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10 Players to Let Your Idiot Leaguemates Draft in 2026 (Official List)

BDGE Fantasy Football34:58

Transcription

Good morning, friends and enemies. In today's video, we will be going through the official 10 players to let your idiot League mates draft in 2026 list. I made this video 5 years ago, and since then, it has been ripped, remixed, rehashed, recycled by every creator on YouTube, but this is the official. You come here for the official one.

We're starting in round 10 and we're going to select one player, one trash ass player in every single round that you should be gladly presenting to your league mate, pitching him as if he's the greatest thing that's ever blessed the fantasy football roster. You let him take him. You let him take him. And I'm going to explain why.

So, we start up in round 10. Round 10, pick 112. So, we were talking about the 1004. And what would a BDGE summer be without talking some [ __ ] about Xavier Worthy, the fastest man on the planet? Here's where I'll start. I genuinely believe that if Xavier Worthy didn't have pretty much the two biggest games of his career as two of the most popular NFL games over the last half decade, he'd probably be a 16th round pick right now. If you remember his very first game in the prime time game that kicked off the NFL season for the Chiefs in 2024, his rookie season, he had two big touchdown plays. They were like both fluky breakaway plays scored there and everyone's like, "Xavier the goat. best first round pick of all time." And then he had the [ __ ] Super Bowl when the Chiefs were down 30 points. He connected on a Hail Mary for the first time in his career with Patrick Mahomes. So everyone just remembers, I get this is what Xavier Worthy could be. Big play guy. Of course, he's going to eventually connect with Mahomes.

The problem with Xavier Worthy is he's just not a a real wide receiver. He is like a gadget player in an offense that already has guys that operate those types of roles. And as good of an offensive mind and coach as Andy Reid is, you can't simply just run an offense through four different gadget players, he doesn't separate. And when you look at the splits with him and Rashi Rice both on the field, in games over the last two years where Rashi Rice has played, Xavier Worthy averages 2.7 catches per game, just over eight PPR fantasy points per game. That's not usable. That's a first round pick in an Andy Reid offense tied to Patrick Mahomes. The setup is immaculate there, but he can't do anything when Kelsey and Rice are on the field. They resigned Kelsey, so he's there for at least another year. Rashi Rice, yes, he had the little rehab stint in jail, but you know, according to everyone who knows anything about injuries, he's should be fine for training camp into the season.

And what worries me most about Xavier Worthy, I think, is like for someone who recorded the fastest speed ever at the combine, you would assume that his speed would be used on the outside to really like separate from defenses and take shots downfield. And I think it's a confluence of events. I think him and Mahomes have had a lot of unlucky throws where it just does not land and they have really bad deep chemistry. But we do see an overwhelming number of defenses start to play that cover too high. And that's been the case now for, you know, a few years running. And it's the reason why leaguewide passing yardage is really, really down over the last couple years. And it's why I think Patrick Mahomes' passing numbers have not been as great. Obviously, they don't have Tyreek Hill anymore. But if you follow Tyreek Hill over to Miami, Miamiy's passing numbers have come down with Mike McDaniel because I think a lot of these defenses have now converted to the fact that they play these deep zones. And now we're seeing a lot of running backs, you know, start to get more workhorse carries and and start to really like feed on the fact that defenses are playing back a little bit. we're seeing is a swinging of the pendulum when it comes to NFL playmakers downfield and speed and defenses and how they play top guys like Patrick Mahomes.

So, I think it's a multitude of those things working against Xavier Worthy, but those two have just never had deep chemistry. Like, no matter how many times they try to connect, it just does not work. And it feels like Patrick Mahomes has better deep chemistry with Taekwon Thornton. Thornton was [ __ ] awesome last year. And they did resign him. Not that I really think Taekquin Thornton is gonna be like an every down player by any means, but I do think he'll eat into some of those targets downfield. And then you're talking about Xavier Worthy just being a gadget guy who can't really separate from man coverage. He's not great against zone coverage. And Rashi Rice already does all that stuff a thousand times better than Xavier Worthy does. So yeah, when I when I look in that round, like to me, Xavier Worthy is the clear odd man out. I would take every all the guys above him. I would take all the guys behind him and we can move on to round number nine.

