Transcription
Cancel the sanctions because the sanctions made Iran unable to trade with anyone. Insisting that developing a nuclear program is a legitimate right of Iran, not related to nuclear weapons. Iran is theirs like this, they have a governing system like this, let them be. Each side must respect each other's rights. This agreement leads to the stage of the UN Security Council to certify as a witness that they agreed like this. Let's try to go through them now and have Mr. Tanong, uh, help analyze who gained and who lost, and why America conceded this much. The first point, uh, is about stopping or ending the war on all fronts, all sides, including in Lebanon, uh, it must stop permanently and stop immediately too.
>> Hmm, this is the problem that made them unable to agree because Donald Trump himself could not control Benjamin Netanyahu. >> Yes. >> One of the important conditions for the ceasefire between the United States and Iran is that there must be a ceasefire in Lebanon as well, because Israel took advantage of the chaotic situation to send troops to invade southern Lebanon, hoping to seize the territory of southern Lebanon according to the ideology or the grand plan of creating Greater Israel, as we discussed, uh. And Israel even went so far as to bomb >> Beirut as well, uh, and harm, uh, in Lebanon, that is one of the strongholds that Iran has built, which is the Hezbollah militant group. It is not the national military force of Lebanon, but it is a force that Iran supports, uh, but they share the same religion and the same ideology, which is to oppose Israel and oppose the United States, or oppose the colonial state itself. And Netanyahu did not agree, and there were reports, uh, during the, uh, arguments between Donald Trump >> and Netanyahu, uh, they even cursed each other on the phone, uh. Trump even >> used the word Benjamin Netanyahu, he used the word, uh, >> f-wit, >> uh, idiot, uh, stupid, something like that, meaning, "Don't you know?" something like that. Negotiations were going well, then he went back and bombed >> uh, Lebanon. And Iran accused Trump of being insincere. Why? Because the Israeli army, uh, in any war, must rely on the United States. >> Uh, whether it's about weapons, whether it's about information, >> Yes. >> Intelligence, right, uh? >> Communication equipment and all sorts of things. Simply put, the US military must be involved together, uh, simply put, side by side, uh, in waging war. This shows that Donald Trump was turning a blind eye, uh, >> winking, saying one thing but winking, letting Benjamin Netanyahu, uh, go and attack Lebanon like that. That shows he was not sincere at all. This is one of the obstacles that made Trump very angry because he wanted to close it quickly, uh. And another thing is the war in the Gaza Strip as well, which Israel is still pushing forward, uh, called genocide, uh, or ethnic cleansing in there. Now, this is what Iran demanded from the United States, to stop Israel. But now Israel is like a mad dog right now, uh, talking nonsense and not under Trump's control. Moreover, Benjamin Netanyahu might even be controlling Trump. So, it's quite complicated, uh, on this issue, uh, point 1.
Yes, point 1, uh. As for point 2, uh, in the agreement, it is that the United States confirms it will not interfere in Iran's internal affairs and will accept Iran's sovereignty as well. >> Uh, this point is also important because the goal of the United States during the war with Iran was what? Regime change. >> Regime change means overthrowing the rule of Ayatollah, uh, overthrowing the religious rule, >> and supporting the opposition to come to power using Western democratic models, something like that, uh, interfering. Therefore, Iran, uh, says no interference, uh, and must accept Iran as theirs like this. They live their lives like this, they have a governing system like this, they have their religion like this, so let them be. Each side must respect >> each other's rights, uh.
Hmm, yes, as for point 3, uh, the United States will lift all blockades of the Gulf within 30 days. >> Uh, just now Khun Nongdee also reported, uh, last Monday, Donald Trump ordered to stop blocking >> not to block, uh. >> The US probably has a navy around here, uh, just enough for Hormuz, right, uh? When it comes out, it's said to be blocked, but it probably can't be blocked because, oh wow, the area is vast, and how much money must be spent each day? >> Uh. >> How many warships must be used to control it? How many fighter jets for reconnaissance? How many helicopters? Oh wow, the expenses are enormous, immense. Since the war has been going on for over 3 months, uh, the United States reported spending over 40,000 million dollars on the war. >> Just think about it. >> Yes, and they also requested approval for an additional 200 million dollars in emergency funds from Congress, uh, to spend. >> Yes. >> So, this part is canceled, which is, uh, considered positive news or a direction of progress, uh. Yes, as for point 4, the United States will withdraw troops from areas around Iran.
