Transcription
YouTube, what's happening? It is Tuesday, July 8th, and we're going to talk about MLB first today. We have our usual 15 games going on today on the schedule. You see all the games right there. We got some good pitching matchups today, too. So, we're going to break these down. Look at the spreadsheet. Look at the props. Everything we got to do to find some value out there.
But first, let's do a recap of yesterday. Then, we'll talk about how the Nerfy challenge went because some of y'all don't need to be doing Nerfies. Some of you were good. But hey, let's talk about it. Let's jump into it. So, yesterday, not many games. We took all these. Baz was great. Boston was great. Junk was junk. He only had three strikeouts. Witz destroyed baseballs yesterday. Toronto was great. Over was great. Told you Cleveland was going to pop. And I said it in the video yesterday. I said, what do they know about the line? Houston being favored by 134 was very fishy to the point that they lost. Yeah. Yeah. Everything pointing Houston. Yeah, it was a short favorite. Cleveland popped us like we thought they would eventually. And yeah. Okay. Um, yeah. So, yeah, sports books have those big ass shiny buildings in the desert for a reason, so they know what they're doing. Uh, Deg Grom was not good. Uh, Sanchez was good. So, overall, the only ones we got wrong was Deg Grom, Houston, and the money line. Overall was a 6 and 3 day for the whole card—six and three. So, we'll take that each and every day.
If you want the plays typed out for every single sport I do, or you want access to the spreadsheet so you can do your own research or just have, you know, a spread—a recap of all the plays we do every day—you just got to go check out the HQ, and that is very simple to do. All you got to do is go to that site right there. Simple as that. So, enough of that. Let's talk about yesterday's challenge because that was fun. Um, the challenge yesterday, let me put it back up here on the screen so we can see it real quick. So, pop over here. Yeah, this was the challenge right here. This is what we had. Tons of people put—put uh three-leg parlays in. Awesome stuff. A lot of people had the Boston Colorado Yurfy to hit. Uh, that didn't hit. I'm sorry. It didn't. I don't know who's hit yet. I'm going to go through it. If you got it right, you get an entry in a Friday. Simple. Simple as that. If you didn't, you didn't. Now, it was a hard challenge yesterday. One, hitting a three-lay parlay isn't easy anyways. And then you throwing in nerfies and euries. Oh, that's tough. So, today we're going to make it a little easier hopefully and a little more fun for us. So, what we're going to do is we're going dingers, baby. It is dinger Tuesday across MLB. Everyone knows this, but I'm not going to make you do a parlay. Not a chance. No, not a chance at a parlay. Just give me three dudes to hit a home run. That's all you got to do. Three dudes. That's it. If one hits and two don't, you get an entry. If all three hit, you get three entries. Is it—can it—can it be any simpler than that? Just give me three dudes. That's all you got to do. So, do that. Uh, I'll go through the results tomorrow. Everyone who got one, two, or three, I'll move you over to Friday and put—put an entry by your name. Simple as that. Combine it with yesterday, Wednesday, and Thursday. I'm not exactly sure what I'm doing yet. I think tomorrow is just going to be a straight up money line parlay. Just, hey, give me three winners. I'm going to keep it real simple tomorrow because everyone's playing. It's an early day. So, that's your challenge for today. We're going to do that. So, enough of that.
Uh, we have 15 games. We got to focus on making some money because we're having a great little stretch going on. We only got a few more games until the All-Star break gets here. Remember that. There's no games next week until Friday. There's All-Star weekend, home run derby, all that fun stuff is happening literally Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday. There's no actual games. Remember that. So, uh, I will have videos, don't you worry. Educational content, which some of you are interested in. I found out. So, hey, I got you. So, all right, enough of that. 15 games. Let's jump to the first one right now. Okay. And before we jump into it, you know, we got to check out the weather just to kind of roll through it real quick to see if there's anything fishy going on there. So, because it's always good to know wind and things like that. So, Baltimore, it looks like it might be storming a little bit. No wind though. Detroit looks good. Yankees, ew, that's a lot of red. Um, it might rain—rain delays galore potentially—might even get postponed. Who knows? Cincy looks pretty good. Boston looks like they might have some rain. Milwaukee, nothing. White Sox, maybe some rain. It's going to be one of them days. It's going to be rainy Tuesday. Minnesota's good. KC's good. St. Louis, maybe some rain. Houston Dome, LA, nothing. Padres, nothing. Giants, nothing. A's win at 9 82 nothing. So, been wind blowing out. So there are—there is your weather. So uh, maybe some rain to worry about. Not too much. Let's go jump to that first game which is going to be 6:35 Eastern. It's going to be Mets and Orioles. So we can see currently is Mets 125 on the money line with a 9 and a half total. Head over here to the sheet. Let's see our numbers. And we can see Mets are very average. They're very mid. The New York Mids is what we shall call them. Baltimore is—well, they can't—they're averaged everything, but they're really good to get runs with what they can get. So all right, so I would say slightly in Baltimore. Baltimore's on a three-game winning—win streak; they're at home, and they have a slightly offensively cool—not enough to want to bet them, but still, that's—that's cool enough. Let's see. Let's go over and look at uh—uh this is Outlier link in the pinned comment at the bottom of it. Click it. Sign up. You get a whole week for free. You know that, right? An entire week. No catch. Just it's a week. If you don't like it, cancel afterwards. It's simple. So, um, check it out. Worth it. Seven full days. Pick the right seven days, though. It makes sense. So, uh, so we got football coming up soon. Oh, and then we got basketball right behind it. And then, uh, back to hockey. Oh, man. I love sports year round. Always good stuff. So, currently, this is pictures. Let's load up Mets and Orioles. And we see we got Klay Holmes going up against Brandon Young. Brandon Young, he looks like a bullpen guy because he doesn't have any stats. Let's find out why. Uh, Klay Holmes walks. Uh, he gives a lot of walks, but the Orioles are 15th in walks, so I don't care about that. He's not a strikeout dude. Four and a half. Mm—you know, even though the Orioles are 26th in strikeouts currently in the last 10 games at 9.1, I'm not taking—I don't want—ah, I say that. Let's look. Let's look. Let's not—let's not assume. You know what happens when you assume? You make an ass out of yourself, cuz I don't make an ass out of myself. Uh, let's look. Brandon Young earned runs—uh, 3343 in your last four games. Is that all your four games? Yes. You pitched in two games in April, then you came back and you—you still give up. You're a 325 average. All right. Uh, now Mets are going to have the advantage in pitching, clearly, right? Klay Holmes ain't that bad. Uh, earned runs 1.6. Yeah, clearly. And he's not a strikeout dude. Clear as day. All right. So, Mets have a big advantage in pitching. Baltimore has a slight advantage of hitting and they're at home. So, so far that cancels out. Let's look at the matchup. See if we can find a batter prop maybe. Uh, Mets versus—well, they never face Young, so nothing there. Righties versus Mets. There you go. Baltimore versus righties. There you go. And then Klay Holmes versus Baltimore. Anybody tee off? No. Nothing. Nothing there at all. So, so far I—yeah, each side has their strengths. Nothing really screams take a side. Nothing screams take anything really. Hell, we even look at batter props. Why the hell not? See if anything looks good in this one. Um, no. We even got nobody in the green last five. That tells you a lot how they've been doing. Last 10 we have a couple, but you can see last five they haven't been that good. So, this game is an absolute leave it the hell alone pass. Move on next.
