Transcription
Hitting on a sleeper deep in your fantasy drafts can be the reason that you end up your league champion. For example, last year Drake May, Trevor Lawrence, Javvante Williams, Cam Scataboo, Alec Pierce, Michael Wilson, and Jake Ferguson. These were huge hits way late in your draft. People left them for dead.
And in today's video, I'm going to bring you 10 sleepers that none of your friends are talking about. Some of them they know, some of them they don't, but they are absolute must-drafts this season. Not a single player that I'm going to talk about today is going before late seventh round in your fantasy drafts via ADP.
Let's start off with the rookie that this is probably one of those names that your casual friends are not talking about much at all. That is Casey Conception. I know it's a Cleveland Brown. Give me a single second here. Okay. On day one, Casey Conpion, in my humble opinion, is already one of the most talented wide receivers in Cleveland. Uh, there's very little competition. Exhibit one would be Jerry Judy. Exhibit two would be Cedric Tilman. Exhibit three would be Isaiah Bond. Reports out of camp have been super posit positive, by the way, including talking about his usage, talking about how he's going to be using a bevy of different ways, trying to get him involved deep shots, screen plays. This is a guy who's going to be moved all over the formation. There really is zero reason why he or even Denzel Boston, who's a great shout out here, couldn't [clears throat] see a 20 to 25% target share as a rookie.
Now for Conception, he had a ridiculous true freshman breakout at in college. Over 800 yards, 10 touchdowns. He is such a fun player to watch on film. He's a ridiculous route runner. Uh, Matt Harmon actually in his reception perception report, he is like the goat when it comes to uh looking at wide receivers out of college. How are they going to project in the NFL? In his report, he mentions, and I quote, "He demolishes man and press coverage, is reliable target against zone, and makes plays above the rim with the ball in space. You really can't ask more for a round one receiver prospect." Matt notes that in the class this year, uh, Conception ranked number one in success rate versus man, number three versus zone, number one versus press, and number four in contestant catch rate. The only reason that Casey Conpion isn't like a fifth or a sixth round pick is because of the Browns offense, but that risk is already baked in. Yeah, it might not be as uh valuable as targets in other offenses, but you are looking at right now the vacated targets tool in my draft guide. By the way, my pro comp for Casey Conception, Emanuel Sanders. Now, I've said that in a video before. Some of you are kind of calling yourselves out here. Some of you don't know Ball, saying Emanuel Sanders, uh, he sucks. Some of you don't know Ball. I'm sorry. I love you, but you don't know Ball cuz Sanders was a baller. Put up a 100 catches, 1400 yards, and nine touchdowns on 18.7 points per game in 2024. Get out of here with that mess. All right. If he's Emanuel Sanders, that's a huge hit.
Okay, this next player is a player that your friends do know about, but they are not respecting him. Therefore, you will respect him and win your leagues as a really good flex. Raandre Stevenson. Okay, you're already cringing, but think about it this way instead. For years, for years, not a single one of you watching this video, be for real with me right now. Tell me if I'm wrong in the comment section, but not a single one of you had a problem drafting David Montgomery in the fifth round, even though he shared a backfield with Jir Gibbs. If this is a 50/50 split in New England, how are you not excited about the David Montgomery role at minimum what Stevenson is going to have this year, one of the best offenses in the NFL. The Patriots offense was superior to the Lions last year anyway. They were top six in rushing attempts, rushing yards, rushing touchdowns. They were fantastic. And look, I am one of the biggest Trayvon Henderson stands you can find on the internet. But Raandre's Price is just too enticing this year. I mean, we got Henderson in the fourth, fifth round. Meanwhile, Stevenson in the eighth or ninth round. We could all be excited about Trayvon, but you have to recognize, even me as a Henderson stand, that not only was Stevenson the best running back in New England last year, he was one of the best running backs in the league. That is not hyperbolic. Don't believe me? Last year he was one of 12 running backs to finish top 20 yards after contact per attempt and miss tack was forced per attempt. Last year if you look at those numbers and you go to top 10 he is one out of four running backs to finish top 10 in those numbers. It's him, Bjan Javvante and Amarian Hampton. Okay, it's not hyperbolic to say he had an incredible season last year in 2025 out of 55 running backs with 75 rushing attempts. He was top 10 in those two numbers we talked about earlier. Top 10 elusive rating receptions, receiving yards, yards per route run. He's not only a good running back on the ground, he's a great receiving threat as as well. And I do anticipate Henderson having a bigger role in year two, but man, Stephvenson just got better as the year went on. I mean, there were not those end-of-fear trends that we saw where his role started to diminish. No, it only got bigger. In fact, in the NFL playoffs, when it mattered the most, when all the marbles were on the line, right? That's not the the statement, right? But when it mattered the most, Stevenson in the NFL playoffs saw 58 carries to Henderson's 30, almost tripling his yardage on the ground. Even through the air as a receiving threat in the playoffs, Stevenson saw 15 targets to Henderson six, almost 4xed his receiving yardage uh in the entire playoffs. This isn't that hard. Drafter Andre Stevenson, he's going to be a flexible name.
