📱

Get Our Mobile App

Take your business learning on the go!

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Week 13 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Strategy (Every Matchup!)

Fantasy Stock Exchange29:47

Transcription

Week 13, matchups that matter. Hopefully you guys enjoyed your holiday. We should be getting this out right around the time of the Black Friday kickoff. And today I'm breaking down every game on the week 13 slate after Friday's game going through matchups. Who's got a good matchup? Who's got a bad matchup? Overunders, pace of play, and all that in between to help you set your fantasy football lineups. We're getting into crunch time. It's fantasy playoffs. So, let's get right into things.

Uh moving into the 1 p.m. slate, we do have seven games in the 1 p.m. window. three games in the 400 PM window and then a regularly scheduled Sunday night and Monday night game. The first game that we have here is the Los Angeles Rams taking on the Carolina Panthers. Obviously, they just came off of a tough loss on Monday going up against another NFC West opponent, another very good NFC West opponent here. The Rams with a 45point overunder in this game are implied for a 27.75 point total. The pace of play is actually the second fastest on the slate as well. The Rams DVOA advantage as a matchup is also second on the entire week 13 slate. There are no buys this week, so a lot of you guys probably won't have to dig too deep to make starts. And also too, that means that there's plenty of options for you for pivot options if you have injuries and and things of that nature. So, moving into the actual starters that we're looking after here, the Rams guys, of course, you know, to start Kairen Williams, Puka Nua, Devonte Adams, and Matthew Stafford. the way that all of those guys are playing. Best matchup on the field does look like it will be Kairen Williams. Puka and Adams are facing a pretty tough Panthers secondary, but keep in mind that JC Horn was ruled out of this game with a concussion. I think he primarily would have been on Devonte Adams, so that upgrades the guy who currently leads the NFL with 12 receiving touchdowns. On the Panthers side of things, this is a very difficult matchup for Rico Dael. He is facing the number one ranked run defense in football, Tedoro McMillan of the two of them. If I had to decide between them, I would prefer to start him because the Rams are a little bit more susceptible to the pass than they are against the run. But keep in mind, Emanuel Forbes and some of the other corners in the secondary for the Rams are playing well. But T-Max's a big physical guy. Forbes undersized. I think he'd be just fine in that matchup. Um, you're not going to play any tight ends in this game. And if you do need a defense and kicker, I think both of the Rams special teams are decent plays. Stat of the game for this one, the Rams run inside the A and B gap. So, inside rushes at a top eight rate in the NFL. Carolina is allowing 4.89 yards per carry to inside rushes, which is third worst in the NFL. You think of what McAffrey and Brian Robinson just did to this team. I do think that both Blake Corm and Kairen Williams will be efficient. Kairen Williams I expect to go higher than his 67 and a half rushing yards. We're going to build out a four pick them entry in this video as we always do.

San Francisco taking on the Cleveland Browns going to be an intriguing game because the 49ers coming off a big win. Shadur Sanders at home for the first time here. The 49ers are a really good defense and as we saw from Cleveland last week, they didn't really let Shadur throw. This wasn't an offense that was unccork galore. They pretty much just ran the ball and played good defense as they often do. The overunder this game is 36 and a half points with the under catching the most steam of any game on the slate. So, this is a game environment that you probably don't want to be starting a lot of fantasy players in unless you absolutely have to. With that being said, I don't think you should start Brock Perie. It's on the road in Cleveland. This is a defense playing with its absolute hair on fire. Miles Garrett maybe having the best season a pass rusher has ever had realistically. Christian McAffrey is going to be in your lineup of course cuz you got to play him. Quinton Judkins has one of the best matchups of any of the fantasy relevant players in this game which I'll get to in a second. And then if you do need to start some guys on the 49ers like Jawan Jennings, like Ricky Pearl, I think you could get away with it. There's probably just better game environments to target. If you're looking for a flex option, a top 36, top 40 wide receiver type of territory. I would rather play like DJ Moore today, for example, in that situation. Definitely sit all Browns wide receivers. No need to mess with Jerry Judy Cedric Tilman or anybody like that. George KD is in your lineup for sure because he's an every week starter at tight end. And Harold Fannon's been really good at the tight end position as well, so you could definitely throw him out there if you need a tight end. uh stream San Francisco's defense because this is a situation with Shader Sanders that you can, you know, maybe bank on some turnovers, some sacks, and things of that nature. Stat of the game here is that the 49ers are quietly the number 32 team in team rushing success rate against zone rushing concepts. And this is an offense with Kevin Stfansky that runs a lot of zone concepts. It wouldn't shock me at all to see Quinnon Judkins have a really, really big day on the ground. They're at home, good defense, probably going to be a close game. I think uh Judkins goes way higher than this 68 and a half rushing yards.