First running back on this list, Rashad White out in Tampa Bay. And I love this because this feels like a contrarian take at this point. I have not seen this amount of love towards Rashad White in fantasy football, maybe ever in his career. And it's at a point where he's probably at the lowest value of his career. But suddenly, everyone loves Rashad White. So, we'll start here. Uh Rashad White, obviously no longer with the Bucks, was signed to Washington on a one-year $2 million deal. So, he's not one of those guys that, you know, even a two-year $8 million deal. We're like, "Okay, we have like clear plans for you over the next year or so to be in a rotation for sure." And do I think Rashad White's not going to be in the rotation? No. That would be disingenuous of me or disingenuine, whatever the right correct terminology. Both those sounded [ __ ] great off the tongue, though. Rashad White, I think he'll be in the committee. I think this team and everything I hear from beat reporters and all the reports that are coming out, I do think they really like JCM. I think he moves differently. I think he's a much better runner. And that's kind of where my problem with Rashad White comes into play here.

When you look at what Rashad White does well, when you look at what JCM does well, they are basically two opposites. Rashad White is a phenomenal athlete and a great pass catcher and a very poor runner at the NFL level. On the opposite side of things, JCM was great, great on the ground last year. I think he provided a level of explosiveness and in between the tackles running ability while his weak point has always been pass catching and playing on third downs and those things. So, they complement each other very well. My issue with this is in the two years with Jaden Daniels as the starter in Washington, the target shares for the running backs in Washington have been amongst the lowest in the NFL. In his rookie year, running back saw just 15.7% of the targets in Washington, which was amongst the lowest in the NFL. Last year, that dropped even further down to 12.8%, 31st in the league, which is not as relevant obviously because Jaden Daniels missed a lot of time, but he did still play a handful of games and they do have a new offensive coordinator coming in. But again, it just it it speaks that overall theme of like mobile quarterback, doesn't pass to the running back as much. You've had David Blau there as well. So, it's like how different is this offense going to be? Different than Cliff Kingsbury, of course, but like I still would not project this is not a Shawn Payeyton offense where 28 to 30% of the targets are going to the running backs. And it's like, okay, Rashad White can really eat by himself. 14 to 16% of the targets on the overall team in a probably low passing volume offense overall to begin with are going to the running backs as a total, not just Rashad White, but a split between all the running backs here. I have such a hard time envisioning Rashad White taking early down work. No idea what's going to happen inside the 5yd line. Is it JCM? Is it Jaden Daniels scoring six or seven touchdowns this year? Is it Rashad White getting four goal line carries? Like to me, I think people are hanging on to like the the forced volume that Rashad White had early on in Tampa Bay. His prospect profile was good in terms of build and athleticism. He looks like a three down back. He is just not a good runner of the football whatsoever. And I think they already have that in a dude who in my opinion broke out as a rookie. I I know people like do not like JCM for whatever reason, but I think for the uphill battle he faced being a late round pick doing what he did as a rookie and you can see the tweet that I that I posted a couple days ago about him. I thought he was awesome for a late day three pick and I think they have something to build on there as an early down grinder.

