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The Middle East pays America to protect itself, buys American weapons, stations American troops, and then starts a war – Iran comes and bombs their own homes. >> That's right, it begins. >> Neither gaining the meat nor tasting the skin, once a peace agreement is signed with Iran, they'll order the Middle Eastern countries to pay again. It loops back to the same point we discussed – the root cause of the problem is there. >> It refuses, right? Who would believe that today? Jevin Van comes out to criticize Israel, Trump comes out to criticize Israel, Hillary Clinton comes out to say that during her time as Secretary of State – oh wow – Netanyahu's lobbying was something to see, images like that – we never saw that before. >> Uh-huh. >> And when we talk, it's nothing but old stories that you can't do anything about. Then when we invite P'Kee, when P'Kee comes, whatever he's going to talk about, he says, "Oh, Russia is about to lose" – people don't want to hear that kind of stuff. >> But Ukraine this time is serious, they're good. >> Well, they are good. >> Because Ukraine... >> Moscow, and now... >> Ah, they hit targets – ah – focusing on oil, ah – power plants, things like that. But Russia will retaliate, right? >> I saw news that they're going all out this time. [sound of inhaling] But it's serious. >> It's like this – I see Ukraine as similar to Israel – they both have backing, right? >> Yes. >> Israel – without the United States, its weapons and money all come from the US. Ukraine is the same. >> It comes from Europe. >> A tiny country fighting Russia – money, mercenaries, weapons – where does it come from? All from Europe, right? >> Uh-huh. >> It's the same lobby, isn't it? So when we talk about the G7 meeting – ask yourself, right now, let alone the media, do we, the audience, actually follow what agenda they put out? I believe most people don't know. >> Uh-huh. >> Only when they start paying attention to it... >> ...they go focus on other news. >> The G7 news – what are they talking about? >> Right? >> I still can't figure it out. >> And this issue has turned into what, you know? >> Uh. >> Instead of before, when they used to set the agenda – "This year's global topic is this, that" – now they're speaking in a defensive manner: "Hey, how are we going to decouple from China?" That's being discussed. >> Now, especially regarding rare earths. >> Uh. >> Rare Earth. >> Uh. >> This is a main topic. >> Uh. >> Europe just recently decoupled from China. >> Uh. >> Right? >> Yes. >> China produces about 70% of the world's rare earths, and processes 90% of rare earths. >> Yes. >> Processing patents, various things – most are in China's hands, right? They've set a target – within the next 5 years – to completely eliminate dependence on China. >> Yes. >> But listening to it, is that too fast? Too fast? >> Right now you don't even know where your mines are, and there are how many types of rare earths? >> They talk but don't act. >> Right, yeah. >> Especially the core ones – neodymium – oh, China has them all. >> Simply put, 90% – China controls it, and they've used it before – back in 2010 during the dispute when Japanese ships arrested Chinese fishing boats, right? >> They're still using it now – I think they sanctioned Japan. >> That rare earth – from takahaeri or something – export volume dropped to only 30% from 100% compared to... >> This is it – the Japanese business association in China held a meeting. >> Uh. >> Yes, the Japanese business association said they need to address this issue. Even though the direction of the Japanese government wants to decouple from China, the Japan Chamber of Commerce and Industry still sees China as an important country that cannot be ignored – they announced this. They are trying to push their government. >> What you're doing is wrong because the reason is: if you don't rely on China, who will you rely on? That's the problem. >> Uh, right. >> It's not like you can just break up overnight like a divorce – then who will take care of your children? >> Ah, and then where will you go? >> Where will you go? >> Yeah, if you don't associate with China, where will you go? >> If you associate with America, America doesn't have anything you can buy. >> Your trade balance – you sell more to America than you buy. >> That is, America doesn't come to help you – they only want to take your money. >> Yeah, they want your bases – right? Pay up. >> Those who know best – you know who? >> Who? >> The Middle East. >> Oh, right. >> Now, the $300 billion for Iran's reconstruction – they'll give it to the Middle East. >> I suppose it's a beneficial deal for both sides. >> Oh, think about it – if you were a person in the Middle East – you pay America to protect yourself, buy American weapons, station American troops, and then start a war. >> Yeah. >> Iran comes and bombs your own home. >> That's right, it begins. >> Neither gaining the meat nor tasting