Transcription
Hello everyone, I'm continuing this little live from yesterday. I'm not doing any sound editing; we'll act as if we're live directly, as this takes me less time too. And I also took the opportunity to respond a bit to the topics that have been on Discord since last night. And the first is to tell you a little bit about what I have in mind, actually. What I have in mind. Uh, I see that some people have concerns. So, again, it's some people; there's a vast majority that is silent, but, well, some who leave comments, well, naturally, I see the comments that are liked and so on. So, well, as soon as there are concerns, it's perfectly normal to respond to them. As usual, I don't take this with my ego and other things; it's useless. The ego serves absolutely no purpose if it doesn't move you forward. So, well, anything constructive, we take it. And so I'm going to respond a bit to that. The first thing was a concern about the Discord becoming too big and that this aspect of a small family business, so to speak, being lost, and it becoming a mess. Uh, actually, realize one thing: what I told you in last week's video, I think, about the reasons that push me to do this, there's one reason, even two main reasons. The first, uh, is the social aspect, being able to help as many people as possible. And in helping as many people as possible, well, we can't limit ourselves to 200 or 300. So, there will inevitably come a point where I will close it permanently. I haven't thought about the definitive number yet, that's one thing. But there will come a point where we will close it permanently because in terms of the liquidity we will all represent, we could become too large. So there will be a limit, that's for sure. Now, below this limit, everything will be organized so that we don't feel the weight of the group. That is to say, you've seen it, there's a team of moderators, about 8 for 500-odd people, that's a lot. That's a lot. That's a lot, but it's useful and, by extension, necessary precisely so as not to feel the weight of the group. You've seen it, the site is under construction. We're doing a bit of a revamp of everything that will be done regarding the different groups once group 3 opens. And I can't tell you more for now, but everything is being done backstage too to constantly improve the service, to make it more and more accessible, closer and closer to you. Closer to your needs, whether they are psychological needs, practice needs, training needs, etc., etc., etc. And so, everything will be done to greatly improve this. And I won't say more, but we have things in our bag that we're going to release and that will make you extremely happy, and this aspect of closeness will be stronger than it has ever been before. Despite a third group opening, and a fourth opening behind it, that's not a problem. Uh, within the limit of the number we haven't thought of yet, but it will be a four-digit number, but that will be the absolute maximum. So, that's the first thing. Second thing, don't forget either, is that my work now, and it's internal to the company, is something I've really insisted on. Remember, I'm not alone in this company. I'm not the only one voting in the management. There are four of us, actually. There are four of us, we vote, and I can lose the vote. So, I can want to do things that the other three disagree with, and I lose the vote, three against one. Okay? So that's an important thing. Now, what I like most is this Discord, video, YouTube aspect, etc. But the activity I dedicate almost 100% to is an activity that must also be profitable for the company. So I can't limit access to 500 or 600 people, otherwise I'd have to charge subscriptions at €600. So, that's a fairly simple principle. So if you all agree to pay €600, we can close the group at 600 people, that's not an issue. Now, I think there will be a small problem because that's starting to be a lot. So, since we're not counting on a super expensive subscription, even if globally it would be a bit too expensive, we would be getting closer to the cost of a real financial advisor who is there for you, as I am here for you, that's about the cost it would generate per person, maybe even more, knowing that it would be €200 per hour. So, that would be the case. But globally, well, we're counting on volume. Now, again, everything is done to ensure that your needs are met in the smallest details, hence the moderation aspect, with services that I repeat will be done additionally, etc., etc., so that there is closeness and that we don't lose that. That's something I don't want to lose. Honestly, it's even the criticism I made of myself regarding other communities. When I look at the Throne community, when I look at the Paul Cryptamation community, the point I find a shame is that there's no closeness. There's no closeness; we produce reports, we make videos where we can't converse with the leader, with the captain of the ship. Tomorrow, Paul, if you go on his Discord, I don't even know if he has a Discord, you're on Discord, well, you can't even talk to him, he won't reply to your DMs. The Throne community is the same. And I find that a shame. There's a kind of "I'm in my ivory tower" thing, others pay for a passive service. So, I give the information, others read it, but globally, there can be no exchange. That's something I absolutely don't want to do. I told you. That's also why, as soon as the training is available for those who want to take it, it's not just training with "here, take the training, pay for it, watch your 40 hours of video, and if you have questions, too bad for you because you bought the training." I won't answer your questions. Well, that's why, for free, with no additional cost, I will open slots of three times, maybe 3 times 1.5 hours, 3 times 2 hours per week where