Transcription
Welcome to Astrosh on my YouTube. Greetings. I am Naresh Kumar. First of all, thank you to the viewers who have subscribed to the page. They are sharing, liking the page's videos, and continuously sending us their opinions in the comment box. Friends, this video is for silver investors. I had uploaded a video for silver on May 31st in which I had stated that a tremendous rally is coming in silver. Although my assessment was until September 15th, silver is still strong even after that. It seemed that after September 15th, there would be some correction. It did happen for two days, but then it moved ahead, and the position for silver is going to get even better. I will also tell you the date and discuss it in detail, but first, let's understand it a bit fundamentally, why things are happening this way with silver. What happened that silver is not available? This is also very important to know. Astrology, I repeatedly say, can be a tool for us to understand anything. In astro cycles, we can find out if something can move or if something can stop. Just like a gentleman commented on the video about gold and silver the day before yesterday, asking if copper will move. So I replied to him that copper will rally because Mercury and Mars are going to conjunct, and as soon as this conjunction happened yesterday at 4:45 PM, you saw where copper went, and copper will continue to move ahead for now. But for now, we will talk about silver. Why is there a rally in silver? What are its fundamental reasons? Many things are shifting in the world. The geopolitical scenario is changing. The global order is being reset. Power games are happening. Power tussles are happening. There is a power tussle between Russia, China, and America. Its impact is coming on this market. But what is the actual situation? The debt in America has increased significantly. The debt is around $37 trillion. People have lost faith in bonds. Bonds are the strength of any country. Credibility comes because of bonds. If people are not interested in the bonds that the US is issuing, and they have to get their own people to buy bonds, then understand what the situation is there. So, these are two fundamental reasons: the US economy is in debt, people's faith in bonds is decreasing, and the geopolitical scenario has been disturbed and is continuously disturbed. Because of this, gold is continuously increasing. The rate is around $3800. It has even touched $3900. The gold-silver ratio is continuously narrowing. Previously, when I shot the video on May 31st, the gold-silver ratio was 96. Now, to explain to common viewers, one ounce of gold was equivalent to 96 ounces of silver. This had historically gone very low, meaning this gold-silver ratio had gone very high. Normally, it remains around 60-50-6. So, when this gold-silver ratio was very high, it was evident from there that a correction would now occur, and silver would show more movement, and good movements should come in silver. I had also mentioned in one of my yearly videos that silver would outperform gold. This was perhaps my sector video in which I had said that gold and silver would move this year, but silver would outperform. So, what has happened here? As of today, when we are shooting this video, the gold-silver ratio, which was 96, has become 82. There has been a fall of about 13-14%. So, silver is continuously outperforming. Look at another aspect of this. The London Bullion Market Association, in 2021, their vaults, where all bullion, gold, and silver are kept, which are called stores, and which we commonly call lockers in banks, their vaults had 1.1 billion ounces of silver in 2021. That is, the total silver there was 1.1 billion ounces, and this has now reduced to about 800 million ounces. This means there has been a 30% decline in physical silver there in the last 5 years. This is such a tremendous decline, such tremendous demand for silver, that it is not in the vaults. It has gone into use. So, this is the real picture, the story of silver, that the demand for silver is very high. However, reports claim that the actual silver lying in the vaults is stated to be around 760 million. Data of about 800 million is coming. Some websites show 760 million, while others show data around 800 million. But the interesting part here is that the silver lying there is from ETFs. For example, if you buy an ETF, I buy an ETF, or you buy an ETF, then for that ETF, any fund house buys silver and keeps it in a vault. It converts it into units, and then you get the ETF. So, the data says that the actual silver lying in the vaults, which is called settlement silver, meaning if you and I are trading, then ultimately its settlement should be in physical form. So, it is around 155 million ounces in total available. The rest is lying in the vaults, but that is gold's silver, it is people's silver, it is ETF silver, it is already with people. So, the annual demand for silver is about 1.2 billion ounces, and against that, what is traded, I am telling you about that. How much is lying against what is traded? Only 155 million. Now imagine, for the next four to six weeks, there is only silver left in the vaults in London, which is the largest metal exchange. So, you can understand that there is such a huge demand-supply gap. If we analyze this year's data a bit, for 2025, as of today, there is a shortage of about 190 million ounces of silver worldwide. Now, why is this happening? We understood the fundamental reasons, the economic reasons, that America is in debt, and its own bonds are not working. The geopolitical scenario is disturbed. But what is happening on the other side? Silver is also an industrial commodity. Now, what has happened worldwide? We saw the Paris Revolution, where the whole world is working towards reducing global warming. Similarly, there is talk of promoting green energy. Look in India, go to Gujarat, you will find solar panels on every roof. Many big companies are working here to boost solar energy. Silver is needed to boost EVs. Silver is needed. And the windmills where wind energy is generated, which is also