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Trump himself said that the US has no interest in the Strait of Hormuz, it doesn't buy oil, it doesn't do anything through the strait. But the Red Sea definitely has interests for the US. Therefore, this kind of threat will increase pressure if the US expands its targets to Iran's oil and energy. Iran still has a card it has played before with success, which is to attack and collect energy, gas, oil, and oil tankers that are waiting to transport oil from the Gulf countries, which are important targets. And these countries will then pressure the US back. Iran has a clear advantage in terms of the battlefield. Our goal is to reach 1 million subscribers for this channel. Please press Subscribe. We now have YouTube Membership. By subscribing, you will receive exclusive content and seminar rights from Prp and Team Business Tomorrow. But regarding the attacks on infrastructure, Iran also said that if the attacked infrastructure extends to the energy infrastructure, it will retaliate by having its allies close the Red Sea and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which is also an oil transport route. There is communication to the effect that if Iran loses its energy interests in the entire region, the entire region will suffer as well. How do diplomats assess the possibility of closing the Red Sea and potentially affecting the entire region? It is possible. Just the threat alone is enough to cause shipping companies and insurance companies considerable headaches due to future uncertainty. Therefore, this pressure will return to Washington because the US undoubtedly has interests. Trump himself said that the US has no interest in the Strait of Hormuz, it doesn't buy oil, it doesn't do anything through the strait. But the Red Sea definitely has interests for the US. Therefore, this kind of threat will increase pressure if the US expands its targets to Iran's oil and energy. Iran still has a card it has played before with success, which is to attack and collect energy, gas, oil, and oil tankers that are waiting to transport oil from the Gulf countries, which are important targets. And these countries will then pressure the US back. Therefore, Iran definitely has the upper hand. The US will have to maintain a force of 50,000 people, aircraft carriers, warships, etc., and a lot of missiles and rockets have been used. The personnel on the ships need to be rotated, sent back to rest, and undergo maintenance. Iran has a clear advantage in terms of the battlefield.
But will this pressure go so far as to make the US side back down from attacking infrastructure or from Iran's military operations? They probably wouldn't dare, because if the consequences come in, it's like the hole I mentioned that Trump dug himself, and Trump wants to get out of the hole. Trump knows very well, he's not stupid, he's smart, but he's someone who doesn't want to take risks. Continuing to dig the hole, Trump knows it will make his base even more dissatisfied. Even now, ordinary Americans don't want to see a war. Today, diesel prices at the pump in the US have reached $5 per gallon. This $5 is a number that measures the public's unacceptability. Therefore, Trump knows very well that if it continues to be $5, it will be July. In early November, there will be an election. The Republican party in the US will definitely lose the House of Representatives, and according to projections, 4 seats in the Senate. If the Democrats win, Trump is finished. Whether Trump loses both houses or one house, the remaining two years of Trump's term will be that of a lame duck.
So, does the ambassador analyze that President Trump will absolutely not send ground forces to invade Iran, whether it's Kharg Island or any other point? Kharg Island has been talked about a lot, and I've mentioned it on this program. To deploy troops there, there must be a sufficient number. And how will these soldiers sleep, live, and take care of their own safety? They will become sitting ducks, targets for Iran's missiles and drones to "greet." During Reagan's presidency in 1983, when American Marines were in Lebanon, they were bombed by terrorists, killing 243 people. Reagan immediately withdrew his forces from Lebanon. Therefore, Trump's nightmare is if the forces, if they die.
The ambassador's signal is back. May I invite the ambassador back to continue the conversation? Please, Ambassador. Iran is battered. No one doubts it. Inflation is currently 90%. They desperately need economic breathing room, and the MOU provides them with a channel. However, it will cut off the control of the Strait of Hormuz. Therefore, diplomatically, if there is a negotiation in the next round to find a solution that satisfies both sides to some extent, it would be one way. But it must be said that currently, the conservatives in Iran are in control of the country. This will put pressure on Trump, making him even less willing to concede. Because if he concedes without getting anything, and Iran still controls the Strait of Hormuz, the US will lose a lot of face.
But regarding the issue of sending ground forces, Mr. Trump also gave an interview on Fox News, saying that perhaps they wouldn't have to send their own forces. There might be proxies who could conduct ground operations, other than US soldiers. Ambassador, who do you think Mr. Trump is referring to? Which forces? I don't know. I don't know, and I don't think any force would agree to be a sitting duck. The only thing Trump wants to do right now, including the US forces, is to prevent Iran from being able to fire missiles and drones to attack various targets as before. But they can't attack the missile launch sites, which are thought to be weapons depots. Iran has not shown any sign of backing down at all. Because this is the crucial question: if US forces are still unable to reduce the number of missiles and drones that pose a threat, whether US forces or any other nation's forces are deployed, they will all be sitting ducks.
So, will it be local armed forces, regional allies, Israel, or any other military that is not a viable option for the US side? Those who would go up to seize or do anything, if they still see that Iran can fire missiles and drones like this, they would have to think many times over before agreeing to do so. It's not the way. Currently, Trump's former Secretary of Defense, Mark Esper, has warned Trump that continuing to attack with air power will not enable Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz. What he said is similar to what former Secretary of State and National Security Advisor to Bush Jr. said. That is, besides not wanting to risk sending any forces, the use of stringent economic measures, which take time, is likely the best way to pressure Iran. The US really only has one option left.
Because that's what Iran wants. They want the sanctions to be lifted. They want their frozen assets, which are their own assets, and they got them from the MOU, but they are still not satisfied. Therefore, I think Americans have only one option left: to tell Iran directly that if they still do not comply with the MOU, especially by occupying the Strait of Hormuz, they will face increasingly heavy economic pressure. This will be something that Americans do not have to lose lives over, unlike the air attacks that have occurred.
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