All right, let's go to a really, really post-hype sleeper. Your friends are not thinking about this name. Josh Downs so cheap in drafts right now. Uh, current ADP is the 912 late ninth early tenth round pick. All signs point towards a lot more opportunities for Josh Downs in 2026. For example, sign one, Michael Pitman and AD Mitchell are gone. The Colts are currently top 10 in vacated targets to the wide receiver position. Another tool in my draft guide. He's his only competition in the wide receiver room is Alec Pierce. Look at some of these other names. You got Ashton Doulan, Deion Burks who's a rookie in the seventh round, a Anthony Gould, uh Nick Enwiny, Westbrook, Aini, Laquan Treadwell, like and and even with Alec Pierce being his main competition. Pierce has been injured with an ankle uh the entire offseason. He had surgery. He has not been present at one point in OTAAS in practice and he might not be ready until the season even begins. The main thing that has held Josh Downs back in his entire career hasn't been talent. It's been two wide receiver sets. He has not played in two wide receiver sets, only in three wide receiver sets. He's been primarily a slot wide receiver. 81.5% of his snaps coming out of the slot so far this year. We've seen plenty of reports, for example, here's one from Sports Illustrated where we are hearing things like gone are the days of downs being used as a slot receiver. Uh, Stike is going to move him all around the formation, right? Uh, then we hear from the top dog Shane Stiken himself who who talks about this in a press conference. He says, "I think Josh D's role will step up a little bit more and more targets for him. Hell of a player. We've used him in the slot for a long time. We'll get him some reps outside." Don't forget, we've seen fantasy relevance from Josh Downs in the past. He had over 13 points per game in 2024 on just 66% of the snaps. I don't think it's absolutely insane to say there is maybe a top 24 finish for Josh Downs out there. Would you think I would you think I was crazy last year for saying that about Well Robinson? Maybe you would have, but if you drafted him, you would have been reaping the rewards.
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All right. Rico Dattle. I love drafting Rico D late in my drafts. Everything in Pittsburgh is completely sparkly brand new. Well, almost everything. The one thing we have seen before is Mike McCarthy calling plays and Rico Dattle banging in between the tackles at the running back position for him. Rico serves as his RB1 back in 2024, averaging 12 and a half points per game on a 57% target share. And it's good Rico's back in town. Well, you know, back with Mike rather, because this team has a very clear role they need to fill this off-season by a wide margin. They are number one in vacated targets to the running back position. You can thank Kenny Gainwell for that, who's now in Tampa Bay, one of my vacated targets tool. Another perk of my 26 draft guide, which by the way, you can get my draft guide by using the promo code land, becoming a season pass member. It's just $34, not just for the draft cycle, but for the entire NFL season. You're going to get coverage support for myself. My draft guide, I believe, is the best draft guide in the industry. I'm so proud of what we put together there. You've got my complete projections for every player, for every team. You've got the vacated target tool. You've got uh research that I'm doing in my videos that I'm putting in the draft guide for you guys. You've got the ultra cheat sheet, which 50,000 people used last year. I'm sure more of you going to use it this year. Whatever platform, whatever settings you're in, I got you covered. I've got specific strategies for every single league, superflex, one quarterback, uh, eight team, 14 team, everything in between. Uh, one of my favorite features of the cheat sheet tool, by the way, is when you're on the clock, it'll tell you based off ADP, if you wait on a certain position, who might be the next player available at your next pick. So, for example, if I'm in an ESPN draft here and Josh Allen's the best available player on my board, if I were to draft him and if I pass him, I know, okay, I'm not gonna give him my next pick, but maybe Drake May will be there. So again, if you want to support the show, just $34 for the entire year, about 20 cents per day. Use a code land. Make sure you use code land. Check your account if you already have a free one and become a season pass member.
Look, back to Rico Dat. Aaron Rodgers is at a point of his career where he's not mobile at all. He's got very little mobility. He's always looking to dump off to his running backs. I mean, last year, for example, only the 49ers, who their number one wide receiver was their running back and Christian McAffrey. only the 49ers had more targets to the running back position. The the Steelers had 132 targets to running backs. It's a very simple idea, guys. There's opportunity available. Mike McCarthy's offenses have been great historically at every stop he's had. I believe he's vastly uh going to improve the Steelers offense, which was bad last year. And Rico Data has a great chance to have a fantasy relevant role really from week number one. Don't be afraid of Mr. Rico D.
