Transcription
Most people are going to draft the wrong wide receivers in fantasy football this year, but you do not have to. The wide receiver position is more critical than ever as running backs are going earlier, so you have to nail those picks, especially in the middle rounds. So, in this video, we're going to break down the five wide receivers you should be drafting instead while everybody else drafts the wrong guys.
Now, the first situation I want to talk about has to deal with two players on the screen right here. These are the current average draft positions of fantasy drafts. You could see Zay Flowers goes as the wide receiver 14, 31st overall, a third-round pick. And then all the way down here is Garrett Wilson going as a 40th overall pick in the fourth round, wide receiver 20. So, he's going six spots after Zay Flowers at the wide receiver position, and in my opinion, that is a massive mistake. Garrett Wilson last year, before getting injured the first five weeks of the season, was top three in the NFL in wide receiver production, opportunity share. He was a beast. You could see that right here. These are his game splits according to RotoViz. On the left side, those first four games of the year before his injury, he ends up going for 19 fantasy points per game, top 10 wide receiver, 9.5 targets per game, top five wide receiver volume, 77 receiving yards per game. Oh, yeah, let's keep in mind he's doing this with Justin Fields, who's getting publicly criticized by the GM at that point as like not being a franchise quarterback, right? And not good quarterback play, Garrett Wilson still balling out, basically like he's done every year of his career. As you can see right here, 34% target share, second in the NFL, 21% red zone target share is also very good. He was just eating up volume last year in this offense. Unfortunately, then he got injured. He tried to come back like midway through the season, immediately got injured again, his season was over, but he's healthy now heading into 2026. And this is very important because the Jets obviously need him. Despite Garrett Wilson only playing seven games, five of which he played fully healthy and finished, he still led the team in receiving yards with 395 last year. That's how bad this Jets offense was. A rookie tight end in Mason Taylor was second on the team. Their running back was third on the team, right? So, not a lot of pass-catching threats there. And if you look at this, this was a Jets team last year that ranked dead last in passing yards per game. Oh, how many passing yards did they have per game? Only 140 passing yards per game. That is obviously atrocious. That is a big factor of Garrett Wilson being injured, of course, them not having a lot of depth behind him. The quarterback situation is probably the biggest factor. But we already know, no matter what the quarterback situation is, Garrett Wilson, like last year at the beginning of the year, dominated. The three years before that, over 1,000 yards every single season, despite terrible quarterback play. However, now he gets an upgrade, arguably the best quarterback of his career, right up there with like a 39-year-old Aaron Rodgers coming off of an Achilles injury, so I don't know if that's actually the best, but right up there with that guy is Geno Smith. Down year last year, of course, with the Raiders, but the Raiders, everybody struggled there. That's why their coaching staff was fired. There's two new quarterbacks in. There's a new offensive coordinator. There's new weapons all over the place because it was one of the worst offenses and teams we've ever seen. But I'm expecting Geno to be like at least the 20th to 25th best quarterback in the league and not dead last like the Jets quarterback situation was last year in passing yards per game. And if you look at him, Garrett Wilson, still no target competition. Like, look, they made some additions in the draft. First-round pick Keon Coleman, I think he could be a very talented tight end. First-round pick they traded up for at the end of the first round, uh, in Omar Cooper this year. I think he'd be a nice slot wide receiver. And then you have Adam Trautman coming back, some potential there. Uh, you still have Mason Taylor as your backup tight end. So like this is a good young team, but if you're talking about alpha wide receiver target hogs, like who's going to be able to earn six-plus to 10 targets a game, it's Garrett Wilson and it's nobody else. He should once again, maybe not see a 34% target share like last year when he had no target competition, but at least 25 to 28, and that's going to be good enough in round four to be a steal. And you compare that to Zay Flowers, who goes in round three, and I'm just so baffled by this. I honestly do not get the Zay Flowers hype. I didn't get it last year, he had a good year, so I had a little bit of egg on my face, but overall, like what are we doing with Zay Flowers here? This is a guy, if you look at Lamar Jackson's stats in his last healthy season in 2024 when he was an MVP, right? 474 pass attempts, 4,100 passing yards, like he absolutely balled out. Oh yeah, in the season he threw 41 touchdown passes, not even to account for his rushing touchdowns. 