All right, second game. And I just realized I should probably enter myself into my own little challenges just for fun. See what happens. Um, I didn't do a three-leg Nerf here yesterday cuz I was too focused on you all and look at your plays and see how you all were doing. I should have did my own. So, I think I will submit my own little three-leg. Well, not three-legged, but just three dudes to hit a home run. But, we're going to find them together. Like, we're going to work together to find them. And if we—if I give you information you want to use, use it. I don't care. So, this is just so we can have fun with the drawing. Instead of just being a boring random drawing, we want to have fun with it. And those that are better with their knowledge, h—they have a little bit of an advantage. So, hey, good stuff. Uh, we have fun with it overall. Next game up is going to be—is it Tampa? Is it Tampa? It's Tampa. Detroit. Yeah, Detroit 118. 8 and a half is our total—spreadsheet. And we can see above average for both. Both—yeah, both are top 10 in RBIs. Both are top 12 in hits. Both are top 11 in runs. Yeah, they're above average. Four-game win streak for Detroit. Tampa is struggling recently. Three and seven. Jeez. All right, pitching. Who is going out there for them today? Uh, we got—that's the bats. What am I looking at? I was like, Torque's pitching. No, Torque's not pitching. What are we doing with this one? There we go. Uh, Flitty's pitching and he gives up a lot of walks against Pepio. Pepio. They both give a lot of walks, but neither team is good at walks, so that helps us none. Flitty earned runs against Pepio earned runs. Let's see what they're up to. Strikeouts—either Detroit is 21st in strikeouts recently, 8.8, which is right there with their season average. So, they strike out a good bit. Tampa is 7.1. Way better than their season average. So, we're not taking strikeout props for sure. But, we will look at the other ones. Uh, Flitty earned runs has not been good. 7833 and a zero. He's at 42 in the last five games. That ain't good. What's your strikeouts looking at? 6.6 on a 55. That does qualify, but it's Tampa. They don't strike out much, so we don't care. So, yeah, you're—yeah. No. Uh, you give up earned runs. You're not that good a pitcher. Uh, let's see. You were better with the Dodgers. Way better. Uh, Pepio, earned runs. What are you up to? 2.2 in the last five. 311. Four against Baltimore and then two against the A's. And you just faced Detroit recently and only gave up one run here on June 21st. And if I come back to Flarity, did you face Tampa? You did. And gave up eight runs to Tampa. So, okay, clearly we have a side, but that was when Tampa was hot. The bats were smoking. They were number one, two, three in the offense. Now they're—they're still above average, but they're not what they were. So June's over. That was Tampa's month. So uh, I don't know what we're going to do here. Let's go look at pitching. Let's see. Now we get some information. Flitty versus Tampa. Historically, Diaz has a 429, seven at bats with a home run. Uh, Below has a home run at 1.2. And you can see all the information, all the numbers there. Uh, nothing—nothing standing out. Nobody's ranking yet against righties. You see how Tampa does. Detroit versus righties and Pepio versus Detroit. Oh, we got Meadows with a home run. Green with a home run. Okay, cool. And we're going to look at every batter prop just because we want to see if anybody pops up in the home run. I have home runs on here. They're just way down here. You can see home runs, stolen bases. I keep them on here. There's—if somebody's breaking to the point they show up on here with home runs. Yeah, good. So, last five, we see Parker Meadows over HR. You can see everything you want to see. And yeah, nothing—nothing I really want to take. I guess if we could take Below to get a hit, but 195—that is juicy. Oo, that's a little too much for my blood. Uh, Simpsons one and a half. I—I don't—yeah, both. If anything, I like the over in this one to be honest. TBH uh, cuz Flarity is not that great, but then Tampa's offense is kind of struggling a little bit from what they were. And then we saw that Pepio is—well, Pepio can give up some runs occasionally. You see this? What's the over/under? Eight and a half or plus 100. You know what? I'm going to trust in that. We're going over based on the numbers. So over 8 and a half plus 100. Sign me up next.
All right, moving on to game three. Good stuff. We got Seattle and New York Yankees. I have banned the Yankees for like a week. You've noticed that I have not touched any Yankee game. It's been nice. It's been very peaceful. Lower blood pressure, not many worries. Been kind of nice. Now they're back at home. So we'll see what happens. Um, I'm about to have a rule where my personal—when I do the moneyline parlay, it's got to have to be home teams. And if I have a weird feeling like Houston yesterday, I'm not putting them in it. So, I think I might do that rule going forward. You got to be at home. That's your—that's your prerec. You got to be home. You can't be on the road. So, uh, because too many weird things happen. Remember, this is baseball. The best team in history record-wise was Seattle. And they still lost like 50-some games that season. Remember that. There's no way around it. So, and yeah, uh, the worst team is only going to lose a 100 games. So, they're still going to win 50-something games. So, today we got—it's a pick 'em basically. New York nine is our total—spreadsheet. We can see the numbers and everything. New York's bats are doing good. Seattle's starting to struggle. They're getting the average up, but they're stranding so many dudes on base. Damn. Like, they're getting hits and everything and they just cannot get them home, which isn't good. Even though they're seven and three with a three-game winning streak, Yankees are actually doing work with the bats and they're at home now, which is always a fun place to be. Let's go up here and let's look—get rid of you and you—and we swap over to the Yankee game. We load them up. It's Will Warren versus Logan Gilbert. Gilbert strikeouts already cuz Gilbert's one of them dudes—you look at his strikeouts no matter who we face him because he's like Scooble and Skins. You look at him and see how he's been doing. So, but we'll do earned runs first. There's no—nothing green for us to look at. So, uh, earned runs and then we'll pop over to strikeouts. How about that? Uh, 2.5. He's only pitched in four games since he's been back. So, but not bad. Couple fours. Eh, neutral still, he's still getting into season four. He was out for two months. Remember that. Two months is a long time. So, uh, not bad. Strikeouts 7, 7, 6, 10. His first game back, he had 10 against Boston. So, yeah, he is a strikeout artist. And we go over here, Will Warren, we look at your earned runs at 2.6. Your last game you got blew up for eight runs against Toronto. Damn, dude. Before that, you were pretty damn good. But eight, that's a 2-6 average. Now, that eight is doing well—nothing for you. Strikeout. So, what we looking at? Uh, 11, 6, 7, 4. Neither team strike out much. They're both in the top. They're both in yellow. They're both average. 11 and 15. See right there? There's your numbers. So, if you want to take him, you can. Could these two hit? Absolutely. Will Warren's a strikeout dude? I'd say he's a strikeout artist, too. But let's look at their histories real quick. Warren versus Seattle. Historically, big dump over 0 for two. Uh, other than that, because I know a lot, this is going to be a very popular pick today for home runs. I can tell you right now, very—a lot of you are going big cow. I know you are. Um, and then let's see. I know a lot of people are just going to go for the easy play. They're going to go Judge Otani. That's—hey, you do that fine. Otani hasn't hit the balls in like three, four games now. So, ever since he's focused on pitching, his batting has went to [ __ ] So, Judge, you can see what they've all been up to. Uh, Jazz has a home run. Voth Bay has a home run. Nobody has really any good data out there, though. So, you can see all the information there. There's the righties. Then, I guess Seattle versus righties. There you go. There's all your data. So, strikeouts is what I'm going to focus on probably. Oh, man. What do I do here? Both pitchers are like—they both got like—you got destroyed and you've been—yeah, I would say you're—I'm taking—I'm—I'm taking Logan Gilbert 10 times out of 10. Sorry. But strikeout-wise, who—let's see if it makes sense. Uh, Gilbert six and a half is—is average 66 with a six and a half number with a 140 line against the Yankees who are 15th in strikeouts and is in New York. So I'm going to leave that alone. Now Will Warren is against Seattle who is also known as one of the worst strikeout teams historically throughout the season. Like see they're 88 on the season, 87 on the road, but they're only 83 right now. So a little bit better. So we could potentially—but they're on the road. So that's basically one per inning if he goes. His number is, what's his strikeout number? Five and a half. He's a 6'4. So, he has a much better number already. And it's better juice. I like it better. I think—I think I could take this. Um, have you faced him before? Oh, yeah. When you faced him, you had nine last time, and that was May. So, yeah, let's—let's take Will Warren strikeouts. Kind of curious about the Gilbert head. Last time you faced him, he had nine, but before that, he only had one. Yeah, I'm go Will Warren. I'm gonna trust Will at home, even though he gave up eight runs last time, but Seattle's offense doesn't scare me right now. So, we're going Warren over—if I can spell Warren, my god—W-A-R-R-E-N over 5.5Ks. Give me that next.
