Transcription
So I keep getting like some people tell that there this guy leaking or you know leaking information or whatever it is leaking videos or not sure how he does it. He's very skilled. But anyways, right, we do not care. It's just as simple as that, right? The information that you guys are getting, the information that you guys have, Precision swing points, you know, and sequential SMT, you know, Precision levels, all that good stuff. It's elementary.
Remember before I talked about Precision swing points? What did you know? All you knew was swing points. All you knew was swing highs and swing lows, right? You didn't know about that before. Well, no, you do. No, you do, right? So these things literally, you have no idea, right? When I say that, I mean, like, first of all, you have everything that you need. You don't have to be here anymore because everything that you have is amazing. It's just that you now, right, need me to tell you how to use them, which if you spend time on your own, you could figure out. But I will do that, of course, and I constantly, you know, do that, right? When I hint to certain levels, anytime you see me, you know, just post a chart and and I just highlight the same. What do I expect? That means that I expect price to reverse. It's common sense. Anytime I talk about SMT, SMT just basically means reversal in my opinion, like to me. So whenever I see SMT, I just, I'm anticipating price to turn around, right? That's it. And if you put everything together that we've talked about so far, your precision will be unmatched. You will not be participating in areas where you should not.
I'm going to be honest with you guys, like when it comes to the Futures market and even the Forex market, like when it comes to determining market conditions, when it comes to determining reversals, like how many times like have we been right, like and how many times have we been wrong, like honestly, right? You have like some people, they have their service or whatever, but there's always is wrong. And then they're like, oh, we lose sometimes and, you know, stuff like that. We're really, you know, we're really, we're really wrong, of course, sometimes, probably like two or three times. I don't remember, like probably two, like we've been wrong. But like the majority of the time, our accuracy has been, it's immaculate, like in all honesty.
So like, and just with that, right, if now you're, you know, you're, you're like struggling with trading, right? Once you understand price action, trading becomes easier because you will know more time than not what price is going to do. And I don't make it complicated, right? The more complicated things that we will learn down, you know, in the further months, which would deal with things that are outside of price, those will be complicated a little bit. So the plan that I have, I have to, you know, get you guys encouraged, get you guys using these things that we're currently talk talking about, these concepts which you've never heard of before. Be honest, you never heard of it. Like, okay, let's talk about Michael. Let's talk about SMT. Where do he get it from? Dow Theory. The gaps were in books before we talked about it, right? But SMT has never been talked about. History, you can find that. You can't find that. No one knows what that is, you know? No one's going to, no one knows what, no one will know what that is. No one knows what that is before I talk about it. No one knows what that is. Got to understand that. And the accuracy is crazy. When I say it's crazy, it's crazy. Literally, it's, it's amazing. It works, right?
So what I believe, like, you know, Michael, where he got like breakers from, I believe he got breakers from, you know, studying SMT, literally, that's what I believe. Because wherever you have, for example, this low right here, say this was SMT and this high right here, once price trades back in this candle, it's going to expand, right? I'm not saying this is the same. What I'm saying, if it was, right, price takes the low, this would be a breaker. This would be a breaker right here. This candle, price trades back down to into it and expands. But if there was SMT here, that's it's really high probability. But when there's sequential SMT there, how can you really lose? Like, how can, if you make any mistake, like if you lose a trade, it's just based on you, basically.
And this is the model that I've, I'm working on. I've been working on for like five years, over like a very long time. It's just been, you know, I'm just been in the office studying, trying new things, failing miserably most of the time, you know. But 1,000 failures equal to one success, and that's just how I see it, right? So I don't make failures bother me. Like if I'm trying something, it's not working, I don't understand what happens to me too. I get, I used to get confused with my own theory because I knew that something was there, right? But I just didn't understand completely. But it's very fascinating, right, to just see this thing working, right?
