Transcription
but friends do you remember the zalinski
curse May 2023 zalinski visits
bahmut December 2023 zalinski goes to
fiva and as part of the latest iteration
on the 18th of November 20124 Ukrainian
president zilinski went to kupiansk
knowing his track record um we all know
what's going to
happen here from Ukraine Ka Pravda the
Russians are getting closer and closer
to kopans we will talk about this very
interesting article later in the video
this is what 24 Canal wrote according to
Estonian intelligence Russia's plans are
ruined I'll just show you the map and
you'll decide for yourself this was the
situation on the luhansk front in early
September and this is the situation now
3 months later a couple more ruined
plans like that and the Russian army
will being ke at this moment Russian
forces have reached the usal river
that's how they caught the Fortress city
of kopans and its Garrison in a semi
encirclement and let's be honest
nobody's excited when they're caught in
a semi meanwhile further south 10,000
Ukrainian soldiers are holding back an
entire Russian tank Army despite their
best efforts they're slowly forced to
give up ground but every step is
contested as they seek to delay the
advancing Force
and at this rate it's the city of borova
that will also find itself
cornered two days after zalinski
visited kopans Radio free Europe
interviewed some ukraini soldiers
positioned in and around the besieged
city but simply their morale is pretty
low actually just check out what they
had to say
now many Ukrainian soldiers are asking
themselves what do we F and nobody can
give them an answer especially when they
see that on social media everyone else
all their buddies are living their best
life and partying like no tomorrow while
they're stuck in Frozen and muddy
trenches on their enemy artill fire from
an operational perspective the Ukrainian
Defenders of kopans can only be
reinforced and supplied via pontoon
bridges but this Logistics flow has been
complicated with continuous Russian air
strikes on all bridges and Crossing
points making the situation for the
Ukrainian Army extremely tenuous so we
all know about Russia's superiority and
Fir power Fab bombs artillery but part
of the Russian army success can also be
explained by Purity seals thus right the
same ones inspired by the game Warhammer
40K that Russian soldiers now we in
combat for maximum damage points these
Purity seals were blessed by the church
and of course the prayers were changed
for Psalm 90 if you're wondering how I
keep up with all the political news
related to the Ukraine war it's because
I used this app and website by ground
news for my research I found this
interesting story zilinski opened to
Western troops providing security for
end to war in Ukraine ground news found
over 458 articles covering this story it
immediately shows us how much of the
coverage was politically left leading
how much was on the right and how many
sources were rated as relatively neutral
as you can see this is a great tool for
my research you can also access ground
news by using my link ground. news/
hisory Legends to access the Vantage
plan and they're offering 50% off right
now another feature of ground news that
I really like is the bias comparison
tool in one simple click you can get a
summary of what both the left and the
right report and if you don't have much
time just click here on bias comparison
we learned that the left employs
emotionally charged language like the
madness highlighting Ukraine's heavy
losses and the needs for an urgent peace
reflecting a dire tone while the center
is positioning Trump as a decisive
leader whereas the right emphasizes
zelinsky's openness to foreign troops
reflecting a strategic pivot which is
not emphasized in the left and the
center on top of that if you want to
learn more you can select similar news
topics that you are the most interested
in what I also like is how when I click
here I can see what is the overall
political leading of various news
agencies and interesting feature is how
I can filter articles let's say I want
an article that is politically at the
center with high or very high factuality
and no pay wall so I can read it easily
amazing we got 24 articles to choose
from personally as someone fascinated by
Warfare fair and geopolitics ground news
is an invaluable tool that cuss through
the noise ground news is giving my
viewers 50% off their unlimited access
Vantage plan this is their best deal of
the year and it will only be available
for a limited time if you're already a
subscriber you can send ground news as a
gift for 50% off as well so make sure
you use my link in the description below
I think ground news is doing important
work and I hope you'll check them out
not only will you support the
headquarters but you'll also support a