41 touchdown passes. What did Zay Flowers do in that season? Zay Flowers, when his quarterback is having the best year of his career, and probably the best year that Lamar will ever have in his career as a passer, just because it was that good, Zay Flowers gets 1,000 receiving yards barely, catches 74 balls, and in that season he finishes as the wide receiver 32, right? He's not a guy who's going to like catch a lot of touchdowns. He's not a big player in the red zone, just five, four, and five touchdowns in his first three years in the NFL. My concern for Zay Flowers is not skill-based, he's obviously talented. He's pretty clearly the number one in this Ravens offense, but if he was going in round five, sure. He's going in round three as if he's getting fed like 150 target seasons. And in the NFL draft, like the Ravens went out there and they're still just going to have target competition as far as the red zone goes. Like Zay Flowers is never really a red zone receiver, and I don't think he's going to be. If you look at the NFL draft, Elijah Scharff in round four, big wide receiver. Jacory Lane in round three, big wide receiver. They ended up letting Isaiah Likely walk, and Mark Andrews is still there, a massive red zone threat. And oh yeah, Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry, they're going to be running the ball a lot. This team, over the last five years, has ranked top three in the NFL in rushing. So when I look at the target competition for Zay Flowers, it's Rashod Bateman, it's DeVonte Walker, it's a couple of rookies, and it's Mark Andrews. So yeah, Zay Flowers should once again lead this team in target share. I'm not worried that he won't be able to do that. Just in past years, like we've seen, even in the best years of Lamar Jackson's career as a passer, that usually only means he's getting six, seven targets per game. In round three, that's a pretty steep price tag to pay.
Now, the next situation I want to look at has to do with Jaylen Waddle, who goes as the wide receiver 24, and Rondale Moore, who goes as the wide receiver 29. Currently, fantasy players are drafting this correctly, but almost 45% of the time, they're taking Rondale Moore over Jaylen Waddle. Now, in my opinion, that's a massive mistake. If you look at just the surface-level stats from last year, which is helpful in some regards, but doesn't tell the full story, you might be like, "Okay, well, sure, they should be going right next to each other." Jaylen Waddle finishes the wide receiver 25 last year. Now, he goes as the wide receiver 24, makes sense. He was the wide receiver 50 the year before that, right? A down season last year on paper, for sure, when you see that he was actually healthy playing 16 games, only earns 100 targets and 64 catches. Well, a big piece of that had to do with a pretty atrocious quarterback situation. Tua ranked in the bottom three in a lot of quarterback efficiency stats last year. He was not good by any means. Just 6.8 air yards per attempt. He was 25th in QBR. He had 20 interceptable passes, which was third most in the NFL. He only threw the ball downfield 20-plus yards 30% of the time, which ranked 30th in the NFL. Jaylen Waddle, a speedster who can win downfield, that's where a lot of his game is going to come from. Tua wasn't supplying that at all last year. But when this has been a healthy offense in Miami in past years for Jaylen Waddle, like 2023 when Tua was healthy, didn't have all those concussions starting to pile up, uh, Tyreek was more in his prime or at least still balling out, Jaylen Waddle was good. 72 catches, over 1,000 yards while competing with a Tyreek Hill that was number one in the NFL during this time and like wide receiver efficiency, yards per route run, deep efficiency, all that, Jaylen Waddle still balled out. The good news now for Waddle is he's not in this atrocious situation anymore with Tyreek or the Dolphins. He was traded for a first-round pick, um, and some other pieces, to the Denver Broncos. To the Denver Broncos to play with none other than Bo Nix. Now, remember what I said earlier, Tua was not throwing the ball downfield at all last year. That limited the upside of the entire offense, especially your number one receiver when he was healthy, at least since Tyreek was hurt, in Jaylen Waddle. Well, Mr. Bo Nix led the NFL in pass attempts last year, was third in the NFL in deep ball attempts. This guy is going to throw the ball downfield. We saw that the last two years when it was Bo Nix plus Courtland Sutton, and now you're going to get, in my opinion, a better, just if they were the same age, better, but he's younger and more explosive wide receiver in Jaylen Waddle compared to Courtland Sutton. Now, let's compare that to Marvin Mims, who when we look at his target competition entering year two in the Ben Johnson offense, like you could easily say that Marvin Mims is higher in the pecking order, right? He's currently projected for more receiving yards this year in the Vegas sports books. Courtland Sutton and Marvin Mims are right there projected for the same amount of yards as Marvin Mims. So like, I'm not going to say Marvin Mims is the number three on his team, although there's a potential for that, but at the most favorable way you could put this is three guys are going to be highly involved in the passing game for a Ben Johnson offense that we know is going to want to lean on the run as well, compared to the offense that you're going to see here for Courtland Sutton or for Jaylen Waddle, which basically just Courtland Sutton. Oh yeah, a 30-plus-year-old boundary receiver who's not going to offer a ton after the catch. Other than that, Marvin Mims, Pat Bryant, Little Jordan Humphrey, uh, Evan Engram, not concerned about these guys. So to me, Waddle is the clear 1A, 1B if you wanted to call it with Courtland Sutton in an offense that literally last year threw the ball the most in the NFL, 36 times per game under Bo Nix. So, I'm expecting similar things this year for Jaylen Waddle. I think there's going to be a lot of upside for him. And when I compare him to a Rome Odunze, who last year disappeared at stretches from week 6 to 13, the injury obviously piled on towards the end of that, I'm just going to take Jaylen Waddle all day long.