And currently, right, you know, look at the dollar index, the US dollar index. We're in, we're in between this swing high and this swing low, right? This creates high probability conditions. When low probability conditions, my bad. So when we're in between a high time frame cycle swing high, swing low, that creates low probability conditions, right? When we have low probability conditions in regards to the US dollar, what do you use when you're trading the S&P 500, NASDAQ, your 30? If you trade, you still, the only thing you should be focusing on when, like, when price is like this here, is the monthly cycle, right? And that is why you usually have. Listen, I'm explaining the mechanics of the markets to you in such a simple manner. I'm not talking about some, you know, liquidity or no, no. I'm just telling it as how it is. No one can like explain it this easy for you to understand. But anyways, when you have the US dollar in condition such as this, consolidating near equilibrium of this high and this low, so you just use the monthly cycle when you're trading the index futures. And the thing about that is, once you get in line with the monthly cycle, right? For example, you're looking to trade Q2, and then you know there's SMT between Q1 and Q2 on the four-hour time frame. That's important. The time frame, right? The time frame synchronization, that's important. You need to understand this. And I'll repeat this so many times until you realize that, like, I can't get this to fail, like that's what I, that's what I want your reaction to be. I can't give this a fail, right?
Some of you are going to want to just do swing trades. You're not going to want to be trading every day because you're going to be like, there is this thing that's like 85, 90% accuracy. It has 85 to 90% accuracy. It rarely fails. There may be times when you, you know, you will make an attempt, fail, you know, stop out, but then you go back in, and then you're good, right? Why? Because those types of trades yield a large, you know, a large, large range moves. They create large range moves. So based on the magnitude of the SMT and the specific quarters that it forms within, that's how you know you can calibrate beforehand the level of expansion that you will have. So if price comes down here and there is SMT, listen, this high is dead, right? It's gone. What would happen if this happened? If this happened, you probably have crypto either consolidating or, you know, trending higher. Price comes down here, you'd have stocks trending higher. But once it reverses, it's over. Everything's over, right? Everything's over. Price goes above this high before this low, we would expect price to fall back within the range. Do you understand? Price trades below this low, or even, you know, there's SMT, just managed to trade within this area below this low, and it goes above this high. This would be the time that you like literally buy everything. Like you, you become, you know, I don't want to, like, I don't want to give false dreams and hopes and stuff like that, but that's when you buy stocks, hold them forever because this high right here is the previous high of the past cycle, you understand? So we would have SMT if, you know, the other classes follow through between this cycle on the current one, you understand? Like how powerful this thing is. You know, you get it. What it is, is cyclical. There's other things you don't understand about it. I, you know, you will have certain, for example, you will have certain dates, certain weeks, certain months that are blank like this. You don't know what this means because I didn't tell the guy to quote it. I didn't tell him what it means. So I didn't put anything there. Just blank. You ever seen this happen? You're like, why is, you know, this, this one is blank? Why, why does it happen? Because it should happen. Do you have some time where it doesn't happen? You have it happening here, happening here, here, here. Why it happens for a reason. Remember, nothing is random. Quarterly, the, it's, it's phenomenal. You guys should be able to see this by now, like by next week, like after Sunday analysis, right? Because I believe that next week should be good. We should be able to like catch something proper next week, right? Believe me, we should be able to catch something proper next week. And I will talk about cryptocurrency. Don't worry. I'll talk about cryptocurrency when we, when we um, get through this, you know, we should be able to catch some good moves next week, like in regards to the index futures, right? Because right on the Forex market is a mess. It's a mess. Not untradeable, but just shouldn't be trading this right now.
