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[Music] Hello friends, I hope you are well, that you are in good shape, that you are here. Perhaps very happy to see you again for this Bitcoin journal this Sunday, September 21, 2025, under unfortunately red crypto maps. Why are there two crypto maps, one on the left, one on the right? Because it's Sunday and we're going to do the weekly analysis too. We'll see if with the closing of the candle we'll have tonight at 2 AM, it changes anything in the long term. Has the long term for Bitcoin and Alcoins become bullish? Has it continued to push or has it become bearish? That's why every Sunday, we try to do a little long-term analysis. Tonight too, I'll be live as usual from 9 PM to 10 PM with $1000 to win, 10 vouchers of $100. Sent to your Bing account as usual, don't hesitate to come. You just need a Bingings account referred by Foufou d'amour. The link is in the description so you can long or short and become a millionaire.
So on the left, we have the performance of cryptos over the last 24 hours. Well, it's not a dream weekend, it's dragging, it's dragging, it's dragging, there's no volume. Well, since the institutional investors aren't here, things rarely happen on the weekend. Often, things happen on Sunday evening. Some say, "Come on, Sunday evening, there's no one left, everyone's going to bed, I can't have fun buying or selling anymore, moving the order books." Well, on the right here, we have the performance over the week. It's not very, very pretty. It's not a great week. Termo 4 XRP - 4. Well, it's not dramatic either, but it's a small, honest correction. Since the Fed lowered rates, we've had a few days unfortunately in the red.
So the altcoins in front of us on a weekly basis. For now, I don't think it's too bad. There's nothing telling us "Oh my God, the altcoins, that's it, they're going to fall back." No, no, on the contrary, the altcoins, look, they are in the process of crossing the zone of battle. So that's rather good news. So, can altcoins continue to push for a week, 2 weeks to reach the high here around $984 billion? Yes. So here, I have the Total 3 of altcoins for your information, where I've removed USDT, USDC. Many people asked me the question, "Foufi, I don't understand, I don't have the same billions as you." I took Total 3, I removed USDT and I removed USDC because stablecoins, I don't care, I'm getting rid of them. Well, and so for now, the altcoins, well, I find them rather good. Nothing tells us they're going to fall back.
So, just a small momentum pair here by the bulls. So to watch, but for 2 weeks it's coming back. The fact that they broke the upper zone, the, pardon me, the short reloading zone, I find that rather interesting. So, do altcoins have room here to continue pushing? Yes, clearly. Are there divergences? No. Are there signs of reversal? No. There's just the upper Bollinger band at $926 billion, which is there. If next week it breaks it, it's off to make a record. So altcoins are not too bad for the weekly. In any case, nothing tells us that they can all crash to the ground. For now, the daily, you have to be careful because the weekly tells us, "Well, listen, I can go in both directions. There isn't really a dominant direction." The daily, well, you still have to be a little careful. It's a bit worrying because we see that, well, the bulls are losing a lot of momentum, they're starting to really tire. But especially the structure, we have wave A, wave B here, this wave C. So when this regular will be validated, it will be the descent into hell. Okay. Now, when I say descent, it means it will have corrected strongly. It won't be very, very pretty, in short. Well, now it might not be over because we might have a small A, a small B, a small C here, it could go into a running to make a new high. Okay? So that's why even the weekly doesn't help us. The weekly tells us, "Well, listen, it can push or it can go down." Here, the weekly tells us nothing properly. On the other hand, the daily tells us it's a double but with a slight preference for a downward break because we have a small bullish channel and when we have impulse plus correction, it has more priority to have continuation.
Well, so if we see the altcoins falling, as long as they don't break $854 billion, we can still have the small A, the small B, the small C, even push, it could even be a complex running, between us. It could even be a wave A here, a new A. All of this could be a B to then have a C. For all of this, it's a big B of an A, of a B, of a C, you see, it can last. It can take its sweet time. It can last. In any case, as long as it doesn't break $854 billion, it can continue to push, to make new highs. So the weekly can make new highs. Now, when the day breaks $854 billion, the structure tells us, "Ah, it won't smell good. It will smell much more probable to have the nuclear descent.