Moving on. Game number four is going to be Roto and Boston. And man, I was rooting for y'all yesterday. I was rooting—and they—I thought Boston was going to score and they didn't. And then it's like the—oh, man. Just a lot of you had the Yurfy. Yes. Runs first inning and then the second inning they put all the runs up. So, just madness out there. I was rooting for you though. I want everybody to hit their plays. Everybody. So, uh, today we have 235 Boston over is nine. We took the minus one and a half yesterday. It was great because Boston, if you didn't know, is absolutely on fire with the bats recently. Look at all the ones in a row. 7.6 runs. Batting 320 as a team—much less as a person is hard. You add everyone in there—as a team batting 320. That is crazy. 1.1 OPS as a team, 11.6—26 hits as a team. Damn. Damn. Damn. I'm sorry, Colorado. I'm taking 2170. We have—we played 91 games already, bro. Where did the season go? We're already three months in the season. I feel like it just started just a couple weeks ago still. Man. Man, this is fun. Any pitchers, we already know we're taking Boston one and a half. Let's keep it a buck unless the—unless the uh pitchers are just way off. Bellow versus Freeland. Bellow's been pitching pretty good this season, I do believe. Could be wrong. Freeland. Um, let's see. Who was it that got sent down yesterday at Triple A from Colorado? They could—they could have sent the…
Whole damn pitching staff down, but I guarantee you could probably go into the free agent pool and find a whole brand new pitching staff. It will be better than the Colorado staff. Just saying. Just saying. It sounds extreme, but I think you could. Uh, because someone Freeland's the best one. Let's keep it real. He is the best one of the group. So, let's look at him.
And when I say best one, yeah, he has pretty good numbers for earn runs. Three is good in Colorado. Six. And then we look over here. Bellow 33 013. He has a two average. Freeland has a three average. So, Boston clearly has a statistically better pitcher. They have a way superior offense, and they're at home and they're on a four-game winning streak. They have everything lining up for them. The odds make sense. Not like Houston yesterday. These actually make sense because they're sitting at they're rocking a 235. That makes sense for a money line. And now I'm going to have to take one and a half to get that 118 juice, which is fine. I did it yesterday. It worked out great. We took a lot of plus plays yesterday to hit. It was a beautiful day for the for the bank roll. Beautiful day indeed.
Bellow versus Rockies. Not much data, but there is a home run from Monontak. Yeah, right-handed versus Colorado. There you go. Boston versus lefties. Interesting. And then Freeland versus Boston. Nothing of note. So yeah, I'm going to go right back to the well. We're going to keep it absolutely simple as possible.
Oh, I forgot to show you the bats. My god, what's wrong with me? I forgot to show you the bats in the last one, too, man. I got to go back. I'll do that in a second. So, uh, let's do it right now. Here's Mariners Yankees. I got you. Don't worry. Uh, last five. You can see Bellinger. Wait. Yeah, Bellinger, Vulp. Anybody in the home runs popping up? You can see I should just do a home run tab, but I ain't going that that deep into it. You can get Outlier yourself for free for a week and do your own research. But there you go. Uh, now we'll swap over to Boston. Not Boston, but yeah, right there. Got it. Uh, Boston. You can see Tyler Freeman is doing well. Anybody? Somebody's going to pop up a home runs on the screen. It's going to be like, whoa. Yeah. So, there you go. There's your bats. I'm going straight Boston. We're going to keep it real simple today. I overthink it. Boston minus 1.5. And yes, I will add Boston back to the moneyline parlay. Welcome back, Boston. You're in there. So, Boston moneyline parlay one is in there. So, next.
All right, moving on. Miami Cincinnati currently for the Reds is 122 favorite with a nine total out there. Cool. We come over, look at the spreadsheet. Cincinnati's offense is struggling, but they're getting runs though somehow. Somehow they're getting runs. They're making the very most of the runs. I don't know what they're doing. They're getting like a buy one get one free deal. I don't know how they're doing it, but they're doing it. So, Miami though is also the same. They're statistically better with all the logos, but you can see they are barely statistically better. So, I don't really consider each of the e I don't consider Miami have an advantage. Make sense? Cool. Let's go look at pitching. This is where the advantages is made. Get rid of YouTube. We looked at all that. Change that over to Reds and Fish. And we see Nick Martinez versus Perez. Uh Martinez strikeouts is four out of five to hit four strikeouts on a 158 juice is your best line. Maybe 155. Ew. What is this? Miami is 19th in strikeouts. We'll look at it. But I I ain't feeling that. I'm going tell you right now. Uh well, maybe no. I got burned on a Miami P on pitchering this game yesterday. I took junk yesterday and junk was junk. Oh man, only three strikeouts. That's the best you can do for us. And your average is 46 and a 35 technically. Not bad. Is 19th in strikeouts. Not touching it. So earn runs. Martinez 34, a 14, a seven, a one, a four. Any of these against Miami? No. Okay. Uh we got Perez. What is yours? 41330. So 2-2. So statistically Miami has a slightly better pitcher as well, but they're on the road. So uh Martinez versus Fish. There you go. Uh right-handed. There you go. Uh and then Cincy versus Ry's. And then Perez vers Cincy again. Uh and Carion Strand has a home run and two at bats, but that's about it. We've seen nobody just tee off on a pitcher yet, which is kind of odd. Let's go look at the bats. See what anybody looks good. Uh, Reds. There we go. Got it right here. Uh, Xavier Edwards and Steer to get a hit. That's it. That tells you a lot about this game. Exactly. Kind of like the first game with the Mets and the the Orioles. I'm going to absolutely pass and move away from this one next.
