Transcription
Hello everyone. I hope that you guys had a wonderful weekend and also a wonderful Monday. Right.
So today we'll be doing the usual. We'll be having our market overview since this is the first live stream for the week. Right here on the screen right now you guys can see that we have we had no news events today, you know, and we still have no news events tomorrow. Right? So does that mean that, you know, there will be nothing to do? No, that's not what it means. There will be something to do, but it will just be, you know, harder for you to determine when to, you know, pull the trigger. And this is why, you know, I recommend and trading only on, you know, high news prevalent days. So just days that have high impact news events, right? For now, right? Of course, you know, you can use orange folder news at certain times, right? But, you know, we're not going to get into that yet because now the main thing is just to get, you know, everyone to be on the right side of the market at, you know, most of the times, right? You need to be able to find easy trades, and this is how you do so, right? As I've said many times before, the easiest trades will form on days that have high impact news events during the weeks that have, you know, less than or high impact news days, right? So such as this week. This week is, you know, it's going to be pretty easy, right? Higher low of week, you know, will obviously be on Wednesday or Thursday, right? So either of those days, you manage your risk and you just go in, you know, for the entirety of this week, just focusing on those two days, right? You are bound to find something to do, right? So we'll be getting volatility Wednesday, most of the volatility will be Thursday, and then Friday will do what it usually does, and that it return to the weekly range here on the screen, right?
You guys can see that this is, you know, the one week time frame. So, this is the weekly time frame, right? And right here, we're looking at sequential SMT between the years, right? We've never really delved down into this, but this is sequential SMT between the years, right? Of the, you know, centennial cycle, right? So as you guys know, right, we can have sequential SMT between years, right? Here, this is the low of for this. And now we're looking at the US dollar. This is the low of 2023, right? This is the high of 2023 for the euro. This is the high of 2023 for the British pound, right? The US dollar has failed to break below last year's low. The euro has failed to break above last year's high, but the British pound has broken above last year's high, right? So here we have a cracking correlation, right? And also we have hidden, you know, sequential SMT on the lower time frame as well. And, you know, surprisingly enough, right, this occurs while we have, you know, the uprising, you know, happening all over the world, while and, you know, it's crazy just to say that because, you know, we've been saying that for a while, but it's just been getting worse and worse and worse and worse. It's just that, you know, we've, you know, gotten used to how bad everything is, but, you know, it's just getting worse and worse and worse and worse, right? And that's just how it's going to continue to go, right? But it will not bother most of you guys. And that's, you know, people that, you know, partake in the skill set, you trade, or you know, you do analysis, you know, part-time for a company, whatever it is that you do, as long as, you know, it's pertaining to this skill and, you know, you're doing it on your own time, then, you know, you, it won't bother you that much. Inflation and all that stuff, you know, it will be nothing to you. And if you, you haven't gotten there, as you will, right?
So here you can see that we have these highs right here, you know, which in my opinion, it doesn't matter what happens here, these will be taken out eventually. And whenever this happens, right, whenever you see price, you know, do whatever it's supposed to do and continue higher, well, it's already continuing higher already. And these highs, you know, are, we are near to these highs, then you'll know that something big is about to, you know, happen, right? More but unlikely, we'll have, you know, back and forth, back and forth, you know, until, you know, like the week before we have the presidential US presidential elections, and then, you know, like a week after or, you know, with the week, you know, we'll have some form of manipulation, and then, you know, price will continue in its desired direction, right? You know, it's pretty obvious. You see these highs right here, very, they're very close in parameter, right? Basically, these are, you know, relatively equal highs, relatively equal lows. This is diagonal liquidity here as well. We have a lot of liquidity looking at the British pound, right? And remember that this is not a lower time frame, this is the weekly time frame. So if price decides to shift in the direction that we desire it to shift to, or what our analysis or our tools were pointing to, right? Because that's what we're, that's what we're using right now, the tools that we, you know, brought about to life, right? That's all we're using. Sequential SMT, we're waiting for precision swing points. We're waiting for SMT fills. That's all we're doing right now. You know, that's it. We just go ahead, go with the system and let this and just let price do what it's doing, right?
