Transcription
This video is sponsored by Titanorine. Oh my god, I should have never invested in crypto. Now, my butt hurts all over. But thanks to Titanorine, well, my dollars are no longer in my butt. But my portfolio is in the red. If you too, like Bernadette, have a sore butt because you invested in the world of crypto, Titanorine is made for you, and what's more, with the code foufi, you'll get a 20% discount. Oh yeah! Friends, I hope you are doing well, that this little dose of humor has done you good in this very gloomy market, this atmosphere that hurts everyone. Welcome to this little Bitcoin journal for this Thursday, November 13, 2025, with this crypto market that is still in the red, not pretty. But this time, we're not falling alone. We're also falling with those from the traditional market who are taking a beating here, like me. If you're on both markets, you're taking a double beating, and Titanorine is here. Well, Nvidia - 4%, you feel that just with Nvidia, which is a bit, I accidentally swapped on the Nvidia chip, which is up 4%, you feel that it's not going well at all. Well, it's a bit like Bitcoin dropping - 4, that's the idea. So for now, in addition to the market being red, the ETFs are not really with us. At least $278 million in Bitcoin sales, $183 million in Ethereum sales via ETFs. We're asking the question, Foufi, the XRP ETFs on the Nasdaq, please, but there's nothing, there's nothing, absolutely nothing, okay? Solana, there's nothing. There are two small funds that are accumulating a few million per day. It's nada, it's useless. When there are really big funds moving money, I'll show you Solana, XRP, there's nothing, okay? No American funds. Forget it, forget it. Do you think an ETF will come out from a fund that's in the Pampas, in the Amazon rainforest, and that's it, it's grown everything? No, no, it doesn't work like that. If I don't show any XRP ETFs on the Nasdaq, it's because there's nothing, nothing is happening. Nada, walou. Well, at least that's settled. The market is in extreme fear. Wouldn't that be a little good news? Extreme fear. Go watch the morning news videos. I show you some little on-chain analyses from time to time, and we are in levels of extreme fear that made the bottom in 2025, that made the bottoms in August 2024 when we found the bottoms, simply, and also in the summer, well, the summer at the end of the bear market. Go watch the video this morning, you'll see. So does that mean the bottom is right now? No. Does that mean we're close to the bottom? Yes, I think so, clearly. Well, the years of charts say so. So, the altcoins, well, they're being rejected without any respect by the Ichimoku system towards $709 billion. Are we surprised? No. We have a general decrease in momentum here on the altcoins. We are in a bearish channel. You just need to tighten your belt a little, apply some ointment if needed, and wait for it to pass. Of course, it's easy for me to say that. I agree. When you're fully in Bitcoin, it's easier. When you've bought exotic altcoins here and there that are dropping - 40% - 60% - 80%, the problem is that you need too much ointment. Well, and unfortunately, it's the casino, it's the game. That is to say, some have gone for risky things. Well, more risk means more possibilities to make gains, but also more possibilities to fall flat on your face. And this is not at all the altcoin cycle. Clearly, the altcoins, oh boy, it's carnage, it's quite carnage for everyone. Well, it's a shame because almost everyone chilled the altcoin season, saying buy whatever you want, wait for the altcoin season, it will go up, well, for now, there's nothing. Well, so the altcoins, unfortunately, you see this structure, it's the same. It doesn't change. It's not very, very pretty. It's not very, very pretty. It has a higher probability of breaking downwards. Now, if it breaks on a small channel here, a bearish one, that would be good. But for now, unfortunately, don't forget that the structure tells us to go lower, to go to the bottom of the wick here. So altcoins, in theory, if the structure holds, should drop at least - 16%. And yes, so the structure says I'm going down here, well, the large structure here tells me I'm going down, the wick at - 16%, plus you have a bullish channel that tells me I have a higher probability of falling. So don't be surprised that unfortunately it continues to correct, and unfortunately there's a chance it will continue a bit longer to really make everyone capitulate, clearly that's how it works. As for Bitcoin, we see it being rejected, rejected by the Kijun here, its average price over the last 26 days at $10,768, rejected on Tuesday without any respect. Boom! And here we have big wicks upwards. So Bitcoin is being sold off, you see, bim bim with big wicks right at the opening of Wall Street. It dumps, it dumps, it dumps. Are we surprised? No, we're not surprised. This structure, this bullish channel has a higher probability of breaking downwards. There's the gap at $91,970 which is a very strong magnet, this gap. You see, I'm trying to make a magnet even if it looks like a smiling man. Well, so we're not at the price, it's going to hurt a lot. Even me, fully in Bitcoin, $92,000, I'm going to need several ointments, you see, for my butt. I'll put on a layer too because during the night, I think I'm going to poop myself. Well, but in any case, unfortunately, there are strong probabilities of going there. It hurts me to say it. I don't want it to go to 92. I don't want to. Okay, but the structure tells us here, this channel here, it's not there to look pretty, and when it starts to break, it will plummet severely below $100,000. However, we