Transcription
If you've been following my bets lately, you know we have been cashing and we're about to do it again. There are a few dogs this weekend that Las Vegas is absolutely sleeping on. But your boy is going to break down the entire card from the main card, JDM versus Makachev, all the way through the entire card until we get to the first fight of the night. And I'm going to give you the best betting angles and breakdowns that we have this weekend.
Welcome to the official UFC 322 edition of the lucrative MMA betting show. This week we are in New York, famous Madison Square Garden for a crazy crazy fight card. We have Jack Dela Madelena taking on Islam Makv for the UFC welterweight belt. Islam is moving up to attempt to become a two division UFC world champion. We've got another championship bout on the card with Valentina Chevchenko taking on Wayi Zang. You know, in my opinion, if Valentina wins this weekend, she's the best women's MMA fighter of all time. We've got Leon Edwards back in the building taking on Carlos Praache. You know who I'm going to be rooting for in that one. I mean, it's a tough one, but there's only one side I can pick on that one. We also have Benois St. Deni coming fresh off the heels of killing the hype of Mauricio Ruffy and the fighting nerds. And he is taking on a veteran, Benil Darush, who is not an easy fight for any man in the division. We also have a title eliminator in Shawn Brady versus Michael Morales and a bunch of other fights. And I'm going to take you through every single one in the UFC 322 edition of the lucrative MMA betting show. So I'll see you on the other side of the intro, lads. Let's run it.
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So welcome back to another edition of the show, boys. It's great to see you here, boys and girls. I need to always say not only boys, there's 5% of my viewers or a bit less are are women. So, shout out to you boys and girls. First of all, I want you to hit the like button and subscribe to the channel if you're not because, as I always say, it keeps me motivated to make more videos if I'm getting more views and subscribers. So, we've been absolutely destroying the sports books lately. We only had one losing week in the last 12 at the time of recording this video, cuz I am recording it before the Gabriel Bonfan Randy Brown card. So we literally went 12 weeks with one loss. The one loss came in a fixed fight with Isaac Dulgaren and Yaida Delve. And if that fight didn't happen, we would have profited on the card. So literally, they needed to fix a fight to make us lose. And on top of that, we had Anteia in that fight, that was a travesty as well. It should have been a no contest. So honestly, it literally took some insanity, almost never seen before circumstances for us to lose the win streak. But we're getting straight back on another one, boys. I'm telling you that right now. We're up over 170 units on the year, which is abnormal in sports betting. And one thing before we get into this fight card, I am third party tracked on Bet MMA. So, I cannot fake my record. 99.9% of frauds out there on YouTube, Instagram, and Twitter are not tracked, but I am. So, I cannot fake my record. It's time to start calling these frauds out. Why are they not tracked? You know why they're not tracked? because they got things to hide. I ain't got nothing to hide. You can see every single bet I've placed over the last seven years. F the predictions and the videos. They mean nothing. All that means something is money in your bank account. That's why I track my bets to prove I'm the best in the game.
And let me start by proving it in a main event of the evening. And we have Jack Damadena taking on Islam Makachev. JDM coming into this fight with a glorious record 18 wins, two losses. Islam Makachev on the other hand glorious record 27 wins only one loss that's a lot of wins man that's not a lot of losses currently they have Islam Makachev as the minus 260 favorite with the underdog price tag on Jack Delmad Delena coming back at plus 220 odds what a fight we have here two of the greatest in MMA two of the greatest in modern MMA right now facing off for the UFC welterweight champion is Islam going to become the new worldweight champion let's talk about it.
First of all, boys, I made a documentary on this video breaking down the fight, going in depth about where they came from, etc., etc. It's on my YouTube channel now. If you want to go and watch it after, you can. You can even open up the video in another tab if you want to do that now. But I'm going to break the fight down a little bit more analytically in this one. This is a wrestler, grappler versus striker matchup, right? JDM is a boxer and basically a pure striker. When he came into the MMA game, he was a pure striker, right? On the other hand, we got Islam Makachev who came into the MMA game as a pure wrestler grapp there in Dagasan with his best friend Kabib. You know, they live next door to each other. They train with each other every single day and they came up in the [ __ ] grappling wrestling mats of Russia, right? And he had to learn the striking game. And to be honest, he's got pretty good at it, just like Jack Madelena has got pretty good at the jiu-jitsu and the wrestling defense now. So, I can see this fight playing out a couple of different ways. First thing I want to say, boys, is that Islam Makv is going to take down Jack Demadalena here guaranteed, right? He's going to take him down. He's probably going to control him for long bouts of the fight and he may even dominate him from top position. I'm going to tell you that right now.
If we go back and look at Jack Demand's last fight against Bal Muhammad in a fight that I bet on him, me and all of my VIPs bet on him, the elite zone cashed out big on Jack Demadena in that fight. But if we look at that fight, I don't think Balo fought to a great game plan. I have to say that right now. And boys, you know that I bet and me in Elite Zone bet on Jack Demad Delena. So, I'm not saying this with any bias, right? Cuz I bet on him, right? I'd love to sit here and say, "Yeah, it was the best bet of all time and it was a easy bet." At the end of the day, man, I don't think Balo fought a great game plan in that fight until the fourth and fifth round. And he got cut and he got hurt in those fourth and fifth round because he had to press the pace, right? Cuz he knew the first three rounds wasn't really going his way cuz he wasn't fighting a good game plan. But in the fourth and fifth rounds, he started to have massive success against Jack Demandala, whether he won them rounds or not, because they were close rounds. You know, Jack definitely landed more damage, but Bala had a lot of control time, a lot more than he did in the first three. I I scored them to Jack, to be honest. But whatever you want to say, Bala had way more success in those rounds than he did in the first three. And I do believe that came from the game plan switch up. You know, if Balau fought the same game plan as he did in round four and round five from Bell One like he did against Leon Rocky Edwards, we may not be saying that Jack Demando is the UFC welterweight champion now, right? Maybe we would. I don't know. It didn't happen. I'm just saying I don't think Balo fought an optimal game plan and he still had a lot of success in that fight. The grappling transitions and scenarios that I saw take place in that octagon on that night tell me that Islam Makachev will have no problem in taking down JDM at least a couple of times in this fight. Is he gonna have issues taking him down overall? Of course. Like JDM will stuff a couple of takedowns. Why not? But I do think Islam will be able to take him down and control him on the map more than Bal Muhammad did.
I want to cast your mind back to Islam Makv versus Dustin Pouyet. And I want to go through this together. So let's look at the first fight, boys. Or sorry, let's look at the first round, I should say. So Islam and Dustin, they come out and within the first 10 to 20 seconds, Islam takes down Dustin Pouyet and is in a dominant grappling position. We can see now he is in half guard and he has tried to advance position. If we skip forward half a minute or so, we now see that Islam has Dustin Pouyet in a kamura or at least a kamura attempt/straight arm bar attempt. So boys, at this moment, the fight's been going on for a minute, less than two minutes, and Islam is already in a dominant grappling position, and that's exactly the type of fighter he is. You know, he doesn't waste any time. He's patient, yes, but he doesn't waste time. He goes to his game early and often. And we see here when Dustin Pouyet is able to scramble out of the armar attempt or or the armlock attempt, we see Islam roll through and take his back in a transition. He takes his back, puts the body lock in, and look where he is now. On the back in a dominant position like he does to a lot of fighters. And he stays here for the entire round, guys. I'm not going to show you all, but he stays here for the entire round. So, you know, watching that fight, I'm pretty sure he's going to be able to do somewhat similar or the same to Jack Dea Madelena cuz Jack Dea Madelena is not a great grappler. He's obviously improved his game a lot, but he's not a great grappler. I mean, Islam has put years and years on the mat in Dagasan, a lot more years into the game in the grappling game than JDM. So, I don't think that he's going to be able to stop the onslaught of grappling and the versatile takedowns and jiu-jitsu attacks that Islam possesses in his toolbox. I mean, Islam was dominating that fight against Dustin Pouyet, making it look semi easy for the first 12 and a half minutes or so. Dustin Pouyet was able to, you know, he was getting taken down like every round. He definitely defended better in round two, but he still got taken down in that round. in round three got taken down again straight away. Islam was on his back like Islam was dominating that position and Dustin Puyer was able to kick off the fence, create a scramble and Jack does this a lot to be honest. So I think it could be replicable. Dustin Puerto was able to get out of that position and then start swinging on the feet. But I mean Islam was still swinging back at him and arguably doing even more damage at times in those striking scenarios as well. So, you know, Dustin P made it close at times and defended the wrestling a lot, but Islam was pretty in control of that entire fight and then he submitted him in round five. You know, beautiful taked down from Islam. He realized that the single legs wasn't working as well as they did at least early in the fight. And so, he abandoned the single leg instead just pulled Dustin Pouyet to him, took the front headlock, submitted him with a dash joke. I mean, I don't see why Islam can't do these things against JDM.
