Transcription
It's a strange world, my friends. Political factions breaking, a new right emerging. People who used to be major Trump supporters now coming out against him with prominent personalities saying no to Donald Trump.
Well, my friends, whatever that picture may be in social media, I'm going to go ahead and say shenanigans. The RNC has nearly a 7 to1 money advantage of the DNC, which has more debt than cash on hand. Let me tell you plain and simple, my friends. The Republicans have something like $130 million and no debt. And Democrats have $17 million in debt and only $14 million available. They are not bringing in money anymore.
Now, it's been pointed out to me that that shouldn't matter. The issue is there are dark money billionaires still funding Democrat campaigns, perhaps. And I've got a video to show you related to the Hassan subpoena where he basically says this billionaire dude from America who fled to China is funding a pro-China movement. That's a lot of money going into the left. The important thing is it's not going through the Democratic party anymore. And that means something. They may still try to get Democrat candidates to win, but these are insurgent leftist and communist candidates. Not legitimate contenders to compete with Republicans. That is, they'll win in key areas that are deep blue, but it's causing serious problems and driving more people to the Republican party.
In the end, what I see with this dark money funding is that you will get more anti for violence. You will get political assassinations, but you will not get through this institutional power. Right now on Kshi, Republicans are favored to win. I'm sorry. I'm sorry. On Tuesday to win, Republicans are favored to win, not on KHI. On Khi, for some reason, PEOPLE ARE STILL BETTING BIG THAT DEMOCRATS ARE GOING TO TAKE everything despite the fact the polls keep swinging in favor of Republicans. And don't get me wrong, it's not by much. But when you look at the map on 270 to win, Republicans are at 212 seats, Democrats 204 with the rest being tossups. That is favoring the Republicans only slightly. Republicans have to win less seats for the majority than Democrats do, giving them the advantage.
So what do I see with this latest subpoena of the some 40 individuals in Cuba and the admission from Hassan that there is a guy in China funding this stuff. Again, let me just say it plainly. That kind of funding may get you Antifa, violence, assassinations, vandalism. It does not get you seats in political power. So you may get your insurgency, but in the long run it looks like Trump is going to win this one.
Well, let's deep dive, my friends, into this news. Before we do, head over to timcast.com to join the Discord community. Get involved, my friends. It's not what you know, it's who you know, okay? It's a little bit about what you know, don't get me wrong, but networking is everything. And the Tim Cass Discord community is growing like crazy. We're seeing massive growth. Something like 20% month over month. Tens of thousands of people hanging out. Get involved. If you want to start a project, work on a project, you come in, you will meet people, they can help. Or better yet, maybe you're someone who knows you can help. You can do the things that some people cannot. You can guide them. You want to start a band. You want to start a podcast. You want to draw a comic book. You got a new recipe for a chocolate cake and you need someone to make you who can film it for you. Some people have even gotten married in our Discord server. I'm not even kidding. No guarantees, but it's happened. Join us. Don't just sit idly by. This will be one of the most important elections. And dare I say, my friends, I think 2026 is the most important election yet. Now, don't get me wrong, 2024 at the time was. But every election isn't always the most important. Only now with a cascading culture war. If the Democrats end up taking the House, I got to say, I think it will be a complete inversion of institutional power. But as to my point, I don't think that's going to happen. And I'll show you why.
Hey, also don't forget, hit up castbreww.com for all your coffee needs. We even have aluminum canned water bottles. That's right. So, if you don't like plastic water bottles, you can pick up the aluminum cans. They do have plastic gaskets, though. So, you know, full disclosure, Ian's Graphine Dream Kods, as well as all of our great flavors that are available. Looks like we have a glass bottle. Only nine pool water glass bottles left. Check them out.