Houston Texans taking on the Indianapolis Colts. I believe the two matchups of or the only two matchups of winning teams in the 1pm window here. Indianapolis is three and a half point favorites here. AFC South kind of battle. This is the first time they've played all year so far. They will play later this season. Over under a 44 and a half. The under catching a little bit of the steam there. Pace of play is really really slow though. Both of these offenses like to run the ball. Both of these offenses generally like to keep things uh close and try and win in the crunch time type of moments. If you were looking for starters in this game, again, only start the guys you have to, I would say, because Daniel Jones with his fibula injury that we're hearing about now, he's been playing with a fracture in his leg. Not a great situation there. And against the Houston Texans defense, I don't want any of that smoke. Jonathan Taylor, of course, will be in your lineup. Woody Marks can be in your lineup given his workload. Nico Collins in your lineup given his receiving touches that he's been getting lately, but he is expected to see shadow coverage from S Gardner. Michael Pitman Jr. and Alec Pierce both in play here. Tyler Warren every week starter at tight end. Jaden Higgins, if you need a, you know, low-end wide receiver play, I think you could throw him out there, especially knowing that Sauce is going to shadow Nico Collins, there's a good chance that Jaden Higgins will be freed up. I believe he has like 97 and seven targets his last three games. and Daltton Schultz. I know he's been kind of bad, but he does actually have the best matchup on the field for most of the pass catchers in this game. And then uh the defenses and kickers, I think both of them are streamable, especially just given how good the Texans defense and kicker are, and then the Colts being the favorites having the implied total and being at home. I do think that makes their defense and kicker in play as well. The stat of the game here is that this game is strength on strength. It's the number one offense in EPA per play Indianapolis versus the number one defense in EPA per play Houston. Texans are 25th in air yards per attempt allowed though, so keep that in mind, an Alec Pierce bomb could be incoming because if there's one thing the Texans are susceptible to, it is the deep ball. They're very good short intermediate, stopping the run, all that kind of stuff, but you can maybe get behind them as a defense here.

