Transcription
Hello, Business Tomorrow Live with Trader KP. It's 4:00 PM on June 19, 2026. We have big news from Switzerland. The latest reports indicate that the negotiation forum between the United States and Iran has been canceled. This news has been confirmed by the Swiss Ministry of Foreign Affairs and reported by Al Jazeera, as well as several global news agencies. The initial negotiations between the US and Iran, following the signing of an MOU by the leaders of both countries, which was actually supposed to lead to the start of negotiations today, have already fallen through. The Swiss Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that the negotiations scheduled to be held in Burgenstock will now not take place. It has been reported that the Vice President of the United States has canceled his travel plans to Switzerland, and Bloomberg has reported similarly, stating that the US and Iran have decided to postpone negotiations on a peace agreement and the limitation of Iran's nuclear program due to the renewed clashes in Lebanon. Iranian news agencies have also confirmed the postponement of travel to the negotiation forum in Switzerland due to ongoing Israeli attacks in southern Lebanon. Sources from the Iranian side, Al Mayadeen, reported that the Iranian delegation, which was preparing to participate in the first round of negotiations under the 60-day negotiation process, has decided to suspend their travel. They have informed the US side and the mediators that the Lebanon issue is a critical issue for the negotiations and will determine whether the talks will proceed or be suspended. Currently, the initial negotiation stage has been suspended. Recent news from the area reports that Israel continues its attacks on Lebanon, with drone attacks occurring since last night. There has also been a report of one fatality in the southern Lebanon region, a key route. These ongoing Israeli attacks are clear. The negotiation forum, which was supposed to begin today after the MOU was signed and took effect yesterday, now sees peace signals remaining distant and fragile. Today, we will analyze this with General Rangsi, who had previously observed that every time there are peace negotiations or deals to end wars, there are always obstacles. This time, we see the Lebanon issue being raised as the reason for Iran's postponement of negotiations. Will peace be achievable today? Is this deal already dead, or is there still an opportunity for further discussion? Will Israel be the variable preventing peace? Today, we have invited General Rangsi Kiriya Napsap, leader of the Economy Party, to share his perspective. General Rangsi, hello.
>> Hello, Khun Gita, and viewers at home.
>> Hello. Thank you, General Rangsi. As you previously analyzed, every time peace negotiations are about to conclude, there are issues, and this time, there truly are issues. The major forum that was announced, and the world was waiting to see the meeting between the two sides, ultimately did not happen. According to clear news reports, this is due to the Lebanon issue. General Rangsi, how do you view this phenomenon or the events that have occurred this time? Ultimately, these negotiations have not happened.
>> Well, in Article 1 of the MOU, Khun Gita, which was signed electronically, Article 1 clearly states that Iran, the US, and their allies must cease hostilities on all fronts. And before anything else, Netanyahu has already announced that Israel does not need to listen to the US on all matters because Israel needs to protect its interests and security in Lebanon. This is less than a day after signing, and a violation has already occurred. The US ally, Israel, is still attacking Lebanon as before. And I ask, how will the remaining articles be discussed, Khun Gita? And importantly, looking at the details of the 14 articles in the ceasefire MOU, Article 13 clearly states, Khun Gita, that if the negotiations in Articles 4, 5, 10, and 11 are not clear, then other matters should not be discussed. And today, we haven't even begun discussing Articles 4, 5, 10, or 11, and Article 1 has already been violated. Furthermore, looking at Articles 4 and 5, I see it becoming even more difficult. Why? First, the Strait of Hormuz must be opened within 30 days, and Iran must clear mines. They must clear the floating mines in the Strait of Hormuz. Second, the US must withdraw from the Persian Gulf, withdraw its troops from the Persian Gulf. Articles 10 and 11 state that the US Treasury Department must lift the sanctions prohibiting Iran from selling oil, meaning an end to the sanctions on Iran's oil sales. As for Article 11, the US must unfreeze the assets seized from Iran, which amount to 24 billion dollars. This doesn't even include, Khun Gita, the 300 billion dollars that are claimed to be needed for Iran's reconstruction. Who will host this? Where will the money come from? When will it be paid? How will it be paid? I see it as difficult. Out of the 14 articles, the first article alone has been violated within a day. And I believe Israel will never agree to