All right, let's go to my favorite sleeper quarterback in 2026. Let me ask you a question. Comment down below. Tell me, why do you love Joe Burrow? Why do you love Caleb Williams? Why do you love Trevor Lawrence? Probably because they throw a ton of touchdowns, have a good offense, and have an insane amount of receiving threats that they can throw to. H sound like anybody else that you might know that's being left for dead in drafts. How about Jared Goff, man? Why don't you love Jared Goff? YEAH, I'M POINTING AT YOU. I'm talking to you. He throws touchdowns. He's got elite pass-catching weapons around him. I cannot fathom why people are leaving him for dead in drafts. On ESPN and Yahoo, he's going five rounds after Caleb Williams and Dak Prescott, four rounds after Justin Herbert, three rounds after Trevor Lawrence. And I have a very similar range of outcomes for those quarterbacks and my projections in 2026. Seriously, think about this for a second. Okay, this team's Bruiser RB2, their identity has been built around the run, if you will. He just left uh for Houston in a trade. So, David Montgomery is gone. Their 2024 first-round quarterback just got released due to some truly wild off-field scenarios. Okay, this is probably going to lead to them throwing the ball more. The defense might not be as good. They're not going to have as good of a rushing attack potentially without Montgomery. Uh, Gibbs is already one of the he is the best pass-catching threat out of the backfield in the entire NFL. I mean, think about they're going to throw more in 2026. And last year, Jared Goff finished as a quarterback 12 on a points per game basis without Sam Laaporta for a good portion of the year, who's a big red zone threat for him. The year before that, Jared Goff was a quarterback seven on a points per game basis. Like, what are we doing? Why are you not just waiting till the 11th, 12th round and grabbing Jared Goff and maybe one more quarterback to finish your draft? He absolutely has top 10 finish upside. It's totally possible.
Okay, let's talk about a running back that your friends might know about, but I think people need to be taking him a little bit more seriously. Jonathan Brooks. Look, I know he's been injured. I know that you're going to be saying, "Oh, there's no way this guy's going to stay healthy." Okay, remember Frank Gore? Some people said that about him at one point. I'm not saying that Brooks will turn into Frank Gore, but at some point people were like, "Oh, Frank Gore is a bust." Yeah, he was drafted in the second round. I know he's been injured, but he was an incredible prospect. I fell in love with watching this guy out of Texas. He's got such a fluidity. It is like watching motor oil flow through an engine. Before tearing his ACL in his last year in college at Texas, he put up over,400 all-purpose yards, 11 touchdowns on great efficiency. I think my favorite comp for him coming out was Travis Etien. Great reminder from Jeff Mueller. Brooks is just two and a half months older than Jadarian Price, who's a rookie for the S uh for the Seattle Seahawks. And obviously being drafted in the second round says a lot. He hasn't been able to stay healthy, but if that bad luck ends this year, he could be a massive steal at his price. We know Rico Dattle, we just talked about him today. He's in Pittsburgh. Last year, he accounted for 54% of the snaps in this offense. 57% of the design rushing attempts and 67% of the attempts inside the 5yd line. Did they draft anybody to replace Nico? No. In the first round, they added an offensive tackle. They drafted no running back in any round this year. And in free agency, they only signed AJ Dylan. We keep hearing positive report after positive report about uh, you know, what we're seeing from Jonathan Brooks out of camp. Listen to this one from Dave Canales recently. >> Yeah, JB's looked great. Um, you know, in the run game certainly, but also in the pass game. You know, half of his highlights when he was coming out or screen passes, wides, things down the field. Uh, he has a great ability to catch the ball, track it, and and transition once he catches it. And so, uh, just finding different packages and ways to get him involved in the offense and, um, he's looked great so far. >> Even back in January, we heard reports that Dave Canal said, "Yeah, Brooks has a chance to win the job at some point."
Okay, the next player, Juan Dale Robinson. Juanale feels like he's just going to keep being this guy that every single year he outperforms his ADP and yet nobody has any interest in him. Are you sure? Let me ask you this. Are you sure he's not going to give you similar results to these guys who are going two rounds before him? So, the Mai Lemons, who I love, by the way, but as a rookie, are you sure? Chris Godwin, Parker Washington, Jacobe Myers, are you sure he's not going to give you more than those guys? I'm a huge Cardinal Tate guy myself, but I think these two wide receivers fit each other perfectly in this offense. They're great compliments. Also, when Cam Ward was drafted at Miami, that year in Miami in college, heavily targeted his slot receiver, Xavier Restrepo, who that year had over,000 receiving yards, 90% of his snaps in the slot. Tate is going to be a bonafide, you know, stud in the NFL, but Wandelle is also going to heavily be involved. We've heard reports out of camp that he will be the number one weapon for the first year of the Tate Ward connection. He was the second highest paid wide receiver in free agency, and that's coming off a career year with the Giants where he scored 13.6 points per game, was a wide receiver 17 on a points per game basis.
