Transcription
The world after this might not be a world directed by Super Powers like in the past. But the role of Middle Powers will have a great role. Not a small number of Muslim nations, who are the holders of various energy resources, are playing a prominent role in being Middle Powers. The countries that will be Israel's next targets are countries like Turkey, including countries like Pakistan. In Turkey, Israel is trying to send factions that are opposed to the current government. The current government is trying to resist Israel. After this, Trump will probably say that this is a success, to end the war first, as an immediate matter.
>> A wide variety of products [singing sound] [music] that are polite and ancient for over 70 years and shine [singing sound] [music] cared for forever, Supap Osot.
I look at the great powers in the Middle East, Turkey is quite influential. Pakistan has become influential, Egypt is starting to think about becoming influential. It means that these groups of countries, in the past, they didn't pay attention to uniting. Their gathering this time shows many things, which is that there is a crisis that needs to be solved, so they gathered to solve their own crisis problems. And they have performed their duties very well, especially Pakistan, which is the one who made everything work out. Or even Turkey itself is now starting to get along very well with Saudi Arabia, meaning there are joint investments or discussions about economic development, or there will be oil sales to Europe through Turkey. This is like seeing some kind of relationship that has never appeared before. Therefore, the Muslim world might change dramatically, perhaps a new strong pole will emerge, because with a strong Muslim pole, I think the balance of power will shift. They don't need to not rely on China or Russia, they rely on themselves and stay together in their own group, and then balance power with the West, China, and Russia. I think it will have more dignity and prosperity.
I'd like the professor to analyze the future opportunities of the Muslim world, especially since we also have a Muslim world in Southeast Asia. Will this connection make them more intimate, especially Malaysia and Indonesia? How close are they to the Middle East, and how much will they group together to gain economic power, professor? Please.
The world after this might not be a world directed by super powers like in the past. But the role of Middle Powers will have a great role. All the Arab countries, the Muslim world, are playing a prominent role in being Middle Powers. Which sometimes, being a Middle Power might carry less burden than a superpower, Mr. Thanee.
>> Yes, yes, yes.
And we also see that there is an effort to adjust relations among all the Muslim countries. All these Muslim countries, there are both rich and poor countries, of course. But one thing we see is that not a small number of Muslim nations are the holders of resources, especially natural resources and various energy sources. So, if they can unite or create more unity, or better yet, at the very least, reduce conflicts, don't create new issues. I think just this would make the situation and their role much better. Uh, but now, Mr. Thanee and the audience.
>> Yes.
Uh, I think the country that will be Israel's next target after this is a country like Turkey.
>> Hmm.
Including a country like Pakistan, which played a very prominent role in the past war.
Uh, in Turkey, Israel is trying to send factions that are opposed to the current government. And the current government, led by President Erdogan, has an idea of trying to create unity in the Muslim world, right? And he also tries to resist Israel, even though in practice, it's not easy. But at least in terms of policy, in terms of words, he just opposes. Uh, I think what they call the strategy of all the colonial powers that has been used and has always been effective, Mr. Thanee, even until now.
>> Yes.
The policy of "divide and rule" has always been used effectively.
So, creating political instability within the Muslim world by interfering or giving benefits to opposition parties or rivals might reduce unity in the Muslim world. If we look at the picture of success, if countries like Indonesia, Malaysia, Brunei in this region can achieve unity, form groups, at least I see it as economic. And next is the matter of security. People, Mr. Thanee, when talking about money, about the economy, they talk.
>> Yes.
It's more concrete than talking about other things first, right? At least if we can talk about this, I think it's a good thing, and it's also good for Thailand, Mr. Thanee.
>> Yes.
It's a good thing for Thailand because we have good relations with the Muslim world.
Uh, both our neighbors in ASEAN or in uh, various countries in the Middle East. What I would encourage the government to do after this, if everything goes according to the phase and plan mentioned regarding the ceasefire agreement and the peace agreement that will follow in the future, is to quickly approach Iran.
>> Yes.
Uh, I, I went to Iran, uh, in early 2025.
>> Yes.
See, 2000, 2025, yes, that's correct.
>> Yes.
I met and talked with the Thai commercial attaché who was in Tabriz, saying.
>> Oh, hmm.
In fact, Iranian entrepreneurs really want to trade with Thai people.
>> Yes.
Uh, there are many products they want, such as cars, car parts, automobiles, motorcycles, uh, food, uh, various canned foods, uh, fruits.
Uh, things like jewelry, etc.
>> Hmm.
They want them. On the Thai side, we also want to export and sell, right? But the problem in the past was the sanctions, which made the Thai side not dare to trade with Iran for fear of US sanctions. But if those measures ease or end, it's an opportunity for us to rush towards what is called a new economic power, one in the Middle East and also globally, which is Iran, with its vast oil and natural gas resources, vast mineral resources, a customer population of 93 million people there, and many Iranian tourists who want to travel abroad and visit countries like Thailand, right? There are uh, many things that we can exchange, but the important thing is whether we will be at the front of the train or at the back of the train.