Now, before we keep going and we get into like a later-round wide receiver discussion that's very interesting, I just want to let you know about the Fantasy Blueprint. It is currently live at jointheblueprint.com. It is my proven system for winning your fantasy league. Now, what does this mean? Well, over 10,000 people have used it the last few years alone to win more leagues. It helped me win 75% of my home leagues, the leagues popping up on the screen right now, last year alone, including a $10,000 first experts league, so I beat a bunch of other experts, 14 and two, most points in the league, and basically that all started with the Fantasy Blueprint. It is my plan for winning my draft, dominating the draft, and winning every single week of the year, all the way to championship week. And you can learn more about the Blueprint and how it could actually help you win more at jointheblueprint.com. There's a link in the description below. There's a video that answers some frequently asked questions, a bunch of what you get inside the Blueprint, uh, and anything that you can probably have in mind about questions, what it does. Uh, it's from draft day to championship week. It's not just for the draft, it's for every single week of the season. You can check it out with the link in the description. Also, a lot of testimonials as well. That is at jointheblueprint.com. If you want to smack around your friends this year, this is the way to do it. There are limited spots available because last year it got so popular, so I want to keep it as exclusive as possible. So, check it out now at jointheblueprint.com. Link in the description below.
Now, that later-round wide receiver discussion I want to talk about is a player here in Ricky Pearsall, who goes as the 100th overall player. Now, I much prefer him to a lot of guys who go in this range, especially a guy who goes way before him as the 72nd overall player in A.J. Brown of the Philadelphia Eagles, their first-round rookie wide receiver. Now, we have to get into this. Look, A.J. Brown is obviously insanely talented. I arguably thought he was the best rookie wide receiver in this draft class, especially depending on your team fit as a slot more slot wide receiver. And then you look at Ricky Pearsall since he's been in the NFL, and you're kind of like, "This is what you're trying to hype up, Sal? A guy who last year finishes as the wide receiver 43 in his rookie season, the wide receiver 57, only has three total touchdowns in his first two years." Yes, that's what I'm trying to hype up because it requires a lot of context. Obviously, he's never been healthy. In his rookie year, he missed six games. Last year, he missed eight games. And even in these games where he's playing, nine last year and 11 in his rookie year, you really think he's 100% healthy coming back from like hamstring strains, knee strains, being shot? No, he wasn't 100% healthy. As of this recording, Ricky Pearsall is healthy. Now, that is a big if, but just like last year, his own teammate Christian McCaffrey, people said, "Oh, he won't stay healthy." He did all 17 games and was the best player in fantasy. I'm not going to say Pearsall's going to be the best player in fantasy, but he has a lot of potential if he stays healthy. I mean, you could see at the beginning of last year, he was starting to break out a little bit as well. In those first four games before injury, 13 fantasy points per game, 81 receiving yards per game, over seven targets per game despite Brock Purdy not being 100% healthy or even playing in all those games. Mac Jones had to fill in. Ricky Pearsall was still going out there and putting up some very strong numbers, a 20% target share during this time. So, that's good, but then he got hurt. But now, let's look at what's happening with San Francisco. A lot of moving pieces this offseason on their offense. This is the team changes tracker, just one of the tools that you get in the Fantasy Blueprint. We'll pull it up here. You can see that they ended up losing Kendrick Bourne. They lost most likely Bryant Bryant Deni Yuca, I just put him on here. I don't expect him to be on the team as of this recording. And Jauan Jennings. They replaced those wide receivers by bringing in 33-year-old Mike Evans, veteran wide receiver Christian Kirk, and drafting an