the US withdrawing from the Middle East conflict because if they withdraw, how will Israel survive, Khun Gita? Because Iran itself, Lebanon, and Hezbollah are also attacking Tel Aviv, Haifa, and Jerusalem, causing significant damage. And the Gaza Strip is still not over because Israel cannot yet enter the Gaza Strip. There are many other problems. But I see this as buying time. Because first, Donald Trump needs to win the midterm elections first. Because if he loses, Donald Trump is finished. He can't do anything for the remaining two years because the power in Congress has veto power, presidential power. Therefore, they must be united. Therefore, they must win first. Second, the US inflation rate is currently soaring uncontrollably, from 3.8% last month to 4.2% now. This inflation rate affects the cost of living for Americans and affects unemployment and employment, according to the CPI index. The yield on 10-year and 30-year bonds has surged to 4.7% and 5.2% respectively. Therefore, I believe the US must retreat, but it may be a temporary retreat. Because I have observed this, how is it possible that Iran is being attacked by Ukraine, the German Chancellor announces readiness for a decisive break with Russia? And what's also noteworthy is that Minister Shinzo Abe met with Kim Jong-un. I believe it's purely about war, and China knows that China and North Korea are about to enter into war across Korea and in the South China Sea. These are all things we need to follow to see if they unfold as we analyze. But the event that has occurred is simply that it hasn't even begun and it has already failed, right?
>> The Israel issue that has occurred has been discussed as a key variable. But this time, even though an agreement has been signed and a peace forum was to be held, Israel continues its attacks on Lebanon. You mentioned that what is Israel's objective, and can no one stop Israel?
>> Khun Gita, have you noticed that Zelensky and Netanyahu arrived around the same time? Do you remember when it was new, and he wanted to make peace with Putin to stop the war? Did Zelensky listen? Zelensky also started this game. Netanyahu is also like this. When it's time to cease fire, he attacks Lebanon, attacks Syria. I think it's like they have a script, where one person's role decreases, and another's role increases, to prolong the war indefinitely with justifications and reasons.
>> What is Israel's justification?
>> Israel knows that if Israel is abandoned by the US, Israel will be destroyed. I dare say, or even NATO, do you remember when Trump said to let NATO handle it, the US won't care about NATO? They were arguing fiercely, right? But in the end, from the G7 summit, I believe they are acting. Today, the side that stands firm with clear ideology or policy is the side of China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea, saying, "You fight, I fight back. You shoot, I shoot back." But the US, have you seen how they constantly adjust their plans? When they are at a disadvantage, what do they do? Negotiate. Yes, and there will be negotiations that are serious, like a 60-day ceasefire, then we will sit and consider. And it fails every time. Since Russia-Ukraine, it hasn't lasted 5 years, Khun Gita. Everyone said it would be over in two weeks. Russia, Iran, and what happened? It's now the fourth month, right? Everything has gone wrong according to what the US or NATO or Israel thought. Because I see it this way, they underestimated the other power bloc.
>> Yes, General Rangsi, but if you analyze that they are acting, does this mean it's a strategy? They walk separately but strike together. America knows that Israel will never agree, and Israel will be the aggressor, while America will be the negotiator.
>> That's what I said, Khun. Which national leader dares to say one thing and do another? How many times has this happened? And they say things that make the listener even more confused. One moment they say peace is in the ICU, the next day they say it's much better. Then they criticize leaders like Putin, Xi Jinping, and Maduro. But in the end, they say Maduro is a respectable and strong leader. This third generation is expected to enable Iran to proceed, to proceed well in peace negotiations. Not even a moment has passed, and they are attacking Lebanon again, right? They violated Article 1 of the MOU. This is the problem. And I believe they are changing faces to play. That's what I've observed. Why is it that as soon as the electronic signing is finished, the ceasefire is declared, and Europe immediately starts a war? And this time, Khun Gita, they attacked Moscow directly, right? And it's reported to be a thousand targets, right? According to the news.
>> Yes.
>> And if Putin decides to attack Europe, oh, that would be a big problem. Because NATO's charter states that if you attack any NATO country, it's considered an attack on all of NATO. And now the German Chancellor has announced that NATO is ready for a decisive war with Russia. And I believe that with Zelensky, there is no charisma to send drones to Moscow.