Moving to round eights, RJ Harvey running back in Denver. He is the 801 right now. So he almost slipped his way into the seventh round which I hate even more. I I think if we remember a year ago, I was pretty much the only person on football Twitter that thought R.J. Harvey was a legitimately bad runner of the football. I was vocal about this on Twitter. I even went deep in my film bag. I was breaking down film. I was, "You got to go here. You got to go here. You can't go over here." And every time I said, "You can't go over here," R.J. Harvey went over there. And the funny part about it was I was like very anti-RJ Harvey in dynasty rookie drafts, but I was fine with him if you wanted to take him in reddraft fantasy football because it's easy to acknowledge like, hey, you have a passcatching type of back in a Shawn Peyton offense. Of course, the upside could happen. He ended up seeing that upside because JK Dobbins got hurt and he had a lot of fantasy production, especially over the second half of the season, but in terms of his effectiveness as a runner, I think we saw that play out. And if you look at any of the numbers, you know, we're talking about the third worst success rate as a runner, the fourth worst rushing yards over expectation per attempt. Just a lot of bad and then a lot of good as a receiver, which should not be a surprise to anyone. But you can clearly see that Shawn Payeyton felt so much more comfortable with JK Dobbins as the real workhorse in Denver. The entire first half of the year before JK Dobbins got hurt, Dobbins was a dude getting 15 to 18 carries per game, R.J. Harvey was playing in mix and match spots and it was just all the rumors, reports of this offseason of what Denver wanted to add. They ended up resigning JK Dobbins to, you know, a much more lucrative contract than [ __ ] Rashad White got. And then they added Jonah Coleman in the draft, an early day three pick. So, it's like, yeah, they're they're signaling to you, they're pointing to you that it's like if if they had a guy that they thought was capable of taking this high upside role, then they wouldn't have made all these moves. But it's clear that they just see him as a player in this rotation. So, I'm sure Harvey will have his like PPR weeks. At the end of the day, if you look at the situation objectively, he's a very explosive player. He is an athletic pass catcher, and this is a Shawn Payeyton offense that does utilize the running backs in the passing game at a very, very high degree. It's an incredibly stout offensive line, probably one of, if not the best offensive lines in the game. But, man, you could tell they just do not want him carrying the ball much. He he is just a very poor inside runner. He's very poor vision. He just always wants to use his explosiveness to bounce runs outside, inside, etc.

Moving into round seven, and this is one that I didn't love to pick, but it's much more of an avoid injuries going into the year type of thing. You know, that was always one of my calling cards that I would try to preach to y'all. It's like your players are going to get injured throughout the year often, right? It's football. It's fantasy football. That shit's just going to happen. So, I don't really understand the point of drafting dudes coming into the year that you know are injured, right? Like Rashi Rice is not going to be injured going into the year. He's injured now or was, but will be fully recovered by the time the season starts. That's different. But when we look at guys like Alec Pierce, who is the next guy on this list, round seven pick, it's going around 704, 705. It's very hard to make the case for Alec Pierce in full PPR leagues, which are the leagues that I I play in. Originally, when the summer started, things felt great. You know, you had Michael Pitman. He's gone. You have Alec Pierce signing this fat extension. You do have the Daniel Jones injury, so it's a little bit of wish, a little bit of wash, but ultimately it was great. And then, you know, he has this ankle procedure and the timeline starts to get a little wonky. And it starts to get longer and it's like a little bit more worrisome than we originally had planned for. And you start to look at the articles around whether it's from the New York Times, The Athletic, Dr. Jesse Morris, I spoke to, Pro Football Doc, David Chow, they're all worried about it. And and one of my bigger concerns too and this might be like big braining it a little bit too much because I do think if Alec Pierce is on the field like he has developed into a much better player than we kind of thought he was early on in his career. I think he's a little more well-rounded. You get that contract, no more Michael Pitman. They're going to feature him and I think he's going to be utilized a lot. However, I'm just worried we're going to miss like half of the season of a high-end production that a wide receiver one should get.

And when I think about Daniel Jones coming back from the Achilles tear, I went back and Daniel Jones has been so inconsistent with his deep ball accuracy. I went back and looked at deep ball catchable target rate. You know, the the the the rate in which the deep balls that you throw are just simply catchable. They don't need to be caught because I think like catch rate and completion rate are very very skewed based on, you know, defenders play and based on wide receivers dropping balls, etc. So, I went back and looked at catchable target rate, and in four out of Daniel Jones's seven seasons, he was around or below 30% on his catchable target rate. Most good quarterbacks in terms of throwing deep, and I'm not even talking about great, I'm just talking about like probably around average to to good. So, like 18th to 13th place, 12th place, they're usually around like 40%. And then the really good ones are in the upper 40s to lower 50s. So Daniel Jones being around 30% and or lower for the majority of his seasons is extremely worrisome and I worry that the Achilles is going to be a big nuisance to him and make it really tough for him to push off and throw accurately downfield where Alec Pierce obviously made the majority of his money last season. And again, I think he'll get easier routes. I think he'll get shorter routes. I think he'll get more of those like eat them up routes. But we also do have two really talented pass catchers in that area of the field with Tyler Warren and Josh DS already. So, it gets murky for me if the injury wasn't there for Alec Pierce. And I don't know that we've gotten a ton of updates on the Alec Pierce injury either. Like when I spoke to Dr. Morris a couple weeks ago and from what I've seen from the Twitter docs, like I think there's a chance this goes really late into the summer and I don't think it's a promise that Alec Pierce is ready for week one either. So, we'll see if he avoids the pup list, which I I I'm assuming he probably will, but I do think this is like an injury to be really really kind of dialed in on to make sure that you are understanding what his price could be. So, it's his injury. It's Daniel Jones's injury. I think there's enough smoke here that I'm probably just going to stay away from this fire.