Let's start here with the news, my friends. This post from Vote hub. National committee finance update. The Republican National Committee is $123 million. Let's call it 124. We'll round up. $123.9 million available and no debt. The DNC unfortunately only has $14.4 million with 17.5 million in debt. And we have this report from back at the end of March. the RNC with nearly 7 to1 money advantage. Here's the thing. I am no nor should any of you be tricked by this reporting. While it does look bad for Democrats, and it does indicate a lot, which we'll break down, I want to make sure we at least caveat. Democrats could be playing dirty games. Just because you're in debt doesn't mean you're broke. Just because they've only got 14 million in the DNC doesn't mean they don't have other packs and war chests. This could be to feain weakness, so you always must be prepared for the worst. Hope for the best.
CNN reports an already massive gap between the RNC and the DNC finances widened in February, according to new reports filed at the FEC. The RNC outraised the DNC in February, 18.5 million to 10.3 million. And entering March, the RNC reported nearly seven times as much cash on hand, 109 million to 15.9 million. The DNC has more outstanding debt, 17.4 million than cash on hand. A DNC official noted that the committee was committed to deep investments in core infrastructure, especially staff, to build party capacity. Other National Party committees focused in the House and Senate races reported more comparable fundraising numbers. But the huge disparity between the DNC and the RNC finances could have consequences. The Supreme Court is weighing a move to raise caps on how much money political parties may spend in coordination with candidates, which would be a which would enable the RNC to leverage its massive cash stockpile to more directly aid Republicans on the ballot.
The reality is, my friends, Republicans are slightly more favorable than Democrats. And it's going back and forth, but for the first time in a long time, Republicans gained favorability on Democrats and uh Democrats won back a little bit. But now once again it's around I think Pew Research has it at something like 39 was it 39% favorability for Democrats and 40 for Republicans. So a slight edge. Here's the issue. The Republicans have always been the smaller party. Republicans tended to win over the past 30 years through moderates and independents. That would lean Republican, not Democrat. The Democrat party was always larger. But guess what else? The Democratic Party in the United States is the longest lasting political party. Uh I think ever. It's been around for a couple hundred years. Can it really continue to last? I will say the answer is no. And the reason why I will show you the disperate ideologies that we're seeing from the Democrats across the board, you're not going to unify this group. Do people who are, you know, in I don't know, maybe Alexandria, do they believe in what Zoran Mandani believes? I think the deep state democrat uniparty elites that live in Fairfax and Lowden County do not agree with Zoran Mandani creating communist schemes to seize property and maybe they do certainly in the Pacific Northwest but in certain areas where there are Democrats and maybe you know central urban areas and red states I don't know that they will completely agree with the commi policies of Mamani. Zora Mandani is now announcing his plans to seize property from land owners and building owners in New York City. No joke. And they're creating the mechanism by which they're going to force these people to give up their land. Do regular Democrats want this? Well, my friends, we have the polls and it shows us no. 47 to 47, the Democratic party is completely split over whether to be communist or moderate. Not a joke. I'll pull that up in a second.
For the time being, I want to show you the KI numbers. Right now, you can see that Republican sweep is flatlining around 32%. And you can actually see Democrat sweep is up. This infuriates me. I I am genuinely offended and angry at this. Democrats cannot sweep. It is not possible. Okay, right now it is a mathematic. Okay, I'm being hyperbolic. The likelihood that Democrats flip Alaska with a three with a third an incumbent, a two-time incumbent going for his third term, laughably insane. In order to win the Senate, they would have to flip Alaska. Win every tossup, flip Alaska. The probability of that is insane. If for some reason, people on Koshi are putting money down believing Democrats will win. Okay, I'm sorry. All right. It's not uh Republican sweep is at 23. I said 32. I'm at 23%. The next highest is Democrat House, Republican Senate, which does make sense at 32%. But who the heck is betting on a Democrat sweep? To be honest, the math doesn't support it. But maybe somebody knows something. Maybe there are some people behind the scenes who have access to information they should not have. And so that makes you wonder. Republican sweep has declined from a peak of 28.3 recently down to 23. So down five points. I'm going to go ahead and make that pitch again like I always do that I believe Republican sweep is the most likely right now according to 270 win based off standard polling data and redistricting and all of these things. Actually, I'm sorry. We got to reset this. That was my bad. I said 212 to 204. Correction, it's 209 to 207. 