Transcription
As you guys can see right, um, Tuesday, which was the day after we went live for the first time this week, was when we had, you know, the low week form across the board for most asset classes, right? That is not a coincidence, right? It's definitely not, right? That's, you know, algorithmic, right? It was the day, you know, which followed the day which we had the true week open being established, right? And this is why Mondays, right, out of every day of the week, right, Monday will be the day which is the lowest in probability. And this is due to the fact, why? Common sense, right? The two-week open is yet to be established, right? Monday's range will usually be covered, you know, during some day of the week.
So, as you guys can see, right, on Tuesday, we have high, we had high news events, right? And we'll be going deeper into that, so I won't be talking about news events much right now. But we just had some type of volatility, you know, enter the market, which was not a lot, right? And that's due to the fact of why yesterday we already had a correlation, you know, on the higher time frame cycle. Remember, we don't usually see sequential SMT, right, on two consecutive days. And also, tomorrow, what do we have? Tomorrow, we have a US bank holiday, right? And these things tend to, you know, keep them like these things come together, right? The fact that yesterday we had sequential SMT enter the market, sequential SMT within the weekly cycle, which is one of the most important cycles, right? For you, of course, right? It is the best way for you to gauge price action. It is the best way for you to basically know what price is going to do most of the times, right?
But due to the fact that yesterday we had that injection of volatility, and remember, the only time that news events matter is when we have sequential SMT, and the only time when sequential SMT matters is when we have news. You can't have one without the other, or else price will, you know, be like a day's ago or just do nothing, right? So here we can see that, right? We have price just, you know, falling a bit due to the fact that we just had, you know, some high-impact news event within the marketplace. But pay attention to, you know, this move. It's not a lot, right? Compared to what we had happened, you know, yesterday, right? It wasn't a lot. Yesterday was the perfect day, right? And if you guys remember, right? And I, this is not me just, you, you guys must be tired of me saying this, but it's not hindsight or anything, but I'm just saying it in case anyone, you know, is watching right now that just decided not to watch the previous live stream, right? So here we had sequential MT, right? It's always there. And I'm going to say this again, 90% of the time. And this is just to let you know that listen, if you're trading a big account, a small account, this is your best bet. This is, this is always there. There's no one else that can come every week and show you something that, you know, they literally doesn't mind ICT, right? They literally made, made, make everything that he teaches, but, right? You understand what I'm trying to say, right? This is our concept, our, not mine, right? Ours. And it always shows up whenever the low, the week is formed. It's there. Whenever the high, the week is formed. Depth is there. Whenever Monday is a low of the week. What happens whenever Monday is a low of the week? 100% of the time, it will be the leg, right? The first leg for, you know, what follows after within the sequence SMT, which is the swing low, right? For, so, for example, here, the low of the week so far for the NDA is Monday. For the ES, the E-mini S&P 500 is Tuesday.
Right here, what do we have? What we have this expansion right here. If you look across the board, you can see that, right? You won't see, um, the precision swing point here, but it's there, right? If you compare this, which, you know, we'll be doing in, you know, when I look at some other charts or, you know, another slide or whatever it is. This is an intermarket sequence, say, intermarket sequence SMT. Also, this is an intermarket precision swing point, right? Do you understand? So here, right, we went time. Remember? And then I said I expected price to go above these highs. We were looking at a higher time frame, but these are the highs that we had highlighted, right? This was a draw liquidity, and it's still the draw liquidity, right? Then what happened? We had price trade below the true open, create sequence, and expand. That's it. That's the model, right?
So, first of all, remember, right? And let's go out a bit for this. First of all, we had the higher time frame sequential SMT, which was here, right? Between the previous Q4 of the previous month and the current first quarter of this month, right? Then what happened afterwards? Here again, we had a lower time frame sequential SMT, which is also intermarket sequential SMT, right? And I'm going to show you guys how to get the highest probability trade that is there, right? The highest that you can ever get. And this is how you do it, right? This is exactly how you do it. So here, price traded below the true open. There was a higher time frame, right? There's an intermarket precision swing point. Price expanded. This would not matter. The precision swing point makes no sense whatsoever if there is not a news event. If we don't have high-impact news events, it doesn't matter. So do you understand that? It does not matter if you have high-impact news events, days such as this, right? Whereas there is no, you know, sequential SMT here, it is what? Low probability. It is extremely low probability, right? Here, right? This is not high probability price action right here where you have, where you see like, if, so if you were supposed to trade it, it should be here, right? Trying to capitalize on this move right here, which is a two-stage sequence SMT. Well, to you right now, it's two stages, but it's actually, you know, three, cuz we'll be going down in the low time frames and, you know, looking at some more price action.