>> And does Israel have the capability to fight Iran alone without America?
>> Without America, it would be very difficult. Even sending weapons would be difficult. Because, Khun Gita, Israel has only 7 million people and a limited area. Iran has 90 million people.
>> And Iran has strategic weapons that I believe even Iron Dome cannot counter, which are hypersonic drones, which they have proven twice now, Khun Gita. They were completely destroyed. So, there is only one way: America must continue to enter this war. But I believe Trump also said he needs to catch his breath first because there are midterm elections. If he loses, he's finished, right? Therefore, this is a continuous drama. The war in Europe erupts, and it alternates. Have you noticed? The war in Europe is quiet. The Middle East takes center stage. When the Middle East is quiet, they bomb Russia again. Therefore, we must continue to follow to see what happens. And these 14 articles, as I said, the chance of them happening is not easy, but it's buying time. But will it be enough? Because the midterm elections are in 5 months, Khun Gita. Can they endure it? Right? And if this deal fails, I believe there will be chaos. Because no one trusts anyone anymore, no one listens to anyone anymore. Because even after signing, they can tear it up within a few days. How will they negotiate?
>> Is the US side in conflict with Israel, or is Trump in conflict with Netanyahu? And how will these two factions, who were previously allies, resolve this?
>> I see it as not a conflict, but they are taking turns playing. Have you noticed that when Trump was fully involved, Netanyahu disappeared? It's like they are changing hands. When Trump withdrew from NATO, the next person had to deal with Russia. But it's a war they are waiting for the right moment for, because they are not ready. And they have been waiting for many rounds, adjusting their plans many times, but they can't bring them down, Khun Gita. We see it. Russia hasn't been brought down for 5 years. Iran hasn't been brought down for 4 months. Even with America deploying the 7th Fleet, the 5th Fleet, and all sorts of aircraft, they still can't bring them down. And they are also suffering losses. And the conditions, the whole world wonders why Trump is conceding so much. He's willing to give 300 billion dollars, return 24 billion dollars, allow Iran to sell oil, end the boycott. Khun Gita, the whole world wonders why Trump, who was once so tough, demanding nuclear cessation and everything, is now willing to sign. But as soon as he signs, Israel violates it immediately. Therefore, we cannot be complacent about how events will end. And according to what people are analyzing, they say the war will occur in 2070. Because they believe everything will be decisively resolved in 2070, as the economy will be completely ruined. But this time, the plan is disrupted because the steps are wrong. Netanyahu preemptively started the war, thinking he could achieve a surprise attack and succeed. By attacking on the 28th, he himself was dragged down and got stuck for 4 months. Now Trump has adjusted his plan, saying, "I'm out, I'll leave first." That's why, Khun Gita.
>> And if it's like this, what is your outlook for the war scenario in Iran going forward? Will peace ultimately be attempted, or will new wars erupt?
>> I see it this way: if only the first two articles are successfully implemented, and the negotiations conclude within 60 days, everything will be smooth, and all agreements will be followed. In this case, the US might truly withdraw, leaving Israel to fend for itself. But if Israel continues to tear up the MOU by attacking Lebanon indefinitely, or even attacking Iran, Khun Gita, then the deal will have no conclusion. When will the 24 billion be returned? When will the 300 billion be given? I believe Iran will not agree to open the Strait of Hormuz, and if Iran doesn't clear the mines, which ship would dare to enter and control it? And if the US itself does not agree to withdraw its naval base from Oman, it cannot be opened. This means this deal will fail, right? Because there is a deadline, a 30-day deadline. We haven't even discussed the 60 days to discuss the development of uranium into nuclear weapons, which I believe Iran already possesses nuclear weapons, Khun Gita.
>> Yes. And General Rangsi, how do you assess Iran's potential retaliation? Currently, they are trying to adhere to the MOU, but if Israel continues to attack Lebanon, will Iran resort to force and engage in military operations again?