If we look at Islam's fight against Alexander Vulcanowski, how quick Islam is to take the back at times is honestly beautiful to watch. It's a sight to see and it's beautiful to watch. And I don't think JDM has it in him to defend it, at least early in the fight. You know, JDM's best skill set is his cardio, tenacity, boxing, and mindset, you know. So, I feel like he can come through some adversity here and maybe put it on put it on Islam later in the round. But I mean, boys, I can take you through these guys careers and I can show you that Islam's going to be able to take him down, man. Look at the Bassel Hez fight with JDM. He's arguably 2-0 down going into the round five. He wins a split decision. I don't even know if he won that fight against Bassel Hes. Who is that? Bassel Hves is not top 30 in the world, you know. He's not top 40. He's not top 50 in the world, right? And Islam is number one, you know? Islam is number one, if not number two or three. So, I think Islam's going to take him down. Man, I don't want to make this entire breakdown about Islam. I want to give respect to Jack. I gave a lot of respect to Jack in my video that I mentioned earlier, but doing more research on it, doing more tape study, I have to pick Islam in this fight. I think the grappling is just too big a gap. And I don't think the striking is as big of a gap as the grappling. I really don't. I wouldn't be surprised if Islam is able to land some beautiful body kicks here. Balah Muhammad was landing some beautiful body kicks on JDM. I wouldn't be surprised if Islam was able to do the same there. keep the fight at kicking range and land some really good strikes. Islam upper welterweight may have some underrated power and JDM is there to be hit. Bal was cracking him with some massive shots on the feet, big overhands, big kicks, everything. I mean, he was getting caught and JDM is that type of fighter who does stand in the pocket and trade and gets caught. Basel Hairz was landing absolute haymakers on him. He's got an elite chin, but I still feel like Islam can catch him here. Islam is competitive in the striking and fairly uncompetitive in the grappling. So for that reason, Islam should be a pretty big favorite in my opinion and he's going to win this fight. I'm going to pick Islam Makv. I'm going to pick him via decision. Currently, they have the fight goes the decision odds at plus 130 and I don't agree with that. I think it should be favored to go to a decision. I think both fighters are extremely tough. I don't really see either fighter getting a finish. Can it happen? Yes. They're both not only extremely tough, but also dangerous. So, it can happen. But I am predicting the fight to go all five rounds. I think JDM will win a round or two. I think Islam will gut it out. I think Islam will get his back multiple times in the fight. I think Islam will get enough control to win. I think Islam will threaten with chokes but not actually submit him. At the end of the day, man, JDM is a great survivor. He has been training with Craig Jones for a long time now. So, I have to believe that he has a lot of skills in the grappling to at least survive the positions he's going to be put in by Islam. The X factor is obviously Islam's moving up in weight. So, how is he going to do at his new weight? That needs to be said. I don't want to finish the breakdown without saying that cuz I know a lot of the comments are going to be like, "You didn't mention that." Well, I'm mentioning it now. It's very hard to be concise and mention the hundreds of things I have in my mind, but I'm going to try to mention the most pertinent points. I watched a video, an interview of Islam Makv. It was a very funny one. And he was saying how he found it hard to put on the weight. It was the first time in his life that he's taken protein and creatine, but he's managed to put on the weight now. So, I don't know. You know, maybe it's it's not a great thing to see him talking about difficulties gaining the weight up to worldweight, but the guy's a massive lightweight. I don't think he's going to look small in there. I think he's going to look the same size as JDM, to be honest. I think he's going to be a very, very big welterweight to be honest. So, my official prediction for this fight is Islam Makachev becomes a two division world champion and defeats Jack Demma Delena.
On the next fight on the card, we have Valentina Chevchenko taking on Whe Zang for the UFC Flyweight Championship of the World. Valentina Chevchenko has a record of 24 wins, four losses, and one draw. Way Zang, on the other hand, 26 wins and three losses. Currently, they have Way Zang as the minus 112 favorite, if you want to call it that, with the underdog price tag on Valentina Chevchenko coming back at minus 108. What a fantastic fight, boys. And like I said when I first mentioned this fight in the intro, Valentina wins this fight. I believe she's the greatest women's fighter of all time. I believe she already may be the greatest women's fighter of all time. I believe that she's better than Amanda Nunez. I feel like in my opinion she is the greatest. Not Amanda. She lost to Amanda twice. Yes. First one was close. Second one I scored it for her over five rounds. She was very young in her career when she came into that first fight as well. So and you know she's gone on and been in the game longer than Amanda as well. So yeah, I think she's the best fighter of all time currently. Best women's fighter, greatest women's fighter, not best, great. And if she wins this one, I think there's no doubt. Way Zen, on the other hand, elite fighter herself, you know, very, very good wins. Both of these girls are on the tail ends of their career. And whoever wins is going to be spoken about in the MMA Women's Hall of Fame forever. They're both going to be in the Hall of Fame for sure, but this is a special fight is what I'm trying to say. It seems like way has put in her camp at Bangtown Muay Thai. She always does. She was there 12 weeks ago. and recently she has been in Las Vegas training at the UFCPI and also Syndicate MMA. Just like the main event, we have a fighter moving up in weight here and that is Way Zang. So, it's going to be interesting to see how she looks at faceoffs against the bigger girl, Valentina Chevchenko. Chevchenko seems like she's been all over the place for a training camp, which I don't know if is necessarily ideal, but I have seen that 10 weeks ago she was in Thailand just like Wayi Zang, but at Tiger Muay Thai, not Bangta. It seems like she then went to Morocco for some filming. Then she moved to Andrada Muay Thai, then Fight Ready, then Zen Martial Arts in Texas. So, she's been all over the place, but I don't think that will affect the fight too much here. I mean, both girls surely are extremely motivated for this fight and both girls are veterans at this point in time. Speaking about veterans, I thought Valentina Shvchenko was a lot older than Way Jenk for some reason. She's 37 years old, Valentina. So, at the tailor end of her career, but way Zang is 36 years old, so there's no real age advantage for either girl. And both girls have the same experience in professional MMA. So, there's no real experience advantage or disadvantage either.
