Transcription
Good morning, friends and enemies. Welcome back into rankings week, where we will wrap up after we've done running backs, we've done wide receivers. This video will actually be a combination of quarterbacks and tight ends, cuz nobody got time for two of those videos. So, we'll be running through my top 20 quarterback rankings for the 2026 fantasy season. As always, we will be tiering them. We will be talking about them in the tight end position. I will be doing my top 15 rankings and tiers. So, if you have not yet watched the running back and or wide receiver version of these videos, they will be linked in the show notes below, as will timestamps for every single player. We always do that for y'all because we love you. We don't hate you, even though some of you are our enemies.
We'll jump into the quarterbacks first. Elite QB1 tier, we have Joshua Allen out in Buffalo. We have Lamar Jackson in Baltimore. I don't, I just don't think there's a lot of explanation needed here with Josh Allen. He has been a top two fantasy quarterback for about six straight years. So, we're good there. Lamar Jackson also finds himself in this tier. Okay. Uh, I'm, I'm very much in on a Lamar Jackson bounceback. I will be drafting him as if this was 2022, 23, 24 all over again. He dealt with the hamstring last year, and to me, that was almost the entirety of what happened with Lamar Jackson. When you look at his rush attempts last year, something that I brought up a few times throughout the summer, like the rush attempt numbers every single year are insanely high. And then last year, look at the outlier. Yes, he played a few less games, 67. Like, you tell me where the outlier is here and you tell me where he normally is as a player. So the hamstring, I think, just dunked his season, and, um, fully in on a bounceback for Lamar Jackson. Don't think he's at the end of his career, despite being in the prime of his career. So draft Lamar Jackson as an elite quarterback this year once again in fantasy. The only downside I can see is a little bit of risk switching to a new offensive coordinator. Tom Monin now in Cleveland. But like, it's Lamar Jackson, man. What are we doing?
We'll move on to tier number two, and this is a very big tier. This is the strong quarterback one tier, where listen, if you're in a one quarterback league and any of these guys are your starters, I think you're going to be fine. If they're your quarterback one in a superflex league, I think you're going to be fine. My general strategy when it comes down to superflex leagues is that, you know, decide on the 14, 17, 19 quarterbacks that you would be comfortable starting in a one QB league and then make sure you get two of the quarterbacks within that range. I don't think you need to have a first round pick. I don't think you need a Josh Allen, a Lamar. I don't think you need to spend up for a Burrow or Jayden Daniels. I think you could be fine with a combination of Trevor Lawrence and Jackson Dart or Drake May and Jordan Love, someone we'll talk about a little bit later in this video. But we have the strong quarterback one tier, and for the most part, it is the best pocket passers in the NFL and then young athletic upside quarterbacks who add a nice rushing floor here. So Burrow, you know, he's probably got the most live arm in the NFL, if not, you know, one of them. Got Jamar Chase, T. Higgins, a bad defense. Still going to throw the ball 600 times and probably put up 4,800 yards. So not overthinking Burrow there. Jaden Daniels, another one that I'm super in on, just betting on a bounceback after the explosive rookie season. And it's just like, it's one of those guys where you don't have to worry about like his passing touchdown rate falling off or him even being an incredible quarterback and him needing to get to the level of QB play accuracy-wise that he was as a rookie because the rushing floor is so high. I think people kind of forget that he's a dude that can pop off for 35 fantasy points on a given week because he can rip off a 60-yard touchdown run. So Jaden, another dude I'm very much buying back in on, uh, for 2026. Getting rid of Cliff Kingsbury, I think, is going to be huge for this offense and just being more progressive and, and allowing Jaden Daniels, I think, to do what he does best there. That is probably the thing I'm most excited for in this offense.
Justin Herbert, I very high, much higher than consensus in quarterback rankings. I've talked about him a lot this offseason. I thought the health of the offensive line, getting Slater and Joe Alt back, is huge. Obviously they drafted Jake Slaughter in the second round this year to shore up the interior, as well as signing Tyler Biottish to further secure that interior of the offensive line. So, I think their offensive line now becomes an asset for the team. They bring in Mike McDaniel. Justin Herbert also showed an awesome rushing ability, similar to like Trevor Lawrence last year, where now that becomes an asset. So, I think all these things for fantasy are kind of aligning to see a pop, pop, pop, pop year from Herbert. Even though we saw that like he, he threw for 5,000 yards, his second year in the NFL, one of nine quarterbacks all time to do it. And now you sprinkle in McDaniel, very creative offensive mind. Now you sprinkle in that rushing ability that he showed last year. Second in the NFL in rushing yards last year among quarterbacks. So Herbert, I think, kind of is the total package that people are not really looking at it from a fantasy perspective that way.