Moving down to round six, there are two players that I'm really, really avoiding here, but we're going to stick to one, and that's Chuba Hubard. like who is drafting Chuba Hover in the sixth round? When I look at Chuba in the sixth round, you have top 10 rookies around him. You have quarterbacks, you have like Jaden Daniels himself might rush for more yards than Chuba Hubard will this year going around where he is. Chuba, I think we know what he is as a as an NFL player. He's like a jack of all trades, a master of none. And Jack is probably putting it a little bit too highly. He's a nine. He's a nine of diamonds at all. A master of none. He could play all three downs, but he's not really good at anything. He had the big breakout year a couple years ago because he was force-fed a ton of volume. He has never ranked inside the top 30 in terms of elusiveness for running backs. He's not an explosive player. And yeah, you guys know I love Jonathan Brooks, but this is not this is not like a lunatic like Jonathan Brooks is going to be the workhorse. No doubt about it. Of course, you have to fade Chuba. the more the more you play fantasy football, the the more you realize like you do have to play spectrums here. And you do have to approach these players from like a more legitimate stance of what's most likely to happen. And what I think is most likely to happen is that the two are going to end up being in a committee. When you look at what's most likely to happen if one of these guys ends up emerging as the workhorse by the end of the year, yeah, human intuition kind of tells you that's Jonathan Brooks. And I think everything you hear out of Carolina is that they want Jonathan Brooks to be the guy that emerges as the second round talent that they chose, right? I think that's just normal human intuition. Like of course they want this guy who was projected to be the workhorse a few years ago to eventually take that role. So my concern is this, like they're almost certainly going to be a committee. Like maybe Chuba is the starter for the first couple weeks of the season and you feel okay about it. The issue though is like once they form a committee, you are drafting a committee running back who probably has the lower upside of the two in a Carolina offense that since Bryce Young has taken over has ranked 23rd and 27th in points per game, 31st and 24th in plays per game. This will just never be a highly productive offense overall. And yes, they can have productive fantasy running backs when one guy takes over as the workhorse. when someone is the bell cow like Chuba was a couple years ago, like Rico was during his stretch. But then as soon as like Chuba cemented himself back into the committee last year, Rico was a pretty hard click and he was a pretty hard start in fantasy. You never really knew what you were going to get from him. So, you kind of need one guy to end up being the bellcow or the workhorse in an offense that's as unproductive as this is in order to return value. And I just don't think if you're kind of turning your brain on, we're really going to get that in Carolina this year. one guy. As much as I love Jonathan Brooks, I like taking him in the ninth or tifth round because he has the upside to be that guy, but I'm not projecting him to do so. And I'm not taking him in the seventh or sixth or fifth round on some like fairy tale vision of it happening.

