, yeah, it's a, oh, crooked. It supports the institutions and stuff, not the people. Those levels worked out very nice right there. Yeah, and the vector, it helps and, you know, got some good tools. It's just we've got issues here with execution because of our window of opportunity. It's so, I mean, we've got this overnight is huge. And then our little black window of opportunity is so small. It's like three of these. Yeah, you know, it's like everybody else is sitting there like, yippee. We're like, okay, we're screwed. Man, we gotta come in here, make magic. And then our only really big move is off this open right here. Yeah, that big. Yeah. I'm just so mad I didn't catch that. If I had like the idea of bearish on the day, I would have probably tested it out. Not obviously like put everything into it, but I would have probably, I would have, I don't know, that would have been like a thousand percent move or something. Yeah, I think it was. I had the contracts up and stuff, the puts and everything. And it was, well, this was one of them, 291. So, you know, the best was 38, uh, about 28. And then I also put in the 289 just in case. I was kind of hoping we might break down more. See what that, that was the deepest one I had. So was this one. So I don't know if lucky from 12 to up to 0.60. This 291 correlated to this up here, which was in the graph over there. But I don't care about that 293. It was just like, nope. Um, yeah, yeah, I kind of, it bumped its head right here. So it was finding a little bit and then it kind of finally started zooming through it. And, you know, so I put in the 290.63. So early this morning, when we ran the number, we had figured that out. I don't know, there's a train is difficult. Yeah, make money every day on it. It's hard to be perfectly right every day.
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But so tomorrow, we've got our 67% odds of carving out an L2. Yeah, so, um, you know, so that would imply that we have to close lower tomorrow than we did today. Now, it doesn't mean that we can't, yeah, and have an intraday reversal. It just means at some point, we should carve out that L2. Because after that, see, we drop back down to 30% odds that we have an L3. So it's like in our histogram, you know, I get this L2 and then we're going to look over. We got an L3 there, one there, one there. Not a lot of them. That was actually, that was actually a question I was going to ask, is like, when is it considered a low two? At the end of the day, like when it closes, or is it like right when it comes? So it's based on our data set. Since this is daily, this is always at end of day. But it doesn't mean that the close price. So like, let's say the low is set at 11 AM or 10:30 AM and it gets assigned an L2 at 10:30 AM. It could start to rally off of that. Yeah, but the way I look at these, it's from end of day. End of day. So if I wanted to try to, let's say I want to try to catch a max move over the course of four days and I go in it at L2 or an H2 and I do puts, I would look to an L2 to close them out. So I go at end of day to an H2 to an end of day at an L2 ideally. So I would be like, you know, from that high session to the low session. And then if I come over here and look at that mechanically, so sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn't. So if I did an H2 here at this close and then I did an L2 at this close, we were way back up here again. So an H2 from here. So here I'd want to get out because I always look to the left. Like I was mentioned, so here I'd want to look at this double bottom because this is suggestive of where it's going to go. Like today, it's suggestive that an L2 would hit the double bottom tomorrow. Yeah, which is I-287. Yeah, 287. And if I want confirmation of what that looks like, I kind of look back over here to the left and I look for these double bottoms, like where we have something here. We're getting a key one that we achieved here. We achieved one. So I kind of just come over here to get an idea how it's looking at prior double bottoms like that. You know, that one of course is kind of outstanding. And here's another thing. In the technical stuff, really is supposed to use more of candle bodies versus shadows and wicks. So a lot of times the systems that you write, that I write, I would look more at candle bodies. So that's just something to keep in mind when trading too. I mean, I love the idea of these lows on shadows and highs on wicks, but the candle bodies can be a little more important. So, you know, so tomorrow, ideally, we kind of come down here and then it's up to the thing to decide. Does this fall through? Does this down? Yeah, they put grounds off of it. Yeah, because on some of these other lows, like the other day, I forgot what it was. I played something. I think it was Friday. I was showing something at a double bottom. The bells in the camera, what it was. But, but anyways, yeah, I moved a lot off like right here is kind of a mini double bottom. Uh, I also have a question on this because I don't really get it. So like, where is the close? Like, is it the top of the red candle or the bottom of the red candle? Okay, so the close on a red candle, it's always at the bottom of the red candle. Okay. Green candle, it's always at the top. So when you look at the red, you're like, oh, it closed down here. Close down here. Close down here. Went green, closed up here. Right here. So on that one, it bounced because it closed at the, it's a green and it closed at the top. Okay. The close at the top. It closed at that black line. I drowned. Yeah. So one technique I use, why, and I mentioned this when we're going