all those who have taken the training can come for vocal instruction, we do streams, we practice all the principles you haven't necessarily understood the first time, the questions that come to mind, that perhaps haven't been anticipated in the videos, and we work together. There's a real after-sales service of closeness, of support. I find that extremely important and it will always be in place. So that's the first concern regarding that. Second thing, it's about the call. Why yesterday did I say we were on Ave, I said we were on Uni, I said we were on SPK? That caused a bit of a stir. I also said we made 100% on SPK. And it's true, a small detail, one person said that indeed, we didn't make 100% because we sold half the bag. That's a detail I forgot. It's true, we didn't sell 100% of the bag. I said sell 50% of the bag. That way you break even on the initial investment and to accumulate lower, well, again, we'll have money. So, it's true that if you take it in the strict sense, well, there wasn't a 100% because to make 100% in stablecoin return, you would have had to sell 100% of the position. So, on that, it's true, strictly speaking, we didn't make 100%. Uh, well, it wasn't from a desire to embellish things, but it's just that on paper, I forgot that we had sold 50% of the positions. So, well, but no big deal, no worries about that. And otherwise, for why I gave Ave, Uni, the pill was swallowed because anyway, for Ave and Uni, well, we entered lower, so it's not a problem because we're already in profit. Reminding you that for Ave, there was a choice that was made a while ago, which was that those who entered, we all entered more or less low, there was the choice to play the correction. I don't remember which one it was. It was this one, I think. Yes, it was this one. So those who didn't sell are still lower, no problem. Those who sold, well, we took profits, we entered globally, I think, at -10%, and so we're still globally in profit. So, no problem there. Uni is the same principle. I said we were on Uni. That didn't cause a stir, at least I hope, because we all entered almost at 650, even a little less. So we're strongly in profit. And those who sold at 11 bucks realized their capital gains. We entered at 10 bucks, so we optimized 10% of our position, but remember, those who re-entered at 10 bucks, myself included. Granted, we're at minus, let's say, -5%, which is nothing in cryptocurrency. So we're at -5%, so people entering now might say, "Ah, but they entered at a better price." Yes, but don't forget, we validated a 7-80% first, so ultimately they're not entering at a better position. The only token where it's possible they're entering at a better position is SPK. Now, SPK, don't forget one thing. I'm not 100% a fortune teller. I don't predict things, I don't draw cards. All I do is take everything we have on the market, everything that needs to be looked at, and make predictions. So SPK, from the moment we bought it at 0.10, 0.08, whatever, 0.008, etc., it could have bounced back immediately. That's not a problem. That's not the case. It's increasingly digesting its strong rise. We're building a structure that's gently resembling a bottom structure. We can see, we're clearly slowing down the descent, braking it, and from there, we're not even descending anymore, we're reversing the structure. That's not a problem. Why did I give SPK? I gave it for a good reason. The first, the first was to explain a move we had made that was super interesting. Okay. And that promotes the group. That's a first point. Second point, don't forget one thing. Don't forget one thing. You bought SPK. If I had had my Bitgate account earlier, I would have bought it too. No problem. Don't be, so to speak, disappointed, angry, or anything else, that people who have just arrived could have bought SPK a bit lower than us. That's a stroke of luck because the price could have bounced back much faster from here, it could have gone up, and then they would have bought it back higher. So it's a stroke of luck for them. Now, the luck they don't have is having already had positions on Ave and Uni that are lower. These are people who have been waiting for a while, and believe me, I receive DMs from everywhere, guys are still at -70% to -75% on their portfolios since the beginning of the year. So these people, so to speak, it's not luck they have compared to you, okay? They're, so to speak, with their heads underwater. They have their heads underwater, and this will help them get their heads a little bit above water. Where you are, you're not at -70% to -55% anymore. Another thing is that we are in a position on it. The last entry that could have been made, where I think globally you put money, was around 0.057. From the moment, well, from that moment on, I think we all want SPK to go up. That's one thing, globally you all want SPK to go to the moon from now on, since everyone has bought into it. So the last ones who entered entered around here. So for people to enter, knowing that everyone has bought into it, the goal is for it to pump. So for it to pump, people have to buy. We're at a very low cap, we saw it yesterday during the live. So the interest is for it to pump. Now, from the moment we have an interest in it pumping to make a profit, well, people have to buy into it. So, that's why I gave it simply. So, there's no need to think badly of it, to think there was a gift that was given for free. Again, I say all the subscribers watching this video, all those who bought SPK, you all bought SPK, all of you now. So the goal is no longer to retrace to buy lower, it's for it to go up. So, so to speak, it's in the interest of the people and the community for it to go up. And therefore, in the interest of this general interest, it's the same interest we have for AAVE, for UNI, for