All right, moving on to Pittsburgh and Kansas City. Talk about a team that found their offense all of a sudden. Casey. Yeah, wait till we get to the Cleveland game. We're going to have a discussion about what I think is going to happen in that one. So, based on the history I've seen. So, but we'll get there. Don't worry. Uh, next up is Pittsburgh KC. Currently KC's won 135 with the A total spreadsheet. And we can see, remember KC was 30th like four days ago. Yeah, now they're 13th because they have found the bats. And Bobby Witz is playing like a madman, possessed all of a sudden. So, uh, we took his 2.5 HR and it hit easily. So, yeah. Uh, the numbers, there's no difference in the team numbers when it comes to the bats clearly. You can see they're literally the same. Basically the same and the same. So, no lean there. But then one team's streaking, they're six and four. The other ones lost four in a row. Now, when Pittsburgh loses their offense, they're going to go right back into the hell hole they came from because that's that's where their offense will be because they can't even give their best pitcher any run support. So, uh, moving on over here, get rid of YouTube and we swap it up and we change to Pittsburgh and KC. Today's Lugo versus Mitch Keller. Lugo strikeouts is looking pretty good. Five and a half, four out of five times his hit. Uh Pittsburgh is rocking a 15th spot at 8.4, but they're on the road. So we could look at an eight. If it's 9.3, they're bottom five. That's is if they're if they're literally rocking a 93 on the road for the whole damn season. Yeah, we absolutely are going to be looking at Pittsburgh strikeouts. Uh hello, Lugo. Open that up. We got to look at Keller on the earn runs because we ain't taking strikeouts. We got to look at earn runs though just to see because Casey's offense is doing pretty good. So we kind of want to back that trend. Lugo strikeouts 9787. Now, the one the two versus Yankees is fine. Whatever. Don't care. But this I like the trend. I like the trend. We got Seattle strikes out a good bit. Dodgers strike out about average. San Diego Tex. It's a 66 on a 55. That's who's bringing it down. And I still love it. I still love it. Lugo's at home. Pittsburgh struggling with the bats. Absolutely love this one. Lugo history versus Pittsburgh. We have a look at all the zeros. My god, that is a no hitter right there between those. Then there's one hit and then a buck 82 from McCutchen. Oh yeah. Oh yeah. Love this one. Love this one so much. KC is going to go in the moneyline parlay. I'm going tell you that right now. Uh feels weird to say that but it's going to happen because they're not a bad team. They're they're hot right now. So uh then you see the numbers for Pittsburgh versies. KC versities and Keller vers KC. Bobby W has a home run and two at bats with a 2.3. India has a 444 and 18 at bats with a 1.3. We got to look at the bats. Let's go look real quick. I'll make sure we show everybody because yeah, I might miss a couple. Hey, if I miss it, whatever. Yeah, you go check out Outlier. You get it for free. So, if I miss something, hey, you can always go look it up yourself. No problem. So, uh let's see. Bobby Wit, 100% for an RBI. All right. Why do I envision Bobby was going to pop up here in home runs very quickly? Uh hell, let's look at Bobby Whit because that might be my first play for a home run today. I'm going to do it. Uh let's see. The HRR last 10 games has been this dude has been amazing. Uh 2.5 is plus 115 today. I don't uh you could take that today. I could take strikeouts today. I could take Casey Money today. I just like Casey today. So let's look at home runs too. How you been doing? Uh backto back days with a home run because he has been on fire. Uh so I think going against Keller and he has a very limited history. So let's go back and take a little peek at that, shall we? Um let's see. KC. Nope. Want KC? Yep. Yeah. Bobby Whit, two of bats. Uh versus righties. He has a 284 with 13 at home runs. So, you know what? I think I'm just going to pencil in uh my three home run dudes. We're going to go Whit. I think that's the first one I'm going to go with. We'll we can change it as we go, but that'll be my first one. You can take who you want, but that's just me. So, I like Bobby Whip. Big fan. So, um for the moneyline parlay, I will throw KC into it. They're at home. They are cooking with the bats as you see because their numbers have gone exponentially higher than they were. Uh they got they had a win streak. They're playing great last 10. It's all in Pittsburgh is not good so recently. So yeah, give me KC on the money line for sure. Uh cuz they're coming down off a pop. We'll talk about pops here in a second. And then um if you want to take a prop, I mean I mean come on this what the straight the straight bet's going to be K Lugo here. I'm going Lugo over 5.5 strikeouts at minus25 over case. You can say Bobby Wood again if you want, but I want to take him in home runs. So I that way I have hit the home run KC money line. Lugo go for strikeouts. There we go. Next.
Moving on. Next up we got Chicago and Minnesota. Uh currently we got Cubbies on the road 140 with a nine total. Interesting. Let's go look at the numbers. And that's as clear Cubs. That's as clear as day. The Cubs and they're not even close. Minnesota is struggling. They're five and five thanks to their pitching. But my god, these numbers are not good. Uh Cubs are just top five in every category but two. Damn. All right, Chicago. So clearly Chicago has the advantage. Now they put am I going to put them in a money line parlay? He hell no. Unless the pitching is just that bad or like Minnesota's rocking like a minor leager or major league debut dude or something. I don't know. We'll see. You I could be swayed. I could be swiped. I could be bribed. Uh, we got Simeon Woods Richardson. So, yeah. No, he's good enough. We'll leave. We're not We're not putting Chicago in there. So, Woods Richardson versus Shoda. Sha's back, baby. And let's look at these two earned runs cuz neither one I'm looking at. Well, I mean, I could look at show strikeouts. I absolutely could because Minnesota is striking out a ton. Nine in the last 10 on average. Yes, they're at home, but you might not do too well against Mr. Shota. Let's take a look. That's his earned runs. Now, given these were all these three. He's only had two games since he's been back. He had zero and a three. Let's look at strikeouts what he does. He's not that big a strikeout dude though. No, no, we we'll not. We'll pass on that. Wood Richardson runs. He's also has about the similar thing. Both look pretty decent. Um Richardson versus Cubs historically. There you go. Righties verse Cubs. Minnesota verse lefties. Lefties vers Shota. I mean Minnesota versa. Ah Lewis Royce got him a home run in three at bass with a 1.6. Outside of that, there's nothing here. Let's go look at the bats, shall we? And see if anybody's just popping off. And we want we want this one right here. We load them up. Here's your bats. Stanby, Suzuki, uh, both have been doing quite well in the last five. Uh, anybody on home run? No. So, I don't particularly like anything in this one to be honest. So, I I mean, yeah, I lean Chicago with keeper. I lean them. Um, am I going to put them in a parlay? Absolutely not. Can I get It's 140 Chicago in the money line. I might take them as a straight bet, but not put them in the parlay. Does that make sense? I think that's what I'm going to do. I'm going to do that. We're going to go Chicago Money Line, but don't put them in the parlay. They don't They don't meet the parlay requirements anymore. Sorry. So, Chicago Money Line next.