>> I am concerned about this: if Russia and NATO engage in full-scale war, because it has already started, right? Moscow has been bombed. And I believe Putin will never accept this and will retaliate. To what extent will he retaliate? If Russia bombs the country that sent the drones, it falls under NATO's charter, leading to a full-scale European war. And if the US deal collapses, the US will have to fight Iran again, as Donald Trump said, that if the conditions are not met, the US is ready to attack Iran again, right, Khun Gita?
>> Yes.
>> Here, it will open two fronts. This time, it will be even worse, right? If that happens, it will be a complete reversal, Khun Gita. The energy crisis will skyrocket. Then Russia will be embroiled in a war, being a source of oil. The Middle East will be embroiled in war. And if, according to the plan, they close the Strait of Hormuz, it's over. This can happen if the negotiations fail. This is the second scenario we are considering.
>> Yes.
>> If we consider the first scenario, where everything is perfect, then it's over, and people go about their business, cooperating. There are only these two scenarios, Khun Gita.
>> And which scenario do you give more weight to, General Rangsi? Will the deal collapse, or will peace ultimately be achieved?
>> Well, at this moment, I see that Russia has been attacked in Moscow, which has been absent for a long time, right? And Israel is still attacking Lebanon. And the fact that the signing or negotiations in Geneva have stopped, this, the second scenario, has a greater chance of happening. Khun Gita, given the current situation, we must analyze based on the actual factors that are occurring. The situation that is occurring has no positive implications for ending the war.
>> Yes. Previously, General Rangsi mentioned that the war might even spread beyond the Middle East. Do you still assess that risk today? I still assess the risk. If Russia and NATO engage in full-scale war, it means Russia is embroiled in war in Europe. If Iran ultimately fails to negotiate and continues to fight the US, then Iran will be embroiled in war in the Middle East. I ask, will America and its allies allow China and North Korea to remain idle? I don't believe so. This time, if war breaks out in both Europe and the Middle East simultaneously, on two fronts, I believe the third front has a high chance. This is why Xi Jinping flew to meet Kim Jong-un. I believe the mission was purely about war, and I believe Xi Jinping gave Kim Jong-un a mission: if war truly expands here, to the extent of blocking the Strait of Malacca or the Strait of Hormuz, North Korea will be responsible for South Korea and Japan. China will blockade Taiwan, destroy the Philippines, and will have to fight a decisive war at the Strait of Malacca, as I mentioned. China will have to fight both the 7th Fleet at Guam and the 5th Fleet in the Strait of Malacca and the Indian Ocean. This time, all major power blocs will be involved in war, right? Russia will be at war with NATO. America and Israel will be playing with Iran. The US and its allies in the South China Sea will be playing with China and North Korea. That is the worst-case scenario, which no one wants to happen. But is it possible? Don't underestimate it. It is possible. Because, no matter what, we see that every time there is a collapse, since Russia-Ukraine, how many deals have been made, and the war has lasted 5 years? Iran has had two instances, and we see it. The 60-day ceasefire failed. This has just begun, and there are thorns in the 60 days. Israel is not cooperating. And it falls under Article 1, which states that Iran's allies and the US's allies must cease hostilities on all fronts. It hasn't even been a day, Khun Gita, and they are fighting again. And what General Rangsi analyzed earlier, the US side also has pressing factors, especially the midterm elections, which Trump must try to win. Regardless, they don't want oil prices to be high and inflation to be high. Regarding the US elections, will this help temporarily halt the war in Iran? In the next 5 months, Khun Gita, can NATO and Israel wait? Can Zionists wait? Because today, what has stopped is not because anything has improved. Khun Gita, just the energy prices that will decrease, but the economy is already in recession worldwide. Everyone has to accept that even without war, the economy is bad. War is just an accelerator, right? The person I told you, I see it as Trump not making the decision alone. He has to listen to NATO, he has to listen to Israel, but ultimately, he has to listen to the Zionist group primarily. Can you elaborate on why they have such power or influence over Trump, the supreme leader of America?