209 to 207. The 212 was based off Louisiana getting rid of this seat and then of course Alabama getting rid of one seat as well. And then uh I think we were look that that was the updated map first. Now right now one of the Oh, my bad. My bad. We got to make that one red. There you go. So it's two night 207 with tossups. That means Republicans have to win less seats than Democrats do. So I would say advantage Republicans. I'm not saying it's guaranteed Republicans win, but based on the polling data, we are looking at a toss up with advantage Republican, in which case, why would the people in the betting markets keep making a bet that Democrats are going to sweep? It's beyond me. Honestly, beyond me, considering a lower court recently blocked Alabama's redistricting, which would eliminate one Democrat seat and gain Republicans one seat. Scotas is probably going to hammer this down and force it through. We We already know how Scotus feels about this. Let's take a look at the Senate. My favorite guys, I've showed it a million times. Michigan, Ohio, Maine, North Carolina. Maybe Democrats sweep every state. That's fine. But they're not flipping a lean red. Alaska's Republican with a two-time incumbent. That would be insane. If the polling data suggested it was a tossup, I'd say maybe they could do it. Now, listen, it's not an impossibility. My point is only this. The probability of a Democrat sweep 20%. For some reason, 44%. Whatever. Let's take a look.
The DNC is in trouble right now. They are not raising money. And Ken Martin, who's in charge of it, people are calling for him to be removed. Some Democratic donors frustrated with DNC chair Ken Martin amid fundraising wos. The RNC outraised the DNC by 9.8 million according to March filings. They said the end of March, Republicans, we already know this number. They raised a lot. Democrats though were performing better than they did in 2018 at this point in the cycle. And the party had raised 7 million and had little more than 9 million cash on hand. The party had just under 6 million in debt at the time as well. Multiple Democratic blunders. Strategists and donors told ABC News they are still angry over how funds were allocated during the 24 2024 presidential election and frustrated at Martin's unwillingness to publicly release a DNC audit that examined what went wrong for Democrats in 24. After Martin won his campaign to be DNC chair in 2025 following the presidential election, he committed to conducting a review of the 2024 election and making it public. However, Martin has yet to release the full audit, saying instead he's focused on looking forward and has released lessons from the audit. Questions: is this an intentional manipulation? Are they funneling money through dark channels to make it look like they are weak and incompetent? Would be clever. It would be clever. I don't think so. I mean, maybe. But I'm going to say this, guys. I think that uh procedurally with the redistricting war, with the Save Act attempts, with Trump's election integrity army, with the shuttering of USID, I think Democrats are cooked.
You take a look at uh you know uh the slush fund they call it. The Democrats are pissed. are like Donald Trump created created a $1.776 billion fund for people who were wronged who are attacked by the Biden administration and we're hearing many people are filing claims to recover funds through this billion nearly $2 billion slush fund. Why? I'll break it down for you. USID was a mechanism by which government money, your money, taxpayer dollars were funneled to various NOS to prop up this system. Legal uh nonprofits would receive money, hire legal firms, law firms to then, you know, they they'd pay the lawyers for this money. Donations would be then made back to Democrat politicians. A beautiful method for which they can take your taxpayer dollars and give to Democrats to run their campaigns. There's an interesting hearing in DC years ago. I believe it was Jack Dorsey who was asked. It could have been someone, but Twitter was asked in in a congressional hearing. When someone who's in DC signs up for Twitter, they get recommended Democrats to follow. Why not Republicans? That's how the game is manipulated. Well, Trump has destroyed USAD and shut down their funding. And all of a sudden, Democrats can't get two nickels to rub together for grandma. I wonder what that's all about. Interesting. They cannot get any money. Now, why is that? Could it be that their funding source has been stripped from them? Indeed, it would seem so. Now, you've got calls for the DNC chair to resign. Ken Martin is failing. But I'm not so interested in talking about the inner workings of these institutions. Or Ken Martin, you don't care. What we want to know is where is the money actually going? And now it gets interesting. Ashra Nomani tweeted on Twitch just now. Marxist Assan makes an important admission. He says American Marxist pro-China tycoon Neville Roy Singum has funded a political movement in the US. That's a significant characterization. went to Cuba as part of a convoy organized by nonprofits funded by Singum. As have reported Fox New at Fox News Digital, Singam has pumped 285 million since 2017 to pro-communist nonprofits, including Code Pink.