So what are you looking for? What are you looking for? You're looking for sequential SMT, right? And it, it doesn't matter the cycle, the cycle that you're looking at, right? Just needs to be two to three consecutive sequential slash intermarket sequential SMTs, right? With precision swing points or precision candles. And once you have that, you don't need a level, you don't need a higher time frame P, you don't need an order block, you don't need a higher time frame breaker, you don't need any of that because those things will not work unless this is here. Price will not reverse unless this is here. So you have no reason to not be making money. You have no reason to not be passing funded accounts. You have no reasons because you now have the formula. You, you now have what you need. My son is making noise. My, you don't have what you need. This is what you need. This is what works week after week after week, right?
Why did I wait until here? Why didn't I go live here? Why? Because I know that this knew that this would drop below this low more than likely. And I don't want to tell you guys that I'm bullish and then you try to buy here and then you get taken out here, right? Here, what was there? See, crash SMT. I was on the higher time frame sequential SMT. It's always there. Whenever price reversal is there, 90% of the times, whenever we have, you know, large price swings, it will be there. It must be there. Or else, you just will not have reversals, right? And if we have some type of lower time frame sequence here, cracking correlation, then obviously we're expecting pressure these highs above these highs. We'll wait for another correlation to see if price will reverse or fall back within the range here. We have, right? And this is to show you guys how good it is. You don't need, right? To, for example, using this method, right? Right? You don't need to be focusing on the S&P 500 and here, right? You don't need. If you have the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ, and then you see the correlation that you're waiting for, then you don't need to, you know, be stressing over these because as you guys can see right now, we're within a range. But, right? This is our ultimate draw liquidity here as well, right? But we're still within a range. But yes, this is our ultimate draw liquidity. So we see price fall here, right? We see price fall here. There's a correlation, high-use event, boom, right? Aiming for these highs, right? That's the game plan, basically, right? These highs are too clean, right? And these highs are too clean, then these highs over up here are too clean, higher time frame, right? For us to not consider, right? For, for now, we see this as just price just setting up itself for, you know, a perfect move whenever we see price in consolidation. That's what you want to see, right? And it sounds weird saying that, but this is the type of price action you want to see. Unclear price action due to the fact that what? Unclear price action breeds clean price action, right? And that's what it is. So we wait for, you know, our confirmation, which is what? Sequential, intermarket, sequential, precision swing points, right? What else? SMT, Fs, and, you know, the rest. But those three are, those three are enough to build your models. If you realize, we don't look at higher time frame gaps that much because what? If we don't have sequential SMT within that higher time frame gap, then it doesn't matter. It won't hold. It will not hold. And this is what you need to, you know, drill into your heads. What makes price reverse? Sequence something. It's always there, right? If you get it wrong once, don't feel bad, right? Cuz some of you, you'll be getting it right three, four times in a row, then one, the one time you get it wrong, which is due to just, you know, your human error, you blame the concept, which is not something that you should do, which is, you know, over time, you'll learn to, you know, understand, appreciate the times that you fail and just look at them as, you know, opportunities to get better.