Drake May, another guy with just a lot of rushing upside. A little bit weary just because like I, I know he's a pretty popular pick at quarterback three, four, five in that range. I have him at quarterback six only because I still do worry a little bit about like the schedule being a bit tough this year as compared to last year, where you know when we got into the playoffs and he was playing harder teams and the defenses got tougher, he struggled a little bit there. So I will say, you know, there, I think there's a world where like he finishes as the quarterback 8 or 10 this year. So I think I'd rather just not pay that like premium like we saw with Jaden Daniels last year and, and kind of just throw him into the mix and it's like if he falls to me, cool. You know, they did add AJ Brown, obviously a huge boost to him. Grabbed Romeo DOB. So, I think the, the weaponry there is definitely better, but I worry a little bit about the struggles he had against really, really good defenses last year, but also provides great rushing upside.
Same thing with Trevor Lawrence. I think we saw that side of his game really like flourish last year. Quarterback seven, love the receiver groups between Parker Washington, Jacobe Meyers, Brian Thomas Jr., Brentton Strange, Bashaw Toning out of the back field. Liam Cohen just being the designer of that offense. Travis Hunter is like your fifth weapon in the offense. And I think what Trevor Lawrence did on the ground last year to me is really sticky, and I think they're going to continue to use him inside the 10 and five yard line because that's a great weapon for them. So is he going to get nine rushing touchdowns? No. But I think he's probably a dude who will annually rip off somewhere between like four, five, six. And yeah, maybe the touchdown rate does duplicate again and he goes for six or seven, and at that point, you are looking at again a top five fantasy quarterback. So I think things are starting to click because they got weapons that Trevor Lawrence can trust. They got an offensive scheme that's really, really good. Like, Tilawa to me feels like what he did in fantasy last year, whether or not you believe in his arm, like his accuracy on a down-to-down basis, not of a concern to us this year in fantasy. I just think the, the, the overall situation for Trevor Lawrence and what we saw last year should be really exciting going into this year. And if he was my quarterback one, I'd be fine with it. And again, all these guys are kind of in the same tier where feel good about all of them being my starter.
Same thing with Jaylen Herz. I think the biggest situation change here, loses AJ Brown, but to be honest with you, getting rid of Kevin Patulo and that terrible offensive scheme and play calling there to me is the world of difference, cuz again, you're not drafting Jaylen Herz to be a dude who throws for 4,500 yards and 35 passing touchdowns. What you need from Jaylen Herz is him to get back to scoring 10, 12, 14 rushing touchdowns. And when he does that, he's a dude who annually averages over 20 points per game. So, I think Dvonte Smith is going to be able to step up. Dallas Carter was really good for them last year. They also drafted Mai Lemon in the first round. Eli Sters, we'll see how involved he gets this year, but I think we'll have a healthier offensive line. We'll have a better play call and a better offensive scheme. So, I'm also very, very optimistic about a nice bounceback for Jaylen Herz getting back to that 8 to 12 rushing touchdown mark and, and therefore cementing himself as, you know, a really nice mid quarterback one.
Stafford comes in at quarterback 9 off of his MVP season. Obviously, just an unbelievable talent throwing the football. Puka, Devonte Adams, the scheme with Shawn McVey, the offensive line, he's got it all. I will say I think like the touchdown rate is naturally going to regress a little bit. And one of my other concerns is that the defense now with Miles Garrett and, and adding all these cornerbacks to the room, like they're going to be so good on the defensive side of the ball that there will be so few games in which they're going to need to throw the ball, you know, 35 to 40 times, which, you know, wasn't always the case last year either. And Stafford was just so efficient inside the red zone and so efficient inside the 10 yard line. It was like a passing touchdown every time they got in there. But I could see the volume just taking a little bit of a step back given the fact that their defense is so good. They also have a pretty tough schedule this year.
Right after Stafford, we have kind of a similar player in Dak Prescott, where I think they're going to throw the ball a ton. I really like the scheme from Shotti out there. George Pickins, CD Lamb, Jake Ferguson. Good offensive line. Like everything, I think, is working in Dak Prescott's favor. He just doesn't really add the rushing upside that he did early on in his career, where it's like Dak Prescott, I think, this is just off the top of my head. I believe he had six rushing touchdowns in each of the first three seasons he was in the NFL. And he was kind of like that underrated, you know, the Trevor Lawrence of right now, the Justin Herbert of right now, where you're like, "All right, he's got a live arm." But he also adds this like floor of rushing ability to it, where he doesn't really have that anymore. And that can be supplemented obviously by these massive passing games. And I think we'll see that a lot with Dak. But you know, he's, he's in here again, fine with him as my QB1. They run a lot of play action. They run a lot of plays. They run a lot of passing plays especially. So love the offensive environment.