Well, let's uh let's play this clip. ridiculous to um to try and and you know to try and stop like the political advocacy of an American uh citizen, >> right? Roy Singum is a American citizen. He lives in China now and he he's a uh centaillionaire. I think he like has almost a billion dollars. Not sure how much money he has now, but like he's been a funding vehicle for a lot of like uh uh political uh a lot of uh uh political movements in the country, like a lot of activism, and they hate that Like the American government hates that So, they're trying to uh jam him up, you know? They're they're trying to hit him on anything and everything they possibly can. That's it. That's the That's the goal here. Uh that's the broader goal. And and it's great from the administration's perspective because I think they're um they get to they get to chill speech, right? They get to say, "Listen, we will destroy your life if you're if you even think about doing activism against us." Right? I mean, it's it's a much larger goal of the uh administration. The the idea of like counterterrorism initiatives being focused entirely on left movements, you know, solidarity campaigns and the like. It's not new. This is something that they've signaled that they wanted to do. And uh this is just the next step in line with that agenda. So here we have Asan Biker mentioning pro- Marxist finance year for these movements. As a noman saying 285 million. So let's make sure it's very clear to everybody from the Hill. Watley there are no centrist Democrats anymore. I don't know if this clip is actually the right clip but uh we'll see if it loads up. And they say North Carolina GOP Senate candidate Michael Watley said Tuesday there are there's no more moderate faction. So, we have what I think is a pretty solid thing on the table. >> No, that's Rubio. Nothing to do with Watley. There really are no centrist Democrats anymore because they're being driven out of the party. Watley, the former chair of the Republican National Committee, told Fox uh Fox News, "The fact is the party is going further and further and further to the left. You know, it's a woke mob at at this point in time, and you see it. We see it in the leadership of that party. And every single candidate is bowing to that wing of the party." You know what's fascinating is that there was a commercial in the 24th cycle where they said Kamla is for they them. Trump is for you. Something like that. And that was deemed extremely effective. It really exemplified how people feel about these woke issues. Democrats keep embracing the 20 side of an 8020 issue. Makes no sense.
The New York Times says, "The cent's position may not be quite as far in the lead as it looks if move to the left and do nothing are combined. The party is split 47 to 47 on whether to move to the center." When the question shifts to in order to win the 2028 election, moving to the center is ahead by a modest margin of 52% to 43. I'd agree. I would agree. I'm going to say this. Tulsi Gabbard resigned. I'll tell I'll say it again, but people don't want to hear it. I know the Trump administration's mad at me. I I know this because of these uh things that I've brought up. And uh well, you know, we'll see what happens with that, but I don't care. I'm not here to lick any boots, my friends. What did I say? The rumor in the beltway se a couple months ago was that Tulsi Gabbard was going to resign. She was going to team up with Joe Kent and was going to move forward the political campaign of some sort that was meant to be like a new left. Let me explain. There's a couple theories. Again, just rumors. Maybe they're not true. I was told Tulsi will resign. She's going to run for the presidency in 28 either as a Democrat or an independent. If it's if she's an independent, she goes as a spoiler candidate because she will she will target moderate Democrat types. if she actually makes it the Democratic party because they're basically in shambles, she could be the Democrat nominee. And then what happens? MAGA splits into two factions. Anti-interventionist, but American populist, interventionist, American populist, and you get the makings of a new, let's just call it moderate distinction of left and right. it they they they the goal is to be like Obama versus Romney sort of uh boring largely in agreement with minor differences. That's what I was told. Now in response we reached out to comment from people who were close with Tulsi. I mean we we you know we know Tulsi Gabbard denials across the board. Not happening. Not going to happen. Okay. Tulsi resigned. The official reason was that Tulsi's husband's been diagnosed with a rare bone a bone cancer. I believe and many of Tulsi's most prominent allies are saying on social media to to say she was forced out or resigned for any other reason is is ludicrous. Now certainly the media has tried claiming she was forced out. I'm going to say it again