>> Because the Zionist group is a group that has influence over the US economy. Whether they control the stock market, the money market, the capital market, futures markets, oil futures, everyone knows that Zionists control it all. Because the Zionist group is a large group, and since World War II, their role has been increasing. Khun Gita, think about it. Even Biden follows the Zionists. But Biden chose to open a front against Russia, but ultimately failed because they couldn't bring them down either. So, when things escalated, they opened a front against Iran. This shows that Zionists see the power bloc of China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea as their threat. Because if this group grows larger, with BRICS and the SCO, they become rivals to the G7, right? And if this group continues to grow, the dollar currency, US bonds will devalue further. Because this group is selling off US bonds to do what? To establish digital currencies, whether it's BRICS or digital yuan, backed by gold. This has a severe impact on the dollar. Because don't forget, these people have been setting the world's economic policies for a long time, Khun Gita. Determining all roles, by the G7, whether it's sanctions or embargoes, they used to be effective. If any country was sanctioned by the West, its economy would collapse. But that's not the case now, right? Iran, Russia, what happened? They fought and were sanctioned, but they didn't die, and they could fight back equally. China is getting stronger amidst this economic recession. Therefore, I say, can the Zionist group wait? Because don't forget, US debt is a testament that the Zionist group is regressing. The US economy is running a deficit, and public debt has increased to 40 trillion dollars, which is an enormous, colossal amount. It means that with the current revenue, there is no way to pay off this public debt. No matter how much you do a bond rollover, ultimately, you have to pay off the old debt with interest. Today, the US alone bears interest of 1 trillion dollars.
>> Yes.
>> On a public debt of 40 trillion dollars, Khun Gita, it's enormous. 32 trillion baht, just think about it. Just the interest alone.
>> Yes, General Rangsi. But the US debt has been continuously increasing. Although it is at a new high now, the problem might lie with the debtors, rather than the creditors of the US. Even with high debt, it doesn't have to be paid in full. Is it a problem to the extent that it necessitates war in the near future?
>> Khun Gita, don't forget that in the past, the US set global economic policies. No one dared to defy the US. But I ask today, BRICS is growing, the SCO is growing, and they are starting to ignore the US, starting to abandon the dollar and bonds by selling them off relentlessly. Do you think this affects the Zionists? Because the Zionists' weapon is the dollar. The petrodollar is collapsing today, right? It's not necessary to trade oil in US dollars. US bonds are being dumped continuously. The US has to set record-high yields, Khun Gita. This means the burden keeps increasing. So, I ask, can the Zionist group remain idle? Because the whole world, in the past, whoever defied not using the dollar, I'll give Saddam Hussein as an example. Or Gaddafi. These leaders refused to use the dollar and showed defiance, disobedience. But this time, it's different, Khun Gita. This is why the US must return to being a superpower, and a sole superpower. This is why, Khun Gita, World War III must happen. I ask, what does the US have left today? It has no manufacturing base. The oil they talk about is not there. If the US claims to have a lot of oil from Venezuela, from the US itself, why do Americans have to bear the burden of paying such exorbitant oil prices?
>> Yes.
>> What is being done now is the energy prices, which Americans cannot bear, right? Because Venezuelan oil, they say the refineries in the world that can refine it are from China. Venezuela sells mainly to China because it's dirty oil. They say it's thick oil, and it makes refining oil very difficult and increases costs significantly. This is why, even after seizing it, US oil prices still increased. This is the reason why the group must make the US a sole superpower again. But this time, to be a sole superpower again, how do you do it? You have to eliminate your opponents, right? Biden started with Russia. Donald Trump opened the front in Iran, but both failed. Because if they hadn't failed, Russia and Iran would have been finished long ago, Khun Gita. This is the big problem. But this time, I ask, can they remain idle today? If they remain idle, they die. But if they start a war, it's 50-50, Khun Gita. If they remain idle and withdraw, the US is finished.
>> Yes.
>> Because no one will listen to the US anymore. Even Netanyahu doesn't listen, Zelensky doesn't listen. Which country listens? Even Putin doesn't listen. Even with Donald Trump as a witness, signing the fear, does Zelensky listen? He violates every article, right? This is decay, right? There's only this.
>> And from the perspective of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or the security aspect, how will going to war improve the economy? How will superpower status return, General Rangsi?
>> In the past, those who agreed with the actions, whether it was the Secretary of the Army, the Secretary of the Navy, they all left, right? How many have been dismissed? For those remaining, I believe they are doing it reluctantly. But the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs has warned for a long time that the US is not ready for war. Because the US itself has problems with what? Budget. US weapons are extremely expensive, Khun Gita.