small team looking to hold the media
accountable to fully understand the
critical situation our beloved ukra SK
arm found itself we have to go back to
early September at that moment the
Ukrainian command in kopans faced
several problems first of all this bulge
that was quickly expanding and ready to
release right onto the usal river number
two then there were many small salant to
defend for example look at the one south
of pan or what about this Salient on the
the East Bank of the jeret river between
the Villages of mifka and TI overall
15,000 Ukrainian soldiers defended the
luhansk front 5,000 in and around
kupiansk and another 10,000 further
south along the oll reservoir another
dilemma for Ukraine was how to supply
their forces positioned on the East Bank
of the usal river in this footage you
have the Russian Air Force firing an x38
air2 surface missile on one of the
bridges in response the main strategic
nodes for the Ukrainian Army are the
cities of kopans and liman further to
the South which allow them to
continuously Supply friendly forces
because of that the Russians continue
their intense aerial bombardment
campaign of both subjectives for example
here in kopans you can see some sort of
warehouse and here is the same building
after a Russian missile strike another
area the Russian Air Force heavily
bombarded is Petro pavka the town
located on the Eastern outskirts of
kopans and once again look at the
terrible destruction that follows such
air strikes meanwhile further south in
Lan you have this large industrial area
near this marshalling yard you can see
it's the same area both on the map and
on the video and look at the state of
the factory after the fall of an Fab 500
bomb I love the smell of night palom in
the morning on the 5th of September the
Russian Army started out by clearing
some of the smallest salion south of pan
as you can see in this footage most of
the Ukrainian soldiers position there
are just hidden in makeshift dugouts and
bunkers which can hardly be called
fortifications meanwhile the few actual
bastions there are in this sector are
just crushed by TOS 1A Sal flamethrowers
meanwhile further to the rear a Ukraine
mortar pit was detected and then
destroyed by Russian drone
after a week of relative calm on the
luhansk front on the 12th of September
Russian assault units Advanced 800 M
west of pchan however the same day the
Russians also made moves further to the
South as you can see they captured
almost the entire settlement of mifka in
this video you can see a storm Assault
Squad clearing one of the Ukrainian
trench systems around the village there
was also this Drone footage recorded by
the Ukrainian 66 mechanized Brigade
which supposedly showed a field littered
with Fallen enemy soldiers I counted
about 80 fatalities now their claim is
that all these are of course Russian
soldiers press X for doubt in reality
it's impossible to verify I mean
obviously the losses are heavy but most
likely it's a mix of both Ukrainian and
Russian soldiers over the span of
multiple weeks on the 14th of September
Russian forces renewed their offensive
north of kopans after clearing the first
outposts where Ukrainian soldiers have
been edging for so long the Russians
stormed s kfka and secured half the
settlement at the same time another
Detachment Advanced north of pan from
their forward positions along the tree
line they mopped up enemy leftovers and
both flanks as a followup they got a
foothold in this tree line from there
they pushed 1 km along these three tree
lines which are used like attack Lanes
or communication trenches after which
the Russians captured this 4 km Long
Tree Line This attack created a 5 km
wide sent to north of tabka that the
Russians now tried to clear one storm
Detachment near kislia tried to flank
Ukrainian lines from this Forest but
they were halted by swarms of FPU drones
interestingly in this Ukrainian Drone
footage we can't even see where this
Russian unit regrouped in this forested
area possibly 100 soldiers were
concentrated there as the Drone
approached more and more white dots
could be detected as the Drone was ready
to strike that's when the Drone operator
lost control over his fpv drone because
of hidden Russian electronic warfare
capabilities that's where a good old
artillery strike would have done the job
additionally what's worrying for the
ukrainians is that we know they're
already low on artillery pieces but in
this video from that same Kon scare area
we see a Russian drone strike on one of
the few remaining Ukrainian 152 mm 2 a65
MST B told how it s on the 21st of
September Russian armored units Advanced
2.5 km towards the oscal river at this
point they were only 3,000 M away from
cutting off the Ukrainian front in two
now the Dilemma for the Ukrainian