up, like, let's say you're holding a position and you're like, man, where's, where's the max value I could maybe get out of my calls? And I look over here and I look at my works. Like, what are those wicks looking like? If I'm not seeing much of a work, that means my close price is going to be up near the high of the day. If I see a lot of work, like here, I'm like, oh my gosh, it ran up and then it came back down and it closed way down here. So here, the close price was at the high of the day. The high of the day. The close price was a little off the high of the day. This was at the high of the day. A little off the high of the day. At the high of the day. See, because our works are telling us. So what I do is not to get freaked out because when you're watching intraday, you can sometimes get freaked out. So you're like, oh my God, I'm getting, you know, it's going through the vector, it's crossing my moving average, whatever. That's what I'll do. Sometimes I just come in here and I watch the action through the candle. Like on Friday, we have this candle and I came in here and was just, you know, I'd click on it occasionally to refresh and see how my candle was faring out. The Darwin. And then I looked across here and I was like, man, where's my, you know, hardest course distance, which was right in this area. So I kept plinking and clicking. I'm like, okay, it's getting through. It's getting through. Will it break and continue running? And I also know we've got that going on. And I don't know what this looks like on a linear graph, but on here, you know, so this was on here, it was very suggestive that that would be the high on Friday. But when we were way down here starting out, a lot of people would be like, oh, I'm up 50%, I'm cutting, or I'm up 100%. And on the graph, I came over here and I put in, this is the objective was up here. So we started off down here and we ran up there. And I held. I have most of my calls all up to here. It was because I was coming over here, clicking on it and I was seeing, okay, we've got minor resistance, some little imprints here, minor. So I'm like, I bet you we could break those. And I was like, I don't think we're gonna have any trouble until we start hitting this thick black stuff. Oh, that's what the idea was on Friday that it would reach that blockchain line or whatever. Yeah, because if you look over here to the left, it supports that conclusion for decision support. Channel came up, hit our black line. This candle came up, hit her black line. This one came out, topped out a black line. Yeah, through it. That's what I was hoping to get a nice green explosion. But, you know, so this one came out. This one came up to it. So I look across here and I'm from my decision support, I'm like, okay, what is likely? If we have a 2H, where would that 2H likely end up? Because I come over here and I look at my teenage and I'm like, we've got a 56% odds of getting a 2H. So I'm like, well, it's better than a coin toss. So quite likely, if we can break this high on Thursday, we can continue to run. If we do run, I'm going to look across here. And you can also move this, this line, the pivot line moves. Yeah, so I'll just, as a quick thing, I'll just take that doing something. I'll take that pivot line and I'll just like move it up like that. And then I'll look across here and see my prior highs. Because it's weird how it works. Like those highs are defining tops across there. And then I know, man, if it can break, I can get like one of these rockets through there. So just kind of be patient, see what happens, you know? So yeah, you can just kind of drag that around. Same thing with the short side. You bring it down here and then I look across and I'm like, where's my next kind of lows at? Yeah, they're kind of down here at the double bottoms. And then I just kind of come down here. So yeah, so another valid thing is you can move that pivot line down through the lows. Looking across here. So if you don't want to go in here and look at this, another technique I use is just moving that pivot line. So I'm across scraping my lows, scraping my eyes. Yeah, yeah. And it works. I'll come down here, scrape that one. So then I know when I get there, I'm either going to take a pause or I might have a reversal come into the market. You know, and it's kind of like, you know, what happened at 12:30? I mean, can you show it real quick on you? Thank you. Soon today. Yeah, yeah. The one today, 12:30. Mm-hmm. Yeah, so right here. So I put in these bars. So this red line and this red line. So there's four key time frames I look at. 9:30, of course, because that's when we opened. Yeah, the next, the next one I look at is, uh, 10 o'clock. Right here, 30 minutes after open. And that's literally right where it, yeah, I see that there's a reason for that. So a lot of the professional traders, they will kick in at 10. They don't care about if they lose out here, they start at 10 and they'll run till 12. A lot of them, like there's classes in Phoenix, there's trading schools, and they teach, oh, you know, we teach you to trade from 10 o'clock to 12 o'clock, two hours out of your day, and you're going to be a multi-millionaire. So that, and it's true. So there's a lot of guys that come in from here to here to 12. And you'll see right on the dot. And 13, same thing. Sometimes we have periods like where we start either we continue with the trend or we get a reversal right around that area. So the other day, I marked the 13th on Friday, 10 minutes later, we started the trend continuation yet again. And it's because it's 1300 has a four-hour aggregation come in. Mm-hmm. So there's new data for