>> Yes.
>> Long-term combat is finished because it's 10 times more expensive than the opposing side, Khun Gita. But I ask, today, has the US planned its army strategy incorrectly by focusing on the navy and air force? That's not it. Today, they are countering the opponent's game with drones and missiles. So, the US must change its strategy, but whether it will be in time or not, we have to wait and see. But regarding your question, why do they know this and still have to start a war? I ask, does the US have any other choice? Today, what about US trade? Where is the production base? Today, the minimum wage in the US is 3,000 baht per day. They say producing one roll of toilet paper costs 100 baht. They can't produce anything. Because Donald Trump tried to impose high tariffs to do what? To encourage people to move their production bases to the US, to create jobs, to reduce deficits. But it couldn't be done because no country dared to invest, Khun Gita, because the cost of living is high, and there is too much laissez-faire.
>> Yes.
>> Right? This is the problem, and the US cannot reverse it now. Therefore, there is only one thing to do: destroy the opposing power blocs. But whether it will succeed or not is a risk. Because the path of stopping the war and retreating is not viable. Khun Gita, why do you think the resources in South American countries, Mexico, Cuba, Venezuela, which they want to seize, can compete with Asia? Asia is currently in an era of prosperity, of boom. Do you see the Belt and Road Initiative is in Asia?
>> Yes.
>> Most of the energy is in Asia.
>> And today, China is the king of commodity products, cheap consumer goods, like what? They have flooded the global market. And today, their weapons are not superior. This is why it has reached the final point. It's like Britain during World War II. Ireland had to surrender its power to the New World Order.
>> But as you mentioned, General Rangsi, senior officials have warned Donald Trump that he should not start a war with Iran because America is not ready and cannot win against Iran. And to start a world war, encountering China and allies like Russia and North Korea, can they handle it?
>> Don't forget, Khun Gita, in these circles, there are those who disagree, but there are also those who are like "tiger generals" who whisper advice, right? "Yes, sir. It's appropriate, sir. You understand."
>> Yes.
>> Ah, so the leaders who ruin the world are like this. The honest ones speak directly, and you don't listen.
>> But these "tiger generals" are called "tiger generals" and "ten thousand charming generals." We have opportunities, we have a great fleet. Ah, and that person acts like a merchant. I ask, what do you know? Right? This can happen in many countries. It has happened from the past to the present.
>> Yes.
>> So, they dismiss people and appoint those who speak what they want to hear, right? This can happen. In Thai politics, it also happens. And there are many of them, these "tiger generals" and "charming generals" that I mentioned.
>> Yes. And regarding the timeline of 2070 that you mentioned, this is within the next year, actually less than a year, only about half a year left. Why 2070?
>> Because they see it this way: they look at the global government debt figures, which are currently around 300 trillion US dollars, and the global GDP is 100 trillion US dollars. It cannot continue. They calculate that ultimately, there will be a great recession of the century. They calculate that it cannot continue. All of Europe, the US, even China will be affected. Russia will also be affected because global purchasing power is shrinking due to the overwhelming public debt of all governments. They see that when the economy declines, competition for resources will occur, and the establishment of rules and regulations that favor one party will happen, Khun Gita. This is why the "Trade Facilitation and Trade Enforcement Act" came about, right? This time, they see that the military power, the comparative war-making potential, today, the US power bloc is not superior to the China-Russia-Iran power bloc like during the Cold War. Therefore, they see that the economy will enter a severe recession in 2069. Therefore, war will occur in 2070. Because World War I and World War II also occurred due to global economic downturns, Khun Gita.
>> Now, finally, General Rangsi, regarding Thailand's preparations, although we have seen oil prices fall recently, as soon as there is a headline that war might return and negotiations fail, oil prices have risen again. Stocks have fallen, and gold has also fallen. What is your advice for Thailand's preparations in this volatile situation?