command is that they could not move
troops and supplies as easily in that
part of the front anymore for example if
they had a unit in Lian and they wanted
to transfer it to reinforce a position
in the Kian sector they had to move them
along the West Bank of the oscal river
which is much longer and then get them
to the other side of the river through
one of the crossing points but now the
Russians are targeting each one of these
Crossing points here a Russian s34
dropped a heavy load on this bridge over
the ow River one that they kept for a
couple days if we try to geolocate it we
see that there's a motor bridge and to
its side a railro bridge that is
destroyed I looked everywhere but there
was only one place along the oscal river
with a similar layout this bridge is
located 7 km south of the kopans city
center near the suburb of kopans vlo we
see that if we put these two images side
by side it's the same place although
notice that the ponon bridge that was
there when the satellite image was
captured is not there anymore this means
because of the Russian Air Force course
the Railway Bridge is gone the Pontoon
bridge is gone and this bridge is also
gone additionally in this nightmare
scenario the reinforcements that do make
it across are also targeted here we have
an m113 APC that is destroyed by a mine
the crew and the soldiers inside are
then rescued by bmp1 which then also
gets destroyed as you can imagine this
makes the situation extremely critical
for this Ukrainian grouping near kopans
check out what one of the Battalion
commanders of the third assault Brigade
aov had to say
[Music]
[Music]
while all this was taking place in the
North near kopans let's analyze what
happened further south on the 21st of
September Russian assault units of the
144th motorized rifle division Advanced
1,500 M and got a foothold inside the
village of neki by the 24th after 3 days
of intense fighting the Russians took
control of most of the village this
breakthrough created two new salans for
the ukrainians on the East Bank of the
jeret river in response the ukrainians
launched multiple counterattacks in this
sector to regain their lost positions
and prevent friendly forces from being
encircled for days settlements switched
hands but ultimately by the 30th of
September after the failure of Ukrainian
units to dislodge the Russians from Nee
The Village officially came under
Russian control the slow pace of
operations on the luhansk front can be
explained by two reasons number one the
open terrain and lack of large urban
areas so it makes it very hard to
concentrate forces without being
detected and number two in my opinion
due to the remote location of this
battlefield and the lack of railway
lines which makes it hard to supply
large
formations October 2024 by the third of
October 4 the elements of the Russian
army had progressed 1,200 M towards the
oscal river the next day after the
arrival of reinforcements filled up this
breakthrough into a girthy bulge
simultaneously Russian forces stormed St
mifka in this video you can see men of
the or company second Battalion 37th
motor rifle Brigade raising their Banner
on the settlement or rather whatever was
left of it King in the castle King in
the castle at the same time another
Russian unit captured the Hamlet of
andrika this latest move created new
cauldrons for the Ukrainian
which they would have to plan their
escape from by the 5th of October the
Ukrainian command already started
ordering some units to fall back in this
video we can see how a Ukrainian APC
carrying out a rotation was ambushed by
a grenade dropping drone and you know
how it goes the Mig stay in place while
the more valuable units are pulled out
first and then the Ukrainian command is
like BL I do not understand why
everybody's deserting meanwhile heavy
fighting also took place in the NK akfa
sector as Russian armored columns tried
to break through the weakened Ukrainian
lines but they were stopped by the rapid
Counterattack of the fourth mechanized
Battalion of the buvi presidential
Brigade as a matter of fact it's the
same Brigade that I brought up in my
Vala and vasila video but there is the
third mechanized and 20th Special Forces
battalions that are deployed the two
units are 180 km apart goes to show how
the Ukrainian command manages its forces
[Music]
anyway in one of these Russian assaults
Ukrainian drone operators struck two
tanks two bmps one BTR and even one t
West in makka Russian recon units took
position on one of the heights
overlooking the village in this footage
you can even see how the area looks like
where Ukrainian fpv drones are hunting
for enemy soldiers hidden along the
slopes let's check out what Ukrainian
newspaper zeroi had to say or mirror of
the week the Russians are changing their
assault tactics in the Lian kopans