Down here, you can see that, you know, we had SFT here, which sent price higher. So, here we had price take out this low right here. Looking at the Euro right here, right? We had price take this low out, and you'll see, well, some of you probably already know why I'm talking about this, right? And here, right, we had price take this high out, right? So, here price took this high out. Here price took this low out for the euro, but here for the British pound, price did not take this low out. Now, why is this important? Because it is a SMT low. SMT lows or SMT highs, you know, once you have a larger range SMT or sequence SMT in the opposite direction, you know, that would, you know, cancel this SMT, which would, you know, give rise to the magneto effect, right? Which happens when you have a lower time frame SMT just becoming liquidity. Whenever you have a higher time frame SMT or larger range SMT, you know, canceling this move right here. And that's why this low, you know, is of interest. That's why this high is of interest. And that's why these lows right here, you know, basic this low right here, since this is the lower one, that's of the most interest. But first, you know, we have to go through all of this. And of course, for price to shift in the direction that, you know, we are anticipating or direction that we want it to shift into, there must be a, you know, major news event, right? Something must happen. Something has to happen, right? All of these, you know, large ranges that were formed, price dropping here, price going higher here, right? Price leaving here to go higher, everything happened, right? The news happened because price allowed it to happen, right? Or, you know, what, whichever way you want to put it, right? You can even say that, you know, price is just following the news, whatever it is. But, you know, this is the basis of all of that.
Here you can see right, this candle right here. It's today's price action, which is, you know, Monday, and, you know, it is a small range. And as you guys know, while price was forming this SMT here, we talked about it. While price in this consolidation, while this candle was, you know, being formed, we expected higher prices for the dollar. We talked about the sequential SMT that was here, the sequence SMT that was here, and, and, you know, one that's here as well, right? But here you can see that we have this small range candle, you know, that determine the daily, you know, range today for the dollar, the euro, and also the pound. As I've said before, and I'll say it again, so you remember whenever you, you know, whenever price action like this should occur, and what should you expect in the index futures, right? So for now, before I go to the index futures, there is nothing right here, you know, to work with. Why is that? Because you're going to determine SMT sequence, sequence SMT from candles that are expanded, right? You need, you know, candle, the candles to consolidate, and then you have sequence SMT or position swing point or anything of that sorting, correlation, whichever one, you know, you prefer to look for, whichever one presents itself to cancel this expansion and allow price to return to the range, unless the SMT, right, is of a larger range than this one right here. And you determine the range by just basically the cutting the candles. So from here, this low, right, as long as it's low, the candles of the range are lower than this range right here. So, for example, here you have, you know, you could have five days or three days cause SMT, it will just pull back within the range and continue higher because that lower time frame SMT will not cancel this one, right? Just as here, you can see that we took this high out, we took this low out, then did not take this low out, right? It will, it will not cancel this.
So here you can see that we have the three, you know, main index futures that we focus on right here, the S&P 500, the NASDAQ, and we have the Dow right here. So right here, see, we are consolidating within a range, right? And of course, looking at this, it seems a bit boring, but it's not. This is the best time to be focusing on price, right? This is the best time to, you know, just be reading price or anticipating a shift in structure, anticipating sequential SMT. So here already you can see that, you know, we just wicked below this low right here, right? Price did not close here. Looking at the four-hour time frame, it did not close here. And that's very important. Remember, we're looking at the four-hour time frame. So in order to determine a correlation between the weekly cycles, what we're looking for right now, well, between the monthly cycles, this is what we use the four-hour time frame. So here we have a blank week, which is what we would use to anticipate a cutting correlation between the first week of the month and the blank week of that was last week, right? A blank week. It's, you know, it's pretty simple to see, you know, visually what it is, right? There we have, we had Q4, then we had a partial week, which is what we call a blank week, right? So if we have pressure SMT below here, right? Either we have, you know, the S&P 500 sweep here, we could see price continue higher, or, you know, SMT here, we have NASDAQ fail sweep here, this stabs down once more, right? Or we just see a lower time frame sequence SMT and price will just go higher, right? So for short, right, we have highs and we could have, we could have highs at these highs right here. This, these highs are equal highs, right? So we're just within this range and we, we'll just be playing within this range, right? Price drops here, you know, there's a reasonable cause for price to go higher, right? We participate in the buy and, you know, get out around these highs or around, you know, the new opening gap that's here, take profits, whatever it is, whatever you prefer, right? So first, you know, there could be a sell coming in, so it could be, you know, seller even here, take these lows out, you, you get out, that could be a trade for the entire week, or price drops, it continues higher, that could be a trade as well. But remember that we have CPI right news event this week. So just be mindful of that.