We move into round five. This is a round where I feel like there's a lot of dudes that I hesitate to click on right now. And I think I could genuinely make the case of why like nine of the 12 picks in this round are bad picks. like David Montgomery, the offensive line is terrible. The offense is quite terrible. CJ Straoud, there's no guarantee that he's going to be good or bounce back. Their defense is so good that sure, they're going to lean on the ground a little bit more, which I think will be David Montgomery's role, but they're only going to have to score 17 points a game to win games. Woody Mars is without a doubt going to have a pass catching role in that offense. So, you keep going down. Quinnshot Judkins probably a really bad offense, probably a bad offensive line, two down player. Jameson Williams, the majority of his work last year was done obviously in the second half of the season. Now you can conflate it with, okay, Dan Campbell took over as a play caller, but I also think Sam Laora being off the field was a huge deal for James Williams. If you look at those splits, his single best fantasy game last year as well came when Aman Rah St. Brown got hurt very early and left the game and then JO ate afterwards. So now you have your top two pass catchers not on the field there. So, I think a lot of Jame Jame Jameson William, he's a a great NFL player. Obviously, spreads of defense like no other. Really tough click in full PPR leagues. I I think his splits from last year are very very skewed just based off the fact that both Aman Ra Sam Laora miss some time and most of his production, if not almost all of his production, came in those games. Trayvon Henderson, I think, was way worse than Randre Stevenson was last year. He was not a good pass blocker. Uh he was not great in between the tackles runner. I think Randre Stevenson is still going to have a very very very fruitful volume role there in New England. Josh McDaniels has always always used a committee going back very very far in his career whether as an OC or a head coach. I think we're going to see more of that. So there's just a lot of scariness at the top here. So realistically, I don't know that I could decide on one. I know I said this was the official list and I was going to pick one per round, but uh yeah, I don't I don't really like much of those guys at the top five. The one I like the most. The one I would be clicking the most to draft on my team would be Quinchan Judkins. The rest of them make me [ __ ] queasy though.

So, we're moving into round four and Malik Neighbors is sitting in round four and when the summer started he was a round two pick and then the injury stuff moved him to round three and then eventually to round four and then we actually just heard yesterday that he's going to be avoiding the pup which doesn't make me much more excited about him for 2026. Obviously, it's positive news and it's the first positive news we've heard about Malik Neighbors basically the entire off season. It still does not mean that he's going to be ready for week one. It still doesn't mean he's not he's not going to miss a couple games. It's more so like they think he has a legitimate chance to be on the field within the first four weeks at some point. So, it could be week four. When you have a player as talent as Malik Neighbors, you don't even want to give the chance of him missing a game that he doesn't necessarily need to. And I think that's what it's pointing towards. I haven't seen one single report from a beat guy out in New York being like, "Oh yeah, he's going to be ready to go for training camp." They're all still walking on eggshells in terms of We'll see what type of participation he has during the summer and training camp and all that stuff, but we'll get reports quickly cuz training camp is starting. You know, some of the teams have reported already. All that to say, we're not going to go Malik Neighbors just cuz I think it's everybody's pick around this area and and whatever. We have to wait for the dust to settle in training camp. I think they have a valid take on on Malik Neighbors right now.

I'm going to make probably one of the more contrarian takes of the year. This is the one that backfires. This is the one that everyone comes back to the video for and being like, "This [ __ ] [ __ ] took." Luther Burden in the fourth round. It It's L. You have to be able to separate the art from the artist, the round from the player. Luther Burden going in the fourth round terrifies me for a few reasons. We've obviously only seen him perform in a very, very small sample size. There's a lot of good going for Luther Burton. The problem is when you're paying for these hyped upside guys, like you're paying for a lot of the price of Luther Burton already and the higher a player goes in drafts, obviously the riskier it is because of the opportunity cost. when you're paying for, you know, a Cornell Tate or Jordan Tyson in the sixth or seventh round, that's a lot more palatable because the guys going around them are either much more replaceable, they're the high-end quarterback, so you can get another one right after them, or there are these other guys who have one already proven it at the NFL level, and two are just as likely to have monster years as this other guy. So, Luther Burden, I'm a little bit honestly I'm a little bit bearish on the upside of the Bears passing offense. Statistically, I think they'll be a good team. And I think Caleb will take another step up, but the one I trust the most in this offense by far and away is Coloulston Lovel. I really don't know what the splits are going to look like between Rome and Luther. And yes, you could obviously make the point Ben Johnson went out, handpicked Luther Burton, didn't play him for the first half of the season. They get rid of DJ Moore, they get rid of Ola Zakius. I just don't think Luther Burton is that well-rounded of an actual receiver. And can he progress? Obviously, can Ben Johnson scheme him into ways that just highlight his strengths? Absolutely. I am just terrified of the the small sample that we saw last year. You know, he had a very big game against a broken San Francisco defense and then after that when he became a full-time player like in the playoffs, he was a no-show and a few of the games before that also a no-show. So, like, yeah, I he'll have the opportunity, but fourth round's a pretty hefty price for me to pay if he drops into the fifth. You know, I'm I'm looking at Luther Burton for sure. I was on a stream the other night, actually, where we took Coulson Loveland the endish of the fourth and then Luther Burden dropped to us around uh I think it was like the 53, 54s, and I'm like, that's a little bit more palatable for me. I think you weigh the the upside and the downside and and the problem is if Luther Burton ends up having like a good year where he goes for 850 900 yards if Caleb Williams throws for 3,800 yards like Coulson Lovelin's going to get his the red zone when they're inside the five and 10 they use DeAndre Swift and use Kyle Manunga it's such a high volume that I'm a little bit worried about where Luther Burden's scoring equity comes in and then you have Roma Dunce who's another in my opinion really good red zone threat don't know what's going on with his foot there but he's obviously still going to run all the routes I still think Ben Johnson wants to be a run first offense like he always was in Detroit like they were last year. So yeah, Luther Burton, he's my official fourth round pick. I feel really good and not scared about that one.

