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🚀USA et Chine S'entendent, le Bateau des Cryptos Reprend Sa Course !

Foufi : analyses et actualités Bitcoin & Crypto !•14:29

Transcription

Hello friends, I hope you are doing well, that you are in good shape, that you are well. Very happy to see you again for this breaking news video of Monday, October 13, 2025, which begins with a beautiful pretty map. Look at that. Yesterday, the crypto markets, boom, exploded upwards. I'm going to explain why. So, since the opening of the Asian market, it's slightly bearish but it's nothing at all compared to yesterday's rise. Me, I think it was orders that were pending for sale, but some people bought back the said thing because well, on Friday when they saw the carnage, some said "Oh my god, we're selling, we're putting orders in place, even if they were pending because the markets were closed and finally we have a few orders that are taken, but it's nothing at all this little drop." On the stock market side, it closed rather with this finger here, with a really ugly red market, truly atrocious. On the other hand, the big joke is that this morning, the futures are in a big green. So, we should rather expect Wall Street to be in the green. How is it that after a big purge, 2 days later, now it's going into the big green? But I will explain that to you, of course. So, if we look at a little overview of the market, what happened well on Friday just before closing, we see that the SP500 took a hit, the Nasdaq took a hit, the cryptos, Bitcoin, Ethereum. On the other hand, us well on Sunday with the good news, so I will show you, well it started again with more vigor. On the other hand, well, we see that the stock market, well, it will always be ugly, but I think it will start again. The Glol is making a new all-time record. There, calmly, the Bar is also rising a little, and regarding the macro calendar for this week, we will have Jerome Powell who will speak tomorrow at 6:20 PM. So we will see what he will say. And then maybe I'll do a little live, you know? Well, and then after that, we will have nothing. Why will we have nothing? Because the American government is still closed, we've been having a blast since Trump has been in power. Well, what happened? The same joke as usual happened. Basically, it's simply the little notebook that every investor must have. It's the investment method. Point 1, Trump announces tariffs, announces something atrociously ugly towards countries. Boom, the market falls. When the market falls, what do you do? You buy. Why? Because you know that 2 days later, he will say "Ah, it's okay, everything is going well. We made a small agreement and the markets are going up again." And so you do a little purge, you bring back the good news that it's okay after all, the markets are going up again, new all-time record, and you start again, and then there you go, I'll make you a funny little post about that. And so it didn't fail. Well, so now, trade tensions seem to be easing because yesterday, Sunday, there were statements that signaled a willingness to make trade concessions. On the Chinese Ministry's side, they declared yesterday that they are ready to strengthen dialogue with countries on trade, export of rare earths. Because I remind you why Trump imposed 100% tariffs on China? Because China said well, you know the rare earths that are used to make chips for AI and so on, well, those who want them will have to obtain a license, like that, he created a small license just to annoy you, you see, and so Trump says, ah yes, your license, well, here, 100% tariff on it, well, and so the Chinese spokesperson says that they would actively study the provisions, the export policies of rare earths to facilitate trade, to even strengthen supply chains, so everything is fine, and Trump also declared yesterday. Don't worry about China, everything will be fine. The highly respected President XY has just gone through a difficult period. He doesn't want a depression for his country, and neither do I. The United States wants to help China, not harm it. And there you go. Ah yes, there's reason to, I was going to say, to shoot yourself, and unfortunately, some people do shoot themselves. Look at the poor Ukrainian who was liquidated, you see. So, we are now saying that Trump on Friday announced, I will impose 100% tariffs, it liquidated people. Some lost everything. Well, after all, it's those who unfortunately took risks who put their entire portfolio on futures contracts, which is an aberration. After all, everyone does what they want with their money, I don't judge. Well, and the problem is that 2 days later, Trump says no, it's okay, everything is fine. And then you're there, you say "Wait, are you kidding me?" So, okay, just a clear purge, everything liquidated to now start again well. Well, people who lost everything, well, they say "Wait, but if I hadn't been on futures, well, I wouldn't have had anything because we're going back to normal levels, you see." So there you