Moving into the Miami Dolphins taking on the New Orleans Saints. The Dolphins are five and a half point home favorites. Kind of a hoham game environment here. 41 and a half point overunder. pace of play is pretty fast and both of these offenses are are like a victim of playing a bunch of other good teams who just make them look really shitty. But I think when you give either of these offenses a good matchup, which both of them do have, you could see them um overperform expectations and they have good players like Devon Achan and Chris Ave and Jaylen Wadd who can have big fantasy performances. So of course you're going to be starting Achan, you're going to be starting Wadd starting a assuming he's healthy. Did pop up with like a back issue I believe it was in the practice report. So keep an eye on his health there. The only like fringe starters that I think you'd have to worry about in this game because I don't think anybody is down bad enough in a game where there's no buys or in a week where there's no buys that you'd have to start to tongue by lower or Tyler Shuck. Although I would say that two is not a terrible streamer if you did have some injuries or if you did have some options that you wanted to, you know, mull over. Deon Neil, people are probably wondering what is it going to look like. Keep in mind there were only two running backs active last week. So when Chimera went down, Devin Neil got all of the work mainly out of necessity. I do think that Taesm Hill is going to get some work. I do think that whatever other running backs they have on the roster will probably take away some touches as well, but Deon Neil is a pretty good matchup, so you could definitely throw him out there as a flex starter. Jawan Johnson, since Rasheed Shahed's been traded away, has been getting targets, so you can definitely throw him out there. And I do think that at home, Miami Dolphins defense is definitely in play, as is their kicker. Stat of the game here is that both of these teams ironically ranked top seven in rush rate over expected despite both of their defense is actually being pass funnels in terms of the EPA allowed as a pass defense versus a run defense. So both teams are good against the run, but basically the translation here is that because they're losing a lot, a lot of teams run the ball against them. And because they're both equally bad teams here, I would expect a lot more pass volume than we're normally seeing out of either of these two offenses. So just keep that in mind that Tua could be slinging it a lot. Jaylen Wadd, Crystal A, Devon Achan, those guys ready for some targets. We'll see what happens with Darren Waller, too, cuz he could get activated for this game for the Dolphins. Maybe pick him up. I probably wouldn't start him, but maybe pick him up going into this week.