So right here, right, we had price fall, take out this liquidity pool. There's a breaker here. And why would this, why would I even consider this as a breaker? Due to the fact that there was SMT here, right? If there is not SMT, I'm not going to consider, you know, I wouldn't consider this as a breaker. So that's for those that are, you know, not fluent in this language. The last unclosed candle before price ran liquidity, that's important. I believe in this, right? What I don't like is OB blocks. I don't like OB blocks that much, right? I just focus on imbalances, highs, lows, and that's it. Imbalances, highs, lows, wicks, and that's it. So we actually expected price to trade below these lows. I don't know if you guys remember, like from, I'm not sure which review. And we actually, like from weeks ago, we first of all, from, we were here, we since we were here, we expect a price to trade above, trade above this high. You guys remember? And then we expected price to return in the range. It's insane. Then what happened when this happened? There was SMT. Do you see how much I stress that? Because if you can, like, understand that, you're golden. Just understand that the importance of SMT, not hard blocks, not breakers, not even imbalances, but there are times when SMT works and there's no imbalance. It's just a wick. Price returns to the wick. But why does it return to the wick sometimes? Because wicks are actually gaps too. Wicks are actually gaps too. Says gaps, wicks, highs, lows, right? That's it. Literally, there is no one on the planet right now, like, I don't even, I don't want to like be that guy, but like, who has this, has this accuracy? I used to like, you know, post trades on Twitter or whatever, but like, you need to see someone actually doing this from telling you beforehand, this is going to happen. Okay, this is going to be SMT right here, before price even leaves the range. I'm telling you that if price gets here, then there should be SMT. I, like, I could have made it like very hard and, you know, could have made it hard and be like, price is just going to run the low rally. But I tell you why it's going to rally. If you don't like SMT, you need to start liking it now. You don't like, you just haven't used it before. And this is why I keep, it's like me spreading the gospel of trading, right? Everything that Michael's work is based on, it's SMT. It's like, it's SMT. SMT is based on Dow Theory. I refined it, started using it on lower time frames, whatever. I perfected it. And not like I got a little bit, a pretty good at it, I perfected it. I told you guys the days that SMT would form before it happened, the times, right? I, I don't have to like act like I'm faking this. I don't have to like be like, oh, we were wrong. No, no, no. If I'm wrong, which I would probably be in the future, just because of me interpreting the the chart wrong or I missed something, right? This group is a group for wizards, right? It's for those that want to be crazy, a crazy good people looking at you like, what? Like, how did you know that? That's a little, they want to be at people just like throwing money at you. Can you help us? SMT, you know, you're in drawdown or whatever, what do you think that we should do? And you have this, you know, this simple logic that we talk about.
Here, you need to focus on the things that I talk about. Everyone keeps talking about like seasonal tendency. Listen, if there is a bullish, listen to me right now. If there's a bullish seasonal tendency, like when I usually tweet on Twitter, I talk seasonal tendency and COT data. I just didn't want to talk about this as yet because that is a way that you can like come to this conclusion. It's just that you will not have the accuracy or the confidence because seasonal tendency is like 50/50 most of the time. It's very ambiguous. It has no, you know, nothing that's like sure close to sure. And there's no sure thing in trading, but we're good in there. Literally, like how many times, like take this into consideration, what I'm talking about right now. Most of you guys will not like listen to what I'm saying right now, but just listen. How many times have you seen the weekly cycles, SMT, sequential SMT fail in regards to Futures markets? How many times? How many times have you seen the monthly sequential SMT fail in regards to the Futures market, bro? How many times? You, you, you don't, you probably haven't even seen it fail yet. That's it. You, you probably haven't even seen it fail.
