Transcription
My crypto portfolio. In this video, I'm going to share with you the exact cryptocurrencies that I personally hold, as well as the altcoins that I've been buying into on the recent dips and the strategy that I'm going to be implementing over the next 6 to 18 months to make millions of dollars in crypto.
Do me a favor, hit the like button and let's get into it.
Now guys, before we dive in and find out exactly which altcoins are likely to see some of the biggest gains over the next months ahead, let's quickly understand where we're at right now so we can understand how and why I'm structuring a portfolio like I'm doing. Now, I know many people out there are saying that it's extremely worrying. They're panicked. It's full of fear. Why would you be making a portfolio video right now?
Well, over the last 7 years I've been in crypto, one thing has become increasingly obvious. If the market is full of panic and fear, it's time to start adding to positions. If the market is full of greed and excitement and people are wanting to buy and wanting to know what to buy, it's time to scale out. Not aping everything in at once, not taking everything out at once, but adding when prices are low and taking from prices when they are high. By doing this over time and staying consistent and patient and disciplined, ultimately you are going to end up with more money at the end of it than at the start of it.
And in my opinion, Bitcoin and many of the altcoins have already bottomed. And if they haven't, they are incredibly close to doing so according to all of the information and data available. So let's just look at some of it.
Right now, what you're seeing is a bullish divergence on the Bitcoin price. That means that the price has gone down a little bit, but at the same time on the RSI, it's been going up. This shows you that the strength is beginning to increase while the price has been falling. This happened in 2022 and it led to that massive run for Bitcoin. Now, the RSI is basically showing you momentum. The momentum going towards the downside has been slowing. Sellers are getting exhausted. Buyers are stepping in.
Something else that confirms this is Bitcoin's net realized profit and loss. I've showed you this many times before. This is not another chart. This is just compounding on what we've just talked about. The amount of realized losses back in early February was massive. Loads of people panicked. They sold out the market big realized losses. Now you can see the realized losses from the dip that we saw the other day significantly less. That means that there's many less emotional people in the markets and they're less likely to panic at lows.
This is what happened back in 2022. You had the big sell-off back in May 2022 and then you see after the FTX crash basically a higher low here on the selloff or the realized losses. Now you see the realized losses significantly less much less emotion in the market many more people willing to hold on.
And most of it's to do with Bitcoin's value over time and the power law which basically has to do with things like liquidity, the gold price, etc. And as you can see looking at this chart from Bitwise, the Bitcoin price has never been cheaper with regards to what gold and liquidity are doing. You can see that this basically makes an estimation where Bitcoin price should be based on where the gold price is right now and where global liquidity is. As you can see, if it's at zero, it's pretty much where it should be. If it's under here, it's discount. If it's a minus2 or below, it's ridiculously undervalued.
So, if it's ridiculously undervalued, I want to personally be scaling into it. I'm not wondering whether the market's going to go up or down over the next few days, 5% or 10% or whatever else. I'm literally waiting for a time that it's going to get up towards one or into two to sell again. And that's the Bitcoin price.
The total two, as you can see, is bouncing on this zone very nicely. This is the zone that it rallied from all the way back in 2024, just before Donald Trump won the US election. And the others versus Bitcoin chart tells me that altcoins are at massive discounts having basically been in a bare market since 2022. And this is interesting because back in 2022 around now the altcoins were getting absolutely wrecked versus Bitcoin. However, in the last year, you can see that the others versus Bitcoin is up nearly 34%. This is very very different from what we saw back in 2022 and that's because the 2021 bull market only had a very short bare market for others versus Bitcoin before. Now you can see that this one is obviously much longer. We basically bottomed versus Bitcoin back on June the 30th last year. And since then, we've been grinding up. So, if Bitcoin is near the bottom and eventually bounces, you're going to see altcoins exploding out of this zone. And this is basically what runs into a very exciting period of time in crypto.
So, this is how I've weighted my portfolio. Not just stacking loads of Bitcoin like I know many people do. That's fine, but also leaning more towards a lot of altcoins.