Direction essentially Russian forces
have assault groups of 10 people each
which then split into two groups of five
and then again one group of two and
another of three we already covered
these Russian infiltration tactics in
the previous video the main reason these
infiltration tactics work is because
Ukrainian Jone operators cannot pinpoint
the location of all these subunits
mirror of the week reported it is also
worth adding that these Russian assault
groups are actively covered by their own
fpv drones up to five drones fly to
cover each serviceman So in theory an
assault group of 10 men is supported by
50 drones overall at this point there
were three Ukrainian cauldrons that
faced encirclement the one near noan the
one between mifka and Ne and the one
north of TI now imagine you're part of
the Ukrainian HQ what would be your
battle plan from which cauldron would
you withdraw your troops first on the
6th of October Russian Aviation launched
multiple strikes on K sharifa here in
Fab 500 turned an entire set of
buildings to ruins and in the next
footage you can see another set of
rubble caused by these bombs imagine if
the Ukraine command had positioned some
troops or military equipment there on
the 11th of October this Russian m-24
helicopter footage was released by the
mod but then we could see the remains
from a destroyed F aircraft turns out
this is a Russian aircraft that was shut
down in early October 2022 there's some
massive World War I Vibes when you see
remains of battles that took place at
the same position two years ago by the
14th of October Ukrainian forces started
withdrawing from The Cauldron north of
nef two days later Russian troops from
the 144th motorized rifle division pled
their flag on buildings in the northern
part of Nee in this video you can even
see how they proceeded we see
motorcycles driving around but instead
of dropping soldiers we noticed they
were actually creating a massive smoke
screen around the entire Battlefield as
you can imagine all the smoke screens
will make it very hard for Ukrainian
drone operators to pinpoint the exact
location of enemy forces then armored
columns started approaching the Village
from multiple directions here we see one
tank and two bmps disembarking their
Rifleman while being covered by another
smoke screen here another BMP is
releasing a smoke screen while the
Infantry men exit the vehicle right next
to this house where they will be able to
find Refuge after that multiple infantry
squads swarmed the entire settlement the
Russians tried to gain momentum and
accelerate the withdrawal of these
Ukrainian forces with quick armored
attacks but in this case it didn't seem
to have worked as this Russian t80 BVM
tank was destroyed by Ukrainian fpv
drones further north by the 17th of
October heavy fighting was taking place
on keia Heights near stakka this Ridge
line was extremely important because if
these positions fell in no time would
the Russians be in loova which would
create yet another cauldron for the
Ukrainian Army on the 19th of October
what had to happen happened the Russian
first tank Army reached the banks of the
oscal river in kakka after a 2 kilm push
in this footage you can see one of these
columns composed of seven armored
vehicles driving across open field this
formation was soon ambushed by Ukrainian
fpv drones coming from every direction
in the end the ukrainians claimed eight
bmps and three tanks destroyed as well
as six bmps damaged although the
ukrainians claimed this as a victory and
yet another PR stunt at the same time
three Russian armed Vehicles were
spotted driving around the town of kakka
the village was effectively theirs that
means yes the Ukraine has managed to
annihilate one come but all the others
reached their objectives and called a
touchdown however Russian forces could
not yet celebrate their Victory because
they had to switch from offensive to
defensive mode real quick in order to
repel very strong Ukrainian
counterattacks one of them was led by
operatives of the tore Special Forces
Unit of the Hur this unit was redeployed
from V Chans to kopans for this Mission
along the oscal river for this
Counterattack they were supported by
elements of the 77th air mobile Brigade
in this video you can see the control
room of this entire operation this
Command Center has a live feed of
multiple drones recording the
battlefield I counted about seven
screens in the next frame we see a small
team of spec ops operatives aboard
pickup trucks racing to the contact line
from the footage we see that these men
are heavily equipped there's one machine
gun for every three men additionally
they move in a very Rapid yet Cor
coordinated way as they mop up one
building after another with this video
we can even geolocate exactly where this