Same thing with Brock Pury. Another dude who's just like underrated in fantasy and has been for the last couple years. He was like the quarterback I think three or four in overall points per game last year. So he missed a lot of time and M. Jones played a lot. But when Pury was on the field, his touchdown rate is always so high because Kyle Shanahan is such a good play caller. They lose a lot of pieces in the, you know, in the receiver game, but they do bring in Mike Evans obviously. They bring in Christian Kirk. They draft dribbling very early in the second round. KD, we'll see. You know, I, I kind of think KD, we'll talk about him a little bit later in the video, but he'll probably be more of a red zone target than the explosive playmaker, but you still have Christian McCaffrey. Hopefully, we can get a full 17 out of Ricky Pieraw. But overall, I'm not concerned about the weapons group despite it being such a high turnover rate and churn rate over the last few years. It's just like Kyle Shanahan, Brock Pury, love the combination. As you can see, his Vegas line here 27 and a half, which rivals Dak Prescott. It's below guys like Joe Burrow and Matt Stafford, but it's still above almost all the rushing quarterbacks. It's above Drake May. Above Trevor Lawrence, obviously above Jaylen Herz, but above all these other guys, too. So, I think Brock Pury will get it done through the air. And he's another dude who is liable to go off for four, five, six rushing touchdowns any given year, which he did last year. So, that's another little added floor. I think they, they like to let him use his legs and he's got a sneaky floor because of it.
I've got Caleb Williams at quarterback 12, which is significantly lower than ADP. He's up at quarterback 7 in ADP. So, I'm five spots lower. Fine to have him as my quarterback one. Not gonna be someone I saw or I heard recently that his ADP in like super flex leagues on underdog right now is at the one-two turn. He's like the 11th or 12th pick, which is crazy to me. Like I wouldn't be taking him over guys like CMAC or Aman Ross St. Brown. The offense, I think, needs to have a little bit more consistency on a down-to-down basis. I think they want to move the ball through their run game. Caleb's awesome on the ground. He's so [ __ ] fast. We'll have to see the completion rate from Caleb Williams again. That, that's my biggest concern, is like can we see more consistency out of his arm being accurate and making smarter plays. And I think the explosiveness and the high upside plays on a down-to-down basis is kind of skewed the way that we're projecting Caleb Williams. But again, I'm, I'm making the case for why I have him at quarterback 12. Still a guy that I would be fine with at quarterback one. Ben Johnson year two, the weapons are, you know, entering their prime right now: Coulson Lovelin, Luther Burden, Roma Dunay, a good offensive line, a great scheme, a mobile quarterback. So fine to have him, but won't be taking him above guys that I think are almost elite.
And you have Jackson Dart, who's kind of like the most mystery box in here. He's the end of the strong quarterback tier for me. He's quarterback 13. The rushing ability is crazy. As you can see, his rushing yard line is at 450 and a half with five and a half touchdowns. That yardage line is higher than Jaylen Herz. It's higher than Drake May. His touchdown line is higher than Jaden Daniels. So they use him a ton inside, you know, inside the 10 yard line. He scrambles obviously a ton. I don't know how much we can expect out of his arm. One, we don't really know how good of a quarterback he is throwing the ball. So, I think that's a little bit of a question mark. And then obviously the weapons are a huge question mark in New York, where Malik Neighbors: the news has been really bad. He might start the year on the PUP, if not like almost more likely to happen than not happen. Wel Robinson is no longer there. So, the weapons in the passing game are questionable at best. I don't know how many games we're going to get out of Jackson Dart where he throws for more than like 220 yards this year. So you're, you're drafting Jackson Dart as a guy who can like add a ton of explosive plays with his legs. He's got the concussion concerns as well. So like if you want to throw that in there or factor that in there, but I'm fine with him down at quarterback 13. I think this is probably about the right ranking when you factor in upside, floor, all that kind of stuff together.