go, welcome to the Trump era where, well, he says something, it crashes, the next day he says "No, it's okay, everything is fine" and it starts again with more vigor. There you go. So now we know it works like that. This process has been repeating itself several times, several times, several times. He purges the markets for 2 days and then boom it starts again. Well, and so the announcement of rare earth exports from China, well, that's what prompted the president to say "Oh my god, I'm imposing 100% tariffs because he needs rare earths because everyone wants AI. Everyone wants kibble, basically, to feed AI, and the kibble is made by Nvidia. To make kibble, Nvidia needs the raw material that comes from China, right? Well, that's how it is. It's funny because Trump told Nvidia, which needs China's rare earths, not to sell the chips they make with China's rare earths to China, you see, there's a good atmosphere. Well, that's the idea, and so since there's a slight softening of the rhetoric between China and the United States that came out yesterday, the markets have pushed up well, so we can expect that things will go rather well. Well, and so we have the financial analysts from Cobestilateur who tell us if President Trump reacts and de-escalates the situation on Sunday, the markets should see a strong rise on Monday. Well, that's what happened. So there's the big joke. Well, on the other hand, be careful, we'll see what news we can expect because now, okay, there's a bit of de-escalation of tensions, but who's to say it can't start again if something ugly happens. Because given that, anyway, the futures are in a magnificent green on the American financial indices. Well, theoretically, it should be rather green. And after the big nuclear purge that happened on Friday, we have the funding rates on the futures contract markets which are extremely low. It's simple, they are at low levels like the bear market of 2022. Well, Glassne tells us that this is one of the most severe deleveraging resets in crypto history. There, it's simple, the wicks that happened were nuclear. You see, it's like he said yesterday, we did a little live and as Natacha, who will recognize herself, said, it was a sacrificial wick. There, the little wicks from hell, and it was a sacrifice to the crypto market. Unfortunately, many people. It's sad, but well. And so an unprecedented aggressiveness, and funding rates have fallen very low. What are funding rates? It's what prevents the crypto market from exploding. It allows that if too many people bet on the upside, well, they have to pay a lot for people who bet on the downside. It brings back people betting on the downside, they are paid by people betting on the upside. It allows, in fact, the funding rate allows for balance on futures contracts. Imagine the purge on Friday. If funding rates didn't exist, well, you would have this almost every week. You see, I'm exaggerating, but that's the idea. You see, the funding rate allows for balance in everything that is perpetual contracts, you see, and futures contracts too. Everything that is derivative contracts, because if futures contracts didn't exist, these fundings would explode, it would be a complete mess. And it also allows to recalibrate the price of futures contracts towards the spot price. You see, when you have a spread that is too high, the funding makes the spread, its difference between the spot and futures contract, it allows to reduce it a little, otherwise everything would blow up. Well, and so the big wick from hell, it liquidated a lot of longs, it liquidated their positions, and so the funding became very negative. Why? Well, since the longs were told the exit is that way, there are mostly only short positions left. So that's why the funding is very negative. Now, a very low funding rate means well, that the market, well, since it has eaten everything that was at the bottom, well, it looks up, it says "hmm, it looks good to eat what's at the top" and boom, and you go up. So between the negative fundings, between well, at the bottom, there's nothing left to look for. So there's only looking up, and Trump saying yesterday it's okay with the president who is great, I love him, I like the president a lot, we will get along. Well, boom, the market on Sunday, they exploded. Yesterday we saw that on the altcoins, there were +10, +20, +30, there were big rises. Well, so now we are on a short squeeze. Squeeze with the news clearly. Well, there you go, the question to ask is, okay, after this little short squeeze, are we going back down or are we really taking off? And I did a technical analysis this morning on the VIP Telegram channel, as every morning. Link in the description, don't hesitate. The problem is that well, it depends on the news, right? It depends on the news. Ah yes, the news is so powerful that it's what moves the market. No, we have to save the news, and of course, I'll keep you updated on social media with the news. Well, Bitcoin yesterday increased by +5, by +12, many altcoins did +15, +20, it was madness. Well, knowing that on Friday we experienced the biggest liquidation in the history of cryptocurrencies. The crypto market cap fell by a quarter in a few hours. It was fast. 1.6 million traders with long positions were liquidated. It was the very first wick of -20,000 dollars on Bitcoin. Well yes, the bigger the Bitcoin, the more the wicks hurt in terms of dollars. A realization, a complete reset of the market. In fact, what was atrocious is that it went after people, even those who had small leverage. Because when your altcoin makes lightning wicks of more than -50%, well, it will go after all the leverage. Everyone, everyone. It liquidates all long traders on the pair that dropped more than -50% in price, everyone. There's no one left after that. It's unprecedented in the history of cryptos. It was launched. Okay. Trump lit the fuse, but the exchanges themselves, notably Binance and so on, because we know that Binance sent Wintermute, the market maker, hundreds of millions of dollars in Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana to go and get what was at the bottom, okay, so those who are on Binance and got liquidated, well, thank your favorite exchange, it's also the one that really fanned the flames, and as usual, to continue the wick and liquidate billions of dollars of its own traders, you will thank your exchange if you are in it. There you go. So, well, don't hesitate to come to Bing, it's more pleasant. Well, and on top of that, the order books bugged because the liquidation cascade was so violent, it fell so much, normally they have, they have kinds of automatic bots with little safes that allow them to add liquidity if it drops too quickly, security measures. And these little bots, you see, these security measures with the funds they have behind them didn't work. But that's weird, isn't it? That's why there were nuclear wicks, you see, unprecedented when you have wicks of -70 -80%. Some altcoins went to zero, to zero, you see. And so normally the exchanges, notably Binance and Bybit, because that's where there were the most liquidations, and a little Bitget. So thank them if you are in there, thank your own exchange. They have security measures where you take liquidity from safe boxes to bring it to altcoins to avoid this. Because if you have no more liquidity, it goes to zero clearly. But they have measures against that, but it didn't work. Oh, that's weird. But tell me, how is that possible? Is it because by chance they really wanted to screw everyone and take everyone's money, and well, we won't be conspiratorial, but you get the idea? Well, anyway, and to finish, what does your analyst think? We have here the analyses from Kesk, which is a very well-known news site, which tells us to be careful if we look at the monthly chart. The monthly chart, well, Bitcoin has tried to break through this trendline three times, you see, since well, you take the 2017 bull run, you take the top of the 2021 bull run, you draw the trendline, and it can't break through this trendline, and then you say "wow, it's not nice if you want the little Bitcoin" while it can't break through this trendline. That's not the problem, even if well, it's not top top. It's when we have the momentum decreasing on the monthly chart, you see. So, in short, Bitcoin is making higher highs on unfortunately a momentum, a power, you see, an energy that is decreasing, and that's not good. It's this divergence between rising prices and decreasing momentum. Well, we see this every month because every month before the end of the month, I finalize my monthly analysis and I'll show it to you right now. So, well, for several months now, we've seen that yes, well, Bitcoin is rising, it's rising, it's rising. We're happy with the price. The problem is that the RSI is decreasing, the MacDue. There's no beautiful divergence yet, okay? Because divergences are made at closing. So, we'll have to see the closing. That is to say, if Bitcoin closes the month of October above here, around 100, let's say 116,000 dollars, I'm rounding, then it will light up. Red, poof. Monthly divergence, monthly divergence. And then maybe we'll have to put some layers on, you see. But we'll see the monthly analysis, we'll do it at the end of the month. So for now, well, they are in a mode of caution. That is to say, what can we do? Well, Bitcoin could test, for example, the bottom of the daily channel, which is 100,000 dollars. 100,000 dollars is also the 200-day moving average. Well, we'll see the analysis tonight. So we need to be cautious anyway. We're here every day, this big purge can't be over. You see, that's a bit the idea. Well, I don't want to end on a negative note, excuse me for the news, but of course, it will also depend on the news, clearly from Trump. So, we'll follow all that. There you go friends, I hope you enjoyed this little video. We'll meet on social media, the links are in the description. We'll also meet tonight for the analysis, I send you kisses and we'll talk to you later. Bye.