note something. We are here on a large structure that zigzags, a large bearish channel. After a while, poof, it explodes upwards. So you have to wait for this channel to finish, and like the vast majority of channels, it will then explode upwards. I'm telling you the same thing I've been telling you for 5 months at the beginning of 2025, for 9 months in 2024. It's not me saying this, it's not coming out of my hat, it's the structures. As long as Bitcoin is also in a bearish channel, it did that for 5 months at the beginning of the year, and when we hit $74,000, many said it's over, we're all going to die. So, we're going home. Whereas the structure was telling us, "No, no, no, don't worry, we'll push back, you see." So, bearish channel, boom, explosion upwards. Here, same thing, bearish channel, boom, explosion upwards. Well, it will be the same here. It's the same structure every time. So here, a bearish channel that is a bit more aggressive, but boom, it will explode upwards too. You just have to wait, unfortunately, for it to continue, well, for it to calm down, simply. We have no choice. After that, Bitcoin is easy, it's the one that takes the least damage. As soon as you're on altcoins in the top, top 500, top 1000, well, they are completely decimated. It's complete carnage, unfortunately. You can't do anything. Unfortunately, you went into it. Well, then you need to apply the big ointment. Well, in terms of futures, in addition to that, well, you see, there's a big cluster here, enormous, to go down to $80,000. So, a market that continues to fall, well, you shouldn't be surprised. The futures tell us, "Well, a big package to buy at the bottom." The structure tells us, "Well, I'm going to," the small structure here tells us, "Well, I want to go down." The large structure tells us, "Yes, it's going down." So, we're going down. Well, no surprise. Ethereum is being rejected by its 200-day moving average, $3,447, it's not very, very pretty either. Heading towards the lower Bollinger band at around $3,115, and breaking $3,115 means heading towards the gap at $2,853. Ethereum, well, it's like Bitcoin, the large structure is here. Well, the small structure tells us, "Ah, be careful, I have a higher probability of falling," and we are still here on a large bearish channel that is zigzagging, zigzagging, zigzagging. So here, the $2,853 mark should not be surprising. And if we look at the futures, it's like Bitcoin, well, boom, unfortunately, there's also a lot to go for. And here, it's starting to attack the big tower, whether it's on Ethereum or on Bitcoin. Since it's attacking the big tower, well, there's a chance of getting hit by the big tower, unfortunately. So it's likely to sting a bit more for now. For the moment, there are no signs of a reversal, no signs of bullishness in the medium term, yes, maybe in a week, 10 days, two weeks, I don't know. We'll see what's happening too because there's Robert Gunam, the American. We'll see about geopolitics with Trump, where it stands. We'll see the macro numbers that will come out. Well, that's it, we'll have things, we can have bearish catalysts, we can have bullish catalysts. For now, we haven't had any catalysts, so the market is just bleeding. But if good little news starts to come out on the macro geopolitical level, it can push, it can create nice little rises. For now, well, there's nothing. As for Ada, it's the same here. Well, the structure is the same, a bullish channel says a higher probability of falling towards the gap at $121, you see the lower Bollinger band and at $139. Ada breaking $139, hello $121. So, the big bearish channel. We'll wait for this channel to finish, boom, it will be the explosion upwards as usual. Here, Solana, same thing, it has room to grow. However, the biggest liquidity is to the north. But like Bitcoin and Ethereum, they all have big towers, well, Solana will eat its big tower lower down. It doesn't change for now. XRP, same thing, a bit less violent. Still this channel here which has a higher probability of falling. However, XRP, well, I'll say no here, it will do this little regular move like this before going back up. And if we look at the liquidity on XRP, it's the same, you see, it started to attack the big levers to the south, and it will continue to eat until close to $2. Why are there big levers to the south? It was Sunday, Monday, big positions were opened with the end of the American shutdown. Yeah! It's gone, all this world. People opening their big, big long positions, and then Trump, sorry, I'm giving $2,000 to all American citizens. Wow, too great. Let's go, big long position. And so, many positions were opened. Open interest exploded, funding exploded. Well, that means there are a lot of long positions to the south. And there, you see it for Bitcoin here, the green lines above the red lines. That means that since Monday, or even a little before, there have been many more long positions opened than short positions. And so, well, more long positions means I'm going to eat lower. Ethereum, however, is starting to have more short positions. So once it has eaten there, we'll take care of everything above. You see, Solana, it has much more, well, more long positions that have been opened since Monday, and XRP, more long positions too, you see this little green line, that's long positions. So, more long positions in a market that's not great, well, it means, oh yes, we're going there, you see. When there's nothing left to eat to the south, and people have capitulated, they've calmed down, well, I think the market will start again, and it will start when no one expects it, that's often how it works. Well, in terms of the stock