This is an interesting fight to me, boys, because we've seen time and time again, I mean, not not that much. which is not time and time again because it hasn't been that often cuz these girls hardly ever lose. But we've seen in these girls losses that they usually lose because of the grappling. Of course, Way Zang got head kicked in round one by Rose numberunis. But outside of that, her lone loss does come against Rose numberunis again and she kind of lost that fight from laying on her back too much, getting a bit tired, getting taken down, you know. And if we look at Valentina Chevchenko's losses, a lot of those come from the grappling as well. Alexa Graasso is taking her back, threatening with chokes, threatening and beating her in the grappling and actually even submitting her in one of those three fights. So, Valentina has an issue with the wrestling and grappling. Even if you look at a Jennifer Mia fight, she gets taken down and controlled in that fight via wrestling and grappling. So, both of these girls are really good strikers, very athletic, especially why Zang, very powerful, good strikers, very hard to beat them on the feet, but you can take them down and grapple them a little bit, right? So, who's going to be the one taking who down and grappling here? Well, Valentina is a little bit bigger. She's more physical in my opinion. And she has a bit more experience taking girls down and dominating them, especially better girls, bigger girls. I feel like I can trust Valentina to go to that game plan a little bit more than I can trust Way Zang. Both girls land around the same number of takedowns per 15 minutes, 2.62. But Valentina has a slightly better takedown accuracy at 60% as opposed to way Zang's 45%. And as I said, I just feel like Valentina's been taken down and dominating girls with the grappling who are bigger and better than the girls way Zang has been taken down in their recent career. If you go back and look at the fights with Amanda Lemos, yes, Way Zang takes her down a lot, but that's how you beat Amanda Lemos. A lot of girls take her down. She takes down Yan Xiaoan, but literally everybody takes down Yanjaan. That's how you beat her. Even Rose Namunis is known to give up takedowns a lot throughout her career, right? Whereas if you look at Valentina Chevchenko, she's taken down Alexa Graasso, who's not easy to take down. She's taken down Manon Fau who's insanely hard to take down. One of the most physical and strong girls in the entire UFC, let alone the weight class. And she's taken down people like Tyler Santos three times, who's extremely physical as well. So, I just feel like I can trust Chev's wrestling and grappling a little bit more. Does that mean that Way Zang is not going to have any wrestling top offense? No. I'm just trusting Chev to do a little bit more in those positions and go to that game plan and have success in that game plan more than Way Zang. On the feet, I favor Valentina too, ever so slightly, but I do favor Valentina. If she's able to get her proper distance management going, then I think you're going to see her start to pick up the volume and outskill way Zang ever so slightly on the feet. As long as she's not washed at 37. A couple of years ago, I was thinking she might be getting to the tail end of her career. And then she comes out and dominates Alexa Graasso and beats Man on Fau, who I regard as one of the best fighters in the division, probably the next champ, who just slumped Jasmine Jazza Devic Vicious, who was on an insane win streak. So maybe she's not washed, you know, and if she isn't, I think that you're going to see her outskill way Zang on the feet and also in the grappling. So my prediction is going to be fairly short and sweet here, boys. It's going to be Valentina Chevchenko to get the win and go down as the greatest women's fighter that we have ever seen in MMA. And a lot of people talk [ __ ] about Valentina Chevchenko, but hopefully after she beats Wayi Zang on the weekend, that doesn't happen anymore. I got bullet in this fight, guys.
In the next fight, we have Leon Rocky Edwards taking on Carlos the Nightmare Pachez. Leon Edwards coming into this fight with a record of 22 wins, five losses. Carlos Praes very similar record 22 wins seven losses. Currently they have Carlos Pace as a minus 200 favorite with the underdog price tag on former UFC welterweight champion Leon Edwards coming back at plus 170. What a fight guys. Fantastic fight here. MMA delight. Carlos Pes is probably my favorite fighter in the UFC right now. He has crazy amount of tools on the feet. So much so that I made a video called the many tools of Carlos Protesus and it's on my YouTube channel right now if you want to go and watch it after this video. Maybe you open it in another tab like I said on the other video and that's exactly what he has man. He has a wide array of tools on the feet. I did a deep dive into Carlos Presez recently and throughout his career since I've been betting and making money on him a lot just like I did against Jeff Neil in his last fight. Me and the Elite Zone cashed on him big there and I've noticed that Carlos Pes has three main weapons. It's the high kick, it's the left hand, and it's the knee. And the knee is really where his main damage is done. His knee is by far his best attribute of his entire game. And it's extremely rare. I mean, what fighter do you know out there? Literally, answer me this question. What fighter do you know where you can say their number one strike is the knee? You don't know anyone. You don't know anyone in MMA. And you probably don't know anyone in even Muay Thai. Diesel Noi. He's up there. There's a couple of fighters in Muay Thai that have the knee, of course, but probably you don't know them. They're not that wellnown. The knee is such a specific strike. It's very hard to defend against. He not only has body knee knockouts, but he has head knee knockouts as well. He went for a run in Muay Thai of like seven knockouts over like six years or whatever it was. And five of those seven knockouts were via knee. It's absolutely insane. I think that Rocky Edwards is going to get kn to hell in this fight. Rocky's going to need to wrestle and grapple in this fight. I don't think he can stand with Carlos Proz. I do not think he has the footwork of the Ian Garry at all. And I don't think he's going to be able to stay away and stay safe from the many tools of Carlos Patees. And on top of that, Carlos Praes was even able to land an almost knockout blow against Ian Garry, even with the footwork, you know. So even if Rocky does show some good footwork for a round or two, I feel like he's getting caught and probably put out in round two or three. So he's going to need to grapple in this fight.
So then you go back and look at Carlos's career. Can he be grappled? I mean it seems very hard. Ian Garry was able to take him down but he wasn't able to control him for long at all considering the amount of takedowns he got. Mitch Ramirez on the day contender series was able to take him down. If you go back and look at the regional scene career of Carlos Pace, you will see him taken down. You will see him lose a fight against Abdalv via takedowns, but you will also see him throw up some really good triangle choke attempts and scramble with his jiu-jitsu out of a lot of those positions as well. I think Carlos Partes has underrated jiu-jitsu and would not surprise me if he was able to use his jiu-jitsu to get back up to defeat even if Rocky can take him down. Look, I'm a little bit biased with Carlos. We partied, we had a great time. So, I'm always going to support him maybe a little bit more than a fighter who I don't know, but I will always do my best to be completely unbiased. And if I am a bit biased, I'll tell you my biases. That's the difference, right? And I may be biased, but I still think this is a great matchup for Carlos. I think he's the better striker by far. I think he's the best striker in the division. In my opinion, he's got at least the most tools in the division. He's got so much more power than Rocky Edwards. So much more power. And at the end of the day, if we look back at Rocky's career, this guy's getting hurt a lot by a lot of fighters. Nate Diaz rocked this guy massively in round five of their fight. Arguably would have got the KO if he didn't showboat to the fans. Balau rocked him. Barbara Raina, Brian Barbar Raina of all people hurt him bad. So I just feel like Carlos Praes has massive power advantage, striking advantage, maybe jiu-jitsu advantage. I don't think Rocky's a great jiu-jitsu fighter to be honest. He's a good wrestler and MMA fighter, but I may even say that Pes has better jiu-jitsu. And at the end of the day, man, the career trajectory is is is crazy different here. You know, Proes is on a crazy upwards career trajectory, only losing to Ian Garry, who arguably will be the next champion in the division, and Rocky's been there, done it. After Leon's last fight where he lost fairly embarrassingly against Sha Brady, he stayed with his brother Fabian Edwards and helped him train for the PFL. So, it's obviously a good thing that's his brother. he's helping him train, you know, but it's not like he's going out there and reinventing himself after his loss and it really affected him so badly to where he's bringing in grappling phenoms to help with his grappling defense after he got submitted by Brady. You know what I mean? He's sparring Christian Leroy Duncan who just fought on last week's card. So, that's obviously going to be beneficial for him. Christian Leroy Duncan can definitely implement some of the footwork that Patees showed specifically in his last fight against Jeff Neil. And I haven't gone in depth on the fight, the previous fights on this one, boys, but I'll just say that a lot of what I saw when I was doing tape study leads me to think that Protes is going to land a knockout in this fight. I'll just say that. So that's what I'm going with on this one, boys. Carlos Prates, in my opinion, is going to go out there and get a KO over Leon Edwards. And if he doesn't get a KO, he can still win a decision. So Carlos Prozes, the man who has only walk-off knockouts in the UFC. And that's not hyperbole. He literally does. Go and check it out. Crazy stat, by the way, guys. crazy stat I wanted to share with you. But yeah, the man who's got only walk-off knockouts in the UFC gets another one here this weekend at UFC 322. The nightmare gets a KO or at least a win.