Remember the highest time frame, the highest cycle that the Futures time frame will reach for information is the monthly cycles. That's what starts everything. That's where everything starts from, right? Whenever the dollar index is confused, whenever the Forex market is confused, when everything is confused, and this is why the Futures market is the best market to trade because when everyone else is confused, and if there, listen, you just need SMT on the four-hour chart on within the monthly cycle, and then you know where it's going to go. How many times have you like seen me like tell you that beforehand? It's barely even been three months. Barely even been three months. Like that's what you need to focus on, right? You're focusing on the 9-minute cycles, you're focusing on the micro session cycles, and that's why it seems hard for you. That is why it is difficult because you're not focusing on the higher time frame cycles. That's exactly why it feels difficult. If you would just work down from the higher time frame cycles, look at the monthly cycle. Is there SMT? What's the monthly time frame? I'm saying, what's the monthly cycle saying? Right? The monthly cycle, like, is there anything that indicates that price should go higher? No. Okay, no. When you say no, then you go to the weekly cycle. If there is no information on the monthly cycle, you go to the weekly cycle. You find information. Okay, cyclical. It's right here. But what do you need? You need a lower time frame, see sequential SMT for that to be activated. I'm telling you how the markets work. Do you understand? You have the best information right now. You should see what other people are learning right now. There is no ambiguity here, right? If a, if there is no question for SMT, what do we do? Nothing. Nothing at all. Regular. If there's just, if there's SMT is fake, we see fake SMT. If there's fake bearish SMT above those highs, that's just liquidity, and you need to focus on these things. So you need to be on the higher time frame cycle, monthly. You work down, monthly, then weekly, then daily, right?
When, when are the best times to anticipate reversals? First of all, you, you probably believe that it's like Q3. No, no, no. It's actually not Q4. Why? Why is it Q4? This is due to the fact that Q4 was designed for reversals. So when you have sequential SMT where price was designed to reverse, it's going to be explosive. And that's why it's always explosive. Whenever the low of the week is Thursday, clears everything. When the high, when the high of the day is the afternoon session, it's a massive drop. Have you ever realized? These are things you must take into consideration. You understand? Between Friday and Monday, there can be SMT. Between Monday and Tuesday, there can be SMT. Between Tuesday and Wednesday, there can be SMT. Right? Quarter, the three, one, two, three, four. First quarter, second quarter, third quarter, fourth quarter. But before the first quarter, you have zero. So zero can, zero can change, right? It's not constant for the weekly cycle. Zero could be Friday or it could be Thursday. If it runs a high, just depends if it runs Thursday or Friday or which one's higher. Zero, one, two, three, four for the 9-minute cycle. The previous fourth quarter would just be zero. Very important information.
So, and now, um, first of all, let me just look at, very quickly, look at the, look at Bitcoin charts, right? First of all, I don't know why anyone would try to share this. It's like, you can, I just become rich. It's insane, actually. But like, that's why I started at such a low level, right? Such a low level. But anyways, right now, what we're looking at is the yearly cycle and the weekly time frame. So we have Bitcoin taking all-time high. Liquidity is short right now. No. And before we, you know, go on, right, just for credibility reasons, if you go on my Twitter, you can see that we were bearish. I was bearish here, bearish here. I think I like actually shorted. Post my execution here. Was short here. Price dropped from price was here. We were calling for 28,000, which was insane, right? When we were here, I was bullish, bullish, bullish. And I'll tell you why it was bullish here and why I was bullish here. Right here is where I got short. Stop here. Got stopped. Since then, right? But the next one, I'm pretty sure that we will get it correct. So before we have any, you know, clear conclusion about Bitcoin, what should we see? We need to see first of all, we need to see consolidation, right? We're not, you're not just going to see prices drop just like that. We need to see consolidation. Once it's consolidation, we look for SMT. Just let go here. You're going to learn something right now. You have SMT between the third quarter and the fourth, right here, because I remember it's right here. Between the second quarter and the third, right? And here we have SMT between this low and this low. So here, which this is why it was like bullish here overall, like wanted price to trade down here and retest SMT. Really? This is where Bitcoin pulls information, right? So