firefight took place we see that these
Ukrainian operatives cleared this part
of kak kfka and thus repelled the
Russians from the usal river however
this success was shortlived since on the
20th of October Russian reinforcements
arrived and most of kak kfka was now in
the gray Zone while this very important
battle was taking place south of kopans
the Russian army HQ also made a move in
the forests north of the city on the
19th of October Russian Rifle units
pushed 2 kilms inside these Woods west
of Zin kfka remember last time I spoke
about this exact sector how long ago it
was in this video posted by the
ukrainians you can see how dense the
forest is in the sector this could mean
that the Russian plan is indeed to push
further into the forest and bypass sinfa
all right back to the report eventually
fighting now reached these Woods on the
western extremity of Petro pavka in this
GoPro footage from the perspective of a
Russian assault team you can even get a
glimpse of what the battlefield looked
like on the 20th of October Ukrainian
lines west of the jerat river cracked
after Russian assault detachments pushed
1,700 met from andifa towards Vish after
days of heavy fighting in krugliak kfka
and lots of back and forth most of the
Town came on the Russian control the
Ukrainian command now had to worry about
this cauldron extending over 34 km
meanwhile at the bottom south of the DLC
map in the Nee makka sector the Drone
operators of the fourth Battalion of the
presidential Brigade kept targeting
exposed Russian infantry units it's
truly horrible you literally see
soldiers running for their lives from
these fpv drones chasing them at full
speed due to all these drones swarms and
counterattacks I think the Russian
command in that sector pressed on the
brakes as they got overextended and
expected another strike in the coming
hours the aggressive posture of the
ukrainians seems to have been beneficial
as they used this moment to pull out
their forces from the various Pockets
north and south of nef towards friendly
lines on the West Bank of the jibet
river in the end this retrograde
maneuver that required a lot of skills
was completed by the 24 4 of October the
Russian 144th motorized rifle division
now controlled a 17 km front along the
jeret river and the next day they
planted the Russian flag on the village
of noos sadov I think we can attribute
the Jan award to this 144th division do
you remember that the ukrainians
captured this exact same line on the
10th of October 2022 in the end the
154th division held its ground and
repulsed each one of these attacks all I
know is that the Russian public seems to
particularly like this division
especially the commander nickname metis
of the 254th regiment cuz apparently he
went directly to the front line to make
sure that his men hold the ground and
then some artists made a bunch of
artwork about this event and while the
entire Russian army was melting away
it's the 144th division that held the
Kina sector they stood their ground like
a mountain and thus prevented a
Ukrainian breakthrough into luhansk
upblast and thus the entire defeat of
the Russian army and here we are two
years later on the 26th of October
forward elements of the Russian army
pushed as far as 4 kilomet Beyond St
mifka and thus putting a clear Dent
inside this Ukrainian Salient here you
can see one of the armored that
participated in this attack after the
lead vehicle hit a mine all the bmps
behind quickly disembarked the rifle
squads so that they can withdraw before
enemy fpv drones arrive for the rest of
the week we saw heavy fighting take
place all along this Salient any
additional kilometer gained could
encircle hundreds of Ukrainian troops
for this reason the Ukrainian command
carried out quick local counterattacks
with any available reserves to prevent a
collapse of its defensive positions
throughout the month of October Russian
Aviation struck the crossing over the
oscal river
nka in this video we see the actual air
strike but that's not what I wanted to
show you first of all this is the bridge
on Google Earth but in reality the river
is much narrower these days using
Sentinel satellite imagery we see that
in May most of the river turned into
swamps and here we see the main bridge
going over whatever was left of the
river we can explain that because a lot
of these Bridges were actually dams and
with their destruction it altered the
size of the reservoir by the 8th of
August the ukrainians started building
another Bridge bypassing the main one
which seems to have been completed by
the 18th and this is what we see in the
video the main Bridge was struck while
Ukrainian Vehicles drove on the pontoon
Crossing November 2024 on the 1st of
November Russian forces closed the Gap
and we're now at the gates of TI during