SPK. Knowing that there are about 3000 people who watch my videos every time I publish one. Well, to think that potentially there are six times more people than us who will buy our tokens. Well, that creates a bit of buying pressure, it's good. So, well, that's why I did it. Now, rest assured, this was the very last public live that will ever happen. So, all of this will no longer happen. And globally, when I make a YouTube video again, I'll make a YouTube video perhaps on an asset we're on once it has already surpassed 30% to 35% profit. So, once we're 35% higher, then I'll reveal it, I'll say it, it promotes us, others buy late, everyone wins. So, the only points where I wouldn't say to enter are points where we are too high on a crypto, and therefore, well, the YouTube guys get ripped off because the goal isn't to screw people over either. So, that's not the goal. So, well, I wanted to reassure you a bit about that. Uh, another thing regarding this famous PO3, a member, it was Hakim, I think, who said that regarding PO3, it's a bit difficult to conceptualize this PO3, excuse me, and to see it in action. So, just to recall a little bit the rules of PO3, even though there's a video on it. PO3, remember one thing that is very precise. PO3 on weekly, there's always a manipulation move, an accumulation move, a distribution move. So we'll look at the move that takes place between Monday and Wednesday, which is generally the first liquidity hunt move. So it can happen on Monday, it can happen on Monday and Tuesday, it can happen on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. What you absolutely must do on Sunday evenings, if you want to practice PO3, on Sunday evening, you go to your computer, you put your chart on daily, and you identify on Sunday the areas of interest that the price might reach higher and the areas of interest it might reach lower. Typically on Sunday, we were here, Sunday evening on this daily candle, the areas of interest were very, very obvious. Upwards, well, it's the wick just here with the imbalance just there. That's an area of interest to target. And lower, what did we have? Well, the low of Sunday, a low that is relatively close, which is the low of Saturday. And if we zoom out a bit and look at the low of Saturday further back in time, we see that the bottom not to cross is globally here, but that we also still have this low from Friday, July 4th, which is very close to this one. These are called equal lows, so lows that are almost equal, below which there is significant liquidity to be sought. We saw liquidations, there were quite a few liquidations here too to be sought, almost up to 106,000 and some change. And so on Monday, you have to look at what's happening. And there, on Monday, when you have a Monday like this with a close where there's a candle body, there's a wick that has reached the targets above, and a wick that has reached the targets below, well, you have no choice. You have to zoom in on the chart to see what happened during Monday. Always in UTC - 4, New York time. So there, you zoom in, you go to 1-hour on your chart, and we'll look at what happened on Monday. Monday, we open Monday directly by reaching the low of the previous Friday, of Sunday, and also directly during the night. Just there, we reach the lows just below July. So during Monday, we're not yet in the American session. Monday starts directly with a lower liquidity grab. We continue the day, hop, until early morning, we reach just there the highs. This move happens during the Asian and European sessions. Okay? We have this double liquidity hunt, but we note which side is hunted first. It's the longs first. So there's a much higher chance that we'll first target the longs and then target the shorts, and thus have a bullish PO3. During the American session, which opens just here, what do we have? We first have a move that resembles a daily PO3, which is called a Judas move. I've already explained this to you, where we make the false move generally during the first hour, the first hour and a quarter after the opening of the American session, and where this first move is a liquidity hunt move. We do it, and we clear all the liquidity that had accumulated just here. We could have directly during the American session, we could have targeted the rest of the cluster here. Now, don't forget one thing, this market is algorithmic. Bitcoin is strongly correlated to the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq. So, there were certainly very large liquidity targets to be taken on the Nasdaq and S&P 500. And it reversed before we reached the targets on Bitcoin. That's why we didn't go much lower. Nevertheless, for the rest of Monday, well, look at the day, we close higher. We close bullish with a Monday that ends up bullish, and a Monday that first hit the longs, then re-hit the longs during the Judas move, and then made the real reversal move right after. From there, we have a Monday that made a bullish PO3. Okay? We look at Tuesday because on Tuesday we can do the same thing, we can have come back higher, made a manipulation move to take the lower clusters, it's not a big deal, it can happen between Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Wednesday at the latest. And there, we see what? We see that on Tuesday, we fill the imbalances. Globally, this is where there was a very strong accumulation on the CBD. We close Tuesday bullish again. From there, we are making a weekly PO3 that is bullish with a Monday that hunted the lows. Now, let's repeat, this is something that is very important, is that again, who says PO3 says that we don't necessarily have super powerful candles like this one, this one, this one, this one, this one, this one. What we say with PO3 is that when we have this at the beginning of the week, we can expect