Transcription
It's gonna feel good to do these rankings. No, I I don't have to start freaking Jerry Judy this week. But anyway, tier one, we are going to have Puka Nua.
With Puka, usually he's in a tier by himself. This week, he gets to go up against the Baltimore Ravens who have so many injuries on the defensive side of the ball that they offered me a two-week contract. I told them that I had a prior engagement. I have to live stream every Sunday morning, so I couldn't do it to make sure I take care of y'all. But yeah, the Baltimore Ravens are down bad right now. So, Puganukua is probably going to put up 30 fantasy points.
Now, Aman Monro St. Brown will lead off a tier with St. Brown averaging about 22 and a half points per game so far this season. He's doing so with touchdowns. He's doing so with volume. This is a great offense. And what's very interesting is the Kansas City Chiefs are actually favored in this game. This is getting played at KC. So, this is a very real world scenario in which the Detroit Lions have to ask Jared Goff to drop back 40 plus times. And we know St. Brown's going nuclear if that happens.
Jackson Smith and Jigbo will be our next name. With JSN, it's a tough matchup on paper going up against the Jags defense that they've been great so far this year, but realistically speaking, you actually do have an implied team total of 23 points here for the Seattle Seahawks. So, sports books are telling us that they shouldn't have a problem scoring.
And then Eggbuka will yet again be a wide receiver that I think last week we had him at six in our weekly rankings and he's going to be a top 10 name for us again here. He will be an A tier option for this week. Of course we have him lower in our rest of season rankings because I do think eventually you're going to have Mike Evans healthy. You're going to have Chris Godwin at 100%. When that happens I think the targets are going to get a little bit more dispersed. But until then, Ibuka looks like rookie season Justin Jefferson. At the time of this recording, this dude's literally averaging 20 and a half points per game, which is only behind Puka Nua, Aman Ross, St. Brown, and I think that may be it to be honest.
Now, the B tier wide receivers will be led off with George Pickkins. This is a great matchup going up against the Carolina Panthers. Obviously, we know that typically we can expect the Dallas Cowboys games to be highest scoring, but this game currently has an overunder of like 50 points. So, this should be one up there as one of the highest scoring games on the week. And you still have no CD Lamb this week. So, the target volume with Pickins is very safe.
Jamar Chase will be our next name. With Chase, you have an implied team total of only about 15 15 and a half points for the Cincinnati Bengals this week. Even with Joe Flacco under center, they currently project to be the lowest scoring offense in the league. So, it's not like Flaco's going to turn this around day one. I definitely like him more than Browning, but this going to be a very, very, very tough matchup going to Green Bay to play the Packers after a buy.
Now, Rome will be our next name with Rome. Right now, this dude is the wide receiver four in points per game. He has been incredible. The Bears project to be a very competent offense this week. I mean, he is averaging over a touchdown per contest and he's doing so with volume as well. He's averaging about nine targets a game and you just have that clear clear jump in year two with Ben Johnson.
Now, Debo Samuel, super safe volume that you're getting with no Terry McLaren. Obviously, if Terry does play, we're going to have to move Debo Samuel down these rankings. But as of now, you're going up against the Chicago Bears, where you currently have the Commanders with an implied team total of 27 points. And I think the only offenses that are supposed to outscore him this week are the Green Bay Packers and then like the Bills project to score the same amount of points. So, the Commanders will be an elite offense. Debo Samuels going to be the absolute alpha until Terry returns. And then afterwards, Debo still probably the wide receiver one.
Now, Drake London will be our next name. Going up against Buffalo, you are going to assume that the Atlanta Falcons have to throw the ball a ton. It's going to be in the dome. The overunder of this game's almost 50 points. So, the game should be super high scoring. And realistically, if we go through and look at what London's done so far this season, if we remove the absolute weird game against the Minnesota Vikings in week two, where the Atlanta Falcons defense looked elite, you had 15 targets in week one, eight targets in week three, and then 10 targets in week four against Washington. So, London, he's the same guy that he was last year. Obviously, Elijah hinges on if Michael Pennix can continue to produce.
Now, Tedaro McMillan is a wide receiver that disappoints literally every single week. We have gone five straight weeks with him not scoring a touchdown despite having at the very minimum every single week eight targets, but the efficiency is just god awful when you are dealing with Bryce Young at quarterback.