>> I say, Thailand must adapt. We must look at our own resources first. What do we have? First, Thailand has a very suitable location, a center. We are between the Indian Ocean, the Andaman Sea, the Gulf of Thailand, the Pacific. The climate, the soil are suitable for agriculture and food production, whether it's agricultural or livestock food. We are suitable for everything. The wars or conflicts that will occur, I believe they will require food. Therefore, we must quickly implement policies to make Thailand a complete "Farm Thailand." The term "Farm Thailand" means our CEO, the Prime Minister, must be the CEO of "Farm Thailand." For "Farm Thailand" to happen, we must have a master plan. There must be a major reform of Thai agriculture. We must reduce costs and increase yield per rai. Reducing costs means using machinery, technology, reducing costs from fertilizer, as fertilizer accounts for 50% of production costs in the agricultural sector. Whether it's drones or machinery that replace human labor and can make things faster. The yield means you must invent plant varieties, rice varieties, sugarcane varieties that are resistant to pests and can produce more per rai. For irrigation, you must use technology for irrigation. You must be someone who finds advance markets for agriculture. You must increase the value of agricultural products through preservation and processing, because the disadvantage of agricultural products is their short shelf life. Packaging must be top-notch. Utilize land resources to their fullest extent, as land rent is only a few hundred baht per rai per year. If you find advance production, advance orders, you can plan. Because don't forget, our agricultural production is zoned. This zone grows durian, this zone grows rice, this zone grows sugarcane. It's even easier with projects. You must strive to make us a logistics hub or a transportation center. Not just transporting goods, Khun Gita. Tourists also come. They can come by rail, by road, by sea. And if you invite both America and China, it will succeed. Because don't forget, the Panama Canal Phase 2, the distance, the distance of the Kra Isthmus. Donald Trump said he must seize the Panama Canal Phase 2, which China also wants. So, let's build the Kra Isthmus in our country. We hold 40%, America 30%, China 30%. I believe they will accept it. And all of this, do you understand? If we become the center of transportation by sea, by road, by rail, we are not just transporting goods, Khun Gita. Tourists also come. They can come by rail, by road, by sea. And if you bring these major powers, who will object? And if you make your country the center of food for the world, with nearly 100 million rai of land, to manage water, to allocate land for cultivation, to plan cultivation, to find advance agricultural orders. The Prime Minister is the CEO of Farm Thailand. The Minister of Commerce is the head of Thailand's Marketing. The Minister of Agriculture is the head of Thai farmers. Yes, managing water, fertilizer factories, state fertilizer factories, eliminating middlemen, Chinese imports, etc., all of them. Let's do G2G for all projects, government to government. Under these circumstances, I believe it's still possible if we do it now. Because the war, as they say, will erupt in 2070. I see the bottom.
>> And when it erupts, Khun Gita, believe me, rice will be as valuable as oil, partly. We will suppress domestic inflation, making consumer goods prices cheaper, lowering the cost of living. And these goods can be exchanged for energy, for other technologies, for other raw materials, Khun Gita. And if many Thais become unemployed, bring these people back to the agricultural sector. I believe everyone will have to do it, because if you don't, you'll starve. But it's a future-oriented endeavor because you have already secured advance orders. Like with Iran, we might exchange oil for oil. We can exchange urea with Russia. We can exchange with China for anything. We can get solar panels. We can deal with the US, we can get their money to sell to them. Simply put, because don't forget, if war truly breaks out, businesses will change a lot, Khun Gita. Luxury goods will be out. Energy and food will be the most essential things for humanity, for 8 billion people. And we have the expertise and experience already. And it's creating jobs, creating careers, increasing income, competition. Think about it. If you build two projects, and along both sides of the railway, there are agricultural industrial estates, industrial estates. You can map it out. Even if you connect the railway from Vientiane to Nong Khai, then from Nong Khai to Bangkok, from Bangkok, it splits to the west, connecting to Myanmar, to the Mae Sot Special Economic Zone, to Phu Nam Ron, and south to connect to the Kra Isthmus. This project must be done. And we must revolutionize our country. Because our debt is enormous, public debt, government debt, business debt, 55 trillion baht, Khun Gita. And if we do that, our country will not be attacked. Because both the US and China will invest and link with us. We are a food source. We sell to both countries. Two blocs fighting, we sell food. This is what we must consider. It's not impossible, but it's better than being stuck and doing nothing now. We are finished. And if it doesn't work, we adjust the plan. But I believe it can work. Creating jobs, creating careers, Thais who are unemployed return. Cultivate and consume. The government dictates everything. Everything is G2G. Forget about sharing the cake. The whole country will fail. Your debt is this much. You need to change your strategy. You need to find money to pay debts, to earn a living. This comes first. But there are many more details. You need a Prime Minister and a Council of Ministers who are extremely capable and practical, not just talkers. And they must be adaptable, brave in making decisions, and brave in dealing. If you are not brave enough to talk to Donald Trump, Putin, Khamenei, don't bother. You need to be Batman. Superman means you have to fly out to meet these people, to negotiate. You need to be Batman, meaning you have to stomp on the corrupt, the criminals in the city. Ultraman is not enough because Ultraman only has 3 minutes and has to fly to recharge with sunlight.