the candle to be green at the end of the week. That's all it means. The color of the candle at the end of the week, not its length. We can have a very small bullish PO3 like this, a very small bearish PO3 like this one, or like this, or like this, or like this. They're not necessarily huge extension candles. So I understand the global disappointment you might have regarding the market at this level, because what we want, well, we've been waiting for weeks, is a powerful bullish extension, to find movements like this or like this, but again, the market owes us nothing. The market does what it wants. Period. But for now, we can clearly see that the extension is bullish. So, that's a PO3. And there are PO3s everywhere, everywhere, everywhere. Everywhere. You just take your weekly candles, it's visible on almost every candle. You have bullish weeks that close very strongly near their upper wick with lower wicks at the beginning of the week. Which shows that we went to take liquidity targets beforehand. The red wicks, well, we see the red bodies, well, we first start by taking liquidity at the top and then we reverse. In short, there are everywhere. There are really everywhere, everywhere, everywhere. And again, that's the message I left. Take from 2022 every week, make this effort for those who doubt. Repeat the exercise I just showed you. It will take you a few hours, I guarantee you directly, but if you want to do it, well, do it. That's how we learn. 9 times out of 10, there's a weekly PO3. 9 times out of 10, these are not random stats, but again, there's no obligation for every week to be a super strong week. We can have a very small week in terms of closing. Okay? So that's very important to take into consideration. For what's next, what would be magnificent today is that we consolidate around here, that we break this summit again. You said at the daily closing level, this is the summit we need to break. So it would be great to at least reach these levels today and close above this price. Of course, remember, imbalances should serve as a rejection for the price. So we can absolutely make a move like this, which then just corrects a little bit, and then we move again. So, but this would re-establish a bullish dynamic and a bullish reversal on daily. That's what we want because on much higher timeframes, monthly we are bullish. Weekly we are bullish. It's only on daily that we had turned bearish from here, and by extension on 4-hour, 1-hour, 15-minute. So from the moment we turn bullish again on daily, as we are doing, then all timeframes return to bullish confluence. That's what we want for an extension and a continuation of the price. What's happening now, and this is the point that will be very important in the video, is what's next. What's next, remember, we said globally at the end of September, we should have a drop. We predicted this end-of-September drop based on several things. One, seasonality, where remember, I won't show you the little charts again, but in post-election years for Bitcoin, we always had a green August and a red September. Okay, so that's the first thing. Second thing, regarding the quarterly PO3, the third quarter is bullish. So it starts with a July that hunts liquidity lower and then rises, rises, rises with a distribution in September. The same thing we had in Q2, actually, we start by looking a bit lower, we rise, and at the end of Q2 here in June, we have a distribution phase. That's what we predicted for the end of September. The problem with this quarterly PO3 was that with a Q4 that is expected to be bullish, we had to start Q4 by being bearish. And so that could have given a double movement like this with the end of Q3, so end of September, distributing here like in June, and another accumulation that hunts lower at the beginning of October, with consequently 4 consecutive weeks that could be very bearish. That's the second principle. Third principle is M2, which showed that from mid-September, we had this correction in global M2. And so, well, we saw that every time we had a notable drop in M2, we had a correction on Bitcoin. Now, these different hypotheses could be questioned, and that's the joy of the market, nothing is set in stone, everything evolves. This could be questioned for several reasons. First reason, for the first time, Bitcoin has finished a post-election year with a bearish August. This has never happened. Every time it happened, when we had a bullish August, we had a bearish closing September. Okay. And so globally August was green, September was red. Now August is red, will September be green? Will September be green with a movement that could happen, but a September that would do this: we rise, we rise, we rise, we rise, and at the end of September, we make this distribution phase. But this distribution phase stops flat, wait, excuse me, stops here. Globally, you have September which was bullish and ends in the green. We have this end-of-month distribution which is globally quite timid. So the PO3 still happens, okay? But the correction is not as intense as we expected. That's one possibility, along with the other possibility that the cycle ends a bit earlier than expected, ending in mid-November or late November. Which means we would have a Q4 that would indeed be bullish, or even perhaps bearish depending on the December correction. And so a Q4 that potentially in October wouldn't start by doing this but would start by doing this: October until mid-November, we rise, and from mid-November, it starts to do this, and that's the beginning of a hypermarket. That's a possibility on the table, a possibility that actually emerged in 2021. If we look at 2021, globally the bear market started in mid-November. Look at it. Mid-November, we made the top in early November. Yes. Mid-November, the week of the 