Now, first up, I hold some Bitcoin, of course, 20% in Bitcoin because Bitcoin is fairly steady. It's already significantly down and I believe it's already bottomed. Worst case scenario, it might dip down towards like 58 again or maybe even gets to 54. But really, from where it is right now versus the upside potential, I'm pretty excited.
So, what's the price estimate for Bitcoin? Where do we think it could end up over the next 18 months or so? Well, interestingly, the Bitcoin price has been making a very interesting chart pattern versus gold. Now, this is the Bitcoin price on a two-week chart. So each of these candles represents two weeks. This is the back in 2021. This is obviously recent. Uh down below you've got gold on the one month chart. This is back in 2012. And you can see basically what happened is the gold price ran up to around 1,886. And then it's been around 9 years to come back to that level. Then it kind of like ranged and went down a little bit. Eventually it broke beyond previous highs, retested previous resistance, and then broke up around 150%.
Now, Bitcoin on the other hand, you can see ran into the same resistance area that gold did back in 2011. Had this big bare market pull back into 2022, early 2023. And then you see ranged around for a long time in 2024. Broke above resistance, rounded off, and came back to retest resistance, which is what it is doing literally right now in early February, and then again just a couple of weeks ago. And if it follows gold and does 150% from here, then it could rise to around 170K. But that's just a guesstimation based on the model that we're seeing here.
Now, why did I say 12 to 18 months in the introduction? I want to point something out. I'm personally not a believer in the 4year cycle theory that we're going to bottom now in 2026 and then we're going to top again in 2030 because I think the crypto market is heavily linked to the stock market and it's heavily linked to liquidity. It's never been following a hing cycle. It's always been following a liquidity cycle. If this is true, and we have already bottomed around now, the chances are that we're going to see a major blowoff top for the stock market and crypto somewhere in the next 12 to 18 months. Exactly when that is is difficult to know. Very key things to be paying attention to is the ISM, manufacturing index. When it's an expansion, we're not likely to see a bare market hit. We are likely to see a bare market when it goes into contraction. And this has been key to pay attention to the last few times.
Ultimately, while Bitcoin had a good run over the last few years, altcoins and the crypto market in general never broke beyond highs that it saw back in 2021. So, it's been kind of ranging around in a macro bare market. And in my opinion, what we've seen over the past few months is a midcycle pullback. A very brutal one, don't get me wrong, but a midcycle pullback. That's why it topped on apathy. And right now, you're in extreme fear. I do believe that we're just going to roll on and see something like this. Kind of like what we saw in gold over this period of time here. Therefore, I want to buy into the market in extreme fear. Wait for the liquidity expansion and everything to take hold and then sell into the greed and hyper euphoria that comes paying attention to the ISM. Other things to pay attention to fear and greed index. Sentiment is the biggest key to these markets. Every single market works like this. I don't care if it's crypto, coffee, wheat, stocks, you name it. It works like this. It's simply money leaving the hands of the masses and ending up in the hands of the few. And this is how people get rich. Lots and lots of people put the money in the hands of a handful of people. And this means that the masses have to lose every time. If the masses didn't lose every time, there wouldn't be gains to be made by anyone. This means in order to be one of the few that makes money, you have to think like the few people out there, not like the masses.
So what are the masses doing right now? Well, they're all waiting for much lower prices. Like they always wait for lower prices when the prices are low and they always wait for much higher prices when the prices are high. All your job is to buy at discount and then sell into greed.
Okay, so obviously 20% in Bitcoin doesn't sound as much as many people might go for. So fair enough. But you know, Bitcoin dominance hanging on by a thread up here. It's got to be a matter of time. The other's chart looks good. Therefore, I want to have good exposure to altcoins. Where else is everyone throwing shade and hate right now? What are the masses talking about? They're all talking about how they hate Ethereum. So, as someone who wants to be part of a few, I'm going to go towards Ethereum with 15%. Because unlike Bitcoin, Ethereum hasn't really seen substantial all-time highs since back in November 2021. It did put in a tiny little wick above the previous all-time high, but I'm not really going to call that a major blue sky breakout. What we can see right now is an ascending triangle of sorts. Ultimately, I do think this is going to bounce here. Eventually, it's going to break. And in reality, it's probably going to send Ethereum somewhere up to kind of like the $9,000 level. Obviously, if it breaks up towards this line, I'm going to be starting to scrape some profits off this thing. And as euphoria and excitement and people start talking about Ethereum more and more, then I'll start to take profits more and more aggressively. And as you can see, also jumping across DeFi Lama, Ethereum still incredibly active. There's nearly $37 billion locked on chain on Ethereum right now. And TVL and a lot of projects being built on Ethereum are also still running quite strongly. Ethereum kind of like the Microsoft not necessarily as techy and as exciting as some of the new L1s but a fairly standard solid bet.