this Russian push Ukrainian Jone
operators started harassing enemy
infiltration teams that tried to get a
foothold inside the village and while
this was taking place Russian Aviation
responded by hammering whatever was left
of terne 3 Days Later further north
Russian army units moptop the remaining
Ukrainian positions between the ascal
river and pisan at the same time
Ukrainian units still clinged on two
parts of the town of kakka clearly
demonstrating the Strategic nature of
this position but things turned critical
for the ukrainians when fighting moved
towards kiska that's when the ukrainians
deployed entire UAV shock units men to
literally swarm Russian units with
hundreds of drones like this one which
somehow managed to take out and expose
Russian bu M2 air defense system on the
5th of November Russian assault units
captured these two forested areas along
the slightly elevated terrain and from
there they managed to get a foothold
inside Vish some units even managed to
make it into P Trav all these names seem
very familiar to me the Russians are
literally about to storm the important
Road Junction at P trap now if we zoom
out the Russian maneuver becomes a bit
clearer the Russians nicknamed this move
the
bft are big finger tickling enemy rear
and as part of the Russian Art of
trolling they made sure to make it
visible by NATO Satellites with a good
number of its outposts compromised by
the eight of November the Ukrainian
command withdrew from its positions
north of andrika that's how the Russian
army managed to secure this entire
portion of the jet river that River
although very narrow was one of the last
notable terrain features between the
Russian army and the oscal River on the
southern part of the battlefield the
latest Russian push then drifka shrinked
the two Ukrainian cauldrons we mentioned
before this one south of bisto and this
one north of tabka after dealing with
this Crossing points near
kiania on the 10th of November the
Russian Air Force bombarded another
crossing point in this same area we see
that on Sentinel the ukrainians built a
secondary Crossing this image dates back
from the 24th of October but in the
video by the 10th of November it is
clear that this pontoon Bridge had
already been destroyed how long can
Ukraine sustain this rhythm of
continuously rebuilding pontoon bridges
in this article by Uka Pravda I showed
you earlier well they provide us with an
answer the soldiers of the BVI unit said
The Crossings here do not last long a
few days or weeks after which they're
precisely destroyed by Russian Fabs I
think it would actually be an
interesting video to analyze the work of
Ukrainian engineering units which barely
anyone talks about but whose role is
extremely important by the 12th of
November west of kis nikifa it seems
some Russian units infiltrated Enemy
Lines pushed 3.5 km along this Railway
line and established a bastard inside
these Woods what's in interesting is
that the Russians now have specialized
assault detachments that are immediately
followed by specialized construction
detachments whose job is to literally
dig in and consolidate newly captured
positions if the situation could not get
worse as the Russian army was creeping
its way south of kopans all of a sudden
some of their forward elements were
reported right inside kopans if we zoom
in the Russians essentially managed to
clear this entire forested area but also
to land some troops undetected 4 km
along this Railway line right into the
city center essentially what happened is
that a Russian col composed of one tank
one BMP and two mtlb troop transports
just wandered through Ukrainian lines
and since they faced no position they
ended up right inside kopans although
some of the armored vehicles were then
destroyed they still managed to
disembark their infantry component
inside the industrial Zone more
specifically the metal receiving Factory
apparently they even managed to get some
reinforcements but soon they'll discover
the damaging effects of being on the
receiving side the ukrainians
immediately dispatch some specialized
assault units to crush this breach head
completely encircled a number of these
Russian soldiers surrendered to the
enemy we see one of them in this video
and another three being manhandled in
this footage on the the 15th of November
due to intense pressure from all sides
the ukrainians finally abandoned their
combat position south of berestov but
now let's go back to the southern part
of the battlefield the Ukrainian ISR
Department probably noticed how this
area was brewing with enemy troops a
couple days later it became clear how
the Russian army Was preparing for
another strike after their success in
nek and mifka the Russians decided to
launch an attack out of noan however
they were stuck by elements of the elite