guys. If there was a machine in play and the goal was to create an Obama Romney style political apparatus of course the media would say she was ousted. Tulsi Gabbard runs in 2028 as a Democrat. The narrative is they defied the war with Iran and they want the Epstein files released and they are the only real alternative. That was what I was told. Maybe maybe they shouldn't have trusted me with that information. I guess uh I'm not saying any highle people in the administration or close. I'm saying these are rumors from people who work on the hill. This is what the play is going to be. You know, a lot of people commented saying, "You're wrong, Tim. It's not going to happen. This is not true. Uh Roger Stone didn't directly address what I said, but for the general idea of Tulsi resigning, said never going to happen. And then she did. And then she did. Perhaps it was a coincidence with this diagnosis. But some have speculated that any diagnosis that her husband would have gotten, they would have already thought could be possible, in which case the absolute denials of resignation were uh let's just say uh maybe misleading. But I suppose if you want to come out and talk about your husband's health and you know you just say no no it's not happening but we heard rumors it was going to happen. Maybe they knew for a while. I still think that'll likely be the case. We'll see though. Democrats want to move to the center and the Epstein issue is becoming a big issue. So if you get Joe Kent Tulsi Candace Tucker prominent personalities you could either get a major spoiler candidacy or a prominent Democrat. I mean, what happens if Candace Owens says, "You got to vote for Tulsi." I don't know if she will, but what what if come 2027 in this primary, she announces she's going to run. Imagine what that campaign would look like. Tulsi Gabbard, what is she saying? I worked alongside Donald Trump. He has many flaws, but I believe he tried his best. I disagree with him on the war in Iran. Marco Rubio she will praise but disagree with and then we get that decorum again. This is the strategy to avoid a longer and more pronounced conflict. I think there's a great possibility it happens.
In the meantime, however, you've got Graham Platner with the Nazi tattoo. He got it removed, don't get me wrong. And this thing is going to win. You're not going to win 2028 on Graham Platner. I am I am I am very offended by this. Actually, we got we got KHI here. the odds. Graham Platiner's at 98.7 to win. And I'm I'm actually very very offended by this there. There's not a whole lot that gets me angry. You know, I People always ask me like, "You must be stressed out doing this work." And I'm like, "Uh, it's got to be like the least stressful thing I've ever done. Working at the airport was stressful. Getting up and doing physical labor. Geez. For years, lifting tens of thousands of pounds every single day." No, this is uh stressful sometimes, but usually, you know, pretty chill. But this pisses me off. Graham Platner did not accidentally get a toteen comp Nazi tattoo on his chest. That's not an accident. According to a cursory internet search, depictions of Nazi imagery is illegal in Croatia. The story is that he was uh, you know, in the military, went to a tattoo parlor, saw a cool skull and crossbow, and said, "Yeah, let's get that one." Okay, here's the problem with that. It mean the tattoo parlor was illegally displaying Nazi imagery. So, it was a Nazi tattoo parlor. And is uh the toten comp the only Nazi symbol they had displayed on their walls? I really doubt it. If you're going to illegally display the one, you wouldn't display others. Come on. Homeboy got it for 20 years and claims it was one big mistake and he just didn't know and he kept it. I don't believe it for a second. No, I believe Homeboy a Nazi. And I would argue this and I would argue uh that this is the probabilistic reality. The Democratic party is identitarian. Now don't get me wrong, overwhelmingly they don't like white people. But if you were someone who wanted legal precedent law allowing racial identitarianism, which party would you vote for? I had this debate on IRL with a young man who insisted Democrats were not Nazis and not racists or that they were not white supremacists because they hated white people. My point is this. Graham Platner had a Nazi tattoo for a long time. He's probably a racial identitarian. He's just not going to come out and admit it because you don't win political power doing so. He is now on track to win the Senate seat for Democrats. And he will and I bet you advocate for racial segregation because Republicans do not. Historically, from the get-go, Republicans have opposed racial segregation. Going back to the Civil War. So if you were an old school Democrat, like a clan member, you voted Democrat, right? Today, if you want those same policies, you vote Democrat. Democrats tried removing their racial