At Bitcoin level, my love. Well, since it diverged, it was early August. It had 3 weeks of decline, 3 weeks of rise. For now, it's held back by its Ichimoku cloud, which is a big resistance at $115,000, rounded to $116,000. It's a bit complicated for him. The bulls are regaining momentum, they are starting to tire. That's already good news. Will Bitcoin hit this trendline again, which has been touched once, twice, three times, four times? Will it go a 5th time towards $130,000? Well, it's still possible, you see, because the divergence, well, it has deflated well. Can it reach this upper Bollinger band at $122,500? Well, if it breaks $122,500, it's off to $130,000 without a problem on the trendline. For now, there's nothing telling us it's bearish. There's no divergence. It's calmed down a bit. Moreover, the bears are starting to tire, so it's not too bad. So this weekly, well, it doesn't tell us about any catastrophe, it tells us, well, I could continue my little journey upwards.
Now, at the daily level, be careful because the daily, if you want, gives a bit more information, of course, it tells us, well, as usual, we are in this big wave B which zigzags, zigzags, zigzags like the altcoins. If they break $854 billion here, it's off to hell. Bitcoin, if it breaks $114,400, it's off to hell, unfortunately, for then A, B to make wave C. So, can this wave B continue to gain ground? Yes, absolutely. It can continue to gain ground. This wave B is exactly like the altcoins. We can have a small running here that happens, that pushes, that makes a new high towards $119,000, $120,000 around there. However, we have to be careful because where the running explodes, moves away, that's good news. We'll go with a new record, or it falls directly because we have a small bullish channel that has more probability of breaking downwards. So be careful because here, attention, if I have to give a bit more probability, I would say more probability of breaking downwards because here we have a not very pretty structure. I don't like it much. And here Bitcoin is the same with this small bullish channel. Well, it's not a very pretty structure. So a bit more probability in my opinion of breaking this downwards and perhaps starting next week the correction into hell. In short, if I have to stick my neck out, I really have to choose. Okay Fouffi, choose. Do you think we can correct or not next week given the structure here? The small bullish channels. Ah, maybe I'll stick my neck out a bit more for a correction. You, well, unfortunately, knowing that on Bitcoin, the bulls are starting to tire too. You see, it's tired, tired, and on the altcoins, it's the same, tired, tired. So when the bears will soon take over, you see the bearish cross will happen, it will happen soon on the MACD on the altcoins, and when you take Bitcoin, the bearish cross will also happen not too long from now. It continues to decline, plus the structure of the small bullish channel. It has done a lot of things, anyway. So for that, I'll stick my neck out a bit more for a correction than for a push.
Moreover, if we look at long-term liquidity, there is much more to seek to the south than to the north. That doesn't change. For example, if Bitcoin reaches a new record high, say $125,000, it will liquidate about $8 billion. Now, if Bitcoin reaches $103,000, it will liquidate almost $20 billion. $21, or even $21 billion. We have almost three times more to liquidate. The market to the south than to the north is starting to be a lot. So if we add the fact that, well, the bulls are tiring, the structure is not very pretty, a lot of liquidity to the south, that's why for me it's a bit more probable, unfortunately, to perhaps have another corrective week, you see, I don't want to be Nostradamus, Finamus, but for now, no top. However, I'm warning you, we can still have one last little push here because the structure tells us it can do this little running push before falling back. And we also see that we have large leverages up to $118,334. So if the market can make a big push to $118, even almost $119, which is the short zone here. You see, it's just in the short zone. So validate the little running there and after the running, validate falling. So if I have to give you two scenarios, I think the first is where it falls directly. The second scenario, which I think has as much probability, is a little push upwards and then downwards. So we validate the little running and then we fall back. Scenario number 3, which is a sudden explosion to the moon, for me, is the one with the least probability of happening. Well, maybe I'm wrong.
