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⚠️ Ça y est, nous sommes en bear market ? Voici ce que je pense de cette chute 📉

Vision-crypto711:39

Transcription

And hello everyone and welcome to Vision Crypton on this Wednesday, November 5, 2025, with a very, very red map. Yes, we took a really hard hit. Once again, we took a second consecutive blow this week. It really hurts a lot, and especially a lot on our altcoins. Naturally, they are the first ones when BTC falls sharply. Market sentiment is really low. That's it, we're going to enter extreme fear. So really into fear. We are at 20 currently. We lost another 7 points. You see, we were at 27 yesterday, and we are truly in fear. That's it, I had warned you that if we continued to fall, we would go almost into extreme fear. Well, that's it, we're almost there. And now, we have to ask ourselves, well, is it over? Look where we are on BTC. So, I'm on daily. So, we made a big wick yesterday, of course, and we came to test the 100k zone, which has served as support for quite some time. Look here. Support, support, support, support, support again, support again. Even here with the big liquidation we had, it was support as well. And here, we are still on this support. And for the moment, at this instant, it is still acting as support. So, will the support hold? Well, I would say it's better if it does, because if we break the support and do a pullback on it, it will probably be to go look for liquidity even lower. And honestly, well, I would say that I'm not necessarily comfortable. For the moment, we are holding. We can still make a wick, you know. Be careful, I'm not saying we can't go down again, to look for a little lower liquidity, for example, to go look for this previous low here, because we stopped really not far from it. We could have gone to capture just below to go look for the liquidity that is below this low. That's something we can still do. One last wick, hop, here. Just to really start again. The essential thing is to close really above this zone each time. We have to go below. So I know the question that's burning on all your lips is, do I still believe in the bull run? Well yes, I still believe in the bull run. I really think that we are currently scaring a maximum of people. Anyway, the market sentiment is proof that the market is clearly in fear and clearly in the capitulation phase. We see the altcoins getting massacred. We see BTC and Ethereum falling very sharply, but is this truly a crypto move, or is it a general move? Well, you just have to look at this map here, and you see there's no crypto here, it's only traditional finance, and these are, well, companies. And do you think it's a move due purely to cryptocurrency, or do you think it's a general move due to traditional finance? Well, it's traditional finance. Naturally, if traditional finance crashes violently, then cryptocurrency will necessarily crash too. I remind you that we are a very small market compared to traditional finance. So, well, naturally, look at this, they took an extreme hit. So we also took an extreme hit. If you want to go look at the Nasdaq, look at yesterday's candle. This is yesterday's candle. Look at that. How much we fell. Moreover, I had warned you a little. I had told you that there was a gap here to fill and that there were strong probabilities of going to fill it, that we had 8 to 9 chances out of 10 of filling this gap. Well, that's it, we filled it, and moreover, we recovered. You see all the imbalance zone we had here, that's it, it has been entirely recovered, and you also see that it was bought back very quickly here. Boom, here, we were bought back very, very quickly. And so, yes, now if we decide to finally move peacefully upwards, then the crypto market will also move upwards. But you can clearly see that this is not a purely cryptocurrency and purely BTC move. It's a move driven by traditional finance, by the Nasdaq and the S&P 500, because we are especially very correlated to the Nasdaq and the S&P 500, and therefore it's normal that we also had a relatively significant fall. So once again, yes, I still believe in the bull run. We have, I keep showing you, enormous liquidity. I'm going to switch to weekly here. Look in the stablecoins, look at all this liquidity there is. We have billions and billions waiting to be used to buy Ethereum, BTC, or any type of cryptocurrency. So we have enormous liquidity that will be injected into cryptocurrencies. So for me, for the moment, I am still totally confident. Moreover, look at the heatmap, well, we have recovered almost all the liquidity. Yes, we are still creating some because that's all we do, we always, always create liquidity. After, be careful because if I switch to, for example, 6 months here, there is liquidity to the south, of course, that we left when we went to the moon. We have enormous liquidity. You see, for example, 98,000 here, just below the previous low, you see, hop, here, just below the previous low, there is liquidity. That's why it surprises me that we didn't go make a small wick to recover it, but the essential thing is that we held the 100,000. What's important to remember too is that we truly have enormous liquidity to the north. Look at that, we are completely, completely, completely covered. For me, we will go look for 140,000 or even 150,000 on this cycle. So for the moment, I am still totally, as you have understood, uh confident about this cycle. So yes, of course, if I switch to 6 months, you see, there is still liquidity to the south, but we can go far like that, we could go back to 82,000. But for me, all of that, we will capture it when we are in a bear market. So we will have captured all the liquidity here, and then when we effectively go into a bear market, well, I think we will go back