With that being said, I'm looking at the Tedaro McMillan projection on underdog at the moment. What is hilarious with this, I've literally never seen this. This has to be a glitch on underdog and honestly I'd take advantage of it soon if I were you. He's at high or lower is 64 and a half receiving yards and then his rushing plus receiving yards is high or lower is 62 and a half. So we're going to be going higher on the 62 and a half total yards. For the love of God, don't just be looking at the receiving yardage number. But of course, if you ever wanted to check out any of those higher lowers on Underdog Fantasy, um they're available in almost every single state. And underdog is doing the best offer that they have had in the five years I've been working with them, which is you play $5 with code flock. And then you going to get $100 added to your account. Plus, you'll get a free pick if you do that before the Thursday night game. It's going to be a free Jaylen Herds pick, higher, lower, half a total yard. And you'll get free questions that you can ask me in the live streams. And I'm streaming every single night until Christmas. You can find that link in the description and comment section. But this is a phenomenal matchup going up against the Dallas Cowboys for Tedoro McMillan.
I'm Jaylen Wadd. I mean, the projections are just extremely high on Wadd at this point. You get a season high nine targets. You're going up against the Los Angeles Chargers, which obviously this defense didn't look great this past week against Washington. The Dolphins project to score 20 points. Waddles been the wide receiver 18 in points per game despite having to deal with Tyreek through the first four. And he's currently high or lower of 66 and at receiving yards. So, I think we just live in a world now where Wadd does turn into a must-art wide receiver every week with no Tyreek.
Now, our next name is going to be Mr. Devonte Adams. Um, with Adams, he's kind of needed Matthew Stafford to be at the very top of the NFL in passing for him to keep up just because obviously Puganu is a black hole for targets. But there's no reason to expect that Stafford regresses this week where you have an implied team total of 26 points for the Rams. And again, like we mentioned previously, this Baltimore Ravens defense is horrendous. You would definitely prefer if Lamar Jackson was the starting quarterback here, though, because if you actually had Lamar, then obviously the Rams would be forced to throw the ball a bit, which they're just not going to have to in this game.
Now, Garrett Wilson was a lot higher in our rankings last week, but last week he got to play the Dallas Cowboys defense. Here, you're going to play Denver. It's not like Denver's been the elite DST that we've seen, um, at least we saw in 2024. And realistically speaking, Garrett Wilson has just had an extremely safe target floor where he's had at least eight targets in every contest and every game besides the Buffalo game as well in week two. He's actually scored a touchdown. So, he's a target hog. The offense isn't great. Um, they're projected to score 18 points this week, which is one of the lowest marks in the league, but you've been dealing with that all year for Wilson.
Now, Courtland Sutton will be our next name. Um, of course, a must start player. There's really nothing to talk about here. The target floor isn't exactly there with Sutton in comparison to what you have with these other receivers like T and Wilson. Just the offense is going to be much better for Colton Sutton though. The New York Jets have a horrendous defense and right now you have an applied team total about 25 and a half points here for Denver.
Now Xavier Worthy is going to be lower than this in my rest of season rankings. Realistically, if you were looking at what Worthy did this past week against the Jacksonville Jaguars, the fantasy points were a little bit disappointing, but he had nine targets and at the same time you had the carry. Now you're playing the Detroit Lions where you have an implied team total of 27 and a half points. And again, this actually projects to be the highest scoring game on the week with an overunder of 52 and a half. So in general, I think you want to be starting as many Lions and Chiefs players as you can. And with Worthy, you don't have to deal with Rice back in this offense just yet. So, I would say C tier and above, almost regardless of your team and regardless of your format, these are wide receivers that you have to be jamming in.
As we move over to D tier, I would say that the majority of us are starting these options, but not people in shallow formats.
The big Q, as I've called him, is my guy this season. I hope that he turns into an S tier player. I know a lot of people got upset with me not ranking him as a top 12 name last week and um hell he did disappoint. He only had four receptions, 40 receiving yards, but realistically um the efficiency is still there through the entire year. He's at 2.08 yards per route run. And you're going to see that we have all the Los Angeles Chargers players, at least all the big receivers in D tier because I do think you could end up having Justin Herbert's pass attempts skyrocket in Miami considering that they just lost every running back that they've ever had.