And the final tier we will be talking about in this video is the strong streamers tier. We've got Patrick Mahomes, Bo Nicks, Jordan Love, Kyler Murray, Tyler Chuck, and Jared Goff. Mahomes down here at quarterback 14. That's right in line with ADP. I don't think the fantasy community is dumb to like the name Patrick Mahomes being a really, really flashy guy. I think he's been subpar for the last, you know, three, four years in terms of fantasy. Last year, he really turned it up because he uses his legs a lot, but he's obviously coming off that torn ACL. The weapons group is fine. They bring in Kenneth Walker to be probably more of a presence in the ground game and like make the ground game much more of a presence in their offense while Mahomes kind of returns from that ACL tear. So you have an aging Kelsey, you have a Rashi Rice who's great when he's on the field. A lot of off-the-field questions, also not like a true alpha that you can kind of like bank on to separate on any given down. I'm not a huge Xavier Worthy guy. So like, you know, I think they have a decent amount of like gimmicky guys in their offense and like gone are the days where teams weren't playing cover two and we had Tyreek Hill and stuff like that. So with Mahomes, yeah, if, if, if he ends up being my, you know, quarterback two in Superflex, going to feel great about that. Obviously, if I have to stream him, going to feel fine about that. Overall, not, you know, super excited about Mahomes at fantasy this year.
Bo Nicks right behind him. He's been a guy who's, you know, thrown the ball a ton the last couple years, and they have a great offensive line. You got a great scheme with Shawn Payton. You add Jaylen Wadd to the group, and now that I'm kind of like talking about it out loud, Bo Nicks is also a runner. He's coming off the fractured ankle, but I think he should be fully cleared to go by training camp. So, I'm not overly concerned about his short-term view with his ankle. So, I actually, now that I'm thinking about it, might throw Bo Nicks over Patrick Mahomes here. But I think they're in the same kind of tier.
Right after him, we've got Jordan Love at quarterback 16. I love the spot for Jordan Love. And to be honest with you, like I, I had trouble leaving him off the strong quarterback one tier. Like we saw him have such a big fantasy year in 2023. Haven't really had that come to fruition. We need a year where they lean a little bit more into the passing game. And I think Jordan Love can easily find himself as like a top eight fantasy quarterback again. We haven't really seen that since Josh Jacobs has come over. But Josh Jacobs is, you know, dealing with some off-the-field stuff where there's a world he gets suspended and they will have to lean a little bit more on Jordan Love. The offensive line's a little bit of a concern, but we love the scheme. I've got him four spots above ADP. He's at quarterback 20, which I'd be super happy to get Jordan Love as my quarterback two in, uh, Superflex Leagues. Yeah, overall I, I like the situation for Love. I, I like Love as a player. We just need to see a little bit of an uptick in, uh, in pass attempts there in Green Bay.
Next up, I've got Kyler Murray, who was a full fade for me last year. He moves over to Minnesota now. Obviously, I think he's almost definitely going to win the starting job over JJ McCarthy there. Got a phenomenal weapons group. Got a phenomenal offensive scheme with KC. Obviously, really good offensive line. So, all the weapons are there. Uh, Kyler Murray feels like a no-brainer quarterback two in Superflex. He, he will be a dude where if like if that opportunity presents itself, I'd be happy to grab him there, where it's like, okay, we're all off him because I think we've realized he's not a great NFL quarterback at this point, but that doesn't matter in fantasy. He's going to run the ball. He's got a great scheme. He's got a great system. He's got a great weapons group here. His touchdown rate is really never going to be high. Like I'm really not expecting him to throw for many touchdowns. As you can see, Vegas's line for him is at 17 and a half. But on a game-by-game basis, I think you're going to see some, some really strong games for Kyler Murray. You're going to be glad more often than not that you have him than you don't have him, especially at this price of quarterback 17. Last year, he was going as like the quarterback 10 or 11, and I hated that price for him. But now, you start to drop to the point where it's like, ah, people don't really want him anymore. And I think he's kind of like the perfect play at this price. Got a great playoff schedule. Detroit, Washington, the New York Jets, like just doesn't get much better than that.
I will say the only caveat that I kind of want to just put on record here. I don't feel strongly about it, but I haven't really heard it talked about. I do think there's a world where Kyler Murray could get benched for some, some time this year for JJ McCarthy. Not for like a talent perspective, but I think when you're a franchise that invests as much as you did into JJ McCarthy, you still want to keep him on a leash and like allow the opportunity to present itself to like see if there's something here. Like clearly last year he wasn't ready. But you could see a world where they're like, you know, eight weeks in, 10 weeks into the season and maybe they hit a stretch where Kyler Murray's like really struggling and the team goes 0 and 4 at one point and like JJ's obviously just sitting back there learning, feeling more comfortable in the system and they're like 10 weeks in and they're like, "Okay, JJ's been playing well at practice. Like Kyler's really struggling. Like JJ, you're going to start this upcoming week." And maybe it doesn't last long and JJ's just the same JJ he was last year. But I could see a world where, like, and I think that's probably why Kyler's season long numbers are so, so low because they're kind of baking in the risk of JJ getting a handful of starts, whether it's one or whether it's like two, three, four in that range. Could see that being an outcome. Again, not most likely outcome, but like obviously a franchise that invests that much, like you want to see that player do well, and if they think he's playing well throughout the year and Kyler struggling at some point throwing the ball, like you could see a quarterback switch up, I think. Does it last a full year? Like probably not, cuz I think we probably know what JJ is, but you never know.