>> Yes. Thank you very much, General Rangsi, for your time today. Thank you very much. Goodbye.
>> Yes. Goodbye, Khun Gita. Goodbye, viewers.
>> Hello. The vision of General Rangsi regarding adapting to a "war economy" system. We still have risks related to geography, risks of a major war, which the military and security sectors believe has a chance of occurring next year. The way for us to survive is through mega-projects to generate income and jobs in our country. And to produce goods that are beneficial to the world during times of global hardship, which are goods we already excel at, namely agricultural products and utilizing strategic land or geographical locations for benefit. Investment in projects like the Kra Isthmus or industrial estates in strategic zones will lead to cooperation with major powers like America and China. If there is cooperation and we are important as a global food source, we will survive being used as a military base or being attacked. That is what General Rangsi sees as Thailand's survival plan. As for the world today, it remains very fragile. The scenario of war in Iran going forward has two possibilities. First, ultimately, they must try to make the MOU progress, as it has been signed. However, today's ceremonies or activities for meetings between the representatives of both sides will not happen due to the problem of Israel attacking Lebanon, causing the first round of negotiations to not take place. But if, ultimately, the political interests and economic pressures on Iran allow both sides to continue negotiations, peace can be achieved temporarily. But if, on the other hand, both sides cannot reach an agreement, the problem of Israel's attacks in Lebanon will cause Iran to refuse to proceed with the MOU. America has already stated that if Iran does not comply with the MOU, they will attack again. War may occur again. And this outbreak, General Rangsi is concerned, could spread beyond the Middle East to other strategic areas connected to other power blocs, namely China, such as in the Strait of Malacca or the Taiwan Strait area, which are also risk zones. All of this is a scenario that is called the worst-case scenario. We hope it doesn't happen, but if it does, both Asia and the world must prepare to face major security threats. That is what General Rangsi sees in two aspects. And we hope it turns into the first aspect, where they talk and try to follow the MOU. It must be said that the MOU has several fragile points, including the issue of nuclear weapons, the management of the Strait of Hormuz, the management of Iran's assets in very large monetary figures. And another point is the negotiation and the need to comply with all conditions before further negotiations can take place in the future after 60 days. The situation remains volatile and fragile. We will continue to follow the situation and provide in-depth perspectives to everyone as much as possible. As for the reaction of the money and capital markets, it is currently not good. We have seen gold prices fall by more than 80 dollars, and oil prices have risen again to around 80 dollars. For Brent crude oil, the dollar is now trading above 100 for the dollar index. The Thai baht has weakened. It is clearly evident that the capital markets are very volatile with the current immediate situation. We will analyze further shortly from an academic perspective, closely following the Middle East situation from the Faculty of Political Science, Chulalongkorn University. As for this live broadcast, time is up. Thank you all very much for watching. If you wish to follow General Rangsi for in-depth analysis of global geopolitics, we will have a forum on July 5th. It is called Thailand Gold Summit 2026. General Rangsi will also participate and analyze the global geopolitical landscape, as well as topics related to safe-haven assets and strategic assets. Anyone who wishes to follow General Rangsi is invited to attend the Thailand Gold Summit 2026. You can register to attend. This event is free throughout. This live broadcast is now over. We will see you in the next live broadcast. Gita and the team bid farewell. Goodbye.