Moving on. We're already halfway through. Man, we are flying through this. Uh Toronto in the White Socks and currently up here. There they are. I see them. Uh is Toronto 188 and a half is our total. Now, we took Toronto 1 and a half yesterday and they put bell to ass. It was beautiful, beautiful stuff. Great hit overall today though. Let's see. Numbers still bad. Uh to the point where I could take Toronto one and a half again. I could took Chicago one and a half last game. I took the money line for 140. I like to be a little cautious at times. What can I say? So, especially with road teams. Uh then we come over here. We look at the pitching. I want the pitching. Thank you. This one. Yes. That sucks. Uh Basset versus Sav. A lot of green. What we got cooking over here? Both teams are top six in strikeouts if you didn't see that. Chicago 67.4. They don't strike out much at all at home. You can tell they're close to their average. Toronto is just they don't strike at all period. So yeah, good luck with strikeout props. But earn runs and everything, Chris Bass has a 2.5 earn runs going against Chicago who's 26 in runs. Ew. And then we got Mrs. Savali which is where's your earn runs down here? Three and a half against Toronto who is third in earn runs. Yeah, let's look. Basset 3.8. Ambassador is not good. When When did he get so bad? Like the whole season like he's been giving. Look at Look at this. Look at that. That ain't good. Yeah. He started off the first four games he looking like Sai Young. After since then he looked like Young Sai. That ain't good. Nothing. Nothing here. 2.6. I mean that's not bad really. 2.6. But look at all the fives. And uh uh Saval in his five games he's at 2.4. So in the last five games basically what have you done for me lately? 267 versus 24. They're about the same. We go match up wise, we go Savale versus Toronto. Vlatty, 14 at bats, 357, two homers, three ribbies, and a 1.2. And they're at Chicago. I can see Vlatty doing it. I can see Vlatty for sure. We got to look at that. Uh, righties versus Oh, we got to look at what Springer doing because Springer's been Yeah, Springer's got a home run in a 375 as well. So, Springer could absolutely be added as well. Um, we'll look at the list here in a second. So, I got I got Bobby on there. Who else might add to it? Toronto vers Rodies. There you go. Chicago vers Roies and Basset vers Chicago. A Ben Tendy has a home run in 313 and 16 at bats. Other than that, not much in this one. So, let's go look at the actual bats and see who is cooking for sure. Uh last five, Tman, Baldwin, Tman, Baldwin, Barker. That's it. Nobody else is really doing that. There's Springer two and a half HR for three out of five. Not bad. You could take that. So yeah, I think I want to look. I think I'm Let's Let me open up Springer and let me find Vlatty. Vlatty, where you at? How far down do I got to get the Valarius? Got you. Found you. Uh I want last 10 HR, you have been great. Look at that. 13 10 43 5 0 0. Home run wise 221. Damn. All right, Vlatty. What's your last hit? HR looking like pretty decent. What about your home run? one. You had one home run. Uh, you had five in the last 10 games. Damn, Springer. So, but you're actually hitting. Yeah, you gotten some hits recently. Springer's on a twoame over streak, so I'm a little concerned by that, but I might still do it anyways cuz dude is just cooking. So, let's You know what? Let's do it. What's that Springer? I'll trust Springer over Vlad just because the recency. Yeah, maybe he just had a couple of rough games. It's okay. So, we'll take that off. And then the play for this game though, the absolute play is going to be Toronto. Um, actually, is it the over? What is it? It could be either or. Earn runs last five. That's 38 and a 24. Damn, Chicago might win this game. You know what I'm saying? Like look at when when you look at the numbers and you look at the pictures, you're like, man, Saval is not bad. You see Bass is not good. It's like, all right, I got to leave it alone. I can't touch this. I don't even trust Toronto money line to be honest. So, no, don't do not be surprised when Chicago wins this game. Just saying. Don't be surprised. So, next.
All right, moving on. We got Milwaukee and the Doyas. Uh, feels like these two teams have played like 17 games now. I don't know why. Uh, where are you at? Who's hiding them? There they are. That is 125. Dodgers with a eight and a half total. We come to the sheet. We see Dodgers. What are you doing? What is you doing still? Still not good. Milwaukee at home. Check. Milwaukee with better offense. Check. Dodgers on a four-game losing streak. Check. Cool. Let's go look at the props to see what we got. Who is pitching? Goodbye. And we load up Dodgers Brew Crew. And we see No, not that one. Uh we see Kershaw is going Oh, this is Kershaw's first game in a hot minute. Let's see how long it's been since Kershaw pitched. I know. I saw the news. His last game was Well, 72. Wait, what? What? Oh, I'm thinking I'm I'm I'm not thinking Kershaw. Silly me. I'm thinking Glass now. Tomorrow was Wednesday. Yeah, I saw the news. I instantly thought Dodgers pitcher. No, not a Kershaw. Glass now is pitching tomorrow. I got it. I'm good. But he wasn't. Yeah, he had four earn runs. One, two. Yeah. Okay, cool, cool, cool. Whatever. Uh, he's going up against Oh, the rook. The rook had amazing like three games and then he got humbled real quick. He got humbled real quick. I say humbled five runs ain't really that much. 0205 against the Mets. Uh how many strikeouts we got? How many looking strikeouts? Yeah, he only had two. He had a rough game. Welcome to the majors, buddy. You're gonna have rough games. Uh who both teams are good. We don't want to take I guess we could look at strikeouts versus the Dodgers. 9.1 on the road. That is bottom like seven or eight overall if you go ranking wise probably. So he is at home. That could be something to look at. We could And it was a road game. He sucked. Uh he did good there. Home against Pittsburgh. team was great. St. Louis strikeouts 5 and a half on a What's your average? Your average is currently a 525. Nope. Mhm. Not touching that on a plus 125. No. Even if it was four and a half, I wouldn't touch it. So, no. Kershaw. Uh, yeah. Let's go matchups. Let's go look. Obviously, Dodgers never faced a rookie. Dodgers versus righties. Milwaukee vers lefties. Kershaw versus Milwaukee. Anybody yell it? 286, 14 at bats, two homers, and a 1.1 Os. That's pretty good. Pretty good stuff. Contras has a 429 out of the home run as well. So to the bats. Let's see. I'm not doing the bats every day. Just today because we're doing home run stuff. So uh Dodge brew crew. We can see it's a lot of green. Will Smith Jurio Conforto Smith. Yellow. Look who's first. The guy we just pointed out. Mr. Yellow. He is on fire. How on fire is the man? The man is Well, yeah. He's He's hot. He's so hot. I actually might just take him as the play and then put him in the home run, too, because damn. What's your home runs in the last 10 games? Three. I
Like that. I can work with that. I might take Christian here because you were the one. Aren't you the one? You were the one. Yeah, because you have It's only a 286. I know is kind of low. He's got two home runs. So, and he is against Kershaw. So, I mean, that's that's not good really. Let's let's do the math. 286 is not good. He's got a couple home runs. We'll leave him off. He has been hot recently, so you could take him if you want. I 2.2 and a 1.5. I like a 25 or higher. I'm going to leave him off. I'm going to leave him off. Blatty, why are you still here? Go away. To the point where I don't like this game. I passed on it yesterday for a reason. I'm going to do the same thing today. We're going to pass. I don't like anything this one. Move on. Next.