Okay, I've got three honorable mentions to end the video today. Go ahead and do me a favor. Hit the like button. Hype on mobile. Subscribe. Help us get to 100K before week one. Let's start with Travis Hunter. I know people are going to hate this, but just give me a single second here. Okay, let's get something incredibly clear. Yes, Travis Hunter will play more cornerback. Okay, he is not going to not play wide receiver. He will be out there on offense as well. There hasn't been a single moment this coaching staff or the front office has said he's only going to play quarterback. Everybody's losing their minds because in May, Ian Raport brought up an old report back in January that he was referencing saying that Hunter will play full-time cornerback, part-time wide receiver. Again, nobody in the Jags front office or the coaching staff confirmed that. In fact, they said the opposite. Travis Hunter himself went to Twitter and said, "Who told you this? Who told you you were naked? Who said that I wasn't going to play receiver? Who are you getting this from? You're wrong." Then GM James Gladstone replied on the Rich Eisen show talking about how yeah, we are wanting to play him more on defense, but he's not going to decrease on offense. This is the power of clickbaiting, okay, in social media nowadays. Keep in mind that his impact and availability on offense will not be impacted. They've already said that. And last year he was on the cusp of breaking out before he got injured in uh week seven last year. He set career-highs in points with 24 targets, receptions, yards, target share, routes run, 101 yards, and a touchdown. Yes, he is going to be a little bit of an unknown, but he is almost completely free in your drafts where you got to pay like a fifth-round price tag on Brian Thomas. Now it's almost sixth round on Parker Washington. I just think that this is a guy that, you know, you don't trade up two picks uh in future in future drafts to only feature him as a quarterback. The best part is people will watch this video and still comment down below and say, "Why would you draft a quarterback? There's no way he's going to play wide receiver." Take advantage of that stupidity. Really take advantage of it.
Okay. Antonio Williams. Uh, look, there were multiple years where Antonio Williams was a highly respected prospect as a true freshman with DJ Unalle accounted for 18% of Clemson's total passing attack. in 2024 accounted for 25% of their passing attack. This is the perfect environment for a breakout in year number one. Terry is the clear number one wide receiver here. Outside of that, nothing is solidified. Luke McAffrey, Trayon Burks, Deami Brown, they're just not that guy. Brandon Iayuk each day it feels less and less likely that the off-field stuff will translate to the NFL. Do the Commanders even want him? I don't know. I I don't think any of us know. We found out recently he fired his agent uh earlier in the year. And look, when you film yourself breaking the law, I'm just not sure how many GMs are out there. Really excited to add you on to your team. Uh, by the way, last year Debo led the team in yards and targets. He's gone. Zack Z was second. He's gone. The Commanders are desperate for a receiver to step up. They're third in total vacated targets. Sixth in total vacated targets to the wide receiver position. Even if I is there, they need a a player like Antonio Williams. My ceiling pro comp for him is like a Julian Edelman to a Josh Downs type of player.
Last player in today's video is a tight end. It's Chicka Conquo. I've talked about him a lot. He is my poster boy late tight end this year. Man, I really thought the Commanders would do more to help Jayen Daniels out this year. Their top two target earners, like we talked about, are gone. Zack Z was heavily targeted from Jaden Daniels in his first two years, demanding a 20 and 18% target share in those years, respectively. Like we said, Commanders are really open to new target earners. They are second in vacated targets to the tight end position. I know people will say, "Well, Chick has never produced before." be so for real. Like, who has produced in Tennessee? Okay, in 2025 alone, the Titans were bottom of the league in completion percentage, passing yards per game, passing touchdowns per game. They were literally dead last and not much better before that. I mean, they haven't had a single year where they've even been a mid passing attack. So, can we please stop pretending like we know what Chick is capable of a as a receiving threat when he hasn't been in a single positive environment offensively?
Guys, appreciate you so much watching the video. Like I said, go ahead and do us a favor, join the community. If you'd like to subscribe, help us get to 100K. Got so much content on the channel. Check it out down below. You could watch, you know, hours of content to get ready for your 2026 fantasy football season. And last thing I'll say, go ahead and get your season pass with the code land. $34 on me. Uh, when you use my code, I'll get into some fantasy leagues with you. Uh, we'll uh join the community. You'll have access for the entire fantasy season, not only from now, but all the way through week 17. Appreciate you hanging out and I'll see you in the next one. Love.
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