Atlanta Falcons taking on the New York Jets. The Falcons are two and a half point road favorites here, implied for just 21 points. The overunder is sub 40 here. So not a good game environment. The 15th lowest overunder on the week uh 13 slate. Pace of play is also really low. The only positive that you can kind of glean from this is that Atlanta's DVOA matchup is positive. It's a top eight matchup on the slate here. I'm not going to start any of these quarterbacks. Like, there's no reason you should throw Tyrod Taylor or Kirk Cousins out there. But Bjun Robinson has a very, very solid matchup, especially knowing Atlanta's offense is is much better than the Jets defense according to DVOA. Bree Hall is going to be in your lineup, although it's about a league average run defense and I worry about the Jets ability to move the ball. Although we did see that receiving touches and uh Bree Hall's explosiveness was kind of back last week with Tyrod at quarterback. If you do need to dig deep in this game, again, I don't think you should need to because there's no buys this week. But Darno Mooney is not a bad option. John Mechi is not a bad option because both of them with the lead dog, you know, wide receiver Drake London and Garrett Wilson out for this game. Um we should see both of those guys have seven, eight, nine targets in this game. Kyle Pittz, if you need a streaming tight end, is not a terrible one, although he's been subbed like eight fantasy points for like four games in a row. So, he's very hard to trust right now. And Mason Taylor, again, not a terrible streaming option, but you should have better options out there. And I do think that Atlanta's defense is in play as well. Stat of the game. This one's a little bit weird by pass location. So, where Kirk Cousins and Michael Pennocks have been throwing the football for the Atlanta Falcons this season, they don't throw short and they don't throw deep often. They're like sub, you know, bottom six in the NFL in both of those areas of the field throwing the football. They like to throw the ball intermediate a lot and their intermediate target mainly are Darno Mooney and Kyle Pitts. So, I do think that we could see a lot of pass volume from those guys and defensively the Jets are very good against short passes, don't allow a lot of deep passes as well. So there is a good chance that we just see a lot of passfunnel volume into the intermediate area of the field which could lead to a lot of you know seven reception type of game for Mooney and eight reception type of game for Kyle Pittz. So again if you do need some options I don't think they're terrible ones.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers taking on the Arizona Cardinals. I like the Buccaneers here to get right. Um it looks like Baker Mayfield was back at practice today. I don't know for sure if he's gonna play, but he is a tough sob. And all he said in his press conference yesterday was that it is nothing like his Cleveland Browns injury to his shoulder where he had like a laboral tear and a rotator cuff and a separated shoulder or whatever. This is just a pain tolerance thing. It's not on his throwing shoulder. So, I would expect Baker Mayfield to play and as soon as he gets announced active, I think that this 44 point overunder is going up because the the Cardinals are throwing like crazy and that is how you get points scored against this Buccaneers defense. And if Baker Mayfield is playing, Chris Godwin going to be ramped up a little bit. TZ Johnson and Mecha Ibuka hopefully can play a little bit better than they've been playing the last couple of weeks. I this game could shoot out. I think we could see a lot of points in this one and you're going to want fantasy performers in this game. I know the the numbers don't do it justice. 44 point overunder under under catching the steam. I I disagree. I think this game is going over if I had to guess. I think you can stream both quarterbacks and above average matchups as well. Jacobe Brassette the better matchup. So I would prefer Jacobe Brassette of the two of them. Bucky Irving is going to be a puzzle this week. Um, how much is he playing? How many snaps is he playing? If I had to guess, it'll be 40 to 50% of the snaps, probably 10, 15 touches at most. So, if that is worthwhile as a starter for you as a top 30-ish running back, top 25 running back or so in your rankings, then yes, you can play Bucky Irving. But, I would not mess with any other running backs from this game. Rashad White would be my preference if I played one of the other guys, Shawn Tucker or Rashad. But again, it's week 13. There's no buys. you probably have better options than those type of dudes. But if you are wondering, should I start Bucky Irving or Blank? The answer is probably Blank. He's going to be on a pitch count. It's a good matchup, but I don't expect him to get a [ __ ] ton of touches in this game. He's just working back, trying to take contact from that injury. And I do expect a 10-point performance from Bucky Irving here, but you're going to feel better about him going forward. So, if you don't have to start him this week, don't. If you have a wide receiver that you can throw in instead, do that. Uh Bam Knight gonna probably be the starter yet again for Tampa or for Arizona here because we did see Trey Benson not quite ready to come back from that knee injury. He was ruled out earlier today. Um not a great match up for him in terms of inside rushes. The Bucks are obviously the Advita and those type of guys, but Bam Knight gets enough volume that you could throw him out there. Mecha Ibuka versus the Arizona Cardinal secondary. This is got to be a get-right spot for him, man. Like he's been so bad as of late from a fantasy perspective. He's been under 10 PPR points in five of his last six games. But I could see a get-right spot coming for a Mecha Ibuka. Marvin Harrison and Michael Wilson should both be in your lineup. We still don't have official word yet that Marvin Harrison is going to be active, but based on everything I've seen from fantasy docs around the industry. The fact that he's back on the field practicing as of Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday is a good sign. So, him being back at practice bodess well for him playing. Again, by the time you guys are listening to this, you might have already heard word that he is or isn't playing. Of course, if Marvin Harrison is not playing, then Michael Wilson sees a major upgrade. But if Marvis Marvin Harrison is playing, both of them are top 30 wide receivers. My preference of the two would be Marvin Harrison, assuming he is healthy with no limitations. Trey McBride's of course going to be in your lineup. He's the best tight end in fantasy. And then Kate Dutton, not a bad streaming option this week. I do think the Bucks passing offense could look better if Baker's healthy enough to play. If I playing better, if Godwin's playing more snaps, I just think that we're going to move the ball better. I know K. Do has been a beneficiary of having players out. Traditionally, you get a lot more targets at a Kate Otton, but I think he has a chance to score a touchdown, have a couple of catches if the offense is able to move the ball and put up 25, 30 points at home against a susceptible defense in the Arizona Cardinals. Tampa Bay's defense is definitely in play, as is their kicker, Chase Mclofflin. Stat of the game here is that the Cardinals secondary ranks dead last in fantasy points per drop back allowed in man coverage. Amecha Ibuka is a much better zone coverage, beating wide receiver. has a 77.5 receiving grade against zone versus a 57 PFF receiving grade against man. But in this game where they can't cover players one-on-one, I do think that Acha Igbuka could be winning downfield one-on-one like he was earlier on in the season. So keep that in mind for Ibuka. I think that this is the bounceback game. This is the get-Right game for him. Although it could just be copium on my part because I have him in the flock league and I'm down big in my matchup.