>> Oh wow, this is not an ordinary matter. This is Iran. >> The United States, uh, has established >> Hmm. >> Uh, uh, military bases, yes. >> Uh. >> To completely encircle Iran and to protect Israel, uh. These are the main areas, uh. The largest base is the Navy. >> The naval base of the 5th Fleet, right? >> Yes. >> The 5th region, right? >> Hmm. >> In Bahrain, and in Kuwait, and in Qatar, uh, and in the UAE. These are the main ones that Iran wants withdrawn, including the main airport, uh, the main military base of the United States in Saudi Arabia. >> Hmm. >> These are the main ones that Iran said to withdraw. >> Yes. >> Whether they will withdraw or not, this is a huge issue. But if they don't withdraw, most operations will be almost impossible because in the past war, Iran also bombed. >> Uh. >> Oh wow, the most severely damaged was in Jordan, uh. >> Yes. >> The Jordanian airport where the United States parked F35 aircraft, uh. >> Uh, yes. >> Dozens of planes, uh. Iran's latest bombing in the past week, uh, damaged I don't know how many planes, uh. Oh wow, it was undefendable, a lot of damage. >> And this number is kept secret. >> Now, will Trump agree to this point? I think this is a delicate matter. >> Hmm. >> If the United States agrees to withdraw its military bases from this region, oh wow, >> where will they put their face? >> Uh, and what it means, and importantly, the balance of power in this world will completely change, uh. Iran will rise to become a major power in this region. And don't forget, President Raisi of Iran has also called for it, saying it's time for Muslims not to be divided, splitting into this faction and that faction. They should truly unite, uh. Right now, they are uniting, loosely uniting, uh, and there are major powers coming in to >> interfere. >> Hmm, yes.
Yes, uh, we've gone through 4 points, and Iran gains everything, uh, if it goes according to this, uh. Let's look at point 5, uh, it's about the Strait of Hormuz. Open the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days, underlined, meaning under Iran's management as well. >> Uh, we already discussed this, uh, that Iran might agree, uh, for 30 days. >> But it might be free at first, like a promotion, uh, marketing, uh, free. You come to eat at my restaurant, uh, whoever wants to order anything can order for free, but after that, they will collect money, collect fees, uh.
Uh, yes, point 6 is to lift sanctions on Iranian oil and petrochemical products, and Iran must be able to collect all money from selling oil, uh. >> Oh, this is also a big deal, uh, having been sanctioned for a long time. >> Especially the Thai government should pay close attention, right? >> Hmm. >> Because Iranian oil is ready to be sold to us at a cheap price. Right now, we are lacking cheap oil. >> If we were the Thai government, point 6 would be the most important. >> Uh-huh. >> Because in the past, we couldn't buy oil from Iran because anyone who bought it and opened an account to make an invoice, that financial institution, that company, would be blacklisted immediately. >> Uh. >> But now, if it's like this, if it can be sold freely, uh, >> Oh, hmm. >> Thai companies, Thai oil companies, or the Thai government itself, if we lack oil, we can buy oil or oil products, uh, related to petrochemicals and all sorts of things, uh, >> from Iran, and there will be no shortage. Point 6 is important. >> Hmm. >> Which is highly likely, uh, that one of the most important MO agreements that Iran wants is the lifting of sanctions, because sanctions made Iran unable to trade with anyone. They have oil, they have goods, but they can't sell them because the buying countries don't dare to buy, because if they buy, they will be sanctioned, sanctioned by America. Therefore, point 6, uh, >> is very, very important. We have to see if it will really happen or not. >> Let's wait and see.