>> That's what we have to ask the government. [laughter] We probably can't answer, we have to leave it to the professor. On this matter, if the professor has such an idea, the professor might need stimulation from the academic sector or uh, the university sector to connect uh, Iran and Thailand.
I strongly agree that Thailand should seize this golden opportunity to go to Iran and trade. Our country is also famous for food products and tourism. Professor, I'd like to end this clip a little bit. We can't not talk about Donald Trump, because he is a very important driving force behind these events. Professor, please help analyze Donald Trump a little bit.
Donald Trump, he is seen as a devil or a villain, if viewed from the perspective of invading Iran. But I also look at it positively, that at least he knows how to retreat, uh, he's not a madman, he still has his senses, so he went back to where he was. From now on, professor, what role do you think Donald Trump will play?
In the next 60 days, he will probably have to end the matter. I don't think anyone would believe that after 60 days, they would continue fighting, that's impossible. In 60 days, he has to go to the election, and he has to meet Xi Jinping in September, and he has to win the election. Okay, after the election, there might be new fighting, I don't know, but during this period, I think it must be calm until the election is over. From November to December, it must be calm. So, his planning here means that he must enter the election, the election that he must win. What will he do during this period to prevent further conflict? Professor, if you were Trump, what would you do?
>> I can't even imagine myself. [laughter] [clears throat] Uh, I, I saw Trump's facial expression and demeanor, very tired during the past week or two.
There's no way out, no way out, meaning if they continue fighting, they know they won't win, right?
>> Hmm.
Uh, so I agree that at the last minute, the negotiator's wisdom still remains, meaning choosing to uh, cut out the bad part and preserve the good part, right?
Uh, or rather, at this time, Trump chose to see through Israel. And he also agreed that he might have to conflict with AIPAC or some Jewish groups inside, at least for a while, because.
The important timing after this is the midterm elections that will take place in November.
>> Yes.
It's an election for the House of Representatives.
Which in America, they elect every 2 years. Our country would be good too, Mr. Thanee, if we elected every 2 years.
>> So that, you know, they would work diligently and be taught. [laughter]
>> Order some more, please.
Uh, yes, the point is that if he loses the election, if the Republicans lose in the midterm elections, it will be a lame-duck government.
>> Hmm.
Whatever they do, it appears that resolutions in parliament won't pass, it will be a lame-duck government, right?
So, in the remaining time, uh, 4 months after this, Trump must focus back on the country. After being, as they say, tricked into staying abroad for a long time.
He must focus on the domestic economy and act when oil prices fall, causing inflation to fall, right? And regarding explaining to society, after this, Trump will probably say that this is a success, right?
>> Yes.
Uh, which uh, I see as a success in realizing it before it's too late, right?
>> Yes.
Retreating in time, retreating in time, and he can explain that this cessation means that Iran will not possess nuclear weapons. Which Iran has already said they don't possess, right? But let's say Trump has his reasons to tell uh, the American people that we can end uh, this war, uh, we can make Iran promise not to possess uh, nuclear weapons. Uh, but in the end.
Hmm, hmm [clears throat]. If we follow this closely, we will see that Trump lost a lot of ground in this war that shouldn't have happened, right?
Perhaps uh, to conclude with the words of Senator Chris Van Hollen once again, who said that Mr. Netanyahu has waited 40 years to find an American president foolish enough to enter a war with Iran. Why? Because the previous presidents, in the previous era, they saw through Israel and realized well enough that entering this war would be impossible to get out of, just like Trump is facing today.
And finally, it's about losing a lot of credibility as a world superpower by waging war and not winning, not succeeding. And it made the Iranian side recover or become stronger than before the war. Anyway, the best thing is to end the conflict, the best thing is to end the valuation, the best thing is that energy prices in this world, gas prices, natural fertilizer prices, uh, various living costs, they have decreased. All of us will be able to, as they say, alleviate the situation from the 108 days of war that have passed. But ultimately, whether it will reach a peace agreement or not is still a question that will require waiting for quite a while. But at least for now, let's end the war, end the conflict first, as an immediate matter.
>> So, thank you very much, professor, today for providing information and analyzing it uh, very deeply. And also for criticizing Trump twice, professor. [laughter]
>> Excuse me for being the most foolish.
>> After this, after this, he might not be criticized, he might be called smart now, smart and no longer following Israel, something like that. [laughter]
>> Yes, now he has changed from the most foolish person to a smarter person, because he has learned his lesson, it's better this way.
And we hope he won't make such a mistake again. Today, I sincerely thank the professor very much. See you in the next clip. Professor, goodbye.
>> Yes, goodbye. [music]
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