Moving ahead to St. Louis in Washington. The newly um I know they played yesterday, but they fired like their general manager and their like their uh managers like, "Okay, ownership. Good job. Just pulling a Colorado Pittsburgh." Yo, we can't do anything. Well, you got to spend some money. Well, she has spent money before. At one point, like a couple years ago, they were fifth in payroll or something crazy like that. So, they will spend money unlike the other teams. So, I don't know. Weird. Weird. They They have offense. Their offense has been pretty good. Their pitching is just dreadful. I don't know why they're so bad. So, uh, there it is. Currently, it's 190 St. Louis with a eight and a half total. And then you got the whole in sports whenever you have a leadership change. You got to see how the team reacts. I mean, look at uh Pittsburgh, for example. They got rid of their manager. All a sudden, they had started last 40 games, they've been like 50/50. So, hey, good stuff. Uh, who knows what's going to happen. We come over to look at the sheets. We see our numbers and they're talking about their offense. There they are. Pretty good. St. Louis struggling offensively. So do with that what you will.
I come over here to the props and let's load them up. Let's see. I'm leaning Washington plus one and a half or minus 120. Absolutely. So far if the pitching makes sense because it's Washington's pitching every time. If they can't do anything where there it is. I'm blind. Uh Jake Irvin. Okay. He's going to give up eight earn runs, but they're going to leave him in probably because that's what they do cuz they they don't give Well, now who knows, but before they didn't give it to him. Sunny Gray is pitching. Neither. They're both 11th to strike out, so I don't care about that. Earn runs. Uh, see eight eight three. He has a four average against St. Louis who can't hit the damn ball. There's 26 in average, 26 in hits, 27th in ribbies, and 27th in runs. Sunny Gray 64. He either gives up a good bit or none. Nothing in between. No twos and threes, just six or zero. 2.2 average overall. Four as a 66 or 64 or whatever that number is. Math. I ain't trying to do no math. Uh, we got a 85 currently. Uh, we go look at the matchups. Let's go look. Sunny Gray versus Washington. Historically, we got some green on there. 300 averaging 20 bats. It's actually pretty decent, but only a 633. Damn, that is literally nothing to show for it. That is all singles. Uh, we got a home run for Garcia, 1.5, and five rubies and eight bats. Not bad. We got a home run for Ruiz. Little bit of something. Washington versies. St. Louis versies. Irvin vers St. Louis. And home run home run for Burlson and Contraras and that's it and I lean Washington but I just I don't trust Jake Irvin to pitch because look at that now will they leave will they take him like headtohead how's he do he had one game last season against him this season he's 3.0 on the se I don't I can't trust Washington but then again St. Lewis can't do anything with the bats. I've hit Washington plus one and a half multiple times, too.
You know what? I'm going to go with all. You got to be able to score to win games. Ask Pittsburgh. Ask Paul Skins. He knows all about that. So, I'm going to trust a team that can actually score. So, we're going to take Washington plus one and a half. Then, I'm going to show you the line. It's right here. One and a half or buck 20. That's what I'm going to go for. We're going to go Washington plus one and a half next. Okay. Moving on to the one I've been wanting to talk about. Cleveland and Houston. As everyone knows yesterday, uh I was very adamant in the video talking about what do they know? This line was ultra fishy for a reason. And cle I said Cleveland when their offense hangs around 30, you know, they're going to pop eventually. They pop yesterday and I mean pop is anything over like three or four runs. They got like what seven, six, whatever it was. That's a pop for them. Good stuff. The trend I want to see is because I've noticed this over a few teams in the past month or two is like take Kansas City for example. We know they tend to hang out in the 30 range a good bit. They've done it multiple times. And what do they do? They hang out there and they don't just climb from 28 to 27. No, they shoot up. I think Cleveland's going to try to do the same thing. That's just what teams seem to do for some reason. It's like they can't can't can't and all a sudden bang, they figure it out. So, uh, then we got because again, everything screams Houston again so far on the bats. What's the line? See, now this line makes more sense today. This line makes a lot more sense today. 210 with a one and a half at plus 110. That makes sense, right? Okay. I'll probably take Houston today. So far, I still think Cleveland's going to score some runs, but I think Houston's going to score runs, too. But we got to look at pitching to make sure solidify what we're thinking. So, let's go over here. Load them up. Cleveland. Houston. It's Hunter Brown day, too. Absolutely. Hunter Brown strikeouts. Uh, Cleveland's 11 strikeouts. They're getting better, so I don't want to trust that. But Joey can't tell at strikeouts. Damn. Houston's number one in strikeouts. Did you know that? I didn't know that. 6.1. Damn, they're ahead of Toronto. That's weird, but hey, whatever. So, let's look at this is going to be straight up earn. They're both at 1.5 earned runs, so we're not looking at over, that's for sure. Yeah, 1.5 1.5. He has a 1.2 average in his last five games. He has a one a one average in Well, he's only played in one game this season. Hold up now. We can't count last year. We want 2025. And all we have is this, a zero in three innings. So, see now I I feel good about taking Houston. Does that make sense? I still think Cleveland might be able to get a few runs, but then I see his Hunter Brown. So, maybe I have to wait a day. So, I don't know because Hunter Brown's good. Hunter Brown's like one of like five dudes that have like uh an ERA under he has the best RRA like 18 or something crazy like that. Uh and act. Yeah. So amazing. It's like one of five dudes under a 225 RA. I saw it on TikTok. I don't know. I can't remember. Uh but yeah, amazing. So I match up Brown Cleveland history. Look at all the zeros. Look at all the zeros. And then we got like a one for four. Yeah. Two for five. Good job. Uh Cleveland versus righties. There you go. Houston versus lefties. There you go. And Kento versus Houston. There you go. So yeah. Um I'm going to trust Hunter Brown. I'm going to trust the bats. Uh Hunter Brown special. He's the best RA for a reason. Now I will go Houston in the Mland Parley. I'm going right back to it today. Yes. Now it makes sense. KC makes sense. Boston makes sense. Um the play though, what do we take? Do I tell you? I'm I'm damn temp take Houston one and a half. Where they at? Right here. I'm I'm Hell if you can see it. Uh right here. I'm damn tempted to take this. Seven as our total. That makes sense with these two pictures. I might take Houston anyways. So uh let's go look at the bats, too, just to make sure we cover all bases here because I want to make sure you have everything. I didn't even look at Washington St. Louis. Here's them because I skipped them. There you go. Josh Bell. That might be a that'll be a popular pick today, too, I bet. And then we got uh Astros. And yep, there you go. There are your Damn, it's a lot of dudes. Everybody's hit the ball. That's That's intriguing. That makes me not want to take an under. Absolutely. When everybody's hitting the ball like that, not a chance. So, I'm putting Houston in there. Uh Houston, I'm I'm going to rock with it. What can I take by Hunter Brown? I want to take something. I feel like Hunter Brown is the way to go here, but then again, Cleveland popped. Uh, let's go with there's multiple things I could go with here. I'm just a little little torn on what to do overall. Uh, it's not strikeouts. I don't trust I don't want to take it under one and a half earn run. That just feels too low. Two and a half. Sure, but one and a half. It is 115, but you know what? Let's just do this. We're going to go back to the sheet. We see the numbers. We trust the offenses. Cleveland's rolling somebody who's only pitched one game, which means they're probably going to roll a bullpin after that for like three or four innings and then heavy bullpen. I'm going Houston one and a half today. Yep. I'm going to trust the uh the line movement and everything. Movement, whatever. Line placement. We'll call that. We're going to trust Houston 115. 115 110 plus today. We'll take that next.