Now next up where I'm holding around 15% of my total portfolio is in Sooie. Sooie much smaller chain than Ethereum but $435 million TVL. I did hold a huge amount of Sooie back in 2024. I did take a little bit of profits off of it back then but ever since it started to dip down towards these levels from December onwards I've just been kind of starting to grind back in and add to the position. Now obviously it's continued to fall down as well but again you can see we are starting to rise on the RSI versus the price falling. This to me is fairly bullish. The team behind Suie is the original team that was from the Libra project at Meta. They are one of the most experienced teams in crypto. Suie is kind of like the Salana of 2021. I expect to see having much more upside. Now there's nothing against Salana. I think Salana is going to do really well as well. I just think Ethereum is probably the safer bet in terms of a bit more stability and I think Suie is maybe the slightly riskier one. So between these two, I kind of have a bit more balance. Maybe that's the wrong choice, but you know, I kind of like what SU's been building. So I've kind of been getting into this. Now, in terms of estimations, I think realistically somewhere in the $10 to $14 range would be something I'd be pretty happy with with Sooie because that's like a 1920X.
Now, before we carry on and jump into more of these coins, I just want to give you a bit of a warning because this is incredibly important. First, don't just go and blindly copy this portfolio or any other portfolio that you sound that you hear about and like the look of because of so many reasons. First, we've all got different risk tolerances. We've all got different amounts of money. We've all got different life situations and responsibilities. And also, if you just go and blindly buy into something and the price chops up and down tomorrow or the next day, you're going to run away and sell it and then complain about the problems to someone else. I hold this and can continue to buy into it as it goes down and down because I have conviction in what it is and where I think it's going. Don't buy into anything unless you've gone and researched it and built your own conviction. You can't borrow my conviction because as soon as the market turns against you, you think I'm an idiot. Really, you need to build your own convictions. Buy low, have the patience, and sell high.
And this is exactly what I did all the way back in December 2022 when I basically made my best trade ever. Now, I made a video about it when Salana was around $9. And I basically ated into this with every penny that I had because Salana had been sold off after the FTX crash. Everybody was saying that Salana was destined to die. It wasn't going to make it. It was never going to come back to life. Salana was still the same project it was down here at $9 as it was here at $250. Okay, this is an important part and by building conviction the right coins, you're going to be able to have some trades like this one that I made in December 2022.
Now, this video is from the 31st of December 2022 where I had some pretty bad hair at the time. Probably not quite as bad as I have right now and the facial hair of a 12-year-old despite being 35 at the time. But anyway, you can see horrible looking chart. Most people would have been terrified by this, but basically Salana, same project here. Horrible looking chart. I went towards where no one else was looking. No one else wanted to be involved in it, which meant that it had good value at the time. From there, it then kind of went up a little bit and then ranged sideways for about 10 months. And I just sat on it, sat on it, sat on it, and eventually it did a 31x and it went to $290. And even if I bought into it at like $50 and it had lost 75 80%, I still would have made like 5 or 6x on the return had I just been able to be patient. And that's the benefit of being able to build your conviction and just be able to sit. It's difficult. I know this is what the masses struggle with, but actually if you can become one of the part of the few, build your conviction, stay patient.
Okay, next up, 10% in Hyperlid. And that's predominantly because the TVL on Hyperlid is absolutely surging. And you can see it's one of the top earners across the crypto markets, making around 1.29 million per day. Now, if you're subscribed to the House of Crypto and you were back in February and March, then chances are you were able to get in around these lows. If you missed that, make sure you subscribe to the channel so that you can keep up to date.