thre assault Brigade as of we see that
the elite vehicle of this column was
destroyed which then halted the column
then we just see two entire Russian
Rifle squads scattering away while one
group of Ukrainian drone operators
finished off the armored vehicles the
others chased down all the Infantry men
no pity they've even targeted these men
with cluster munition
strikes on the 19th of November zilinski
visited kopans and hand some awards to
soldiers of the 14th mechanized Brigade
that have been holding this part of the
front for more than a year by the 24th
of November the Russian Armed Forces
finally Consolidated their positions in
krugliak kfka it took them one month for
this small town then they Advanced 1,800
M towards loova and raised their flag
over the Hamlet of kopani which I think
is famous for its Korean pancakes this
was followed by strong Ukrainian
Counterattack which aimed at retaking
control of the settlement meanwhile
Russian spearheads had already started
approaching zilinsky High I mean zeli
high now in the makka ne sector All
Along The jeret River the front remained
more or less stable not because the
Russian army columns didn't try to shove
it in but because they lacked game and
were denied entry we only know it took
place in that sector we see two Russian
armored vehicles of which one BTR being
pounded over and over by Ukrainian fpv
drones and in this one which destroyed
or damaged two bmps now in this footage
what I found interesting is how the
moment this BMP was hit 11 Riflemen
exited the vehicle 11 it's a lot
actually it's nothing special it's just
eight Riflemen plus the three crewman
calling GG well played on their BMP
Ukrainian Battalion commander of the
presidential guard VV reported to ukra
prda that due to the of artillery about
70% of enemy vehicles are destroyed by
fpv drones approximately 20% by remote
mines and 10% by the troops on the
ground themselves on the 30th of
November the Russians gained 2,000 M and
reached the outskirts of loova I mean
throughout November the ukrainians held
the line relatively well oh yeah and on
the 25th of November Pro Ukrainian deep
State UA also removed this Russian brege
head inside kopans the ukrainians were
ready to sell celebrate bored bini and
vodka but before Commander ehor could
open a new botle terrible news arrived
that's when he dropped the bottle and it
shattered on the floor just kidding
nobody vased vodka the command center
still emptied the bottle just while
crying the terrible news was that 17 km
north of kupiansk the sneaky rusov
crossed the oscal river at first the
brige head was Tiny but then it grew and
it grew much bigger more and more of
these rubber boats really small teams of
Riflemen onto the West Bank of the river
eventually Russian forces now threatened
the village of noomin things got worse
on the 30th of November as another
Russian group in crossed the osal river
in masua not only did they establish a
solid breach head they Advanced 2 km
Inland the village of dorina was getting
encircled and if it fell then the
Russians could flank kopans if you
remember we actually spoke about this
exact possibility a while back this quod
points towards the ukrainians preparing
for a Russian River Crossing attempt
near massu Tika and Vina December 2024
zilinski opened the Advent calendar on
the 1 of December hoping for a new batch
of weapons whoops another 2 km
withdrawal from the Scauldron followed
the next day by another Retreat of 1,200
M overall we could see that the
ukrainians were progressively
withdrawing to towards the usal river
where they would create some sort of
fortified Bastion around borova but I'm
getting ahead of myself in that sector
we also saw the Russians use a ugv or
ground vehicle to blow up a Ukrainian
Hideout it's kind of strange how Call of
Duty called a lot of these inventions
kamikazi drones exploding ground
Vehicles what's next on the 2nd of
December it was reported that three
Russian tanks were destroyed while
trying to break through towards Kip
sharifa now now we don't know exactly
where that happened but we see Open
Fields with tree lines either they
attacked from this direction or from
this one so overall the ukrainians
managed to Hold the Line south of the
kupiansk pocket meanwhile north of
kupiansk Ukrainian forces formed a Camp
Cooper composed of a battalion of the
10th Mountain Brigade
[Music]
Adelis supported by elements of the
third tank Brigade UAV squads and
artillery in this joint effort they
counterattacked the Russian Bridge heads
in this video we see one of the
Ukrainian tanks blasting enemy positions
one by one at Point Blank whereas in
this other axis of progression this
Ukrainian tank opens the path for a BMP
this allowed the ifv to disembark an
entire Assault Squad right into the tree