Ah, yes, uh, if it's really like this, Iran gains again, uh. As for point 7, uh, this is also interesting, uh, because the person who spoke the information is J.D. Vance himself, uh. The reconstruction of Iran's economy is worth, uh, 300,000 million US dollars. >> Hmm, this is the >> reconstruction fund, >> the fund to restore >> Iran's economy, which was severely damaged during the past war and also before the war, because Iran has been isolated by sanctions for 50 years, uh, almost 50 full years, uh, from the West, which coveted Iran's oil, wanted to occupy it, wanted to get concessions. Iran did not agree. >> So there was an export of revolutions, coups, something like that, uh, isolating Iran, making Iran have to change its governing system since 1979 >> to protect its own natural resources >> Uh. >> from falling into the hands of the West. Don't forget, Iran is one of the countries with the largest energy reserves in the world, top 5, in fact. Whoever gets concessions for Iran's oil, oh wow, is considered wealthy, uh. Now, >> after the war over the past 3 months, oh wow, Iran was severely damaged. How many schools, uh, were destroyed? Uh. >> Hospitals, uh, yes. >> Bridges, infrastructure, and all sorts of things. >> Uh. >> Uh, there are refineries, uh, and military facilities, uh, military amenities or whatever, were destroyed a lot, heavily damaged. >> Now Iran says, "We were just minding our own business. You started the war. You attacked us first, uh, >> by claiming, uh, somewhat indirectly, that Iran, uh, >> would produce nuclear weapons and be a threat to the region," which Iran did not have such a plan. >> Now, where will this 300,000 million come from? >> Hmm. >> Uh, J.D. Vance didn't say clearly, right? >> Uh, and will Donald Trump pay out of his own pocket? >> If Donald Trump pays out of his own pocket, he definitely won't survive, uh, because, uh, the American people won't agree because the American people say that before this, the Strait of Hormuz was already open freely, right? We didn't have any reason to go to war. >> Yes. >> And then when we went to war, oil prices rose, became more expensive, there was an oil shortage. >> Inflation went up, and now we still have to >> pay? >> Pay another 300,000 million? >> Uh, there are reports that this money might come from the GF States, uh. >> A group of countries in Asia >> that pooled their money, and the details are unknown. >> Hmm. >> Is it a grant or is it development aid with interest? How is the interest calculated? We don't have that. >> Most of the money, uh, should come from >> the group of countries, >> the Gulf countries, >> uh, the countries in the Persian Gulf, which >> are already ready to give, uh, to restore Iran's economy. If Iran gets this point, oh wow, >> it's extraordinary. >> Yes, uh, but it seems Trump recently said that J.D. Vance, uh, released fake news, uh, about the 300,000 million, uh. But some people also noted that, uh, uh, they didn't call it war reparations. >> Uh, not war reparations. >> Uh, no, it's not paying for the cost of war and losses, but it's for the restoration, uh, of Iran's economy, uh. This point is also interesting, uh, because it's a figure of 300,000 million dollars, uh, indeed, uh.
Uh, yes, next, uh, it's about saying that within 60 days, they will negotiate to end the nuclear issue, uh, and the lifting of all types of sanctions, including UN resolutions and international nuclear organizations as well. >> Hmm, point 8 is also interesting. Iran has always said, uh, insisting that the development of a nuclear program is a legitimate right of Iran. Every country has the right. Thailand, we also have the right, right? >> Well, every country, if it's a project developed for peaceful energy purposes and not related to nuclear weapons, then why prohibit >> Uh-huh, Iran from >> developing nuclear matters? Now Iran says that the nuclear issue, uh, >> Yes. >> Put it aside first. >> Yes. >> Postpone it first. Sign the MOU, get everything okay first, uh. Once everything is okay, after that, >> then we'll talk about nuclear issues. >> Uh, after 60 days, I think, or 30 days, I can't remember, uh. >> Then we'll discuss the nuclear issue, what the details will be, uh. >> Uh, which in reality, Iran has followed the rules and regulations of the UN resolutions and international nuclear organizations, uh, because they allow inspections all the time, right? >> Hmm. >> But the officials of that international nuclear organization were mischievous and gave this information to >> Israel, gave it to America, so they knew that Iran, uh, >> what was happening and where it was, and that's why there was bombing, remember? >> The bombing during >> the 12-day war in June. >> Yes, uh, last year, uh, last year, Donald Trump ordered the bombing because he wanted to destroy Iran's nuclear development center, uh, which was underground, but it could not be destroyed. Now Iran says, >> "No, we won't discuss this at this time." >> Uh. >> "Let's agree on everything else first, lift sanctions first, lift the blockade first, pay the money first, and after that, we'll talk about nuclear issues," uh.