Right after Kyler, quarterback 18, we have Tyler Shuck. As you can see, just an unbelievably good schedule for the Saints coming into the year. Tyler Shuck was great over the second half of the year. They add Jordan Tyson to that weapons group to put him alongside Chris Alave. So now they're a strong weapons group. You add Travis Etienne into the backfield. The offensive line is really good. They signed David Edwards over from Buffalo who's going to, you know, shore up that offensive line. The pace in a Kell Moore offense is blistering. They are running so many plays per game. They are inside the dome. They got that turf. They've got almost all of their games in this great environment where you really won't have to worry about whether they're going to throw the ball a billion times. Like this is just on paper when you do the math. People who do projections are going to love Tyler Shuck. So I don't have him super high cuz I'm like a little bit questionable on what his actual ceiling is over the course of a full season. But again, if he's my quarterback two in Superflex, I feel pretty good about that.
Lastly, the last quarterback we'll talk about quickly is Jared Goff, quarterback 19. I think we know what Jared Goff is. His, his Vegas numbers are really strong. 4,000 passing yards, 29 passing touchdowns. That's like right around where Dak Prescott is. My concerns with Jared Goff would be twofold. We have the offensive line who have lost a lot of pieces over the last two offseasons. Taylor Decker is gone. Graham Glasgow is gone. They lost, um, I don't know why it's not coming to me right now, uh, the guy who retired last year, but you know, three of their five starting linemen from like the last half to to full decade that people have gotten accustomed to knowing of the offensive line are not there anymore. And secondly, we've got Drew Petzing coming in, the former Arizona offensive coordinator who was a mess there in terms of the passing game. So those are the two downside cases, but even last year in the first year without Ben Johnson, Jared Goff still threw for like 4,500 yards, 30 plus touchdowns. So, and he's probably a bit underrated. He's just, you know, he's just a little bit boring.
So, there you have it. The top 19 quarterbacks: we got Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Jaden Daniels, Justin Herbert, Drake May, Trevor Lawrence, Jaylen Herz, Matthew Stafford, Dak Prescott, Brock Py, Caleb Williams, Jackson Dart, Patrick Mahomes, Bo Nick Knicks, Jordan Love, Kyler Murray, Tyler Shuck, and Jared Goff.
Now, we will move over to the tight end position. Wrap this video up here. As always though, however, if you want to get these rankings and have these numbers, all the, the Vegas lines, the schedule, all that kind of stuff just readily available to you at any time throughout the summer getting ready for your drafts, in drafts, whatever, this is all available on bdgeg.co if you become a fantasy member. That is our monthly membership. It will include all the rankings. It will include our draft guide, everything you need to dominate your league in this upcoming season. And if you are a new user on MGM, never been on the app or the website before, and you sign up with our code BDGE, play any slip on there for $10 or more, and as soon as you place that slip, you will get a promo code for our website where you get the fantasy membership, the entire membership on the entire website actually, for 3 months free. So, all you got to do, sign up for a new account on MGM, use code BDGE. When you do so, place any slip for $10 and they will send you an in-app code to use on our website. Three months free of everything we have to offer. Fantasy tools, trivia tools, trivia games, all that kind of stuff.
All right, elite tight end one tier. Not too different than the quarterback tier here. We've got Brock Bowers as my tight end one. We've got Trey McBride as my tight end two, which is actually how ADP sees it as well. They like Bowers over McBride. They're both great players, both going very early. Brock Bowers. I think the bull case here is now we have real quarterbacks. We have either Kirk Cousins who loves targeting tight ends, and or Fernando Mendoza, the number one overall pick. But more, more importantly, you have a real offensive line there in Las Vegas with Colton Miller coming back and them signing Tyler Linderbound. But Clint Kubak comes in as the coach, and that scheme is going to open things up for Brock Bowers. There is no target competition in Las Vegas right now. So Bowers could end up seeing 8, 10, 12 targets per game and just being a [ __ ] monster this year. McBride coming off of one of the best fantasy seasons of all time. You just kind of question, do they pass the ball as much as they did last year? Michael Wilson, Marvin Harrison, quarterback situation, Jacobe Brassette versus Carson Beck kind of thing. So, both studs though.