8th. And then we crashed. Okay. And so potentially, that's what we could have ahead of us. What makes me think we could have that will be the data we get in mid-November. Remember, I removed it, but on November 12th, we have Nvidia's figures. We know, I showed you yesterday during the live. We are on a bubble that is just enormous with a kind of eclipse, as I said, of cycles that will cross not for a rise, but for a fall, and I'll show you that on a chart just after. And what makes me think that we could indeed have an end of September that wouldn't be so bearish, and a beginning of October that wouldn't be so bearish, is that we are also behind schedule regarding M2. We know Bitcoin is correlated at almost 90% with M2, that's not a problem, but there have been periods during which Bitcoin has become uncorrelated. Here, I haven't adjusted it according to the chart, you have M2 in blue. There have been times when Bitcoin became uncorrelated. Here, Bitcoin became uncorrelated and was higher than M2. Bitcoin exploded much higher than M2, at least than M2 predicted. And we had a decorrelation. Why? Because there, the M2 lows were globally equal but slightly rising. Whereas on Bitcoin, it was falling. Why? Because Bitcoin, even if it decorrelates, Bitcoin catches up. So if it decorrelates upwards, it will catch up and correct while M2 doesn't correct. Conversely, when Bitcoin falls like now while M2 hasn't fallen at all, there's a decorrelation because, of course, it's not a science, there's no perfect science, there are always market maker interests. You can have money coming in, like money that has entered the crypto market in the last 2 weeks. We see it with stablecoins increasing. The global market cap of crypto is increasing while Bitcoin is falling, money is coming in. But it's not because money is coming in that purchases are being made. Purchases can be pending. Why? Because there's liquidity to be sought. Because market makers and big players want to wait for prices and are directing those prices precisely to be able to take their positions. And once these prices, as seems to be the case now, we now have the catch-up happening. And so it's highly possible, depending on the September rise, and it's really September that will be decisive, friends. these next two to three weeks, depending on the September rise, what we'll do is precisely catch up and correlate. That's a first option, in which case I would favor a scenario like this. Or else, September will really be super explosive from now on. We have what? It's September 5th, we still have one week, two weeks. We can have two explosive weeks like we had here, which made Bitcoin gain how much? Let's say, 30% from now. 30% takes us where? It takes us to $147,000. You see the thing? It can go very fast. And if we have an explosion like this in the next two weeks, then, on the other hand, I'll be in favor of the initial scenario, which is a fairly rapid correction. A rapid correction at the end of September, beginning of October. So the next two weeks, basically, will be decisive. Either we just catch up on the delay we have without exploding and reaching targets like $150,000, or we go too high and therefore we correct again. That's what's on the table right now. What's on the table right now and what could also predict a top in late November or mid-November, a market top, is that currently, we have a decorrelation of Bitcoin with its temporality. Why? Because again, let's repeat, the market is now highly institutionalized and therefore follows Nasdaq and S&P 500 movements a bit more. And what's interesting is that I told you Bitcoin, sorry, excuse me, I had a small hiccup. Bitcoin generally closes the month of August in a post-election year in the green, September in the red. The S&P 500 is the opposite. It closes August in the red, September in the green. So, aren't we just, again, precisely? What we've observed for a few years is a crypto market and Bitcoin that is becoming increasingly correlated with the stock market, and therefore Bitcoin's cyclicality is changing a bit. We have an elongation of cycles on the
Crypto cycles of a few months each, we've already seen that globally because stock markets follow market cycles that don't last 4 years, they last longer on average, 5 to 8 years. So we already observe that since 2013, the crypto market and Bitcoin cycles have been lengthening. That's the first thing. We also see that asset rotation benefits Bitcoin in the same way as the stock market. So we see that it correlates, it correlates with M2, it correlates precisely with the same seasonality as the stock market. And so this could precisely lead precisely well, quite simply to a correlation of seasonality that will follow precisely the SP500 where August was rather bearish and September is bullish with the PO3 always working. I remind you, September being bullish is again like the PO3 here. I'm not telling you that in September we'll gain 50%, I'm just telling you that at the end of September, there's a small green rectangle with a number inside. It can be +1%, it can be +2%, it doesn't matter. Today, well, if we look closely, it started on Monday in September, well for now September is in the green, we're at 5%. And if we go up to here, well, we could have a September that went up to here, corrects at the end down to here, and we're still at +15%. You see? And we still had the PO3, we still had a bit of all that. So, that's the first thing. What could cause this temporality to occur precisely is that currently everyone is precisely pricing in a drop in September. We see that we are behind compared to the global M2. So again, the next few weeks will be decisive because if we explode and catch up our delay compared to M2 and even exceed M2, a corrective movement at the end of this month is