At Ethereum level, so him too, be careful, he diverged at $4940. For now, the divergence has deflated quite a bit, I don't think so. The bulls are tiring, he would need to deflate his RSI a bit more. That's why it's not very pretty. But it's okay for Ethereum, even if it spends several weeks zigzagging, zigzagging. The best it can do is this. It's a bearish channel. You see, it zigzags, zigzags. As long as it stays in a bearish channel like this, it will be impulse, correction, and boom, explosion upwards. So if you want to see Ethereum at $6,000, $7,000 in big numbers like that, it needs to make a bearish channel. So it needs to spend a month or two or three boring months, and then it will explode to reach incredible numbers, you see. So for now, that's what's needed. If, on the other hand, it starts to sink like this, it's very, very ugly. Well, the bulls are tiring on the weekly, be careful because for me, the nuclear divergence it had here when it touched the new record has not deflated enough. The first support will be the Ichimoku cloud at $4155. If that's lost, it can reach the Kijun at $3173. So Ethereum, well, I'm not a big fan. Moreover, it has a huge queue of validators exiting. Ah yes, validators are exiting because Swissborg and Kill there have closed Kin, and then, well, people aren't necessarily exiting to sell, but there's a 45-day exit queue for Ethereum. So people will recover between 5 to 6 billion worth of Ethereum. Maybe they'll restake, maybe nothing will happen, but in any case, Ethereum, you feel it's losing steam. It's losing steam, but it's not unreasonable because with the divergence that occurred, a bearish divergence on the RSI in full overbought territory, that's a divergence not to be taken lightly, and moreover, I find its correction rather gentle. So Ethereum, well, be careful, I'm not very, very, not very, very bullish on the structure I have in front of my eyes. At the daily level, it's the same, in short, well, the bulls, the bears are there, for now, they have fairly weak momentum. Ethereum is still managing to preserve a daily RSI of 52. If the day breaks that, it's hell. Ethereum, on its structure, let's not forget that, well, we can have a small A, small B, small C to simply, well, boom, to have, to fall, a small, for a small, rather, the small A, the small B, small C like this, rather to then make this A, this B, this C, and as long as it doesn't break 40, we can see it again above 4960, like everyone else. It has a small bullish channel. So here, will it fall, fall, fall? If it starts to do this, in short, Ethereum starts to break $4400, it means the descent is continuing. It has very high probabilities of reaching below $4002 to validate, well, simply this small regular, but then it can make a nice rise. That's the idea, you see. So that's why, for him too, with the little hat, maybe a little red hat, we look at liquidations, it's the same. If it reaches, say, a new record, imagine it reaches $5000, $5000, it will liquidate, go into $8 billion. On the other hand, if it reaches $4000, it liquidates between 12 and 13. So you see, there's much more, like everyone else. So, can it make one last little push upwards? Well, the structure wouldn't be pretty if, well, it could with a first wave A, an A, an A, a B, a C for maybe something like this for an A, a B, a C, it's possible. It could make one last little push upwards if Ethereum and the altcoins make a little running and take all these big leverages which are up to about $4610, you see. And $4610 is equivalent to about here. So it's not breaking this high, it's just doing this thing just below the high and then falling back. So a little push upwards to liquidate the big leverages to the south, to the north, pardon me, I'm a bit confused right now, so it's not unreasonable.
At Solana level, so Solana weekly, it looks hot, it looks hot. Why do I say that? I have no affinity with Solana at all. It's that here we see that the bulls, well, look, the bulls are on fire, look how it's pushing, the momentum is pushing, and it's not weakening compared to, you see, here you take, well, Bitcoin, well, Ethereum, it's red. If you take Ethereum, well, you see it's weakening. On the other hand, you take Solana. Ah, they are on fire, the bulls. Well, so here, well, it's rather pretty. Moreover, it's not yet in its overbought zone. It's rather pretty. It's not diverging yet. Rather pretty. It's breaking its upper Bollinger band. So it's really hot, hot. That is to say, if Solana makes a nice candle next week, well, it's an explosion of the upper Bollinger band and it's off for Solana to reach $300 or even higher. So it's funny because I wonder if we haven't, for a few weeks now, I've been saying this, if we haven't had a rotation with Solana. It often happens like that, that is to say, Solana starts to push, everyone says Solana is the best blockchain in the world, it's the future, and Ethereum is too useless, all that, all that. Then Solana does nothing anymore and pushes, everyone says Ethereum is too great, Bitcoin has flipped, it's the blockchain of the future, Solana is too useless. Then Ethereum calms down, it goes to Solana, it's what we see, it's the same music, the same violent cycle that's been going on for years. Well, and so here, do we have a little rotation? It's possible. Solana, on the other hand, can't break its short zone. So two solutions. Next week, a nice green weekly candle. It breaks the upper Bollinger band. It's off above $296 for wave B, above $300. And it will be very good news if this wave B makes a new record. That means that C won't go below $100, below the 200-day moving average. That's very good news. Well, for now, it's not bad, this Solana weekly.