All right, let's move on from Houston. We're going to Los Angeles versus Texas. Now, I'm not What? Yeah, I took Gro yesterday. He just [ __ ] the bed. He didn't do well for us. Uh couldn't get strikeouts, just no control yesterday really. Uh today though, we have Texas 115 favorite on the road with the eight total. We come to those sheets and we see everything's about the same. Close, tied, close, close. No advantages, no real streaks to worry about. So nothing offensively in this one. We go look at the pictures in this one. Get rid of you. Get rid of you. Load up you. Change you to you. And we see it is Soraniano versus Evaldi. Evaldi's back. How did Evaldi do in his first game? I cannot remember. So, we're going to go find out. First thing we see is Soriano. Strikeouts are green. I mean I mean Texas strikes out a bunch. So does LA. Valdi strikeouts might be a play too. Let's look at both their strikeouts. Let's do earn runs first. So those earn runs now. He's only pitched in well he's pitching two games since he's been back. Two and one earn runs. Pretty good strikeouts. 52 two. Oh man, he is just But then before that Yeah. So, Seattle 2, but that was your first game back, so I can't really hold that against you. Head-to-head, you had five. Oh, man. Man. All right, Soraniano. That's earn runs. I want I want earn runs. Yep. Two average. He's been pretty good outside this one. Eight spot to Washington randomly. Uh, all right. Ser, you look amazing outside that one game. Strikeouts. The hell? 12 610 four. I bet the four, I believe. and seven. Yeah, 78 on a four five over four and a half against Texas, who is sitting on a 24 spot at nine in the last 10. I I think I just got to take that. I mean, I like it all day and all, but damn, I just got to trust Soraniano. How's he been doing all season? Uh five on the average. Last 10, he's at 54. Some games he struggled, but recently he figured out what he's doing. Man, dude, I got to He struck out tenning as Houston. Houston's first in strikeouts. That tells you if he's on it, he is on it. I almost want to light watch the first inning and then live bet how his strikeouts are going to look. Does that make sense? That might be the better way to do it, but I can't do that in these videos. So, I'm just going to trust the strikeout prop. Let me go ahead and just throw that on here because that's probably what I'm saying. Seriana over 4.5 kills. Let's go back up and look at matchups and read versus Texas. Historically, Seagar has a four for five with one home run and a 2.2 OPS. Cory could be your play today. Could be. Uh we'll take a look in a second. Texans versies, Angels versies, Elvaldi vers Angels. And you can see your numbers. Look at the numbers. Odon one. Damn. Trout. Trout. What are you doing? It's not good. Uh, Rafingo, not good. One for 10. Damn. Uh, let's look. Uh, where is it? This one. Yeah. And we loaded up Rangers Angels. And we see there's your last five. Who's been doing good? Oh, wingo. Garcia. There's Seager again. Pretty good. We We actually look at him now. so good cuz he's popped up in the history and now he's popping up over here. So, let's see what he's doing last 10 HR wise. Uh 3.1 dude's crushing home runs. Welcome to my home run list, good sir. So far, I got Wit, Springer, Sager, and Springer could be removed. I'm taking Bobby and and Cory, though. These two look great. I like the I like the Yeah, absolutely. To the point, do I even want to take Soran? I like to take him. Jesus. like like Yeah, I like the Soriano strikeouts, but damn, I like this better. I think I like this better. Uh yeah, let's go. Let's go. What's What's the odds on Sor Strikeouts? 135. You know what? This is my damn page. I can do what I want. I'm going to take them both because I can. But then I already got him in the home run. But you know what? Sometimes you got to do what you got to do, right? So, we're going to um we're going to insert a row. We're going to copy this game. And then we're going to paste. And we're going to put Seag on both. I like both plays that much. Over. So I like Soriana strikeouts because of the numbers. And then I absolutely like me some I mean I like I love this. Yeah. Over 1.5 HR. Give me that. I'm taking both plays in this game. I'm not taking a money line and I'm going to put Seager in the home run. My three dudes so far. So far my three are Wit Springer Sager. That's my play. Next.
Man, this is fun. Trying to figure out who's going to hit home runs and try to do bets. Uh San Diego, Arizona. I skipped on this bad boy yesterday because it is an ugly game. Too much red and yellow for one screen for me, but hey, whatever. 120 San Diego, 7 and a half total. This is why you see it. Ain't nothing ain't nothing here for me. Ain't nothing here. Maybe a strikeout prop against Arizona for San Diego. I don't know, but let's go find out. Let's get rid of you. Get rid of you. Change you to you. Simple. Bang. Mel strikeouts against San Diego. San Diego's 10th of strikeout, so that's going to be a no. Uh we will look at runs. Paveta strikeouts versus Arizona. Paveta, you don't really strike me. Ha, pun. As a strikeout, dude, but we'll look at it anyway cuz Arizona does strike out a good bit. I lie, forgive me, but it's only a 6-2 cuz you are either hit or miss. Now, Casey doesn't strike out much. We know that. Dodgers are all over the damn place. You did face Arizona literally on the 15th and struck out nine dudes. So, that is absolutely could be a play headto head one time. All right, Pavetta. All right, Pavetta. I see you. I see you because I take Pavetta. I mix it with a little bit of Arizona on the road at 8.9 last 10. That counts. That looks like a win to me. I don't know about you, that looks like a win. Let's look at matchups. And we go Pavetta versus Arizona. Look at the red. He owns the Diamondbacks. CEO, CFO, he owns them. It doesn't matter. That is Nick Paveta against Arizona. My god. Even though Suarez does have two home runs and 14 at bats, he's the only one doing anything. Ries vers Arizona. There you go. San Diego verse. Yep. And then Melo Kelly vers San Diego. Uh Cronworth has two home runs but only a buck 92 and 26 at bats. But that's not good. Uh Az has a 364 but nothing to show for it. Anything else? Oh. Oh my god. Goodbye Springer. Let me let me welcome Fernando Tatis to my list. 28 at bats. Can you see it? 357. Four home runs. 1.2 OPS with six ribbies. Uh Tatis, you're going on my list, buddy. I'm getting rid of Springer in regards for Tatis. So now it's Bobby Wit, Cory Seager, and Mr. Tatis. That's my three dudes. That's my three so far. It's going to be hard to beat them three. I'm going tell you right now cuz that's amazing. Uh to the point, we got to look. We got to look. Hold up. Let's go look. Let's make sure he's on fire. This bee's on fire. That's even better. Tatis, please show up. Oh no. Oh no. I'm blind. He's right there. I gota too fast. Too much coffee. Oh, Tatis. Tatis. Tatis. Tatis. Yeah. 1.8. How many home runs, buddy? None. I don't know about that. So, Springer has five home runs in the last 10 games. You have zero, but you destroy home runs against somebody. So, this feels like the the do theory because some people love that theory like, "Oh, well, they're due to hit one." Well, yeah, he's not hit one in 10 games. Uh, hell, in 20 games, he's only hit in two two of the 10 right there. It tells you the numbers. So headtohead three last whole season. Oh, look at that. That's a big old gap. I don't know. This might be the day to take him. It's It's going to be him Springer now. I think I got to go with the history overall. Some dudes just love facing certain dudes. And you could tell Tatis loves facing Mel Kelly. So to the point where I think my play is going to be not I'm I'm going to keep him in because that's that's nasty. I like that. I'm gonna take Pavetta strikeouts as my play though. So, Pavetta over 5.5ks as my actual play for the game. Um, yeah, that's what I'm going to go for. No money line play. Paveta strikeouts. Tatis in the home runs. Yeah, we'll do that next.