the skin – now have a bone hanging around your neck. >> Change the objective. >> Once you sign a peace agreement with Iran, they'll order the Middle Eastern countries to pay again. >> Yes. >> Looking at it, it's... >> But I think they're talking because the reason is: if you get rid of American bases, how will you be better off than Iran? It's about building economic ties. Once the economy is well-connected, everything improves – you're not enemies. If you're not enemies, you don't have to fight. If you don't fight, there's no chance of being bombed again. >> Ah, it should be like that, probably. >> But don't forget – it loops back to the same point we discussed: the cause of the problem, the root cause, is Israel. It refuses. >> It refuses – then the Arabs must cooperate with the Persians and go deal with Israel. Is that necessary? >> Well, one day it might reach that point. Who would believe that today? Jevin Van comes out to criticize Israel, Trump comes out to criticize Israel, Hillary Clinton comes out to say that during her time as Secretary of State – oh wow – Netanyahu's lobbying was something to see – images like that – we never saw that before. >> Trump once said that in the past, there was a time when you couldn't say anything against Israel as a politician. >> Back then. >> In the past. >> Now it's changed. >> Ah, you see – the situation has changed. America and Israel are starting to drift apart. The more Israel acts as it pleases, >> Uh. >> – the more it puts itself first, doesn't listen, doesn't care about American interests. >> Ah, one day America might... >> Actually, I see that Netanyahu is a certain type of person – he doesn't hold a majority in the Israeli parliament. He only has 30%, and there's another party that holds some. That other party is the extreme one. Netanyahu said he wants to back off, but he can't because the other party won't allow it. >> Oh no, no – it's about legal cases, about not being in office anymore – that's another matter. >> Oh, that's another issue. >> It's difficult – it's about what they call – surviving. >> But politicians – I believe all over the world, the DNA is the same. >> Yes. >> Right? >> Uh. >> They want to win politically – to become the government, right? >> To become the government, and then see which way the wind blows. If you're on the right, and the public votes "no," >> Uh. >> – if they want peace, you have to come out and say, "Oh, now I love peace" – you have to do whatever it takes to match the public's voice, right? Otherwise, how can people choose you? So I think right now, the trend regarding a ceasefire... >> Do the Israeli people want peace? >> I think most of them do. >> So if they hold an election, everything will be handed over. >> But they won't hold one – just like P'Kee, who is now in a state of war. >> He's called a president without – what do they call it – legitimacy – not elected? – like illegal, and... >> P'Kee – how many years has he been out of term? >> Probably over a year. >> Oh, I think more. >> More? >> Yeah. >> Ah, two years. >> He's still in power, why? >> Yeah, it's five years – with the war, he must have been in power for about over a year, two years. >> Ah, ah – he just keeps going, right? >> Well, he can because the war is still ongoing – so what can you do? >> Ah, ah – Netanyahu is the same – he keeps going like that. >> Yes, yes – he has a chance to keep going indefinitely until the war ends – but he never ends it. >> Ah, maybe P'Kee was also coached – who knows? >> I think it will have to be someone else to handle it. >> There's another way – the most gentle and beautiful end, and without America getting involved – is to replace the Israeli prime minister. >> Oh, replace him, replace him. >> Can they replace him? >> Yes – oh, America has changed governments all over the world – they're experts. >> Oh. >> Professionals. But Israel is America's parent. >> Yeah, that is... [laughter] Right? >> It's hard to change your parent. >> Ah, they change governments all over the world. >> Except Israel, which is the parent. >> Yeah, changing governments is their expertise. >> I understand, but I think it's hard to change the Israeli government because the Zionist groups control the US government. >> Ah, right now America doesn't trust them – about Mossad infiltrating the Pentagon – there's a lot of news about that – what do they call it? >> Uh, in America, Israel's approval rating is quite low. For example, there is a law – Section 224 – which is being heavily debated – bringing Israel so closely tied to the US government – it's like treason, a treason law like that. >> It is [clears throat] – there is analysis like this: has there been talk with Israel that if Israel agrees to end the war, America might push Section 224 through Congress? >> Right now. >> There might be a deal, but I don't think so – because Israel still refuses to stop fighting. >> Otherwise it would have stopped already. >> Right? >> Exactly. >> But this