So here right now you can see that we have, you know, these candles being highlighted. What are they? They are precision swing points. Of course, they are, right? And the reason why they're highlighted or is because that we have these precision swing points form within gaps, right? This is within a fair value gap right here. This is within a fair value gap right here. And this is within a fair value gap right here. And price traded here. By the way, there was SMT, right? We had price take these highs out, failed to take these ones out, and the same thing occurred there, right? Also, right? If you guys remember from the last live stream that we had, we discussed, you know, about high, um, high probability entries, right? The one of the highest probability entries that you will ever have, right? And you can study this, right? You can just start proving wrong, but, you know, even just using this, if, you know, you're a person that likes to scalp on the lower time frame, you are destined to get, you know, a reaction, right? So here we have price, you know, trading up into this gap. Turn on your new opening gap indicators. You can see that we had a new opening gap overlap with this gap right here, right? So if you're a person that you're looking for something that's, you know, very simple to follow, you know, this is it, right? You open gap overlapping with your value gap, precision swing point forming within that, right? And you will, you know, be fine most of the times. Here, position swing point within the gap, position point within the gap after we had SMT. So most of the times, you know, you're going to hear me say to stay away from, you know, SMT that is not sequential. You know, that's not, that's not the case all of the times, right? There are times when you have something that occur after the S&P, such as before I've spoken about this side. Has spoken about waiting for sequential SMT to form after SMT. But now you can wait for, you know, something like this to happen. You have SMT, and then what do you have afterwards? You have price breaking down, right? Oh, and the gap opens just around a new with opening gap, and you're looking, you're just looking back at 10, right? And this makes it easy for you, right? This right here. If most of you guys haven't grabbed this yet, that's what it is, right? You shift between five and 10, right? To use this, you want to look at 10, right? The same right here. That's it. And also keep in mind, of course, the very important, you know, the true opens, right? So here we traded above, we open of the New York session. Then, you know, this was our level of resistance, right? And then price dropped lower below this low. We had another new open gap, you know, but highs and lows that have new open gaps, you know, tend to pull price to them. Here below here, there we have side liquidity, so we could be looking for, you know, price to be drawn to these lows right here in the near future. The same thing over here. And if one of these lows were taken out and the other one in left is left, then, you know, that is sequential, right? But yes, eventually, you know, I believe that we will see price taking these out as well. But for now, you know, it's just, you'll just be seeing price moving from liquidity pool to liquidity pool.
Here right now we have Bitcoin, right? So you already know, right? My main draw on liquidity for Bitcoin at the moment, and it's not that, you know, I am extremely bullish on Bitcoin or anything. This is just the immediate draw on liquidity, right? It's these highs, right? It's just too obvious, right? Of course, before we're going, we might see, you know, more of this type of price action, you know, just to, you know, shake out early buyers, you know, get people to short, to just squeeze them, right? So, is Bitcoin something that's high probability right now? No. Can you share it if you wish? Yes. If you have a wide stop loss or if you just get lucky of the times, right? Because here you can see that we had to soup right here. Perfect buy with this fair value. Price went higher, failed to break above this high, and we were a participant of this, but price ended up, you know, dropping back down, right? The same thing here, right? Price took this low out, continued higher, failed here again, then just dropped. Took this low out again, continued higher, failed again, dropped here, dropped within this wick, continued higher, right? And then up until now, we expected price to run this high. It did, but then we just had price fall back within the range. So, the best thing to do if you're a person that is a fan of Bitcoin, a fan of cryptocurrency, is just wait until price breaks out of the range and then you will find something to do.
So, I hope that you found this useful. We will be back. Let me look. We'll be back at Wednesday at the same time. So I want to use, you know, the next few minutes, like five minutes, answering questions if anyone has, right? So you can ask questions right now. So if you have any questions, you can ask them right now. If not, then we will just end right here. If you're watching this and you don't want to hear me answer, if you're watching this and you don't want to hear me answering questions, then, you know, you can just stop right now and just rewind it. It's recorded, so yeah. D, can you tell us why you never talk about the use of DFR? Was the first thing you taught us and seems to be a fundamental aspect of quadr theory? What's the reason you never talk about it? Because it's not that important right now, right? And of, of course, you will, you know, elaborate on most of the topics, right? What about the content for 2020 24 class in 2025? When that comes, you see it, right? 2025 will be very exciting, right? 2025 will be, you know, way more exciting than this year for sure because, you know, after that, all the liquidity from presidential election will be injected into the marketplace. So there will be a lot of movement and other things. You said enter. You said exit on. You said exit on higher time frame and exit. What you said enter on a higher time frame as sequence SMT and exit on lower time sequence sequence SMT. But if there is higher time frame sequence SMT, doesn't that mean that the lower time frame sequence is just SMT market structure shift? So SMT market shift is just that where it's SMT market shift, right? It's not sequential SMT. It's, it will just be regular SMT, right? That's all it is. For gold, for sure, I can, I can, I can do that. I can't add that to, you know, the streams for. So yeah, I believe that will conclude, you know, today's session. We'll be back here Wednesday, and if we have time, we will, we'll be back here Saturday again. I hope that you found this useful. Ciao.