technical analysis to use to make more decisioning for our candle kicks in. Plus our one-hour, two-hour, 30 minutes, five minutes, one minute, everything comes into alignment at 1300 with the addition of that four-hour candle. So new information comes into the market. And then participants, systems are like, okay, do I continue long or do we roll over? The 1300. And maybe the day before, I marked that's kind of what I did there on Friday. Yeah, because you saw that right? Made like four or five, six hundred percent off of that. Because around 13:30, like that ghost pattern was forming, which kind of scared me. But like once it broke that level, kind of I entered. Yeah, and which was the right thing to do. So these ghosts, I've mentioned in our room over here, that they do not typically play out on a bull market. So these ghosts, I just point them out, you know, yeah, I like it. Just everybody's aware. Typically on a bull market, this is either your behavior, you get the two highs and then this other high breaks, which did. And then we test. And this is classic behavior in a bull market. So if you do see a ghost and we're in a rising market, we've got higher objectives. It doesn't keep an eye on it, but you can kind of discount a little bit and be like, you know what, I'm gonna weigh it. I don't know if that thing's gonna play out, you know, because it turns into an M to a really strong for me, rising M's. Yeah, and then, yeah, yeah. So that word, yeah, trading in the afternoon worked good. I mean, with that bump up, that's normally when I actually make my big percent gains. If you have trouble down in here, like everybody kind of does when it opens, trouble, it's so confusing. Um, then trading at 10 or in the afternoon is totally legit. Like even here, coming down into the put. So I've revised at the 291. Let's see, in the afternoon, I mean, we can still make money on in the afternoon, you know, so it's not like if you're not there in the morning, you miss out, especially if they have volatility, we're moving around, it's all we need. Yeah, it's because here we kind of, we broke out of our pattern. We had our green, red, green, kind of broke out 62% up. And then we kind of have the little ghost pattern up here, which is starting to be a sign, hey, I better take it off. And went right back down. Yeah, went right down. So everybody else is doing the same thing, or they're reading this stuff. Like, oh my God, he was kind of a weirdo looking ghost, a little bit right there. It's kind of a weird left hand.
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Um, the next couple of days, I have no school because of the bad weather. So I could actually use the system and Think or Swim and everything together. Yeah, that'll help a lot because at school, I literally just go off of levels, which does work sometimes, but like not really. Yeah, it's hard. I hear you. Whenever my wife and I go on vacation, I'm on my phone. I trade like, um, handicapped. I mean, it looks like, like anybody could do trading better than I could because I can't, I can't see anything. I don't know what's going on. I feel naked. I like to go in here and give these levels, see these imprints. I don't know where I'm at in this pattern. Okay, so it feels so irritated around like 12:30 when I'm at school. I could do some good trades. And if I just don't trade in the morning because like the reason why I'm still down on my account is in the morning, I normally like lose trades and then at like around the end of the day, 12:30 to Power Hour and everything is like when I make it back or a lot of it back. But I just don't have enough buying power to actually see profits. Yeah, gotcha. Well, the beauty with this is too, where we're playing down here, 30 cents and stuff. I mean, even, you know, doing one contract, okay, you can still make a lot. Yeah, yeah, because like they're gonna get corn. While the guys in the group, he's using the alpha thing out there. I mean, he was someone taking 200 bucks made 4,000. I mean, off 200. I mean, I, that was Friday. And I do the same thing. Sit here, you know, I do 500 allocations. I'll do like a one X or two X or 10 X, you know, on 500. So yeah, I can, you know, but I could also just buy one contract for 37 bucks if I'm not, you know, if the price action seems choppy or something or not do anything. So it gives a lot of flexibility. Yeah, so, yeah, I've got all your friends and sounds like stepdad and stuff, you know, think you're keeping the system somehow with all this stuff. So, so it sounds like tomorrow, I see you, you think you can figure out how to put the graph together now? At least the levels. Yeah, the levels I already kind of did that by myself, but like it wasn't perfect, but nothing's really perfect. The best thing is, I mean, it's great to see me putting something or Aaron putting stuff on his charts, but to figure out yourself. Yeah, I believe you can't do that though. Yeah, that way you're not reliant. I mean, here, like my system, I plan on keeping it out here forever, you know, uh, Think or Swim, the same thing. But, you know, at least if you get the idea of how to do stuff, I mean, even if, for the worst case, you had to go back to, let's say, or doing, um, linear graphs, at least you have an idea. You can find highs and lows and, you know, because where you see here, it's like so obvious. We're looking for breakout of candles. So we're looking for that candle to be broken to create a new high. This candle to be broken to create a new high. So it makes it easier because you can tag these eyes and then you can find, you know, your next area. So it's more to me, it's a visual.