a part of green energy, also require silver. Otherwise, being an industrial commodity, silver is also needed in many things, like making chips or many electronic items. So, the overall demand for silver is so high, and the supply is low. Because of this, if we look at the other aspect, this is what has very high demand. The demand is so high that on COMEX, which operates in the market, they know that the New York Commodity Exchange is called COMEX. It is trading at a premium of 70 cents over what is trading in London. The situation today is that the charge for storing silver has reached around 7.5%. This is the highest today. Even the cost of storing silver has increased. So, anyway, why do I see this as silver going to rally significantly? I will also explain the astro cycles later to see what is visible. But I feel this situation is similar to palladium. What happened with palladium? In 2016, it was around $500 per ounce. In 2022, its rate became $3500. This happened with gold. It increased sixfold between 2016 and 2022. And this happened with gold between 1970 and 1980. The gold rate in 1970 was around $3500, and in 1980, it was $670, a growth of 21-19%. In 2000, the gold rate was $236, and in 2010, it was around $836-$826, a cycle of about sevenfold. We have seen such cycles in crude oil as well. So, it is understood that silver is currently in a situation where not only the fundamental reasons that are understandable, but also due to it being an industrial commodity, the tussles happening worldwide, the power games between Russia, China, and America. If China is building vaults in Saudi Arabia, Singapore, and other countries to store silver. If all these countries are building separate vaults to store gold and silver, increasing their dominance, and central banks worldwide are continuously buying gold and silver, then understand that all this is happening to dump the dollar. We saw the dollar index go to $110, and now it is trading around 97-98. So, if there has been such a decline in the dollar, there is only one reason: the US economy is not in a very good shape. Debt is continuously piling up, and the value of their bonds is continuously decreasing. People's faith in bonds is continuously decreasing. So, if eventually these things happen, and this will explode. You will see by the end of next year, November, this will explode, and the world will fully understand that America has sunk, financially speaking. So, when such things are happening worldwide, silver will obviously move from here. This is the fundamental reason. Now, on October 9th, Venus will change signs. We will also come to the astrological reasons. People will think, "Oh, he explained all the fundamentals and didn't even mention the astro cycles." So, anyway, as long as Venus was independent, in Aries, then in Taurus, it became exalted, came into Jupiter's sign, then in Gemini, came into Mercury's sign. Silver performed well there. Venus is the karaka (significator) of silver. Basically, Venus came into Cancer. Cancer is the karaka of silver. So, silver performed well there. Look at its movement after May 31st. It was in this sign. Now, when Venus was with Ketu, in the Rahu-Ketu axis, I felt that something would go wrong. It did for two days, but then it moved ahead, and it didn't. Venus will move ahead now. It will come into a good position, and as soon as Venus changes its sign on October 9th, it will become even stronger. After this, on October 18th, Jupiter will enter Cancer. The rally that has happened so far, it is also understood that Jupiter is continuously becoming Uchch Abhilashi, meaning a planet wants to go into its exalted sign and is moving at a fast speed. Due to this, some things related to Cancer are also being influenced by Jupiter. Jupiter is currently around 28 degrees, around 28-29 degrees. So, as it moves ahead and enters Cancer, silver will become even stronger. This is the date of October 18th. From October 18th to December 4th, Jupiter will remain in Cancer. So, Jupiter's entry into Cancer in these 45 days can bring another tremendous move in silver. It is possible that what is being said, that silver can go up to $2 lakh, or the rate of silver will trade above $50, around $60, around $65, the technical target that is coming. I feel this target is for the period from October 18th to December 4th, when you will see silver showing a tremendous move. Next year again, because Jupiter's movement is fast. So, moving at a fast speed, it will enter Cancer, then on November 11th, it will become retrograde and come back to Gemini. Then, when it moves ahead again next year, it will go on June 2nd. After that, it will remain there in Cancer for the whole year. So, the last time Jupiter entered Cancer in 1979, we saw that silver made its highest point around $50 at that time. After that, when Jupiter moved into Pisces, a water sign, in 2011, it reached the same rate again. Now, after 1979, then 2011, and after 2011, now 2025. If it crosses this psychological level, we saw it reach around $48, and from there it moved down. On October 2nd, when our market was closed, silver fell 4%, but the next day it shot up again by 4%, went back up, it made a high of around $28-$30, then came back. Sorry, it was around $48.30, and then it came back and is trading at this rate. In India, the price is around 145700 when we are shooting the video. When the market closed, the price was around 145700. Now, above 147000, gold and silver look very good. Technically, those who understand technicals know that if it breaks its old high, it will move further. Otherwise, the astro cycle is good for next week as well. Monday seems a bit weak to me. Otherwise, the astro cycle will be good next week, and after October 9th, I feel there can be a very big rally in it, and the movement of Venus from October 9th and Jupiter from October 18th will bring a tremendous rally in it. We hope that you have fully understood the fundamental reasons for the rally in silver and the astrological reasons in this video. How did you like this video? 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