Transcription
You have 100,000 dollars, and for some reason, you want to lose it in crypto. Now I will tell you a real case, how last week we developed a DeFi strategy for a beautiful and very thoughtful loss of money in crypto. Watch this video all the way to the end for these three reasons. First, you will get for free what I was paid 2,000 dollars for. I will show you a real person's strategy that you can simply take and repeat. Second. I will show why the two most popular strategies, buy and pray, or I'll buy a little later and cheaper, always lose. Well, and third, probably the most interesting. I will show what we will do when Ethereum costs less than 1,000 dollars. Because at that very moment, most people will panic, and you will be prepared. And right now, hit a like, subscribe, and comment in advance, and we'll get down to business. And let's be honest here. A person with hundreds of thousands of dollars in such a difficult time as now, when everything is falling. Has only two instincts. First: buy Ethereum, Bitcoin, and just pray with the thought: "Well, it won't fall forever." The problem is very simple: you bought at 1,700, Ethereum went to 1,000, and you have -30%, and you sit in this loss for months or even years. There is no cash flow at all. It's zero. You just endure the pain and hope that it will grow back someday. The second instinct is completely opposite. Sit in stablecoins, sit in cash, with the thought "I'll wait it out, then I'll go all in." And you know what happens nine times out of ten? People don't go in, the market crashes, people panic, and at the moment when they need to buy, people don't buy. It's simple. It's impossible to guess the bottom at all. It's unrealistic. And here, essentially, are two extremes. This is, in fact, not working with a strategy, it's pure guesswork. And you don't need to guess, essentially. The correct answer is not to buy or wait. The correct answer is to create a principle for yourself so that your money works in any market. And now we will look at how this looks in practice. We have a pie of 100,000 dollars. And the first thing that needs to be done is, of course, to pay me. We take 2% for a year of work. This is called a management fee. The next stage is quite boring. We ask a huge number of questions to create a risk profile for the portfolio and the person. What return do they expect, how much are they willing to drop. And here is quite a risky story. The logic is that in the first stage, it was determined that we need to introduce an anchor asset for this person, for this strategy. And yes, we very banally, very stupidly, simply bought 20% of the portfolio in Bitcoin, yes, we took Bitcoin and bought it. A very banal thing. But then it gets more interesting, we need to prepare for a possible rise. The banal logic is as follows. We don't know what we will have: market growth, no movement, or a sharp fall. Therefore, we need to be prepared for everything. And to prepare for growth, we, again, very banally, very stupidly, perfectly understand, buy another 20% of Ethereum from the market. By the way, we bought it quite well, at 1,560. Next stage. This Ethereum needs to be used in DeFi. Welcome. And here I will show you a strategy that allows you to currently get about 8% in Ethereum on Ethereum in DeFi, which is considered really cool. Next. We are already ready for growth. If everything grows now, great. But what will we do if nothing happens in the market at all? Hello. Liquidity pools. And we send 20% of the portfolio to Uniswap. And here, thank you, and it allows us to find the best liquidity pools, Ethereum USDC. And for a moment, the current yield in Uniswap liquidity pools is now about 45-50% per annum. Yes, there is a range limitation, I will show it a little later, but this is considered an incredible return. Next stage. And what should we do if we are falling sharply? Unfortunately, we can't do without this, but we specifically leave 18% in stablecoins. Let them be in case of a fall. We will buy back with them. And so that they don't just lie in the wallet, we again send them to DeFi. There are literally two buttons. And the yield is low, 2.5-3% per annum, but it exists. And let the money work. And we still have 20% left. For this money, we send it to the GMX liquidity pool, Ethereum USDC, which allows us to prepare a little better for growth and a little better for a fall, because we always have both Ethereum and USDC. And now we will look at each of these steps, at each of these fragments of the pie, step by step. And I will explain in more detail why we did all this. I will now show you the wallet, all the yields, all the stages, how we distributed it, what we are currently getting. The yields are interesting, some are even very interesting, but first, of course, the buy. Look, if you also have 100,000 dollars and you want a balanced strategy for yourself, not to copy it, what I am telling you here, then below in the description there is my contact. You can write, and we will have a call completely free of charge, and we will develop the same or a better strategy for you, exclusively for you. And now let's look at what we have in terms of yields in the