Going over and looking at AJ Brown, AJ Brown plays on Thursday night. Super interesting setup this season, right? and that if you look over the past four weeks, AJ Brown has been crying, but he's been getting involved. Now, I know a lot of these targets aren't catchable, blah blah blah, but he's actually had eight targets, 10 targets, nine targets, and eight targets. specifically this past week. I mean, they forced the ball in the direction of AJ Brown and Avant Smith just trying to keep these wide receivers happy and it ended up losing them the game against the Denver Broncos. Whereas, if they were to just go out there and run the ball, obviously they would have been able to drain the clock. But regardless, looking at him playing the Giants, he's currently higher lower 64 and a half receiving yards on underdog. higher lower 11.15 fantasy points, which is higher than four of his five games so far this year.
Moving over to our next receiver, we'll have Michael Pitman. With Pitman, he's playing the Arizona Cardinals, and it looks like Kyler may be missing this game. Obviously, I'm going to keep these rankings up to date all the way until Sunday morning on the site. And at the same time, I'll be live streaming every single night. I'll give you the flex rankings later in the week, so just make sure you subscribe and we'll keep you up to date with all the injury stuff. But with Pitman, the target share hasn't been phenomenal. You're actually sitting with 23.3% of his team's targets, which is the lowest mark that we've had since 2020. You're just living off of crazy touchdown efficiency. And of course, we're going to expect the touchdowns to stay high in this offense as long as Daniel Jones keeps balling out. But I would be afraid that touchdown regression hits him soon.
Then looking at Chris Lave, I am shocked to see that the New Orleans Saints project to score 21 points this week. This is higher than the Cardinals. This is higher than the Ravens. This is higher than the Dolphins. This is higher than the Jets. Like this is higher than the Bengals by a wide margin. And of course, this is higher than the Browns. This is higher than the Titans. Long story short, this is higher than a lot of teams. Like the projections aren't that bad here for this Saints offense going up against New England. I know you have Christian Gonzalez back, but Chris Lave has had at least 10 targets in four out of five games. So, in a full PBR format, he's just scamming himself to fantasy points.
My wide receiver one for my team is going to be DK Mechaf. I am happy to have him back. Do I feel super confident with it? No. Well, Metaf's been fine this season. like he's sitting here averaging almost 15 points per game and he's the wide receiver 16 in points per game. Realistically, he's done this off of touchdown um insanity. He has had seven, six, four, and five targets so far this year. So, realistically, if my math is correct, we have 22 targets and three touchdowns for DK Mechaf. We can safely say that this is going to regress, but hopefully DK Medaf can get flooded with a few more targets.
We're going to have Lad McConi and Keenan Allen back to back here inside our top 24 ranks. Clearly Keenan has been much, much better than Lad. Lad's actually the wide receiver, 37 in points per game. Yeah, I get it. I know he looked cool on a pump return. That's not scoring you fantasy points. Um, but I do still want to put Lad Maki one slot higher than Keenan Allen for the time being, just given the fact that you do have the big play potential with Lad that you don't get with Keenan.
Now, it's extremely difficult for me to rank any San Francisco 49er because realistically, I don't know who the quarterback is. I don't know if Ricky Pier Saul is going to play. I don't know if Jawan Jennings is going to play. It sounds like you most likely don't have Ricky Pieraw based off the comments that Kyle Shanahan made on Wednesday. I will obviously keep this ranking up to date later in the week, but from what we saw this past Thursday night, um Kendrick Bourne with no Jawan Jennings with no Ricky Pier with brought party out, M. Jones under center. He had 11 targets, 10 receptions for 142 receiving yards and he was the wide receiver six. So, I'm fine with you going through and playing board.
Now, I hate to rank Jacobe Meyers inside our top 24 wide receivers yet again. I know you're rolling your eyes. You're going, "Old man, when are you going to learn your lesson? When are you going to understand that this Raiders offense is horrendous and Jacobe Meyers isn't much better?" And I get it. But this week in particular, you're playing the Tennessee Titans. you project to score 23 points as an offense. And I'm going to be making this ranking under the assumption that you don't have Brock Bowers playing. So, if you have no Bowers, the wide receiver one role is just going to get flooded with more targets. Clearly, that really hasn't led to any fantasy points so far this year. But, I do like the projections on the offense in this matchup and the fact that with no Bowers, Meyers will get flooded with more targets.