Moving on to tier number two. This is the strong tight end one tier, where I think all these guys, outside of probably the last guy here, will treat you very well in your lineups. That is Coulson Lovelin at tight end three, Tyler Warren, Harold Fannon, Sam Laapora, Tucker Craft, Dallas Goddard, and Kyle Pittz senior. So Coulson Lovelin is, is the, is the, the, the apple of everyone's eye this offseason, and he was just so good over the second half of last year. Just dominating in targets per route run, yards per route run, became the centerpiece of the Bears passing offense, and I think we're just going to see that show itself more and more in year two, and we could be in for an explosive year. You know, my biggest hesitation on his upside is literally just like, does the Chicago Bears passing offense top 4,000 yards? Like, and if they don't, can we have multiple weapons like really end up eating? I do think Lovelin ends up being probably the best player in this offense in, uh, 2026. And the fact that Ben Johnson went out, you know, obviously handpicked him, top 10 pick. We saw what he did with Sam Leaport in his rookie year. So, I think like, you know, the ceiling is incredibly high for a dude like Coulson Lovelin, and I've been completely talked into him this offseason as the clear tight end three.
Next up, we got Tyler Warren. And honestly, I would probably like him as much as I liked Coulson Loveland this year had Daniel Jones not been coming off the injury. Though, I don't know how, uh, how much that really affects him, to be honest with you. You do have Michael Pitman out of the way, which is, you know, you can't really talk enough about how big of a target share impact that's going to be for a guy like Tyler Warren and Josh DS. And now you have Alec Pierce with kind of like weird reports about his ankle. We don't know if he's going to be ready for week one. He might start the year on the PUP. And if that's the case, I mean, Tyler Warren could have a, you know, a 25 to 30% target share in this offense. He was phenomenal as a rookie. We need to see a little bit of a spike in, in touchdowns, I think, to really see him get to his ceiling, but Warren was as good as any rookie tight end we've seen in previous years. So, while I think Daniel Jones will be limited in terms of his mobility, I don't know how much that really impacts Tyler Warren, who is a guy who can play around the line of scrimmage, who he's not a guy like Alec Pierce who's running 50 yard fades down the field. So, I don't really think the Daniel Jones injury is like super impactful to a dude like Tyler Warren, and now you're looking at the rest of the receiver room like injury, injury, injury. Warren can have a ridiculously high target share.
Harold Fannon is my tight end five. I want to rank him higher. He's so fun. He's so explosive. He's just such a good pass catching tight end, but as anyone can point out that has eyeballs, he is attached to the Cleveland Browns passing game, which I don't know if I can really happily project them to, to throw the ball for more than 3,000 yards this year. On top of that, they drafted a first round wide receiver in Casey Conpsion. They drafted a second round wide receiver in Denzel Boston. They have Jerry Judy still there. I'm sure they want to try to establish their own Quinch Judkins. So, while I do think Harold Fannon will probably be the most reliable week-to-week pass catcher, it's just scary, you know, attaching yourself to a Browns team. So, wish I could rank him higher, but just can't do it, you know?
Then we've got Sam Laora, who I think he's just like a boring veteran to people, but I like Sam Laora, man. If my fantasy team just has Sam Laora as like the guy sitting in the way I like to approach tight end, it's like if I get an elite guy, cool. If not, I still want a guy that I can rely on. Like, I want someone in the strong tight end one tier. Not one of those dudes who's like, "All right, I'll fade all these guys and I'll just stack like two or three guys from the next tier and just like stream them on a week-to-week basis." I like, I like a dude who will go four for 50 every single week with a touchdown every other week. Like that to me is a great fantasy tight end. That's what Sam Laaporta is. When all is healthy, I think that Sam Laaporta is the clear number two in the passing game behind Aman Ross St. Brown. I think they do a lot of great things with Sam Laaporta. He had the back injury last year, but from everything I've heard and expect, he should be full go by training camp and there's no actual residue left over from the injury to his back. So, I'm, I'm full ahead of steam on Sam Leaporta. And while I was talking about being pessimistic about Drew Petzing, I will say the one thing: if we look at the Arizona offense, who ate there? Who ate there? The running game was pretty good, but who ate there? Trey McBride, tight end. So, Sam Laora, not concerned. I'm a fan of Sam Laora this year. I think he's like the boring guy who will drop to tight end, you know, 8 or 10 in a lot of your drafts, and you could feel pretty good just putting him in your lineup and then not touching it again for the rest of the year.