line the next day by the 3rd of December
the Ukrainian K Cora managed to knock
out the Russians out of the bridge head
near novominsk as you can see Ukrainian
forces then raised the blue and yellow
flag on the village I found this video
released on the 4th of December where we
see a small armored unit of three
Russian Vehicles which as usual then
gets harassed by fpv drones the report
stated how it was men from the Ukrainian
114th territorial defense Brigade which
repelled this Russian attack and this
brigade is said to be located around
this part of the front near the jet
River turns out this video was actually
geolocated in North near SFA this
probably means the Russian grouping in
the sector tried to regroup and form an
armed fist in order to get a definitive
foothold inside petro pavka and that
explained why in the same area on the
5th of December we also witnessed a
leopard 2a4 struck by a Russian lanet
kamikazi drone this goes to show how the
ukrainians are actually reinforcing The
Garrison of kopans on the 7th of
December for elements of the Russian
army reached the outskirts of Z High you
know the drill forming yet another
cauldron for Ukrainian forces 3 days
later the Russians carried out another
River Crossing operation this time in
the sector of kak kfka towards sendov
but it seems the ukrainians reacted
quickly and push them back the same day
two Russian armed Vehicles were stopped
as they pushed out of kis nikifa in an
attempt to bypass these three Ukrainian
strongholds positioned on their right
flank for an entire week nothing
happened happened as both sides regroup
their forces for the next round
everything remained calm until the 14th
of December north of kopans the Russians
actually managed to consolidate their
brege head on the other side of the
oscal river near masua even worse they
even managed to get a foothold inside
Vina south of kupiansk thanks to the
arrival of reinforcements the ukrainians
counterattacked in kis nikifa and pushed
the Russians back 2,000 M and regain
control of this Force stood Bastion as
well and further south of that position
Russian assault detachments Advanced
3,800 M creating three additional
cauldrons for the Ukrainian Army again
so what can we expect in the following
days and weeks on the kopans front we
can understand that from the Ukrainian
perspective the oscal river is too much
of a strategic position to be abandoned
overall I think the ukrainians will try
to Counterattack in order to regain the
lost positions in krugliak kfka but I
feel this will become extremely
difficult as Russian spearheads are
already bypassing loova and heading for
the oscal river now from an operational
perspective we can believe the
ukrainians plan to withdraw their forces
in a retrograde movement towards
prepared defensive positions centered on
kupiansk borova and liman in the South
the ukrainians built the set of
fortified bastions along this line going
from zarich all the way to borova even
if the Russian army breaks through
Ukrainian forces will just withdraw and
concentrate around borova where they
will actively hold this bridge head and
find ways to supply it that's why at
this rate we can expect the Russian
Armed Forces to make the most gains in
this sector same principle for the
northern kopans the most dangerous
maneuver for the ukrainians would be
that the Russians in the Piner maneuver
simply slide through the usal river and
reached the city proper but looking at
the latest counterattacks I think that
the ukrainians prevented this scenario
from happening this will allow Ukrainian
forces to slowly Retreat towards the set
of fortifications whose outer ring is
centered on P pavka followed by second
line inside Kian proper even if all
these positions end up falling just like
we've seen in vunk the ukrainians will
still be able to hold some brege heads
inside the urban area perhaps mans by
Spec Ops operatives and resupply these
units with small bolts or pontoon
bridges that's why the Russian army
command is trying to accelerate the
defeat of the Ukrainian grouping in
kopans by bypassing all their defensive
positions and bastions Via amphibious
operations both north and south of the
city if the ukrainians cannot manage to
eliminate these breach heads in that
case anytime soon Russian troops could
be attacking the West Bank of kopans and
thus force a complete withdrawal for the
Ukrainian Garrison and the first step in
this direction will be the capture of
Vina which will be used as forward
operating base for the Russian armed
forces of course in order to prevent
this General Siri will most likely
transfer urgent reinforcements to the
north of kopans that's all I have for
you today let me know in the comment
section what you thought of my analysis
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