When we move into round three, you know, this is where we just have a bunch of phenomenal players and I would be happy with any of these guys on my team, but we do have to pick players and my eyes immediately go to the middle of the round there with Bree Hall's RB14 and Kyron Williams is RB 15. So, I think there are two angles or two ways to approach this. I think Kairen has an incredibly high floor as he always does, but we did see the material change last year and how they're using the backfield. Blake Cororm was legitimately really good, one of the most explosive players in the NFL when you look at the breakaway run rate and they started to split drives one at a time and that will become a problem eventually for Ky Williams and I think it could eventually earn Blake Cororm more and more work. There was a report out of I think it was Nate Ty, someone very respectable in the beat reporter world, maybe someone else from the Rams uh department that said that their hot take is that Blake Horm rushes for 1,000 yards this year. And I actually went on a bold prediction show earlier this off seasonason. And one of my bold predictions was that both Kairen and Blake Cororm rush for 1,000 yards. The first running back duo to do so since Jonathan Stewart and D'Angelo Williams back in I think it was 09. Um, and that would make sense because there this is like the best setup in theory on paper. You have the unbelievable defense. You have a very good offensive line. You have an unbelievable play caller, offensive minded coach and Shawn McVey that's now using this heavy personnel that makes things easier for running backs. I just get nervous about Kairen in terms of splitting the snaps. And I feel like a lot of the touchdown equity is going to come down to who is on the field when those drives end up being inside the five. I think the offense will take a little bit of a step back. Like they won't have to put the pedal to the metal like they did last year. Stafford's going to see a dip in touchdown regression. Of course, their schedule is is much tougher this year, especially with a healthy San Francisco 49ers team. And their schedule is like kind of wacky in terms of travel. I think they have seven prime times games this year and they are all over the place, all over the world, all over the country, very short rest weeks often. So, my biggest hesitation with with Kairen is simply we know that there was finally this change in how the offense operates last year. They've been saying it for offseason. Oh, we're going to get another guy involved. We're going to get another guy involved. Never happened until last year about week eight or week nine. That's when things started getting involved. And Blake Horm actually was on pace from it was week eight through the rest of the season on pace for more than 900 rushing yards. That's coming off of someone's plate. That's coming off of Kairen's plate. Kirn averages just over 30 receptions a year. So, he's not a huge PPR factor by any means. He saw almost 70 fewer carries last year than he did the year prior, which also led to a touchdown dip for him. So, when you're building your team in that third round, I think you're passing up on a lot of really high upside players where Kairen provides you a floor that I think if things break in an unlucky fashion, he could end up with eight touchdowns this year and be pretty disappointing for your team.