protocols. For each person, within the application, we show all their yields, where everything is located, so that they don't have to search for it across many blockchains. And it's very important here that many people don't understand this, but without a strategy, oh, so many mistakes can be made, and here it's simple. We pre-define the steps, what we will do, at what price of the base assets. That is, within this direction, specifically this strategy, it is described what we do when Ethereum is at 1,200, below, above. That is, we know in advance what our actions are. The stupidest thing you can do with capital is to start using it thoughtlessly. It always leads to very regrettable and sad events. Now, interestingly. Let's look at the portfolio. As I said, we bought Bitcoin for 20,000 dollars. Now it's already 21,300. Thanks to the market. It can start growing at any moment. Next is GMX. Definitely bought Ethereum, again, for 20,000, now it's worth 22,000. At the same time, we are also getting yield on it. From the perspective of strategy relevance, using GMX is quite interesting. Do you expect a sharp fall, do you expect a sharp rise? But GMX allows you to earn from traders. When traders lose, you earn. And there are essentially two sources of income. This is our first basic story, where traders pay for maintaining their position. Second, from their liquidations. And historically, let's look at the overall yield for if we take the entire period, it's about 9% on Ethereum. Yes, it fluctuates, but the basic average holds. And essentially, your Ethereum earns you more Ethereum. An ideal strategy overall. Additionally, if we talk about the fact that we are currently in a sideways market and we may be in it for a very long time, and this is, in principle, adequate, because historically, let's look from the perspective of a bear market. This is Ethereum. Well, we were in a sideways market for a very long time. Look, if you take, in 2022, we were in sideways movement for 500 days, yes, we grew, yes, we fell, but this is 500 days of such a rather narrow sideways market. And simply buying and forgetting doesn't work here. For 500 days, your assets bring nothing. They are simply lying there. This is wrong. I consider it adequate that capital should work. That's why we use part of the portfolio in liquidity pools. Yes, yes, let's look at what we have now. This is the Ethereum USDC liquidity pool, Arbitrum network, 0 commission, range. Yes, here it's important, 1,200-1,800. And when Ethereum goes above 1,800, and it's very close now, we have essentially already earned. And this is an excellent return. That is, 600 dollars. And if recalculated into annual percentage, it's 408% per annum, crazy numbers. Well, so we don't pay attention to that. We look more at the APY. 38% per annum for this range is great. This is good money. And if, just like in the previous cycle, we are in a sideways market for 500 days, using them at 38% per annum, while also buying Ethereum with the earned commissions, this is simply a magnificent strategy. It adequately fits into the fact that we are gradually buying Ethereum. And here you should have a reasonable question. It should be: "What will you do if Ethereum drops to 1,197 and below? After all, in that case, all your stablecoins will flow back into Ethereum, right?" Well, that's great. Look, here's the logic. Due to the fact that we have, let's say, already bought Ethereum here, that's good, excellent. At the same time, we have set ourselves another target here. As Ethereum falls, we will buy it in parts. And thus, the average purchase price of Ethereum will be lower, lower, and lower. And I remind you, within the strategy, we also set aside stablecoins, right? And here we have an excellent opportunity to open another range from 1,200 to 800, right? Well. And now let's look. Here we have an unrealized step of 1,200 and 800. And there will also be a direct purchase of Ethereum. That is, we will average down quite a bit. And here the principle is as follows. Not knowing the market movement, we never know it a priori. It can go sideways, up, or down. We need to be prepared for capital and for going up. And we have covered that. We bought both Bitcoin and Ethereum basically directly from the market. And be prepared for a sideways market. Thanks, liquidity pools offer incredible returns. And be prepared for the fact that we will go down. And here the question arises: "Okay, what will be the maximum drawdown if Ethereum crashes below 1,000 dollars?" The problem for many was that they saw green numbers in this market when everything was growing, and in reality, they got severely burned without calculating the maximum drawdown of the portfolio. And that was pain. And in reality, now, thanks to artificial intelligence, everything can be optimized to the maximum. Look, we have been developing a platform for ourselves for quite a long time. Here are various elements, from the fact that we simply collect a lot of market data to determine what phase we are in. This is ETFs, whales, large capital, what is happening. That is, thanks to the fact that artificial intelligence collects information very well, we analyze it