Tucker Craft, much higher upside play here, and I think I'll probably own a lot of Tucker Craft this year. He's my tight end seven. He's coming back from a pretty significant ACL tear, but being 25 years old, typically the data does favor guys that are that young. Green Bay, if you guys watched my interview with Dr. Morris last week, you know, sports physician. We went pretty in-depth on Tucker Craft, and he was, you know, a big proponent of drafting Tucker Craft this year. Green Bay is a medical staff that is notoriously known for like taking their time on injuries, and they won't give the green flag until they feel 100% confident on Tucker Craft. So, if Tucker Craft is good to go for the start of the season, that makes us feel really good about where he is medically. And I think Tucker Craft is probably the best playmaker or the most reliable piece for Jordan Love. Like we saw him, obviously he was in full breakout mode before he got hurt last year. I think we're probably just going to see that pick back up where it was. So Craft is a dude where I don't typically draft guys who are injured, but I'm, I'm pretty in on Craft this year. And I would be ecstatic to have him as a guy that you can get as tight end six, seven or eight in, in your drafts, like in the middle later rounds of your draft, because people are scared of the injury. I am not one of them.
We've got Dallas Goddard. I mean, to me, obviously scoring 11 touchdowns last year definitely not going to happen. And he's not a huge touchdown guy, but they got him very involved in the red zone last year. And I mean, again, the splits when AJ Brown is not there. Dallas Goddard is another dude that benefits from that. So, I think him and Devonte Smith are going to see a huge target share in this offense because there's no more AJ Brown. So, I like Dallas Goddard. I think he'll be probably a little bit more volatile on a week-to-week basis because his weekly floor seems to be a lot lower than some of these other guys. But, I think Dallas Goddard is fine.
And then lastly, we have Kyle Pittz, who's [ __ ] cone on the football field. But I think I do have to acknowledge that the Falcons have quite literally nothing behind Drake London running routes downfield. So, you know, people are like, "Oh, Tua loves tight." Like, that's like you're just saying things. Tu doesn't love when the [ __ ] did Tua ever throw to tight ends? What are you talking about? Regardless, whatever. Kyle Pittz will see six targets a game.
And the final tier of this video will be the strong streamers in the tight end category. And we've got like eight dudes here. We got Travis Kelce who's my tight end 10. Concaid, Isaiah likely, George KD, Brentton Strange, Jake Ferguson, Joan John Stain, Jiggy, and Hunter Henry. Kelsey, I mean, he's [ __ ] old. They did extend him. He was like quietly kind of really good for fantasy last year. Didn't score a ton of touchdowns. He's not really a big touchdown scorer at this point, but I also think he had a decent amount of things kind of like break in his favor where Rashi Rice missed a ton of games with the suspension. Obviously, Xavier Worthy missed a bunch of times. So, again, it was kind of like targets were getting funneled to Travis Kelce. Once again, they didn't have a run game to rely on last year. So, I don't think we're going to see a lot of that. But Kelsey tied to Mahomes is always a liability to go for like eight touchdowns in a given season, and that's going to end up being what the difference is here. So, he's getting to that like Mark Andrews stage where it's like I think at this point he's probably going to need touchdowns to sustain any sort of like fantasy reliability.
Next up, we got Don Concincaid, who was kind of on the verge of a breakout last year. Showed some really high ceiling games, but again, he's a dude that like really doesn't run a ton of routes. Unfortunately, he's still only on the field for like 60, 55% of the snaps while Dawson Knox is still there. So, on a given week, like he, I think he's a great tight end two in baseball. Kind of hard to trust him in redraft, though. I will take some shots on him just cuz I think his upside. He's still young. He was still a first round pick for them. He's still tied to Josh Allen. So, I still like Concaid, but obviously a little bit riskier here.
Then we've got Isaiah likely going into New York. Finally kind of gets out of the wings of Mark Andrews. Follows Harbaugh over there. So, you know that he's going to be used, obviously gets the contract. And the fact that again we look at the receiving group in, uh, New York, Malik Neighbors, PUP candidate, W Jell not there anymore. Like targets are very, very up for grabs. So you can see Isaiah likely being a dude who's seeing a very high target floor off the rip here. So I like likely, we've just never really seen him be the guy for, you know, a full season or even really for more than like a few weeks at a time. So I do think there's a little bit of risk involved just based on that.