matter is a double-edged sword – any American politician who pushes this – they better prepare for trouble, because right now there are people lining up against it. >> The law sounds like – oh – it's like incorporating Israel into the US defense budget [laughter]. >> Yeah, and there's technology sharing, supply chains for American weapons production, etc. >> They know everything. >> Ah. >> They know everything – joint production, joint research. >> Just think about it. >> Yeah, research and development budgets – shared like that – oh dear – that means other countries – for example, if we let Laos participate in joint weapons R&D and share our defense budget... >> If that's the case, then they have to declare Israel as another state of the United States. >> Yeah, like that – is that possible? If so, okay – if you're a state within America, then it's okay. >> Yeah, or else change America into the Promised Land. >> Actually, the state of Israel has America as a state within it. >> Yeah [laughter]. >> It's like that – that's really how the law is – it's terrifying to hear. >> But I believe the easiest solution – and without fighting – is to change the Israeli government. >> Yes. >> That's it. >> Yes. >> Bring in a line that is ready to talk and negotiate. >> Come talk – otherwise they'll be condemned and cursed by the world every day like this. >> If you hold a majority, you have to see what the majority says. >> Uh. >> But I still think there's no chance [laughter]. No chance – the only way is for them to go – to bring Netanyahu to justice – to face the penalties. >> Now, it's starting to... >> It's cracking, right? >> Being criticized every day. >> It's starting – people are beginning to criticize. >> So I think there's no choice – if Israel doesn't – if they announce this – within a 60-day framework – oil is flowing from Hormuz, and the oil price might drop – simply put, if they can't make Hormuz flow smoothly, they won't survive. So why is Netanyahu harming them like this? He must be told, "If you don't listen, I'll slap your head – you die." >> Then we die together? No, I have to survive, so I have to play the big game – and the big game, as Tun said, is to not listen – dismiss him – go get it done. Wait about 2 days. >> Uh. >> It has to be exactly 2 days, not many days, because the situation is quite tense – it's opened now, but now it's completely closed. Once closed, it means no oil flows out. This has been a looming crisis for a long time. They released one batch – they said 170 million barrels quickly – but now it's stopped again. >> So with the far-right government in Israel, it makes it impossible to end it. Actually, on the 19th, they were supposed to discuss details – now it's the 20th already. >> Yeah, the 19th – it got postponed. >> Ah. >> Indefinitely, and we don't know which direction it will go. What will Israel do next? We don't know. >> But analysts expect that if it's not settled within 2 days, it will become a crisis – total, no return. >> But I think Israel right now doesn't have much capability to do anything major. >> They can fight, dig in, unless they use nuclear weapons. >> They won't. >> What about Sam – Sam Gol? >> That is, Israel isn't as strong as – oh wow – it can do anything – if Iran gets angry again and attacks another round... >> Ah. >> ...I think like that – and America won't help at all. >> Ah, America says they won't go all in – "I'm hurt, I won't help." >> Fight on their own. >> They can't win – fighting. >> Right? >> Weapons – they don't have many – now withdrawals – it's over. What will Israel have left? I think they're on the ropes – like a boxer boxing, right? >> Uh [clears throat]. >> Hey, the bell rings – "I want one more punch" – yeah, like that. >> That's... >> About that, about that. >> Pray that nothing happens – the world is starting to settle – oil has dropped, I think to 80 something – 84 or 8? >> It dropped to 73. >> 73, then up to 80 again. >> Ah, 80 – here, the latest – with Israel, it's up to 80 again. >> Yeah. >> The world – how is the situation? The world will see oil rise according to the situation at all times. >> Uh. >> It's futures – it's futures prices. So it will – ah – anticipate what will happen in the future – instantly, oil rises. It's not today's price – it's futures price. So what we need to follow is: how to make them stop fighting and then continue negotiations. >> Uh. >> But I see it as just a final round punching – last punches. >> I hope so – following cause and effect – they can't go on anymore. Fighting without America – they see no way to win, right? But sometimes people are crazy – especially far-right extremists. >> We – they don't think like us. >> Yes, yes. >> Ah, that's why [laughter]. >> I understand. >> They're crazy – they will die. >> We can't be 100% sure of anything. >> Yes, sir. >> Don't forget to like, share, and subscribe to the channel "Deab Suea Thao" so you don't miss interesting clips and get to watch new clips first.