protections in California. The California Constitution has an amendment barring racial discrimination in public accommodation and contracting. And the Democrats tried to remove that amendment so that you could be a racist, so you could deny people public contracts based on race. Now, of course, of course, the argument was yes, but it's to use against white people. perhaps in many key areas they would. But if you're a white supremacist and you know that you're not going to win at the state level, but at least in a small jurisdiction, you could now legally tell someone based on race to get out of your store, you'd be in favor of those laws. The only argument against this is that the the power of the state would stop white people from doing it, but allow others to do it. I think considering that already happens, there are some white supremacists that would make that move for the purpose of trying. To put it simply, take a look at many of the prominent white nationalists today and they will advocate for the Democratic party. So, I am not surprised. But Democrats as voter bases are cultish. Look at the Thomas Massie Republican fight. It's a split. It's not a cult. Trump is mad at at Massie. Massie loses. and a bunch of right-leaning individuals, conservative as well, are pro- Massie. Many are proTrump. It's on uh age demographics. Millennials and younger like Massie, Gen X and older like uh like Galain. Therefore, what Trump says, I'm going to put it like this. I believe that there are prominent white nationalists that are running as Democrats. It's the only way to get racial segregation back in this country.
Now, in the meantime, I think the the choice is obvious. The Democratic Party is the party of no Trump, but Trump's not going to be here after 2028. It's funny because you got these people saying Trump will never leave. Spare me, dude. Trump's Trump's going to leave whether he wants to or not because he's over 80 years old. He's not going to be able to do this anymore. The question then becomes, where does all of this go? Democrats, they can't raise money, but you've got these activist networks and dark money funneling into communism. Well, that's the thesis, right? It's not going to become institutional power. It all makes sense. Republicans have not fought in the streets, firebombed buildings. The worst things Republicans have done, conservatives, J6 indeed. Democrats, on the other hand, murder, firebomb buildings, shoot up Tesla facilities. This was the direction it was always going to go. The left is hyper radicalized and violent, funded by extremists. The right has been the pro-America, slow down there, Democrats, but the right's been winning back institutional power. And I think the reason is the left has gone crazy. So many people like me who used to be Democrat or, you know, more liberal have now moved to the middle and are voting Republican. Not because we like Republicans, they suck too, but because they at least represent American traditionalism. And I'm not saying everything traditional is good. I'm saying at least they represent apple pie and baseball. And the Democrats represent soccer. No disrespect if you like soccer, but you get my point. open borders, international treaties, all that stuff. And they represent far leftism.
I want to show you just a couple things. Listen to this. To when necessary, we will take aggressive legal action to remove negligent owners and property managers. >> And for buildings that have suffered chronic neglect, we will work to transfer ownership to responsible stewards. stewards that include community land trusts, nonprofits, >> nonprofits, or even the tenants themselves. >> Let's break it down. New York has rent control. There are many landlords who talk about how they have to keep certain units empty because the amount of money that it would cost to get it to code, they cannot generate in rentals. So if they if they do a rent stabilization is a,000 bucks and the guy says it's going to cost $30,000 to get this to code. I can only make $12,000 for the year and with wear and tear and utilities I want to spend $7,000. I can't make the money back. So, we're not going to rent it out. And thus, you end up with buildings with empty units. That's law that caused that problem. So, then Mandani says, you've neglected the building. We're going to have to seize it from you. That's the long game. And in the end, nobody fixes the building. They just destroy everything. Maybe that was the play the whole time. As much as these people are cheering for it, I think too many regular people in this country are moving away from Democrats because of this or moving out of New York. But I'll leave it there, my friends. You tell me what you think in the comments below. Smash the like button, share the show. Stick around. More coming up throughout the day. We're back 8:00 p.m. for Timcast IRL. Thanks for hanging out and we will see you all then.