Now, I personally bought in heavily down here. And now I've started to scale out. After it got towards all-time highs, I have been taking profits quite heavily. Not because I don't think it's going to go up much more. I think it's going to carry on a bit, okay? But I want to scale out because now everybody is excited and talking about it. So, while lots of people are aping into this right now, I've been pulling profits and I've actually been moving them across into Pump Fun. And it's not because I like meme coins. If you've been subscribed to my channel for any amount of time, you know that I don't really care for meme coins because I don't really understand them to be honest. But Pump Fund makes 1.7 mil per day and is the platform that everyone who's building meme coins uses. And every time that Memecoin is getting traded, Pump Fund's making a little bit of revenue. It's for me a very solid bet on the ecosystem. Knowing that people can't help themselves and memecoin seasons always come around. So I take money from Hyperlquid at highs and I move it into Pump Fund.
Now, Pump Fund has a similar chart in my opinion to what happened to Salana back in 2022. And as I know it makes 1.7 mil per day, starting to round off in and around this zone. I do think that at some time it catches a bid. So, I've started to add quietly to my position here. Not major amounts of money, but just comfortably adding a little bit into here. Any coin that has been up a few hundred% I will no longer add to. I've only been adding to these ones that are solid down here.
Now, if you are looking at a coin right now and it's just been going down and down and down and you've decided that you want to get out of whatever coin it is that you're holding and you're wondering where you should be moving your money to, just make me a promise. Do not take the money from a coin that's at its absolute rock bottom and move it to a coin, let's say like Hyperlid that's been pumping like 400% in the last few weeks. Move it to another coin that you've got good conviction in based on your research that is still down at the lows like pump fund or any other project sui whatever's down here that you are interested in then yeah make that choice but don't sell the lows to buy the highs cuz that's what everyone does and that's dumb.
Now within that bracket of kind of like the top kind of big market cap coins there's a few others I'd be quite happy to hold that I just don't hold for whatever reason those might be near protocol virtuals render jupiterex on salana and a bunch of others that I'm sure are going to do really well. Maybe you're holding them. They might be really good. Just cuz I haven't mentioned them doesn't mean they're bad coins. There's so many coins out there that are probably going to do all right from these kind of levels. All you got to do is make sure that you have conviction, okay? Because the mistakes and the money made isn't about choosing the coins, but it's about managing yourself. If you can't manage yourself, even if you buy the best coins, you're going to find yourself in a world of pain at some point.
Now, next up, and this is 20% of the portfolio. This is across five different coins. Those are Onondo Finance, real world assets backed by BlackRock. Likely going to see some runs during this market. Real world assets for me is one of the most obvious plays in crypto. So again, looking for the ecosystems, the strongest runner in the room is probably on.
Next is Worldcoin backed by Sam Alman from Open AAI. They raised something like $420 million over the past few years and they do something with proof of humanity and in my opinion this is one of the most essential things for the age of AI because AI is taking over as you're aware. We need to be able to see who is a real person versus who is an AI because otherwise you have lots of issues and problems with that. Welcome extremely wellunded, was massively undervalued, has been rising nicely over the past few months, and this is what you're likely to start seeing in a lot of those horrible soldoff charts. Look, down massive 98% all of a sudden back to life starts to rise up 233%. Still a lot of ground to go, but this is where you get the advantage of buying in at the lows rather than when everybody else wants to buy. And then just be patient. Eventually, you will start to return to normal. And if you did get unlucky and you buy the absolute tippy top, once you start to scale in at lower levels, the price then only has to return to a certain point for you to break even rather than having to run all the way up here like unfortunately most people have to wait for. But again, WCON has been pumping strongly. So, I'd be patient there. I wouldn't be personally running into this right now. And if it does start to push towards this zone, because I've been buying a lot down here, maybe I will take a little bit of profits off and start to move it towards anything else that's looking a little bit weaker. Just world coins been waking up faster than some of the others, but they all will start to wake up eventually.