Bree on the other hand, I mean, I I don't really need to talk talk to you about the the Jets. My biggest concern with Bree, they give him the bag and I think he will operate as the workhorse. I'm not as concerned about like a committee or anything. And I think we saw with Gino coming in, he dumped the ball off to Ashen Genti a million times last year. My biggest concern for Bree is that like we do get Kade Clubnick coming in and starting games. Gino Smith's Vegas prop lines for the upcoming season. 2,600 passing yards, 14 and a half passing touchdowns. To me, that's like, yes, Gino's probably not that good of a quarterback anymore. This is not going to be a prolific passing offense, but that is baking in the risk of yes, Gino likely not going to be starting the full season and typically when a starting quarterback gets benched, what time of the year is that going to be at? The final stretch of games, which also coincides with your fantasy playoffs. And when you look at that stretch of games, weeks 13 through 17, one, he's got one of those late buys. So week 13, you're fighting for a playoff spot. Week 13's the buy. They play Denver in week 14. terrible. Uh they do get a nice break at Arizona. So Arizona, the [ __ ] Kate Clubnick versus Carson Beck matchup in week 15 is going to be uh the worst thing to ever bless my eyeballs, unfortunately. But then week 16 and 17, it's New England, it's Minnesota. Like I'll just say in the middle of that round, I would prefer Javvante Williams. I would take a T. Higgins over those guys. I like Acha Ibuka a lot. Like Josh Jacobs, I don't think's going to see a lot of off-the- field trouble right now, as far as I know. So, I feel a little bit more comfortable with the guys that I know are going to be the workhorse bellcows in their offense than a Kairen Williams. So, I think I would lean more towards Kiren. I can acknowledge the upside of Bree with Gino Smith and the offensive line and the weapons kind of making that offense a little bit more palatable. And I think without Justin Fields, you have fewer touchdowns being taken by the quarterback, rushing, etc. They can accentuate Bree Hall's involvement in the passing game. So, Kiren in the third round likely not going to be for me. Falls into the fourth round. Cool.

And while we're talking about just awesome running backs that can make me look like a [ __ ] [ __ ] in fantasy football this year, my round two pick is actually Devon Aan. He is the 15th player off the board. He's finally moved down. When I first started making videos this summer, he was like the ninth player off off the board. And I think most people came to realize, ah, we got a problem in Miami with the offensive scheme, the offensive system, the offensive line, the offensive players, the offense this, the offense that. And uh Devon Hen 15th pick. So, you're talking about the 203, his price is becoming more palatable right now in my rankings, which you can go get at bdgeg.co. Sign up for the fantasy membership that has all my rankings. It's got all the player data. So, you got Vegas props up there. You've got, of course, any league type that you're in. Superflex, one quarterback, PPR, half PPR, all that kind of stuff's going to be available August 1st for you. We also built out a live draft assistant for you, so you could actually sync all your leagues and use all of our tools. We have a bunch of new tools in season for you. So you can sync your leagues and while your draft is happening in real time, it'll cross players off the rankings list and it'll show you best players available, etc. Very, very awesome tools for you guys. But you will see if you have my rankings available, Devon Achan to me is a back-end round two guy for a ton of reasons that you've probably heard at Nauseium already. Miami is going to stink. I don't love taking players in offenses where I already know the environment is going to be terrible. The tough part with Han is that he's so good in the passing game, but I'm so worried about Malik Willis just not throwing him the ball very much. We have numbers on Malik Willis in terms of target share to running back in the games that he started so far in his career. And it's a very small sample size, so it's not like don't take it as science. Uh but it it's just kind of intuitive. Mobile quarterbacks tend to run more when they're under pressure and they don't want to dump passes off. And I think Tua was like the antithesis of that where all he wanted to do was dump off to running backs and that led to so much of Devon Han. And I think Mike McDaniel was a great play caller and schemer. They don't have Mike McDaniel. They don't have Tua. They have a running quarterback. They have a bad offense. That Vegas line is four and a half wins. I'd be surprised if they win five games this year. So you need Devon Chan in order to return value in my opinion to kind of put together a even more efficient season than he did last year. I think he was great in PPR because he'd catch five or six dump offs a game and he also had all those explosive plays. So, you not only need all of those explosive plays to return, but you probably need more because I think the reception total is going to come down pretty heavily in this offense. You have no real pass catchers as a consequence that are going to move the offense. It's like great that Han's going to be the number one target here, but when they go three and out over and over and over and over again, it's going to kill you watching your fantasy player do that. We have a completely new coaching staff and yes, they're going to love Han. He's the best player on their offense by far. But when they get down inside the five, do they bang it up there with Ali Gordon? Does he miss out on the easy touchdowns? And therefore, you need him to break away those 60, 50, 40 yard runs to score touchdowns. That becomes an issue because those explosive plays, while they came last year, two years ago, he had very few of them. Those are tough to predict, man. No matter how fast and explosive you are, any explosive running back moves up and down. We've seen it with years with Jonathan Taylor. We've seen it years with Saquon Barkley. the most explosive running backs kind of eb and flow in terms of those long touchdowns. They're not easy to come by. So yeah, I'm I'm I'm I'm spooked by Devon Chan at this price very very much.