inevitable, I think. However, if we don't go up like this but rather like that and we globally catch up our delay a bit by reaching 125,000, 126,000, 127,000, then I tend to tell you maybe no correction, but we'll see the data for that. We also saw that a large accumulation wall has been created here. A large accumulation wall. The higher the wall is globally, between quotes, the stronger the accumulation, the more likely the upward or downward extension, depending on Bitcoin's move, will be enormous. So, currently, we'll put the image tomorrow, I think, or this afternoon. There is as much accumulation here as there was there precisely. There is more here than there was there, than there was there when we started lower. There is as much here as there was here, and what followed after a large accumulation was precisely a quite enormous price extension. So that's very important to note. And so, keep one thing in mind: September will be decisive. So, September will be decisive. The base scenario of a correction at the end of September, a correction at the beginning of October, is decreasing in terms of prediction. There are two scenarios on the table, let's repeat: September rise, small normal correction at the end of September, but nothing to make you dump positions to hope for a -20%. Okay? And early October, late October, early November, bullish with possibly a market top in early November like in 2021. We'll have to confirm that with the data, of course, see when the whales clearly leave the market, which is not the case currently, and the evolution of the data we have. This small image you're showing is a very important image, you've already seen it, it was made a very, very, very long time ago. The last time, I think Iril put it on his channel. It's very interesting. It's very interesting because this chart actually shows exactly what I was talking about in yesterday's video and what I've been telling you for a while, which are super cycles. Globally, I'll explain what this chart means because we're showing this chart from a guy who put it out years and years and years ago, who put it out I think in the 19th century, literally the guy who charted it saying, well, this guy predicted the years when there would be big bull runs, big crashes, and globally, well, we've seen that's exactly what happened: debt crisis, huge dot-com bubble right here after the 1999 peak, right after the 2007 peak, subprime crisis, okay, right after the mega bull run, well, again the crisis until the bottom, the 2026 top, then the bottom here in 2032, super cycle in 2035, and so on and so on. This, I'm going to explain something that's very important. Maybe I'll explain it on YouTube too. You'll understand why this chart, the guy could make it a long time ago. I said it in yesterday's live and unfortunately I lost the video. It didn't reorder in my software so I can't put it back. It's horrible. It's horrible. It's, well, I'm sorry, but I can't put it back. Basically, there are different cycles that exist. I was showing them to you yesterday too. There's the real estate cycle, which lasts about 12 years. There's the market cycle, which lasts between 5 and 8 years. There are liquidity cycles that last a few years. There are debt cycles that last a few years. All these cycles, in fact, have different durations but are almost always in even or odd years. And in fact, a bit like a solar eclipse that occurs every so often, remember how eclipses work. You have planets or satellites orbiting planets that have a rotation around a planet for x time, but their trajectories deviate x years, which means that at a precise moment in time, all their curves, their ellipses align, and that creates an eclipse. That's an eclipse. All the planets are aligned. Well, it's the same thing in economics. Market cycles that are different and influence each other, the real estate cycle, the debt cycle, the liquidity cycles, the market cycles. Well, there are moments in the year, or rather in time, when they all align, and that creates super cycles when they align. Be careful, bearish super cycles or bullish super cycles. And this chart, the guy who put it out in the 19th century was able to predict the years precisely because, in fact, he simply calculated the years in which these planets align. Okay? And what's super interesting is that we can see that super cycles are the cycles that go from bottom to top, and half-cycles are those that go globally from the middle of the chart to the bottom. 2019 here, the guy predicted the super cycle that was going to start, the super cycle that was going to start, which would then lead to a big crash, and globally bottom in 2023. We had a liquidity super cycle, we experienced it, no problem. 1999, we had a super cycle before with a bearish super cycle right here, dot-com bubble, why? Because there was a debt cycle, a real estate cycle that was ending, there were many things. In short, we crash. The only point where he could be wrong, in my opinion, is that right here, 2019 might have been a bullish super cycle but a bearish half-cycle because we had a bear market, and for me, we'd need to make a new chart. 