Jacksonville taking on the Tennessee Titans. Not a very exciting game environment here. 41 and a half point overunder. The pace of play is mid. The under is catching some steam. If you have to play any starters from this game, I would say Travis ETN, of course, is going to be in your lineup. He's been getting like 20 plus touches a game since the buy. Brian Thomas Jr. it looks like should be ready to make his return. He was a full participant in Thursday's practice. That bodess well for him playing on Sunday, which could elevate and um you know, really bring this Jaguars team from this like fringe wildcard contender into maybe uh in contention for the AFC South, especially if the Colts lose to the Texans. that division is going to be wild wide open there. So, um those two players from the Jaguars, you can absolutely play. If you need a streaming quarterback, I think Trevor Lawrence is not a bad option this week. Just keep in mind that the Titans typically play a lot better at Nissan Stadium than they play on the road. Um Taj Spears is in play because they are six-point underdogs here. If this is a a low, you know, um scoring game or a game environment where they fall behind early, then TA could catch a lot of passes. I do think that Shamira DK is in play because Elio Manor is limited backto-back days in practice. even if he's back, he'll probably be limited to some degree in the game. And we've seen Shamir DK carve out a nice little role there. Also been a dynamo on special teams returning punts for touchdowns and stuff. So if you needed a desperation play, he's not terrible. Same goes for a tight end. If you need a streaming tight end, I think Brenton Strange is not bad. Although he does get a downgrade if Brian Thomas Jr. and probably when Brian Thomas Jr. is back for this game. If you need a defense, Jacksonville's defense is in play as is their kicker Cam Little who was the number one kicker on the week last week. Stat of the game here is I would expect a lot of pass attempts from Tennessee in this one because the Jaguars lead all defenses in pass rate over expected allowed. They are a pass funnel. 25th in success rate against the pass, second in success rate against the run, 30th in air yards per pass attempt, fourth in explosive run rate. If you want to create big plays against this defense, it has to come through the air. And I do think that we could see Cam Ward chucking the ball a little bit more, which is why I like Shamira DK to go higher than 35 and a half receiving yards.

Moving into the 4pm window, we have the Seattle Seahawks hosting the Minnesota Vikings in the Sam Darnold Revenge game. The Seahawks are 10 and a half point favorites here. Overunder of just 41 points, but that is mainly because the Vikings are only implied for 15 points themselves, not because the Seahawks aren't going to score. Even money in terms of over and under, the Sharps are kind of split on this one. The pace of play is pretty solid. And a top five DVOA advantage goes to the Seattle Seahawks, but the 32nd ranked DVOA disadvantage going to the Minnesota Vikings offense versus the Seahawks defense, especially on the road. Darnold can be in your lineup. Again, it's a revenge game. He's going to be up for this one. I do think that two, three passing touchdowns is in play for Sam Darnold. So, if you need a streaming quarterback, he is one of the best options out there this week. Kenneth Walker is still dealing with that glute injury, but it appears he'll be good to go. It appears he's not going to really have any problems. And Minnesota's run defense was really good at the beginning of the year. It's really started to taper off over the last couple of games. JSN is the number one receiver in fantasy, of course, you know, to start him, but he does have a tough matchup in terms of just the overall Minnesota secondary. Although Byron Murphy, I'll get to in a second in the stat of the game. Aaron Jones, not a good matchup. This is not a good matchup at all for Aaron Jones. If you have better options, you can absolutely sit him because JJ McCarthy is not playing in this game. And I know that sounds like a good thing, but his backup is m is Max Bromer. It's not like we're getting Carson Wentz back here. I do think that this could be just a problematic showing from the Vikings in general and we might see them score seven points in this game. So, um, if you don't have to start a Viking, which that translates to, if it's not Justin Jefferson, you don't have to start them in my opinion, don't start Addison, you don't have to start Aaron Jones unless you absolutely have to. Definitely don't start TJ Hawinson. AJ Barner is a streamable tight end if you need one. Seahawks defense and kicker definitely both in play for this game. Stat of the game here is that with Sam Darnold leading the offense, they have a matchup advantage all over the place. Whether it's Darnold being in a revenge game at home, that's great news for the Seahawks. Kenneth Walker versus the 19th ranked EPA run defense. That's a great matchup. JSN has PFF's facing Byron Murphy primarily who's 90th in PFF coverage grade. And Max Bromer is starting on the other side of this game on the road in Seattle. I think that the Seattle Seahawks could legitimately possess the football 75% of this game because I do not know how Minnesota's going to generate first downs and big plays and all that kind of stuff. And I think that between Walker and Charbanet, they're going to get a lot of carries between the Seahawks getting up early in in games like we've seen them do against like the Saints and Cardinals and other inferior opponents. This one has blowout written all over it. And I just think that the Seahawks are going to possess the ball like most of this game. So, make sure you are firing up your Seahawks players.