Now, Marvin Harrison will be our next play with Marv. Boom bust name with Kyler Murray. I will be very interested to see how it looks without Kyler. Um, realistically speaking, this is a really low projected scoring offense this week. They're under 20 points. So, I know a lot of people want to say like, oh, they're going to be better without Kyler. Sports books are saying don't expect that. And you do only have one game with more than six targets so far this year for Marv.
Now, Brian Thomas Jr. will be our next wide receiver. Um, he is getting better every single week. You go to week three, he scored 7.5 fantasy points. Then week four, he scored 10 and a half. Then week five, he scored 12. So, I'm no mathematician, but by the time we get to the fantasy football playoffs, Brian Thomas Jr. will be scoring 60 points a game. Now, obviously, that's a joke, but realistically, he's had at least six targets in every single contest. He's averaging about eight targets a game. The touchdown hasn't been there yet. He hasn't looked particularly great. Obviously, a completely wasted round one pick if you took him there. And this is a tough match up against Seattle on paper where my prior say that the Seattle Seahawks have a pretty good defense. But the Jags actually project score a decent amount of points here. And obviously Baker had no problems against the Seattle unit last week.
Now looking at Stefon Diggs, this will be the wide receiver two on my fantasy team. I really hope that I am underestimating Diggs. I'm really hoping that we finally have the breakout and it's here to stay with back-to-back games over 100 receiving yards and this just wasn't a fueled revenge game against the Buffalo Bills in prime time and we're not all going to overreact to this. This matchup against the New Orleans Saints is one in which the Patriots are favored by about three and a half points. Um, and the Patriots have been willing to go out there and sling the ball. They are above the NFL average when it comes to passing rate over expectations. So honestly, maybe if you were completely removing emotions from this, you'd put Stefon Digs higher in these rankings. And I'm just trying to save myself where I don't get too too excited that I finally have a wide receiver I can be excited for.
Now Z Flowers will be our next name. Clearly Z Flower is going to be much higher in our rankings rest of season. He's currently the wide receiver, 17 in points per game. Just the issue is this projects to be one of the worst offenses in the league with no Lamar Jackson. So if you had Flyers, I'd rather bench him.
Looking over at Devont Smith, um he actually has been out there out producing AJ Brown so far this year. But clearly you're only going to get points when the Philadelphia Eagles have to throw the ball. And I could very easily see this Philly's team going like, "Hey Smith, hey Brown, we tried to feed y'all this past week. It didn't work. We lost. And against the Giants, we don't need to throw the ball with aggression. We can just safely run it over and over and over again as we are favored by about a touchdown here.
Now, moving down to our next tier, Jameson Williams is the wide receiver 53 in points per game. So, with him being the wide receiver 53, maybe it is ludicrous for me to go ahead and rank him at wide receiver 30. But realistically speaking, I don't think that Jameson Williams is that different of a player this year in comparison to what he was last season. I think that this is still just a field stretching option that's going to have random big plays that if you can predict when they come, cool. You'll get 25 points in your lineup. But if you try to throw them in, there's always a chance that he gives you the one reception for nine receiving yards that you got this past week.
Realistically, this does project to be the highest scoring game of the week. You're going to actually have to throw the ball against the Kansas City Chiefs where you are currently underdogs in this matchup. So, realistically, like I'm okay with you throwing Jameson in as a desperation flex. And that's all this tier is. This entire tier is just desperation flexes.
With Godwin, I was more excited about him last week because he was coming off a game with 10 targets, 80% of the snaps. But he follows that up with four targets, three receptions, 26 receiving yards, and a game in which Baker Mayfield went nuclear. Now, realistically, against the NerS here, the expectations should be that you don't have Mike Evans, so a Godwin could get involved a little bit more.
I have Tiggins on my own team, so I really hope that Joe Flacco comes in and he saves Higgins, but Teigan has had one game this year with more than 33 receiving yards. He has had one game this year with more than 11 fantasy points. His season high is 14 and a half. This is the worst matchup you could possibly ask for going up against the Green Bay Packers in Green Bay. So, I'd rather avoid him if I could.
Now, Well Robinson will be our next name. You have no Darius Sllayton and you have no Malik Neighbors. So, realistically, you would think like Wel Robinson's one of their only weapons. What else are they going to do? And they probably run the ball. They probably dump it off to Scataboo and they probably are just a very bad offense in general right now. They project to score fewer than 17 points this week.