Hmm, yes, uh, next is point 9. Iran confirms its commitment under the international nuclear agreement not to build nuclear bombs. >> Uh, this is something Iran will agree to. >> Agree, uh. As soon as this point was mentioned, Trump, uh, won, right? >> Hmm. >> Because he doesn't want Iran to build nuclear bombs, which Iran isn't building anyway. >> Because Iran already had an agreement with Obama, right, uh? >> That it would not develop nuclear weapons, and under that agreement, oh wow, it was very strict. There would be international teams coming to inspect continuously, something like that. Iran would enrich >> uranium only to a certain level, uh, to develop nuclear power for energy, uh, not for weapons anyway. But Trump was the one who tore it up himself, and now Trump wants an agreement that will go back to what Obama agreed with Iran before that, which is funny, but nevertheless, uh. Previously, there was an interesting report from Larry Johnson, a former CIA analyst, who revealed himself, uh, saying that one thing that made the United States agree, or hearing the news, almost made them fall over, >> Yes. >> is that Pakistan, uh, I think it was the Prime Minister or the Supreme Commander of Pakistan, I can't remember, told Makorob, uh, that Iran now has nuclear weapons in its hands. >> Hmm. >> Is this it, uh, that >> Uh, they have to agree, right? >> All of this changed the equation, uh. >> Uh. And within Iran, they themselves talk about nuclear weapons existing, meaning they don't necessarily have to develop them, they can buy them. >> They can buy them. >> They can use others' too, right, uh? And we know >> that a very good neighbor, >> Yes. >> and ready, uh, to >> receive money from Iran, ready to supply, is Pakistan itself, remember? >> Uh. >> The, >> uh, ministerial level of Pakistan once announced that if Israel uses nuclear weapons against Iran, >> Uh. >> Pakistan will use nuclear weapons to bomb Israel. Therefore, this matter is a >> delicate one, uh, Iran. Therefore, uh, >> Iran confirms under the nuclear agreement that it will not build nuclear bombs. >> Yes. >> But it doesn't prohibit buying nuclear weapons, or if a neighbor or a kind friend gives them. >> Yes. >> They wouldn't refuse the kindness. >> They might not refuse the kindness, uh. >> Meaning they can't develop, but they can buy. Uh, it's not in the agreement, right, uh? Yes, as for point 10, uh, it says that within 60 days, the United States will not increase military forces in the region and will not impose additional sanctions either.
>> Hmm, agreeing completely, uh, uh. >> Point 11, this is also important, uh, it's about money, uh. They will immediately unfreeze Iran's money, 12,000 million dollars, before the 60-day negotiation, and another 12,000 million within the 60-day negotiation, totaling 24,000 million that Iran will get back its own money. >> Yes. >> Hmm. >> The United States itself, uh, reneged on Iran, a sum of money during the time of the Shah. >> Hmm. >> That is, Iran ordered weapons from the United States, paid the money, but the goods had not yet arrived. Then there was a change of government, a revolution, right? >> Yes. >> In 1979, it turned out that the United States canceled the delivery of weapons to Iran and reneged, refusing to return the money. I don't remember how much that amount was, but it was probably around >> 25,000 million, uh. And Scott Bessent previously spoke very arrogantly, >> saying that in the past, he had frozen over a thousand million in crypto money in Iran's accounts. Oh wow, this is clearly robbery, uh. >> Yes. >> Therefore, the figure they are talking about now, 25,000 million or 24,000 million, right, uh? >> Which is currently frozen by the United States from Iran, is that before negotiations, they will send half first, 12,000 million. Once the MOU is negotiated, uh, >> they will pay another 12,000 million, which is Iran's legitimate money. >> That was frozen, so it should be returned. Therefore, Iran clearly sees 2 sums of money, uh, which is this sum, >> Yes, yes. >> and another sum, uh, 300,000 million. Which, I don't think the 300,000 million will come all at once. I think it will come gradually, uh, in order to >> restore Iran's economy and allow Iran to return >> to the international stage in terms of trade and transactions, >> Uh. >> uh, international relations, something like that. >> Hmm. >> Yes, this is a big issue.
Yes. >> Yes, as for point 12, uh, there will be a mechanism to oversee the implementation of the agreement. >> Hmm, I can't imagine what this mechanism is, uh. >> Oh. >> Uh, they will have to set up a team. >> And as we know, it can be easily violated, uh. Okay, uh.