The Los Angeles Chargers taking on the Las Vegas Raiders. The Chargers are nine and a half point home favorites here. Chargers getting a lot of respect from Vegas because they are coming out of their buy a little bit healthier. Over under a 40 and a half points, so not a good game environment, but the Chargers are implied for 25.25 of those points. Pace of play is pretty slow. Chargers have a decentsized DVOA advantage. Justin Herbert's in your lineup. He has been a 20 fantasy point per game quarterback this year and they are playing the Raiders. Amarian Hampton, big mystery right now. We have no idea if he is going to start, if he is going to be active, if he is going to be a full go, if he is going to be on a pitch count. As of my recording this right now, I expect him to play, but maybe be somewhat limited. So, I would say if Amarian Hampton when fully healthy is an 80% snapshare opportunity share guy, maybe he's a 60 or 50% snapshare opportunity share guy in this game. But I would still start him knowing that he has such a great matchup. If he is out for this game, then obviously Kamani Vidal becomes a very viable top 24ish play at the the running back position because we've seen him get the workload in Amari and Hampton's absence. But I do think that Hampton should return this week. Ashen Genty can be out there. It's a tough matchup, but he is getting the volume. Uh Lad McConi and Quinton Johnson versus the Raiders secondary bodess very very well for their matchups and their possibility to create some big plays. Uh both tight ends are in your lineup, Aronda Gatson and Brock Bowers. They just both have really bad matchups. So, just keep that in mind. You could see some duds from those guys, but it was mainly matchup related, not necessarily that you can't start them going forward. Los Angeles Chargers defense definitely a great start this week. Gino Smith, I believe, leads the NFL in interceptions as of now. So, definitely want the defense going up against that. And both kickers are also very solid plays, but specifically Cameron Dicker, the better of the two. Stat of the game here is that the biggest problem for the Chargers this season has been pass protection. I say this as a baited breath lad manager watching all of these games. They're 26th in sack rate. The Raiders though, despite having Max Crosby, are 26th in sacks sack rate generated. So, this is not a good pass rush and this is not a good offensive line. But, if they're not as good of a pass rush as the Chargers have normally seen, that could result in more uh time for Herbert to throw the ball and it could equal Lad and Quinton Johnson having some big plays in this one. So, I actually like Quinton Johnston to go higher than 39 and a half receiving yards.