In the next fight of the night, we have Benil Darush taking on Benois Saint Deni. Benil Darush coming into this fight of record of 23 wins, six losses, one draw. Benois Saint Deni on the other hand, 15 wins and three losses. Currently they have BSD as the minus 200 favorite with the underdog price tag on Benil Darush coming back at plus 170. This is a great fight boys. Benois Saint Deni is a marauder. The hurricane that is Benois Saint Deni you know he walks forward into range without a care in the world of taking shots and he tries to put it on you bad. He tries to go to his wrestling take your back and choke you out. It's what he's done to so many guys like Mauricio Ruffy Ismael Bombfi almost did it to Dustin Pouyet and he's going to try and do it here against Benil Darush. The issue is he's coming up against one of the best counter grapplers in the entire division. Benel Darush has made an entire career of grappling counter grappling counter wrestling and wrestling himself. Let's take a look back his last fight against Henato Moano. He outscrambled Moano, dominated him in the grappling scenarios to some degree and Henato is known as an elite grappling artist himself. He actually was able to dominate Benois Saint Denise. So if you're using MMA math, you got Benil Darush in this one. But we know that MMA math doesn't always work. But I just want to say that Benil Darush is one of the best jiu-jitsu guys in the entire division, man. Like he's so good with it. He's so slick. His scrambles are so good. He looks unassuming. and he doesn't look that athletic, but when he gets in there, it's like he's been grappling his whole life because he has. You know, if we look back at his fight against Matteas Gamro to where me in the elite zone cashed a massive plus 180 ticket on him, he just out wrestled Mattas Gamro or at least out scrambled him. He he was able to defend the takedowns. He was able to get back up to his feet. He was able to land big shots on the feet, even knock him down on the feet. Like that was a perfect performance from Banel Darush and it really encapsulated the type of guy and type of fighter he is. And here he is against a somewhat similar style, a relentless wrestler, relentless grappler, and he is the same price tag, you know. So, is it going to be Benil Darush 2.0 or Matteas Gamro fight 2.0? The issue is this is many years on from that Matteas Gamro fight and Benil Darush has only got older. The one thing that's always plagued Benil Darush is his durability. way back when he got knocked out very early into the fight against Alexander Hernandez, you know, and then even more recently, he's been knocked out by Charles Olivera, Armon Serukian, who's not a knockout artist at all. And then he even got knocked down and hurt badly by Hanato Moano in a very stylistically good matchup in my opinion. He still got hurt and badly wobbled in that fight. So, I kind of feel like Benil Darush is going to be winning this fight until he isn't. I feel like Benil Darush is going to be looking good in this fight. Benois St. Deni has been his takedowns have been stuffed multiple times. Elizlesi Doss Santos, Dustin Pouyet. To be honest, most of the fighters who he takes down, they stuff his takedowns at least early. It's just they're not able to stand the pace and pressure. I kind of feel like Benil has the perfect style to withstand the pace and pressure. Maybe not for like five rounds, but for two and a half or or three rounds, I feel like he can do it. The issue that I have with Benil in this fight is that his chin was never good. It's getting worse. He's getting older. and Benois Saint Deni will swing hammers. You know, he knocked out Fravola with a headkick and I kind of fear that it could be the same type of fight here. Maybe Benil takes him down, but then BSD reverses it like he did against Fravola and then when they're on the feet, Benil gets caught in a transition. Benil gets caught in mid-range. Benil gets caught by a high kick he doesn't see. Something lands on the feet that knocks out Benil Darush. That's my official prediction, boys. watching tape on these guys, I can't help but believe that the durability advantage that Benois Staint Deni holds is going to carry him to a win here. I don't think it's going to be his wrestling and grappling that win this fight. And that's a crazy take to some degree, boys. Like, I'm going out on a limb here because at the end of the day, that's the only way he ever wins fights. Yes, he did get a head kick knockout over Matt Pravola, but outside of that, he's wrestling and grappling you in in every single one of his wins, but I don't think he's going to be able to do that here. I think he's coming out against a better scrambler. You know, I truly believe that Benil Darush is a much better scrambler than Bwis Saint Deni. Much better. I mean, we saw what Moano did to him at the end of the day. We saw at times Dustin Py out scramble him. I just feel like Benil can outscramble him, but I think he's going to get caught on the feet. I got Ben I got Benois Denv knockout here, man. The career trajectory is a big one as well. You know, it's so much more on the side of Benois Saint Deni that it's not even comparable. So, I'm going to pick against my man Benil Darush and say that he suffers a knockout at the hands of Benois Saint Deni who continues his ascent in the lightweight division and goes on a run that leads him into the top five in the next year.
For the next fight on the card, we have Sha Brady taking on Michael Morales in what is sure to be a title eliminator in the UFC welterweight division. Sha Brady has a stellar record, 18 wins, only one loss. Michael Morales beats him with a record of 18 wins and no losses. Currently, they have Shawn Brady as the minus 125 favorite with the underdog price tag on Michael Morales coming back at plus 105. This is such a great fight, boys. I want to kind of say that we have a striker versus grappler matchup yet again on this card. It's not necessarily the case. I mean, anytime when you get a title eliminator, it's very rare where the fighters can only do one thing. But for the most part, Michael Morales wants to go out there and strike with you. Although he is he is very physical. He can take you down as he has done in a lot of his fights. Even stemming back to his Dana White's contender series fight in the later rounds against Nikolai Veritenikov in round three. You'll see in dominate with mainly takedowns, right? But he wants to keep it on the feet for the most part. He has big power. We see what he did to Gilbert Burns on the feet in his last fight. Absolutely blew through him with big strikes on the feet. Shawn Brady on the other hand, he can knock you down on the feet. You know, he has some decent punches and even kicks on the feet. I mean, again, stemming back all the way to his UFC debut against Court McGee where he actually knocks him down. So, these guys can definitely do it all, but the strong suit is in the grappling for Brady and the striking for Michael Morales. So, I'd like to ask you now, who do you think is going to get their game going? Do you think this is going to be a grappling contest or do you think this is going to be a striking contest? Because whatever you believe out of those two is really going to dictate who you believe is going to win the fight. If you're asking me, I tend to believe that this is going to be a fight of two halves if it gets there. I really believe that early the physicality of Michael Morales is going to allow him to keep the fight on the feet or at least get back up to his feet if he is taken down. If we remember, Gilbert Burns was able to get some control on him early in the fight, but Michael Morales was just too strong, too physical, was able to get out of those positions and then knock out Gilbert Burns on the feet. So, or get out of that position, I should say. So, I kind of feel like Michael Morales is going to be very dangerous early here and it's probably going to be a striking contest early here because the physicality of Morales, the athleticism of Morales, the strength of Morales, the size of Morales specifically early is going to allow him to defend the takedowns from Brady and make it a striking contest. And let me tell you now, you don't want to be stuck on the feet with Michael Morales.