Now, also holding a lot of Aether. Obviously, you can see Aether's been through a lot of chop over the years. It has obviously come down to a pretty painful level for many, but you started to see in riding off that's happening here. Now, this has given me an opportunity to be adding a little more. Why Ather been making tens of millions of dollars per year in revenue for producing GPU compute that sells to big AI companies? For me, AI has some major bottlenecks. One is in GPU compute, the other is in data. Ather services the compute. So I've been adding a little bit more to my positions down here. Now obviously what we're looking for in terms of entries personally I was just looking to get in somewhere around these lows. Anywhere under 8 cents for me is great value and obviously just got to be patient and wait for this to come good.
Next up, another one that I've actually been adding to quite aggressively more recently and that is Grass. Now Grass is a decentralized data project very similar to my own project Perceptron in a number of ways. They'll be launching very soon. Make sure you go and check it out on X. Now, Grass again makes tens of millions of dollars per year solving the data problem in AI. It's very rare for crypto projects to have real revenue and actually be building out exciting products. Now, Grass has come down very hard again, but what you're starting to see nice rounding off pattern. Eventually, this roundoff will start to warm up and you will start to move in the other direction. Now, I know it's really hard to believe that that can ever happen. I just want to give you an example. This is Render, not a coin that I personally hold, but you see in the last bare market, it dropped 94 1.5%. From that 94 and a half percent drop, it then rallied 3940x. Okay, so ultimately, even if you were unlucky enough to buy exactly up there, if you're able to DCA just a little bit on the way down, you should return to break even before you get to kind of the 50% recovery level and then eventually you can start to run into profits, right? Whilst it's been painful and everyone's really tired and annoyed that the market's taken this long to eventually warm up, actually, it's probably a good thing. It's given us more time to be able to go and make money, to be able to buy into dips and things like that. The worst thing in crypto is when something goes straight up because that's when you're like, I need more money. Where do I get my money from? And by then it's too late and everyone ends up aping in.
And last one is Tria, a digital card that actually has thousands and thousands of users worldwide and actually makes some serious revenue as well. Personally been buying a little bit of this. I did in the very early days. I posted about it on X. Make sure you give me a follow on X if you missed that. Peter_THC. And you can see despite kind of choppy markets over the past few months, Tri is starting to kind of establish support in and around this zone. Definitely worth looking into in more detail.
Now, comes down to the absolute smallest market cap coins. I hold around 5% still in coins like My Lovely Planet, Lingo, Humans, AI, Ki, Kao, and a couple of others. Now, I don't expect to see small market cap coins recovering anytime soon. You're going to really need the sentiment in the market to start warming up before you see those small caps coming alive. So, right now, I've just left them to be, thinking that at some point in the future that they're going to likely come back to life. But in the short term, we're likely to see the midcap kind of larger cap strong real big revenue projects starting to move first. Doesn't have to be today. Doesn't have to be tomorrow. Doesn't have to be in the next week or month or whatever. Okay? I'm just positioned. I'm patient. I wait. And then I get an opportunity to sell. And everyone who's down below currently calling me an idiot in the comments saying that this is a bare market. When all of those guys are buying in, okay, that's when we want to be selling. Okay.
Now guys, I appreciate that's a bit of a longer video than usual. Do me a favor if you hit the like button. Leave a comment down below. Let me know which coins you think I should be holding. And by the way, if you want to go and pick up any of the coins I've personally been talking about, make sure you sign up down below to Bitnix. This exchange will list every coin pretty much that I talk about. If you want certain coins listed on Bitix, I can ask the team and get them to list it. They have some of the lowest fees for any crypto exchange. They don't require KYC. So, wherever you are in the world, you're going to be able to access this exchange and buy pretty much all the different tokens that you need to do. And if you sign up through that link down below, there's a big trading bonus for trading ETH right now. So, if you're a serious trader, make sure you go and check that out, guys. Thanks very much for watching. Hope you enjoyed today's video. Do me a favor, hit the like button. Don't go and buy any coins until you've done your own research. And I'll see you very soon in another video.