Moving into the final 4pm game that we have here, the Buffalo Bills taking on the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Bills are three and a half point favorites. They're implied for 25. Overunder is 45 and a half in this one. The Bills have a nice DVOA advantage. Pretty straightforward on both of these teams. You know, to start Josh Allen, you know, to start James Cook, you know, to start um Khalil Shakir just as a flex play at best. Dalton Concaid is the real mystery in this game because he did practice today in a limited capacity and on Thursday in a limited capacity. He's missed the last two games with a hamstring pull, but they desperately need him out there, man. They are crying for pass catchers right now. Dawson Knox has looked horrible in his relief. Keon Coleman's been inactive for some of these games. It's a It's a rough scene out there. So, Daltton Concade, hopefully he can get back out there. I really desperately need him in the flock league, too. So, I hope he does get back out there. Jaylen Warren can be in your starting lineup. We know what the Bills have given up to starting running backs. And, uh, keep an eye on DK Metaf's health. I believe he's listed as questionable with an ankle injury. I think he should be able to go. Um, but just keep an eye on him. Aaron Rogers, definitely don't put him in your lineup because he is probably not reliable even though the Steelers are at home. And I do think you could play both kickers in this one as well. Schematically, the stat of the game here is the Steelers are a pretty bad matchup for Buffalo, just of how they play defense. Not necessarily the caliber of defense they are, but the way that Buffalo plays offense is beating zone coverage. Well, the Steelers are a top six team in man coverage. And they also have the corners to be able to match up with the shitty Bills receivers that we have here. The Bills also like playing against too high safety looks. Their success rate, fantasy points per drop back, is way better against too high than it is against single high. The Steelers play too high at the fifth lowest rate in the NFL. So Concaid being out there is really crucial for Buffalo because he is their best man beating pass catcher. He has the highest yards per out run on the team against man coverage. So if he is not back, watch out cuz Buffalo could be in for a dud or it'll just be a Josh Allen master class and he'll just elevate the play of everyone around him. Probably run the ball at will and do his thing.

Moving into the Sunday night football game, we have the Denver Broncos taking on the Washington Commanders. It doesn't look like Jaden's going to come back for this game. There is kind of like a little bit of buzz around him coming back at some point. It sounds like he's not like overly unhealthy at this point in the season, but it looks like Denver should be in position to take care of business here as nearly a touchdown favorite. The overunder of 43 and a half, the over catching a little bit of the steam. Really fast-paced of play game. But overall, fantasy production wise, it's not like there's a ton of guys you're screaming to start in this one. Bo Nicks can definitely be in your lineup though if you're looking for a streaming quarterback. And Bo Nicks is available. He is probably the single best streaming quarterback you could have this week. R.J. Harvey will get the start yet again for Denver because JK Dobbins is out for the foreseeable future, maybe even the rest of the regular season. So, he is going to be a very, very popular start this week. Uh Courtland Sutton and Troy Franklin because of the game environment and the implied total of 25. You could definitely throw either of those two guys out there. Just keep in mind, I I'll get into it in the stat of the game that they're very similar this year. It's not like Sutton has been much better than Franklin and vice versa. Um, sit all Washington running backs. I know Chris Rodriguez has been getting touches and getting the starting job and [ __ ] I don't care. It's a Denver Broncos defense and this is a backfield by committee on a bad team with Marcus Mariota starting. So if you It's week 13 and there's no buys. You shouldn't have to start Chris Rodriguez or Bill Crosky Meritt. Just leave them on your bench if you can start Debo Samuel, but I probably wouldn't mess with Terry McLaren even though Terry McLaren is coming back this week by the looks of it. Um the Denver Broncos secondary also might get Patrick Certan back. So this is not a situation you really want to mess with with Terry McLaren. I have him as like wide receiver 44 or something in my rankings this week. If you don't have to start him, don't start other wide receivers. Like for example, Franklin and Sutton in this very game. If you had that option, I would pivot to both of those receivers instead of playing Terry McLaren coming off of like a five, six week injury he's been out for. You just don't feel good about his overall snap share and his matchup in general. Uh Zack Z, you could probably throw out there if you needed a tight tight end streamer, but I think you should have better options. Denver's defense and kicker both in play. Speaking of Troy Franklin, the stat of the game here is that since week two, so not like some recent sample, like the entire season minus one game, since week two, Troy Franklin has outtargeted Courtland Sutton 23% of the targets versus 20% and he is 11.7 PPR points per game versus Courtland Sutton's 11.6. So, this has been the number one receiver technically of this team. So, don't be, you know, doing the thing that you go by name value. I've seen a lot of people on the site, for example, Courtland Sutton's ranked like 30 spots higher at wide receiver than Troy Franklin, even though Franklin has outproduced him the vast majority of the season. Just keep in mind that Franklin and Sutton have been basically interchangeable. It's a big downgrade to Sutton and both of them are kind of wide receiver 34 types in good matchups, which this one is. You could definitely throw them out there.