Yes, point 13. The final agreement must pass the United Nations Security Council. >> Uh, this is Iran's clear demand. Iran wants this agreement to be brought to the UN Security Council to be certified as a witness that they agreed like this, to have permanent peace. And if they renege again, the United States, if it reneges, uh, >> the United States is not reneging on Iran, uh, >> but reneging on the UN resolution, uh, or reneging on what it agreed to in the United Nations, because >> don't forget, America is also a leader, uh, in the Security Council, uh. >> Uh, this is >> wow, this point is a demand which is quite >> uh, Iran's ultimate demand, uh. Yes, as for point 14, finally, it says the 60-day negotiation will begin only when Iran has received 12,000 million US dollars, uh.
>> Uh, and the US has lifted oil sanctions. >> Uh, point 2. >> And lifted the Gulf blockade. >> Uh, it has happened, uh. >> Yes, uh, and the final negotiation, uh, will be limited specifically to the issue of enriched uranium. >> Uh, what grade it should be, uh, enrichment, uh. >> How many percent, uh? The high percentages, uh, can develop high destructive power for nuclear bombs. Low percentages, uh, are used for electricity generation, something like that, some say. Hmm, yes, the lifting of remaining sanctions and Iran's economic recovery project only, millions.
Uh, yes, as for missiles and supporting various militant groups, these will not be on the negotiation agenda. >> Oh wow, this, uh, this is Benjamin Netanyahu's agenda, uh. Benjamin Netanyahu, uh, told the United States, uh, this person, right, uh, >> to pressure Iran to prohibit 1. Prohibit having nuclear weapons. >> Yes. >> But can Israel have them? >> Yes, they can. They can do it themselves, others cannot. >> 2. Prohibit developing missiles with zero destructive power. There must be limitations and inspections. How many bombs are there? Open up and show us, uh. >> And Iran itself also provides support to militant groups, uh, >> which in English are called >> the Axis of Resistance, right, uh, of resistance, uh. >> Which consists of >> uh, Hezbollah militants, >> Yes. >> Houthi militants, >> Houthi, >> Houthi, uh, of Yemen, and also the Hamas group, which receive support from Iran. Israel itself wants to restrict, uh, tie the hands and feet, >> Yes. >> to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons and to prevent Iran from developing high-destructive missiles and all sorts of things, which must be under strict inspection >> by the United States, uh, and stop supporting various militant groups. This is one of the important topics that the C-4, uh, >> during the past negotiations, uh, during the negotiations between the United States and Iran, the United States was the one who set the framework, uh, laying down 4 points for Iran to negotiate, but now it has changed. >> Iran, in this negotiation, Iran presented 14 points. >> And let's see how many points Donald Trump will tick, uh. We don't know how many points yet, uh. >> But in the past, >> the C-4, right? >> Yes, uh, >> Jack Keane, who negotiated with Araghchi, uh, for I don't know how many rounds, the United States was the sole demanding party, uh. >> Uh-huh. >> That is, 1. Lift nuclear, right? 2. Stop developing missiles and supporting various forces, and then they couldn't agree because the United States was also violating Iran. But before this, Iran almost agreed to everything, uh. >> Almost completely retreated because Iran, >> that is, internally, there was quite a lot of pressure. Oh wow, it was isolated and sanctioned for 50 years. >> Yes, uh. >> The economy >> was not good, uh. The people wanted to, uh, breathe, and internal conflicts were high. Some said, "Just agree, uh, so we can open up the country, uh, compromise," but some things, uh, they wouldn't agree, uh, they were firm. There were reformist factions and various other factions. But this time, uh, >> Hmm. >> After the United States and Israel collaborated to assassinate Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, uh, who is the father of >> the current Ayatollah, uh, >> Vahdat, uh, the current person, it completely changed. >> Iran, from being divided, now, oh wow, has one unified power because they know it's a war for survival, >> uh, which must be fought to the end, so the division, uh, >> led to this point, which can be said that Iran has a strategic victory. >> Hmm. >> Strategic >> Yes. >> Victory. >> Yes. >> If the opposite term for America is Strategic Defeat, uh, >> Uh. >> Strategic defeat. >> Yes. >> Against Iran, which holds the upper hand, >> Uh-huh. >> from being able to control the game and close the Strait of Hormuz. That is the fatal point, >> or the important turning point >> of this conflict, uh. >> Uh-huh, yes.