Now, I do believe that if the fight starts to get into the second, third rounds, we may see Michael Morales's athleticism and his strength deteriorate a little bit. Now, it's not like he's shown bad cardio before. I'm not going to say that. But what I will say is that the guy is massive for the weight class and anybody that big that uses that much athleticism slows down as the fight goes on. Right? It's just a part of being big, jacked, and strong and athletic is you ain't going to keep that up for five rounds, right? That's just not what happens. And so, I believe that, you know, as the fight gets later, I think Shawn Brady starts to get his game going, but is the fight going to go later, right? Maybe Morales just knocks him out early and we don't get a late fight. So, I've been going back and forth with this one, boys, and I've done a lot of tape study here. One thing I do want to bring to your attention is that just 10 weeks ago, Michael Morales was weighing 211 pounds. Now, that's going to be no issue for the weight cut. 10 weeks ago is a long, long time. I'm not so much mentioning the date as I am mentioning the weight. I mean, 211 lbs is an absolutely massive welterweight. Usually, if you weigh 211, you're probably going to fire the middleweight division. Not all the time. You know, a lot of people are cutting more and more weight these days, but he's a huge welterweight, let's put it that way. And I don't think 211 isn't him at his peak, you know what I mean? Like he's probably we probably gets up to 220. I mean, it's only 9 more pounds. Why not? You know, if he's not training, he probably goes 225. So, the guy is basically walking around as a heavyweight, but he fights a welterweight. So, the reason I want to bring that to your attention is because if you weigh that much and you cut a lot of weight like Morales does, it can affect your gas tank. You can get a little bit tired later into the fights, right? And we have now seen Brady, we've seen him go four rounds once and get a finish in the fourth round. And we've seen him go a full five against Gilbert Burns. So, I'm going to have to trust Brady's cardio a little bit more. Now, am I saying that Morales has bad cardio? No. And you may sit there and say, "Look, Morales has not really shown massive cardio problems here." And you would be correct. So, maybe you don't want to doubt him in a five round fight. I completely understand that. But at the same time, the guy's very athletic, throws a lot into his punches. Not all the time, but he does at times. And he uses his athleticism versus using skill and technique a lot as well. That's what I see there in the octagon. Very he uses a lot of strength to get out of grappling positions whereas maybe Brady will be a little bit more technical. And we have seen Brady get finishes in the championship rounds and he's just more proven in the five round distance. So I definitely trust Brady as the fight goes along. We've also seen Morales taken down multiple times in his UFC career. Now, has anybody a been able to seriously control him and do damage from top or anything like that? No, not really. But we have still seen him taken down, so he's not immune to the takedown. Adam Fugit was able to get some good grappling control on him. Obviously, it didn't end well for him, but he was still able to do it. You know, Michael was a lot younger back then, but it did happen. Someone of Shawn Brady's caliber, if he gets on top of you, you ain't getting back up to your feet. You know, this guy is an elite grappler, very good submissions, and he's not that bad on the feet either. You know, I feel like he's improving on the feet. I feel like he's getting better and better. I feel like he can compete in the boxing here for a while. It's just the power, the athleticism is going to be too much for him on the feet. But I don't think this is going to be a contest on the feet for longer than one and a half, two rounds. You know, if Shawn Brady doesn't get iced, I see him taking over the fight and winning the fight. I also could see him getting some control in the early rounds as well. It's not a guarantee he's going to get iced. So, I feel like he could have success early and I am predicting him to have success late, right? Whereas I feel like Mariah Le could have success early, but I I'm not predicting him to have success late. So, for that reason, I'm going to pick Shawn Brady in this fight. The level of competition for Shawn Brady has been higher, has been better. He does have a loss on his record against Balo Muhammad, but it's not like Balo Muhammad was just defending the takedowns and just pieced him up on the feet. He did piece him up on the feet. He knocked him out on the feet, but I thought Shawn Brady was doing pretty decent in the first half of that matchup and it was a massive step up in competition at the time.
Then he kind of gassed out. He tired out. If you remember, it was in Abu Dhabi. Some weird stuff happened on that card. People got gassed, etc., etc. It's very hot out there. So, I give him a bit of a pass for that. I'm not saying that it didn't happen or anything like that, but I do let him off the hook a little bit. Big step up in competition. Was in Abu Dhabi, was looking kind of decent. Seemed to gas out, which he's not really used to doing, and just got a little bit overwhelmed on the feet. Shot for takedowns that were kind of half-hearted, didn't get them, you know, and Bal Muhammad's a great wrestler. Muhammad, Michael Morales is Muhammad Morales is not a great wrestler, so he's not going to be able to defend the takedowns as much as Bal Muhammad was, in my opinion, at least late into the fight, right? So, I'm going to pick Shawn Brady in this one, guys. But, it's a very close fight. I respect Morales a lot. So, this is not a lock pick, but I do like Brady in this fight. I feel like the level on the ground is too much to ignore here.
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Now, let's get into the next fight. In the next fight of the night, we have Aaron Blanchfield taking on Tracy Cortez. Erin is coming into this fight. Blanchfield is coming into this fight with a record of 13 wins, two losses. Tracy Cortez, on the other hand, 12 wins, two losses. Again, a very, very similar record to her opponent, just one digit difference. Currently to have Erin Blanchfield as a minus 165 favorite with the underdog price tag on Tracy Cortez coming back at plus 145. This is a good fight, guys. You know, I know a lot of people mowing at women's MMA but this is a very high-level fight, two good grapplers for the most part. You know, we got grappler versus grappler here and I believe that's going to be the tale of the fight. And that's why I'm going out there and outright picking Aaron Blanchfield, boys. I'm telling you the prediction early and I'm going to tell you why. It's a grappler versus grappler and there's only one grappler who's the best grappler in the grappler division here, right? Which is Aaron Blanchfield. I believe that when Tracy Cortez starts to shoot takedowns or engage in the wrestling, which she does in every single fight, I think she's going to find herself wrestling and grappling up against a better MMA grappler. Do believe that Tracy has the wrestling advantage here, but it's not going to mean much if once you get on top from using your wrestling, you're going to be swept. If we see the first fight, boys, this is a rematch. By the way, if we go back and look at that first fight, Aaron Blanchfield had Tracy Cortez in a very deep armbar in round one. And why can that not happen again? I believe that can happen again. And maybe this time she uses it to sweep. You know, she's a much better grappler than she ever was back then. Maybe she uses it to sweep this time. And if she's on top, I'll tell you something now. She's one of the meanest [ __ ] from top position that you've ever seen in women's MMA history. She goes to work, lands good ground and pound, and very good submission skills as well. You know, it gets you in the crucifix, elbows like she did to Molly Macan. She can do a lot of tricky moves down there, right? She can be losing the entire fight, latch on to one neck, latch onto a guillotine, and then you're tapping out like she did against JJ Aldridge. She doesn't even need the takedowns to win the fight or submit you, right? And I just feel like Tracy's going to engage in the wrestling here. She does it in every fight, boys. You know, if she doesn't engage in the wrestling, I feel like Erin's pressure could still get to her and take her down anyway, right? And if it doesn't, and if it's a striking fight on the feet, I think it's a very close fight. I think either girl can win that. I'd favor Tracy a bit maybe, but honestly I'd have to look more into tape on that one because I wasn't really looking at the striking too much 'cause 90% of these girls' fights are not in the striking. You know, the one fight where Aaron really stood on the feet was against Manon Fo 'cause she couldn't get a takedowns. But how am I going to compare Tracy Cortez to Man on Fau, right? So, I kind of feel like it's going to be a close fight on the feet. In the wrestling, I give Tracy an advantage. But if you're wrestling, you're going into Eron's world, which is the grappling. And in the grappling, I give her a massive advantage. Blanchfield is out. There are MK Muay Thai with Fatima Mlene who's also on this card. We're going to speak about her very soon. And those two girls are some of the best girls in the entire world of women's MMA. So, I feel like they're going to be giving each other hell on the mats. And that's a great training partner to have. I saw on Tracy's Instagram that she's training with Ailen Perez. Oh, sorry, Alen Pereira. Shout out to my girl Alen Perez. Alen Pereira, I meant to say. So, that's an interesting training partner. You know, maybe she's going to learn a thing or two in the striking there, but I don't know if they were consistently training or if it was just one Instagram post that I saw. Alen Pereira, if you didn't know, is the sister of Alex Pereira. So, you know, maybe Tracy's getting in some work on her left hook. But yeah, I just feel like no matter how much left hook she works on, she's going to probably default to the wrestling here. Whether she shoots takedowns or not, Erin's going to force grappling scenarios. And I just feel like Erin's going to come out on top there, and she could even get takedowns of her own, like I said. So, I'm going to pick Erin in this fight. Do I think she's going to get a finish? That's a tough one, boys. I'm going to think about it more. I'm going to send that prediction specifically out to my elite zone 'cause I haven't made a decision yet. I don't really know. I'm going to watch more tape. I'm going to speak about it with some of the people I respect in MMA and I'm going to think about it on a little bit more. But at the moment, I'm picking Aaron Blanchfield to get the win.