New England Patriots on Monday Night Football taking on the New York Giants. The Patriots are over a touchdown favorite at 7 and a half. The implied total for them 26 and a half points here. The overunder of 46 and a half is catching a lot of steam. Both teams actually have a DVOA advantage. The New England DVOA fourth highest advantage, the New York Giants DVOA ninth highest advantage, they've actually been a very functional offense this year. If you told me going into the season that Russell Wilson was going to be a disaster and Malik Neighbors was going to get injured and Cam Scataboo was going to be a revelation and then get injured, I probably would have said that the New York Giants were picking like one or two in the draft. and they're not winning a lot of games, but at least they're a very, very good and fun offense to watch. So, keep that in mind. Uh Drake May um for the Patriots, definitely a startable quarterback. He is my QB three on the week other than Patrick Mahomes who already played and Josh Allen against the Steelers. I would not start a single quarterback over him. And I wish I had Drake May last night instead of Lamar Jackson playing who was obviously terrible. Uh Jackson Dart, he's coming back from his concussion. He runs the ball like crazy. seven rushing touchdowns on the season since he took over the starting job. Only Josh Allen has been more productive for fantasy. So, Jackson Dark can be out there, assuming he's starting. Trevion Henderson um at running back has one of the easiest matchups in football. We've seen the Giants just absolutely give it up to running backs. Look at what Jir Gibbs did to them last week. Case closed. And Henderson is a very similar type of running back to Jir Gibbs. Tyrone Tracy facing a difficult matchup in the New England Patriots run defense, but I'll get to that in a second in the stat of the game. If you need a receiver, both of the number on's respectively are good top 25 plays for me. Stefon Diggs with a good matchup. Juell Robinson with a good matchup as well. Tight end streamers, this is a good game environment to attack a tight end streamer. Um, it's a 46-point overunder, 46 point overunder, and Theo Johnson and Hunter Henry are both getting red zone usage, getting targets. You could definitely throw either of those out there if you need a tight end. New England's defense definitely in play here and kicker in play. Stat of the game is that the Patriots are a top tier run defense this season. However though, since the Milton Williams injury, which was 2 weeks ago, they are dead last in success rate per rush allowed. So, keep in mind that this is actually not as bad of a matchup as it seems for Tyrone Tracy because the stats that the Patriots have over the course of the season are not quite what they've been the last couple of weeks. So, I do think that they're actually going to be able to run the ball a little bit better. Just keep that in mind if you're looking for the streamers. That was in um Thursday's video or yeah, th what day did I drop that? Wednesday's video. the games before the Thanksgiving game. Just go ahead and check out the streamers if you need streaming quarterbacks, streaming tight ends, streaming defenses, and streaming kickers. If you do want to tail our pick entry, like I said, the Quinton Johnston receiving yards, the Shamir DK receiving yards, the uh Quinton Judkins and Kairen Williams rushing yards, those are going to be what we're rolling with in our matchups that matter stat of the game pick them entry. If you guys want to tail that, you know what to do. Anybody who signs up using our promo code FSE can get up to $1,000 in bonus funds on their first deposit, a 50% deposit match. And when you play your first $5 entry, you get a $100 in bonus entries, plus a gimme pick for signing up using our promo code FSE. Tons of, you know, offers going on with Feast Week. It's not even just NFL stuff. There's a lot of NBA offers and whatnot going on. So, check that out. That'll be linked down below in the pin comment if you guys want a tail. But with that being said, hopefully I helped you set your fantasy football lineups. Leave me a like if you guys enjoyed. Subscribe to the channel if you are new around here. Comment any of your thoughts down below. But peace out and I'll talk to you soon.