early second-round pick, one of the first picks of the second round, Ronnie Bell. And I Shaundre Blanding. So, you could say that there's a lot of target competition here, but the way that I look at it on paper, I'm looking at this as McCaffrey out of the backfield, 30-plus years old, a 33-year-old Mike Evans, it's a big question mark if he could stay healthy all year, and if he's only really going to be like somewhat of a role player, like third down move the chains, not really downfield as much at this part of his career. Christian Kirk out of the slot, we know what we're getting out of him, not much, couple targets a game. Ricky Pearsall, to me, looks like the wide receiver on this team if he stays healthy. Kittle's coming off of a torn Achilles as a 33-year-old tight end, right? Like, if Ricky Pearsall stays healthy, former first-round pick, a beast of a wide receiver in my opinion when healthy, third year in the league, this is exactly when you break out. He's going to be the best pass catcher on this team if he stays healthy, in my opinion. And you can get him in round 10 of your fantasy drafts, nine of your fantasy drafts. So, here's the deal. Purdy last year, when healthy, was an absolute beast. Every single year of his career, he has been an absolute beast when healthy. I mean, let's just look at it last year. 69% completion percentage. If we pull up the efficiency metrics, oh, what do you know? Top 12 in EPA, number two in QBR. It doesn't really matter the stat you look at. Number six in pass rating. When you're a quality quarterback who has some ability, some decent weapons, and oh yeah, you combine that with Kyle Shanahan being your coach, good things are going to happen.
Now, let's compare that to Mecole Hardman, a rookie wide receiver, 20th overall to the Philadelphia Eagles. I really liked Mecole Hardman coming out of college, coming out of USC. I thought he was underrated, if anything, like should have gone a little bit higher in the draft, maybe even a top 15 pick. But, if you look at it, this guy was just a walking bucket. If you needed him on third down, he'd get you there. 26% target share last year, over 1,100 receiving yards on 79 catches. Solid player. And obviously, with A.J. Brown now gone to the Patriots, people in their mind are immediately going to make Mecole Hardman the number two on this team. That makes sense, for sure. First-round pick, not a lot of target competition there. However, this is still an offense that is going to prioritize DeVonta Smith. They've been talking about it all offseason. They did sign quietly this offseason, Hollywood Brown, Elijah Moore, veteran receivers. They traded for Dontayvion Wicks. Saquon Barkley out of the backfield is expected to be involved more in the passing game this year. They resigned Dallas Goedert to a one-year deal, signed a second-round tight end, the Neils Trowers, who will probably operate as a wide receiver. So, I don't think it's just straightforward that Mecole Hardman is going to be like the second target on this team who's going to earn 100 targets this season. Like, I wouldn't be shocked if Dontayvion Wicks is the number two. I wouldn't be shocked if Hollywood Brown has a resurgence and he's earning five targets per game ahead of Mecole Hardman, right? So, like there is some question marks for Mecole Hardman's role compared to Ricky Pearsall, who goes 30 picks later. Yes, you could say, "Oh, he has to compete with Mike Evans and Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle. Also has a lot of target competition." Although, two of those guys are older, coming off of injuries. Yes, you could say all of that, but he's still going 30 picks later. And he's also in a more pass-happy offense. I mean, the Eagles ranked number one in rush attempts per game they've been in 2024, right? They've been saying they want to get back to this under new offensive coordinator in Shawn McVay, a former quarterback in the NFL. So, if that's the case, if they get anywhere near this 550 mark to 600 rush attempt mark, it's not going to be that many targets available for Rakim Jarrett. You still have a mobile quarterback in Jalen Hurts. That's going to take away some targets on third downs if he takes off and scrambles. Rakim Jarrett's great, but for 30 picks before Ricky Pearsall, it feels it feels risky.