qualitatively. From the perspective of returns, everything can be severely optimized. And we really see the best liquidity pools on all networks. That is, we track in real-time, within an hour, what is happening, and we assess what the ranges are in general, which range will work best. This is excellent, but basically, you need to understand that when creating a strategy, you need to calculate how much your capital can decrease in the worst-case scenario. We do a whole calculator for ourselves. That is, we start from the current price. We assume what will happen in terms of the minimum, let's say Ethereum falls to 800. Scary? Scary, but we can calculate in advance what will happen to our money. And let's say it grows to 2,500. And now, step by step, according to our instructions, I will write down. What do we do? We have 20,000 going into the range. 1,200 to 1,000 to 700. And this is how we meticulously write down each step, what goes into the strategy. And thereby, what is interesting, I won't do it now, we get a range of returns. We know what the maximum drawdown will be within this portfolio in terms of the price of Ethereum and Bitcoin and the entire market, and we know the maximum return. We can also play with it. We calculate for a year, for 2 years, and this is how we build the entire approach for long sideways periods. For you, this tool is completely free. The link is in the description. Go and use it. But this is what must be done to build a competent strategy for yourself. Or for someone else, or for you. I can do it. And when, after creating the risk profile and a long survey, I show these numbers in detail, what the worst-case scenario, the best-case scenario can be, it becomes precisely clear and simply from a logical point of view, it is very easy to make a decision at this moment, considering that we pre-define all the steps, we know what and when we will do. And let's just look now at what we get in the worst-case scenario, if everything falls sharply. How many stablecoins do we have left? Look, here is all our Ethereum. I had a long video about where the bottom for Ethereum is. It's on the channel, you can watch it. But the basic principle is, let's say we go down, and update the lows of 2022. Maybe, yes, anything can happen in the market, but you should already be ready for it. And here's what happens. If we update the bottom, it's essentially a perfect entry point, right? It would seem so, but a large part of the capital within this strategy is already distributed, it would seem. And what happens is that I pre-allocate in this strategy that we have a part of the capital, which is initially 18% in stablecoins, precisely for this case, if we go below, say, 1,200. And additionally, few people think about this, but I still have 10,000 in the GMX Ethereum USDC pool. So even here, with a sharp downward movement, I extract this balance. I have not 18%, but 28%, well, about 25%, a quarter. So it turns out that I even pre-allocate the possibility of a downward movement and purchase within this specific instrument. And here, this entire overall strategy takes on new colors. And while the entire market is waiting, "Please grow, I'll be liquidated soon." This strategy is aimed at the fact that the more painful the market is, the better for me, because, yes, we might fall down. Amazing. I will buy Ethereum through a liquidity pool. I still have 25% left for further purchases. Super. If the entire market is just sideways and nothing happens, it's dead. People go crazy and climb the walls. This strategy allows you to earn in parallel. There is cash flow, yes, on a small part of the portfolio, but it exists. And it would seem that from a logical point of view, I am slightly cutting my returns everywhere. On the one hand, if we grow very sharply now, I won't earn the maximum. That's for sure. On the other hand, if we fall sharply now, yes, I only have 25% stablecoins within this strategy. So I will buy back, but not significantly. And if the market is boring for a very long time, I only have 20% of the capital in liquidity pools. And everywhere I am cutting myself back a little. But this is the balance that is always necessary when working with large capital. And this is here now, yes, 100,000. And imagine, we are writing general strategies for 3 million, 4 million. It's much more complicated there, but also quite easy if we clearly understand in advance what we are doing at each specific market point. To summarize, at any market point, you need to be prepared for three scenarios: growth, sideways movement, and a sharp fall. Being prepared for only one thing will not work, because any other movement will harshly take you out. And it's not difficult to create an optimal strategy. You can even just take this and repeat it now. And it will likely be much better than what you have now. And with this, we will finish. I repeat, from you, a like, a comment, of course, subscribe, because I try. Well, and if, by chance, you have 100,000 dollars and you need an individual strategy, an individual approach, then my contacts are in the description. Write, we will think about what can be done with your capital in this difficult market. Yeah.