In the next fight of the night, we have Bisangur Susakayv versus Eric McConico. Susakayv coming into this fight with a record of 10 wins, zero losses. Eric McConico coming into this fight, 10 wins, three losses, one draw. Very interesting fight, boys. I was lucky enough to see Susakive in his last fight live when he almost or he looked like he almost got finished in round one on a very short notice matchup after he won on Dana White's Contender Series on the Tuesday and then fought on the Saturday. If you don't know, that's who Susakay is. You know, he broke the UFC record for the quickest turnaround ever, at least under the UFC banner. You know, it wasn't an official UFC fight, but he made his debut on the under the banner on a Tuesday and then 4 days later he was fighting. Now, I was watching that in the stands and man, it was a trip 'cause he was like minus a thousand. Everyone was expecting him to win in round one and he went through hell to get that win in round two via submission, but he got hurt badly at the end of that round. He got badly wobbled, boys. And I watched that again the other day and that was he was hurt in that fight. You know, he laughed, he smiled, but there was nothing to smile about at the time 'cause he got wobbled, right? If there was another a minute left on that fight, 30 seconds left, he might have got wobbled again, you know, because he was not all there. I feel like someone may take Suzukai out at some point, you know, he's got a lot of hype on him. I'm not 100% sure that it is warranted. I feel like someone's going to crack him hard someday. I mean, it did happen in his last fight, but I feel like it may lead to him losing. He's kind of there to be hit. He doesn't have the best striking defense. The issue in this fight is that McConico does not fight in the style that you need to fight to beat by Sanger Susakay. You know, Mcconico fights along the back foot like he did against Cody Brundage, like he did against Nultton Rusev in his first fight in the UFC. He fights on the back foot. He fights a little bit scared. It looks like he fights worried about his durability. He likes to throw the rear high kick, the rear hand, the rear straight, and he just likes to keep distance from his opponents, crack them with big shots from his rear weapons. He doesn't like to get in your face, bite down on a mouthpiece, and throw hammers, which you kind of need to be able to do against Susakay. So, I just feel like this is a great matchup for Bisanganger Susag. I feel like he's going to land a knockout in this fight. You know, he landed a submission in his last fight, and I think this is the return of the KO for him. McConico has bad durability. You know, we can watch his fight against Cody Brundage where he gets rocked a couple of times there. You know, you may not have seen it clearly, but I saw it clearly. You know, he got rocked even when times he didn't look that rocked. He was rocked in my opinion if you look a little bit closer. If you look at his fight against Ruseo, he was hurt badly there. You know, even on the regional scene, the guy gets hurt a lot. So, Susak is very active on social media. He calls himself Dana White's favorite fighter. Has a lot of posts on social media saying that he's going to send fighters into retirement. So, he thinks highly of himself. You know, he's extremely confident, a little bit cocky, you may say, sometimes maybe too cocky 'cause it seems to get him hurt or it seemed to have got him hurt in his last fight. He was extremely cocky in that fight and he almost paid the ultimate price for it. I don't necessarily think that's a good thing, you know, but at the end of the day, it is what it is, you know. I I get the feeling that it's going to bite him in the ass someday. Whereas some fighters like Conor McGregor, they can kind of just that's just their personality and it doesn't bite him in the ass like he's going to fight the way he's going to fight regardless. I kind of feel like it's going to bite this guy in the ass, but at the end of the day, we don't know, but that's just my prediction. We'll see in a year or two if I'm correct on that one. But yeah, the guy's talking a lot of smack, talking about he's going to send Monccaco and people like that into retirement. I don't know if he'll do that. I do think he's going to get the win in this fight though, boys. I'm gonna have to pick Susakaya via KO in this fight.
In the next fight tonight, we have Angela Hill taking on Fatima Mlene. A great prospect in the strawweight division. Angela Hill has a crazy record of 18 wins and 15 losses. Fatim Klene on the other hand, a bit more of a pretty record, eight wins with only one loss. Currently, they have Fatim Klein a minus 410 favorite with the underdog price tag on Angela Hill coming back at plus 310. Something I want to mention about Fatima Klein in this fight is that she finally quit her full-time job and is now training as a full-time job. So, I believe that the prospect that we think Fatima Klein is is only going to improve and probably improve rapidly. You know, she was she had a full-time job before this and now she's full-time MMA. We see Aaron Blanchfield in a cross interview saying that Fatima doesn't have to work anymore. This is going to be massive. Being a UFC fighter, you need to be full in on this game, you know, and she has so much raw talent and skill. I cannot wait to see the fighter that Fatima Mlan develops into. I believe that she is going to clearly win this fight against Angela Hill. I think she's a great prospect and I don't think someone like Angela Hill on the tail end of her career can stop her. You know, Angela's a good striker. She's got decent wrestling. She ain't got great ground game to be honest. Crazy that she submitted Lyanna Panero, but that tells you more about Panero than it does about Hill in my opinion. Angela is still putting up good fights, you know. Look at a Kellen Souza fight. Kellen's not a bad fighter at all, you know, and she put up a great fight there. Even in the Lucindo fight, she didn't just lay down. She's throwing up submissions at times. She's going for her own takedown. She's trying to escape, but she just seems a little bit weathered, a little bit past it. And Klene has great striking, great boxing, good high kicks as we've seen now. And if she gets on top, I think she's going to dominate 'cause Angela Hill has always struggled from bottom position. Just go back and look at her last fight and go back and look at some of her literally first fights in the UFC. It's still a hole that she has. So, I'm taking Fatima Climb in this one, boys. Pretty confident as well.
In the next fight on the card, we have Gerald Mirart taking on Kyle Dorcas. Gerald Mir coming into this fight with a record of 37 wins and 20 losses. Kyle Dorcas, on the other hand, 16 wins and four losses. Currently we have Kyle Dawkins as the minus 325 favorite with the underdog price tag on Gerald Mir coming back at plus 275. Yeah, to be honest guys, I kind of feel like Gerald Mir is washed. You know, I I just feel like he's not the fighter that he once was. I guess he's still a veteran and he could still land a submission in round three or round two as he has always been able to do. But when I'm watching his fights recently, I think he's I think he's off, man. I think the Brad Tavvaris fight was a bad look. Brad Tvaris has washed himself and he got cleaned out for the first couple of rounds. You know, he came on well in round three. He can still do that. Round three is always a good round for Gerald, but I just don't think he's there anymore, boys. I really don't. And on the other hand, we got Kyle Dawkins, who has had now had a resurgence in his career. Came back and knocked out Michelle Pereira. I mean, Gerald Maw ain't knocking out Michelle Pereira in round one. I can tell you that right now. I don't think Dawkins is the best fighter of all time. In fact, his run to get back in the UFC wasn't that impressive. You know, I've seen him on the regional scene get hurt, get cracked. I don't think he looked that great, but he still came in and put on a show against Michelle Pereira in round one. Gerald Misha never had good takedown defense because he doesn't mind playing from his back. And I think K Dawkins has very good grappling. So, if he takes him down, I don't think he's getting submitted off his back. You know, I think he can actually do damage to Gerald from top position, maybe even submit him himself. And on the feet, I favor Dorkas as well. I feel like this is a Daworker spot. I don't, like I said, I I don't rate Dorkas that much, but at this point in their career, I just feel like it's Dawas all day. I really believe that the UFC bringing back Dorcas means something. You know, when the UFC brings you back, it's usually a good decision for them. They know what they're doing. Joseph Morales got brought back and I think he's a good fighter and he deserves to be in the UFC, right? Who else got brought back? Ysef Salo got brought back and he's looked amazing since he's been brought back. Modesto Picowskus got brought back and he's looked good, you know, since he got brought back. And on top of that, Kyle Dorcas got brought back and round one KO against Michelle Pereira as a plus 200 underdog in his first fight. So, I think there's a reason the UFC has bras back and I think he proves it again here. I think he goes out there and I think he finishes Gerald Misha probably. Could be a decision, but I mean Gerald's still tough, you know, I'm not super confident on that, but I think Doras is going to win this one, boys.