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Like because I can see. Yeah, it's boys. I can say, oh man, if I can break out now, if I can't break out. So yeah, and those were those at the beginning, those big candles, only ones. Yeah, I caught a lot of these. I mean, it's crazy because you could be like, L1, check the odds and be like, oh, I got, you know, 30% odds for getting an H1. I'm like, oh, if the close, I'll buy it. And then it does that, man, it way out me. So and then the flip side is like, maybe this was an L1, you're like, okay, I'll try those odds. Well, it doesn't work out. Look where it opened and then it went up. I mean, you still have flexibility here to not hardly lose anything, you know, because you could be like, I'll cut it if I get below my, uh, previous day's low. I mean, here is just like, I don't know, these are crazy because it's like 3000%. You know, 3500%. Trying to figure this out. Is that perfect? I mean, that's kind of, never mind. That's not really a close. This is where the wick is. I just don't have that, you know, where the black like lines are or whatever. There's like, yeah, down here, the dotted blacks where we closed at, kind of 290.27. Yeah, yeah. These lines right here, this dotted line. Yeah. What is that? So that tracks our current candle. Oh, okay. So what's happening is, is this candle comes below or above, it's telling us this is our low. Yeah, like right there, you see the kind of like close of that one day. Yeah, right before the big candle at the very left, right there. Yeah, a little bit past the other one. Yeah, right there. Not there, but I mean, yeah, that too. But the one right there. Yeah, where it closed kind of, uh, it's like perfect. It's perfect. They always do that. They always seem like try to match. Is it closed on that one? It was another where it closed. So yeah, it's weird. Weird how it, it just goes like the systems are doing the same thing we are here. They're just a list of price action and being like, okay, where's the last close? We'll land there, type deal. That's what it was. But it did that one day right there. You see the where the black line is? It like is right there. Then it just dropped off the next day. Hopefully that's what this is gonna happen tomorrow. The great thing would be as if we have this and then our candles are going down here and up there and, uh, here nobody knows what's happening. But, yeah, that would be the greatest thing in the world. But yeah, and you can also see here when we have these ascending patterns, I look for this a lot. We don't have anything going on like that right now. But because usually when we get into this last one, like usually, you know, we get like this crazy action out of it, which is awesome. Right now, we've got this M developing. So up, down, up, down. And these M's, when we look at them, like here's kind of one. So I look at it this way. I'm like, okay, here's an M. You know, starts here, up, down, up, down. And I look at this strike down, this last strike, usually it gets lower than the beginning. So here's the beginning of our M, up, down, up. So this would anticipate to be lower than here, ideally. So that's something I'll look for tomorrow. It doesn't mean it'll happen, but, um, I'll see these these M's a lot. And, uh, and that double bottom could be a good bounce. Yeah, that could be a bounce. If if we don't bounce and we could slice through it. So orders, this might open at like 290 tomorrow. I mean, not tonight. Yeah, yeah, it could do that. I mean, the worst would be like over here, we kind of have this congestion. For the worst, it's like just hopping around. Yeah, it's always nice to get a run. Be nice we can get a run down. I don't know, maybe. Yep. So we'll see tomorrow. We'll run some things and see what it's showing. Yeah. All right. Well, thank you for helping me. I gotta go though. Okay. Yeah, no problem. Okay, fine. All right. Bye.