George Kill, my tight end 13, another dude who like the injury reports are relatively optimistic, but a torn Achilles at his age, like 32, 33, is much scarier than a torn ACL like Tucker Craft at age 25. So, people that have watched the videos of George KD are not overly optimistic about the way he looks in those videos. So, I'm kind of going to follow their lead there on, on KD and him just being old. Again, scares me a little bit. I, again, I, I think there's a world where like he does end up scoring eight touchdowns and looks fine, but I said with Kelsey, I think he's kind of in that Mark Andrews mold as well, where I don't think we're going to get the same explosive player that we were used to with George KD, and he's going to need to back into a pretty high touchdown rate in order to be the dude for you in fantasy.
Brenton Strange at tight end 14. Um, you know, the next, the next group of dudes I think are just like maybe outside of Chiggy are just like high floor players attached to offenses that I want to be in. So you have Brenton Strange, Jake Ferguson, Jawan Johnson, Hunter Henry. I think more often than not, those guys will go like four for 40 almost every single week. And then you attach yourself to Brentton Strange with, you know, Liam Cohen and Trevor Lawrence in that high upside offense. The biggest concern with him is that there's so many good weapons in that offense right now. Parker Washington, Jacobe, who are running routes over the middle of the field, Brian Thomas Jr., like tough to see him being a reliable player, high upside week to week.
Same thing with Jake Ferguson. Obviously with CD and George Pickkins, they're going to throw the ball a ton, but as we saw last year, like Ferguson was eating when CD was gone. As soon as both of the receivers were on the field and healthy together, Ferguson kind of fell off the face of the earth.
Jawan Johnson was actually quietly awesome, awesome last year in PPR. But I do think that was probably more of a function of like we don't have any weapons besides Chris Ave right now. So we kind of have to force feed you the ball a ton because we're throwing the ball a ton. We don't have any other guys there. So Jordan Tyson, I think, is going to eat significantly into Jawan Johnson's target share there. But again, I think four for 40 is realistic.
Hunter Henry, I think he's one of the more underrated tight ends in fantasy. Like him and Drake May have had a great chemistry. And if you look at his stats historically, like his career stats down here, the last two years have been some of the better years of his career. Like some of the highest target counts, some of the highest reception counts, some of the highest yardage counts overall. Two of his three best PPR fantasy seasons of his career. So I, I think Hunter Henry's a better player and a better fantasy player than, than giving credit for. Like I think you could genuinely put him into the tier of the Jake Ferguson's and the Brenton Stranges of the world. Does he have the upside of, you know, an Isaiah likely or Don Concincade, the athletic young explosive dudes? For sure not. But Hunter Henry attached to an up and coming offense, attached to the third-year quarterback who was just a run up for MVP and is clearly one of his consistently favorite weapons, especially in the red zone, I like Henry. Obviously, you know, bringing AJ Brown might shift the, uh, equator a little bit there, but whatever.
Then you got Chiggy. Jiggy's the last guy, and I kind of put him out of that tier because he's, he's different. He, he's another like Isaiah Likely type of dude who actually I remember when Chiki was coming out in college I comped him to Isaiah likely. So similar player, good with the ball in his hands. Didn't really see much of that upside in Tennessee, unfortunately. We would see it in spurts, random plays here and there, and you'd be like, oh, that's, you know, that's the Chiggy we know and love, even though we don't know him at all, but we'd love to love him, right? And now he goes over to Washington, signs a nice contract, and they are devoid of pass catchers in Washington. Terry McLaren's obviously the wide receiver one there. Antonio Williams could be cool, but behind Jiggy, I mean like he could be the dude who has the second most targets on this team. Zack Z is no longer there. So, I think you invest in this dude. I think he's athletic. I think this will be the first time he really gets a crack at playing on 70 plus% of the routes, and you are not sharing like a crowded target room with anybody. So, we'll have to see if Washington adds a second pass catcher. Like, I definitely think they're in play for like a Diggs or a Keenan Allen or something like that, and that would obviously affect the target share of everybody in that offense. But for right now, on paper, Jiggy does line up to be what it looks as, you know, probably the second leading target in this offense.
I just moved up Mark Andrews, you know, just, just make it a clean, that's not even the 20. I was about to say, let's make it a clean tight 20, tight end. Let's make it a clean 19 tight ends here. I'll throw Andrews at the end. Like I, I do think if Likely's now out of the way, Andrews probably sees just more targets at the tight end position overall. Charlie Kar over in New York as well. So, it opens it up. It opens it up a little bit. If we're buying a Lamar Jackson bounceback, I do think Mark Andrews again has that like eight touchdown. Uh, I don't believe he's a strong streamer. I don't, I think I'm just lying as we're talking, but whatever. He's my tight end 19, whatever tier you end up finding him in.
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