At the daily level. So on the daily, well, a small, small divergence, remember, in full overbought zone, it corrects slightly. Since it lost its Ichimoku cloud at 240, it could correct down to its Kijun at 224. Solana has a running that says it's not bad, that is to say, here. Well, it already has a bullish channel, that's not good, that's more likely to break, but as long as it doesn't break 230, it can give us a small A, a small B, a small C, and boom, I continue to push, okay? If it breaks 230, it's hell, it's hell, it's the gates of hell that risk opening because then the big correction will start, that is to say, the whole market will start to correct. So here, don't break these 230. Look at long-term liquidity. The problem is that, well, can it make a little push towards $260? It can, towards $260. On the other hand. So, can it do a small A, small B, C and go? Yes, well, it has the right to, it will be ugly, but it has the right to. If it does that, it will go to eat about $260. It has to go to billions 5 to eat. On the other hand, to the south, where there is much more, there are 2.5 billion, even 3 billion towards 210, even below. That's why, well, be careful, we see all the liquidity below. The big leverages accumulate up to about 250. So it has the right to go and get that if it wants. If, suddenly, we have a nice green candle. In any case, a nice rise is happening. Be cautious, however, because we can have a rise for everyone, for Solana to seek the big leverages, for Ethereum which is there to seek the big leverages, and for Bitcoin to seek the big leverages, but don't forget the rest, the rest of the big chunk of liquidity is to the south. So you'll have to be careful that it's not a bull trap if, if we don't do, if it makes a little push upwards and to finish for, so him, he has his Ichimoku cloud at 318 approximately, which is a small resistance on weekly. XRP, remember the nuclear divergence in full overbought zone around $3.60, that's why it corrected for a few weeks. Is the correction perhaps over? No. Look, the bears have regained momentum this week. Not very, very bullish. Well, XRP, but as long as it zigzags on a small bearish channel, it will be a big explosion. On the other hand, it can still continue with a first support, a big support there, at $2.63, and a first gap too, at $2.52, don't forget. So not mega bullish in the short term in the coming weeks. On the other hand, as long as it zigzags on a bearish channel, the next step, boom, it will be a big explosion. So that's what to remember.
Now, at the daily level, I'm going to the daily here. So here, the 50-day moving average rejects it at $3, precisely. It has a little bit of bounce. We see that the bulls are also starting to tire a lot. Soon the bears will regain momentum. Anyway, the structure of XRP on daily is not very pretty, like everyone's structures. That is to say, can XRP here make a small, small regular, small A, small B, small C to validate that to try to make a new high? It could do that. If we look at liquidations, it could make a little trip towards $3.21, around there. So it could do a small A, small B, small C. So if everyone makes a last little push, it can just go to seek $3.20, around there, to eat that, because we see that there are about 600 million if it goes towards, even $3.30, it has the right to, you see, $3.30, it goes up to this short zone, so it can do that. I think there are two scenarios, as I told you earlier. The first is that, well, everyone validates the small running, small regular, and boom, a small rise to liquidate what remains to the north for everyone. There's not much left, and then boom, the descent. For me, that's scenario number 1, and that's scenario number 2 that I see, it's direct descent. The scenario to the moon, we explode, Bitcoin direct 130, and everyone explodes, I have a little trouble seeing it, you see. Well, and so XRP, why pay attention too? Because, well, small A, small B, C, or it falls directly, or it makes a small rise and then small A, small B, small C and then it will fall. That's pretty much the same for everyone. That's it.
Well, anyway, we'll meet again tonight at 9 PM if you want to talk about all this. I send you kisses and see you later. Bye bye. [Music]