if we're here, we see consolidation, and for example, see SMT between the third quarter and the second quarter, or the second quarter and the first quarter, then we can anticipate price fall, you understand? Do you see that everything revolves around SMT? That could it really be that simple? You know, do you see this? It's, it's not hard, like it's not hard. And you can make a lot of money with this, which we, you know, whenever price like turns around, and there are larger cycles for Bitcoin that you know, we can use, which we will eventually get to as we progress. I like, you know, you guys don't know which where the cycle starts or not ends. So I will clear that up for you. Here's just another gem. Pay attention to this one. I want to see who gets this. We're going to talk about this next week. But we had SMT here between Bitcoin and Ethereum, right? But when price fell and failed to break below this low, we had SMT again between Bitcoin and Ethereum. What do you get from this, right? We, first of all, both of these, you know, these, the swing high and the swing low was both formed in the same quarter. And this will help you. Look how simple I made it. I could have made it harder. I could have made it harder. I probably should have, but I have like so much information for us to go through, so I just decided to not make it too difficult, right? There are some times that are coming that are not going to be good times, right? Hard times, right? That are going to be upon us. It's already hard. I believe I'm not really sure because like I barely leave my house or anything and everything just comes to me, like, but yeah. So we had this high, take out this high, whereas in Ethereum, it that didn't happen. So this was SMT, sequential, because it happened between Q2 and Q3. So whenever you have price action like this, right, and you have bullish sequential SMT, and we have bearish sequential SMT, and bullish sequential SMT during the same cycles, first SMT will act as what? A draw on liquidity, a magnet. And this is a real magnet. This isn't just like just equal high or magnet, which equal high or magnet not always. This is always a magnet, right? Always. So when you have, if you have bullish sequential SMT, and then you have bearish sequential SMT during the same cycle, price is going to gravitate to the first sequential SMT's low or high. Do you see that? You're learning new things every time I talk. Every time. And this is literally nothing, right?
So here, what, what do you want to see before you even consider doing anything that if you, before you consider even buying, consider selling, what do you do? What do we do? What do you need to see? You need to see sequential SMT between the yearly cycles, quarters. That's what you, you see. That's all you need to see. Once you have that, just shoot. I believe that, you know, we have almost perfected the Futures markets, you know, so I believe almost there. Like, I really want to see, like, when I say perfection, I mean, like, I want to see like 95% accuracy, 90. That's what I aim for, right? That's what I want to see here. Look at this. We had, right? And this is everything happened in between, right? The first quarter and the fourth quarter of the previous cycle, right? First of all, there was SMT here between this low and this. You can check your charts for this, right? There was SMT between this low and this low. I want to look at the NASDAQ. Okay, there was SMT in this high. No, my bad. This low and this low, right? You guys can see. And it's only sequential SMT if it takes out the lowest low or the highest high of the cycle, right? It's not just a high that formed or a low that formed within a cycle. It has to be the highest high or the lowest low, right? So here we had, first of all, SMT. Our week. We had price take out the highest high of the previous cycle, right? Here, there was SMT between this and the Dow. Price fell. Why did price reverse? Why? Hey, you can make this up, bro, right? We had price drop and it reversed. Why? Because there was SMT between this low and this low. Rally. There's SMT between this candle, this candle, then it rallied again. Then what happened again? What happened here? Let me go to the, it's clearer with this. What happened here? We had again. But this is no sequential SMT. Oh my God. I, I have something I want to talk about right now, but we're, we got to wait until next week, right? Because this high is very important. It's very important. But I want you guys to study this high, this specific high, this specific swing high. I'm giving you guys all the clues right now. Study this specific swing high right here. Please study this specific swing high right here. This one. See the one that formed on Monday, 04 March at 1 p.m.? Very important. We're going to talk about this. I don't even know if I should like talk about this because once you have highs like this, right, these specific highs, you don't need a higher time frame. You don't need a higher time frame computer at all. You don't need it. You can expect price to just reverse once it trades above, right?