The next situation I want to talk about has to do with another rookie wide receiver, although I'm pro this guy and it's a seventh-round pick in Jordan Addison, who currently goes a few picks after one wide receiver spot after on average Brian Thomas Jr. I think these guys should be flipped. It's not a massive difference. They're just neck and neck, but I don't think you should ever be taking Brian Thomas over Jordan Addison as it currently stands. Now, the biggest concern for Jordan Addison is this right here, his injury history in college. He had an ACL, PCL, MCL knee injury. He had a fractured collarbone and multiple collarbone issues with that same one and then a hamstring injury that as of right now is still somewhat plugging him. It hurt his pre-draft process. They're still taking it very easy with him during OTAs and rookie mini-camp, which makes sense. Why risk it there if the guy has a hamstring issue? But in my opinion, Jordan Addison is a stud wide receiver. There's a reason why he went in the top 10 in this year's NFL draft. 1,100 yards in his last healthy season on a massive 30% target share, 75 catches in 2024. He was going to do it again this year through nine games where he had 711 yards, 23% target share, but then obviously he suffers the hamstring injury. But if you want to look at it right here, Matt Harmon, who covers wide receivers, check him out. Matt Harmon BYB over on Twitter. He also has reception perception as his site. He watches a bunch of wide receiver routes. You can check this out right here. Some of the highlights he said 85.6% success rate for Jordan Addison versus zone coverage. It's not only the best result in this class, but it's the fifth best mark since 2021 for Power Five wide receivers. So, one of the best wide receivers in terms of beating zone, he's solid against man coverage as well and also he's not going to have to be like that dominating man-beater when Chris Olave is across from him now in the New Orleans Saints. Because Jordan Addison is a member of the Saints. He goes eighth overall. They end up taking him. I thought he might even go higher in this draft. Like the Chiefs traded up at one point. I thought they were going to take him, but they didn't. So, eighth overall and he lands on a depth chart that's pretty damn good. Like I would say overall for him, there's a lot of opportunity here. Your target competition is going to be Chris Olave. Okay, fine. Travis Etienne out of the backfield, not really known as a pass catcher. De'Von Vallet and Juwan Johnson, who like they needed to lean on Johnson more because of trading away Rashid Shaheed, he did not really having a lot of options. Like you're the clear number two. And this is a situation where I'm not shocked at all of Jordan Tyson at the end of this year we're saying is the better wide receiver on this team than Chris Olave. He kind of was that in terms of like how they both came out as draft prospects, both good, but I think Tyson's the more explosive player. Now Chris Olave, it's interesting. Last year he obviously breaks out, he stays healthy, he ranks top 10 in target share, top five in overall targets, 155, 156 targets, 9.8 per game. He just had no target competition. They traded away Rashid Shaheed, they traded for De'Von Vallet later who's not the greatest, and they had a former wide receiver now tight end Juwan Johnson as their second option. Obviously you're going to just lean on Chris Olave. But this is a situation where Chris Olave now with a legit target hog in his room in Jordan Tyson, there's a chance this drops to like 7.5 targets per game. And if that's the case, there's going to be a lot of opportunity for Jordan Tyson to maybe even become the number one A on this team. And you compare that to Bryan Thomas, where I just do not see him anywhere near having the same upside as a Jordan Tyson. It's Bryan Thomas, it's Jacobi Myers, it's Parker Washington. Oh yeah, not to mention Travis Hunter is still around as well. And tight end Brenton Strange, who when healthy last year was solid. Like last year towards the end of the season when they traded for Jacobi Myers, he led the team with a 24% target share. Parker Washington was right there with a 23.5% target share, right? These guys were ahead of Bryan Thomas in the pecking order. Now you might say it was the wrist injury that limited him. Now he's going into year three in the NFL, year two in the Klint Kubiak offense, less pressure on his shoulders with other guys around him. All of that is fine and dandy, but this is still a situation where Myers, Parker Washington, Travis Hunter are going to be involved wide receivers. Even if Bryan Thomas has a big 120-yard game, the next week are you really going to trust him to be that guy as long as those other guys are out there? It's going to be matchup dependent. That just makes it more risky compared to what Jordan Tyson has, just Chris Olave for targets.