Two more games to go. San Fran Philly. Now, we took Sanchez strikeouts yesterday. That was beautiful. That hit for us. Thank you, Mr. Sanchez. Uh today though we have San Fran 150. They are favored by a good bit over Philly with a seven and a half. Is it a bullpen game for Philly? What what are we what are we doing? Let's find out why. Let's take a look. Uh it is going to be Robbie Ray versus TJ Walker. All right. Um why is San Fran favored? Because when I see that I look over here, I'm go what? Why? Philadelphia's bats are better statistically. Not not crazy better, but they're better. Three-game winning streak. All right. Um, what Santa Fe is 21st a hit. So, we're not really caring about that. Ray earned runs uh hits. I What? This is This is confusing. This is one of the confusing ones. We got to kind of look at and figure out what we're doing. Just probably passing. But hey, earned runs for Ray last five 2.2. Uh, Walker earned runs. Uh, 2.2. They're tied. Uh-oh. And we go Ray history versus Philly. We got Oh my god. Bryce Harper has a five. It's only seven at bats, so pump the brakes, but it's 571, two home runs, four rubies, and a 2.2. Not good enough to make my top three. Like Springer's fourth, you're you you might be fifth. Harper might be fifth on my list. So, uh, lefties for Philly. There you go. San Fran versus righties and Walker versus San. Uh, has a four for four out of eight, two home runs. So, same situation, just one extra bat. So, there's a couple dudes you could take here. So, but for real, for real, I don't like this one. I don't like the game. Let me swap it over to the bats. Show you the bats, too, before we dip because I'm dipping on this one. There you go. Oh, look. There you There you go. There's your stuff. So, I don't like this one. I'm going to bounce next.
All right. Last game. We got Atlanta and the A's. The Sacramento
Athletics. Yes. Atlanta, 115 road favorite. Uh, that's the name of the jersey. That's all that is, with the what is that? 10 and a half total spreadsheet. We see—Hope I put the right game up. There's the right game. Look at all the A's on the screen. So many A's. But yeah, look at Atlanta. Just not good. Got their favorite. That's just straight name branding. That's all that is.
So, let's go look at pitching and see what we got cooking over here. Load them up, and we see that's bats. Damn. Damn. Too much stuff to look at. Load it up here. Here we go. Uh, Springs versus uh, Fuentes. Dier diddier. Did he do it? Did that. Yeah, you know who it is. That guy. So, let's look at the earned runs for you. We will look at Springs' earned runs. Uh, this game is kind of ass. Let's keep it real. This whole this series is going to get skipped a lot. I'm going to tell you right now. Uh, 2025, and who's pitched in three games. 462 against Angels. Not bad. And we come up here. We see Springs. Pretty decent last one. I'd be damned if I take the A's again. Nuh-uh. Not doing it again. Springs' history versus nothing standing out. Braves versus lefties. Not much out there. A's versus righties. Fuentes. Never faced them.
So, this game is ass. I'm going to keep it real simple. Let me show you the sheets. See, we got we got ProFar. That's it. There's nothing here. So, let's just—let me show you the sheet one more time. There's the sheet. You have fun with it. If you're going to play it, I'm not—I'm going to be sleeping. So, I ain't staying up with this nonsense. So, that's cool. That's cool. Absolutely. For sure. Uh, so that's it. That's all the plays. That gives me one, two, three, four, five, six passes on a 15-game slay. One game. I did take two plays. I do have a money line parlay. Uh, I don't have to go back through it because I already have it. So, Boston, KC, Houston. And some people are like, KC, like, hey, I'm following a trend. We're going with trends here. Houston. Yeah, we're going for it, too. Will uh uh 100 Browns pitching. So, yeah, obviously worth. Absolutely worth. So, let me do this and then do this. And yeah, there we go. Let me go to the spreadsheet schedule. Bang.
So, that's it. Now, my three dudes for home runs: Whit, Corsair, Tatis. Those are my three. There were a couple of honorable mentions like Springer or Bryce Harper or Adam. There's a few in there you could also take, but those are the three I'm taking. If you want to copy it, copy it, whatever. Bake your own because remember, uh, let me go back to this. Boop to this. This is the challenge. Drop them in the comments. That's all you got to do. Three dudes. They don't have to be a parlay. Just give me three dudes. Just three. If you give me more, I'm only taking the first three. So don't don't try to cheat it. And I got time stamps. I know when you comment. So you can't just wait till the game's already started, then comment. Mm-No, I can see all that. So uh yeah. So if you if you go three and 0, three entries in a Friday. If you go one and two, you get an entry. If you go 0 and three, sorry, come back tomorrow. So whatever. Uh, there you go. That's it. Let me go to the schedule. I appreciate being here. Tomorrow is when the NEZ day. Look at all the beautiful games. A lot of day games. Good stuff. Uh, drop a like, subscribe. You got to subscribe to the channel if you're going to enter the contest. Obviously, that's how it works. Uh, check out the HQ if you want the place tied out in a nice list. Or if you want access to the spreadsheets, check out Outlier to go get you a free week. How many times I got to say it? It's free. Who doesn't like free? So, there you go. Uh, let me know what you're playing outside of that. Let me know if you have any—if I miss something. Let me know because I miss things. I'm not perfect. So, other than that, I will see you tomorrow on Wednesday for more MLB. Peace.