And as we move to round one and pick the player that terrifies me the most. You are absolutely nitpicking when it comes to the top 12 players. They are the 12 best players in fantasy football. But if I'm looking at this list, to me, Justin Jefferson is by far and away the scariest player on this list to draft in round one. I am just terrified of Kyler Murray. I just don't think he is a very good NFL quarterback. And I know people are just going to point back to what he did with DeAndre Hopkins in like 2020. That was 6 years ago. And it was before the NFL figured him out. And it was with Cliff Kingsbury before NFL defenses just ate his lunch and continued to allow him to have one good year and then get fired. Jefferson could he'll be fine in full PPR. Like he'll catch a bunch of balls, he'll get a bunch of targets, but Kyler's not a high touchdown thrower. Vegas has his touchdown line at 17 and a half, which is incredibly low. And again, not a perfect science, but it's more like directionally correct in terms of how you should be thinking of him in a tier of with these other quarterbacks and their passing touchdown upside. And I think there's a good chance that that's actually factoring in a start or two from JJ McCarthy, which I don't think is out of the question. I think they invested a lot into him. And if they feel like he's practicing really well for three months of the season and Kyler's struggling and they lose three or four games in a row, I wouldn't be shocked if they give him another start at some point. Over Kyler's last four seasons, he has averaged 1.2 passing touchdowns per game. That scares me, man. And and when I think of Justin Jefferson, I'm like, "Okay, he'll probably catch 100 passes. He'll probably go for 1400 yards." His touchdown outlook, though, I don't really know how you can project him for scoring more than like seven or eight touchdowns. And you're drafting him over guys who are like ski similar skill sets, but attached to like CD Lamb in Dallas's offense and their prolific passing offense. You you're drafting them around a bunch of these workhorse running backs who I think basically have floors of double-digit touchdowns. And you know, there are a lot of people that are much better at manipulating data than I am on Twitter that break down Kyler Murray's throwing tendencies and his ability and his middle of the field targeting. He doesn't do it often and he's not efficient when he does it. And that's where Justin Jefferson really eats. I think the fit between the two is going to be clunky. I think Kyler is a really good pick in Superflex leagues as a quarterback, too, because I think he'll just piece together games where it's big plays here, big plays there, good playmakers, rushing floor, of course, Kevin Oonnell is goated as a play caller. But I think I I think we're going to see some growing pains here. And realistically, it's like they had no other choice but to sign a guy like Kyler. I don't think them they didn't have a lot of quarterbacks on the market to go get. So for Kyler, it was kind of a no-brainer. There's just no way you could run back a full season of JJ McCarthy again, obviously. So, it's like he's better than what we have, but I don't think you should equate it with him being good. And I think the other thing, too, is Kyler's missed significant time in like the majority of the seasons over the last 5 years. So, very real chance that we see an injury from him and then we see JJ McCarthy again and then that's that whole experience. So, yeah, if I'm if I'm just here listening to my emotions, Justin Jefferson to me is the scariest pick in round one and I don't think it's particularly close. Although Ashen Jenty a pick nine getting spooky.

So I will leave you at that. That is you know should have been 10 players till your Idiot League mates draft. I ended up talking through about 17 18 24 guys. Some of them I'm not even like that anti against. But I do have to pick at least one player per round. So sound off in the comments. Tell me how [ __ ] dumb I am as you guys always do. You're very very good at that. But I appreciate you watching. As always, if you enjoyed the video, hit the button that looks like this. Subscribe to the channel if you are new and go check out bdge.co for everything we've been cooking up over there. Amazing tools coming to you in season. Cannot wait to launch that. Sheesh. Love y'all. I'm out. Smoochies. [music]