market, it's not pretty either. Nvidia, a little - 4. Well, that's everyone. Here you can see Nvidia - 4, Tesla - SU, everything is fine. SP500, Nasdaq - 1.5% each, it's not very pretty. So, as the Trump government signed the opening, very good, this night, but it takes time, time for it to come back, to get the coffee machine going again. Well, the coffee machine needs to be cleaned, capsules need to be bought, all that. And then, you have to say, "Hello, what have you been doing for the last 40 days?" because we haven't seen each other for a long time, and for it to get back to work to bring down the numbers, it will take some time. Well, knowing that at the moment, they are not very happy. We see that the probability of a rate cut for December has decreased a little. Well, not much anyway, because you have news coming out here and there that they are arguing among themselves, many Fed governors. They don't agree. Some say we absolutely must not cut rates further, you see. They say inflation is more concerning than employment. You see, it's always a balance between the two. It's the Fed's dual mandate, employment and inflation. And so, Powell decided to cut rates, I think because he also had a lot of pressure from Trump because employment was not good. So he used that excuse. Well, okay, inflation is rising, but employment is more concerning than inflation. So, we're cutting rates even though we know it will fuel inflation. And now, more and more, some are saying, inflation has gone above 3%, whether it's core inflation or general inflation, are you sure we're going to cut rates further? Maybe not, you see. And so some are starting to say, "Oh no, we shouldn't cut rates anymore, we need to see what happens because inflation is starting to become quite concerning, you see." Well, that's why they are less enthusiastic, and you see that theoretically we might have a rate cut, but not sure until April 2026. Well, we'll talk about it by then. In any case, the SP500 today has its little red candle. The Nasdaq too, the Dow Jones too, the Rostock 600 too, European Tech too, the Asian market, well, it closed a little in the green this morning. It always comes back to gold, it comes back to precious metals. Well, it's because it's a bit scary, you know. Crypto stocks continue to fall. Coinbase, MicroStrategy, Marathon Digital, Riot Platforms, all the miners, boom, boom, everyone is taking a hit. It's not pretty, it's clearly not pretty. Here, we see that there was a small bug here, I think, in the bond market. It's a bit of the 10-year Treasury bond, the 10-year Treasury bond, the 20-year and the 30-year, same. I think there's a small bug here on the 10-year. So it's funny, they're selling bonds and selling dollars. It's crazy. So they're selling stocks, they're selling Treasury bonds, they're also selling dollars. They're just going back to gold, and I think especially they're swapping to other currency pairs, you see. So right now, you don't have much confidence in the dollar, you see, because even US Treasury bonds are quite shunned. You might say Europeans are shunned. Well, so for now, at least that's settled, and you'll have to hold on tight because there's nothing else to do in these periods. In short, well, what do I do when these periods last for weeks? Often, they last for months, you know. It's rarely weeks. Well, anyway, it's simple, since the $126,000, since the all-time high, you see here, $126,000, it was around October 126, let's say it was early October. So it's only been a month and a half, just a month and a half. This could last another month, you see. Maybe even longer. So unfortunately, in these kinds of corrective, not pretty periods at all. Me, well, I'll calmly continue my DCA and wait for it to pass. That's what I did when Bitcoin corrected for months and months. It's simple. Well, I'll finish on this. But you have to, all this to tell you, you shouldn't be afraid of these phases. When Bitcoin came out of the bear market, the bear market, wait, I'll show you. It was a bit lower, it was, there it is. When we came out of the bear market, Bitcoin went to $30,000. It spent 8-9 months correcting in this kind of downward trend, let's say about - 25%. And so that lasted 8-9 months in there. Well, what did we do? Well, calmly DCA, hold on tight, and wait for it to pass. Boom! Explosion! Explosion! Explosion! Here, it's the same, we're spending 8 months correcting with Bitcoin variations that have dropped less than 30%. Many people cried out that the bear market is over, we're all going to die. So it was annoying, it was long. But on the other hand, all the people who DCA'd in there, like the people who DCA'd in there, I'm talking about Bitcoin, who DCA'd in Bitcoin in there, boom, they were rewarded. Those who also spent 8 months calmly DCA'ing in there, boom, they were rewarded. Those who spent the first few months of the year calmly DCA'ing on a downward trend that took about 30%, same with the Trump tax tariffs, they were rewarded. And here, same thing, those who will spend several months DCA'ing here, well, boom, they will be rewarded. That's the same music, again and again, every time. So the problem is that when you're in Bitcoin, it's okay, but when you're on altcoins that are dying, well, then it's not okay anymore. And here, it's clear that it hurts. That's why there's Titanorine. Ah no, Z is here. There's Bernadette and Titanorine. Don't hesitate to contact her. She'll help you, friends. Well, listen, Sounette, there's nothing else to do. It's to hold on and calmly DCA your little Bitcoin. I'm sending kisses. Stay strong. Courage to all friends. We are together, and we'll talk tomorrow. Bye bye. [Music]