below 100,000 possibly. Maybe we will go look for 50,000, and so I think we will come and recover precisely all this liquidity. So as I was saying at the beginning of the video, we were massacred once again, look at that. 2.10 billion liquidated, and here 1.68 billion long positions liquidated, which is absolutely enormous. I remind you that yesterday, we already took a hit, we already took more than a billion to the head. Here, we take another 1.6 billion to the head. So yes, longs are really being taken down right now. And here, we have a bit of shorts. And yes, people in short positions who use too much leverage, as soon as it goes up a little, they get liquidated. We are at 416 million. Well, nothing compared to the longs, though. So, yes, we are still taking a relatively hard hit. After, look, we can see here what the market's interest is. The market's interest is now truly to the north. It has been to the north for quite some time. But here, we are just purifying, purifying, purifying. Here, we truly have much more money to the north than to the south. Really, now the interest is to the north. So, this is an additional piece of data that makes me say that we could finally go north. Well, of course, there are two things. There is both the fact that we are here on the support zone of 100,000. So, we can still, I told you, go look a little lower. But the 100,000 zone can also totally do its job, and we could start again gently now that we have scared everyone. Especially if the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 start to rise again, then we could have precisely this upward restart. I also told you on Monday that we could have a Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday in the red, and then at the end of the week, that's it, we're going back into the green and possibly for the rest of the month. That's it, we're going back very strongly north, to look for all the liquidity to the north after having scared everyone again. I hope so. Of course, this is the most bullish scenario, and I truly hope it will materialize. In terms of ETFs, look here, we had 566 million outflows from the BTC ETF. Look at November 3rd too, in the end, BlackRock made us 186 million in outflows, and for the Ethereum ETF, well, of course, it's exactly the same. We had, the day before yesterday, look, 0.35 million, and here on the 4th, we had 108 million. I'm missing BlackRock's figure for now, but we still have outflows, of course, and it's obvious when the traditional finance market crashes, investors de-risk, and they will de-risk from what? From the riskiest assets, which are, well, cryptocurrencies currently. So that's totally normal. When the market resumes an upward trend and becomes much more stable, then we will see inflows into Ethereum and BTC ETFs again, and the market will generally pick up again. Today, we have relatively important figures, as you know, job creation, PMI, the PMI index, and the Jold report. I don't know if we'll have the figures. The shutdown, I believe, will end soon, it seems. I saw a news item to that effect, and that would of course be a very, very good thing, because currently geopolitics are good. Macroeconomics are relatively good, though. You see here on Monday, we saw the manufacturing PMI which was above forecasts. So that's still good news. For me, the rate cuts will continue. We also saw that the Fed keeps helping the banks. So Uncle Powell has no choice but to continue to lower rates. And anyway, I think that's what will happen. What did we have? Well, we had a mega big sell the news. So we had the good news, we had the good news about rate cuts, we had the good news about the economic war between Donald Trump and China. And as a result, after all these good news, we did a mega sell the news. Well, there you go, it's done. Now, what will be important is to see, as I said, if the 100,000 zone holds well. And now that we have scared everyone, well, I hope we will have a really green end to the week. Also, we have the White House affirming that President Trump has officially ended the war waged by the Biden administration against the cryptocurrency sector. So that's very, very positive. We know very well that Donald Trump is very invested in cryptocurrency today. So he has every interest in it exploding to the north as well. I'm not saying he hasn't already taken profits, I'm not saying he hasn't already gained a lot from cryptocurrency. He may have benefited from the big, big drop, the crash we had, the big manipulation we had. In short, in any case, he wants to be number one in the cryptocurrency sector. He has every interest in having a cryptocurrency market that explodes. And once again, you know, I am bullish for the end of this year. I think we will go look for 140 to 150,000 dollars, to look for all the liquidity we left to the north. On that note, team, I know it's not very pleasant right now. I know very well that it's very difficult psychologically, especially since we've been suffering on the altcoins for quite some time. So I know there are people who have been invested for 1 year, 2 years, and who have a portfolio that is clearly in the red. If you have to sell, if you are about to click the sell button, then in any case, it's not now. It's not now that you should crack, when we could take off and have the big phase we've been waiting for. Personally, you know, I'm not selling any of my cryptocurrencies for the moment since I'm convinced we'll go higher. For those who haven't subscribed to the channel yet, don't hesitate to click the subscribe button. On that note, team, I'll leave you with this. Once again, hang in there, I know it's not easy, but it's clearly not the time to crack. Have an excellent day. I'll tell you tomorrow in the daily, and above all, above all, stay curious. Ciao!