The Green Bay Packers project to be the highest scoring offense on the week. Looking at Romeo Dobs, he's coming off a game where he scored 29.8 points with three receiving touchdowns. Now, realistically, we've seen games like this from Romeo Dobs before where you go back against Seattle last season. He had two touchdowns and he followed that up with four fantasy points. Like, you always are getting these random one-off games where you have multiple touchdowns from Dobs. He's a great red zone threat and if the Green Bay Packers have to throw the ball, he can blow up. And this is a great matchup for that to happen in terms of the defense being very soft. But because Cinci is probably not gonna be able to put points on the board, we can also just kind of say that the Green Bay Packers should be able to run it over and over and over again.
Now, Khalil Shakir will be our next name. With Shakir, you were looking at the wide receiver 28 from a points per game perspective. You're not necessarily getting consistent volume. You've had two games with nine targets, but outside of that, you've had five, four, and two. But again, he's probably the wide receiver one here in Buffalo. This should be a very high-scoring offense and they're playing in the dome.
DJ Moore will be our next wide receiver. Maybe I'm way too low on DJ Moore. I'm just concerned that we have seen him average so far this year about five targets a game. His season high is 12.8 fantasy points. And coming out of the by-week, there's a chance that they actually get Luther Burden more involved into this offense. And then Matthew Golden will be our last wide receiver in this tier. Um Golden did bump up to six targets this past week against the Dallas Cowboys or two weeks back, but his snap rate was actually at 59%. So despite no Jaden Reed, he's not increasing his snaps, but a rookie coming out of the buy always can. Like realistically, if we go over and we look at the projections on underdog at the moment, they currently have Matthew Golden higher lower 46 and a half receiving yards in comparison to having Romeo Dobs at 40 and a half and in comparison to having Tiggins higher lower 37 and a half. So if you were just looking at the underdog projections, you would actually have Matthew Golden well ahead of T. Higgins. And I think that goes back to this game having like a 14-point spread on it.
Now, moving over to our next tier. This is like a desperation alley. Um, you could technically start Cooper Cup. It wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. I don't know why you would do it. Like Tory Horton's out there scoring just as many points. Cooper Cup has three games this year with six and a half or fewer fantasy points. Um, Keon Coleman, you technically could start him. He scored a touchdown this past week, but he's had one game with 50 or more receiving yards this season. Technically, you could start Trey Tucker and hope that you nail the big spike like you had in week three or like you had in week three last season, week four last season, week 12, week 13. I mean, Trey Tucker is still up there playing 90 plus% of the snaps every week for the Raiders. Um, Jerry Judy is like the wide receiver four on my team at this point and I am so close to cutting this dude. Realistically speaking, I don't know how I could ever tell you to put him in your starting lineup. Like, I think he's averaging a whopping 6.9 fantasy points per game.
With Calvin Ridley, uh, the Titans offense just looks horrendous. Ridley looked like the worst wide receiver in the NFL for a decent stretch of games. I know this past week it was better. Um, Taekwon Thornton, Hollywood Brown should be a little bit more passy going up against the Detroit Lions this week. Shahed um obviously as the big game this past week with 21 fantasy points and honestly Shahed's been a lot better than this. He is actually the wide receiver 22 in points per game this season. So I'm going to move Shahed up these rankings by the time you see this video. This is too low.
And then our last tier of like guys that you're probably going to ask about. Don't start El Manor anymore. Calvin Ridley looks like he has a pulse. Don't start Josh DS. Don't start Travis Hunter until he proves otherwise. Don't start Calvin Austin. You're just sending up a prayer. You get the receiving touchdown. And I don't know if you can start Troy Franklin as the snaps have actually gone down dramatically over the past few weeks.
But I think that's all I got for you. I really appreciate you. And I want to remind you if you wanted to check out any of those underdog picks, if you want to say Mason, you're a clown. Joe Flacco is going to save the Bengals. I'm going to go higher than 37 and half receiving yards for T. Higgins. The links in the description, the links in the comment section. Underdog Fantasy is available in almost every single state. And if you use code flock when you sign up, you're going to be getting $100 added to your account. By far and away the best offer that they have ever put out there on Underdog, and it's not even close. And you'll get a free pick that's going to be something like Jaylen Herz, half a total yard higher, lower. And you'll be getting free questions that you can ask me in the live streams. And I'm going to be streaming every single night till Christmas. You can find that link in the description in the comment section. Code Flock will give you all of that available in almost every state.