In the next fight on the card, we have Bo Nickel taking on Rulo Vieiraa. Bo Nickel currently sitting as the minus 220 favorite with the underdog price tag on Ralpho Vieiraa coming back at plus 185. Well, oh well. We have the return of Bo Nickel. You know, Bo Nickel was the definition of fraud checked in his last fight. You know, I don't like to use that word 'cause at the end of the day, he's still a good fighter. Fraud checked is overused, but if you was going to say anyone was fraud checked in the last 12 months, you would definitely choose Bo Nickel, right? He was going into that fight with massive hype. And I honestly thought he's going to smash Ditter 'cause in my head I was like, well, Ditter is not going to be able to take him down and he wasn't really. You know, Bo engaged in the grappling and got himself taken down there 'cause he jumped on a submission. And I just felt like on the feet, Bo was going to beat him up 'cause Dora's terrible on the feet and I thought Bo had way better gas tank, but that didn't happen. You know, Dora walked him down, smashed him on the feet. You know, Dorida was destroying him on the feet, knocked him out to the body on the feet. Right. So yeah, I think we learned a lot about Bicl in his last fight to some degree. I do think he can improve from then, but I can't trust him at minus 240 against Vieiraa 'cause who knows? Who knows where he's at, man? Who knows where he's at? It's a tough one for me, boys, 'cause I just feel like the jury is still out on Bo Nichl, you know? I feel like Bo's going to win this fight. Like, I do think he's the better striker, but I thought he was the better fighter. Thought he's the better striker against Didd, right? But I do think he's the better striker here. And I think that his wrestling, well, I know his wrestling's way better. So, he should be able to keep the fight on the feet and then win on the feet. But it's exactly what I said about Derida, you know, so maybe I need to look a little bit deeper into it. I mean, I got to pick Bo Nickel in this one, you know. I can't let the last fight dissuade me from what I think of Bo Nichl too much. Can I say that Bo Nickel maybe not as tough as I thought. Yes, at the end of the day, man, the is a good fighter. You can lose a fight. It's not a big deal. I just didn't like what I saw in terms of looked like he maybe quit a little bit in there and it looked like he didn't want to be in there and yeah he wasn't as good on the feet or as keeping range as I thought he would be but this is a different fight here you know is way bigger than Rulfo Vieiraa and in this fight I do see bicl defending the takedowns maybe even getting a takedown of his own it might be dumb because he might find himself in a guillotine but I do think he's going to be able to defend it he's been training jiu-jitsu for a long time now Yes, if Vieier takes him down and takes his back, it' probably kill him, but guillotine wise, I don't really think, you know, Vieira has the best guillotine of all time. He hasn't really shown it in his MMA career at all, to be honest. So, I kind of feel like Bo could stay safe on a takedown day. Use his athleticism to pile Rolf Vieira to the ground and then just stay safe. Um, and then on top position, I don't think he's going to get swept or anything like that. Maybe if he's in half guard, uh, sorry, maybe if he's in full guard, if he's in side control, he probably should be all right. And on the feet, I do favor B nickel. I feel like the jab's going to be landing for B Nickel. I think the overhands, I think he's a better boxer. I think he's a better fighter. I think he's got more power on the feet, personally. So, I'm going to pick Bo Nickel here. I'm going to pick Bickel via decision. You know, that might be some good odds because Boicle barely goes to decision, but we might get some good odds on the over two and a half rounds or the GTD that goes to decision or bone nickel via decision. But yeah, that is my prediction for this one, boys. Mo bounces back. He has a good performance and he continues his rise in the UFC.
In the next fight on the card, we have Roman Copelov taking on Gregory Rodriguez. Roman Copelov coming into this fight with a record of 14 wins, four losses. Gregory Rodriguez, on the other hand, 17 wins and six losses. Currently, they have G-rod Gregory Rodriguez a minus 180 favorite with the underdog price tag on Roman Copilov coming back at plus 155. This is a great fight. Striker's delight. Gregory Rodriguez can do it all, you know, very good submission skills, very good wrestling, but he likes to go out there and throw hands. And if he does that against Copilov, it might get him into trouble, man. Copilov can throw them hands as well. Copilov has extremely fast boxing. He will throw in combination with five, six punches, which fighters rarely do. I don't think it's the best combinations. It's kind of just like five straight hands, but it is extremely fast. You know, he throws a little hook in there and he's got very good kicks himself. You know, good kicks to the body, good kicks to the head, good leg kicks. This is a very interesting fight for me, boys. You know, on the one hand, I feel like Gregory Rodriguez can really, really hurt Roman Copilo on the feet with his boxer 'cause he can hurt anybody. And on the same hand, I feel like Gregory can take Roman down and dominate him. And I do feel like those two things are true. But something I think is just as possible is Roman Copilov knocking out Gregory Rodriguez here. Like I said, man, the speed in which he throws his punches is elite. The head kicks he has are elite. Go back and watch that Chris Curtis fight. The kicks he was throwing all fight were very, very on point. And then he lands a beautiful head kick in the final dying seconds. I mean, if that hits Gregory Rodriguez, I have no doubt they gets put out. Gregory still has a bad chin. Let's not forget about it. And poor cardio. Let's not forget about him gassing out badly against Jared Cananeer. Let's not forget about him getting knocked out by Jordan Williams. Let's not forget about Juny Young Park having him wobbled all over the place. Copel can definitely knock him out here. Is he going to do it? I think the most likely scenario is no, but I definitely think it's possible and he's a big or he's a decently sized underdog. I think Copilo is a little bit underrated after that performance against Costa. It wasn't a blowout performance. Costa was winning, but Costa's at the end of the day, Costa is a very high level fighter and has been fighting the best fighters in the division for the last 5 years. Gregory Rodriguez took one step up in competition and got finished in the late rounds. He looked very good early, but Jared is semi-washed himself. And outside of that, Gregory Rodriguez is not beating anyone better than Copelov. You know, CLLD is Copilo's level. Dennis Tulin way worse than Copelov. Junyong Park lower than Copilov. He killed Jack Kamansson, but I predicted that. I predicted Gregory Rodriguez via KO in that fight. It wasn't a surprise to me. I just think this is a close striking fight, boys. If Gregory goes to his grappling, I think he could look dominant, but I do think Copelov's first level of takedown defense is pretty good and probably good enough to stop the takedowns at least early. And if he stops the takedowns early, then he's going to be in with a chance to knock out Gregory Rodriguez. And I'm actually going to go with that as my official prediction. Might be a little bit against the grain. I feel like Gregory will be a popular pick this week 'cause he has the grappling upside then he can match him on the feet and he has more power probably with the hands definitely. So, you know, I feel like he'll be a popular pick, but I'm going to go against the grain here. Roman Copilov wins this fight. Brutal knockout.
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In the next fight on the card, we have Malcolm Wellmaker taking on Cody Haden. Malcolm Wellelmaker coming into this fight with a record of 10 wins, zero losses. Cody Haden, on the other hand, eight wins, and only one lone loss. Unfortunately, the odds are not out for these guys yet, but I'm almost certain it's going to be a pick'em or close to a pick minus 130 for one fighter, something like that. These odds are going to be very close, boys. And no wonder why. This is a fantastic fight. I absolutely cannot wait for it. So, boys, this fight was only announced two weeks ago. So, Hadenis took this fight on about four weeks notice. I don't like that. I'd like to see both of these guys have a full camp training for each other 'cause obviously it'll bring the best out of each other. But it is what it is. We are here. Two fighters who are elite prospects in a division. Man, I think both fighters will go extremely far. Both fighters have already fought very well in the UFC. They have shown their skill sets. I feel like Cody has shown me a little bit more in decisions. You know, Cody has shown me better cardio. Cody has shown me better volume and output. Cody has shown me a better all-round game and a better 15-minute game. A well-put-together game. Whatmaker has shown me is death touch, right? Insane death touch with that right hook, man. Let's have a look at this right hook right now. I mean, damn. That was a crazy knockout. Look at this one as well. This one, wait for it. Wait for it. Bang. That one is really, really bad as well, you know? I mean, all of these knockouts, look, there's another knockout of his right hook here as well. Like, I can't believe this guy got three right hook knockouts in a row. It's kind of crazy, you know? And he's got power in the left hand as well. Don't get it twisted. Like this guy's just got elite power in the boxing. The issue is he's coming up against a very, very high-level boxer, boxing champion in his own country. And I feel like Cody Haden's probably the better boxer here. Does it mean he's the more effective boxer? No. But I feel like he's the better boxer technically. You know, this is a great fight, boys. A very, very tough fight for me to call. I'm going to go with Cody Haden here. And the reason I'm going to go with Cody Haden is because he's shown me more in his MMA arsenal and in his MMA career. He's fought the higher level of competition as well. Cody's lone loss has come against Steve Ursk in a fight that he fought tooth and nail in. He could have easily won that fight. Steve Ursig had to come on push heavily late and he also fought Dan Agua, you know, who's a good fighter. I think his level of competition has been better than Wmaker who outside of Cameron Simon doesn't have anyone great on his record and we don't actually know how good Cameron Simon is. So yeah, I I'm going to pick Cody Haden in this one. But look, at the end of the day, guys, Malcolm Wemaker could just be the truth. We don't really know. And if he is, he probably knocks out Cody Haden. But I got Cody here, man. And I might even bet on him if the odds are good enough. You know, I feel like there's a lot of hype on Wellelmaker at the moment. And look, fair fair play to him. You know, he deserves hype. He's he's he's looked great. He's cashed me a lot of money. I'll tell you that. He's cashed me a lot of money in the UFC, but all good things come to an end. And I like to fade hype a lot of the time. So, we'll wait for the odds to be released, boys. I kind of feel like wellmaker is going to be a favorite if not pick'em. And yeah, I kind of feel like he will open as a favorite. You know, maybe money will come in on Haden. But anyway, boys, we'll see it. Maybe I make a play on Haden. I'm going to pick him at the moment, but I wouldn't be surprised if one maker continues his knockout streak or, you know, shows a little bit more than he has done in his UFC run. But how can I pick him when Cody's shown very good boxing, very good submissions, very good grappling, and great cardio. And Wmaker hasn't shown any of that. To be honest, he hasn't shown that. He's shown crazy power, a deaf touch, good eyes in the pocket, reaction time, like all of that stuff. But there's a lot he's still hasn't shown, you know, and in his fights that did go long, I didn't like the way he looked in those fights. He went very low output, you know, his output dropped considerably, and Haden's output arguably gets more as the fight goes on. So, that's it, boys. I'll stop breaking down the fight now, guys, but I am going to go with Cody Haden in this one.