2026 is clearly 2023-2026 a mini-cycle, a half-cycle. However, the bear market we're going to experience is a bearish super cycle because precisely everything is overlapping. We have the debt cycle coming to an end, where we are in the debt cycle expansion phase and are finishing it. We are at the top of the real estate cycle, we are at the top of the liquidity cycle, we are at the top of the market cycle. And when you have all that happening at the same time, well, it creates a bubble. It creates a bubble that crushes absolutely everyone. And so here, in my opinion, in terms of bull run, this is just a half-cycle, but in terms of bear market, we should have something that would start from here, like we had in 2007. Ultimately, we had a half-cycle from the bottom to here. However, the bull market we experienced from 2007 to almost, yes, 2010, well, it was much, much stronger than a half-cycle. So. And it's rather here where we would have had a bearish half-cycle with a big bearish cycle here, a big bearish cycle here. Okay? However, where the chart picks up again and remains objectively correct in the same way, would be here, what I'm telling you right here. Perhaps not in 2032, surely before, by the way, but that's why I'm telling you that the next cycle we would have would be a mega bullish cycle, even stronger than the one we had in 2019, 2020, because precisely all the planets are aligning. Once all the cycles reset, we have absolutely all the planets aligning to also have all the cycles restart their recovery phase, their expansion phase at the same time with absolutely all the lights green in real estate, in liquidity, in debt, in the market cycle. And that gives rise to a cycle in which there is enormous liquidity, where we collapsed so much before, where we fell so low that precisely, well, we will rise very high, and we have what is called a super cycle arriving. Okay? And that's exactly what I've been showing you for a while, and that's exactly what makes me price and still price now that we have this magnificent total chart here, where we will really, really not just have a normal market, let's say go up to here as everyone is pricing, but we will really, really fall back to almost 1 trillion for the entire crypto market, yes. 1 trillion for the entire crypto market. Okay? Knowing that we won't start from here, knowing that we'll start from around here. So, and that will cause a mega, mega, mega, mega drop of almost 80% on Bitcoin and altcoins. I can assure you that many will disappear. And when that is followed by a mega cycle that precisely, well, breaks the ceiling, then bingo. Okay, so that's why here I'm telling you we really have all the planets aligning to have exactly what I've been telling you for a while. So we'll follow that. The only shadow zone is precisely September. And again, I repeat, it's the job, it's what's annoying. We can't predict far enough in advance what's happening. Remember, I told you, we see 50 meters ahead. We see 50 meters ahead, and sometimes, well yes, the radar tells us the iceberg is right in front, and the closer we get, the more it turns out that no, the currents have moved the iceberg. So, well, we continue. We continue, we look at the sonar, and once we see the iceberg again, well, we make decisions accordingly, and maybe the iceberg will move a little further. In which case, the important thing is not to hit it head-on. So, we'll be a little careful about that. I'm already anticipating people saying, "Yes, but triple shift, you said triple shift, three waves, so that means if we have a wave here, the next one is corrective." Remember, triple shift is still something that is under experimentation. It's not a principle that has been proven during a bull run, during a bear market, and that has worked 100% of the time. So again, we keep it in mind because it works quite often. We keep it in mind, maybe it won't work. So we don't make a decision just because there's a triple shift that might be on the table. Okay. However, what's quite interesting are the different charts I'm going to show you. First chart: when we put the 2017-2018 bull run in logarithmic terms with where we are currently, we are really following what happened precisely in 2017-2018 with a top globally in early December and a price movement that, as you can see, was almost the same. So we're decoupling a little bit. We were ahead at one point, now we're falling behind compared to 2017. But if we put all the data and figures globally on an equal footing, that's what happened. And according to this chart, we would have experienced the last dip now. So, with what I told you, it's the possibility that September will be bearish until the end of September, October too, November too, with possibly mid-November or early December the peak, and we crash directly at the end of Q4, globally a little before what the majority of people see, which wouldn't be bad either to trap a majority of people. That's not a problem. What's also interesting are these charts here that highlight precisely the correlation between Bitcoin and global M2. So, global M2, you have the black line here which is constant, which evolves, and you have Bitcoin at certain times of the year and certain valuations. So, the red dots here show that globally we are following the curve, but very, very, very often we decouple by being a bit lower, catching up, being higher, catching up this delay, between quotes, because normally we should be lower but we were higher, and so globally it happens that we are higher than global M2 and lower. There are not only lower decoupling, and all this, the average of the higher points and lower points gives a correlation of 90.1% with M2. So it's not a legend, it has been done, it has been processed, and it is true. What's interesting, what's interesting is also, well, global M2, which is where we see that there's a bit of catching up to do globally, that's not a problem. We see that Bitcoin, this is what I showed you at several times of the year, has been clearly higher than global M2. So it has higher decoupling too. We can see it here, 2024, 2000, 2023, what I was showing you before. We were higher and we caught up. We were lower, we caught up, we went much higher than global M2. And currently, well, we're a bit behind, but we'll catch up this delay. That's what matters. And what's also interesting for pricing a super cycle for the next cycle too, at least that's what I price, is precisely something that's quite