So here, we'll just take, take a bit deeper into price, into price action. So just to, you know, put into perspective, right? How, right? We expect the price to go higher, right? When we went live, it was here. There was a true week open of the, of the week, right? The, for, for me personally, right? I, whenever the true week open of the week occurs, right? I don't pick price action until it, right? The until the true week open. No, until the true day open. I think I'm using the wrong. Okay, let's use the right. Until, until the two-day open, which occurs after the two-week open. Why? Because whenever that happens, we have status opens, right? Whenever we have a lower time frame or a lower time frame cycle to open below a higher time frame cycle to open, right? What happens then? We have, you know, price just, you know, will be deemed for expansion. Price will need to expand. But it's not just okay, price just falls below and then we just buy. No. Price falls below here. We have the S&P 500 piercing this low, closing below the lowest close of the previous quarter. Then what else do we have here? We have intermarket sequential SMT, right? Here we had a precision swing point, right? On the high time frame, we had higher time frame than this other time frame cycle than this. We had an intermarket precision swing point, right? Here. You also have intermarket swing point. But the thing that occurs right here is when you look here, right? And we, and we, we have this candle right here. And if you're wondering, right? These boxes, if you don't realize yet, right? They represent the smaller ones represent the quarters of the day, and the lower one, the lower rectangles, you know, represent the quarters of the week, right? So right here, right? This was the New York session, right? And the expansion leg obviously is going to occur whenever we have the H event in place, right? That's what's going to happen. So it's sometimes it's either delayed, whereas the, you have the sequential SMT being put into place by a new event, or we have the sequential SMT already underway. So, for example, here you can see that price fell below this low. But if you look at the Great British Pound, you see that price did not fall below its respective London session's low, right? So this low right here, we had the S&P 500 fall below. That did not happen in the Great British Pound. And for those who need to see it, right? So that did not happen within the Great British Pound here, right? And whenever you see this, this is another thing, right? Whenever you see price action like this, whereas we did, we didn't even get a swing low within the grave, which point just continued to go up, right? That is, you know, an obvious sign that we would have expansion within the other asset class that you're looking at, which you're comparing with this, right? So here, the Great British Pound even tried to fall back. It didn't even pull back, whereas we had the S&P 500 making the low of the day, taking on the London session, right? Then what? Then just expand it. So again, we're below the true week open. We're below the true day open as well. And this is usually low, high the week form. F ver, you'll see the high here. And it doesn't matter if it's on Tuesday, Wednesday, or Thursday, right? Just, you just have to be above the two-week open and above the two-day opens, right? So here we had price pierce this low, right? This was a higher time frame cycle's precision intermarket precision swing point. Price expanded, right? Right? Price then this right here, where you see me have this small red line, right? That is the true session open of the New York session, right? So this is the true session open of New York. Price traded below. And if you realize this candle right here, right? It was the base of this swing low, right? Which is important. This is the 50-minute time frame. Pay attention. The 15-minute time frame. This candle right here, right? Is the candle to the left of the S of the bullish swing low. This candle right here expanded, became a gap, then it is C to the right of this swing low. So this right here is not random, right? First of all, the time that it takes place with on the 50-minute time frame, right? We have this right here. Don't close candle open right here. Then we have had the swing point right here. Price expanded. Price came back down perfectly, right? Balanced with this candle right here, which would, you know, actually be what an order block should be, right? Due to the fact that we have all of these, you know, everything happening, which was due to have happened for a reversal, right? The time is right. We had high news events during this quarter right here, right? During New York. And if you know, if we had a high news right here, then we would expect what happened here to happen here. If we had a high-impact news event here, right? For example, you're trading the British Pound, you have high been here, your sequential here, in terms of the sequence, sequential here, they, you expect the same thing to happen, right? Right? Here, bullish, here, bullish, here, just because we have sequence simp here, which is why we had the expansion. The news events will respect the daily and 90-minute cycles, right? Those are the cycles, right? The daily is the best, right? In my opinion, due to the fact that, right? If you're using the 50-minute time frame, you don't really have to be, you know, just stuck looking at the charts, right? If you have something else to do, you can just continue doing it. Since lately, with my son, I have to be trying to find time, so I haven't stopped trading with the 15-minute time frame, right? So this is the best thing for, if you know, you're someone that doesn't have that attention to the charts, right? As some people that can be looking at one-minute time frames, four minutes upon hours, right? This is perfect. So we had price trade here. If you look here, what's here? Liquidity, low resistance, liquidity here. You can see that we have these equal highs here. So whenever you see this, like, listen, you never want to see equal highs and just be shorting, right? You can be shorting here, here, but once it reaches here, whereas, you know, reaches climax, whereas it should reverse, it will. Once the time gets right, it will. And usually whenever, you know, you have this type of price action where you have equal lows form, equal highs form, or equal lows form, and price starts to reverse, it's just trying to get to the proper low, right? As Michael might say, the proper discount, right? Terminus, so it can reverse after which here, you see we had, you know, price expand. Once it broke this side, this is a breaker right here. All of this is a breaker, right? Here, right? Price fell back within the breaker and within the gap and just continued to go higher.
So I hope that you found something useful from this. This is something that you should watch over and over if, you know, you're someone that tends to find this difficult, right? Follow it over, watch it over and over, make notes. And we will be, you know, as you guys know, whenever you see me here, just completely rambling about something over and over, yes, we'll be going deeper as this is a prerequisite for what we have coming. I hope that you found this useful and and hope that you have a wonderful day.