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Next up, I want to talk about some wide receivers who go in the middle rounds of drafts. I want to talk about Jameson Williams, who goes as the wide receiver 25, 48th overall in drafts right now. And then this is kind of crazy to me. Christian Watson goes as the wide receiver 28, 58th overall. He's going 10 picks later, a round later than Jameson Williams in drafts. And to me, this is just a mistake. Christian Watson is the clear number one receiver on his team this year. He was the clear better wide receiver than Jameson Williams last year. Top 15 wide receiver for Christian Watson last year. And when you factor in when he was actually healthy from week 11 to the rest of the season, remember he was coming off of a torn ACL. They ramped him up the first couple of games back. Those final seven games, 15.1 fantasy points per game, top 12 wide receiver. Six targets per game, 60 receiving yards per game. Not to mention, not only was he a top 12 fantasy receiver, he was one of the best wide receivers in all of football last year. Fourth in the NFL in yards per route run. Top 10 in first downs per route run. Probably the two most best efficiency metrics for how important you are to your team and how good you were at delivering. This guy was absolutely dominating. Christian Watson, if you were seeing like his I'm going to call him Chris Olave a couple times I can't remember, sorry. I was talking really fast. But if you've seen like his past seasons, he looks good but he always gets hurt. Last year he actually stayed healthy to close the season and the dude was great. And I say he's the clear-cut number one receiver on this team for a few reasons. First off, what he did last year and what he's done in past years when healthy, he's been the best receiver on this current team. And also, Romeo Doubs, who you might have argued was like the best wide receiver in terms of snaps and reliability, he's gone, he's on the Patriots. Dontayvion Wicks, who was like a sleeper who would come in as their fourth option, he's gone, he was traded to the Philadelphia Eagles. They don't replace those guys in the draft, they only bring in Skyy Moore in free agency, he's not going to be a big piece of this offense. So, what does that leave us with? It leaves us with Christian Watson, the number one, Jayden Reed, who also got paid this offseason, the number two, and Matthew Golden, who they're hoping can take a step forward, the number three, and then tight end Tucker Kraft off of a torn ACL. But, there's no depth at wide receiver like there was in past years. Bo Melton, a former defensive back, he was a wide receiver, then a defensive back, now again a wide receiver for this team. Skyy Moore, who's not even a lock to make the team. And Xavier on Williams, who's more of like a gadgety guy, we'll see if he can take a step forward this year. But, Christian Watson is the one who pairs perfectly with Jordan Love, who will unload that ball downfield, will create explosive 20-plus yard plays, if not more, for touchdowns for Christian Watson, which we're familiar with when he's healthy and paired with Jordan Love. Um, this offseason, the Packers with their wallet said, "He is our number one." They extended him on a four-year deal for 110.5 million dollars, 31 million dollars as a signing bonus. This is the type of money you give a number one receiver. They didn't give this type of money to Jayden Reed this offseason on his restructured deal, because he's not Christian Watson, he's not their number one receiver. Now, I say all this to say, like, why are we taking Jameson Williams over him? Like, look at this right here. In no world is Jameson Williams ever going to be the number one receiver on his team, because Amon-Ra St. Brown exists. And oh yeah, the number two receiver on this team is Jahmyr Gibbs out of the backfield, probably having five-plus targets a down the stretch last season, the final eight games of the year, was out-targeting and out-playing Jameson Williams. So, like, this is just sketchy. I get it, Jameson's fast, he's a dynamite player, he creates explosive plays. So does Christian Watson, who's going 10 picks after him, with probably a higher projected target share on his team. It's not like Christian Watson has a bad quarterback, has a bad offense, uh, is going to have a big run game, so they'll never throw the ball. He has a good quarterback, a good offense, a good coach, and yeah, they're going to run the ball, but not anything crazy. So, I just don't know why we're taking Jameson Williams. Sure, he finished last year with 12.9 fantasy points per game. Oh yeah, Christian Watson finished with more. Yeah, the year before that he had 14.2 fantasy points per game because he had an unsustainable deep target rate and Sam LaPorta was not factored into the offense all that much in that second season. Sure, that was not really seen last year. Totally different offensive coordinator now heading into this season. So for 10 picks later, give me Christian Watson all day over Jameson Williams. Honestly, for me, it's not even close.
So there you go. Those are the wide receivers you should be taking instead of the ones that all your league mates are taking wrongfully. Now if you want to see the running backs version of this exact same video, you can check it out right here. Running backs are extremely important this year. They're going earlier than ever, so you have to make sure you nail those picks. This video will help you do just that.