interesting, which is comparing the internet, internet adoption, to cryptocurrency adoption. Let's remember, the internet in the 2000s was a real technological revolution. Currently, crypto is a real technological revolution. The internet at the very beginning, maybe it seems crazy to you, but I don't remember it because I was, I was, I was 8 years old. So, well. But according to the data and what I've researched, the internet was shunned at first. The internet was shunned, people didn't understand what it was. Too difficult to use, too expensive to buy a computer and have a Wi-Fi connection. And globally, it was a geek thing. Now, you have here precisely the crypto users and the internet users at the time. So we've compared the adoption, ultimately, of the internet with precisely the adoption of cryptocurrencies by assembling all the figures. And what's quite interesting is that the internet had a growth rate in terms of users of 76% per year, okay? Between year 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 up to year 9. And Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies, on the other hand, are growing almost twice as fast in terms of adoption. Okay? And globally since year 9, year 10, we're at 43% annual growth like the internet from the 9th year. However, when you take 43% annual growth based on 187 million as a base and 43% on 659 million, you can imagine that precisely there is a massive, much faster adoption happening with crypto compared to the internet era. And we see that with a projection of 942 million users by December 2025, so almost 1 billion users on the planet for cryptocurrency. Okay, so be careful, the December 2025 bar is only for crypto, not for the internet. The internet was the 10th year, so a long time ago, not now. There aren't 500 million users for the internet, obviously there are many more. And what's quite interesting to see the evolution. If we take an evolution like we have now for the internet network and if we take an evolution precisely for the crypto network, by 2030, we could reach 4 billion crypto users. I believe it. I really, really believe it. One in two people, clearly possible. Why? Because there is massive adoption of cryptocurrencies. We talk about it everywhere. The big players have finally legitimized crypto. The evolutions we've made between 2024 and 2025 regarding crypto usage are just phenomenal. And now that the big players have a lot, a lot, a lot, a lot of it, you can guess what's going to happen next. The media will talk about the benefits of cryptocurrency. You can pay in crypto. Wait until you can make bank transfers in crypto. You'll see what happens. It's going to be a huge narrative. So 4 billion crypto users by 2030 and by the next bullish cycle which should globally take place precisely within these timeframes. That doesn't seem crazy to me. And that's where there's a projection that can be quite amusing. So again, we are very careful with these figures, but we can estimate approximately by 2036, and if we follow these evolutions, it would lead to a total crypto market cap of 100 trillion dollars by 2036, according to those who have done these calculations. 100 trillion. 100 trillion, 100 trillion dollars. So it's enormous. It's enormous. This would mean that Bitcoin, well, Bitcoin, the crypto market in 11 years, mind you, in 11 years, would surpass the figures of the current SP500, Nasdaq, etc. I think it's possible. In 11 years, it's highly possible. Why? Because we will have had the RWA narrative widely democratized. We will have had, and you'll see, this is a prediction I'm making, interbank transfers in cryptocurrency. So remember this narrative where only a few cryptos are compatible with ISO banking standards. There are only 7 or 8 currently, including XRP, ADA, Algorand, and two or three others. Only they are compatible. We'll see if others update their technology. But globally, once you have all that, it's highly probable that the crypto market could be worth 100 trillion dollars in 11 years. So. I also think that within 11 years, yes, within 11 years, the S&P 500 will certainly be higher than 100 trillion. That's not a problem. But I also think we'll have a switch. We'll have a switch, in any case, regarding Bitcoin, where, globally, cryptocurrencies will surpass the Russell 2000, will surpass the Dow Jones, will perhaps surpass the Nasdaq. We'll see, we need to see the impact of AI in it. But in any case, I sincerely think that cryptocurrency could be precisely a market that will be truly among the top, top global leaders. And for that, you just have to look at the evolution. We've seen that for the internet, the evolution, it would be interesting to make a chart on this, the evolution in terms of percentage and market cap of the SP500 at its beginnings, of the Nasdaq at its beginnings, and of crypto. Yes, it's not at all the same configuration. There's so much more liquidity now than there was in the early 1900s. I agree, no problem. I agree with that, but it can still be quite interesting to make a comparison to see where we're going. So that's for the longer term. So, let's repeat now. Hop! To not take 1000 years either. We'll look at September. We'll see if from now on we have an extremely strong push. We finish the month or in 2 weeks around $130,000-$135,000-$140,000. If that's the case, we still price this famous large correction of at least 20% on Bitcoin. Okay. If we just catch up our delay and we finish, let's say mid-September, end of September around 130,000, 125,000, etc., we'll adjust. The scenario is a bit less certain than that. So, globally, we'll be able to see it coming, so don't worry. But well, the plan can possibly evolve. So, I'll stop here and I'll say see you very soon on Discord, on YouTube, and so on and so on. Kisses everyone. Bye bye.