Okay, right now we have SMT between this high and this high. Where do you think the next draw on liquidity is? Remember, we're not guessing right now, right? Next liquidity is more than likely below these lows. So price trades or anything is probably going to go below these lows. Afterwards, if that happens, if that happens during, right, the second quarter of this month, current monthly cycle, right? If there's SMT between this low and low formed somewhere here, could be, right? What do we expect after that? A reversal. All right. So we could get something that is boom, boom, boom. Do you see how like we can like predict this beforehand by using this? Simply amazing. Right here, we have these highs, these lows, my, my bad, these lows. Price traded, rallied, failed to take out this low, rallied, came back down, failed to take out this low, rallied again, and still failed to take this low out. This is food for the algorithm, right? That actually runs price. So price breaks one of these lows, or even both of them. What would give us the confidence to buy? This SMT. If there's not SMT, listen, if there is no SMT, then we'll be bearish. But once there is SMT, we'll be, we're bullish until the US dollar SMT or whatever it has going on. So this week, we had SMT here first, then we had it here again during the same quarters. So you can have up to two, right? Sequential, two, two to three sequential SMTs in between two quarters. But we usually have price action like this during, you know, the first quarter with a, which is accumulation. And what do we have here? See, no, this is random, right? What do we have here? This is the first quarter. It's usually choppy. All of this is choppy, right? Now, right? And I want you guys to pay attention to this. This is the contract expiration date. It's March 15th, Friday, right? Friday before the third quarter begins. Study that. I, I don't want to tell you guys everything, right? But that's important, right? That is very important. So you study. We're going to be studying after, well, now for the coming week, we'll be focusing on the lows or the highs and the highs and the imbalances that formed in this quarter because there will be more reactive during the second quarter. And whatever happens during this quarter, right, will define the range of the third quarter, you understand? And due to the fact that we have a contract expiration date, right here, we can expect some sort of volatility. So imagine if there's like sequential SMT between here and here while there's a contract expiration date here, what do you expect to have? Amazing stuff, my friends, amazing stuff. Whether it's, if it's a sell, then we will see a high being taken out, and there will be sequential SMT. And it's as easy as that. It really feels, and that is why I love it. Look at this. This was sequential SMT. Do you remember this? This was sequential SMT as well. Reverses. Price is below this low. Reversals. It's crazy. At these highs, price, this high versus price, this low. This was sequential SMT as well. Reverses. This was sequential SMT as well. Reverses. Why do price, price trade back above these highs? This became a magnet. Listen, once there is SMT happening twice within the same cycle, the first SMT that happens is going to be what? It's going to be a, it's that's going, that's the real magnet. That's the real magnet. So this was right here, right? This was the first. You can show SMT between this high and this high. This was the second. What happened afterwards? Price gravitated towards these highs. It took them out completely. What activated this run higher? This lower time frame sequential SMT, which I remember because we talked about it, right? This is between the Thursday and the Wednesday, right? Of this month, of this week. So we had price run above here, sequential SMT, fall. There was no activation above here. Activation happened when we're referring to a lower time frame sequential SMT, which occurred right in the same direction of the higher time frame sequential SMT. Price fell. Once you see price follow and there's sequential SMT, you don't need to trade that. You just wait for the second one that opposes this direction on the same cycle that you're on. So once price traded below this low, there was sequential SMT. We wait for this to happen, and then that's where you get explosive moves. Just like here, when we have sequential SMT between this high and this high, then there was sequential SMT again between this low and this low, right? That's how it works. And whenever we get into a bearish, into bearish market conditions, this will just be the opposite.
So I hope that you guys like took something away from this. I've been here for like, how long have I been here? I don't even know. I've been here for a while. I believe not sure. Hold long? 15 minutes, 40 minutes. So just, you know, study these things, and we'll get back into, you know, we get into the actual good stuff next week. Wednesday. So I promise you guys that we would act, we would talk either Friday or Saturday. Now we're talking Friday, right? So came up on my promise. Very well. Hope you guys have a wonderful night. I'm so tired right now. I had four hours of sleep last night. You guys have a wonderful night and enjoy your weekend. Don't do too much work. We'll be back. We'll be back on the chart on Sunday. Don't stress yourself, right? Don't stress yourself. You'll get it. You make the money you want to make. You end up making so much money that you just don't end up caring about money, right? You'll get to a level such as that. But anyways, I'll talk to you guys Sunday. A wonderful weekend.