In the next fight on the card, we have Chepe Marisll taking on Pat Sabatini. This is a great fight, boys. And it's the first fight on the card, which is kind of crazy to have such a high-level fight being the first fight on the card. We have Chepe Marisll coming into this fight with a record of 18 wins, six losses. Pat Sabatini, on the other hand, 20 wins and five losses. Currently, they have Chep Maris as the slight minus 113 favorite with the underdog price tag on. Pat Sabatini coming back at minus 107. So, boys, very good fight. Both fighters are extremely tough or I shouldn't say tough. Both fighters are high level. You know, but both fighters are very high level for the division. You know, they're top 25 in their respective weight classes, which is extremely high level. Pat Sabatini had a breakout performance in his last fight in my opinion against Johannes Breto, a fight where we bet on him as a plus 200 underdog. One of the best bets of the entire year. Me and the elite zone cashed out big on that one. And as always in any Pat Sabatini fight, it literally comes down to whether Pat's going to be able to get the takedowns or not. If he can take you down, he's gonna win 'cause he's an absolute menace with the takedowns. If he can't take you down, he's going to lose 'cause his chin isn't good and his striking isn't good. You know, I feel he's going to be able to get the takedowns in this fight. I've seen Chepe taken down multiple times. He has he's had a long storyried career. You know, even on the regional scene, he was fighting killers like Steve Garcia. But I have seen Chepe taken down multiple times, controlled on the ground as well. So I kind of feel like he's not easy to control on the ground, but I have seen it happen and I have seen him taken down a lot. And I feel like if Pat takes him down, he's probably going to be able to control him. So I'm going to go with Pat for that reason. You know, it's going to be a quick breakdown, boys. At the end of the day, Pat Sabatini has been knocked out now by Damon Jackson, Diego Lopez early in round one. So I can't trust his durability. He can probably get knocked out at any point, but he's the type of fighter where if his game gets snowballing, he just looks so good. And Chepe is the type of fighter where he's almost lost some of these fights. In my opinion, he lost a Morgan Sharia fight. You know, the fight was good for him, but I don't think it should have been. And in some of these other fights, I don't think he's looking that good, but he's still getting the win. Like the Jack Jenkins fight, I don't think he's looking good in that fight. And then Jack gets injured and he wins the fight. I just feel like Chepe, I don't want to say Chep has been lucky, you know, but he has been a little bit beneficial of some good variants and also he's won these fights 'cause he's got great durability, great cardio, good heart, and he pushes the pace and he just has a extreme will to win. But skill for skill, I don't think he's the best skilled fighter. I think he's just he's willing to go in a brawl and he's just he wants it so badly. But coming up against an elite high-level black belt like Pat Sabatini, I think he's probably going to find himself in no man's land here in a position where he's trying to get up, but he just can't. This is actually a rematch. Pat Sabatini and Chepe already fought. They fought back in 2018, but both of those guys were extremely different fighters. I mean, you're talking 7 years ago, over seven years ago now. So, I don't think that fight's going to go the same as this fight at all. Now, that fight ended in a split decision win for Chepe. Basically, Pat was able to get the takedowns, but he wasn't able to control Chepe. You know, he put him in some deep submission attempts, but Chepe was able to scramble out. The issue is I still think that Pat's going to be able to get the takedowns in this fight. I've seen Chepe taken down multiple times. He has he's had a long storyried career. You know, even on the regional scene, he was fighting killers like Steve Garcia. But I have seen Chepe taken down multiple times, controlled on the ground as well. So I kind of feel like he's not easy to control on the ground, but I have seen it happen and I have seen him taken down a lot. And I feel like if Pat takes him down, he's probably going to be able to control him. So I'm going to go with Pat for that reason. You know, it's going to be a quick breakdown, boys. At the end of the day, Pat Sabatini has been knocked out now by Damon Jackson, Diego Lopez early in round one. So I can't trust his durability. He can probably get knocked out at any point, but he's the type of fighter where if his game gets snowballing, he just looks so good. And Chepe is the type of fighter where he's almost lost some of these fights. In my opinion, he lost a Morgan Sharia fight. You know, the fight was good for him, but I don't think it should have been. And in some of these other fights, I don't think he's looking that good, but he's still getting the win. Like the Jack Jenkins fight, I don't think he's looking good in that fight. And then Jack gets injured and he wins the fight. I just feel like Chepe, I don't want to say Chep has been lucky, you know, but he has been a little bit beneficial of some good variants and also he's won these fights 'cause he's got great durability, great cardio, good heart, and he pushes the pace and he just has a extreme will to win. But skill for skill, I don't think he's the best skilled fighter. I think he's just he's willing to go in a brawl and he's just he wants it so badly. But coming up against an elite high-level black belt like Pat Sabatini, I think he's probably going to find himself in no man's land here in a position where he's trying to get up, but he just can't. This is actually a rematch. Pat Sabatini and Chepe already fought. They fought back in 2018, but both of those guys were extremely different fighters. I mean, you're talking 7 years ago, over seven years ago now. So, I don't think that fight's going to go the same as this fight at all. Now, that fight ended in a split decision win for Chepe. Basically, Pat was able to get the takedowns, but he wasn't able to control Chepe. You know, he put him in some deep submission attempts, but Chepe was able to scramble out. The issue is I still think that Pat's going to be able to get the takedowns like that first fight. But, I don't think it's going to be the same fight because I think that Pat has got so much better as a grappler and so much better with his top control that I don't think Chepee is going to be able to scramble out like he did in the first fight. And I think that's going to be the difference here. So, I think Pat's going to be able to take him down like he did, but this time I think he's going to be able to control him. He may even submit him. You know, I don't think he will, but he definitely could. So, I'm picking Patrick Sabatini to get his revenge and win this fight as the underdog.
So, that's the end of the show, and it's me signing off, boys. Let's try and cash on another pay-per-view. There's only two pay-per-views left before the end of the year. So, I am going to do my best to help put money in your pocket on these pay-per-views as I've been trying to do every week this year. And we've been doing it this year, boys. The insane amount of money I've made this year has been crazy and I'm going to try and keep on doing it. So, thanks for watching. Take a look at this lovely English sunset before I leave you and let's have a big pay-per-view together.